1 Principles of Microeconomics – Econ1014 Tax and Subsidy Study Sheet - Ryan 1. Taxing Cigarette Buyers Governments place taxes on both consumers and producers in order to raise tax revenue to be used to run the government and to finance programs, such as national defense, transportation systems, poverty reduction, education, and so on. These taxes distort the market price signal and lead to a reduction in consumption and production. This reduction in market activity, in the absence of market failure, causes resource misallocation and Deadweight Loss. Sometimes, governments place taxes on markets to intentionally reduce market activity because the government feels the good or service being consumed is ethically or morally bad for people and it doesn’t trust people to make their own choices. In this case, we call the tax a sin tax. In November, Missourians will be asked to vote to increase the tax on cigarette purchases from 17¢ to 97¢, a 470% increase. The proponents of the new higher tax argue that the tax is necessary both to discourage smoking (they realize that people respond negatively to price changes) and to raise more government tax revenue. Suppose the following graph represents the adult cigarette market. P 5.5 S 5 4.5 4 Pb=3.9 3.5 Pe=3.4 Ps=new Pe=3.1 3 80¢ tax 2.5 2 RM 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 New Qe=6.3 Qe=7 8 D New D 9 10 11 Q in thousands 2 a. Show how the market changes when the government places this new 80¢ tax on cigarettes buyers. Suppose the equilibrium price of cigarettes is currently $3.40 and 7 thousand packs of cigarettes are being purchased. Show and estimate the new price paid by buyers (buyer’s price) and the new amount actually received by sellers (seller’s price). Show and estimate as well the new equilibrium price and quantity. The demand curve shifts down by the amount of the new tax because this lowers your willingness-to-pay to the seller by the tax if you have to pay this to the government. This is a demand shift to the left or a decrease in the demand for cigarettes. Show the students how to shift it down by the amount of the new tax. The new equilibrium price will not decrease by 80 cents since sellers are responsive to price changes and won’t sell as much at this lower price, this means the price will need to be renegotiated. Since sellers are so responsive and buyers are not, it looks like the price does not get negotiated down much. The new equilibrium price seems to be about $3.1 (30 cents lower). It looks like sales and purchases fall to about 6300 (700 fewer) b. Who is actually bearing the burden of this tax? Explain why the tax burden is being shared in this way. The burden is being shared by buyers and sellers. Sellers have to accept a 30 cent price decrease (so they are paying 30/80=37.5% of the tax) and buyers end up paying out of pocket 50 cents more than before (so they are paying 50/80=62.5% of the tax). Buyers pay more simply because they are less responsive to price changes and find it harder to change their cigarette purchase decisions to “get away from the tax.” This means sellers don’t have to lower their prices very much to keep sales relatively high. Give them the Tax Sharing Rule: Whoever is least responsive to price changes pays more of the tax share. c. Suppose the price elasticity of demand among adult smokers is -0.5. If the equilibrium price of cigarettes did not change (just the tax added to the cost to buyers), what would be the new level of quantity demanded? Qnew − Qold %ΔQd Qold Εd = = Pnew − Pold %ΔP Pold − 0.5 x0.235 x7 = Q − 7 Qnew − 7 − 0.5 = 4.2 − 3.4 6.1775 = Q 7 3.4 3 Quantity demanded would fall to 6178 cigarettes. This is a bigger fall than we actually observed graphically, because the equilibrium price was renegotiated down so that the actual cost to buyers did not increase as much as the new tax. d. Can you give any prediction at all about the size of the price elasticity of supply? How did you arrive at your prediction? It must be bigger than 0.5 because we can clearly see that buyers paid more of the tax so they must be less responsive to price changes than sellers. e. Do you think this tax will have more or less impact on teenage smokers? Why? We would expect a bigger impact on teenagers since they are usually more responsive to price changes than adult smokers. This is probably due to their lower income (so cigarette price changes seem more significant to them) and because they are less addicted (so it is easier to stop). They might also have less stress and more substitutes for stress release if they have more free time and fewer work and family responsibilities. f. What is the privately optimum level of smoking? This is the negotiated equilibrium quantity of 7000. This is best for me personally because according to my demand curve, I believe each of those first 7000 cigarettes is worth more than the price of 3.40, so I am better off by buying them. This gives me the maximum consumer surplus I can earn. This is also the best for sellers, because according to the supply curve, each of these first 7000 cigarettes costs less than 3.40 to offer for sale, so I am better off by selling them and earn the maximum producer surplus I can. g. If this market is not in market failure (before the tax increase), what is the socially optimum level of smoking? If the market is not in market failure, then what is best for private individuals is also best for society. If my consumption or production decision doesn’t hurt you, then by doing what is best for me, I am doing what is best for society. h. If this market is not in market failure (before the tax increase), what is the amount of resource misallocation induced by the tax? Show this on your graph. In this case, since the tax discourages market activity and sales and purchases fall to 6300, we have 700 cigarettes too few being produced and consumed and resource misallocation of 700 cigarettes too few. i. What is the economic cost of the tax? Show this on your graph. 4 The economic cost comes about because of the loss of consumer and producer surplus from those lost 700 cigarettes. This is measured as Deadweight Loss (DWL) and is the area of the triangle between the original demand and original supply curves above the RM. ⎛1⎞ ⎛1⎞ DWL = ⎜ ⎟(tax)( RM ) = ⎜ ⎟(0.80)(700) = $280 ⎝2⎠ ⎝2⎠ 2. Taxing Cigarette Sellers Suppose the same situation exists as in the graph in the above question, but the government decides to place the tax on cigarette sellers instead of cigarette buyers. P 5.5 New S S 5 4.5 4 Pb=new Pe=3.9 3.5 Pe=3.4 Ps=3.1 3 80¢ tax 2.5 2 RM 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 New Qe=6.3 Qe=7 D 8 9 10 11 Q in thousands a. Show how the market changes when the government places this new 80¢ tax on cigarettes sellers. Suppose the equilibrium price of cigarettes is currently $3.40 and 7 thousand packs of cigarettes are being purchased. Show and estimate the new price paid by buyers (buyer’s price) and the new amount actually received by sellers (seller’s price). Show and estimate as well the new equilibrium price and quantity. 5 The only change will be that the supply curve shifts up by the amount of the tax on sellers since their MC of selling cigarettes has now increased. This is a shift of the supply left or a decrease in supply. Also the new equilibrium price is now the buyers price instead of the sellers price. b. Who is actually bearing the burden of this tax? Explain why the tax burden is being shared in this way. Same as before. Sharing does not depend on who the tax is officially placed on but on the relative responsiveness to price changes. c. If this market is not in market failure (before the tax increase), what is the amount of resource misallocation induced by the tax? Show this on your graph. Same as before. d. What is the economic cost of the tax? Show this on your graph. Same as before. e. How do your results compare to the results of the tax placed on the buyers? Are there any differences? Does it matter who the tax is placed on? Can the government really determine who pays the burden of a tax? See above for answers to this. 6 3. Encouraging the Use of Vaccinations a. Suppose the U.S. government wants to encourage as many people as possible to get immunized against influenza. Show that it doesn’t matter whether they do this by offering a $100 per vaccination subsidy to vaccine producers, a $100 per vaccination subsidy to vaccine consumers or a combination of subsidies of $50 to vaccine producers and $50 to vaccine consumers. Using three separate graphs, show that the subsidy will be shared between the two groups the same way in all three cases. P S Ps= new Pe=$560 $100 Pe=$500 Pb=$460 D (subsidy offered) D (no subsidy offered) Qe new Qe Q $100 Subsidy Offered to Buyers Subsidy of $100 is shared by buyers and sellers with buyers getting $40 in the form of a decrease in their out-of-pocket costs and with sellers getting $60 in the form of a $60 increase in the market equilibrium price as a result of this demand increase for vaccine. 7 P S (no subsidy) S (subsidy offered) Ps=$560 $100 Pe=$500 Pb= new Pe=$460 D Qe new Qe Q $100 Subsidy Offered to Sellers: Subsidy of $100 is shared by buyers and sellers with buyers getting $40 in the form of a decrease in the market equilibrium price of $40 and with sellers getting $60 in the form of an increase in their take home earnings. P S S (subsidy offered) Ps=$560 new Pe=$510 Pe=$500 Pb=$460 D (subsidy offered) D (no subsidy offered) Qe new Qe Q $50 Subsidy to Buyers and $50 Subsidy to Sellers: Subsidy of $100 is shared by buyers and sellers with buyers getting $40 in the form of a decrease in their out-of-pocket costs (they collect $50 from the government but have to pay an extra $10 for the vaccine, so their net gain is $40) and with sellers getting $60 8 (they collect $50 from the government and get an extra $10 from the increase in the selling price). See if you can explain how buyer’s price and seller’s price are found above on the graph. b. Now explain what the sharing of this subsidy tells us about the responsive of these vaccine buyers and sellers to price changes. We can see that the seller in each case ended up with the bigger share of the subsidy ($60 versus $40), this must mean that buyers are more responsive to price changes than are sellers at the equilibrium price.