(Final) Part 2 : Project Planning Ch.6 : Project Activity and Risk Planning 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. Purpose Objectives Overview Schedules Resources Personnel Risk management plans Evaluation methods Systems Integration Performance Effectiveness Cost The Work Breakdown Structure (WBS) is a key project deliverable that organizes the team's work into manageable sections. The Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK) defines the work breakdown structure as a "deliverable oriented hierarchical decomposition of the work to be executed by the project team." The work breakdown structure visually defines the scope into manageable chunks that a project team can understand, as each level of the work breakdown structure provides further definition and detail. Figure 1(below) depicts a sample work breakdown structure with three levels defined. The following guidelines should be considered when creating a work breakdown structure: The top level represents the final deliverable or project Sub-deliverables contain work packages that are assigned to a organization’s department or unit All elements of the work breakdown structure don’t need to be defined to the same level The work package defines the work, duration, and costs for the tasks required to produce the sub-deliverable Work packages should not exceed 10 days of duration Work packages should be independent of other work packages in the work breakdown structure Work packages are unique and should not be duplicated across the work breakdown structure Risk Management : Uncertainty is high , Risk management should be built on the results of prior projects -Risk management planning Need to know the risk involved before selecting a project and focus on externalities ( Track and estimate project survival ). -Risk identification Risk is dependent on technology and environmental factors. Also, it also uses cause-effect diagrams, flow charts, influence charts, SWOT analysis. -Qualitative risk analysis : To prioritize risks by construct a risk matrix - Quantitative risk analysis 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. List ways a project can fail Evaluate severity Estimate likelihood Estimate the inability to detect Find (RPN = S L D) Consider ways to reduce the S, L, and D for each cause of failure - Risk response planning Threats and opportunities -Risk monitoring and control -The risk management register List of categories and key words Estimates on risk, states of project’s environment, or on project assumptions Ch7 : Budgeting: Estimating Costs and Risks Estimating Project Budgets Material + Labor + Equipment + Capital + Overhead + Profits = Bid Resources + Profits = Bid Types of Budgeting - - Top-Down Budgeting : Top managers estimate/decide on the overall budget for the project. These trickle down through the organization where the estimates are broken down into greater detail at each lower level.The process continues to the bottom level Bottom-Up Budgeting : Project is broken down into work packages. Low level managers price out each work package. Overhead and profits are added to develop the budget Negotiation Improving The Process of Cost Estimation 1. Inputs from a lot of areas are required to estimate a project 2. May have a professional cost estimator to do the job 3. Project manager will work closely with cost estimator when planning a project 4. We are primarily interested in estimating direct costs 5. Indirect costs are not a major concern Ch8 : Scheduling CPM - Critical Path Method PERT - Program Evaluation and Review Technique Activity on Arrow - Arrows represent activities while nodes stand for events Activity on Node - Nodes stand for events and arrows show precedence AON AOA 1. 2. 3. 4. Begin with START activity Add activities without precedencies as nodes Add activities that have those activities as precedencies Continue Grantt Chart - list out all of the tasks in your project identify the earliest start date for each task determine the amount of time you need to accomplish each task AON TE a 4m b 6 b a 6 2 2 Precedence Diagramming - Finish to start Start to start Finish to finish 2 - Start to finish Ch 9 : Resource Allocation Slope Crash Cost Normal Cost Crash Time Normal Time slope = cost per day of crashing a project When slope is negative : indicate the time required for a project is decreased, the cost is increased 1. Focus on the critical path when trying to shorten the duration [resource ready] 2. Select the least expensive way to do it Ch 10 : Monitoring and Information Systems – Time (schedule) – Cost (budget) – Scope (project performance) Earned Value Analysis : - 50-50 rule 0-100 percent rule Critical input use rule Proportionality rule CV = EV –AC CPI = EV/AC SV = EV –PV SPI = EV/PV TV = ST- AT TPI = ST/AT CSI = EV*EV/AC*PV Ch 11 : Project Control Focus on 1. - Scope Technical problems Technical difficulties Quality problems Client wants changes Interfunctional complications Technological breakthroughs Intrateam conflict Market changes 2. - Cost Difficulties may need more resources Scope may increase Initial bid was too low Reporting was poor Budget was inadequate Correction not on time Input price changed 3. - Time Difficulties took longer than planned to solve Initial estimates were optimistic Sequencing was incorrect Unavailable resources Preceding tasks were incomplete Change orders Governmental regulations were altered Ch 13 : Project Termination How to finish the project? 1. Termination by extinction Extinction occurs in any scenario where the project goes away.When work on a project stops, some organizational work continues 2. Termination by addition Applies to an in-house project When the project is successful, it is institutionalized While the project goes away, project personnel and assets are transferred to the new business 3. Termination by integration The most common way to terminate a project The project comes into the business That structure absorbs the assets of the project 4. Termination by starvation Termination by starvation involves greatly reducing the budget of a project Used when it is politically dangerous to cancel a project Bad manners to enquire the status of the project