Rajko Baletic Siniša Soro Milan Lecic Milan Vlatkovic United Business Institute Brussels IIM-Euro Novi Sad MBA Studies-Corporate Intelligence May 2004. 1 History Ericsson • • • • • • • • • • • • • • 1876 Lars Magnus Ericsson opens a telegraph repair workshop with three employees. 1878 Ericsson sells improved version of Bell telephone. Total production 22 telephones a year. 1892 First desk telephone introduced. 1956 Ericsson launches the Ericofon. 1971 First Ericsson picture phones. 1978 First digital AXE exchange installed in Turku. 1981 Firs AXE cut over in Mexico. Ericsson Information Systems (EIS) is set up. 1986 First Ericsson implementation of Intelligent Network. 1987 First handheld mobile telephone produced for NMT 900 1991 Has 3 percent of world market for mobile phones. 1995 World` s first GSM 1900 mobile system in service. 1999 Takes about 50 per cent of the orders for GPRS 2002 First 3G WCDMA call on public networks. 2003 Restructuring consumed a total of 44 jobs. Alcatel • • • • • • • • • • • • • • 1898 Pierre Azaria sets up the Compagnie General d`Electricite. 1925 Absorption by CGE of Compagnie des Cables de Lyon. 1966 Absorption by CGE of the Alsacienne de Constructions Atomiques (Alcatel). 1985 Merger between CIT-Alcatel and Thomson Telecommunications. 1987 Privatization of CGE. 1988 Link-up with GE Company (UK) 1990 CGE-Fiat agreement. 1991 CGE changes its name to Alcatel Alsthom. 1992 Alcatel Alsthom acquired AEG Kabelmanufactured in Germany . 1993 Acquisition of STC Submarine Sistems. 1998 Alcatel Alsthom is renamed Alcatel 2000 Acquisition of the Canadian Newbridge, worldwide leader in ATM tehnology networks. 2002 front-runner in next generation SONET Metro Optical Sistems. 2003 Sales 50% shareholding in Antlinks 2 2003 FACTS AND FIGURES Ericsson Alcatel 12.801 12.513 19 22 Domestic Sales ( % ) 5 ( Sweden ) 13 ( France ) Other Markets ( % ) 95 87 Active ( no. of countries ) 140 130 51.583 60.486 20 15 2003 Sales ( mil Euro ) 1- Year Sales Decline ( % ) 2003 Employees 1-Year Employees Decline ( % ) 3 Sales by Product Segment Ericsson Alcatel 8.928 3.539 1-Year Decline ( %) 19 27 Fixed communication (mil) 870 5.708 1-Year Decline (%) 32 27 3.174 3.643 1-Year Decline (%) 18 12 Inter segment sales (mil) 174 377 Mobile communications (mil) Others ( mil) 4 Sales-Geographical Diversification Ericsson Alcatel Europe ( % of sales) 35 50 1-Year Decline (%) 21 21 Asia & Pacific (%of sales) 23 18 1-Year Decline (%)a 24 20 North America ( % of sales) 15 15 1-Year Decline ( %) 24 74 Rest of World ( % of sales) 27 17 1-Year Decline (%) 10 18 5 R&D Ericsson Alcatel 2.320 1.593 1-Year Decline (%) 21 28 % of Sales 20 13 16.500 14.700 1-Year Decline (%) 20 21 Number of R&D sites 25 22 1.000 750 Investment in R&D 2003 ( mil ) Employees 2003 Number of patent 2003 6 Employees by Regions Ericsson Alcatel 24.408 (Sweden) 18.989 (France) 19 15 11.263 20.360 21 21 4.460 9.075 30 10 6.468 8.716 1-Year Decline 17 3 Rest of World 4.984 3.346 28 12 Domestic 1- Year Decline (%) Rest of Europe 1- Year Decline (%) North America 1- Year Decline (%) Asia 1- Year Decline (%) 7 Presence in Growing Markets Ericsson Alcatel China Thailand Russia India Ukraine Iraq Nigeria Ghana Afghanistan 8 Competitive Fact Sheet Ericsson Mission/ Vision Strategy Activities All Communicating world, voice data, images, conveniently communicated anywhere and anytime in the world, increasing Both quality-of-life, productivity and enabling a more resource-efficient world and be the global leader in providing communicates solutions, to be the prime innovator of industry. Alcatel A Communications solutions Company-connected everywhere, anytime to broaden your life and enabling successful multimedia services, architects of an Internet World. •To be a market, technology and operational leader. •Create economies of scale. •Develop superior product and services. •Offer customers competitive advantages. •To be creator of high value-added communications solutions. •Sustainable development. •Systems •Phones •Other operations •Fixed communications. •Mobile communications. •Private communications. 9 LM Ericsson (ADR) Telefonplan SE - 126 25 Stockholm LM Ericsson (Ericsson) is a supplier of mobile systems worldwide. The Company provides total solutions covering everything from systems and applications to services and core technology for mobile handsets. With Sony Ericsson, it also is a supplier of complete mobile multimedia products. Ericsson has been active worldwide since 1876. Products and services include mobile systems, multi-service networks, enterprise services, transmission and transport technologies, advisory services, management and optimization services, third-generation (3-G) mobile telephony, multimedia messaging services, general packet radio services (GPRS) and Bluetooth wireless technologies. Total Employees 51,583 Alcatel (ADR) 54 Rue La Boetie Paris, 75008 Alcatel is a provider of end-to-end communications solutions, enabling carriers, service providers and enterprises to deliver content to any type of user. The Company provides products such as digital subscriber line (DSL) and fiber to the user, asynchronous transfer mode (ATM) switches and Internet protocol (IP) core routers, private branch exchanges (PBX), local area network (LAN) switches, data communication equipment and global systems for mobile communications (GSM) and general packet radio service (GPRS) handsets, space-based systems for the high-speed transport of voice, data and multimedia communications, batteries and components and subsystems. Total Employees 60,486 10 STOCK EXCHANGE TICKER SYMBOL ERICY ALA STOCK OVERVIEW Current value 30.56 $ Current value 15.78 $ FINANCIAL SUMMARY Fiscal year ended 12/31/03, revenues fell 19%, Net loss decreased 43% to EUR 1.178 billion. Results reflect lower volume of mobile and fixed network systems. Net loss reflected lower operating profit margins Fiscal year ended 12/31/03, net sale fell 24% to EUR 12.51 billion. Net loss fell 85% to EUR 1.72 billion. Revenues reflect sales declines across all businesses and all geographic markets. Net losses were offset by improved gross margins and fewer operating expenses. 11 Competitive estimation Organizational Structure Products Global Presence Market Image Ericsson Alcatel Grow Strategy Research & Development 12 Ericsson 13 Austria 1 Subsidiaries Denmark 1 Subsidiaries Finland 1 Subsidiaries France 2 Subsidiaries Sweden 19 Subsidiaries Germany 1 Subsidiaries Hungary 1 Subsidiaries Ireland 4 Subsidiaries Italy 2 Subsidiaries Norway 1 Subsidiaries Russia 1 Subsidiaries Netherlands 3 Subsidiaries Spain 1 Subsidiaries Turkey 1 Subsidiaries Switzerland 1 Subsidiaries United Kingdom 3 Subsidiaries Croatia 1 Subsidiaries 14 Ericsson Subsidiaries in Europe Sweden Norway •Ericsson AB •Ericsson Shared Services AB •Ericsson Shared Services AB •Ericsson Network Technologies AB •Ericsson Business Innovation AB¹ •Ericsson Enterprise AB¹ •Ercisson Microwave Systems AB¹ •Ericsson Severige AB¹ •Ericsson Telecom AB² •SRA Communications AB² •AB Aulus ² •LM Ericsson Holding AB² •Ericsson Cables Holding AB² •Ericsson Gamsta AB³ •Ericsson treasury Services AB³ •Ericsson Credit AB³ •Ericsson Project Finance AB³ •AB LM Ericsson Finans³ •Sony Ericsson Mobile Communications¹ •Ericssocross-n A/S Austria Finland •Oy LM Ericsson AB France •Ericsson Participations S.A •Ericsson France¹ Germany •Ericsson GmbH Hungary •Ericsson Hungary Ltd Ireland •LM Ericsson Ltd •LM Ericsson Holdings Ltd •Ericsson Treasury Ireland Ltd •Ericsson Financial Services Ireland Italy •Ericsson Telecommunicazioni S.P.A •Ericsson S.P.A Russia •Ericsson Corporatio AO Switzerland •Ericsson AG United Kingdom •Ericsson Ltd¹ •Ericsson Mobile Communications Ltd •Ericsson Holding Ltd² The Netherlands •Ericsson Holding International B.V² •Ericsson Nederland B.V² •Ericsson Telecommunicatie B.V²a • Spain •Ericsson Espana S.A •Ericsson Austria GmbH¹ Turkey Croatia Denmark •Ericsson telekomunikasyom S.A¹ a Ericsson Nikola Tesla •LM Ericsson A/S 1- Manufacturing , distribution and development companies 2- Holding companies 3- Finance companies 15 Ericsson Subsidiaries ROW North America -USA •Ericsson Inc¹ •Ericsson Net Qual Inc¹ •Ericsson Wireless Comm. Inc¹ •Ericsson IP Infrastructure ¹ •Ericsson Amplified Teshnologies¹ •Ericsson Holding II Inc² Asia And Pacific Central end South America -China -Mexico •Ericsson Ltd¹ •Ericsson Company Ltd¹ •Nanjing Ericsson Panda Comm. Co.Ltd¹ •Beijing Ericsson Mobile Comm.Co.Ltd¹ -India -Argentina •Cia Ericsson S.A.C.I. ¹ •Ericsson India Private Ltd¹ -Canada -Malaysia •Ericsson Canada Inc¹ •Ericsson Sdu.Bhd¹ •Ericsson Mobile Comm. Sdu.Bhd² Australia -Singapore •Ericsson Australia Pty.Ltd¹ •Teleric Pty Ltd² •Teleindustria Ericsson S.A¹ •Ericsson Telecom S.A¹ -Brazil •Ericsson Telecomunicacoes S.A² •Ericsson Services de Telecom. ¹ •Ericsson Telecomm. Pte.Ltd¹ •Ericsson Consumer Product Asia Pacific Pte.Ltd¹ -Taiwan •Ericsson Taiwan Ltd¹ -Thailand •Ericsson (Thailand) Ltd¹ -Japan •Nippon EricssonK.k¹ 16 Alcatel 17 Austria 1 Subsidiaries Belgium 1 Subsidiaries Poland 1 Subsidiaries France 14 Subsidiaries Italy 2 Subsidiaries Switzerland 1 Subsidiaries United Kingdom 3 Subsidiaries Spain 1 Subsidiaries Germany 4 Subsidiaries Norway 1 Subsidiaries Portugal 1 Subsidiaries Netherlands 2 Subsidiaries Luxemburg 1 Subsidiaries 18 Alcatel Subsidiaries in Europe France Germany United Kingdom •Alcatel Business Systems S.A¹ •Alcatel CIT¹ •Alcatel Cable France¹ •Alcatel Space¹ •Alcatel Submarine Networks S.A¹ •Alda Marine¹ •Evolium Holding SAS¹ •Thales¹ •Alcatel Participations² •Compagnie Financiere Alcatel² •Coracel² •Lubelec² •Saft Participations² •Electro Bancue³ •Alcatel Contracting GmbH¹ •Alcatel Optical fiber GmbH¹ •Alcatel SEL A.G¹ •Alcatel Submarine Limited Networks¹ •Alcatel Telecom Limited¹ •Alcatel UK Limited² Italy Nederland •Alcatel Italia S.p.A¹ •Alcatel Telecom Nederland B.V¹ •Alcatel NV² Austria •Alcatel Austria AG¹ Belgium Poland •Alcatel Polska S.A¹ Portugal Luxembourg •Electro Re³ •Alcatel Portugal S.A¹ Spain Switzerland •Alcatel Espana S.A¹ •Alcatel Schweiz AG¹ Norway •Alcatel Telecom Norway B.V¹ •Alcatel Bell NV¹ 1- Manufacturing , Distribution and Development companies 2- Holding Companies 3- Finance companies 19 Alcatel Subsidiaries ROW North America - Canada •Alcatel Canada Inc¹ •Alcatel Holding Canada Corp.² -USA •Alcatel USA Inc¹ •Radio Frequency Systems Inc¹ Asia and Pacific -China •Alcatel China investment CO Ltd¹ •Alcatel Shangai Bell¹ •Alcatel Suzou Telecommunications CO Ltd¹ •Shangai Bell Alcatel Mobile Communication System CO Co. Ltd¹ Australia •Alcatel Australia Limited¹ -Taiwan •Taiwan International Standard Electronic System CO¹ 20 Executive Management R&D Business Units Market Unit & GCA’s Other Business Units Group Functions & Common Units •Access •Radio Network Development •Systems •Core Network Development • Mobile Systems CDMA •Service Layer Development •Transmission & Transport Networks •Research •Global Services •Enterprise •Microwave Systems •Market Unit •Mobile Platforms •Global Customer Account •Network Technology •Other Business Operation 21 Executive Management Fixed Communications Mobile Communications •Fixed Solutions •Mobile Solutions •Access Networks •Mobile Radio •Voice Networks • Mobile Phones •IP • Wireless Transmission •Optical Networks •Optical Fiber •Power System •Radio Frequency Systems Private Communications Group Functions & Common Units •Solutions for Vertical Market: 1. Enterprise Solutions 2. Space Solutions 3. Transport Solutions 4. Integration & Services •Industrial Components 22 Company Presence in Different Sectors • • • Ericsson Alcatel Systems Fixed Communications Mobile Networks Fixed Networks Professional services Phones Other Operations • • • • • • Defense Systems Microwave Systems Network Technologies Enterprise Systems Mobile Platforms Technology Licencing • • • • • • • Fixed Solutions Access Networks Voice Networks IP Optical Network Optical Fiber Power Systems Mobile communications • • • • • Mobile Solutions Mobile Radio Mobile Phones Wireless Transmission Radio Frequency System Private Communications • • Solution For Vertical Markets ( Enterprise solution, Space solution, Transport solutions, Integration&services Industrial Components 23 Ericsson SWOT Analysis Strength: Weaknesses: •Flexibility •Mobile Systems •Economies of scale •Global presence •R&D •Variability in operating results •Credit and other risk regarding customers Opportunities: Threats: •New emerging markets •Service application •Network management services •Fast market changing •Technically complicated •Telecommunications environment •Limited protection of intellectual property rights •Highly competitive telecommunications markets 24 Alcatel SWOT Analysis Strengths: Weaknesses: •Line with evolution of the telecommunications market •Fixed communications •Broadband •Flexible and responsive organization •Presence in the most dynamic markets •R&D •Additional source to finance business •International presence Opportunities: Threats: •New emerging markets •Weakening dollar •Weakness in the telecommunications market •Rapid changes in technology •Limited number of large customers •Limited protection of intellectual property rights •Weakness its thinness in America and on the Net 25 Risk Factors of CT Industry Risk Factors Ericsson Alcatel •Competitive telecommunications markets high high •Currency fluctuations in world markets med high •The impact of economic conditions in different countries. med high •Protection of intellectual property rights or unauthorized third party use. low low Problematic joint venture and acquisitions low high •Negatively impact of the regulatory environment for telecommunications systems. med med •Depended upon hiring and retaining highly qualified management and other employees. med high •The new technologies may not become commercially successful med high •Engaging in customer finance which leads to certain credit and other risk. low low •CT industry has substantial cash requirements and additional sources of funds. high high •Dependence on key customers. low high •Developing new products which are complex and may not be successful in the market. high high •Long – term contracts which leads to risk cost overruns and extended payment terms. med high •Problematic outside suppliers. med med 26 Key Competitors 29.387 30.000,00 25.000,00 21.473 20.509 20.000,00 15.000,00 10.000,00 12.801 8.600 12.513 7.600 5.000,00 SIEMENS NORTEL ERICSSON NOKIA ALCATEL LUCENT MOTOROLA 0,00 2003 27 Nokia Siemens New Players ASIAN TIGERS Motorola Alcatel Ericsson Lucent Nortel Probably acquired 28 3G Broadband Digital Voice and Extended Data (MMS) Beyond tomorrow 2.5 G GPRS (GSM) 2G Digital Tomorrow Today 1G Analogue Faster than mind Yesterday 29 Five Years Forecast Go Ahead Significance Great Step More quickly Don't wait Time • • • • • • • Broadband & Video – Providing: Broadband service will reach 128 billion $ sale in 2008. Key factors: availability , functionality, quality, convenience, price. Global GSM service revenue will reach 229,7billion $ in 2008. Comparing 93,4 billion $ in 2002 Seamless Service- connected anytime and everywhere IP Telephony is expected to represent 44% of market in 2008. Mobile users will reach second billion within 2008 Real challenge is knowledge management-unlock and share critical information, turn information into actionable business knowledge, leverage human to human interactions. 30 Makes things happen Watch things happening …FURTHER ’’ONCE YOU START TO UNDERSTAND THIS PATTERN YOU START TO SEE IT ANYWHERE. I’M CONVINCED THAT IDEAS AND BEHAVIOURS AND NEW PRODUCTS MOVE THROUGHT A POPULATION VERY MUCH LIKE A DISEASE DOES.’’ ’’The tipping Point’’ by Malcolm Gladwell CT – spreading like a disease!!! 31 Sources • • • • • • www.hovers.com www.finance.com Global Information Inc. Global Industry Analysts www.reuters.com Business Week 32