Ethiopia UN Country Team Common Country Assessment September 1999 Addis Ababa 2 CONTENTS Abbreviations i Executive Summary ii Introduction 1 Objectives of the CCA 2 CHAPTER 1: COUNTRY SITUATION 4 1.1. The economy 4 1.2. The social sectors 9 1.2.1. Health 9 1.2.2. HIV/AIDS Epidemic 11 1.2.3. Education 15 CHAPTER 2: PERFORMANCE OF COMMON COUNTRY ASSESSMENT INDICATORS 21 2.1. Population 21 2.2. Poverty 25 2.3. Employment and sustainable livelihood 31 2.4. Food security and environment 36 2.5. Gender equality and advancement of women 41 2.6. Governance and participation 43 2.7. Refugees and returnees in Ethiopia 47 2.8. Conclusion 49 CHAPTER 3: STATISTICAL ANNEX 55 3.1. Key indicators at Country level 55 3.2. Key indicators at Regional level 67 3.3. Acknowledgments 84 REFERENCES 85 3 Abbreviations AAU – Addis Ababa University AIDS - Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome GDP – Gross Domestic Product CCA – Common Country Assessment CSA – Central Statistical Authority EDSP – Education Sector Development Programme EMA – Ethiopian Mapping Authority ENI – Ethiopian Nutrition Institute FPPB – Federal Prison’s Police Bureau FSC – Federal Civil Service Commission HSDP – Health Sector Development Programme ILO – International Labor Organization MEDAC – Ministry of Economic Development and Cooperation MoE – Ministry of Education MoH – Ministry of Health MOLSA – Ministry of Labor and Social Affairs NBE – National Bank of Ethiopia NEBE – National Election Board of Ethiopia NGO – Non-governmental Organization NHDR – National Human Development Report PER – Public Expenditure Review PPP$ - Purchasing Power Parity in US Dollars SNNPR – Southern Nations, Nationalities and People’s Regions UNAIDS – Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS UNDP – United Nations Development Programme UNICEF – United Nations Children’s Fund UNHCR – United Nations Higher Commissioner for Refugees WB /CAS – World Bank / Country Assistance Strategy WFP – World Food Programme WHO – World Health Organization 4 Executive Summary A new approach to development has been evolving in the United Nations System: people should be put at the center of the development process, a vital tool in development which, among other things, requires coordination among the different actors in development: individuals, national governments, the United Nations and other development partners. The Common Country Assessment (CCA) was conceived and initiated along these important principles. More specifically, the CCA is a mechanism that is recognized by the UN System as a joint compilation and review of a common set of indicators at the country level as a basis for planning and coordinating programme activities. Several countries, including some in sub-Saharan Africa, have already conducted their CCA and are using it for various development initiatives. In Ethiopia, the CCA was initiated by an Inter-Agency Task Force set up for the purpose through the coordination of the UNDP Country Office. The CCA for Ethiopia, first and foremost, draws extensively its core indicators on various official reports by different agencies of the Ethiopian Government. In the absence of such information from the Government, other contributors towards this important task include UN Agencies operating in Ethiopia, local and international NGOs and others. This document contains three chapters and a couple of sections under each chapter. Chapter 1 discusses, briefly, the socio-economic situation of the country using recent and available official statistical information. The chapter has two subsections, namely: the economy and the social sectors. In the sub-section dealing with the Ethiopian economy, analyses focused mainly on economic situation of the country during the last regime, the transition period and situation of the country as it stands currently. Chapter 2 reviews the CCA indicators for Ethiopia at some length. The chapter specifically focuses on population, poverty, employment and sustainable livelihood, food advancement, security and environment, governance and participation, gender equality and women’s refugees and returnees, and 5 conclusion. As far as possible, recent and reliable data were used to describe current situations. Trend analysis was also conducted as data availability permit. The regional variations, urban and rural discrepancies and gender gaps were also analyzed for most of the major indicators. Chapter 3 is a statistical annex showing trends and the most up-to-date level of the CCA indicators both at country and regional levels. As such, the indicators at the country level are grouped under the following major headings: Population, Poverty, Employment/Sustainable Livelihoods, Gender Equality/Women’s Advancement, Governance and Participation, Environment, Economic Indicators and Others such as Government Revenue and Expenditure, Prices, Income, Welfare of Children and Other Health-related Indicators, Agriculture and Manufacturing. On the other hand, regional indicators are grouped under the major indicators of Population (including size, density, dependency & sex ratios, access to safe water, sanitation, electricity, variations in educational participation rates and adult literacy), Poverty, Gender Equality, Women’s Advancement & Reproductive Behavior, Health Services & Life Expectancy. 6 Introduction The United Nations, at the beginning of this decade, has adopted a new approach to progress, the human dimension of development where development focuses on enlarging people’s choices. In other words, development should focus on enabling people to increase their productivity, to have access to equal opportunities in economic as well as political spheres on a sustainable basis, and for people to participate fully in the decision making processes that shape their lives. The UN has further recognized that this goal could only be achieved by making national governments development partners, encouraging and supporting them especially towards fulfilling their international obligations and commitments. For the UN System to face these development challenges of a specific country, it needs among other things to harmonize national indicators and on the basis of these indicators set national development priorities. Thus, the United Nations General Assembly in its Resolutions, Nos. 47/199, 50/120 and 50/227, has emphasized the need for greater coordination among the partners of the UN System. Thus, the Common Country Assessment (CCA) has become the first step for such coordination. The CCA is a joint compilation and review of a common set of indicators at the country level as a basis for planning and coordinating programme activities. The Common Country Assessment for Ethiopia was initiated by a UN InterAgency Task Force that was formed in November 1997 with the UNDP Country Office playing the coordinating role. The Task Force, which comprised heads of agencies or representatives of UNFPA/CST, UNICEF, IOM, UNDP, FAO, WHO, ILO/EAMAT, WB and UNAIDS, in its series of joint meetings up to May 1998, has identified indicators, designed the initial time frame for the preparation of the CCA and underscored the need for the collaboration of key governmental and nongovernmental institutions in the exercise right from the very start. Thus, on the basis of this recommendation, a technical committee was formed to conduct the actual work with the support of a national consultant. The Technical Committee was expanded to include pertinent drawn from Government (MEDaC, CSA and MoLSA) and an NGO (ActionAid – Ethiopia). 7 Objectives of the Common Country Assessment As pointed out in the introductory section, the CCA, by and large, could be used as an instrument for assessing and analyzing the country’s development situation. In this regard, the CCA combines various assessments, which are conducted from time to time by UN Agencies in formulating their respective country programmes. Thus, the major objective of the CCA for Ethiopia could be cited as follows. To enhance Inter-Agency cooperation in translating global goals, regarding human development, into national strategies To collect and review common set of indicators in the context of national development priorities. To forge common understanding among development partners about key internal/external risks to the national development process. To compile comprehensive sets of socio-economic indicators that could be used as basic inputs in designing the UN Development Assistance Framework for Ethiopia. Methodology and the consultative process in producing the CCA The CCA for Ethiopia was conducted on the following methodological and consultation basis. An inter-agency task force identified the basic indicators and the format of the report based on several consultations with individual agencies, country experiences, the private sector, NGOs and other development partners. Data on the identified indicators were collected and compiled mostly from official publications of the government. Gaps were filled from other sources. Several consultations with officials from line ministries (such as the ministries of Health and Education) were done to agree on relevant 8 issues regarding data consistency and timeliness. The experts from Government who were delegated to CCA the task force facilitated most of this process. The private sector (Chamber of Commerce) and NGOs (such as ActionAid –Ethiopia) were also consulted. The CCA document was drafted on the basis of the indicators and the format outline set for the purpose. The document was then reviewed section by section and as one document by the CCA task force, various agencies and individuals: Programme managers of several UN agencies, pertinent academicians from the Addis Ababa University, experts from line ministries and other individuals. Comments and suggestions were compiled and used to further improve the draft report. The inter-agency technical committee formed for the preparation of the United Nations Development Assistance Framework (UNDAF) for Ethiopia further reviewed the report based on the April 1999 Revised New Guidelines of the CCA. (Note that the first draft of the CCA predates the New Guidelines). CHAPTER 1: COUNTRY SITUATION 1.1. The economy Ethiopia is an agricultural based economy, more than 85 percent of its population largely depending on it for its livelihood. There has been little reform and modernization in agriculture although the need for it has been more or less well articulated by different regimes over the years. On the other hand, the modern sectors, especially industry, are still at the infant stage. 9 In the country’s long history, the two decades, i.e. the 1970’s and 1980’s, have been recorded as years of civil war, draught and famine and economic crisis. The regime that happened to rule the country during those two decades had denied the people the right to participate in issues concerning the development of their country. As a result, centrally planned economic mismanagement policy coupled with civil unrest has led the country to near collapse of the economy during the late 80’s. The performance of the economy during those two decades was alarming in every sense of the word. The agricultural sector, commonly referred to as the backbone of the country’s economy, was severely affected in various aspects during those years. Despite its vast arable land, only about 23 percent of the total area of the country is intensively and moderately cultivated. For years, each agricultural household is forced to live on smallholdings (less than 2 hectares on the average), employ extremely backward farming techniques to support more than 5 persons. Due to these reasons, agricultural production and productivity were very low. From Table 1, it can be observed that the growth in the area under major crops has been fluctuating from year to year partly due the failure of the rainy season. Accordingly, the growth in agricultural production was also fluctuating to a marked extent with a record decline in 1991/92 and a record harvest in 1995/96. It can be derived from Table 1 that the total yield per hectare for all major crops has shown little improvement from year to year and was less than an average of 15 quintals (whereas it is more than 50 quintals in other countries including in less developing ones). Similarly, the growth rates in agricultural gross domestic product have been slow in the later years of the 1980’s as exhibited in Chart 1. Table 1: Estimates of area and production of major crops produced in Ethiopia Year 1986/87 1987/88 1988/89 Cereals Area Production Pulses Area Prodn. Others Area Prodn. (Millions (Millions of (Millions (millions Millions (millions of Ha). Qt) of Ha). of Qt) of Ha. of Qt) 5.3 61.8 0.6 5.6 0.2 0.8 5.2 59.1 0.7 5.4 0.2 0.8 4.7 57.4 0.6 5.6 0.2 0.8 Total Area Millions of Ha. Prodn. (millions of Qt) 6.1 68.2 6.1 65.3 5.5 63.8 Rate of growth Area Prodn. Millions of (millions Ha. of Qt) -0.2 -9.4 10 -4.3 -2.3 1989/90 1990/91 1991/92 1992/93 1993/94 1994/95 1995/96 1996/97 5.0 4.0 3.9 4.0 4.7 5.7 6.6 6.8 61.5 55.4 46.4 51.8 47.4 61.5 82.7 84.4 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 1.6 0.9 0.9 0.9 Source: Central Statistical Authority, 6.5 9.6 6.2 5.8 5.1 7.7 8.1 8.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 1.0 3.2 0.8 0.8 8.2 1.1 1.9 2.8 5.8 4.9 4.8 4.9 6.5 6.9 7.9 8.1 68.9 68.2 53.5 58.4 60.7 70.4 92.8 95.7 5.9 -15.2 -3.0 1.8 34.2 6.1 14.2 2.4 Annual Reports of Agricultural Surveys (various years) From 1986/87 through 1991/92, the annual growth rate of agricultural GDP was on the average only 1.1 percent and was mostly on the decline. However, some improvement was observed from 1992/93 onwards. On the other hand, the rate of growth in the industrial sector whose contribution to the overall GDP ranges only between 10-15 percent, has been on a steady decline during the late 80’s and early 90’s and revived to register a growth of around 8 percent in 1996/97 fiscal year. The most dynamic component of the industrial sector, large and medium scale manufacturing industries, were the most affected during the mentioned period. On the other hand, the services sector has been on the average growing between 19851996 except the year 1990/91which characterizes a near collapse of the economy in all sectors. In general, the Ethiopian economy has faced a number of up and downs during the last three decades. The severe drought of recent years (1984/85, 1987/88 and 1993/94), economic mismanagement and civil unrest throughout the country were among the major causes for slowing down socio-economic development. Agriculture, which contributes more than 50 percent to the country’s GDP and about 85 percent to the export earning, has a strong influence on the overall performance of the economy. Thus, GDP growth was very slow in the early 80’s, was on the decline in the late 80’s and has shown record declines of the decade in 1990/91 and 1991/92. Economic recovery was witnessed after the change of government, the restoration of peace and stability and the launch of the structural adjustment programme from 1992/93 onwards. 11 8.1 -1.0 -21.6 9.1 3.9 16.0 31.8 3.2 Chart One: Growth of Real GDP and its Components Source: Ministry of Economic Development and Cooperation Growth of Real GDP and its Components 40 30 20 10 0 -10 -20 -30 89/90 90/91 91/92 92/93 93/94 AGRICULTURE INDUSTRY OTHER SERVICES TOTAL 94/95 95/96 96/97 97/98 DISRIBUTIVE SERVICES The Ethiopian economy has shown a record growth in 1992/93 (real GDP has grown by 12.4% over the previous year) but slowed down during the next two years in 1993/94 (1.7%) and 1994/95 (5.4%) due to the bad weather condition that affected agricultural production, and picked up in 1995/96 (10.6%). However, a further slowdown was witnessed in 1996/97 (5.7%) and 1997/98 (2.8% ) due to the El Nino weather condition. According to recent forecast for 1998/99, the economy is expected to grow by 6.4 percent (down from an earlier growth target of 9.4 percent) given the onset of the drought in early 1999 and the slowdown in leading economic indicators over the past months. During 1991 and 1992,the annual rate of inflation reached a peak of 21 percent. In 1993, it stood at 10 percent while it has gone down to a mere 0.9 percent in 1996. It declined further to an impressive minus 6.4 percent in 1997, an indication of good economic performance over recent years. On the other hand, the new investment regime has stimulated both domestic and foreign investment. Over the last 6 years, the Ethiopian Investment Authority has issued investment certificates that covered a total capital outlay of US$ 5 billion worth of projects1 in various sectors. Further liberalization of the investment regime is still needed to encourage private investment especially in the agricultural sector. 1 Source: Ethiopian Investment Authority 12 The country’s trade has also got some degree of liberalization to register a substantial increment in foreign exchange earnings. As a result, Ethiopia’s foreign exchange reserve has grown from a mere one week of imports in 1989/90 to a level sufficient to cover import requirements for more than 16 weeks in 1996/97. According to projections, the reserve is expected to cover less than 14 weeks imports which is the result of a slow down in economic growth. Exports as percentage of imports have risen from a level of about 18 percent in 1991/92 to more than 41 percent in 1996/97. The currency realignment in 1992 and other favorable monetary policies have resulted in this improvement in the country’s export/import ratio. It can also be observed that public ownership in the various sectors of the economy is on the decline from an absolute domination of state monopoly prior to 1991. Though this is an encouraging sign for a move to a market oriented economy, there are still demands for greater flexibility in policy especially regarding land ownership. Gross domestic savings as percent of GDP has reached more than 8 percent in 1996/97 as compared to the low level of the late 80’s. This rise in domestic savings in turn has enabled the public sector investment in social services and infrastructure development to go up. The balance of payments deficit has fallen to less than 10 percent of GDP in 1996/97 as opposed to the staggering double digits in the late 80’s and early 90’s. In another development, public revenue has gone up to more than 18 percent of GDP in 1996/97 as compared to a level of only under 4 percent in 1990/91 while public expenditure has been contained to less than a quarter of GDP over the mentioned period. The budget deficit (excluding grants) has, thus, decreased from more than 11 percent of GDP in 1989/90 to 5 percent in 1996/97. Ethiopia being a heavily indebted country is currently seeking debt relief from Paris Club creditors and from all other bilateral and commercial creditors. The country’s debt outstanding, excluding ruble denominated debt owed to Russia, amounted to 83 percent of GDP in Fiscal Year 1996.2 Scheduled debt service amounted to about 34 percent of exports and non-factor services and 26 percent of 13 government revenues during the same fiscal year. This indeed is a heavy burden to the economy by any measure. In recognition of this fact, the government has designed a prudent debt management policy, i.e., borrowing only on concessional terms. In sum, under the direction of its new economic reform program, Ethiopia has managed to achieve economic growth, low level of inflation, a relatively stable exchange market and an overall macroeconomic performance that could be termed as satisfactory. This performance should be further strengthened by creating conducive atmosphere in all sectors for an increased participation of the private sector and other development partners. 1.2. The social sectors 1.2.1. Health: Ethiopia is a country associated with various health problems that severely affected its human development. The crude death rate is 15 per 1000 people while those of infant and under 5 mortality rates currently stand at 110 and 161 per 1000 live births, respectively. Maternal mortality rate has reached 700 per 100,000 people. These mortality rates were even worse in the late 80’s and early 90’s when most health services were hampered due, mostly, to war, draught and civil unrest that prevailed during those periods. It should be noted that all these indicators are very high even by sub-Saharan African standards. On the other hand, life expectancy at birth is 53 years. At present, public health services are accessible to only 49 percent of the population. This picture tells only half of the truth, as accessibility to health services in rural areas is worse because of lack of road networks. Likewise, according to the 1994 Population and Housing Census of Ethiopia, only 1 percent of the rural population have access to sanitation services while it is 60 percent for the urban population; and safe water is only accessible to 20 percent of the rural population and 80 percent of the urban population. The public health services are designed to be accessible through a four-tier infrastructure that consists of primary health care units for 25,000 people, district 2 Source, The World Bank: Country Assistance Strategy of the World Bank Group for the Federal Republic of Ethiopia, Report No. 17009 – ET, Africa Region, Washington DC, August 1997. 14 hospitals for 250,000 people, regional hospitals for 1 million people and specialized hospitals for 5 million people. On the other hand, health professionals (physicians, nurses, etc.) and health facilities (health centers, hospitals, hospital beds, etc.) to population ratios are very far from the WHO standard. 3 In recognition of the serious health problems in the country, the government of Ethiopia issued a new health policy in 1993 to insure primary health care for all by decentralizing the health system and developing the preventive components of health care as well as promoting the participation of the private sector in the health services development. However, major results have yet to be registered. In fact, recent studies have shown that respiratory infections and malaria are two of the most serious and priority health problems in the country but which could be eradicated by concerted preventive action. Ironically, evidences show that the country’s health system is still physician oriented and hence curative while the major health problems are preventive as indicated above.4 Total health expenditure as a share of GDP is currently about 2 percent, up from a level of 1.3 percent prior to 1991 but down from a level of about 3 percent in the mid-eighties. On the other hand, the share of public health expenditure out of the total expenditure has picked up from a level of around 3 percent in 1990 to 6 percent in 1996/97. However, per capita health spending is currently about 1 US Dollars (sub-Saharan African 13.3 US$)5. Virtually all health service provisions are carried out by the public sector. However, there is a strong need to change this trend to involve the private sector in the area of health services development as stipulated in the 1993 health policy document. There are some encouraging signs in this area over the last 5 years though much remains to be done to accelerate this development. Huge disparities are evident in the area of health services provisions between urban and rural areas and among regions. For instance, a third of the entire hospital 3 WHO standard: Physician: 1: 10,000 people; Nurses: 1: 5,000 people; Hospital beds: 1: 3,000 people; Hospitals: 1: 250,000 people; Health center: 1: 100,000 people; and Health station: 1: 10,000 people. 4 See, FDE, Social Sector Review/Per III, Volume 2: Main Report: Education, Health and Generic Issues, A report prepared for MOF by the Center for the Study of African Economies, Oxford University, Addis Ababa, March 1997. 5 World Bank (1997): Ethiopia, Public Expenditure Review, Volume I, Main Report, November 1997. 15 beds, almost two-thirds of the physicians and half of the nurses are accumulated in the capital, Addis Ababa. The level of access to social services, especially of health services, among regions is quite alarming. Regions such as Afar, BenishangulGumuz and Somali are at the lowest level in terms of access to health facilities (i.e., hospitals, health centers, etc), safe water and sanitation facilities as compared to regions such as Addis Ababa, Dire Dawa and Harari. In some regions the health facilities are in poor conditions both physically and in terms of availability of health personnel which makes life difficult for the most vulnerable group of population, women and children. In fact Ethiopia has the highest infant and maternal mortality rates in the world. 1.2.2 HIV/AIDS epidemic6: HIV probably started to spread in Ethiopia in the early 1980s. The first evidence of HIV infection was found in 1984, while the first AIDS case was reported in 1986. Although HIV prevalence was very low in Ethiopia during the early 1980s, it has been increasing rapidly in the past few years. The Ministry of Health (MOH) estimated that by 1993 HIV prevalence among adults (those aged 15 years and older) was 3.4 percent. By 1997 HIV adult prevalence had increased to 7.4 percent. It was estimated that there were 2.4 million adults in Ethiopia living with HIV in 19977. In the period 1988-1992 the Surveillance Division of the Department of AIDS Control, MOH, conducted HIV surveys for monitoring trends among different population groups in different parts of the country. The average HIV prevalence in the country in 1988 among female multiple partner sexual contacts (MPSCs) was 18.5 percent. In the following year, the average prevalence rate in the seven towns increased to 29.2 percent, which was a progression rate of 57.8 percent in 12 months.8 By 1990 these rates had increased ranging from 30 percent in Metu town to 50 percent in Nazareth town. By 1991, the HIV prevalence in Bahir Dar and 6 The whole text in this section is courtesy of UNAIDS, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia. AIDS in Ethiopia: Background, Projections, Impacts, Interventions, Ministry of Health, second edition, 1988. 8 M. Mehret and L. Khodakevich, Surveillance of HIV infection in Ethiopia, Ethiopian Journal of Health Development, Vol. 4, No. 2, 1990. 7 16 Nazareth towns had already exceeded 60 percent.9 Among the Ethiopian Freight Transport Corporation (EFTC) employees the rate of progression was 33 percent among the drivers, and 78 percent among the technicians (initial prevalence rates were 17.3 percent and 4.1percent, respectively); the sero-conversion rate was 7.2 percent within 12 months among these EFTC workers.10 No HIV sero positive person was found among the 300 hospital outpatients in Assela Hospital who were tested in the 1985-86 survey. By the end of 1989, 3.5 percent of the same population group were HIV infected, showing that HIV was spreading rapidly among the urban communities in Ethiopia.11 The National AIDS Control Programme undertook the monitoring of HIV infection among pregnant women attending antenatal clinics using the unlinked anonymous method recommended by WHO, in 4 urban and 6 rural sites in different parts of the country during the period 1992-1993. Eleven to thirteen per cent of the urban pregnant women were found to be HIV infected. Among the rural sites, 0 to 7 percent of the pregnant women were found infected, indicating that rural populations were not spared by the HIV/AIDS epidemic. The HIV sentinel surveillance activity was maintained in Addis Ababa in collaboration between the Health Bureau of the Addis Ababa City Administration and the Ethiopia Netherlands AIDS Research Project (ENARP) based in the Ethiopian Health and Nutrition Research Institute (EHNRI). Among pregnant women attending antenatal clinic in Addis Ababa, the HIV prevalence has increased from 6 percent in 1989 to 18 percent in 199812. A cross-sectional HIV survey was carried out among pregnant women in Jimma during the period April 1993 to May 1994 to determine the prevalence of HIV infection among pregnant women. Some 8.6 percent of the 747 women tested were found to be HIV positive13. In Gambella, 252 pregnant women attending antenatal care at their first visit through July and August 1997 were screened for HIV 9 AIDS in Ethiopia: Background, Projections, Impacts, Interventions, Ministry of Health, second edition, 1988. 10 M. Mehret and L. Khodakevich, Surveillance of HIV infection in Ethiopia, Ethiopian Journal of Health Development, Vol. 4, No. 2, 1990. 11 M. Mehret and L. Khodakevich, D. Zawdie, and B. Shanko, Progression of HIV Epidemics in Ethiopia, Ethiopian Journal of Health Development, Vol. 4, No. 2, 1990. 12 AIDS in Ethiopia: Background, Projections, Impacts, Interventions, Ministry of Health, second edition, 1988. 13 M. Eshetu, T. Libnedingel, Y. Ali, HIV infection among pregnant mothers attending antenatal care in Jimma Hospital, Bulletin of Jimma Institute of Health Science, Vol. 7, No. 2, July 1997. 17 antibodies using the unlinked anonymous method. The prevalence of HIV was found to be 12.7 percent. Since 1992, there has been no nationally compiled HIV sentinel surveillance data. The originally established HIV surveillance activities were interrupted and discontinued. Recent efforts to revive the national surveillance system include the drafting of the national HIV sentinel surveillance protocol, which defines the methodology of data collection by the regions. The next step will be the training of the regional sentinel surveillance teams and supervising data collection by regional teams. The National HIV/AIDS Team at the Ministry of Health estimates that 88 percent of all infections in Ethiopia result from heterosexual transmission. Documented risk factors for HIV transmission include: sex with multiple partners, commercial sex, extramarital sex, non-faithful partners, sexually transmitted diseases, infected blood and blood products, traditional malpractice and sex with a spouse especially for women14. A survey undertaken in 1993 revealed that 11 percent of the adults who were sexually active in the past twelve months reported having had non-regular sexual relationships. More men (18 percent) than women (5 percent) reported this practice which also varied by city, ranging from 10 percent in Awassa, to 17 percent in Addis Ababa. One out of every two persons who reported having had non-regular sexual relationships did so without using a condom in their last non-regular sexual relationship15. In the same survey cited above, reported episodes of urethral infection due to sexually transmitted disease in men over the previous twelve months was 5 percent. The highest proportion of 8 percent being reported among those aged 20-24 years. Among pregnant women in Addis Ababa, 9 percent revealed serological evidence of syphilis. To prevent the spread of HIV and mitigate its impact, the National AIDS Control Programme was established in 1987 by the Government of Ethiopia. The National AIDS Control Programme in collaboration with WHO/GPA and other donors developed and implemented the first and second Medium Term Plans for the 14 AIDS in Ethiopia: Background, Projections, Impacts, Interventions, Ministry of Health, second edition, 1988. 15 M. Mehret, T.E. Mertens, M. Carel, H. Negassa, W. Feleke, N. Yitbarek, and T. Burton, Baseline for the evaluation of an AIDS programme using programme indicators: A case study in Ethiopia, Bulletin of the World Health Organization, 1996. 18 prevention and control of HIV in Ethiopia. The interventions undertaken include: Information, education and communication, care for people living with HIV/AIDS, provision of protective materials for clinical use, training of health care workers in universal precautions, and proper sterilization techniques, blood safety initiatives, counseling of people living with HIV/AIDS and their relatives, HIV surveillance and research. In compliance with the decentralization strategy of the country, human, financial and material resources were decentralized to the regions, which now have the responsibility of planning, implementing, monitoring and evaluating health interventions in their respective regions. This reorganization has resulted in the interruption of all core HIV/AIDS control activities. The second Medium Term Plan ended in 1996. At the end of 1995 WHO/GPA was phased out and The Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS (UNAIDS) was established. In Ethiopia, the UN Theme Group was established in the last quarter of 1995 with the main goal of bringing together the efforts of the six UNAIDS cosponsors into a collaborative effort to strengthen the national response to the HIV/AIDS epidemic. The bilateral and multilateral donors, the national and international NGOs, and the religious organizations have played a crucial role in the response to the HIV/AIDS epidemic in Ethiopia. However, all the above efforts have so far resulted in less than the desired outcome. The Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia drafted a National HIV/AIDS Policy, which was endorsed by the Council of Ministers in August 1998. The objective of the policy is to provide an enabling environment for the prevention and control of HIV/AIDS in the country. The specific objectives of the policy include: the establishment of effective HIV/AIDS prevention and control strategies that involve government sectors, non-governmental organizations, private sectors and communities and that safeguard the human rights of people living with HIV/AIDS and avoid their discrimination. Other objectives are: empowering women, youth and other vulnerable groups to take action to protect themselves against HIV/AIDS; promoting institutional, home and community-based care and psycho-social support to people living with HIV/AIDS, orphans and surviving dependants; and promoting and 19 encouraging research activities targeted towards preventive, curative and rehabilitative aspects of HIV/AIDS. Coordinated by the Federal Ministry of Health and the Regional Health Bureaus, all the regions have drafted multisectoral HIV/AIDS Strategic Plans during the period January to September 1998. The federal level sectors scrutinized these plans and planned strategies for facilitating their implementation. Finally, a Strategic Framework was elaborated defining national priorities in responding to the HIV/AIDS epidemic, co-ordination mechanisms, management arrangements, monitoring and evaluation plans. These documents currently await government endorsement. 1.2.3. Education: The national literacy rate, according to the 1994 Population and Housing Census, was 23.4 per cent. However, this is by far lower than the level of the late 70’s and 80’s. In fact, the rate has shown a steady decline during the early years of the 90’s but slightly picked up from 1994 onwards. Chart 2: Adult Literacy Rate Adult literacy rate 90 80 70 60 Ra te 50 % 40 30 20 10 0 1990 1991 1992 1993 Year 1994 1995 1996 The high literacy rate in earlier years was the result of the Literacy Campaign that was abandoned during the peak of the civil war. This Campaign which had gained wide popular support and international admiration during the 70’s and 20 80’s had been conducted on a continuous basis for over a decade and were considered by many as one of the most successful literacy campaigns in Africa. The current adult literacy rate which is estimated at a little over 25 percent varies between male and female, rural and urban and among regions. Disparities are particularly marked between urban and rural (69 percent against 15 percent in that order, in 1994) and between male and female (30 percent against 17 percent). Chart 3: Discrepancies in adult literacy rates Source: FDRE, Population and Housing Census Commission (1998): The population and housing census of Ethiopia, Results at country level, statistical report, Volume I, Addis Ababa, June 1998. Variations in adult literacy rates can also be observed among regions in the country. Afar and Somali regions have literacy rates of only less than 10 percent while Addis Ababa, Harari and Dire Dawa registered more than 50 percent. Addis Ababa particularly has the highest literacy rate, 82.5 percent (Chart 3). All these results show that Ethiopia has one of the highest illiteracy rates in the world whose variations are significant among its regions, between its rural and urban population and male and female. 21 Net enrollment ratio16 in Primary Education was 12.2 percent in 1994 down from a level of 19.2 percent in 1984 which means about 88 percent of the primary school age children were out of school in 1994 against 80 percent in 1984. Furthermore, there were significant variations in net enrollments between male and female, rural and urban and among the country’s regions. In particular, rural and urban primary school net enrollment ratios in 1994 were 6 percent against 59 percent in favor of the urban side. At the country level, high dropout rates (32 percent) and repetition rates (11 percent) are indications that the quality of education at the primary level is continuously declining when compared to earlier years. On the other hand, primary educational participation, according to the population and housing census of 1994, were at the lowest level in Afar and Somali regions while Addis Ababa, Harari, Dire Dawa, Tigray and Gambella regions had the highest enrollment in that order. Similarly, net enrollment in Secondary Education was only 5 percent in 1994, again down from the level of 1984 and huge disparities existing between urban and rural areas and between regions. Total enrollment in 1994 at secondary level was relatively better for Addis Ababa, Harari and Dire Dawa but was extremely low in Somali followed by Afar and Benishangul – Gumuz regions. School enrollment in general was at an all time low level during the peak of the civil war in the late 80’s and early 90’s partly due to the forced conscription of the youth to the war front. According to the 1984 and 1994 population and housing census results, enrollments improved from 1994 onwards both in primary and secondary levels but are still below the level of the 70’s and early 80’s. 16 The net enrolment ratio is the number of students enrolled in a level of education who belong in the relevant age group expressed as a percentage of the population in that age group. 22 Ch ar t 4 : Var iat io n s in Ad ult Lit e r acy Rat e s am o n g r e g io n s - 1 9 9 4 Dire Dawa Addis Ababa Harari Gambella SNNPR Benishangul - Gumuz Somali Oromiya Amhara Afar Tigray 0 20 40 60 80 100 Source: FDRE, Population and Housing Census Commission (1998): The population and housing census of Ethiopia, Results at country level, statistical report, Volume I, Addis Ababa, June 1998. Private sector involvement in primary and secondary education development are encouraging recently. However, there is still a long way to go to ease the burden of the public sector particularly in secondary education. Tertiary education in Ethiopia is quite at an infancy stage though the first university is over 50 years old. After the fall of the military dictatorship and change of government in 1991, a number of institutions of higher education were opened to produce skilled manpower that could play a vital role in the country’s development endeavors. Virtually all tertiary education institutions in the country are public whose capacity is highly limited as compared to the ever increasing demand. Coupled with this problem is the lack of necessary expertise in specialized areas. For this reasons, enrollment in higher education institutions in this country is very small even 23 compared to small economies in Africa and Asia. Furthermore, gender inequities are most serious at the tertiary level than any of the other levels not to mention the huge disparities existing in the level of access to educational facilities among the regions. The gender inequities are closely linked among other things to household demand for education in respect of the cultural role of women at that age. Private sector development in tertiary education is almost non-existent mostly due to lack of clarity of the investment policy in this area and hence the reluctance of the private sector to get involved in university education development. Every year the bulk of the secondary school graduates who are unable to advance to the tertiary level are forced to join the rank of the unemployed population which is currently on the rise at an alarming and dangerous pace. Technical and vocational training could have helped to combat this problem besides creating the necessary environment for technological advancement. However, only a handful of such training institutions exist in the country, most of them in the capital and other major cities and therefore are obviously unable to accommodate more than a fraction of the secondary school leavers. Education expenditure as a share of GDP has been increasing since 1992/93 from a level of 2.7 percent (sub-Saharan Africa 5.7 %) to around 3.8 percent 1996/97. Similarly, public expenditure in education as a share of total spending rose from 11.5 percent (sub-Saharan Africa 20 %) in 1992/93 to around 15 percent in 1996/97. It is worth mentioning at this stage that the government, in recognition of these shortcomings in the education sector, had issued the education and training policy (March 1994) and an education sector development program (ESDP) (October 1996). The two documents, by and large, have identified the problems that existed in the sector for long, ways of tackling them and main priority areas. The central goal of the ESDP is a planned target of universal primary education by 2015. The ESDP and its implementation procedures are already making an impact on the sector and improvements are emerging in the areas of public spending on education and enrolment at all levels of education. 24 CHAPTER 2: PERFORMANCE OF COMMON COUNTRY ASSESSMENT INDICATORS 2.1. Population Ethiopia is one of the highly populated countries in Africa. According to the 1994 Population and Housing Census projection, the country’s population has reached 59.9 million in 1998, the second largest in sub-Saharan Africa and third from the whole continent, behind Nigeria and Egypt. The majority of the population, 85.5 percent, resides in rural areas while the rest, only 14.5 percent is urbanite. The three regional states, Amhara, Oromiya and SNNPR together contribute more than 80 percent of Ethiopia’s total population. The population, which grows at about 3 percent per year, is expected to double in just less than 28 years. The high level of fertility, the large size of population in the reproductive age group combined with low age at marriage and low female education are the major cause for this high rate of population growth Chart 4: Trend in population growth – 1995-2030 140.0 120.0 100.0 Population (m illions) 80.0 60.0 40.0 20.0 0.0 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Year Source: FDRE, Population and Housing Census Commission (1998): The population and housing census of Ethiopia, Results at country level, statistical report, Volume I, Addis Ababa, June 1998. outweighing the other determinant, the mortality component. 25 The age composition of the population also supports this fact. The Census projection shows that in 1998 the country had 43.8 percent of its population under 15 years of age, 53.2 percent between the ages of 15 and 64 (known as working age) and a mere 3 percent above the age of 64 years. Children (0 to 14 years) and youth (15 to 24 years) together account for 64.3 percent of the total population of the country indicating that the population of Ethiopia is quite young. In demographic terms, this means that the population pyramid shows a wide – base age structure, i.e., an age structure with a very large proportion of children and a very small proportion of elderly persons, typical of a population age structure with high fertility and mortality rates. Ironically, the current age structure of the population is the same as that of 1984.17 However, the current conventional dependency ratio18 has shown a marked difference when compared to that of 1984. At the country level, the overall dependency ratio is 94.1 percent implying that in Ethiopia every 100 people in the productive age has to support 94 dependents (down from 124 in 1984). The burden of dependency is particularly serious at younger ages (85 percent) than at older ages (9 percent), and also among the rural population (99 percent) than in urban areas (67 percent)19. The age distributions of the rural and urban population are similar except for children below 15 years of age and those of the youth (15 to 24 years of age). In rural areas, the percentage of children below 15 years of age (45.2 percent) is higher than that of the proportion of children in urban areas (36.7 percent). On the other hand, the proportion of youth in urban areas (24.1 percent) is higher than that of rural areas (19.9 percent). The high proportion of children in rural areas is explained by the high fertility rate observed in rural women, while the high proportion of youth in urban areas is partly due to the migration of the youth from rural to urban areas for further education, in search of jobs, etc. 17 See Office of the Population and Housing Census :The 1984 population and housing census of Ethiopia, Analytical Report at National Level, Addis Ababa, December 1991 18 Conventional dependency ratio is defined as ratio of children (0 to 14 years) to the productive age (15 to 59 years) plus the ratio of the population aged 60 years and over to that of the productive age.(Source: Census Analytical Report 1984). Some studies take 15-64 as productive age group, but for comparison purpose we will stick to the age group 15 to 59 in this analysis. 19 This result should be interpreted with caution. The actual dependency load, i.e., ratio of non-workers to workers is by far higher than the ones indicated as conventional dependency ratios simply because not all persons in the productive age are actually at work. 26 The age composition of the population in the regional states20 shows that Somali region has the highest proportion of child population (0 to 14 years) with 46.7 percent of its population being children while Addis Ababa has the lowest proportion of child population (33 percent). On the other hand, Addis Ababa has the highest percentage of youth population (15 to 24 years) with 27 percent of its population falling in this age group. This comes as no surprise since the region is the center of all socio-economic activities and opportunities including employment, education and specialized training, etc. that attract the young generation from all over the country. Tigray has the lowest youth population with 19 percent. Regions of Oromiya, Somali and Tigray have the lowest percentage of working age population with 51 percent of their respective population falling in that age group while Addis Ababa has the highest with 64 percent. Tigray and Amhara regions have 4 percent of their population falling in the old age group (above 64 years) while Gambella has the lowest proportion of elders with only 1.5 percent. Conventional dependency ratios show that, Tigray and Oromiya regions have the highest dependency ratio with 102 percent, i.e., every 100 person supporting 102 dependents, and Addis Ababa has lower dependency ratio (59 percent). Dependency at younger ages is high in Somali region (93 percent) and low in Addis Ababa (53 percent), while the old age dependency ratio is the highest in Tigray region (13 percent) and the lowest in Gambella (4 percent). In 1998, a sex ratio21of 100.9 for Ethiopia indicates that there are more males than females in the country (i.e., 1009 males per 1000 females) with variations in urban (979 males per 1000 females) and rural (1014 males per 1000 females) areas. The lower sex ratio in urban areas is partly due to female dominated migration into urban areas. According to the census projection, the sex composition of the population of Ethiopia will be male dominated, i.e., slight excess of males, up to the next quarter of a century after which the reverse will happen. Population - 1999 20 Population - 1999 Urban analysis 14.7% This particular for the regions is based on the census projection for 1995, due to lack of information for 1998. 21 The sex ratio is defined as the number of males per 100 females. Female 49.8% Rural 85.3% Male 50.2% 27 Chart 5: Population by rural-urban and male-female category There are variations in the sex composition of the population in regions. Affar has the highest sex ratio (129 males per 100 females) followed by Somali region (119 males per 100 females), while Addis Ababa has the lowest sex ratio (fewer than 94 males per 100 females) followed by Tigray (97 males per 100 females). In Ethiopia the total fertility rate of 6.2 children per woman in 1984 has climbed to 6.5 children per woman in 1998, but is expected to decline to a level of 5.8 beyond the year 2000. There are huge variations among regions with Oromiya region having the highest total fertility level of 7 children per woman and Addis Ababa, the least with 2 children per woman. The fertility rate, which is a big determinant in the fast growth of the country’s population, is expected to reach a level of 3.8 children per woman by the end of the next quarter of a century. 2.2. Poverty Ethiopia, with an estimated per capita income of about US$110 22 (recent estimates by MEDaC, US$167), is one of the most poverty stricken countries on the globe. This figure, which is less than a third of a-dollar-a-day poverty line set by the World Bank, can tell a lot of challenges facing this country in its current overall sustainable human development initiatives. The Government of Ethiopia has recently published a document on the level and extent of poverty in the country based on the 1995/96 Household Budget Sample Survey conducted throughout the country. According to the document, 45 percent of the Ethiopian population live in absolute poverty. 23 Rural and urban disparities in poverty levels are significant with 47 percent of the rural population falling below the poverty line against 33 percent of the urban population. 22 UNDP: The 1998 Human Development Report. Government economists and officials are challenging this figure especially, in recent years. They claim that the current income per capita figure for the country is 4050 percent higher than that quoted by the international community ranging somewhere between 150 to 170 US Dollars. Nevertheless, this is still by far lower than the poverty line defined by the World Bank for developing countries! 23 Source: Ministry of Economic Development and Cooperation, Poverty Situation in Ethiopia, Addis Ababa, March 1999. 28 The document also revealed for the first time that the poverty gap is higher in rural areas when compared to the gap in urban areas. That is, the poor in rural areas are on average 13 percent short of fulfilling the required minimum expenditure while the urban poor are on average 10 percent short. Similarly, the inequality among the poor was found out to be higher in rural areas than in urban areas. There are huge variations among regional poverty levels as depicted in Chart 7. “.. . Of all regions in Ethiopia, Tigray region has the highest level of absolute poverty. The Amhara and Southern regions have the next highest level of absolute poverty….The (predominantly) urban regions, namely Harari, Addis Ababa and Dire Dawa have the lowest levels of absolute poverty.”24 Percent of people below the poverty line - 1996 50 40 30 percent 20 10 0 Rural Urban Country Source: Ministry of Economic Development and Cooperation, Poverty situation in Ethiopia, Addis Ababa, March 1999. Chart 6: Rural-Urban disparity in poverty levels The above picture of poverty scenario in the country can also be supported by the level of human poverty profiles: adult illiteracy; population without access to safe water, health services, sanitation; under-weight children under five; etc. As 24 Ministry of Economic Development and Cooperation, Poverty Situation in Ethiopia, Addis Ababa, March 1999. 29 such, the aim here is to show the deprivation of the Ethiopian people of these basic necessities as “…poverty also means that opportunities and choices most basic to human development are denied”25. The illiteracy status of a country is considered as one of the major indicators of the level and extent of poverty, because literacy (and hence educational level) is firmly associated with the standard of living of people. In Ethiopia, official statistics estimates of adult illiteracy rate was around 23 percent by February 1990 and has climbed to a level of 77 percent in 1994 with considerable variations in rural and urban areas, among regions and male and females26. Regional variations in absolute poverty levels-1996 60 50 40 level -% 30 20 Dire Dawa Addis Ababa Harari Gambella Benishangul-G Somali Oromiya Amhara Affar Tigray 0 SNNPR 10 Regions Chart 7: Regional variation in absolute poverty levels Ministry of Economic Development and Cooperation, Welfare Monitoring Unit, Poverty Situation in Ethiopia, Addis Ababa, March 1999. 25 United Nations Development Programme, Human Development Report 1997, Oxford University Press, New York, 1997. 26 See, Basic Education Statistics (July 1994) published by Education management and information systems, Ministry of Education, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia; and also the 1994 population and housing census of Ethiopia, Results at country level, Volume I, June 1998, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia. 30 Literacy among males and females and urban and rural areas in Ethiopia as in many developing countries is always in favor of the male and urban areas. Thus illiteracy in 1994 was 83.1 percent for females against 70.1 for male, 84.7 percent for rural Ethiopia against only 31.2 percent for urban areas. There are huge variations among regional states, the highest Dire Dawa Addis Ababa Harari Gambella SNNPR Benishangul-G Somali Oromiya Amhara Affar 100 90 80 70 60 Rate _% 50 40 30 20 10 0 Tigray Variation in adult illiteracy rates-1994 Regions Chart 8: Variations in adult illiteracy rate among regions Source: FDRE, Population and Housing Census Commission (1998): The population and housing census of Ethiopia, Results at country level, statistical report, Volume I, Addis Ababa, June 1998. illiteracy prevailing in Affar (93 percent ) and Somali (92 percent) and the least in Addis Ababa with about 18 percent. Rural-urban gaps in adult illiteracy within regions have exposed a striking result: Harari, Addis Ababa and Dire Dawa have the highest discrepancies within their respective rural-urban areas. Population without access to safe water 27 is another indicator of human poverty. In Ethiopia, 76 percent of all households28 do not have access to safe water in 1994, and recent data shows that there are no marked improvements since then. 27 Access to safe water is usually taken to mean reasonable access to clean water (in terms of distance and adequate water supply) including tap and protected well/spring. 31 The rural-urban gap is quite alarming: 85 percent of rural households against 19 percent of urban households. This beyond any doubt shows that the majority of the Ethiopian population is exposed to water borne diseases, such as diarrhea, more than any people anywhere in the world. Looking at regional variations, with the exception of Addis Ababa, Dire Dawa and Harari regions, more than 70 percent of households in the rest of the regions have no access to safe water, most notably Affar (87 percent of households), Somali (85 percent) and Benishangul-Gumuz (82 percent). On the other hand, 2.5 percent of the households residing in Addis Ababa have no access to safe water facilities. Population without access to sanitation facilities 29 is the other indicator of the depth of poverty. At the country level, around 87 percent of all households have no access to sanitation facility. Variations are awesome both among regions and between rural and urban households. About 43 percent of urban households have no access to sanitation facilities while almost all rural households (94 percent) have no sanitation facility. It is reasonable to expect from the above discussion that most regions to be at the worst situation. Some 94 percent of households in Amhara, 93 percent in Tigray and 92 percent in Affar have no access to sanitation while 26 percent of households residing in Addis Ababa have no access to sanitation facility. Malnutrition is severe in Ethiopia. The average per capita intake of energy is estimated to be 1750 calories, which is only 80 percent of the minimum daily requirement needed for an average person to perform a normal day-to-day activity. As a result, about 47 percent of children under five years of age are under-weight (i.e., low weight for age), 64 percent are stunted (i.e., low height for age) and 5 percent wasting (i.e., low weight for height)30. This poor nutritional level is an underlying cause for most of the health problems that emanate from micronutrient deficiencies. In fact, according to the country’s health development program of 1996, Ethiopia is one of a few African countries where micronutrient deficiencies are significant public health problems. 28 This analysis is based on the 1994 Census results in which safe water and sanitation facilities were reported by housing units. However, for the sake of clarity the analysis here is based on households because according to the census result one housing unit approximately represents one household. 29 Access to sanitation is usually taken to mean access to toilet facilities (including outdoor latrines), i.e., access to safe and efficient disposal human waste facilities. 30 Federal democratic republic of Ethiopia, Ministry of Health (1996): Health Sector Development Program (1997 –2001), October 1996, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia. 32 The burden of disease is also aggravated by poor access to health services. In Ethiopia, the health service coverage is only 48.5 percent, one of the lowest in sub-Saharan Africa. Variations in access to health services are only too obvious both in physical terms (poor road and transport situations, especially in rural areas), and the low level of per capita income. At this stage, it is important to get an approximate magnitude of the poverty situation in the country. According to a government document,31 it was estimated that about 35 percent of the rural population are chronically poor. Taking this fact into mind, and considering the other category of the poor, i.e., those which are vulnerable to the adverse effects of draught, economic reforms, etc., it is estimated that half of the rural population are poor in terms of meeting the basic human needs described above. Similarly, the magnitude of urban poverty is no different from the rural one. Here, too, the incident of poverty is estimated to be more than half of the urban population. On the other hand, variations in the incident of poverty among regions and gender differentials are evident. Regional states of Somali, Affar, Benishangul – Gumuz and Gambella, which are highly deprived of the basic capabilities such as literacy, access to safe water sanitation, health services, etc have the highest incident of poverty than the rest of the regions. From day-to-day observation, it is clear that income distribution disparities within urban population are very high and hence the extent and magnitude of severe poverty is highly prevalent in urban areas than in rural areas. Women in Ethiopia are the most disfavored in society almost in everything: education, employment (except low paying and non-management jobs), health services provisions, etc. And therefore, women bear a disproportionate share of poverty as compared to men and at the same time shoulder an unequal burden in coping with its adverse effects. Finally, a word on the government’s poverty eradication schemes. Ethiopia based its economic reform program, development strategies and primary development goals on the eradication of poverty, since 1991. However, as poverty in Ethiopia is deep-rooted, its eradication requires an integrated inter-sectoral and multi-pronged approach. Thus, apart from the policies and strategies directed at 33 eradicating poverty, the government launched specifically designed programmes aimed at addressing the poverty situation that may result from the effects of the ongoing reform programme. These specially focused programmes come in the form of provision of targeted subsidized food rationing, provision of subsidized agricultural inputs such as fertilizer, seeds, etc., and the introduction of income generating schemes. Those targeted for such purposes were the poorest and vulnerable groups including retrenched workers due to the reform programme, demobilized ex-soldiers, the disabled and disadvantaged, displaced people and refugees. All these programmes are being conducted through the Ethiopian Social Rehabilitation Fund, a central organ established for undertaking poverty eradication development projects. The government has taken a major step in eradicating poverty in this country. Indeed, the public sector in Ethiopia is being stretched beyond its limit to cope with the sheer poverty that exists in this country. Therefore, it is the position of this document that this noble effort should be supported by a more concrete participation of the private sector in poverty eradication schemes. 2.3.Employment and sustainable livelihood Ethiopia has a large labor force, in fact one of the largest in sub-Saharan Africa, which is mainly engaged in agricultural activities and is growing at the rate of around 3 percent per annum. Out of the country’s total labor force of 53.2 percent in 1998, only 17 percent are urbanites while the bulk of the labor force, 83 percent, resides in rural areas implying that agriculture is the most dominant sector that employs most of the labor force. There are no official figures for the rate of unemployment32 in Ethiopia. However, several ad-hoc studies have put, especially the urban unemployment rate, at 30 to 40 percent and that there are clear indications that it is growing especially in See, “Study on Social Dimension of Adjustment in Ethiopia”, Ministry of Planning and Economic Development, Addis Ababa, May 1992. 32 The 1994 Population and Housing Census estimates unemployment rate for the country to be around 4 percent, 22 percent for urban areas and less than 1 percent for rural areas. However, these estimates are based on the assumption that nearly all economically active persons in rural areas were employed during the census period, which in reality could not be true. Therefore, these figures underestimate the real unemployment rate. 31 34 recent years. A dramatic rise in the rate of unemployment during the early years of the 90’s was due to a shift in employment policy33, structural 100 millions 80 60 40 20 0 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 year Chart 9: Growth of labor force Source: FDRE, Population and Housing Census Commission (1998): The population and housing census of Ethiopia, Results at country level, statistical report, Volume I, Addis Ababa, June 1998. reform of public enterprises (including civil service reform) and the redeployment of the ex-soldiers. Furthermore, the 1994 population and housing census reported that a significant number of persons who have completed at least high school were unemployed. There are various indirect ways to assess the employment situation of a country based on economic activity rates34, ratio of unemployed to vacancies, etc. Chart 10: Economic activity rates, 1994 33 University and college graduates used to get automatic employment immediately after graduation during the previous regime, a policy that was abandoned following the launching of the economic reform programme. 34 Economic activity rates are defined as the percentage of the economically active population to that of the total of the economically active and inactive population. 35 Economic activity rates - 1994 100.0 80.0 60.0 Rates- % 40.0 20.0 0.0 Male Fem ale Total Country 82.1 62.9 72.5 Urban 62.0 39.1 50.0 Rural 85.5 67.4 76.5 Source: FDRE, Office of the Population and Housing Commission: The 1994 population and housing census of Ethiopia, Results at country level, Statistical Report Volume I, Addis Ababa, June 1998. Table 3 shows that activity rate for the country is around 73 percent, implying that the extent of non- participation in economic activity (27 percent) in Ethiopia and the underlying unemployment rates are high. The table also shows those activity rates for females and urban areas were lower. In the case of females, the lower rates can possibly be attributed to the fact that more females were engaged in nonincome generating activities than males35. Likewise, the lower activity rates in urban areas could partly be explained by the high number of student population at an early age whereas such children in rural areas are usually engaged in farm activities (herding cattle, helping out parents in various agricultural activities). On the other hand, part of the lower activity rate in urban areas could be due to the underlying high unemployment rate in urban areas. There are variations in economic activity rates among regions. Regions of Benishangul – Gumuz (84 percent), Amhara (81 percent) and Affar (81 percent) have the highest activity rates (indicated in parenthesis). Lower activity rates were registered in Addis Ababa (53 percent), Harari (56 percent) and Dire Dawa (61 percent). These figures show beyond any doubt that urban population’s non- 35 Debates are still going on as to the classification of certain activities performed by women as nonproductive (non-income generating activities) or other wise. 36 participation in economic activity are high and so is the unemployment rate36. (Note that economic activity rates are negatively associated with unemployment rate, i.e., the lower the economic activity rate the higher is the underlying unemployment rate and viseversal ). Public sector employment has been the most dominant formal employment in Chart 11: Economic activity rates in regional states-1994 Source: FDRE, Population and Housing Census Commission (1998): The population and housing census of Ethiopia, Results at country level, statistical report, Volume I, Addis Ababa, June 1998. this country for a long period. By June 1997, the country’s total civil service is estimated at a little more than 300,000 of which 85.8 percent are serving in the regional states and 14.2 percent in the federal government37. Women employees account for a mere 29 percent in the overall civil service structure, 27 percent in regional states and 40 percent in the federal government. 36 The three regional states, Addis Ababa, Harari and Dire Dawa have the highest proportion of urban population. 37 Source: Federal civil service commission (1998): Personnel Statistics (1989 Ethiopian Fiscal Year), Addis Ababa, March 1998. 37 The educational level of the majority of those employed in the country’s civil service structure is low; more than three-quarters are 12 grade complete or less, while those having college or university education account for only 13 percent of the total employed public servants most of which are accumulated in the federal government. There are various indications that due to the ongoing structural adjustment program, formal employment in the public sector has declined markedly at least during the first few years of the reform process. Further, the employment performance of the economy since the launch of the economic reform programme has yet to register significant expansion. Coupled with this is the level of wage rates in the public sector employment. Average wage payments were on the decline between 1989/90 – 1990/91 due, mainly, to massive lay-off during the change of government. However, from 1993 onwards the average wage bill has increased significantly38. Data are lacking as to the level of the average wage bill in the private sector. However, considering the large number of well-qualified and experienced personnel leaving the public sector and joining the private sector, it is logical to conclude that the average wage bill of the later is significantly higher than the former. Thus, public wage bills should be reviewed periodically to overcome such human resource development challenges. In Ethiopia, the private sector, which is currently up from scratches, is playing an important role in developing formal employment. Due to private investment especially in the services sector, banking and insurance and medium scale manufacturing industries, formal employment is growing in these sectors. However, private investment in the agricultural sector is quite minimal partly because of the land tenure system the government is pursuing. On the other hand, informal sector employment is growing at least in the major urban centers. A study39 on urban informal sector exposed that in 1996, about 740, 000 persons were employed in the informal sector out of which 65 percent were females. Urban centers in Oromiya region, Addis Ababa and Urban centers in 38 Data on average wage rates in the private sector are not available. But, the number of well qualified and experienced experts and senior personnel form the public sector and joining the private sector is increasing 39 FDRE, Central Statistical Authority & Ministry of Labor and Social Affairs (1996): Report on urban informal sector sample survey, statistical bulletin 174, Addis Ababa, May 1997. 38 Amhara region have registered high informal sector employment with 26 %, 23 % and 16 %, respectively, of the total informal sector workforce. Finally, It is the position of this document that the government should look into its land policy and boost the confidence of the private sector to invest in the agricultural sector, which is the single most dominant sector that can bring about sustainable human resource development in the country. 2.4. Food security and environment “ ... Food security exists when all people, at all times, have physical and economic access to sufficient, safe and nutritious food to meet their dietary needs and food preferences for an active and healthy life.”40 At the global level, the perception about food security was motivated quite recently. It was developed as a response to the fact that widespread hunger, and even famines, have occurred even though national or global food supplies were theoretically sufficient to provide adequate nutrition for all. According to the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations the essence of food security is that “all people at all times have access to safe and nutritious food to maintain a healthy and active life.”41 It is readily apparent that this definition incorporates three elements of food security: availability of food supplies, access to food by households and individuals, and intertemporal stability of food supplies. The problem of food insecurity is serious in Ethiopia because most of those people who are food insecure live in rural areas, earn almost all of their income from agriculture, and obtain most of their nutritional requirements directly from their own food production. Such households are land-scarce, poor pastoralists, elderly, disabled or newly established settlers. In urban areas, low-income households employed in the informal sector, the elderly, disabled, etc., are food insecure. The manifestations of food insecurity throughout the country support this fact. As stated in earlier sections, the prevalence of chronic malnutrition (especially for children 40 World food summit:1996 Plan of Action, para. 1. FAO(1996). “Socio-political and economic environment for food security”, Technical Background Document 3 for the World Food Summit, Rome. 41 39 under 5 years of age) has reached 47 percent, an estimated 64 percent (1992) were stunted. Further, more than one third of children experience significant illness by the age of one year. As a result infant and child mortality rates in this country are one of the highest in the world. Total availability of average per capita calorie, both from domestic food production and imports, is 16 to 20 percent below the minimum standard of 2100 KCl. Thus, prevalence of nutritional anemia is high (18.4 percent in 1997). In general, micronutrient deficiencies prevailing throughout the country are causing significant health problems. Coupled with the consistent decline in production of cereals (on a per capita basis) over the last half a century, food insecurity in Ethiopia, both chronic and transitory42, has been and is still being aggravated by recurrent drought (and hence famine). Recurrent drought shocks have been especially severe after the big famine of the mid-1980’s, increasing the frequency of harvest failures over the last two decades. Thus, drought shocks now occur every 3 to 4 years thereby increasing the magnitude of food insecurity for each event of drought. Chart 12: Proportion of population affected by drought, 1984-1995* 42 Chronic food insecurity is manifested in severe malnutrition afflicting a substantial proportion of poor people, while transitory food insecurity involves a temporary decline in households’ or individuals’ access to food. Famine arising from drought, displacement of people, etc., is the most extreme of this. 40 1999 1998 5.0 5.8 7.5 1997 10.7 1996 6.9 1995 12.0 1994 9.2 1993 15.0 14.2 1992 1991 6.5 1990 11.2 1989 8.8 1988 1987 5.5 13.8 1986 16.1 1985 1984 10.0 *Source: Disaster Preparedness and Prevention Commission, Report on assistance requirements for disaster prevention & preparedness activities, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia (various years). The highest proportion of population affected by drought occurred in 1985 (more than 16 percent) and 1992 (15 percent). This proportion is still high in recent years. It is common knowledge that with spillover effects of drought more and more people from the drought affected sections of the society join absolute poverty and reliance on drought relief. Disparities in food insecurity are all too obvious among the regional states. This is especially serious in the northern part of the country, Affar, Tigary, parts of Amhara and in the peripheral region of Somali, where persistent drought and displacement of people usually occur. Chronic food insecurity also affects most of parts of North Omo in SNNPR particularly due to poverty arising from land scarcity and overpopulation. To improve the food security in Ethiopia, the government has designed a food security strategy in 1996. The central target in this drive towards achieving food 41 security is to double per capita incomes within fifteen years and narrow the food gap within five years. There were and still are various causes of food insecurity in Ethiopia apart from drought, i.e., inadequate rainfall and soil erosion. Conflicts, which divert scarce financial resources to the war effort, are at the forefront. Other causes include inadequate transport and infrastructure which severely constrains the total farm production that can be physically marketed and also makes delivery of food aid to drought-hit areas difficult. (Various studies have shown that three-quarters of all farms are more than half-a-day’s walk from an all-weather road). Backward and distorted land tenure systems and economic policies are also one of the major causes of food insecurity in this country. For instance, under the former regime farmers were required to surrender a large proportion their agricultural production to public Marketing Corporation at a price well below the market rate. This situation was completely abolished following the change of government in 1991 and the country’s move towards a market oriented economy. However, little change has been done to the land tenure system: state ownership of land. Apart from the serious insecurity it creates among farmers, this policy also reduces the incentive to improve land and increase agriculture production. Thus, it is the position of this document that the government should review its current land policy. Furthermore, policies which encourage agricultural exports should be thoroughly assessed so as not to undermine food security, because whether or not people are adequately fed is determined by their entitlements to food, not by aggregate food production. Another important aspect of food security is the environment. Ethiopia with a vast area of land, around 1.1 million square kilometers, has a population which is dependent on subsistence agriculture. Deforestation and soil degradation as well as erratic rainfall take the largest blame for food insecurity and poverty in this country, most of which arise from human and livestock pressures on land. The country, which has been rich in natural resources, is now loosing fast most of its forests. Currently, only about 3 to 4 percent of the total land area is covered by forest (down from a coverage of around 40 percent at one time in the past ), and is fast dwindling at an annual deforestation rate of 0.2 percent. In northern Ethiopia (Tigray, Affar and parts of Amhara), the effect of deforestation has 42 created an unbalanced ecosystem which is manifested in frequent drought and food shortage. The country is also severely loosing its topsoil. It is commonly estimated that every year between 1.5 to 2 billion tons of topsoil are washed away. 43 This is coupled with diminishing average farm size and agricultural income resulting in food insecurity. The country is also loosing its rare wildlife and other species because of this unbalanced ecosystem. Agricultural land use statistics shows that 45 percent of total land area is arable land. However, only about 13 percent of potential cultivable land is currently used for annual crops. Most of the arable lands that are not being used are pastoral land and/or do not receive sufficient rainfall to sustain rain-fed agriculture or are infested by malaria or trypanosomiasis. Irrigation rates are at the lowest level even by the standards of the poorest countries. (Of the potential irregable land, only 3 percent are currently irrigated). The forgoing discussion revealed that though there are high population densities in some areas in Ethiopia, there are considerable areas of good quality land that remain uncultivated. Agricultural policies should target this rich and abundantly available natural resource by involving the private sector and employing modern farming technology. In general, the key environmental issues in Ethiopia could be summarized as: Severe deforestation leading to shortage of fuelwood and timber Land degradation and soil erosion Failure to protect wildlife resources Lack of (and/or poor) water conservation mechanisms Inefficient and backward utilization of livestock resources 2.5. Gender equality and advancement of women Some years have passed since Ethiopia ratified the United Nations Convention on Elimination of all Forms of Discrimination against Women. The 1995 43 Source: World Food Program (Country Office - Ethiopia) 43 Constitution of the Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia has also included in its chapters the prohibition of discrimination on the basis of gender. According to the Population and Housing Census projection, in 1998, about 29.8 million or one-half (49.7 percent) of the population are women out of which 25.4 million (85.2 percent of total women) live in rural areas. Therefore, the country’s socio-economic development cannot be completed without their full participation both in the decision making and implementation process. However, the situation of women in this country, in the past as well as now is deplorable. The following major areas are selected to substantiate this fact: health, education, employment, workload, law and legislation and harmful traditional practices. In the area of health, maternal mortality rate, as explained somewhere in this document, is 700 per 100000 people, by far the highest in sub-Saharan Africa. Institutional delivery is a mere 10 percent (1997), thus, leaving the deliveries of 90 percent of women to nature and to untrained, backward and traditional birth attendants. Article 802 of the 1957 penal code prohibited the publicity and distribution of contraceptives. (The article was amended only at the end of 1998 through Proclamation No. 141/1998.)44 As a result, contraceptive prevalence rate is very low, 9.8 percent in 1997. Thus, the country has the highest fertility rate at 6.5 children per woman. Reproductive health and reproductive rights have not yet materialized in this country45. In this regard, women especially carry a heavy but largely avoidable burden of poor health associated with reproduction and sexuality. Furthermore, more than half of all mothers suffer from lack of balanced diet and malnutrition. The situation of women in the area of education is no different. Literacy rate for females is 17 percent (against 30 percent for males) in 1994. Gross enrollment of females in primary schools is 21 percent (29 percent for male), 10 percent (13 percent for male) in senior secondary schools. Women account for only 11 percent of the total enrollment in tertiary level education, in 1996. Women in rural areas are particularly disadvantaged against equitable school participation at all levels. 44 Source, FDRE: Federal Negarit Gazeta, 5th Year, No. 21, Addis Ababa, 15th December 1998. These rights refer to the rights of all couples and individuals to decide freely and responsibly the number, spacing and timing of their children and to have the information and means to do so, and the right to attain the highest standard of sexual and reproductive health. (Source, Ministry of Health: Reproductive Health Needs Assessment Report, Addis Ababa, May 1998). 45 44 In the area of employment, we have seen earlier that about one-half of the country’s labor force are women of which more than 80 percent live in rural areas. On the other hand, out of the total employed in the public sector only 28 percent are women. Those women occupying professional and technical posts are only 0.5 percent (against 5.5 percent for male) of public sector employment. Some 30 percent of low paid factory workers are women earning only 21 percent of the total amount paid to factory workers. The majority of urban informal sector employees are women and work as firewood collectors, petty traders, etc. In Ethiopia, as in many developing countries, women have a heavy workload. According to recent studies, women in rural areas spend 13 to 17 hours a day in farms, food preparation, firewood and water collection, childcare and other household chores. Though the situation in urban areas is a bit different, here too, activities involving housekeeping, child raising and cooking is “naturally” left to women. Ethiopian women are also discriminated by legislation and legal notices which classify the status of women in society as weak and “person in disability” (legal notice of 1943) and should be represented by their husbands in any legal and societal activities including administering common property. One of the most serious aspects of women inequality and discrimination in Ethiopia is manifested in the harmful traditional practices. In fact, most of the harmful practices are directed against women. Girls in rural areas are victims of genital mutilation, early marriage, kidnapping and rape, etc., all of these contributing to the high maternal mortality rate in the country. In recognition of the above facts about women in Ethiopia, the government has issued a national policy on women in 1993 with the major objective of improving the situation of women, and make sure that women participation in all development spheres is crucial to the future progress of the country. There are some encouraging signs in that this commitment is already showing some results. Currently, women’s associations are popping up every where in the country and are fighting to eliminate legal and traditional obstacles, wrong attitudes and misconceptions about them. In some rural areas, they are demands for equitable land distribution for women farmers. Women have also actively participated in the first multi-party general elections throughout the country. As a result, women held 2.4 percent of seats in 45 parliament. (The proportion in most regional councils is higher than the federal government). Further, the first speaker in the House of Federation in the parliament of Ethiopia is a woman. Finally, one can see that all these are important steps in women’s advancement in the country. However, there are various challenges facing women and the society at large over this issue. Ethiopia being a traditional society that values its societal beliefs makes the issue all too complex. Therefore, the best starting point to face the challenge will be to concentrate on awareness programs of the issue right at the grass root levels. 2.6. Governance and participation Ethiopia, only up until less than a decade ago, has been known by its autocratic and highly centralized systems of the feudal and the military regimes. The two regimes, especially the latter, were anti-pluralism and antidemocracy that denied the people the opportunity to participate in issues that concern their lives. Both systems were symbolic in the sense that the ruling bodies at the center controlled all decisions including political and socio-economic development issues. The situation dramatically changed in 1991 when the current ruling party came to power. As such, this government recognized, for the first time in the country’s long history, the need for good governance based on popular participation. It is true that Ethiopia, being a vast country with multi-ethnic and multi-cultural society, is not suitable to a centralized system of administration. Experiences of other countries show that in such heterogeneous societies good governance programmes should give priority to decentralization of power for an effective and sustainable development based on participation at the grass root levels. Thus, following the collapse of the former regime in may 1991, a transitional charter has paved the way for decision making to be decentralized and the formation of regional administrations. The country’s new Constitution, which was adopted in May 1995, thus created nine federal states and two autonomous administrative councils. Each of these eleven federal states was vested with the power of independent legislative, judiciary and executive organs. 46 Ethiopia also endorsed the principles of democracy and pluralism in its constitution. Thus, the sovereignty of the federal states is expressed through the people’s representatives (commonly known as the federal parliament) that is democratically elected every five years by popular vote. The country’s first general multi-party election was conducted in 1995 at federal and state levels which was supervised by foreign observers and the process was, by and large, termed as free and fair. According to the National Election Board of Ethiopia, some 57 political parties have participated in this process. And, of the total eligible voters throughout the country, 84.1 percent have been registered during the build up to general elections. The most striking success of this election was the huge turn out, more than 93 percent of registered voters. Indeed, this is quite an achievement in countries like Ethiopia where economic survival, not democracy, is at the forefront of people’s daily life. There are some unique features in the federal system of Ethiopia. Firstly, the federal states were formed essentially along ethnic lines (some call it “ethnic federalism”), an issue which is quite complex and volatile especially in Africa. Whether the case of Ethiopia will bring a success story is to be seen in the future. However, we can clearly see that currently the federal system chosen by the country is working. Secondly, the legislative powers are vested, at the federal level, two bodies, the House of People’s Representatives which has legislative powers as well as control of the revenue, and the House of the Federation, its powers emanating from the unique structure of the federal system, therefore, has the power of interpreting the constitution and determining the allocation of revenue between the federal government and the states. The judiciary system in current Ethiopia is also structured along the principles of freedom from interference from any state organ at all levels. In fact, as in most advanced democratic societies, the Constitution of the country has clearly defined the powers of the judiciary system in building a just and democratic society in Ethiopia in line with global human rights conventions and laws. It is obvious that a strong judiciary organ needs, among other things, a conscious civil society and well qualified law personnel (judges, lawyers, etc). The Ethiopian judiciary system, certainly, is at the infancy stage in this regard. The number of qualified judges, both at the federal and state levels and the substantial increase in the number of cases 47 that do not get verdict within a reasonable period of time can give enough evidence that the judiciary system has yet to travel a long way to keep up with the country’s development endeavors and democratization process. The country, in recognition of this fact, has already embarked upon a serious capacity building strategy with the support of its development partners. While major improvements are yet to be observed, there are, however, some encouraging signs in the area of recruiting and training of judges in the newly formed Civil Service College and other higher education institutions in the country. This process of capacity building should be encouraged to include other dimensions such as quality, increased women’s participation, etc. A Prime Minister, elected by the legislative body runs the executive organ at federal level. The office of the Prime Minister is responsible for insuring an efficient and honest civil service and hence good governance. The first challenge of the government after the formation of the federal system was to reform the corrupt and inefficient civil services of the previous regimes. To achieve this goal, therefore, the government formed a civil service reform task force in 1996, under the direction of the Prime Minister. Already there are lots of progress in this regard, but a big breakthrough has yet to come. The second challenge of the executive body was capacity building both at the center and the federal sates. This involved a number of donor agencies and international organizations including the UNDP, which was at the forefront through its various country programmes. The government was able to conduct huge training programmes starting from the center all the way down to the district level. As far as governance and participation in this country is concerned this activity should be recorded as one of the best achievements, which stand as a good example for other developing countries. Ethiopia has acceded to a number of human rights declarations and conventions of the international community including various human rights instruments of the United Nations, the Organization of African Unity (OAU) and other various global conventions and laws. The Constitution has also endorsed the country’s commitment to the principles of human rights and laws governing it. The Recent activities geared towards the establishment of an Ombudsman office is also a step forward to further insure the observation of human rights in the country. 48 The rights to freedom of expression through media and other mechanisms in Ethiopia is also endorsed in the Constitution. The private press, which is increasing in number from time to time, is one good example. Further, the country has recently decided to open up other media (radio, television) and telecommunications to the private sector. While these are important corner stones in the future development of the country, efforts should be equally stepped up to build strong civil societies, and develop the capacity and willingness of reviewing policy measures, from time to time, on popular participation. 2.7. Refugees and Returnees in Ethiopia Ethiopia has been host to large numbers of refugees for over three decades. In 1998, Ethiopia provided asylum to refugees from Somalia, Sudan, Djibouti, Kenya and various other countries. The refugee population stood at some 262,155 at the end of 1998 (See Table 4). Table 4: Refugee population in Ethiopia by country of origin and location, 1998 Country of origin Somalia Sudan Population Location in Ethiopia 195,129 East 58,602 West Kenya 4,940 South Djibouti 3,000 North East Urban refugee Total 484 Addis Ababa 262,155 Refugee assistance: With regard to the Somali, Djiboutian and Kenyan refugees, UNHCR was involved in three areas of activity: (i) Providing care and maintenance; (ii) promoting voluntary repatriation; (iii) consolidation of refugee camps, local integration and capacity building activities. On the other hand, the overall strategy for the Sudanese refugees was to assist them meet their basic needs through multisectoral projects, like partial self –sufficiency through food production and income 49 generating activities given that the Sudanese refugees reside in an area which has a tremendous potential for agriculture. However, effective implementation of the food production strategy has been hampered principally by inadequacy of farmland made available by the government to refugees. The general health and nutritional status of refugees was satisfactory except in Bonga refugee camp in the west where nutrition surveys showed an increase in the global malnutrition rate of up to 20.6% < 80% Weight-For-Height. Voluntary repatriation of refugees: The end of May 1998 brought to a close organized voluntary repatriation of Ethiopian refugees in Sudan, which had been going on since 1993. Some 72,000 Ethiopian refugees benefited from this particular operation. It is likely that some of the refugees remaining in the Sudan will decide to repatriate in the future. They will be assisted to do so on an individual basis. Between 1992 and 1998, approximately 69,1678 Ethiopian refugees repatriated from camps in Kenya mainly to the Somali Regional State. Some 3,000 more Ethiopian refugees in Kenya are expected to return in 1999. Repatriation of Somali refugees from camps in eastern Ethiopia to North West Somalia, which started in December 1997, continued in 1998. A total of 59,115 Somalis were repatriated from Hartisheik, Darwanagi and Teferi Ber refugee camps, to safe and peaceful areas between West of Hargeisa and Boroma. Continuation of the repatriation in 1999 will be contingent upon political stability in N-W- Somalia and the strength and sustainability of UNHCR reintegration projects on both sides of the border. Linked to this is the economic strength of Northwest Somalia itself. Saudi Arabia’s ban on importation of livestock from the Horn of Africa for fear of the dreaded Rift Valley Fever has hurt the economy of Northwest Somalia badly. Finally, while the UNHCR Office in Ethiopia is providing the necessary assistance to refugees in the various locations in the country, it is at the same time assisting the reintegration of the Ethiopian returnees, centered around communitybased services, such as up-grading of roads, water systems, schools, health facilities and income generating support. Discussion on the reorganization and consolidation of the existing camps in Eastern Ethiopia by UNHCR, in cooperation with the central and regional governments were initiated as the repatriation gathered momentum and some of the camps became empty. Some of these activities, being 50 developmental, RLO solicited and coordinated inputs from other UN-Agencies, bilateral and multilateral donors for reintegration projects in the refugee-impacted areas. 2.8. Conclusion This assessment and analysis of the development situation can serve as a basis for and essential step for the preparation of the UNDAF for Ethiopia. It can also be used as an instrument for dialogue between the government and UN System, development partners and the broader development community. Ethiopia, having emerged from a devastating long civil war and economic and social chaos at the beginning of this decade, is fast recovering from its wounds. The economy triggered by the reform programme and the favorable weather condition that boosted agricultural production, is already off the ground and showing remarkable growth during the last seven years. The ardent task of building a civil society on the principles of democracy, human rights, and empowerment of the people is also well under way. On the other hand, the country, which was under oppressive and dictatorial regimes, is faced with deep-rooted development problems that could only be tackled with the support of development partners at the global level. Thus, in line with the assessment in earlier chapters of this document, the country’s priority development challenges are summarized as follows. Poverty eradication It was already pointed out that the poverty crisis in Ethiopia is on the most part the result of past inappropriate policies compounded by other internal and external shocks. The severe economic decline experienced during the 70’s and 80’s, coupled with drought and famine and the civil war resulted, in human depravation and poverty. In recognition of this fact, Ethiopia has expressed its commitment for poverty eradication and guided the national policies towards it. There are various evidences to support this commitment on the part of the country. Primarily, all sector programmes and strategies of the country that have been issued over the past few years are directed at reducing/eradicating poverty. Moreover, as a result of the recent economic reform measures, economic decline has been reversed and growth 51 is resuming. As the facts tell us on the ground, however, these changes are not sufficient to reduce poverty. Poverty being a complex and multi-dimensional phenomenon, its eradication also requires inter-sectoral, multi-faceted and integrated approach. To this end, the eradication scheme requires among other things, the empowerment of people effectively for an increased participation in decision making that affect their lives, an equitable and sustained economic growth and gender equality in all spheres of life must be ensured. The reality and the challenge that the country faces will need the concerted efforts at the national level supplemented by regional and international supportive action. Employment Creation of sufficient opportunities for productive employment continues to be a difficult task for sub-Saharan Africa. Ethiopia which has one of the largest labor force in sub-Saharan Africa could not create enough and equitable employment opportunities for its young generation. More than 90 percent of the students completing the high school level are joining the bulk of the unemployed every year. Further, as recent studies have shown, the number of orphans and street children is rising at an alarming rate especially in major urban centers. Women are still discriminated at high management and paying jobs in the formal sector, etc. The rural sector remains the major source of employment for the country absorbing more than 80 percent of the labor force. Also, the sector is experiencing a favorable policy environment for an increasing food production. Recognizing the private sector’s role in employment generation, Ethiopia has already embarked upon private sector development initiatives through its Agricultural Development Led Industrialization strategy. Investment in modern commercial agriculture, which could have absorbed most of the labor force, is at the lowest stage when compared to countries like Kenya, Uganda, Zimbabwe, etc, and employment creation schemes, in general, are moving at a very slow pace. An important aspect of the strategy for the private sector contribution to employment generation is the development of the relatively large informal sector in Ethiopia by removing 52 restrictions on its activities, providing the necessary skills training and financial access. Health and the HIV/AIDS pandemic The health sector in Ethiopia is one of the few sectors that have received top priority in the development process. Increments in budgetary allocation and expenditure by the public sector especially since 1993 support this assertion. Recently, primary health care units (mostly public) are rising in number particularly in rural areas. However, as stated earlier, the low level of per capita income and poor road networks have contributed to the inaccessibility to most of these health services by the bulk of the population. Indicators such as life expectancy, infant and maternal mortality rates and the prevalence rates of some preventive diseases such as malaria show that the country’s health situation is one of the worst in sub-Saharan Africa. Coupled with these health problems is the HIV/AIDS epidemic, which is currently spreading throughout the country at an alarming and disturbing rate. In fact, the World Health Organization and other bodies like the UNAIDS have recently classified Ethiopia as one of the leading fifteen countries in the world with high adult HIV prevalence rate of more than 7 percent. The epidemic is a serious threat to the country’s human development initiatives in that it affects on the most part the adult population, which is the vital force in development. Though preventive actions have been slow especially on the part of the public sector, currently there are concrete reports that the country’s health facilities are stretched beyond capacity to cope with the epidemic and its effects, a situation calling for an increased global intervention. Food security Ethiopia is one of a few countries in sub-Saharan Africa that is affected by chronic and transitory food insecurity. Among other factors, the high population growth rate and the dependency on the agricultural sector, the erratic pattern of rain, the backward farming technology, the inappropriate policies of the past and the ever dwindling rural landholdings which proved inadequate for subsistence production of 53 food crops, have all contributed to chronic food insecurity. As a result, stunting, severe and moderate child malnutrition are common in Ethiopia. Moreover, there is transitory food insecurity arising from drought, refugee inflows and displacement of people. Drought, which recurs, on average, every 3 to 4 years, has aggravated the problem to the extent that in many areas of the country, there is an overlap of both elements of food insecurity, chronic and transitory, which expands the size of the vulnerable population. Thus, “… each year more than four million people in the rural sector have problems of securing enough food for themselves, and need help.” 46 The country, in recognition of the seriousness of the problem, has designed a strategy for food security in 1996, with the major objective of raising the level of food self-reliance on the basis of accelerated agricultural development programme especially that of food grain production in areas of reliable rainfall using modern technology. Further, the strategy aims at the establishment of sustainable agricultural growth using deeper technological progress than the current one, as well as a reversal of the population pressure on agricultural land. As this is obviously a long-term strategy, efforts were made in short and medium term strategy to improve technology transfer and participation of farmers by launching the National Extension Intervention Programme all over the country. Despite all the efforts made, the country is still in need of a concerted capacity building effort, from all development partners in sustenance initiated achievements. Other potential priority areas There are various challenges that should be put to light and given priority in the country’s development agenda. In this regard, the process of human capital formation is high on the list. Ethiopia’s educational participation rate, which is very low by any standard, should get the support, especially, of the UN System, for a sustainable and accelerated human development. On the other hand, the private sector, which plays a vital role in any development process, should be encouraged in all sectors. Hindrances that were observed over the last few years, such as the land policy, etc, should be carefully 46 Government of Ethiopia (1996), Food Security Strategy, Addis Ababa, November 1, 1996. 54 reviewed so as not to undermine the private sector’s commitment to bring about a meaningful developmental change in the country. The country’s decentralization and democratization process and people’s participation in governance is getting momentum from time to time. However, there are some loose ends especially in the area of capacity building and participatory development in regional states. Ethiopia being a diverse multi-cultural and multiethnic society make the problem even more difficult. Further, efforts at building the capacity of regional sates in the production, management and use of concrete information in their day to day activities should be encouraged and strengthened. In this regard, an increased and coordinated approach to the problem by the international community is crucial. As the role of information management and technology is vital in socioeconomic development, it should be more appreciated and recognized by policy makers in Ethiopia. In conclusion, the indicators outlined in this document show that Ethiopia is faced with various development challenges. On the other hand, recent trends in development have convinced the international community beyond doubt that the country is committed to improving the living standard of its people. This commitment, however, should maintain the momentum in creating the conducive atmosphere for an increased involvement of non-governmental organizations, the private sector, the UN System and other development partners in all tiers of development. 55 CHAPTER 3: STATISTICAL ANNEX 3.2. Key indicators at country level A. POPULATION Indicator 1. Population size (millions) Year Value Source 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 53.5 54.6 56.4 58.1 59.9 61.7 63.5 73.0 83.5 94.5 106.0 117.6 129.1 Census 1994 Census projection Census projection Census projection Census projection Census projection Census projection Census projection Census projection Census projection Census projection Census projection Census projection Female population, (% of total) 1998 1999 2000 2005 2010 49.8 49.8 49.8 49.9 49.9 Census projection Census projection Census projection Census projection Census projection Urban population, (% of total) 1998 1999 2000 2005 2010 14.5 14.7 14.9 16.0 17.2 Census projection Census projection Census projection Census projection Census projection Urban population, growth rate, % 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 4.38 Census projection 4.10 Census projection 4.06 Census projection Rural population, growth rate, % 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2.74 Census projection 2.57 Census projection 2.35 Census projection 56 Indicator Year Value Source Annual population growth rate 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2.92 Census projection 2.73 Census projection 2.62 Census projection Crude birth rate, per 1000 pop. Crude death rate, per 1000 pop. 1995-‘00 1995-‘00 Total fertility rate (children per woman) 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 6.52 Census projection 5.83 Census projection 5.34 Census projection Population density (people/ sq.km) 1997 50.4 MoH Dependency ratio 1995 2000 2005 2010 0.84 0.83 0.80 0.78 Census projection Census projection Census projection Census projection Sex ratio 1995 2000 2005 2010 101.49 100.86 100.60 100.51 Census projection Census projection Census projection Census projection 44.17 CSA 14.96 CSA B. POVERTY 1. Poverty levels Population below poverty line, total, % Rural Urban 2. Sanitation Access to sanitation, total (%) Rural Urban 3. Living area (excluding bathroom) People per room (excluding bathroom) Rural Urban 4. Literacy, total, (%) Male 1995/96 1995/96 1995/96 1997/98 1997/98 1997/98 1994 1994 1994 1984 1990 1994 1984 45.5 47.5 33.2 MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC 12.5 MoH 5.7 MoH 55.0 MoH 3.2 2.3 3.4 27.0 77.2 23.4 34.6 CSA CSA CSA MoE MoE CSA, Census comp. CSA 57 Indicator Female 5. School enrollment, gross (%) Primary school, total Primary school, male Year Value Source 1994 1984 1994 29.8 CSA, Census comp. 19.6 CSA 16.9 CSA, Census comp. 1984 1994 1996 1997 1984 1994 1996 1997 45.9 25.1 34.6 40.1 52.7 28.7 43.2 50.3 CSA CSA CSA CSA CSA CSA CSA CSA 1994 1984 1994 1984 1994 1984 1994 1984 1994 21.3 33.6 23.5 34.2 19.8 18.1 12.6 11.7 9.9 CSA CSA CSA CSA CSA CSA CSA CSA CSA Primary school, female Junior secondary, male Junior secondary, female Senior secondary, male Senior secondary, female 6. Weight Low birth weight (%) 1988 C. EMPLOYMENT/ SUSTAINABLE LIVELIHOODS 1. Gross Domestic Product (Real GDP) Annual growth (%) 2. Employment Annual growth of labor force (%) Informal sector employment, male (%) Informal sector employment, female (%) Public sector employment, male (%) Public sector employment, female (%) Labor force in agriculture, % of total Male Female Labor force in industry, % of total 17 MoH 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 3.6 -4.4 -3.7 12.4 1.7 5.4 10.6 5.7 MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC 1998 1996 1996 1997 1997 1994 1994 1994 1994 3 35.1 64.9 71 29 89.2 51.4 37.8 2.3 CSA, Census comp. CSA CSA FSC FSC CSA, Census comp. CSA, Census comp. CSA, Census comp. CSA, Census comp. 58 Indicator Male Female Labor force in services, % of total Male Female Size of labor force (million) 3. Unemployment rate, total (%) Rural Urban 4. Life expectancy at birth, total (years) Year Value Source 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1984 1994 1984 1.3 1.0 6.9 3.6 3.3 25.9 2.9 0.7 22.0 51.9 50.7 50.8 1994 49.8 CSA, 1994 Census 1984 1994 D. GENDER EQUALITY/ WOMEN’S ADVANCEMENT 53.1 CSA, 1984 Census 51.8 CSA, 1994 Census Male Female 1. Maternal mortality Rate per 100,000 live births 2. Infant mortality Rate per 1000 live births Rate, male, per 1000 live births Rate, female, per 1000 live births Women (labor force), % of total Agricultural employment (women), % of total Managerial, supervisory levels (women) % 4. Politics Parliamentary seats, women (% of total seats) Local council (KILIL) seats, women (%) 5. Violence Rapes/attempted rapes, no. registered CSA, Census comp. CSA, Census comp. CSA, Census comp. CSA, Census comp. CSA CSA, 1994 Census CSA, 1994 Census CSA, 1994 Census CSA, 1984 Census CSA, 1994 Census CSA, 1984 Census 1996 1996 700 MoH 1400 WHO/UNICEF 1984 1994 1984 1994 1984 1994 1994 1994 1994 110.1 116 117.2 125 102.6 108 43.2 37.8 9.5 CSA, 1984 Census CSA, 1994 Census CSA, 1984 Census CSA, 1994 Census CSA, 1984 Census CSA, 1994 Census CSA, Census comp. CSA, Census comp. CSA, Census comp. 1995 1995 1.8 NEBE 5.3 NEBE 1994/95 1995/96 127 CSA, Stat. Abstract 227 CSA, Stat. Abstract E. GOVERNANCE AND PARTICIPATION 1. Mass media & Communication Newspapers per 1,000 persons (no.) Radios per 1,000 persons (no.) TV sets per 1,000 persons (no.) Post offices per 1,000 persons Main telephone lines, per 1,000 persons 2. Political Participation 1992 1992 1992 1992 177 4 1 3 CSA, Stat. Abstract CSA, Stat. Abstract CSA, Stat. Abstract CSA, Stat. Abstract 59 Indicator Political parties participated in elections (no.) Voters registration, (% of eligible voters) Voters voting, (% of total registered) F. ENVIRONMENT 1. Electricity Population with access to, (%) 2. Safe Water Population with access to, (%) Total Rural Urban 3. Sanitation Population with access to, (%) Total Rural Urban 4. Land (millions of sq. km) Arable land (as % land area) Forests Year Value Source 1995 1995 1995 57 NEBE 84.1 NEBE 93.7 NEBE 1998/99 1998/99 1998/99 23.1 MoH 14.3 MoH 78.9 MoH 1998/99 1998/99 1998/99 12.5 MoH 5.7 MoH 55.0 MoH 1997 1997 1992 1.11 EMA 45 EMA 4 EMA G. ECONOMIC INDICATORS 1. Trade balance Trade balance, US$ millions 2. Exports as % of imports 3. External debt % of GDP 1985/86 1990/91 1991/92 1992/93 1993/94 1994/95 1995/96 1996/97 1985/86 1990/91 1991/92 1992/93 1993/94 1994/95 1995/96 1996/97 1986/87 1990/91 -632.0 -752.8 -720.6 -829.4 -635.1 -609.4 -1002.7 -823.4 41.9 26.9 17.7 21.1 30.6 42.7 29.0 41.3 MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC 37.7 NBE 39.4 NBE 60 Indicator 4. Gross domestic savings as % of GDP 5. Gross domestic product Per capita, US$ Per capita, PPP$ Per capita 6. Inflation Rate per annum 7. Annual exchange Annual exchange rate to US$, average Year Value Source 1991/92 1992/93 1993/94 1994/95 1995/96 1996/97 31.8 71.9 92.0 82.3 71.6 64.4 NBE NBE NBE NBE NBE NBE 1986/87 1990/91 1991/92 1992/93 1993/94 1994/95 1995/96 1996/97 7.6 3.4 3.0 5.6 5.0 6.7 6.6 8.3 NBE NBE NBE NBE NBE NBE NBE NBE 1996 1994 1995/96 110 UNDP/WB, HDR 430 UNDP, NHDR 167 MEDaC 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 5.2 20.9 21.0 10.0 1.2 13.4 0.9 -6.4 NBE NBE NBE NBE NBE NBE NBE NBE 1992/93 1993/94 1994/95 1995/96 1996/97 1997/98 1998/99 (Quarter I) 5.01 5.77 6.25 6.32 6.50 6.88 7.15 NBE NBE NBE NBE NBE NBE NBE OTHER INDICATORS H. MACRO-ECONOMIC TRENDS Budget deficit as % of GDP 1986/87 -4.2 MEDaC 61 Indicator Current account balance, US$, millions Before official capital transfers I. GOVERNMENT REVENUE AND EXPENDITURE Public revenue as % of GDP Year Value Source 1990/91 1991/92 1992/93 1993/94 1994/95 1995/96 1996/97 1997/98 -8.5 -7.0 -5.9 -7.7 -4.2 -5.2 MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC 1995 1996 -237 WB, CAS -592 WB, CAS 1986/87 1990/91 1991/92 1992/93 1993/94 1994/95 1995/96 1996/97 18.4 3.6 10.8 12.0 13.7 17.0 17.8 18.2 MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC Public expenditure as % of GDP 1986/87 1990/91 1991/92 1992/93 1993/94 1994/95 1995/96 1996/97 24.0 24.4 20.2 19.5 25.0 24.3 25.9 23.8 MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC Public expenditure on health as % of GDP 1992/93 1993/94 1994/95 1995/96 1.0 1.8 1.7 1.2 MoH MoH MoH MoH, HSDP Public expenditure on education as % of GDP 1992/93 1993/94 1994/95 1995/96 2.7 4.1 3.9 3.6 PER. MOE PER, MOE PER, MOE MoE, ESDP J. PRICES National Consumer Price Index (CPI), General 1995/96=100 1996/97 1997/98 1998/99 99.1 CSA 101.5 CSA 105.3 CSA 62 Year Indicator CPI, Food, 1995/96 = 100 Value Source 1996/97 1997/98 1998/99 92.5 CSA 97.4 CSA 105.3 CSA 1996/97 113.5 CSA 1997/98 1998/99 118.3 CSA 117.9 CSA 1996/97 1997/98 1998/99 104.7 CSA 101.5 CSA 99.8 CSA 1996/97 1997/98 1998/99 127.1 CSA 130.9 CSA 133.2 CSA CPI, Health, 1995/96=100 1996/97 1997/98 1998/99 111.2 CSA 99.3 CSA 91.9 CPI, Education, 1995/96 = 100 1996/97 1997/98 1998/99 98.5 CSA 107.9 CSA 98.7 CSA CPI, Rent, water, fuel & power, and construction materials 1995/96 =100 CPI, Clothing and Footwear, 1995/96 = 100 CPI, Transport and Communication, 1995/96= 100 K. INCOME Level of per capita income/ expenditure, USD National 1996 Urban 1996 Rural 1996 167 MEDaC 217 MEDaC 159 MEDaC Per capita food expenditure ( % of total) National 1996 Urban 1996 Rural 1996 Per capita real income, % growth 1986/87 1987/88 1988/89 1989/90 1990/91 59.6 MEDaC 56.1 MEDaC 60.2 MEDaC 10.0 -2.0 -3.4 1.0 -8.1 MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC 63 Indicator Year 1991/92 1992/93 1993/94 1994/95 1995/96 1996/97 1997/98 Value Source -5.7 7.9 -1.9 2.8 7.0 3.3 6.9 MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC L. CHANGES IN WELFARE OF CHILDREN Births attended by health personnel (%) Children Immunization coverage (%) Low birth weight, % Infant mortality rate (per 1000 live births) Under five mortality rate Stunting, % Wasting, % Underweight, % 1997 1996 1988 1995-‘00 1995-‘00 1993 1994 1994 10.2 67 17 110 161.1 64 7 MoH MoH MoH 1994 Census 1994 Census MoH, HSDP MoH, HSDP MoH, HSDP M. BETTER HEALTH Incidence, tuberculosis, per 100,000 pop. Incidence, Hepatitis, per 100,000 pop. Cases, HIV infection in pregnant women (%) Cases, AIDS reported, ‘000 Cases, HIV infection, % of population Contraceptive prevalence rate, % N. HEALTH SERVICES 1. Health services per MoH/WHO standard Physicians per 10,000 population Hospital beds per 3,000 population Nurses per 5,000 population Midwife per 10,000 population Health center per 25,000 population 2. Health facility to population ratio Hospital: Population Hospital bed: Population Health Center: Population Health station: Population 3. Health services coverage (%) 1997 1997 1997 1993 1997 1998 18 57 4.3 1.5 9.8 6.0 1997 1997 1997 1997 1997 1998 “ “ “ 1992/93 1996/97 1997/98 0 0 0 0 0 1:644,694 1:4927 1:214,630 1:18,190 MoH MoH MoH MoH “ “ MoH MoH MoH MoH MoH MoH MoH MoH MoH 38.0 MoH 48.5 MoH 51.0 MoH 64 Indicator 4. Health budget as % of total 5. Per capita health budget ( in Birr) 6. Leading causes of morbidity in hospitals (% cases) Helminthiasis Malaria Acute upper respiratory infections O. AGRICULTURE Land utilization: Forested area (% of total) Grassland (% of total) Cultivated area (intensive, moderate), % Total Production: Cereals (million quintals) Year 1992/93 1996/97 1997/98 1992/93 1996/97 1997/98 1997/98 “ “ “ 5.4 6.0 6.0 4.79 11.61 12.26 Source MoH MoH MoH MoH MoH MoH 7.1 MoH 6.9 MoH 6.6 MoH 1994/95 1995/96 1996/97 4 EMA 30.5 EMA 22.8 EMA EMA 58.5 CSA 107.4 CSA 86.3 CSA Teff 1994/95 1995/96 1996/97 18.6 CSA 31.1 CSA 20.0 CSA Maize 1994/95 1995/96 1996/97 13.6 CSA 17.2 CSA 25.3 CSA Barley 1994/95 1995/96 1996/97 9.4 CSA 18.1 CSA 7.4 CSA Wheat 1994/95 7.3 CSA 1995/96 1996/97 11.2 CSA 10.0 CSA 1994/95 1995/96 1996/97 1994/95 1995/96 1996/97 7.0 17.9 20.1 7.9 8.7 3.3 Sorghum Pulse production (million quintals) 1992 1992 1992 Value CSA CSA CSA CSA CSA CSA 65 Indicator Year Value Source % contribution of agriculture to GDP 1985/86 1986/87 1987/88 1988/89 1989/90 1990/91 1991/92 1992/93 1993/94 1994/95 1995/96 1996/97 50.0 51.4 50.5 50.0 50.9 56.0 56.4 53.4 50.6 50.0 51.5 50.4 MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC Annual growth rate of agricultural production 1987/88 1988/89 1989/90 1990/91 1991/92 1992/93 1993/94 1994/95 1995/96 1996/97 -4.3 -2.3 8.1 -1.0 -21.6 9.1 3.9 16.0 31.8 3.2 % contribution of manufacturing to GDP 1985/86 1986/87 1987/88 1988/89 1989/90 1990/91 1991/92 1992/93 1993/94 1994/95 1995/96 1996/97 5.2 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.3 2.8 2.9 3.8 4.2 4.4 4.3 4.3 MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC Annual growth of manufacturing GDP,% 1985/86 1986/87 1987/88 1988/89 1989/90 8.1 29.1 -7.9 9.1 -8.3 MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC CSA, (Computed) CSA, (Computed) CSA, (Computed) CSA, (Computed) CSA, (Computed) CSA, (Computed) CSA, (Computed) CSA, (Computed) CSA, (Computed) CSA, (Computed) P. MANUFACTURING 66 Indicator Year Value Annual growth of manufacturing GDP,% 1990/91 1991/92 1992/93 1993/94 1994/95 1995/96 1996/97 -32.1 -20.7 49.0 12.7 9.4 7.7 5.6 Employment in manufacturing, (‘000) 1992/93 1993/94 1994/95 1995/96 82.1 87.8 90.2 90.3 Source MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC MEDaC CSA CSA CSA CSA 67 3.1. Key indicators at Regional level A. Population Region Indicator Year Value Source 1. Population size (millions) Tigray Affar Amhara Oromiya Somali Benishangul-G SNNP Gambella Harari Addis Ababa Dire Dawa 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 3.5 1.2 15.4 21.0 3.5 0.51 11.8 0.20 0.15 2.35 0.29 CSA, Census 1994 CSA, Census 1994 CSA, Census 1994 CSA, Census 1994 CSA, Census 1994 CSA, Census 1994 CSA, Census 1994 CSA, Census 1994 CSA, Census 1994 CSA, Census 1994 CSA, Census 1994 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 50.8 42.5 50.0 50.0 45.7 49.5 50.4 49.0 50.0 51.7 49.7 CSA, Census 1994 CSA, Census 1994 CSA, Census 1994 CSA, Census 1994 CSA, Census 1994 CSA, Census 1994 CSA, Census 1994 CSA, Census 1994 CSA, Census 1994 CSA, Census 1994 CSA, Census 1994 2. Female Population (% total) Tigray Affar Amhara Oromiya Somali Benishangul-G SNNPR Gambella Harari Addis Ababa Dire Dawa 3. Urban Population (% total) 1998 2000 16.14 CSA, Census 1994 16.82 CSA, Census 1994 Affar 1998 2000 7.93 CSA, Census 1994 8.36 CSA, Census 1994 Amhara 1998 2000 9.94 CSA, Census 1994 10.31 CSA, Census 1994 Tigray 68 Region Indicator Year Value Source Oromiya 1998 2000 11.41 CSA, Census 1994 11.85 CSA, Census 1994 Somali 1998 2000 14.63 CSA, Census 1994 15.15 CSA, Census 1994 Benishangul-G 1998 2000 8.44 CSA, Census 1994 8.82 CSA, Census 1994 SNNPR 1998 2000 7.36 CSA, Census 1994 7.66 CSA, Census 1994 Gambella 1998 2000 16.50 CSA, Census 1994 16.98 CSA, Census 1994 Harari 1998 2000 60.00 CSA, Census 1994 60.50 CSA, Census 1994 Addis Ababa 1998 2000 100.00 CSA, Census 1994 100.00 CSA, Census 1994 Dire Dawa 1998 2000 71.09 CSA, Census 1994 71.99 CSA, Census 1994 4. Population Density (people per sq. km) Tigray Affar Amhara Oromiya Somali Benishangul-G SNNPR Gambella Harari Addis Ababa Dire Dawa 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 62.6 N.A. 86.9 53.1 N.A. 9.3 92.4 7.0 421.3 3985.2 207.6 CSA, Stat. Abstract ‘97 CSA, Stat. Abstract ‘97 CSA, Stat. Abstract ‘97 CSA, Stat. Abstract ‘97 CSA, Stat. Abstract ‘97 CSA, Stat. Abstract ‘97 CSA, Stat. Abstract ‘97 CSA, Stat. Abstract ‘97 CSA, Stat. Abstract ‘97 CSA, Stat. Abstract ‘97 CSA, Stat. Abstract ‘97 5. Dependency Ratio Tigray 1995 2000 0.85 CSA, Census 1994 0.86 CSA, Census 1994 Affar 1995 2000 0.78 CSA, Census 1994 0.70 CSA, Census 1994 69 Region Indicator Year Value Source Amhara 1995 2000 0.82 CSA, Census 1994 0.83 CSA, Census 1994 Oromiya 1995 2000 0.88 CSA, Census 1994 0.88 CSA, Census 1994 Somali 1995 2000 0.91 CSA, Census 1994 0.78 CSA, Census 1994 Benishangul-G 1995 2000 0.85 CSA, Census 1994 0.83 CSA, Census 1994 SNNPR 1995 2000 0.87 CSA, Census 1994 0.87 CSA, Census 1994 Gambella 1995 2000 0.72 CSA, Census 1994 0.66 CSA, Census 1994 Harari 1995 2000 0.61 CSA, Census 1994 0.58 CSA, Census 1994 Addis Ababa 1995 2000 0.48 CSA, Census 1994 0.38 CSA, Census 1994 Dire Dawa 1995 2000 0.63 CSA, Census 1994 0.61 CSA, Census 1994 Tigray 1995 2000 96.7 CSA, Census 1994 96.8 CSA, Census 1994 Affar 1995 2000 130.7 CSA, Census 1994 127.7 CSA, Census 1994 Amhara 1995 2000 100.9 CSA, Census 1994 100.2 CSA, Census 1994 Oromiya 1995 2000 100.1 CSA, Census 1994 99.7 CSA, Census 1994 Somali 1995 2000 120.0 CSA, Census 1994 117.9 CSA, Census 1994 Benishangul-G 1995 102.4 CSA, Census 1994 6. Sex Ratio 70 Region Indicator Year Value Source 2000 101.7 CSA, Census 1994 SNNPR 1995 2000 99.0 CSA, Census 1994 98.8 CSA, Census 1994 Gambella 1995 2000 104.4 CSA, Census 1994 103.9 CSA, Census 1994 Harari 1995 2000 99.9 CSA, Census 1994 102.1 CSA, Census 1994 Addis Ababa 1995 2000 94.0 CSA, Census 1994 93.0 CSA, Census 1994 Dire Dawa 1995 2000 102.2 CSA, Census 1994 101.1 CSA, Census 1994 B. Poverty 1. % of people below poverty line Tigray Affar Amhara Oromiya Somali Benishangul-G SNNPR Gambella Harari Addis Ababa Dire Dawa National Tigray Affar Amhara Oromiya Addis Ababa Dire Dawa Tigray Amhara Oromiya SNNP 2. Profile of calorie intake per adult per day Rural “ “ “ Urban “ “ “ “ “ 1995/96 “ “ “ “ “ “ “ “ “ “ “ 57.9% 51.8% 56.7% 34.7% 34.6% 47.6% 56.5% 41.8% 29.1% 30.0% 24.6% 45.5% MEDaC “ “ “ “ “ “ “ “ “ “ “ 1995/96 “ “ “ “ “ “ “ “ “ “ 1902 1957 2004 1800 1993 1831 1734 2108 2127 2040 MEDaC “ “ “ “ “ “ “ “ “ “ 71 Region Harari Indicator Year Urban 1995/96 Value 2085 Source MEDaC 3. Access to sanitation, HHs (%) Tigray Total Urban Rural 1994 1994 1994 7.0 CSA, Census 1994 28.6 CSA, Census 1994 2.7 CSA, Census 1994 Affar Total Urban Rural 1994 1994 1994 8.3 CSA, Census 1994 41.6 CSA, Census 1994 3.9 CSA, Census 1994 Amhara Total Urban Rural 1994 1994 1994 5.8 CSA, Census 1994 37.3 CSA, Census 1994 2.5 CSA, Census 1994 Oromiya Total Urban Rural 1994 1994 1994 12.9 CSA, Census 1994 59.0 CSA, Census 1994 7.3 CSA, Census 1994 Somali Total Urban Rural 1994 1994 1994 10.9 CSA, Census 1994 47.6 CSA, Census 1994 4.1 CSA, Census 1994 Benishangul-G Total Urban Rural 1994 1994 1994 19.0 CSA, Census 1994 63.2 CSA, Census 1994 14.9 CSA, Census 1994 SNNPR Total 1994 12.8 CSA, Census 1994 Urban Rural 1994 1994 63.0 CSA, Census 1994 9.2 CSA, Census 1994 Gambella Total Urban Rural 1994 1994 1994 14.8 CSA, Census 1994 31.0 CSA, Census 1994 11.4 CSA, Census 1994 Harari Total Urban Rural 1994 1994 1994 41.8 CSA, Census 1994 69.2 CSA, Census 1994 1.5 CSA, Census 1994 Addis Ababa Total Urban 1994 1994 74.1 CSA, Census 1994 75.1 CSA, Census 1994 72 Region Dire Dawa Indicator Year Value Source Rural 1994 5.2 CSA, Census 1994 Total Urban Rural 1994 1994 1994 55.0 CSA, Census 1994 74.6 CSA, Census 1994 2.9 CSA, Census 1994 4. Access to safe water, HHs (%) Tigray Total Urban Rural 1994 1994 1994 21.3 CSA, Census 1994 73.9 CSA, Census 1994 10.6 CSA, Census 1994 Affar Total Urban Rural 1994 1994 1994 13.0 CSA, Census 1994 73.1 CSA, Census 1994 5.2 CSA, Census 1994 Amhara Total Urban Rural 1994 1994 1994 21.4 CSA, Census 1994 80.0 CSA, Census 1994 15.2 CSA, Census 1994 Oromiya Total Urban Rural 1994 1994 1994 22.4 CSA, Census 1994 76.3 CSA, Census 1994 15.8 CSA, Census 1994 Somali Total Urban Rural 1994 1994 1994 15.0 CSA, Census 1994 47.9 CSA, Census 1994 9.0 CSA, Census 1994 Benishangul-G Total Urban Rural 1994 1994 1994 18.2 CSA, Census 1994 55.0 CSA, Census 1994 14.8 CSA, Census 1994 SNNPR Total Urban Rural 1994 1994 1994 19.2 CSA, Census 1994 71.0 CSA, Census 1994 15.5 CSA, Census 1994 Gambella Total Urban Rural 1994 1994 1994 26.5 CSA, Census 1994 72.4 CSA, Census 1994 16.6 CSA, Census 1994 Harari Total Urban Rural 1994 1994 1994 63.1 CSA, Census 1994 98.2 CSA, Census 1994 11.2 CSA, Census 1994 73 Region Indicator Year Value Source Addis Ababa Total Urban Rural 1994 1994 1994 97.50 CSA, Census 1994 98.43 CSA, Census 1994 35.60 CSA, Census 1994 Dire Dawa Total Urban Rural 1994 1994 1994 77.70 CSA, Census 1994 98.11 CSA, Census 1994 23.60 CSA, Census 1994 5. Households with electricity (%) Tigray Affar Amhara Oromiya Somali Benishangul-G SNNPR Gambella Harari Addis Ababa Dire Dawa 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 48.4 53.0 55.2 61.8 20.2 38.8 48.8 26.2 95.3 95.5 87.9 CSA, Census 1994 CSA, Census 1994 CSA, Census 1994 CSA, Census 1994 CSA, Census 1994 CSA, Census 1994 CSA, Census 1994 CSA, Census 1994 CSA, Census 1994 CSA, Census 1994 CSA, Census 1994 6. Living Area (people per room) Tigray Total Urban Rural 1994 1994 1994 2.8 CSA, Census 1994 2.7 CSA, Census 1994 2.8 CSA, Census 1994 Affar Total Urban Rural 1994 1994 1994 4.6 CSA, Census 1994 2.1 CSA, Census 1994 5.1 CSA, Census 1994 Amhara Total Urban Rural 1994 1994 1994 3.3 CSA, Census 1994 2.3 CSA, Census 1994 3.4 CSA, Census 1994 Oromiya Total Urban Rural 1994 1994 1994 3.1 CSA, Census 1994 2.2 CSA, Census 1994 3.3 CSA, Census 1994 Somali Total Urban Rural 1994 1994 1994 5.8 CSA, Census 1994 4.4 CSA, Census 1994 6.1 CSA, Census 1994 74 Region Indicator Year Value Source Benishangul-G Total Urban Rural 1994 1994 1994 3.0 CSA, Census 1994 2.1 CSA, Census 1994 3.1 CSA, Census 1994 SNNPR Total Urban Rural 1994 1994 1994 3.3 CSA, Census 1994 2.3 CSA, Census 1994 3.4 CSA, Census 1994 Gambella Total Urban Rural 1994 1994 1994 3.5 CSA, Census 1994 2.8 CSA, Census 1994 3.7 CSA, Census 1994 Harari Total Urban Rural 1994 1994 1994 2.7 CSA, Census 1994 2.3 CSA, Census 1994 3.5 CSA, Census 1994 Addis Ababa Total Urban Rural 1994 1994 1994 2.1 CSA, Census 1994 2.1 CSA, Census 1994 3.0 CSA, Census 1994 Dire Dawa Total Urban Rural 1994 1994 1994 3.5 CSA, Census 1994 3.0 CSA, Census 1994 5.3 CSA, Census 1994 7. Literacy rate (%) Tigray Total Affar Male Female Total Female Female Amhara Total Oromiya Somali 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 20.47 27.8 13.6 7.28 8.8 5.6 Male Female 1994 1994 1994 17.79 CSA, Census 1994 23.5 CSA, Census 1994 12.1 CSA, Census 1994 Male Female 1994 1994 1994 22.4 CSA, Census 1994 29.3 CSA, Census 1994 15.6 CSA, Census 1994 Male Female 1994 1994 1994 7.96 CSA, Census 1994 10.9 CSA, Census 1994 4.7 CSA, Census 1994 Total Total CSA, Census 1994 CSA, Census 1994 CSA, Census 1994 CSA, Census 1994 CSA, Census 1994 CSA, Census 1994 75 Region Benishangul-G Indicator Value Source Male Female 1994 1994 1994 17.74 CSA, Census 1994 24.9 CSA, Census 1994 10.5 CSA, Census 1994 Male Female 1994 1994 1994 24.44 CSA, Census 1994 33.9 CSA, Census 1994 15.2 CSA, Census 1994 Male Female 1994 1994 1994 29.33 CSA, Census 1994 38.7 CSA, Census 1994 19.5 CSA, Census 1994 Male Female 1994 1994 1994 54.54 CSA, Census 1994 59.8 CSA, Census 1994 49.4 CSA, Census 1994 Male Female 1994 1994 1994 82.52 CSA, Census 1994 89.1 CSA, Census 1994 76.4 CSA, Census 1994 Male Female 1994 1994 1994 51.53 CSA, Census 1994 57.4 CSA, Census 1994 45.7 CSA, Census 1994 8. Primary Gross enrollment (%) Total Male Female 1994 1994 1994 52.6 CSA, Census 1994 60.6 CSA, Census 1994 44.3 CSA, Census 1994 Affar Total Male Female 1994 1994 1994 7.0 CSA, Census 1994 7.3 CSA, Census 1994 7.0 CSA, Census 1994 Amhara Total Male Female 1994 1994 1994 16.1 CSA, Census 1994 17.0 CSA, Census 1994 15.1 CSA, Census 1994 Male Female 1994 1994 1994 21.7 CSA, Census 1994 25.8 CSA, Census 1994 17.4 CSA, Census 1994 Male Female 1994 1994 1994 6.7 CSA, Census 1994 8.5 CSA, Census 1994 5.0 CSA, Census 1994 SNNPR Gambella Harari Addis Ababa Dire Dawa Tigray Oromiya Somali Total Year Total Total Total Total Total Total Total 76 Region Benishangul-G SNNPR Gambella Harari Addis Ababa Dire Dawa Indicator Total Year Value Source Male Female 1994 1994 1994 25.5 CSA, Census 1994 33.8 CSA, Census 1994 16.6 CSA, Census 1994 Male Female 1994 1994 1994 29.8 CSA, Census 1994 37.6 CSA, Census 1994 21.5 CSA, Census 1994 Male Female 1994 1994 1994 51.2 CSA, Census 1994 58.8 CSA, Census 1994 42.5 CSA, Census 1994 Male Female 1994 1994 1994 59.6 CSA, Census 1994 59.0 CSA, Census 1994 60.3 CSA, Census 1994 Male Female 1994 1994 1994 110.5 CSA, Census 1994 108.3 CSA, Census 1994 112.7 CSA, Census 1994 Male Female 1994 1994 1994 57.6 CSA, Census 1994 58.7 CSA, Census 1994 56.4 CSA, Census 1994 Total Total Total Total Total C. Gender Equality, Women’s Advancement & Reproductive Behavior 1. Infant Mortality Rate (per 1000 live births) Tigray 1994 1995-‘00 1994 1995-‘00 123 116 118 112 Amhara 1994 1995-‘00 116 CSA, Census 1994 109 CSA, Census 1994 Oromiya 1994 1995-‘00 118 CSA, Census 1994 111 CSA, Census 1994 Somali 1994 1995-‘00 96 CSA, Census 1994 96 CSA, Census 1994 Benishangul-G 1994 1995-‘00 139 CSA, Census 1994 131 CSA, Census 1994 Affar CSA, Census 1994 CSA, Census 1994 CSA, Census 1994 CSA, Census 1994 77 Region Indicator Year Value Source SNNP 1994 1995-‘00 128 CSA, Census 1994 121 CSA, Census 1994 Gambella 1994 1995-‘00 99 CSA, Census 1994 92 CSA, Census 1994 Harari 1994 1995-‘00 113 CSA, Census 1994 106 CSA, Census 1994 Addis Ababa 1994 1995-‘00 78 CSA, Census 1994 72 CSA, Census 1994 Dire Dawa 1994 1995-‘00 115 CSA, Census 1994 107 CSA, Census 1994 Tigray 1994 1995-‘00 181 CSA, Census 1994 171 CSA, Census 1994 Affar 1994 1995-‘00 174 CSA, Census 1994 167 CSA, Census 1994 Amhara 1994 1995-‘00 170 CSA, Census 1994 159 CSA, Census 1994 Oromiya 1994 1995-‘00 173 CSA, Census 1994 163 CSA, Census 1994 Somali 1994 1995-‘00 137 CSA, Census 1994 139 CSA, Census 1994 Benishangul-G 1994 1995-‘00 206 CSA, Census 1994 196 CSA, Census 1994 SNNP 1994 1995-‘00 189 CSA, Census 1994 179 CSA, Census 1994 Gambella 1994 1995-‘00 142 CSA, Census 1994 132 CSA, Census 1994 Harari 1994 1995-‘00 166 CSA, Census 1994 156 CSA, Census 1994 2. Under Five Mortality Rate (per 1000 live births) 78 Region Indicator Year Value Source Addis Ababa 1994 1995-‘00 109 CSA, Census 1994 100 CSA, Census 1994 Dire Dawa 1994 1995-‘00 168 CSA, Census 1994 157 CSA, Census 1994 Tigray 1994 1995-‘00 6.95 CSA, Census 1994 6.72 CSA, Census 1994 Affar 1994 1995-‘00 6.39 CSA, Census 1994 6.20 CSA, Census 1994 Amhara 1994 1995-‘00 6.76 CSA, Census 1994 6.54 CSA, Census 1994 Oromiya 1994 1995-‘00 7.26 CSA, Census 1994 7.00 CSA, Census 1994 Somali 1994 1995-‘00 6.73 CSA, Census 1994 6.91 CSA, Census 1994 Benishangul-G 1994 1995-‘00 6.46 CSA, Census 1994 6.26 CSA, Census 1994 SNNP 1994 1995-‘00 7.16 CSA, Census 1994 6.91 CSA, Census 1994 Gambella 1994 1995-‘00 4.72 CSA, Census 1994 4.64 CSA, Census 1994 Harari 1994 1995-‘00 4.68 CSA, Census 1994 4.61 CSA, Census 1994 Addis Ababa 1994 1995-‘00 2.14 CSA, Census 1994 2.14 CSA, Census 1994 Dire Dawa 1994 1995-‘00 4.95 CSA, Census 1994 4.85 CSA, Census 1994 1994 46.8 CSA, Census 1994 3. Total Fertility Rate (child per woman) 4. Employment (Labor Force) Women (% of total LF) Tigray 79 Region Indicator Affar Amhara Oromiya Somali Benishangul-G SNNPR Gambella Harari Addis Ababa Dire Dawa Year Value Source 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 35.0 45.4 44.7 34.9 35.3 40.0 41.3 40.1 41.0 41.7 CSA, Census 1994 CSA, Census 1994 CSA, Census 1994 CSA, Census 1994 CSA, Census 1994 CSA, Census 1994 CSA, Census 1994 CSA, Census 1994 CSA, Census 1994 CSA, Census 1994 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 18.4 0.0 5.5 3.4 0.0 0.0 3.3 0.0 16.7 8.7 0.0 NEBE NEBE NEBE NEBE 5. Politics Local council seats, women (%) Tigray Affar Amhara Oromiya Somali Benishangul-G SNNP Gambella Harari Addis Ababa Dire Dawa NEBE NEBE NEBE NEBE NEBE NEBE 6. Violence Rapes/attempted rapes, no. Tigray 1994/95 1995/96 36 FPPB 49 FPPB Affar 1994/95 1995/96 1 FPPB 1 FPPB Amhara 1994/95 1995/96 14 FPPB 31 FPPB Oromiya 1994/95 1995/96 1994/95 1995/96 22 57 - Somali Benishangul-G 1994/95 FPPB FPPB FPPB FPPB 1 FPPB 80 Region Indicator Year Value Source 1995/96 1 FPPB SNNPR 1994/95 1995/96 29 FPPB 37 FPPB Gambella 1994/95 1995/96 5 FPPB 1 FPPB Harari 1994/95 1995/96 2 FPPB 2 FPPB Addis Ababa 1994/95 1995/96 14 FPPB 44 FPPB Dire Dawa 1994/95 1995/96 3 FPPB - FPPB D. HEALTH SERVICES AND LIFE EXPECTANCY 1.Physician(s), per 10,000 pop. Tigray Affar Amhara Oromiya Somali Benishangul-G SNNP Gambella Harari Addis Ababa Dire Dawa 1996/97 1996/97 1996/97 1996/97 1996/97 1996/97 1996/97 1996/97 1996/97 1996/97 1996/97 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 3 1 1 MoH, Computations MoH, Computations MoH, Computations MoH, Computations MoH, Computations MoH, Computations MoH, Computations MoH, Computations MoH, Computations MoH, Computations MoH, Computations 1996/97 1996/97 1996/97 1996/97 1996/97 1996/97 1996/97 1996/97 1996/97 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 1 16 MoH, Computations MoH, Computations MoH, Computations MoH, Computations MoH, Computations MoH, Computations MoH, Computations MoH, Computations MoH, Computations 2. Hospital beds, per 10,000 pop. Tigray Affar Amhara Oromiya Somali Benishangul-G SNNPR Gambella Harari 81 Region Indicator Addis Ababa Dire Dawa Year Value Source 1996/97 1996/97 3 MoH, Computations 3 MoH, Computations 1996/97 1996/97 1996/97 1996/97 1996/97 1996/97 1996/97 1996/97 1996/97 1996/97 1996/97 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 0 1 1 3. Health centers, per 100, 000 pop. Tigray Affar Amhara Oromiya Somali Benishangul-G SNNPR Gambella Harari Addis Ababa Dire Dawa MoH, Computations MoH, Computations MoH, Computations MoH, Computations MoH, Computations MoH, Computations MoH, Computations MoH, Computations MoH, Computations MoH, Computations MoH, Computations 4. Leading causes of morbidity in hospitals (% cases) Tigray Affar Acute upper respiratory infections 1997/98 All other infective parasitic diseases “ Malaria “ 5.7 MoH 4.9 MoH 4.9 MoH Acute upper respiratory infections 1997/98 All other infective parasitic diseases “ Malaria “ 5.7 MoH 4.9 MoH 4.9 MoH Acute upper respiratory infections 1997/98 Infections skin & subcutaneous tissue “ Bronchopneumonia “ 7.3 MoH 3.7 MoH 3.7 MoH Malaria 1997/98 Helminthiasis “ Upper respiratory infections “ 18.9 MoH 9.9 MoH 6.4 MoH Malaria 1997/98 Pneumonia “ Upper respiratory infections “ 8.9 MoH 7.7 MoH 7.3 MoH Oromiya Benishangul-G Harari 82 Region Indicator Year Value Source Addis Ababa All accidental causes 1997/98 Dental caries “ Infective & parasitic disease “ 6.7 MoH 6.2 MoH 5.3 MoH Tuberculosis 1997/98 Skin diseases “ Acute respiratory infections “ 15.7 MoH 8.2 MoH 7.3 MoH Dire Dawa 4. Life Expectancy Tigray 1994 49.6 CSA, Census 1994 Male Female 1994 1994 48.2 CSA, Census 1994 51.1 CSA, Census 1994 Affar Total Male Female 1994 1994 1994 50.3 CSA, Census 1994 53.1 CSA, Census 1994 47.0 CSA, Census 1994 Amhara Total Male Female 1994 1994 1994 50.8 CSA, Census 1994 49.6 CSA, Census 1994 52.2 CSA, Census 1994 Male Female 1994 1994 1994 50.4 CSA, Census 1994 49.2 CSA, Census 1994 51.7 CSA, Census 1994 Male Female 1994 1994 1994 54.8 CSA, Census 1994 56.2 CSA, Census 1994 52.9 CSA, Census 1994 Male Female 1994 1994 1994 48.6 CSA, Census 1994 46.3 CSA, Census 1994 47.3 CSA, Census 1994 Male Female 1994 1994 1994 48.6 CSA, Census 1994 47.6 CSA, Census 1994 49.7 CSA, Census 1994 Oromiya Somali Benishangul-G SNNPR Total Total Total Total Total 83 Region Gambella Harari Addis Ababa Dire Dawa Indicator Total Year Value Source Male Female 1994 1994 1994 54.2 CSA, Census 1994 53.8 CSA, Census 1994 54.5 CSA, Census 1994 Male Female 1994 1994 1994 51.4 CSA, Census 1994 51.4 CSA, Census 1994 51.8 CSA, Census 1994 Male Female 1994 1994 1994 58.4 CSA, Census 1994 56.6 CSA, Census 1994 60.3 CSA, Census 1994 Male Female 1994 1994 1994 51.1 CSA, Census 1994 50.3 CSA, Census 1994 52.0 CSA, Census 1994 Total Total Total 84 3.3. Acknowledgments The production of the Common Country Assessment for Ethiopia has benefited from several UN agencies, various Government institutions, non-governmental organizations, the private sector and individuals, which shared their experiences, databases and valuable information and comments to enrich the document. Special thanks therefore go to the following. Resident Coordinator: Samuel Nyambi The CCA Team Graham H. Chipande – UNDP Neguest Mekonnen - UNDP Workineh Kassie - UNICEF Urgessa Badada –ILO/EAMAT Eyerusalem Fasika – World Bank Willem Thuring – IOM Amare Esayas – CSA (Government) Jelaludin Ahmed – CSA (Government) UNDAF Technical Committee Gladson K. Kayira - UNDP Neguest Mekonnen - UNDP Mesfin Kinfu - FAO Urgessa Badada - ILO Willem Thuring - IOM Salvatore Minniti - UNAIDS Gunther Cyrneck - UNESCO Duah Owusu-Sarfo - UNFPA Mulugeta Ersumo – UNFPA/CST Rodney Phillips - UNICEF Vincent Weirda - UNIDO Stephen Anderson - WFP Mulugeta Gebru - WHO Hagos Araya – World BANK Consultant Berhanu Assefa 85 REFERENCES Central Statistical Authority and the Ministry of Labor and Social Affairs, “Report on Urban Informal Sector Sample Survey”, December 1996, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia. Central Statistical Authority, “Agricultural sample survey 1994/95: Report on livestock, poultry and beehives population- Volume II”. Statistical bulletin no. 132, August 1995, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia. Central Statistical Authority, “Report on small scale manufacturing industries surveyVolume I”, Statistical Bulletin No. 172, May 1997, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia. 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