EMV Technology Commercialization in the UK and Canada (and the US) Entrepreneurship and Innovation Strategy Andrew Akers Daniel Bogomoltz Lisette De Later Jonathan Mitchell Shannon Mosier Brian Ramirez November 11, 2011 EMV TECHNOLOGY IMPLEMENTATION IN THE UK AND CANADA (AND THE US) CONTENTS SECTION 1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY .................................................................................................................... 3 SECTION 2 EMV OVERVIEW ................................................................................................................................ 4 2.1 2.2 2.3 History of Consumer Credit and Debit Cards ........................................................................................ 4 Advantages of EMV.................................................................................................................................. 5 Existing Payment Card Ecosystem ........................................................................................................ 6 SECTION 3 IMPLEMENTATION OF EMV IN THE UK ......................................................................................... 8 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.4 UK Implementation Timeline ................................................................................................................... 8 Idiosyncratic Context of Payments in the UK ...................................................................................... 10 Commercialization Strategy of EMV in the UK .................................................................................... 11 EMV in the UK today .............................................................................................................................. 12 SECTION 4 EMV IMPLEMENTATION IN CANADA ........................................................................................... 13 4.1 4.2 4.3 Lessons Learned in Pilot Phase ........................................................................................................... 13 Liability Shifts and Delays ..................................................................................................................... 13 Successes in Mitigating Fraud & Converting Consumers ................................................................. 14 SECTION 5 RISKS AND CONSIDERATIONS OF THE US AND CANADIAN EMV STRATEGY AND IMPLEMENTATION ......................................................................................................................... 15 5.1 5.2 5.3 5.4 Co-innovation Risk ................................................................................................................................ 15 Adoption Chain Risk .............................................................................................................................. 16 Relative Benefit ...................................................................................................................................... 17 EMV as a Disruptive Innovation ............................................................................................................ 20 SECTION 6 ADDENDUM: EMV IN THE US ....................................................................................................... 22 6.1 6.2 6.3 6.4 The Resistance to EMV .......................................................................................................................... 22 The Timing Seems to be Now ............................................................................................................... 23 Commercialization Strategy .................................................................................................................. 24 Strategy Risks and Considerations ...................................................................................................... 25 2 EMV TECHNOLOGY IMPLEMENTATION IN THE UK AND CANADA (AND THE US) 1 Executive Summary EMV, a credit and debit payments system based on chip card technology, has defined a new global standard for authenticating secure payment transactions. At the end of 2010, there were more than 1.24 billion EMVcompliant payment cards in use around the world. Developed in a partnership between Europay, MasterCard, and Visa, EMV improves upon the magnetic strip technology used in conventional credit and debit cards, providing enhanced security measures, increased speed of payment processing, on-chip data storage, and versatility of use with contact and contactless terminals. This paper examines the successful implementation strategies of EMV technology in two markets, the UK and Canada, and then briefly assesses and contrasts the current implementation strategy of EMV in the US. In the UK and Canada, fraud reduction was a necessary but also sufficient criterion to drive the adoption of EMV. In the US, fraud remains a peripheral consideration, and the major card issuers are positioning EMV to prepare the retail point-of-sale infrastructure for EMV-enabled contactless and mobile payment technologies. We examine the various market commercialization strategies employed by the EMV partners in each market, paying particular attention to fraud liability shifts instituted by Visa and MasterCard to mitigate adoption, coinnovation and adoption chain risk. We also assess the relative versus absolute benefits of EMV given the technology’s limitations, as well as compare the disruptive innovation s-curves of conventional mag-stripe vs. EMV technology. □□□□□□□□□□□ 3 EMV TECHNOLOGY IMPLEMENTATION IN THE UK AND CANADA (AND THE US) 2 EMV Overview EMV (Europay, MasterCard, and VISA) is a credit and debit card technology that sets a global standard for authenticating secure payment transactions. The full name is a reference to the joint effort between Europay International SA (which was later absorbed by MasterCard), MasterCard and VISA in their effort to ensure that their products are secure, inter-operable and accepted globally. However, the alliance is not limited to these companies, and has grown in recent years to include JCB, which joined in 2004, and American Express, which joined in 2009. EMV technology, first introduced in 1996, aims to address pervasive payment and identity fraud. EMV equipped chip cards are powered by an embedded microprocessor, which provides enhanced security features that current magnetic stripe cards cannot. The microprocessor or “chip” is secured behind a 1cm square contact on the front of the card. The chips enables contact and/or contactless technology to process secure payments. When contact cards are placed into the card reader, the contact with the terminal provides power for the chip to transfer secure data and complete the transaction. By contrast, the contactless chip cards can be held a few inches from the contactless card reader, and the chip is powered through radio frequency emissions to transfer the data for a secure transaction.1 2.1 HISTORY OF CONSUMER CREDIT AND DEBIT CARDS The idea for credit cards emerged in the early 1900s from large companies such as department stores issuing their own credit cards that could only be used at their stores. The idea was not to increase consumer convenience, but to develop customer loyalty. It was not until 1946 that John Biggins introduced the first credit card, which was appropriately called “Charg-It.” However, this was limited to Biggins’ customers in Brooklyn, New York who kept their savings with Biggins’ bank. The Diners Club Card was the first credit card that saw widespread use. The Diners Club Card debuted in 1949 after Frank McNamara decided to found the company after he forgot his wallet for an important dinner and realized that he needed an alternative to cash. Within two years of its founding, Diners Club had over 20,000 cardholders as customers.2 American Express, formerly a delivery service, introduced its own credit card in 1958 and the plastic credit card in 1959. Soon after, it introduced credit cards in other countries’ currencies, and grew a user base of 1 million cards worldwide by 1964.2 The magnetic stripe was first attached to the back of plastic payment cards in 1960 and migrated to credit cards shortly after.3 The industry grew exponentially thereafter, and in 1966, Bank of America established the BankAmerica Service Corporation, which developed the concept of franchising credit 1 http://www.emvco.com/about_emv.aspx http://www.creditcards.com/credit-card-news/credit-cards-history-1264.php 3 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Magnetic_stripe_card 2 4 EMV TECHNOLOGY IMPLEMENTATION IN THE UK AND CANADA (AND THE US) cards nationwide to banks. This eventually led to the creation of VISA and MasterCard, which still operate as “open-loop” systems, as compared to the “closed-loop” systems of American Express, Diners Club, and Discover Card, each of which issue their own cards direct to consumers.2 Credit card flexibility led to the creation of the debit card in 1984 when Landmark installed the first nationwide debit system. This innovation allowed smaller banks to connect with each other across state borders. Debit cards allowed consumers to withdraw cash more quickly than in person bank visits, provided more convenience than a check, and eliminated the risk of carrying cash. Debit transactions eventually overtook the number of checks written globally in 1998.4 2.2 ADVANTAGES OF EMV The primary advantage of EMV is that it reduces payment card and identity fraud. Using chip technology instead of magnetic stripe technology prevents “skimmers” from stealing card information during the traditional “swipe” transaction when a consumer purchases goods at a merchant location or withdraws money from an ATM.5 To skim card information, thieves alter merchant terminals or put fake fronts on ATMs to steal card data from the mag-stripe as the consumer swipes his or her card. The thief can then clone the card by creating a second mag-stripe card and use it to purchase goods or withdraw money from ATMs. With the introduction of chip, EMV-enabled terminals and ATMs can now tell whether a card is supposed to have a chip embedded in it. Therefore, if a thief clones a chip card, the EMV-enabled terminal or ATM will automatically decline the transaction as fraud. Note, however, that cloned chip cards can still be used in non-EMV-enabled terminals and ATMs, which are still utilized today in countries such as the United States. One thing to note, however, is that while EMV reduces a significant portion of payment card fraud, mainly counterfeiting, skimming and lost and stolen fraud, it does not address card-not-present (CNP) fraud6. This rapidly growing form of fraud includes internet and phone transactions. Additional benefits of EMV cards include faster processing than magnetic stripe cards and increased data storage for cardholder information. Contactless card transactions are 53% faster than magnetic stripe card transactions and 63% faster than cash transactions.7 4 http://www.brighthub.com/money/personal-finance/articles/42073.aspx http://www.ncollin.demon.co.uk/Future/emv_chip.htm 6 http://www.emv-usa.com/faq_cardnotpresent.html 7 http://www.emvco.com/about_emv.aspx 5 5 EMV TECHNOLOGY IMPLEMENTATION IN THE UK AND CANADA (AND THE US) 2.3 EXISTING PAYMENT CARD ECOSYSTEM The credit/debit card ecosystem primarily revolves around five main players: Cardholder: The cardholder provides information to the issuer when applying for a credit or debit card, and is responsible for monitoring and paying his/her monthly balance. During a transaction, the cardholder is responsible for presenting the card to the merchant or for providing the card details during a CNP transaction. Issuer: The card issuer is typically a bank, or, in some cases, the credit card company, as in the case of American Express and Discover Card, which operate closed-loop systems. The issuer authorizes and settles transactions on behalf of the cardholder. In addition it performs on-going tasks such as acquiring cardholders, managing the account billing and monitoring risk, etc. Network: Networks, such as Visa and MasterCard, are the major players in the payment ecosystem. They effectively “switch” or route transactions between acquirers and issuers. Additionally, they create standardized operating rules, develop new products and invest in brand promotion. Acquirer: The acquirer accepts card payments on behalf of a merchant. It plays a similar role for merchants as the issuer does for cardholders, including authorization and settling transactions as well as acquiring and managing merchant accounts. Merchant: The merchant is the entity that provides the good or service for sale. It pays an interchange fee, typically 1-3% of the purchase price, to the accept payment cards. 6 EMV TECHNOLOGY IMPLEMENTATION IN THE UK AND CANADA (AND THE US) Additionally, secondary ecosystem players such as ATM and terminal manufactures and deployers as well as Chip manufacturers play a role. We will discuss how these players become more important in the EMV landscape when reviewing adoption and co-innovation risks. 7 EMV TECHNOLOGY IMPLEMENTATION IN THE UK AND CANADA (AND THE US) 3 Implementation of EMV in the UK In 2002, the growing number of counterfeiting cases in the country was beginning to impact the credit card payments system in the United Kingdom. Organized credit card crime rings accounted for losses of GBP 160 million in 2001, growing at 50% YOY8 compared to 2000. Additionally, consumer concern over the safety of the payment industry was growing. This trend motivated the Association of Payment Clearing Services (APACS), in partnership with the UK Government and the Home Office, to launch an initiative to reduce fraud. It chose Chip and PIN as the technology to do so. The technology was supposed to dramatically reduce the fraud on credit card payments at POS terminals9 by adding a chip to payment cards and by requiring consumers to insert a PIN number in the terminal while completing a transaction. The Chip and PIN technology represented a new standard for payment security that in the future would be called EMV. The initial estimation of the total cost to implement the new system was around GBP 1.1 billion10, and the target was to complete a full migration to the new system in 3 years11. Performing such a large-scale migration was very challenging, and as a result, it took much longer than expected to achieve a full EMV implementation in the UK. 3.1 UK IMPLEMENTATION TIMELINE APACS launched the first trial of Chip and PIN (the commercial name for the implementation of EMV technology) in May 2003. Involving 600 shops and 180,000 cards in Northampton, the trial ran until September and was declared a great success by the public, retailers, and banks. 83% of the public in Northampton were in favor of switching to Chip and PIN12. In addition to the security and fraud mitigation benefits, Chip and PIN proved itself to be an efficient and customer-friendly system. With the success of the trial, APACS started to roll-out the solution nationally. By January 2004, around eight million chip cards were issued, which represents one out of six cardholders in the UK. On the retailer side, approximately 100,000 businesses were accepting Chip and PIN card payments13. The first milestone was the implementation of Chip and PIN in over 450 Safeway supermarket stores. In the following months of early 2004, a series of articles were published strongly recommending small and medium size businesses (SMB) migrate to Chip and PIN technologies. Market analysts and directors from Visa 8 http://goliath.ecnext.com/coms2/gi_0199-1617787/Unique-police-unit-pilot-to.html A POS (Point Of Sales) terminal is the location where a transaction occurs, using hardware and software to realize a payment. 10 Frost & Sullivan Market Insight, 11 Feb 2002 11 http://www.foodanddrinkeurope.com/Financial/Safeway-first-UK-store-to-introduce-chip-and-PIN-technology 12 http://www.eft-pos.com/news-chipandpin.html 13 Chip and PIN Barometer. January 2004. http://www.chipandpin.co.uk/ 9 8 EMV TECHNOLOGY IMPLEMENTATION IN THE UK AND CANADA (AND THE US) warned SMB companies that fraudsters could set their sights on companies without Chip and PIN terminals and significantly increase the level of fraud. The implementation of EMV technologies continued steadily. 77 million cards were issued to approximately 36 million people, with 400,000 individual retailers included in the program, involving more than 636,000 points-of-sale by December 2004. However, there was evidence that some retailers struggled to justify the expense of equipping stores with the new systems, citing the fact that they did not realize any monetary benefit from reducing fraud levels14. On April 2005, although significant penetration of Chip and PIN had been achieved, some concerns emerged about the ability for the UK to reach 100% adoption. At this point, Visa and MasterCard mandated the roll-out of chip and pin systems by January 1st 2006, proposing a liability shift for fraud from issuers to merchants after this date. The actual date set to turn the key for the full implementation was defined as February 14th 2006, Valentine’s Day. A big campaign was launched in the UK to acknowledge the implementation of the Chip and PIN technology. Six months later, APACS issued an update of the progress of the implementation, noting15: 99.8% of all chip and pin transactions were verified by a PIN Counterfeit fraud and fraud on lost and stolen cards was down by £60m (a drop of 24% year over year, from 2004 to 2005) 92% of cards issued (130 million out of 141 million) were chip and pin enabled 87% of all terminals in the UK were chip and pin enabled 14 15 Chip and PIN Barometer. December 2004. http://www.chipandpin.co.uk/ Chip and PIN Barometer. January 2004. http://www.chipandpin.co.uk/ 9 EMV TECHNOLOGY IMPLEMENTATION IN THE UK AND CANADA (AND THE US) The implementation was considered a success, and the UK became a model example followed by several other countries in Europe. As of June 30, 2010, about 20 European countries have a 100% ATM compliance with EMV.16 3.2 IDIOSYNCRATIC CONTEXT OF PAYMENTS IN THE UK In 2003, there were 60 million credit cards issued in the UK, with the number aggressively rising by 6 million compared to the 2002. With respect to fraud, 2001 was a year that scared the UK, with counterfeit fraud growing from GBP 107 million to 160 million, and reaching a peak of 0.183% fraud rate over total credit card turnover in that year17. The UK had one of the highest fraud rates among developed countries, and both private and public initiatives needed to be coordinated to fight back18. During the years of implementation of Chip and PIN, counterfeit fraud was “controlled” in the GBP 100 million range (except from 2004, when it reached GBP 300 M) 19, signaling to the authorities that the efforts to prevent fraud were effective. With the full implementation of EMV in 2006, fraud on cards issued in the UK migrated to international markets, with fraudsters getting information from the magnetic stripes of UK cardholders, and using it to make purchases abroad. In percentage points, during the introduction of Chip and PIN fraud reduced considerably from its peak in 2001 to a rate of 0.095% in 2006, as can be seen in 16 https://www.european-atm-security.eu/content/files/EMV%20Numbers%2030-06-10(2).pdf Financial Fraud Auction UK. http://www.financialfraudaction.org.uk/Financial-Lost-Stolen-Fraud.asp 18 http://www.financialfraudaction.org.uk/Financial-Lost-Stolen-Fraud.asp 19 Financial Fraud Auction UK. http://www.financialfraudaction.org.uk/Financial-Lost-Stolen-Fraud.asp 17 10 EMV TECHNOLOGY IMPLEMENTATION IN THE UK AND CANADA (AND THE US) the fraud to turnover ratio chart. 3.3 COMMERCIALIZATION STRATEGY OF EMV IN THE UK The case of the UK is considered the best example of successful implementation of the EMV technology, and was followed shortly by several other European and non-European countries. The implementation was led by APACS20, on behalf of the society and the government of the UK. The cost that the society was paying for fraud was the major motivation driving the initiative. As a leader, APACS had to guarantee that all players of the ecosystem would agree to migrate to the new standard. However, not all players benefited equally from the movement to EMV. For example, while merchants had to pay to buy new terminals and update software, they did not benefit directly from EMV. To counteract this concern, APACS worked with at least two main levers of implementation: the organization developed financial stimulus to incentivize merchants’ acquisition of new POS equipment, and by 2006 APACS also mandated a liability shift, in which merchants would be responsible for fraud committed on terminals that were not Chip and PIN-enabled. With the merchants’ adoption incentive “solved”, APACS also had to deal with banks that delayed investments and missed deadlines of migrations. Although there were delays, it took the UK three and half years from the first trial to the fully implement the solution. UK banks had a big interest in the implementation of Chip and PIN. Before the implementation of the Chip and PIN, whenever a fraudulent magnetic swipe card transaction occurred and it was not the fault of the merchant, the issuing banks had to refund the retailers. However, with the introduction of the Chip and PIN, the liability for these fraudulent transactions shifted to the retailers, creating a high incentive for them as well to adapt their POS-systems to the new EMV-technology. As a result, most chains upgraded their system before the EMV deadline. However, as the upgrade required a completely new POS-system and therefore a high investment, many smaller companies were not able to adopt that quickly. Also Card issuers played a significant role in the adoption process because they were required to replace all old cards with Chip and PIN cards according to the bank’s requirements. Consumers were individually contacted by their issuing banks and would initially receive new Chip and PIN cards when their old cards were to expire. However, this created some major issues as many consumers’ cards were not set to expire until as late as 2007. As a result, issuers were forced to send out Chip and PIN cards ahead of schedule to meet the EMV deadline. 20 The APACS is a United Kingdom trade organization that brings together all payment systems organizations and gives banks, building societies and card issuers a forum where they can work together on non-competitive issues. 11 EMV TECHNOLOGY IMPLEMENTATION IN THE UK AND CANADA (AND THE US) 3.4 EMV IN THE UK TODAY By the end of 2006 EMV was already considered fully implemented in the UK, with more than 90% penetration among cardholders, and 87% penetration among terminals. Fraud levels, as seen above, went to the lowest level in a decade (0.074% of total cards transactions), and the lowest monetary amount of fraud (GBP 365 million) since 2001. Further, a recent study shows that EMV implementation in Europe increased from 52% in 2005 to 95% in 2010. In the same period, fraud losses remained in the €3045 million range, decreasing as a proportion of overall volume of transactions21. 21 “World Payments Report 2011,” Capgemini, RBS, EFMA. www.wpr11.com 12 EMV TECHNOLOGY IMPLEMENTATION IN THE UK AND CANADA (AND THE US) 4 EMV Implementation in Canada Canada, which has the world’s highest payment card market share for non-cash transactions at 68%22, followed the EMV lead in Europe with a mandate by Visa in 2004 to convert all credit cards by 2010. MasterCard, American Express, and the Interac Association (which operates the debit network) joined Visa for a pilot in Kitchener-Waterloo in 2007 and began a national commercial rollout at the end of 2008. The implementation proceeded very smoothly given the lessons learned during the pilot, and by December 2010, EMV compliance had been achieved for 70% of cards, 55% of POS terminals, and 90% of ATMs deployed by financial institutions.23 4.1 LESSONS LEARNED IN PILOT PHASE The pilots revealed that customers had more difficulty than expected in remembering their PIN, despite the longstanding use of a PIN for debit transactions. Based on the pilot, banks opted to allow the user to select their PIN or assigned the PIN already used with their debit card rather than a random PIN. Terminals were also revised to prompt users to remove the card after the transaction was verified, as customers had a tendency to forget the card in the terminal. Finally, consumer and merchant messaging was revised to emphasize the increased security and risk that fraud would migrate to Canada as the rest of the world adopted EMV, as the fraud reduction message alone did not resonate strongly given the relatively low levels of fraud in the country24. 4.2 LIABILITY SHIFTS AND DELAYS Despite the momentum and deadlines which were set for conversions to EMV Chip and PIN by October 31, 2010, Visa and MasterCard separately announced a six month extension for retailers in late September 2010, just weeks before a planned shift in liability that would have made retailers fully accountable for fraud if they chose not to use the card chips in favor of the old magnetic strip technology. MasterCard explained that the extension came in response to Canadian market dynamics and intended to give Canadian 22 EMVCanada.ca “Canada puts down chip card roots,” Peter Lucas, Digital Transactions, 1 June 2011. 24 Ibid. 23 13 EMV TECHNOLOGY IMPLEMENTATION IN THE UK AND CANADA (AND THE US) merchants more time to migrate to the Chip-and-PIN point-of-sale technology. Visa explained that the extension had been requested by retail chains in Canada who were scrambling to implement EMV compliant technology ahead of the busy holiday shopping season. The push-out was also caused by POS hardware delays experienced by integrated merchants and automated fuel dispensers. Interac has set a final deadline for conversion of all ATM transactions by December 31, 2012 and all POS transactions by December 31, 2015. 4.3 SUCCESSES IN MITIGATING FRAUD & CONVERTING CONSUMERS Recent encouraging findings are showing that EMV enabled transactions are reducing fraud. Moneris Solutions, a Canadian processor, released information that showed fraud had decreased with chip cards and enabled terminals, citing the fact that merchants who processed greater than 40% of total transactions using chip technology experience on average up to four times fewer chargebacks than those who processed less than 40% of total transactions using chip-and-pin technology. Interac published results in March 2011 that showed an overall 16% decline in fraud in 2010 over 2009. Although it has happened gradually over five years, consumer perceptions have also shifted significantly. 80% of Canadian credit card holders say they now prefer EMV chip technology over the old magnetic strip technology25. These positive signs for EMV in Canada are already having knock-on effects in the US where fraud has been increasing. 25 http://www.transactionworld.net/articles/2011/june/innovative_iso.asp 14 EMV TECHNOLOGY IMPLEMENTATION IN THE UK AND CANADA (AND THE US) 5 Risks and Considerations of the UK and Canadian EMV Strategy and Implementation The successful commercialization of EMV in the UK and Canada is best understood by examining the approach taken through the lens of three key sets of frameworks: Co-innovation and adoption chain risk given an uneven distribution of costs and benefits amongst value chain players Relative versus absolute benefit Disruptive innovation and the s-curve 5.1 CO-INNOVATION RISK Co-innovation was not a significant risk by the time the UK and Canada began migration to EMV. The coinnovation risk from the chip manufacturer side had previously been mitigated as EMV uses a proven, massproduced, standardized technology with integrated circuit or “smart” cards. The smart card chips have been in mass market use since the early 1980s with Telecarte for French payphones, and saw a major boom in the 1990s with the use of smart-card-based SIMs in GSM phones. By using uniform EMV standards, chip card issuers were able to ensure that the payment cards they provided to their cardholders would work in EMV compliant acceptance infrastructures anywhere in the world. However, there was one co-innovation risk inherent in the system at the time during the time of initial launch in the UK. ATM and POS Terminals. In order to implement the EMV technology successfully, all ATM manufacturers have had to develop new readers and POS systems for ATMs and terminals that could interface with the new EMV smartcards. Also, banks have found themselves struggling to keep networks up and running using traditional, manual, testing procedures26. To be able to realize a cost-effective EMV migration process for ATMs, the ATM manufacturer and financial institutions had to closely work together and match the several requirements and protocols for both parties. However, at multiple points in time, ATM manufacturers had a hard time catching up with the high demand for the new technology migration. 26 http://www.atmindustryinfo.com/2010/03/challenges-in-migrating-to-emv.html 15 EMV TECHNOLOGY IMPLEMENTATION IN THE UK AND CANADA (AND THE US) 5.2 ADOPTION CHAIN RISK The uneven distribution of costs and benefits between players generates considerable adoption chain risk for the innovation ecosystem. This risk is further aggravated by the need to have 100% compliance or else fraud will shift to any remaining unprotected users. Ultimately, the need for 100% compliance coupled with the resistance by players who accrue costs but not benefits from adoption creates a dynamic in which ecosystem leaders force adoption on weaker players in the value chain. The following section explores the adoption chain risk from the perspective of each player in the ecosystem. Merchant. The merchant incurs the greatest discrepancy between cost and benefit, strongly curtailing its desire to adopt the new technology. The benefit of reducing fraud cost accrues to the issuer, whereas the merchant incurs the highest cost for upgrading all point-of-sale (POS) terminals to be EMV-compliant. For example, this cost burden has been estimated at $2.4-2.6B for the US alone.27 The burden is further increased for three types of merchants: Larger merchants with integrated POS systems who own rather than lease the hardware prefer to wait for technology upgrades (such as contactless) in order to make upgrades that materially benefit their check-out process. Restaurants, which traditionally take customers cards to swipe at a central machine, have to invest in wireless terminals that can be brought to the table to complete the PIN-enabled transaction without inconveniencing the customer. Not only are these terminals more expensive, but the restaurant requires a larger number of terminals in order to complete simultaneous transactions. Automated fuel dispensers require more expensive hardware that conforms to more stringent electromagnetic interference specifications given the flammable environment in which they are installed. Despite this strong disincentive to migrate to EMV, merchants have ultimately been forced into upgrading POS terminals by the liability shift imposed by the credit card brands, whereby they become liable for fraud occurring on non-EMV compliant terminals. The pattern of terminal adoption observed suggests that this liability shift has been a very effective motivator of merchants in the commercialization process of EMV. As of Q1 2011, in Canada and Latin America combined, 76.5% of terminals are EMVcapable while only 31.2% of cards have chips. Similar trends exist in other regions in 27 “EMV in the USA: Waiting on Debit, a Mandate, or Just the Opportune Moment,” George Peabody, Mercator Advisory Group, Dec 2010. 16 EMV TECHNOLOGY IMPLEMENTATION IN THE UK AND CANADA (AND THE US) which EMV is still gaining traction (Eastern Europe: 65.4% terminals, 12.7% cards; Asia Pacific 43.0% terminals, 27.9% cards).28 Issuer. Issuing banks incur replacement costs of $2.00 per EMV card or $2.35 if the card also supports contactless payments29, the most widely adopted solution at this point; however, the gains from fraud reduction outweigh the upgrade costs in most cases and lessen the adoption risk from the issuers. Additionally, they must update their own software as well as collect and load more types of sensitive cardholder information on cards than before, increasing costs and management efforts.30 Consumer. Given a national rollout, there is not significant adoption risk from consumers as all of their payment cards can be replaced within a short timeframe, thereby eliminating the option to favor non-EMV compliant forms of payment. Furthermore, consumers are used to regular replacement cycles for their existing debit and credit cards. The issues of customer education and training surrounding PIN and terminal usage have been well understood and addressed during pilots in advance of full scale commercialization. Payment Network. Payment brands benefit from the increased perception of security when making payments. Therefore, as soon as one player converts to EMV, there is an “adoption pull” as other players rush to match the perceived security benefits in order to attract customers and ensure that fraud will not migrate to their networks. A good example of this phenomenon was the rush by Interac, the Canadian debit system, to support EMV as soon as Visa and MasterCard announced their intentions to do so for fear that transaction volume would shift from debit to credit cards if the latter were perceived as more secure. Acquirer. Acquirers must upgrade systems and replace terminals that are currently rented by merchants. Given that they will see no financial benefit from moving to chip, they have resisted EMV migration in the past. Government. Governments are becoming increasingly aware of and concerned with consumer protection from financial services fraud. Explicit or implicit government support has been a part of the successful commercialization of EMV. 5.3 RELATIVE BENEFIT It is clear that Chip and PIN addresses many major payment fraud issues including skimming, counterfeiting and lost and stolen cards. This is clearly a benefit that most ecosystem participants and countries have deemed valuable enough to migrate from the previous mag-stripe technology to Chip and PIN. However, there 28 Smart Card Alliance webinar “EMV for Merchants and Acquirers: U.S. Migration Considerations,” 6 October 2011. Terminalization and card data current as of Q1 2011. 29 Ibid 30 MasterCard Worldwide: “An Introduction to Chip for Issuers and Acquirers” 2007 17 EMV TECHNOLOGY IMPLEMENTATION IN THE UK AND CANADA (AND THE US) are a number of fraud issues that Chip and PIN cannot address, which decrease the relative benefit that Chip and PIN offers to stakeholders in the ecosystem. Often these issues require additional investments and/or inconveniences for stakeholders, further decreasing the relative benefit of EMV. Skimming of magnetic stripes In 2011, almost 98% of the ATM’s in Europe are EMV compliant. The chart to the right shows that after some problematic years of the EMV roll out, the second half of 2010 has seen declining fraud levels that can be attributed to the effectiveness of anti-skimming devices, where they have been deployed, as well as to improvements in the detection and monitoring of fraudulent transactions, and to regional card blocking for 'card present' transactions.31 However, one of the security matters that still keeps EMV developers busy as of today, is data stealing or ‘mag-stripe skimming’. First of all, while the service code on the magnetic stripe might indicate that the chip must be used, inserting a card without a readable chip can trigger a fallback to the magnetic stripe as some EMV card issuers authorize these ‘mag stripe fall back’ transactions. This obviously decreases the effectiveness of the EMV-technology. Secondly, as the US is not using EMV-technology, EMV-cardholders are becoming vulnerable targets of fraudsters. Even though a cardholder needs to use the chip and enter a PIN when completing a purchase, most cards still contain a magnetic stripe which can be skimmed. Subsequently, the skimmed data can be copied to create a fake magstripe card which could then be used in the US.32 In fact, most of the international losses caused by fraudulent transactions (skimmed cards) occur in the US. According to data of the “Organised Crime Threat Assessment” published by Europol “around 80% of non-EU fraud against EU payment cards is committed in the United States.”33 It is a concerning fact that as long as 'mag stripes' are present on EMV cards, the cards are vulnerable to skimming. International losses during the second half of 2010 were as big as €100 million. In trying to combat these losses, some European countries have stopped accepting mag-stripe cards. In fact, as of January 2011, Belgium no longer accepts mag stripe-based card transactions. In the case a Belgium card is skimmed, it will be useless outside the Single Euro Payments Area. 31 32 33 https://www.european-atm-security.eu/content/files/EAST%20ATM%20Fraud%20Analysis%20Report%20Vs%201.1.pdf http://www.bankinfosecurity.com/articles.php?art_id=3199&pg=2 https://www.european-atm-security.eu/content/files/EAST%20ATM%20Fraud%20Analysis%20Report%20Vs%201.1.pdf 18 EMV TECHNOLOGY IMPLEMENTATION IN THE UK AND CANADA (AND THE US) Foreign cards As explained previously, the idea of the EMV-technology is to replace the fraud-vulnerable magnetic stripe with smartcard technology where credit and debit cards contain an embedded microchip with a personal identification number (PIN) to authorize payments. In Europe and Canada, it has been shown to be quite effective in reducing fraudulent transactions and since most countries have had a full transition to EMV, the magnetic stripe becomes redundant. However, when dropping the magnetic stripe, EMV-card users will be unable to use their cards in the US and other countries that have not (yet) adapted to the same technology. As a result, in 2011 the magnetic stripe fallback is still accepted almost everywhere. Similarly, travelers from countries that do not issue the EMV-technology (mainly US travelers) might experience problems when trying to make payments with their cards on an EMV platform since some merchants may not accept their chip-less cards. A short-term solution for the last mentioned problem is the pre-paid debit card that is already being issued by a number of financial companies, allowing Americans to upload cash to these debit cards. CNP (Card Not Present) Issues Although the EMV-technology solves many (national and/or international) fraud issues for those countries where it has been implemented successfully on a broad scale, the technology itself does not resolve the CNPfraud when realizing purchases by telephone, internet and mail orders. In fact, in 2009 CNP-fraud represented 50% of the total fraud issues in the UK.34 This decreases the overall relative benefit of chip in fighting payment card fraud given that it won’t impact a significant and growing portion of fraud. In response to this growing issue, VISA responded by launching the Emue card, “a credit card with embedded keypad, display and microprocessor that is used for authenticating web and telephone based transactions.”35 After this development, MasterCard introduced the Display Card which has a small LCD display and a touch sensitive button. These next generation payment cards are still in the introduction phase but might be an improved solution to combat fraud-transactions. Furthermore, the Verified by Visa service and the MasterCard SecureCode are based on the new 3-D technology36 that adds a layer of security for online debit 34 35 http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/technology/8046492.stm http://www.emue.com/site/home.htm 36 3-D technology is a three domain model that ties the financial authorization process with an online authentication, combining the acquirer domain, issuer domain and interoperability domain. 19 EMV TECHNOLOGY IMPLEMENTATION IN THE UK AND CANADA (AND THE US) and credit transactions. While realizing an online payment, the customer is directed to a secured pop-up window with a personal greeting in which the customer is required to insert a personal password. After the password has been confirmed, the purchase will be completed. Although this is a more secure way of realizing purchases online, not all merchants are yet participating in the 3-D technology. A reason for this might be the fact that they need to purchase specific software to be able to connect to the Visa or MasterCard directory server, which is an expensive investment that includes setup fee, monthly fees and per transaction fees. Moreover, supporting 3-D Secure is complicated and, at times, creates transaction failures. On the other hand, a merchant could benefit from the 3-D technology as it reduces “unauthorized transaction” chargebacks. Security Key Generator To avoid the effects of malware on an account holder’s computer that can copy information about the smartcard and manipulate current or other online transactions, some banks in Europe have implemented the idea to combine EMV smart cards (mainly debit cards) with an unconnected card reader. When entering a payment platform, the cardholder inserts his card into the unconnected reader, followed by his/her PIN. Then the customer has to enter a numerical password received from the bank's website on the device, which subsequently provides the user with another 8-digit signature that has to be inserted to the banks website to authorize payments. Even though this is a very secure way of completing online payments, cardholders are obliged to carry around these sometimes ‘inelegant fobs’ that might create big inconveniences when the cardholder is unable to realize payments without such devices. 5.4 EMV AS A DISRUPTIVE INNOVATION For most countries, EMV technology presented a significant improvement in terms of security compared to the traditional magnetic stripe credit cards. The pattern of improvement in the credit card payment technologies can be well represented using the concept of s-curves. Initially, mag-stripe technology evolved in an s-shape format. It took a while for mag-stripe to pick up. Early on, credit card payments were made with paper, by scratching a paper on top of a credit card and using a carbon paper to obtain the credit card numbers, and validating the ownership of the card through the customer signature. With the consolidation of mag-stripe, incremental improvements were made through development of more sophisticated and effective anti-fraud algorithms. 20 EMV TECHNOLOGY IMPLEMENTATION IN THE UK AND CANADA (AND THE US) The development of EMV came as a much more secure technology, disrupting the old technology. But it took a while to establish all the players in the ecosystem in order to launch the new system. After EMV was successfully implemented, it surpassed mag-stripe in terms of performance. □□□□□□□□□□□ The successful commercialization of EMV technology can be attributed to a number of unique factors facing the payments industry. The uneven power distribution between leaders and followers in the ecosystem led to a situation in which the dominant players, the payment networks and issuers, forced adoption on the merchants and cardholders. The fact that the networks had the power to incentivize merchants to migrate even when faced with heavy costs and little benefit was an important factor in success. Further, rising fraud levels were sufficient enough to pose risk to the payment systems in particular, as well as to the broader economies which relied heavily on electronic transactions. These risks were sufficient enough to incent governments to support adoption of the new standard. Finally, the necessity for 100% compliance in order to mitigate fraud created a consensus and collaboration within the industry to unite around and aggressively implement a common solution. The EMV implementation success seen around the world demonstrates the conditions around which the commercialization of a disruptive technology can succeed despite strong inequality of costs and benefits between players. 21 EMV TECHNOLOGY IMPLEMENTATION IN THE UK AND CANADA (AND THE US) 6 Addendum: EMV in the US As we’ve seen previously, EMV provides an effective way of reducing many types of card fraud. Therefore, the majority of the world has already migrated to or is currently moving toward Chip & PIN. Despite this fact, the US has staunchly resisted it for years. However, three months ago, Visa and MasterCard announced that they will start pushing migration to EMV in the US. We felt that it would be interesting to look at the reasons behind the original resistance as well as the change of heart. Further, the commercialization strategy that Visa and MasterCard are employing in the US is different than the strategies utilized in many other countries around the world. We felt it would be interesting to contrast these strategies and the inherent impact to commercialization risks. 6.1 THE RESISTANCE TO EMV The resistance to moving to EMV was mainly driven by the low level of fraud costs that the US faces annually compared to other countries around the world and the high anticipated cost of roll-out. As of the end of 2010, there were slightly over 1 billion cards in circulation (48% credit card/52% debit card split respectively), and 52.3 million transactions resulting in $2.9 trillion in purchases37. On that $2.9 trillion in card volume annually, US issuers only bear fraud losses and related costs of about 0.04%38 compared to the 0.18% that the UK was facing in 2001 prior to migration to EMV. To reduce this already low fraud percentage, US issuers alone would face upfront costs of about $8 billion to complete all necessary steps to migrate to EMV, such as replacing customer cards, updating systems, and replacing ATMs39. The low level of fraud is largely due to the fact that US issuers have invested heavily in advanced fraud algorithms. Additionally, almost 100% of transactions completed in the US are online authorization, meaning that the issuer has the ability to run the transaction through its fraud systems prior to authorization. This compares to some European countries that have less developed telecommunications systems and where the majority of transactions are made offline, where the terminal simply checks that the card is legitimate, not whether the transaction is typical consumer behavior, thus increasing the chance of fraud. For example, the UK has primarily been an offline authorization market since the card ecosystem developed40. 37 Visa ATM Marketplace, ‘ Preparing for EMV in the United States’, 2011 39 ATM Marketplace, ‘ Preparing for EMV in the United States’, 2011 40 Retail Payments Risk Forum, “Why U.S. issuers might be reluctant to adopt the EMV standard”, March 14, 2011 38 22 EMV TECHNOLOGY IMPLEMENTATION IN THE UK AND CANADA (AND THE US) Looking at the S-curves for the United Kingdom and Canada compared to the US, it is easy to see why the US has not moved to EMV. As seen previously, as fraud increased in the UK and Canada, the incremental improvement of EMV over existing fraud systems outweighed the cost of migrating to the new technology. In contrast, US issuer investments in advanced fraud systems and online authorization increased the incremental improvement that could be seen on mag-stripe cards, narrowing the benefit of EMV over mag-stripe. As a result, US participants have not deemed the fraud reduction benefit to be worth the hefty implementation cost. An additional reason for the resistance revolves around the ecosystem fraud structure itself. While much of the fraud on Chip and PIN cards around the world occurs in the US, international issuers are the ones who foot the bill for such fraud. Therefore, US issuers have even less of an incentive to push EMV since they aren’t the ones facing the large losses on skimmed international cards. 6.2 THE TIMING SEEMS TO BE NOW As a result of the reasons listed above, as well as many more, up until now Visa and MasterCard have remained quiet on the topic of US EMV migration. However, this summer, Visa and MasterCard stepped into the conversation and began pushing EMV in the US. In August 2011, Visa announced plans to accelerate EMV migration in the US by instituting a liability shift as of October 2015 for all merchants that do not upgrade terminals to take EMV cards41. Two months later, MasterCard announced plans to institute a liability shift for all ATM owners that do not migrate their existing ATMs to EMV. As of April 19, 2013, EMV card issuers will be able to charge back counterfeit ATM transactions to US ATM owners if the fraudulently used ATM is not EMV compliant42. Interestingly, the movement toward EMV in the US did not start with Visa and MasterCard, the current ecosystem leaders. Instead, it started with the consumer. 41 42 Visa, “Visa Announces U.S. Participation in Global Pointof-Sale Counterfeit Liability Shift”, August 9, 2011 ATM Marketplace, “EMV deadline for U.S. ATMs… the race is on!”, November 13, 2011 23 EMV TECHNOLOGY IMPLEMENTATION IN THE UK AND CANADA (AND THE US) As more countries abroad have moved toward chip and pin and have begun removing mag-stripe from cards entirely, US consumers have started to have difficulty when purchasing goods abroad. Almost 50% of cardholders who traveled to Western Europe between 2006 and 2009 experienced some form of problem using a U.S. payment card43. As a result, US card issuers lost $3.9 billion in transaction volume and $447 million in revenues because 9.7 million cardholders were unable to use their cards abroad. To counteract the growing consumer frustration and the financial losses from incompatibility, some issuers recently began offering chip and pin cards to select business cardholders as well as those who frequently travel abroad. For example, in April 2011, Wells Fargo launched a pilot that provided 15,000 San Francisco based cardholders with cards containing both mag-stripes and chip & pin capabilities. In June 2011, Chase followed by offering its Palladium cardholders a chip & pin card as well44. While current issuers have stated an interest in expanding the offer to other consumers and other issuers have talked about offering a chip & pin option to select consumers, US issuers as a whole do not seem interested in pushing EMV for the US. At the time of these launches, most experts in the industry felt that these offerings would continue to be restricted to select cardholder groups, and that the movement would not lead to large-scale US EMV migration. 6.3 COMMERCIALIZATION STRATEGY However, Visa and MasterCard appear to have taken advantage of this nascent movement to find a reason to step into the game. Interestingly, the timing and approach of the recent move by Visa and MasterCard to push EMV migration in the US shows that they have a very different plan than the one we have previously seen for Europe and Canada. Instead, they are using EMV as an opportunity to move contactless forward, hopefully enabling them to be the ecosystem leaders of the payment system of the future – mobile. An August 9th Visa press release states, “The adoption of dual-interface chip technology will help prepare the U.S. payment infrastructure for the arrival of Near Field Communication (NFC)-based mobile payments by 43 Aite Group, ‘The Broken Promise of Anytime, Anywhere Card Payments: The Experience of the U.S. Cardholder Abroad’, October 26, 2009 44 CardRatings.com, “Chase upstages Wells Fargo with first major "chip-and-PIN" credit card launch”, April 14, 2011 24 EMV TECHNOLOGY IMPLEMENTATION IN THE UK AND CANADA (AND THE US) building the necessary infrastructure to accept and process chip transactions. Not only will chip technology accelerate mobile innovations, it is also expected to enhance payment security through the use of dynamic authentication”. Therefore, the end game has very little to do with fraud in the US and has much more to do with Visa and MasterCard’s ability to push an initiative that has been one of their priorities for years. Looking at the S-curve, you can see why this decision makes sense. EMV alone has not offered the US a significant enough bump over what the mag-stripe plus incremental improvements offers. With the addition of contactless EMV, stakeholders get global compatibility and fraud reductions, as well as the tremendous potential benefits of mobile made possible through contactless EMV. 6.4 STRATEGY RISKS AND CONSIDERATIONS Interestingly, the timing of the EMV rollout allows Visa and MasterCard to minimize a few of the major risks around both EMV and mobile adoption. For example, one of the major obstacles is the adoption risk by merchants, issuers and ATM deployers. The cost of moving to contactless is extremely high in the face of unproven consumer demand and an uneven distribution of costs/benefits that arise for each of the stakeholders. Visa and MasterCard have created a way of dealing with these issues – they simply force players to play the game. Unlike the rollout in Europe, and even to some degree in Canada, Visa and MasterCard’s US migration strategy is far from collaborative. Instead, by instituting a liability shift, Visa and MasterCard are forcing issuers, merchants and ATM deployers to move even if they do not wish to do so. This is largely due to the fact that Visa and MasterCard have pushed contactless technology for years in the US, hoping to gain traction with little success. Without the compatibility and fraud issues, they could not step in and force stakeholders to move to contactless. Now, EMV creates an opportunity for Visa and MasterCard to use a somewhat more legitimate reason for the conversion, but still with the positive effect of getting contactless cards into the hands of consumers. 25 EMV TECHNOLOGY IMPLEMENTATION IN THE UK AND CANADA (AND THE US) Further, Visa and MasterCard are instituting deadlines that are significantly shorter than those seen abroad. For example, it took five years for Europe to get from 52% to 92% ATM compliant, whereas US ATM deployers must go from 0% to 100% compliant in 18 months45. The reason for this is likely due to the recent launch of NFC phones by major carriers including Google and Nokia, and the likely inclusion of NFC in the next generation iPhone. Analysts project there will be approximately 7 million NFC enabled phones in the market at the end of 2011, and this will increase to 16 million by 201246. Acknowledging that it is imperative to have the infrastructure in place when consumers begin testing NFC technology on their phones, Visa and MasterCard want to push issuers and merchants to get on board ahead of consumers. Otherwise, consumers may reject NFC if they cannot use it where they shop. Or, mobile network operators or service providers, such as Google and Apple, may move first and gain control of the mobile payments ecosystem before Visa and MasterCard can establish their dominance, which is potentially even more damaging to Visa and MasterCard. It is too early to tell how implementation of the strategy will pan out. However, it appears that they have learned from their experiences in Europe and Canada. By implementing liability shift early, they will force movement at a faster clip than they have seen in other countries. This may enable them to jump into the leadership position in mobile space. Whether other players are willing to follow is a question for another day. 45 46 ATM Marketplace, “EMV deadline for U.S. ATMs… the race is on!”, November 13, 2011 “The Future of Online and Mobile Payments,” Business Insights, June 2011 26