Pre-Feasibility Study Prime Minister’s Small Business Loan Scheme (Bakery and Confectionery Business) Small and Medium Enterprises Development Authority Ministry of Industries & Production Government of Pakistan www.smeda.org.pk HEAD OFFICE 4th Floor, Building No. 3, Aiwan e Iqbal, Egerton Road, Lahore Tel 92 42 111 111 456, Fax 92 42 36304926-7 helpdesk@smeda.org.pk REGIONAL OFFICE PUNJAB REGIONAL OFFICE SINDH REGIONAL OFFICE KPK REGIONAL OFFICE BALOCHISTAN 3rd Floor, Building No. 3, Aiwan e Iqbal, Egerton Road Lahore, Tel: (042) 111-111-456 Fax: (042)6304926-7 helpdesk.punjab@smeda.org.pk 5TH Floor, Bahria Complex II, M.T. Khan Road, Karachi. Tel: (021) 111-111-456 Fax: (021) 5610572 helpdesk-khi@smeda.org.pk Ground Floor State Life Building The Mall, Peshawar. Tel: (091) 9213046-47 Fax: (091) 286908 helpdesk-pew@smeda.org.pk Bungalow No. 15-A Chaman Housing Scheme Airport Road, Quetta. Tel: (081) 831623, 831702 Fax: (081) 831922 helpdesk-qta@smeda.org.pk September 2013 Pre-feasibility Study Bakery and Confectionery Table of Contents 1 DISCLAIMER ...........................................................................................................2 2 PURPOSE OF THE DOCUMENT ............................................................................ 3 3 INTRODUCTION TO SMEDA ..................................................................................3 4 INTRODUCTION TO SCHEME ...............................................................................4 5 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY .........................................................................................4 6 BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF PROJECT & PRODUCT ................................................ 4 7 CRITICAL FACTORS...............................................................................................5 8 INSTALLED & OPERATIONAL CAPACITIES .......................................................... 5 9 POTENTIAL TARGET MARKET ..............................................................................5 10 PROJECT COST SUMMARY ..................................................................................5 10.1 Project Economics .........................................................................................6 10.2 Project Financing ...........................................................................................6 10.3 Project Cost ...................................................................................................7 10.4 Space Requirement .......................................................................................7 10.5 Machinery and Equipment Requirements ...................................................... 8 10.6 Furniture & Fixtures and Other Equipments ................................................... 9 10.7 Raw Material Requirements........................................................................... 9 10.8 Human Resource Requirement ................................................................... 10 10.9 Revenue Generation.................................................................................... 10 10.10 Utilities and Other Costs .............................................................................. 11 11 ANNEXURE ...........................................................................................................12 11.1 Income Statement ....................................................................................... 12 11.2 Statement of Cash Flow .............................................................................. 13 11.3 Balance Sheet ............................................................................................. 14 11.4 Useful Project Management Tips ................................................................. 15 11.5 Useful Links ................................................................................................. 16 12 KEY ASSUMPTION ............................................................................................... 17 12.1 Raw Material Assumptions .......................................................................... 17 12.2 Sales Assumptions ...................................................................................... 24 1 Pre-feasibility Study Bakery and Confectionery 1 DISCLAIMER This information memorandum is to introduce the subject matter and provide a general idea and information on the said matter. Although, the material included in this document is based on data/information gathered from various reliable sources; however, it is based upon certain assumptions which may differ from case to case. The information has been provided on as is where is basis without any warranties or assertions as to the correctness or soundness thereof. Although, due care and diligence has been taken to compile this document, the contained information may vary due to any change in any of the concerned factors, and the actual results may differ substantially from the presented information. SMEDA, its employees or agents do not assume any liability for any financial or other loss resulting from this memorandum in consequence of undertaking this activity. The contained information does not preclude any further professional advice. The prospective user of this memorandum is encouraged to carry out additional diligence and gather any information which is necessary for making an informed decision, including taking professional advice from a qualified consultant/technical expert before taking any decision to act upon the information. For more information on services offered by SMEDA, please contact our website: www.smeda.org.pk 2 Pre-feasibility Study Bakery and Confectionery 2 PURPOSE OF THE DOCUMENT The objective of the pre-feasibility study is primarily to facilitate potential entrepreneurs in project identification for investment. The project pre-feasibility may form the basis of an important investment decision and in order to serve this objective, the document/study covers various aspects of project concept development, start-up, and production, marketing, finance and business management. The purpose of this document is to facilitate potential investors in Bakery and Confectionery by providing them with a general understanding of the business with the intention of supporting potential investors in crucial investment decisions. The need to come up with pre-feasibility reports for undocumented or minimally documented sectors attains greater imminence as the research that precedes such reports reveal certain thumb rules; best practices developed by existing enterprises by trial and error, and certain industrial norms that become a guiding source regarding various aspects of business set-up and it’s successful management. Apart from carefully studying the whole document one must consider critical aspects provided later on, which form basis of any Investment Decision. 3 INTRODUCTION TO SMEDA The Small and Medium Enterprises Development Authority (SMEDA) was established in October 1998 with an objective to provide fresh impetus to the economy through development of Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs). With a mission "to assist in employment generation and value addition to the national income, through development of the SME sector, by helping increase the number, scale and competitiveness of SMEs" , SMEDA has carried out ‘sectoral research’ to identify policy, access to finance, business development services, strategic initiatives and institutional collaboration and networking initiatives. Preparation and dissemination of prefeasibility studies in key areas of investment has been a successful hallmark of SME facilitation by SMEDA. Concurrent to the prefeasibility studies, a broad spectrum of business development services is also offered to the SMEs by SMEDA. These services include identification of experts and consultants and delivery of need based capacity building programs of different types in addition to business guidance through help desk services. 3 Pre-feasibility Study Bakery and Confectionery 4 INTRODUCTION TO SCHEME Prime Minister’s ‘Small Business Loans Scheme’, for young entrepreneurs, with an allocated budget of Rs. 5.0 Billion for the year 2013-14, is designed to provide subsidised financing at 8% mark-up per annum for one hundred thousand (100,000) beneficiaries, through designated financial institutions, initially through National Bank of Pakistan (NBP) and First Women Bank Ltd. (FWBL). Small business loans with tenure upto 7 years, and a debt : equity of 90 : 10 will be disbursed to SME beneficiaries across Pakistan, covering; Punjab, Sindh, Khyber Pakhtunkhwah, Balochistan, Gilgit Baltistan, Azad Jammu & Kashmir and Federally Administered Tribal Areas (FATA). 5 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Bakery & Confectionery business is growing in both urban and semi-urban areas. This pre-feasibility study encompasses the bakery business located in commercial neighborhood surrounding and middle income residential localities. Major products include cakes, snacks, sweets, nimko, biscuits, bread and general confectionery items, which will be sold to target customers of vicinity. The sales outlet will be supported by an in house production facility. Selections of adequate product mix and business location, supported by marketing efforts are the critical success factors. This Bakery & Confectionery business will be started as sole proprietorship with an investment of Rs. 2.04 million. This project is based on 90% debt and 10% equity ratio. Projected IRR and Payback of this project are 57% and 2.76 years respectively. The business will provide employment opportunity to 06 individuals including the owner manager. 6 BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF PROJECT & PRODUCT The proposed Bakery & Confectionery shop is a small scale project with a production area and sales out-let. It will be equipped with basic machinery and fixtures. The production area will require covered area of 2,700 sqft and the outlet will be established on 900 sqft. The sales outlet will remain open for business for 16 hours per day around the year. Product mix will include cakes, snacks, sweets, nimko, biscuits, bread and general confectionery items. This merchandise will be prepared and acquired according to the demand of local customers and in quantities directly proportional to expected sales. 4 Pre-feasibility Study Bakery and Confectionery Out of total sales revenue 70% will come from bakery items and balance 30% from general confectionery items. Maximum sales are expected during Eid Seasons and in winters. First year revenues of the project are estimated to be Rs 11.24 million. It is expected that production growth rate will be 5% per annum along with 10% per annum increase in sales price. 7 CRITICAL FACTORS • • • • • • Background knowledge and experience of the entrepreneur in the bakery business. Induction of trained human resource for production of requisite items. Maintenance of Quality and hygiene standards. Pricing strategy & understanding requirements of the target customers. Decor presentation and layout of the shop and products. Locational considerations for easy access of the customers. 8 INSTALLED & OPERATIONAL CAPACITIES As mentioned the sales of bakery items is 70 % of total sales revenue. The installed capacity of bakery depends on the variety of the products being produced. Installed capacity of major production items is cakes 23,758 pounds, 40,470 pieces of snacks, 11,812 pounds of sweets and nimko, and 11,800 pounds of mixed biscuits. Starting capacity utilization is 70% of the installed capacity growing at the rate of 5% per annum. 9 POTENTIAL TARGET MARKET Areas having presence of middle income groups in the smaller cities will be ideal location for opening sales outlet of the business. Ideally production facility of the workshop should be located alongside the sales outlet; however, if the rental costs are a constraint, production facility can be established at a distant economical location. In such a case, higher transportation costs may need to be factored in. Smaller cities with growing middle income group such as Sargodha, shekhupura, Gujrat, Sukkur, Hyderabad, Nowshehra, Charsadda, Khuzdar and Gilgit are some of the prospective cities for setting up this business. 10 PROJECT COST SUMMARY A detailed financial model has been developed to analyze the commercial viability of [the project] under the Prime Minister’s Small Business Loan Scheme. 5 Pre-feasibility Study Bakery and Confectionery Various cost and revenue related assumptions along with results of the analysis are outlined in this section. The projected Income Statement, Cash Flow Statement and Balance Sheet are attached as annexure. 10.1 Project Economics All the figures in this financial model have been calculated for estimated sales of Rs. 11.24 million in the year one. The capacity utilization during year one is worked out at 70% with 5% increase in subsequent year’s up to the maximum capacity utilization of 95%. The following table shows internal rates of return and payback period. Table 1: Project Economics Description Details Internal Rate of Return (IRR) 51% Payback Period (yrs) 2.76 Net Present Value (Rs.) 4,134,165 Project returns are based on the margins of the items sold. Profitability of the business is highly dependent on raw material cost. Moreover, in bakery or food item businesses the probability of wastage is higher, hence reducing of wastage through demand and supply analysis will play a vital role in profit maximization. In this regard, efficient supply chain management will be an appropriate strategy for this venture. Another crucial factor for the success of this project is to maintain the hygienic standards and clean environment to avoid customer complaints. 10.2 Project Financing Following table provides details of the equity required and variables related to bank loan; 6 Pre-feasibility Study Bakery and Confectionery Table 2: Project Finance Description Details Total Equity (10%) Rs. 204,144 Bank Loan (90%) Rs. 1,837,298 Markup to the Borrower (%age/annum) 8% Tenure of the Loan (Years) 7 10.3 Project Cost Following fixed and working capital requirements have been identified for operations of the proposed business. Table 3: Capital Investment for the Project Description Amount Rs. Capital Cost Plant and Machinery 1,124,000 Furniture, Fixture and Office Equipment Motor Vehicles 270,000 45,000 Pre-operating Cost 120,000 Total Capital Cost 1,559,000 Working Capital Raw Material Inventory 106,692 Up-front Building Rent 225,000 Cash 150,000 Total Working Capital 481,692 Total Project Cost 2,041,442 *Pre-paid Building and Shop Rent (for 1 Kanal @ Rs. 75,000 per month) 3 Months Rent as Security and 1 Months Advance Rent calculated. 10.4 Space Requirement Space requirements for the proposed bakery and confectionary unit mainly include the production hall, store room and a retail outlet. For this purpose it is recommended that a rented place of maximum 3.600 sqft (i.e. 2,700 sqft for 7 Pre-feasibility Study Bakery and Confectionery production space and 900 sqft for outlet) would be acquired on rent basis in the vicinity of newly developing housing societies in the major cities. The production space and bakery outlet could be acquired at separate places. However, it should be ensured that both the facilities are located closely for easy supply of produced goods to the outlet. Table 4: Space Requirement Estimated Area (Sqft) Description Production Space 2,700 35,000 900 40,000 Outlet Space 10.5 Monthly Rent (Rs.) Machinery and Equipment Requirements Plant, machinery and equipment for the proposed project are stated below. Table 5: List of Plant Machinery and Equipment Sr. No Description of Item Req. Qty Unit Cost (Rs.) Total Cost (Rs.) 1 Flour Sifter 1 125,000 125,000 2 Mixer (60 Kg or 40 Ltr Capacity 1 250,000 250,000 3 Cross Sheeter 1 200,000 200,000 4 Oven (8x8 ft) 1 350,000 350,000 5 Dyes 30 75 2,250 6 Deep Freezer 1 50,000 50,000 7 Fryer and Burner 2 15,000 30,000 8 Ceiling Machine 1 1,500 1,500 9 Moving Trolleys 2 10,000 20,000 10 Trays 30 200 6,000 11 UPS and Batteries 2 20,000 40,000 12 Misc. Tools & Equipments (Pans, Knives and others) 1 50,000 50,000 Total 1,124,750 The required machinery is easily available in the local markets. Used and new machinery can be purchased from different markets in Lahore and Gujranwala. 8 Pre-feasibility Study Bakery and Confectionery These requirements are based on the proposed production plans as mentioned elsewhere. 10.6 Furniture & Fixtures and Other Equipments In addition to the above plant machinery and equipment, following necessary items will be required for the proposed venture. Table 6: Furniture & Fixture and Other Equipment Sr. No Description of Item 1 Production Tables 2 Chairs & Other Furniture 3 Cost of Renovation and Interior Designing 4 Air conditioner 5 Req. Qty 2 Unit Cost (Rs.) Total Cost (Rs.) 5,000 10,000 10,000 10,000 125,000 125,000 1 45,000 45,000 Vertical Freezer 1 30,000 30,000 6 Weighing Scales (For Cash Counter & Production) 1 5,000 5,000 7 Micro Wave Oven 1 10,000 10,000 8 Sign Board 1 10,000 10,000 9 Miscellaneous 1 25,000 25,000 Total 270,000 10.7 Raw Material Requirements There is large number of raw materials required for production of different varieties of bakery and confectionary products. The complete details of raw materials along with recipe of different products are enclosed as Annexure 12.1. 9 Pre-feasibility Study Bakery and Confectionery 10.8 Human Resource Requirement Table 7: Human Resource Requirement Description No. of Employees Salary/ Month (per person) Owner Manager 1 25,000 Master Chef 1 20,000 Salesmen 2 10,000 Helpers 2 10,000 Total Staff 6 The owner of the business is recommended for personally managing the operations of the proposed venture. Additionally, above HR composition shall be engaged in order to manage the operational affairs of this project under the supervision of the owner. The appropriate experience for Chef and Salesmen would be required. 10.9 Revenue Generation Following table provides the details of sales revenues for year one: Table 8: Sales Revenue (1st Year) 1st Year Sales Revenue (Rs.) Product Mix % age of Sales Bakery Sales 70% 8,645,315 General Item Sales 30% 2,593,595 Total Sales 11,238,910 The above sales revenues are based on following key operational assumptions: Table 9: Operational Assumptions No of Working Days 355 No. of Working Hours/day 16 No. of Shifts/day 2 10 Pre-feasibility Study Bakery and Confectionery 10.10 Utilities and Other Costs An essential cost to be borne by the company is the cost of electricity and gas. The electricity expenses are estimated to be around Rs. 50,000 per month, whereas, gas expenses are estimated to be Rs. 45,000 (including both natural gas and LPG). Considering the non availability or low pressure of natural gas alternate burning fuels i.e. LPG, wood or kerosene oil may need to be considered. The advance procurement of raw materials and packing material for at least 03 days along with 02 days finished goods stock level will be maintained for uninterrupted sales of goods, at the production and outlet facility. 11 Pre-feasibility Study Bakery and Confectionery 11 ANNEXURE 11.1 Income Statement Income Statement Year 1 11,238,910 Year 2 13,419,982 Year 3 15,747,024 Year 4 18,405,275 Year 5 21,437,705 Year 6 24,892,570 Year 7 27,401,857 Year 8 30,142,043 Year 9 33,156,247 Year 10 36,471,872 7,681,843 236,667 240,000 20,708 345,139 8,524,357 2,714,552 9,172,615 263,123 264,000 24,727 412,118 10,136,583 3,283,398 10,763,159 288,758 290,400 29,015 483,580 11,854,911 3,892,113 12,580,085 316,888 319,440 33,913 565,213 13,815,538 4,589,737 14,652,764 347,756 351,384 39,500 658,337 16,049,741 5,387,964 17,014,179 381,630 386,522 45,866 764,433 18,592,630 6,299,940 18,729,288 419,092 425,175 50,489 841,491 20,465,535 6,936,322 20,602,216 459,895 467,692 55,538 925,641 22,510,983 7,631,060 22,662,438 504,671 514,461 61,092 1,018,205 24,760,868 8,395,379 24,928,682 553,807 565,907 67,202 1,120,025 27,235,623 9,236,249 780,000 78,000 900,000 360,000 56,195 15,600 7,800 112,389 143,975 12,000 855,942 85,594 990,000 396,000 67,100 17,119 8,559 134,200 143,975 12,000 939,278 93,928 1,089,000 435,600 78,735 18,786 9,393 157,470 143,975 12,000 1,030,727 103,073 1,197,900 479,160 92,026 20,615 10,307 184,053 143,975 12,000 1,131,080 113,108 1,317,690 527,076 107,189 22,622 11,311 214,377 143,975 12,000 1,241,204 124,120 1,449,459 579,784 124,463 24,824 12,412 248,926 143,975 12,000 1,362,049 136,205 1,594,405 637,762 137,009 27,241 13,620 274,019 143,975 12,000 1,494,660 149,466 1,753,845 701,538 150,710 29,893 14,947 301,420 143,975 12,000 1,640,182 164,018 1,929,230 771,692 165,781 32,804 16,402 331,562 143,975 12,000 1,799,873 179,987 2,122,153 848,861 182,359 35,997 17,999 364,719 143,975 12,000 2,465,959 248,594 2,710,489 572,909 2,978,164 913,949 3,273,836 1,315,901 3,600,427 1,787,537 3,961,166 2,338,774 4,338,285 2,598,037 4,752,455 2,878,605 5,207,646 3,187,733 5,707,923 3,528,326 Earnings Before Interest & Taxes 248,594 572,909 913,949 1,315,901 1,787,537 2,338,774 2,598,037 2,878,605 3,187,733 3,528,326 Interest expense on long term debt (Project Loan) Interest expense on long term debt (Working Capital Loan) Subtotal Earnings Before Tax 139,611 139,611 108,983 122,676 122,676 450,233 104,337 104,337 809,612 84,475 84,475 1,231,426 62,964 62,964 1,724,573 39,668 39,668 2,299,105 14,439 14,439 2,583,598 2,878,605 3,187,733 3,528,326 Tax NET PROFIT/(LOSS) AFTER TAX 108,983 5,023 445,210 43,942 765,670 107,214 1,124,213 192,414 1,532,159 307,321 1,991,784 368,399 2,215,199 442,151 2,436,454 519,433 2,668,300 604,581 2,923,744 Balance brought forward Total profit available for appropriation Dividend Balance carried forward 108,983 108,983 108,983 554,193 554,193 554,193 1,319,863 1,319,863 1,319,863 2,444,076 2,444,076 2,444,076 3,976,234 3,976,234 3,976,234 5,968,019 5,968,019 5,968,019 8,183,217 8,183,217 8,183,217 10,619,671 10,619,671 10,619,671 13,287,971 13,287,971 13,287,971 16,211,716 16,211,716 Revenue Cost of sales Cost of goods sold 1 Operation costs 1 (direct labor) Operating costs 3 (direct electricity) Operating costs 4 (direct water) Operating costs 5 (direct gas) Total cost of sales Gross Profit General administration & selling expenses Administration expense Administration benefits expense Building rental expense Electricity expense Outlet Travelling expense Communications expense (phone, fax, mail, internet, etc.) Office expenses (stationary, entertainment, janitorial services, etc.) Promotional expense Depreciation expense Amortization of pre-operating costs Miscellaneous expense 1 Subtotal Operating Income 68% 2% 2% 76% 7% 1% 8% 3% 1% 0.14% 0.07% 1% 1% 0.11% 12 Pre-feasibility Study Bakery and Confectionery 11.2 Statement of Cash Flow Cash Flow Statement Year 0 Operating activities Net profit Add: depreciation expense amortization of pre-operating costs Deferred income tax Finished goods inventory Equipment inventory Raw material inventory Pre-paid building rent Accounts payable Cash provided by operations Financing activities Project Loan - principal repayment Additions to Project Loan Issuance of shares Cash provided by / (used for) financing activities Investing activities Capital expenditure Acquisitions Cash (used for) / provided by investing activities NET CASH Cash balance brought forward Cash available for appropriation Dividend Cash balance Cash carried forward Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10 (331,692) 108,983 143,975 12,000 (120,061) (33,445) (22,500) 321,451 410,403 445,210 143,975 12,000 5,023 (20,855) (40,744) (24,750) 62,939 582,798 765,670 143,975 12,000 43,942 (23,878) (51,676) (27,225) 67,488 930,296 1,124,213 143,975 12,000 107,214 (27,245) (65,403) (29,948) 77,356 1,342,162 1,532,159 143,975 12,000 192,414 (31,046) (82,617) (32,942) 88,574 1,822,517 1,991,784 143,975 12,000 307,321 (35,335) (80,258) (36,236) 100,343 2,403,594 2,215,199 143,975 12,000 368,399 (25,824) (96,775) (39,860) 74,461 2,651,575 2,436,454 143,975 12,000 442,151 (28,409) (117,098) (43,846) 81,782 2,927,009 2,668,300 143,975 12,000 519,433 (31,248) (141,689) (48,231) 90,489 3,213,030 2,923,744 143,975 12,000 604,581 (34,372) 816,396 530,538 59,583 5,056,446 1,837,298 204,144 2,041,442 (204,028) (204,028) (220,962) (220,962) (239,302) (239,302) (259,164) (259,164) (280,674) (280,674) (303,970) (303,970) (329,199) (329,199) (106,692) (225,000) - - - (1,559,750) - - - - - - - - - - (1,559,750) - - - - - - - - - - 150,000 150,000 150,000 150,000 206,376 361,836 690,995 1,082,998 1,541,843 2,099,624 2,322,376 2,927,009 3,213,030 5,056,446 150,000 356,376 356,376 356,376 356,376 718,212 718,212 718,212 718,212 1,409,206 1,409,206 1,409,206 1,409,206 2,492,205 2,492,205 2,492,205 2,492,205 4,034,048 4,034,048 4,034,048 4,034,048 6,133,672 6,133,672 6,133,672 6,133,672 8,456,047 8,456,047 8,456,047 8,456,047 11,383,056 11,383,056 11,383,056 11,383,056 14,596,086 14,596,086 14,596,086 14,596,086 19,652,532 19,652,532 19,652,532 13 Pre-feasibility Study Bakery and Confectionery 11.3 Balance Sheet Balance Sheet Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10 150,000 106,692 225,000 481,692 356,376 120,061 140,137 247,500 864,074 718,212 140,916 180,881 272,250 1,312,259 1,409,206 164,795 232,557 299,475 2,106,033 2,492,205 192,039 297,960 329,423 3,311,627 4,034,048 223,085 380,576 362,365 5,000,074 6,133,672 258,420 460,834 398,601 7,251,527 8,456,047 284,244 557,610 438,461 9,736,362 11,383,056 312,653 674,708 482,307 12,852,724 14,596,086 343,901 816,396 530,538 16,286,921 19,652,532 378,273 20,030,804 Fixed assets Machinery & equipment Furniture, fixtures and Office Equipment Office vehicles Total Fixed Assets 1,124,750 270,000 45,000 1,439,750 1,012,275 243,000 40,500 1,295,775 899,800 216,000 36,000 1,151,800 787,325 189,000 31,500 1,007,825 674,850 162,000 27,000 863,850 562,375 135,000 22,500 719,875 449,900 108,000 18,000 575,900 337,425 81,000 13,500 431,925 224,950 54,000 9,000 287,950 112,475 27,000 4,500 143,975 Intangible assets Pre-operation costs Total Intangible Assets TOTAL ASSETS 120,000 120,000 2,041,442 108,000 108,000 2,267,849 96,000 96,000 2,560,059 84,000 84,000 3,197,858 72,000 72,000 4,247,477 60,000 60,000 5,779,949 48,000 48,000 7,875,427 36,000 36,000 10,204,287 24,000 24,000 13,164,674 12,000 12,000 16,442,896 20,030,804 321,451 321,451 384,390 384,390 451,879 451,879 529,235 529,235 617,809 617,809 718,151 718,151 792,612 792,612 874,394 874,394 964,884 964,884 1,024,466 1,024,466 1,633,270 1,633,270 5,023 1,412,308 1,417,332 48,965 1,173,007 1,221,972 156,179 913,843 1,070,022 348,593 633,169 981,762 655,914 329,199 985,113 1,024,313 1,024,313 1,466,464 1,466,464 1,985,897 1,985,897 2,590,478 2,590,478 204,144 108,983 313,127 2,267,849 204,144 554,193 758,337 2,560,059 204,144 1,319,863 1,524,007 3,197,858 204,144 2,444,076 2,648,220 4,247,477 204,144 3,976,234 4,180,379 5,779,949 204,144 5,968,019 6,172,163 7,875,427 204,144 8,183,217 8,387,361 10,204,287 204,144 10,619,671 10,823,815 13,164,674 204,144 13,287,971 13,492,115 16,442,896 204,144 16,211,716 16,415,860 20,030,804 Assets Current assets Cash & Bank Finished goods inventory Raw material inventory Pre-paid building rent Total Current Assets Liabilities & Shareholders' Equity Current liabilities Accounts payable Total Current Liabilities Other liabilities Deferred tax Long term debt (Project Loan) Total Long Term Liabilities Shareholders' equity Paid-up capital Retained earnings Total Equity TOTAL CAPITAL AND LIABILITIES - 1,837,298 1,837,298 204,144 204,144 2,041,442 14 - Pre-feasibility Study 11.4 Useful Project Management Tips Technology • Required spare parts & consumables: Suppliers credit agreements and availability as per schedule of maintenance be ensured before start of operations • Energy Requirement: Should not be overestimated or installed in excess and alternate source of energy for critical operations be arranged in advance • Machinery Suppliers: Should be asked for training and after sales services under the contract with the machinery suppliers • Quality Assurance Equipment & Standards: Whatever means required products quality standards need to be defined on the packaging and a system to check them instituted, this improves credibility Marketing • Product Development & Packaging: Expert's help may be engaged for product/service and packaging design & development • Ads & Point of Sales Promotion: Business promotion and dissemination through banners and launch events is highly recommended. Product broachers from good quality service providers • Price - Bulk Discounts, Cost plus Introductory Discounts: Price should never be allowed to compromise quality. Price during introductory phase may be lower and used as promotional tool. Product cost estimates should be carefully documented before price setting. Government controlled prices shall be displayed. Human Resources • Adequacy & Competencies: Skilled and experienced master chef should be considered an investment even to the extent of offering share in business profit. 15 Pre-feasibility Study 11.5 Useful Links Prime Minister’s Office, www.pmo.gov.pk Small and Medium Enterprise Development Authority, www.smeda.org.pk National Bank of Pakistan (NBP), www.nbp.com.pk First Women Bank Limited (FWBL), www.fwbl.com.pk State Bank of Pakistan (SBP), www.sbp.org.pk Government of Pakistan, www.pakistan.gov.pk Ministry of Industries & Production, www.moip.gov.pk Ministry of Education, Training & Standards in Higher Education, http://moptt.gov.pk Government of Punjab, www.punjab.gov.pk Government of Sindh, www.sindh.gov.pk Government of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, www.khyberpakhtunkhwa.gov.pk Government of Balochistan, www.balochistan.gov.pk Government of Gilgit Baltistan, www.gilgitbaltistan.gov.pk Government of Azad Jamu Kashmir, www.ajk.gov.pk Security Commission of Pakistan (SECP), www.secp.gov.pk 16 Pre-feasibility Study Bakery and Confectionery 12 KEY ASSUMPTION 12.1 Raw Material Assumptions Plain & Dry Cakes Plain cakes Qty Ingredients For Making 1 Kg (gms) Qty Ingredients For Making 1 Pound (gms) Units of measure Quantity Rate Cost % ingredients Qty Ingredients Qty Ingredients in grams For Making 1 Kg Butter Kg 280 450 125,959 21.73% 303 225 225 102.058 Sugar Kg 50 60 2,986 3.86% 333 40 40 18.144 Maida Kg 373 50 18,661 28.97% 393 300 300 136.078 Baking powder Kg 12 60 746 0.97% 12 10 10 4.536 Eggs Pcs 11,594 7 81,157 34.77% 7,261 9 360 163.293 Flavor Ltr. 1 500 311 0.05% 1 0.5 1 0.227 Cream and Honey Kg 124 400 49,762 9.66% 100 100 45.359 279,581 100.00% Raw material: 8,302 1036 Plain fruit cakes Units of measure Quantity Rate Cost % ingredients Qty Ingredients Qty Ingredients in grams For Making 1 Kg Butter Kg 316 450 142,012 24.498% 162 250 250 Sugar Kg 50 60 3,030 3.920% 178 40 40 Raw material: 17 Qty Ingredients For Making 1 Kg (gms) Qty Ingredients For Making 1 Pound (gms) Pre-feasibility Study Bakery and Confectionery Maida Kg 316 50 15,779 24.498% 211 250 250 Baking powder Kg 13 60 757 0.980% 6 10 10 Fruit Chunks Kg 379 60 22,722 29.397% 66 300 300 Sougi Kg 63 80 5,049 4.900% 66 50 50 Eggs Pcs 3,865 7 27,052 11.759% 3,888 3 120 Flavors Ltr. 1 500 316 0.049% 0.32 0.5 0.5 216,716 100% 4,578 1020.5 Dry cakes Units of measure Quantity Rate Cost % ingredients Qty Ingredients Qty Ingredients in grams For Making 1 Kg Butter Kg 357 450 160,629 22.167% 545 225 225 Sugar Kg 63 60 3,807 3.941% 545 40 40 Maida Kg 436 50 21,814 27.094% 545 275 275 Baking powder Kg 16 60 952 0.985% 22 10 10 Eggs Pcs 14,492 7 101,446 35.468% 16,364 9 360 Flavor Ltr. 8 500 3,966 0.493% 1.09 5 5 Cream + Honey Kg 159 400 63,458 9.852% 100 100 356,072 100.000% Raw material: 18,023 Qty Ingredients For Making 1 Kg (gms) Qty Ingredients For Making 1 Pound (gms) 1015 Sweets & Nimko Nimko Raw material: Units of measure Quantity Rate Cost % ingredients 18 Qty Ingredients Qty Ingredients in grams For Making 1 Kg Qty Ingredients For Making 1 Kg (gms) Qty Ingredients For Making 1 Pound (gms) Pre-feasibility Study Bakery and Confectionery Baison Kg 485 90 43,639 68.293% 491 700 700 Dry Fruit Kg 139 160 22,166 19.512% 123 200 200 Channey Kg 69 120 8,312 9.756% 61 100 100 Nimko Masala Kg 17 150 2,598 2.439% 25 2525 25 25 25 Sweets Units of measure Quantity Rate Cost % ingredients Qty Ingredients Qty Ingredients in grams For Making 1 Kg Khoya Kg 1,801 400 720,290 33.816% 1,050 350 350 Maida Kg 1,158 50 57,880 21.739% 263 225 225 Eggs Kg 21,300 7 149,100 15.459% 131 4 160 Ghee Kg 772 175 135,054 14.493% 53 150 150 Sugar syrup or Sugar Kg 772 800 617,391 14.493% 919 150 150 1,679,716 100% 2,415 Raw material: Qty Ingredients For Making 1 Kg (gms) Qty Ingredients For Making 1 Pound (gms) 1035 Chicken Bread Units of measure Quantity Rate Cost % ingredients Qty Ingredients Qty Ingredients in grams For Making 1 Kg Maida Kg 416.02 50 20,801 14.648% 336.00 150 150 Oil Ltr 55.47 190 10,539 1.953% 33.60 20 20 Yeast Kg 5.55 180 998 0.195% 1.68 2 2 Sugar Kg 69.34 60 4,160 2.441% 33.60 25 25 Salt Kg 5.55 8 44 0.195% 3.60 2 2 Chicken Kg 970.70 275 266,943 34.180% 480.00 350 350 Raw material: 19 Qty Ingredients For Making 1 Kg (gms) Qty Ingredients For Making 1 Pound (gms) Pre-feasibility Study Bakery and Confectionery Onion Kg 346.68 40 13,867 12.207% 720.00 125 125 Masala Kg 138.67 84 11,648 4.883% 84.00 50 50 Cheese Kg 277.34 800 221,875 9.766% 180.00 100 100 Mayonnaise & Ketchup Kg 138.67 90 12,480 4.883% 120.00 50 50 Mix Vegetable Kg 416.02 80 33,281 14.648% 120.00 150 150 596,639 100.000% 2,112 1024 1024 Qty Ingredients For Making 1 Kg (gms) 2,840 Fresh Cream cakes Units of measure Quantity Rate Cost % ingredients Qty Ingredients Qty Ingredients in grams For Making 1 Kg Butter Kg 491 450 221,135 12.207% 545 80 125 Sugar Kg 393 60 23,588 9.766% 545 100 100 Maida Kg 491 50 24,571 12.207% 545 100 125 Baking powder Kg 8 60 472 0.195% 22 2 2 Eggs Pcs 16,103 7 112,718 15.625% 16,364 4 160 Flavor Ltr. 8 500 3,931 0.195% 1.09 2 2 Fresh Cream Kg 2,005 300 601,486 49.805% 510 510 987,899 100.000% Raw material: * Assume 20% extra cost for this type of Cakes 18,023 Qty Ingredients For Making 1 Pound (gms) 1024 1,185,479 Pastries & Puff etc Raw material: Butter Units of measure Quantity Rate Cost % ingredients Qty Ingredients Qty Ingredients in grams For Making 1 Kg Kg 315 450 141,526 12.207% 545 100 20 Qty Ingredients For Making 1 Kg (gms) 125 Qty Ingredients For Making 1 Pound (gms) Pre-feasibility Study Bakery and Confectionery Sugar Kg 252 60 15,096 9.766% 545 100 100 Maida Kg 315 50 15,725 12.207% 545 100 125 Baking powder Kg 5 60 302 0.195% 22 2 2 Eggs Pcs 10,306 7 72,139 15.625% 16,364 4 160 Flavor Ltr. 5 500 2,516 0.195% 1.09 2 2 Fresh Cream Kg 1,283 300 384,951 49.805% 510 510 632,256 100.000% 18,023 1024 - 100.000% 407 1030 Bread - Biscuits etc Units of measure Quantity Rate Cost % ingredients Qty Ingredients Qty Ingredients in grams For Making 1 Kg Butter Kg 873 450 392,828 16.393% 303 170 170 Sugar Kg 770 60 46,215 14.465% 333 150 150 Maida Kg 1,797 50 89,863 33.751% 393 350 350 Baking powder Kg 26 60 1,541 0.482% 12 5 5 Eggs Pcs 47,925 7 335,475 34.716% 7,261 9 360 Flavor Ltr. 10 500 5,135 0.193% 1 2 2 871,056 100% 8,302 Raw material: Snacks Per Piece Chicken Drum stick Leg Piece 45.5 161,525 Chicken Leg Piece 21 Qty Ingredients For Making 1 Kg (gms) 1037 Qty Ingredients For Making 1 Pound (gms) Pre-feasibility Study Bakery and Confectionery 63 268,380 21 111,825 35 62,125 17.5 155,313 21 74,550 Chicken Shami Chicken Sandwich Chicken Patties Chicken Bread roll 22 Pre-feasibility Study Bakery and Confectionery Chicken Pizza Cost % ingredients Qty Ingredients Qty Ingredients in grams For Making 1 Kg Qty Ingredients For Making 1 Kg (gms) 50 46,529 19.417% 336.00 200 200 69.79 190 13,261 1.456% 33.60 15 15 Kg 4.65 180 838 0.097% 1.68 1 1 Sugar Kg 93.06 60 5,583 1.942% 33.60 20 20 Salt Kg 18.61 15 279 0.388% 3.60 4 4 Chicken Kg 1,395.87 275 383,865 29.126% 480.00 300 300 Onion Kg 930.58 40 37,223 19.417% 720.00 200 200 Masala Kg 186.12 84 15,634 3.883% 84.00 40 40 Cheese Kg 465.29 800 372,233 9.709% 180.00 100 100 Mayonnaise & Ketchup Kg 232.65 90 20,938 4.854% 120.00 50 50 Mix Vegetables Kg 465.29 80 37,223 9.709% 120.00 100 100 933,607 100% 2,112 Units of measure Quantity Rate Maida Kg 930.58 Oil Ltr Yeast Raw material: 4,793 23 1030 Pre-feasibility Study 12.2 Sales Assumptions Description Fresh Cream Cakes Fresh cream Fresh fruit Chocolate Cakes Butter cream cakes Total Fresh & Chocolate Pastries Donuts Cream puff Cream roll Total Bread (Out Sourced) Bread, Bun, Rusk Etc. Total Dry cakes Dry cakes Fruit cakes large Fruit cakes small Plain cakes large Plain cakes small Total Snacks Chicken pizza large Chicken pizza medium Chicken pizza small Chicken bread Chicken drum stick leg piece Chicken leg piece Chicken shami Chicken sandwich Chicken patties Chicken bread roll Total Units Sales per Day (Qty) Pounds Pounds Pounds Pounds 10 5 5 5 3,550 1,775 1,775 1,775 8,875 180 180 180 180 639,000 319,500 319,500 319,500 1,597,500 Pounds 5 1,775 180 319,500 Pounds Pounds Pounds 5 3 3 1,775 1,065 1,065 5,680 180 180 180 319,500 191,700 191,700 1,022,400 Kgs 10 3,550 110 390,500 390,500 Pounds Pounds Pounds Pounds Pounds 10 3 5 3 5 3,550 1,065 1,775 1,065 1,775 9,230 180 140 140 120 120 639,000 149,100 248,500 127,800 213,000 1,377,400 Pcs Pcs Pcs Pcs 5 10 14 8 1,775 3,550 4,970 2,840 380 200 100 380 674,500 710,000 497,000 1,079,200 Pcs 10 3,550 65 230,750 Pcs Pcs Pcs Pcs Pcs 12 15 5 25 10 4,260 5,325 1,775 8,875 3,550 40,470 90 30 50 25 30 383,400 159,750 88,750 221,875 106,500 4,151,725 24 Sales Per Year (Qty) Sales Price / Unit (Rs.) Annual Sales (Rs.) Pre-feasibility Study Description Units Sales per Day (Qty) Sales Per Year (Qty) Sales Price / Unit (Rs.) Annual Sales (Rs.) Sweets & Nimko Nimko Gulab Jaman Chum Chum Kalakand Burfi Moti Choor Pateesa Total Kgs Kgs Kgs Kgs Kgs Kgs Kgs 2 3 3 2 3 3 1 15 710 1,065 1,065 710 1,065 1,065 355 5,325 400 375 375 375 375 375 375 284,000 399,375 399,375 266,250 399,375 399,375 133,125 2,280,875 Biscuits Cake Rusk White Biscuits Coconut Biscuits Macaroon Coconut Almond Macaroon Cheese Finger Salty Zeera Plus Plain Khatai Baker Khani Finger Jam Wafer Special Biscuit Chocolate Biscuits Round Almond Biscuit Total Kgs Kgs Kgs Kgs Kgs Kgs Kgs Kgs Kgs Kgs Kgs Kgs Kgs Kgs 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 15 710 355 355 355 355 355 355 355 355 355 355 355 355 355 5,325 320 320 320 320 320 320 320 320 320 320 320 320 320 320 227,200 113,600 113,600 113,600 113,600 113,600 113,600 113,600 113,600 113,600 113,600 113,600 113,600 113,600 1,704,000 25