Six Billion and Counting – Grade Ten Ohio Standards Connection: Earth and Space Sciences Benchmark F Summarize the historical developments of scientific theories and ideas, and describe emerging issues in the study of Earth and space sciences. Indicator 7 Describe advances and issues in Earth and space science that have important long-lasting effects on science and society (e.g., geologic time scales, global warming, depletion of resources and exponential population growth). Life Sciences Benchmark F Explain the structure and function of ecosystems and relate how ecosystems change over time. Indicator 16 Relate how distribution and abundance of organisms and populations in ecosystems are limited by the ability of the ecosystem to recycle materials and the availability of matter, space and energy. Lesson Summary: The purpose of this lesson is to examine a resource that is being exploited to meet the needs of an ever-increasing human population. Students will develop an understanding that limited supplies cannot be exploited indefinitely. Students also will learn that exploitation of resources causes ever-increasing problems for populations of organisms that depend on these resources. Students will examine the effects of resource exploitation using actual historical events. Estimated Duration: Three hours Commentary: This lesson has students examine case studies and graph data from those studies. Students then compare these graphs to look for common trends. Through this exercise, they learn that population booms and crashes are dictated by conflict between exponential population growth and limited resources. Pre-Assessment: Distribute Attachment A, Pre-Assessment, and have students read the passage and answer the questions. Scoring Guidelines: Use Attachment B, Pre-Assessment Answers, to score student work. Post-Assessment: Have students complete questions on Attachment C, PostAssessment. Scoring Guidelines: Use Attachment D, Post-Assessment Answers, to score student work. 1 Six Billion and Counting – Grade Ten Instructional Procedures: 1. Conduct and evaluate the Pre-Assessment. 2. Review the Pre-Assessment with students. 3. Copy and distribute Attachment E, Case Studies. 4. Tell students that they are going to learn about the growth of populations and how the exploitation of resources affects those populations. 5. Arrange students into pairs. Instruct students to read the five case studies and then use pencil, paper and ruler to record data at the end of each study. 6. Circulate around the room to monitor and guide student work. 7. After students have completed their graphs, facilitate a class discussion comparing and contrasting the five case studies. Help students understand that in all cases, exponentially increasing population growth was impacted by limited resources or habitat destruction. 8. Distribute copies of Attachment F, Case Study Questions, for students to complete. Have students work individually on this exercise, relying on notes, graphs and information from Attachment E, Case Studies. 9. Collect and evaluate student responses to Attachment F, Case Study Questions, and/or lead a discussion of the answers among students. Use Attachment G, Case Study Answers, to evaluate student work and/or facilitate discussion. 10. Proceed to the Post-Assessment. Differentiated Instructional Support: Instruction is differentiated according to learner needs, to help all learners either meet the intent of the specified indicator(s) or, if the indicator is already met, to advance beyond the specified indicator(s). To differentiate this assignment, give students the option of working in small groups and creating a time line for the case study that addresses the events and impacts of change for each scenario. As students plot their graphs, they can elaborate on the cause and effect of changes to resources on the populations. Extensions: • Have students work in groups of two to four, exploring the exploitation of a limited resource. • Have students research the history of the exploitation. • Instruct students to find and record the earliest amount that was produced and the human population size at that time. • Have students find and record the most recent amount produced and the human population size. • If there was a time other than the present when the maximum amount was obtained, have students find and record that amount. • Provide students with a list of possible topics to research. For example: • Cutting and burning of trees in India; • Oil produced from the North Slope of Alaska; 2 Six Billion and Counting – Grade Ten • • Fishing off the northeast coast of the United States. Have students write an essay addressing the following questions about their resource: • What natural resource is being exploited by the ever -growing human population? • What are the benefits of using that resource? • What are the potential problems with over harvesting the resource? • Is harvesting causing environmental harm? Homework Options and Home Connections: • Have students conduct a survey of the products, foods and resources they use in their homes and trace the origins of those products. Have students explore the impact to the environment of a particular product’s construction or use. • Have students evaluate petroleum-exporting nations and when their oil reserves are expected to be depleted. Interdisciplinary Connections: Social Studies • Geography Benchmark B: Analyze geographic changes brought about by human activity using appropriate maps and other geographic data. Indicator 2: Describe how changes in technology, transportation and communication affect the location and patterns of economic activities and use of productive resources. Materials and Resources: The inclusion of a specific resource in any lesson formulated by the Ohio Department of Education should not be interpreted as an endorsement of that particular resource, or any of its contents, by the Ohio Department of Education. The Ohio Department of Education does not endorse any particular resource. The Web addresses listed are for a given site’s main page, therefore, it may be necessary to search within that site to find the specific information required for a given lesson. Please note that information published on the Internet changes over time, therefore the links provided may no longer contain the specific information related to a given lesson. Teachers are advised to preview all sites before using them with students. For the teacher: Ruler, pencils, paper. For the students: Ruler, pencils, paper. Vocabulary: • blight • exploitation • exponential growth • guano • latitude • lichen 3 Six Billion and Counting – Grade Ten • • • limiting resources phosphate topography Technology Connections: See the Web site for the United States Central Intelligence Agency to learn about resource issues for every country in the world. Access the World Factbook at www.odci.gov. Research Connections: Marzano, R., Pickering, D., Pollock, J. (2001).Classroom Instruction that Works: Researchbased Strategies for Increasing Student Achievement, Alexandria. Va.: Association for Supervision and Curriculum Development. Identifying similarities and differences enhances students’ understanding of and ability to use knowledge. This process includes comparing, classifying, creating metaphors and creating analogies and may involve the following: • Presenting students with explicit guidance in identifying similarities and differences. • Asking students to independently identify similarities and differences. • Representing similarities and differences in graphic or symbolic form. Attachments: Attachment A, Pre-Assessment Attachment B, Pre-Assessment Answers Attachment C, Post-Assessment Attachment D, Post-Assessment Answers Attachment E, Case Studies Attachment F, Case Study Questions Attachment G, Case Study Answers 4 Six Billion and Counting – Grade Ten Attachment A Pre-Assessment Directions: Read the following the passage and then answer the questions. Organisms on Earth, including man, are dependent on climate and resources, such as soil and drinking water, for survival. The climate impacts which plants can grow, which in turn impacts the animals feeding upon them. Weather conditions have yearly cycles that vary depending on the latitude and topography of the land. Organisms, including plants, have adapted to the cyclic climate in a variety of ways. Birds and mammals have slightly different survival strategies based upon their characteristics. Birds are able to fly and move to various habitats. The most critical time of the year for their survival is during the spring mating season, when habitat and food supplies must be available to support reproduction. Large mammals may find the winter or dry season the most difficult for survival, since food is scarce and their migratory abilities are limited. 1. Give an example of a songbird that nests in northern latitudes and explain how it copes with decreased food and habitat resources in the winter. 2. Give an example of a large herding land mammal and explain how it copes with decreased food and habitat resources in the winter or a dry season. 3. Imagine that a bird population relies on a large swamp to provide food. If the swamp is drained or otherwise altered so that the food supply is destroyed, explain what would happen to the size of the bird population over time. 4. What could happen to the size of the population of a herding mammal if it becomes isolated on an island environment? 5. If the Earth has a limited amount of resources, what effect will increases in human populations have on the quality of life or survival of man? 5 Six Billion and Counting – Grade Ten Attachment B Pre-Assessment Answers Acceptable answers include, but are not necessarily limited to, the following. 1. Give an example of a songbird that nests in northern latitudes and explain how it copes with decreased food and habitat resources in the winter. Songbirds such as the robin or warblers, ducks such as the blue-winged teal and raptors such as the turkey vulture, summer in Ohio or farther north and migrate south in the fall or winter. Birds such as the American crow, red-tailed hawk, rock dove or cardinal remain in the northern latitudes and eat food that is available at that time of year such as grain or mice. 2. Give an example of a large herding land mammal and explain how it copes with decreased food and habitat resources in the winter or a dry season. Examples of large herding mammals include caribou, elk, American bison, zebra and gnu. These animals participate in large-scale migrations to escape inhospitable conditions and to exploit available food resources. 3. Imagine that a bird population relies on a large swamp to provide food. If the swamp is drained or otherwise altered so that the food supply is destroyed, explain what would happen to the size of the bird population over time. Lack of food could cause some birds to die and the population to decrease. However, since birds can fly, they may also be able to disperse to a new habitat and maintain the size of the population. 4. What could happen to the size of the population of a herding mammal if it becomes isolated on an island environment? Unable to escape the island environment, the population size would increase until it overgrazes the island. Eventually, many would starve. 5. If the Earth has a limited amount of resources, what effect will increases in human populations have on the quality of life or survival of man? If human consumption of resources goes unchecked, resources will be depleted and there will be no place to go for these resources. 6 Six Billion and Counting – Grade Ten Attachment C Post-Assessment Directions: Answer the following questions. 1. What is one possible outcome from the overpopulation of a plant-eating animal on an island? 2. What has historically been an option available to man when the climate in one area has not been good for the production of food because of drought, disease, winter or overuse? 3. As Earth's human population surpasses six billion people and continues to rise, what are some of the issues that will confront people and societies? 4. Answer the following questions based on resources you have studied or from an example that was presented in class. a. Identify a resource for which demand has greatly increased due to increasing human population. b. How is that resource being used? c. What can be done to reduce its use? 7 Six Billion and Counting – Grade Ten Attachment D Post-Assessment Answers Correct answers will depend on the items identified by students in your class. The following are sample responses but students responses, will vary. 1. What is one possible outcome from the overpopulation of a plant-eating animal on an island? If the animal cannot leave the island it may overpopulate and destroy the plants upon which it depends. With the plants gone or reduced the animals starve. A harsh winter or deadly disease can reduce the numbers, or even drive a population to extirpation. If individuals survive and the populations rebound, producer and consumer may come to a relatively stable equilibrium. 2. What has historically been an option available to man when the climate in one area has not been good for the production of food because of drought, disease, winter or overuse? Human populations have migrated. Sometimes the migrations have been peaceful. Other times there have been wars with a reduction of lives due to the warfare. 3. As Earth's human population surpasses six billion people and continues to rise, what are some of the issues that will confront people and societies? People will always need water, food and shelter. Other items are wants. Resources will be depleted or will become something only the wealthy can have, which may lead to social unrest. 4. Answer the following questions based on resources you have studied or from an example that was presented in class. a. Identify a resource for which demand has greatly increased due to increasing human population. Water, phosphates, trees, food, oil, etc. b. How is that resource being used? For example, oil and other fossil fuels are being used by combustion engines of automobiles. c. What can be done to reduce its use? Alternative fuel sources can be used to achieve better gas mileage. As resources become scarce, greater incentive will lead to the development of alternative technologies. 8 Six Billion and Counting – Grade Ten Attachment E Case Studies Directions: Examine the following five case studies involving animal and human populations on limited land. Islands are used to model what could happen on an entire continent or the entire Earth. For each case study, develop graphs of data to compare and contrast the different situations. Case Study I: Reindeer on St. Matthew Island In 1944, reindeer (Rangifer tarandus) were introduced to St. Matthew Island, Alaska, by the U.S. Coast Guard. The herd consisted of 24 females and five males. The island is 128 square miles with excellent reindeer habitat. A previous study showed that between 1,200 and 2,000 reindeer could survive and thrive on the island. The U.S. Coast Guard abandoned its facility shortly after the release of the reindeer and the island has been uninhabited by humans since. During 1957, a study found 1,350 reindeer on the island. Not only had the number increased, but the body weight of females was nearly 25 percent greater than comparable domestic animals and 46 percent greater for males. This showed that there were abundant resources for the reindeer. By 1963, the population had increased to more than 6,000 reindeer. Lichens, the primary food of reindeer, were completely gone from the island. The winter of 1965 was severe. By July 1966, there were only 42 nearly starving animals left on the island. Graph four data points to show the population changes of the reindeer. Put population size on the vertical axis and years on the horizontal axis. Date 1943 1957 1963 1966 Number of Reindeer 29 1350 6000 42 Case Study II: Easter Island Easter Island was settled by Polynesians, probably a thousand years ago. At that time, it was a rich island forested with palms and a tree called the sophora. A culture developed with organizational skills and considerable engineering skills. Massive stone statues were cut, carved and erected along the coastline. The population increased to an estimated 4,000 individuals. Archeological evidence indicates considerable deforestation and conflict over scarce food. Warfare and lack of food reduced the population to 630 individuals by the time that Britain's Captain Cook arrived on the island in 1775. There were no trees on the island. Trees would have provided the wood needed to build boats that would have allowed more fishing or migration. By 1885, there were fewer that 155 islanders left. Graph the population on Easter Island. Dates and numbers prior to Captain Cook’s arrival are estimates. Use the same format as the Case Study I graph. 9 Six Billion and Counting – Grade Ten Attachment E (continued) Case Studies Date 1000 A.D. 1600 1775 1885 Number of inhabitants 50 (estimated) 4000 630 155 Case III: Ireland In 1841, the population of Ireland was calculated by the British government to be 8,175,124, which was probably 25 percent less than the actual population size. Many Irish were exceptionally poor, living on potatoes as their only source of food. Potatoes had been imported in 1590 and would grow in the poor, rocky soil of Ireland. A potato blight (fungus) eliminated 90 percent of the potato crop in 1846. During that winter and the next, an estimated one million Irish starved to death. Most wealthy Irish and English landowners were raising corn and animals to export to England and elsewhere. They could have used the food to feed the poor, but instead chose to export it and let people suffer. Nearly two million people emigrated to the United States and Australia to escape starvation. By the 1851 census, only 6,552,385 people were counted in Ireland. Population estimates showed the number should have been more than 9,000,000. Poor weather, the potato blight and political decisions caused the reduction in the population. Poor economic conditions and continued emigration dramatically slowed the rebound of the population. Make a graph showing the population change between 1841 and 2003.Use the same format as in Case Studies I and II. Date 1841 1851 1861 1926 2003 Number of inhabitants 8,200,000 6,500,000 5,800,000 4,200,000 5,500,000 Case IV: Montserrat Montserrat is an island in the Caribbean. The island is 102 square kilometers or about half the size of Washington, D.C. In 1995, there was a major volcanic eruption of the Soufriere Hills Volcano with another catastrophic eruption taking place in June 1997. At that time there were about 12,000 inhabitants. The population was increasing at more than 4 percent each year. As a result of the eruption, 8,000 people left the island. More than half the island is currently uninhabitable and will remain so for at least a decade. Some people have returned and the population has increased to about 8,995. 10 Six Billion and Counting – Grade Ten Attachment E (continued) Case Studies Graph the population before, immediately after, and currently for the Island of Montserrat. Use the same format of Case Studies I, II and III Date 1995 1997 2003 # of Inhabitants 12,000 4,000 9,000 Case V: Nauru Nauru is a small, 21-square kilometer island in the South Pacific near the equator. For thousands of years, it had been a resting and nesting ground for marine birds. The resulting guano built up to 100 feet thick in some areas. This guano is also known as phosphate rock. Australia has poor soils, and the island of Nauru provides phosphate rock. In 1968 the 2,000 Nauruans gained their independence. By 1997, the population of native Nauruans had increased to 6,000 with foreign workers pushing the population to 10,000. Phosphate mining is controlled by the state so the native Nauruans shared the wealth. During the 1980s and 1990s the Nauruans had one of the highest per person incomes in the world. People were imported from India and surrounding areas to work the phosphate mines. All people live in a narrow band around the island since the interior was mined. All fuel and food has to be imported, but there was plenty of money to pay for the imports. Because all the food is imported the diet is nothing like it was in the past, and there are many new medical problems associated with high-fat high-carbohydrate diets. By 2003, the phosphate rock was nearly gone. The majority of the island is a barren wasteland of coral and limestone. The local native population has no farming or fishing skills. It will cost hundreds of millions of dollars to import topsoil and rebuild the island. The government is nearly bankrupt. If reconstruction occurs, it may take 30 years to provide any lasting agriculture. Because of the destruction to the land, erosion is a serious problem for the marine environment. Since everyone lives on a narrow band around the island, a major storm could have serious consequences. If the ocean rises due to global warming, the island could disappear entirely. One suggested solution is to remove the entire population to another, as yet to be determined, location. Make a population graph of Nauru using the same format of the previous case studies. Date 1968 1997 2003 Number of inhabitants 2,000 10,000 12,000 11 Six Billion and Counting – Grade Ten Attachment F Case Study Questions Name _____________________________ Date ____________ Directions: Use the data from the graphs you made of the five case studies to answer the following questions. 1. Which of the cases had a population decline due solely to a natural event? 2. What was the event? 3. Will human and natural (plant and animal) populations be impacted in similar ways by this type of natural event? Explain. 4. Which of the cases related to a natural event that was made much worse by human behavior. 5. What was this event and what evidence is there that humans made it worse? 6. There was no hunting or predation on St. Matthew Island. How did the lack of population controls impact the population of reindeer? 12 Six Billion and Counting – Grade Ten Attachment F (continued) Case Study Questions 7. Which two cases are the most similar and why? 8. Which case has not had a conclusion? 9. Which island shows the problems with major nonrenewable resource depletion? 10. Which case shows that the “good life” can sometimes be too good? Give examples. 11. What major concept do you find in all of the case studies? 13 Six Billion and Counting – Grade Ten Attachment G Case Study Answers 1. Which of the cases had a population decline due solely to a natural event? Case study IV, Montserrat 2. What was the event? A major volcanic eruption on an island. 3. Will human and natural (plant and animal) populations be impacted in similar ways by this type of natural event? Explain. Yes, volcanic ash will kill animals and plants the same way it does humans. 4. Which of the cases related to a natural event that was made much worse by human behavior. Case III, Ireland 5. What was this event and what evidence is there that humans made it worse? The potato blight was a natural event. Food that should have been available to the people was exported. This left many people hungry. 6. There was no hunting or predation on St. Matthew Island. How did the lack of population controls impact the population of reindeer? The island could have supported 2,000 reindeer but there was nothing to keep the population at or below 2,000 so when it went beyond, the animals starved. 7. Which two cases are the most similar and why? Case I and II, the reindeer on St. Matthews Island and Easter Island. Both populations grew to the point where the environment was altered. It could no longer support the large populations and many individuals starved to death. 8. Which case has not had a conclusion? Case V, Nauru 9. Which island shows the problems with major nonrenewable resource depletion? The island of Nauru. 10. Which case shows that the “good life” can sometimes be too good? Give examples. Nauru. People had plenty of money, but when the phosphate ran out, there was nothing left for them. The resource that supported them financially was depleted and the environment could not support their daily needs. 11. What major concept do you find in all of the case studies? Because of limited space, problems were magnified. If each event had happened on a continent, the individuals could have migrated. 14