Students explore the effects of thermal expansion on sea levels—both globally and close to home E Molly Trendell Nation, Allan Feldman, and Ping Wang arth’s climate is rapidly changing as the concentration of atmospheric greenhouse gases increases. These heattrapping gases, data shows, raise global temperatures. The last decade was the warmest on record, and average temperatures have continued to rise (UCAR 2015). Students, as members of society, need a clear understanding of climate change, how it affects the Earth, and the science behind it. 34 The Science Teacher Place-based education F IGUR E 1 The effects of global warming have been publicly communicated in many ways, often with images of melting polar ice and stranded polar bears. While these images may arouse sympathy, their settings are distant from the daily experience of most of the world’s populace. A place-based approach may be more effective in teaching the public—and science students—about climate change science. Placed-based education grounds learning to the specific region in which the learning takes place (Smith 2002). This approach can allow students to connect to their community within the context of the classroom activity. Collaborating with classmates to explore local, real-life problems, students can develop a stake in contributing to the betterment of their community and neighborhoods (Smith 2007). Sea-level rise is a significant problem for those living near the coasts. In Florida, the authors’ home state, 75% of residents live at or near sea level. Clearly, Florida students, to be informed citizens, need climate change education in their secondary science curriculum. Campbell et al. (2010) found that teachers wish to teach climate change science but often don’t know where or how to include it in their curriculum. A possible solution is for scientists and educators to collaborate on a curriculum that addresses climate change (Campbell et al. 2010; Gayford 2002). With funding from the National Science Foundation and collaboration between scientists and science educators, we have developed place-based curriculum materials that use scientific data and hands-on activities to help students understand how climate change affects their communities and their lives. Close-up of flask neck showing marks made as the water level rose with increasing temperature. Thermal expansion classroom activity We developed an activity for high school teachers and students in marine sciences classes in the Tampa Bay area, a low-lying coastal region of west central Florida comprising Hillsborough, Pinellas, and Manatee counties. Tourism along the Gulf beaches is a major source of area income. With most of Florida’s coastline at or below 3.5 meters in elevation, the Tampa Bay area faces the daunting task of preparing for future sea-level rise caused by global climate change (GCC) (TBRPC 2006). One of the largest contributors to sea-level rise is the thermal expansion of ocean water due to Earth’s rising temperature (USGCRP 2009; IPCC 2013). Students can measure the rate of expansion of water as it warms and calculate how this expansion relates to rising sea levels. Learning objectives The goal of this activity is for students to better understand the effects of climate change on the built and natural world, particularly in south Florida. The activity also attempts to motivate students to learn about regional issues (Hallar, McCubbin, and Wright 2011; Theobald 2006). This activity aligns with the Next Generation Science Standards (NGSS Lead States 2013) (see box, p. 36). Other objectives: ◆◆ ◆◆ ◆◆ Students learn the relationships between the temperature of water and its volume and between ocean temperature change and changes in sea level. Students use a laboratory activity to model the effect of global warming on sea-level rise. Students gain an appreciation of why thermal expansion is a concern for them in their local area. Background preparation Before the activity, students learn what is meant by global mean sea level and how it is measured and has changed over time and the causes of sea-level change. This information is delivered via a PowerPoint presentation, brief videos, and a hands-on activity in which students make a simple sea-level gauge from a gallon milk jug. (Background information, September 2015 35 Connecting to the Next Generation Science Standards (NGSS Lead States 2013). The materials/lessons/activities outlined in this article are just one step toward reaching the performance expectations listed below. Standards HS-ESS2 Earth’s Systems HS-ESS3 Earth and Human Activity Performance Expectations HS-ESS2-4. Use a model to describe how variations in the flow of energy into and out of Earth’s systems result in changes in climate. HS-ESS3-1. Construct an explanation based on evidence for how the availability of natural resources, occurrence of natural hazards, and changes in climate have influenced human activity. HS-ESS3-5. Analyze geoscience data and the results from global climate models to make an evidence-based forecast of the current rate of global or regional climate change and associated future impacts to Earth systems. Dimension Name or NGSS code/citation Specific connections to the classroom activity Science and Engineering Practices Developing and Using Models Students work with empirical data collected from the thermal expansion activity to model and explain the rise in water level and generate predictions about the phenomenon of future sea-level rise of our oceans. Analyzing and Interpreting Data Students take evidence and data collected from the thermal expansion activity and the water level in the flask to use in developing credible evidence that supports sea-level rise as it relates to climate change. Disciplinary Core Ideas ESS2.D: Weather and Climate • Changes in the atmosphere due to human activity have increased carbon dioxide concentrations and thus affect climate. ESS3.D: Global Climate Change • Though the magnitudes of human impacts are greater than they have ever been, so too are human abilities to model, predict, and manage current and future impacts. ESS2.A: Earth Materials and Systems • The geological record shows that changes to global and regional climate can be caused by interactions among changes in the sun’s energy output or Earth’s orbit, tectonic events, ocean circulation, volcanic activity, glaciers, vegetation, and human activities. Crosscutting Concepts Cause and Effect Empirical evidence is required to differentiate between cause and correlation and make claims about specific causes and effects. Stability and Change Change and rates of change can be quantified and modeled over very short or very long periods of time. Some system changes are irreversible. 36 The Science Teacher Follow-up question from the lab activity: What personal actions can you take to take to slow the threat of sealevel rise? Follow-up question from the lab activity: Based on the observed change in water level in the flask during the thermal expansion lab, how do you think global warming will contribute to sea-level rise in our oceans? Students use the interactive website “A Student’s Guide to Global Climate Change” (http://1.usa.gov/1CcYrFl), where they watch videos about sea-level rise and answer questions related to the content. Student use the data they collected in the activity to generate a graph that shows the relationship between increased temperature and volume in the flask. Students observe change of volume of water in flask over a short time (~20 minutes). Students then use these data to model the changes in sea level over the next century and compare their predictions to the IPCC report findings. A Rising Tide details about the laboratory setup, related materials, and questions for students are available online [see “On the web”].) Laboratory setup The necessary lab equipment includes: ◆◆ hot plate ◆◆ Florence flask (or an Erlenmeyer flask) ◆◆ thermometer ◆◆ two-hole rubber stopper ◆◆ graduated cylinder ◆◆ pipette, fine-tip marker. Steps Students fill the flask with tap water to a point on the lower part of neck above where it narrows to become cylindrical. FI G U R E 2 Laboratory setup, showing the flask and hot plate with a digital thermometer. The thermometer is carefully inserted into one of the holes of the rubber stopper. Safety note: This step should be performed in advance and only by a trained teacher. Lubricate the thermometer with water or silicone grease and insert the thermometer cautiously, use a towel (or heavy gloves that are coated for rough or sharp materials) to protect your hands, and wear safety glasses. (Alternatively, a digital temperature probe can be used [Figure 2].) Students then insert the stopper into the flask. Students use the marker to mark the water level of this initial volume of water in the flask. Students place the flask on the hot plate, turn on the heating element, and, as the water warms, mark the neck of the flask at the water level for every 10°C increase in water temperature, stopping data collection when the water temperature reaches 95°C (Figure 1, p. 35, and Figure 3), which is below the boiling point. The next day, after the water cools, students measure the increase in water volume for each mark on the flask’s neck. The volume can be measured by refilling the flask with tap water to the initial volume mark and then adding measured amounts of water via pipette to each of the marks on the neck. Alternatively, the students can use a 10 ml graduated cylinder to measure how much water they need to increase the level to the next mark. The amount of water added to reach each mark on the neck indicates the increase in volume of water per 10°C. Sample data are in Figure 3. Safety note: When heating the flask, be sure to use a twohole stopper to prevent a dangerous buildup of pressure (the thermometer occupies one hole in the stopper, and the other hole serves as a vent). Do not heat the water above 95°C. During the activity, students should wear chemical-splash goggles and heat-protective gloves. F IGUR E 3 Data collected in the activity. Change in T (oC) Total Change in volume (ml) Total volume (ml) 0 0.0 542.0 10 1.4 543.4 20 3.0 545.0 30 4.5 546.5 40 5.8 549.2 50 7.8 549.8 60 8.9 550.9 70 10.2 553.6 80 11.6 553.6 September 2015 37 Analyzing and interpreting data F IGUR E 4 Students use data gathered during this activity to generate a graph plotting the relationship between water temperature and volume (Figure 4). Although the thermal expansion of water is nonlinear from 0 to 100°C (Figure 5), the curve is fairly straight above 20°C, which is where most of the student data is collected. Students analyze their data and graphs to determine the rate of volume change associated with temperature rise. Using the data and graphs along with information about the volume and area of the oceans (Figure 6), students do a set of calculations to predict the rise of sea level due to thermal expansion per °C (Figure 7). Because most ocean warming occurs in the top 1,000 m of water (ICCP 2013), rather than using the average depth of the oceans, we use 1,000 m to calculate ocean volumes (read online about how the thermocline [the layer of ocean water where the temperature changes more rapidly than in the warmer layer above or the colder layer below] affects ocean warming; see “On the web”). Analysis of our pilot data in this example predicts a 0.28 m sea level rise per one-degree Celsius temperature rise in the top 1,000 m of the ocean. This is within the values predicted by the models used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) in their 2013 report. This activity, though developed for the Tampa Bay region, can be used anywhere with the information about other oceans provided in Figure 6. Next, we ask students follow-up questions about the consequences of sea level rise in areas they frequent, such as the Gulf beaches and Tampa Bay. They also compare their predictions with IPCC’s prediction for future sea-level rise. We encourage students to think about social and environmental factors that would affect the region based on their data and predictions. Lastly, we ask students to suggest ways that they, as individuals, could help mitigate the effects of climate Graph of the change in volume of water in the flask vs. change in temperature. F IGUR E 5 Graph of accepted values for the thermal expansion of water. FI G U R E 6 The areas, volumes, and depths of the oceans. Ocean Area (km2) Volume (km3) Maximum Depth (m) Average Depth (m) Volume most affected by GCC (km3) Arctic 15,558,000 18,750,000 5567 1205 15,558,000 Atlantic 85,133,000 310,410,900 8486 3646 85,133,000 Indian 70,560,000 264,000,000 7906 3741 70,560,000 Pacific 161,760,000 660,000,000 10803 4080 161,760,000 Information from Eakins and Sharman (2010) and IPCC (2013). The volume of the ocean most affected by Global Climate Change (GCC) is calculated by multiplying the ocean’s area by 1,000 m, the top ocean layer most affected by GCC. 38 The Science Teacher A Rising Tide F IGU R E 7 Calculations for estimating the rise in sea level due to thermal expansion of the oceans. Students can estimate the sea-level rise due to thermal expansion using the data that they collected in this activity. There are several steps and each is illustrated using the data from Figures 3 and 4. 1. First, calculate the slope of the graph to find the increase in volume per degree Celsius in their flask. ΔV Slope = ΔT 8.0ml - 0.0 ml Slope = o o 55 C - 0.0 C Slope = 0.145ml/oC = 0.15 ml/oC 2. Next, find the ratio of the increase in volume of any body of water (DV) to the increase in temperature by dividing the slope for the flask by the initial volume of water in the flask. Slope ΔV = ΔT Initial Volume o ΔV = 0.15 ml/ C ΔT 542 ml ΔV = 0.00028/ oC ΔT 3. Use the ratio found in step 2 and the data in Figure 6 to find how much the volume of the top 1,000 m (1.0 km) of one of the oceans would increase due to thermal expansion DV of an ocean per °C = (V of an ocean most affected by GCC) x ΔV ΔT DV of the Atlantic Ocean per °C = 85,133,000 km x 0.00028/°C 3 DV of the Atlantic Ocean per °C = 24,000 km3/°C 4. Finally, calculate the sea level rise per degree Celsius by dividing the increase in volume of an ocean per by the area of the ocean. o Sea level rise per °C of an ocean = ΔV of an ocean per C Area of the ocean 3 o D h of the Atlantic Ocean per °C = 24,000 km / C 85,133,000 km2 D h of the Atlantic Ocean per °C = 0.00028 km/°C D h of the Atlantic Ocean per °C = 0.28 m per °C Note: It may seem that Steps 3 and 4 are unnecessary because we are multiplying and dividing by the same value. However, in Step 3 we are multiplying by the volume of the ocean most affected by temperature changes, which is measured in km3, while in Step 4 we are dividing by area of the ocean, which is measured in km2. September 2015 39 A Rising Tide change on low-lying coastal regions such as ours. To help with the latter, we direct students to the Surging Seas website (see “On the web”) to review experts’ predictions, forecasts, and reports related to sea-level rise throughout the country and specifically in the Tampa Bay area. This website, as well as others such as the Coastal Flood Exposure Mapper (see “On the web”), allow students to see the effects of sea-level rise on their localities. Conclusion Global climate change and its effects are real and immediate. Students must gain an understanding of climate science so they can participate in public debate about how to reduce the emission of heat-trapping gases and how their communities can mitigate the effects of global warming. In this activity, students model these effects on Earth’s oceans and predict sea-level rise due to thermal expansion. They then compare their predictions with those of IPCC scientists and see how a simple laboratory activity can model global phenomena. In addition, this investigation allows students to make realworld connections about sea-level rise in a place-based setting, make predictions about the future for coastal regions, and engage in authentic collaborative science practices. ■ Molly Trendell Nation (mollynation@mail.usf.edu) is a graduate research assistant in the science education PhD program; Allan Feldman (afeldman@usf.edu) is a professor of science education; and Ping Wang (pwang@usf.edu) is a professor of geosciences at the University of South Florida in Tampa. Acknowledgment The curriculum project described in this article was developed with funding from the National Science Foundation (DRL1316782). On the web Coastal Flood Exposure Mapper: www.coast.noaa.gov/floodexposure How the thermocline affects ocean warming: http://marinebio.org/oceans/temperature Supplementary materials for this activity: http://bit.ly/CHANGEUSF Surging Seas: http://sealevel.climatecentral.org 40 The Science Teacher References Campbell, T., W. Medina-Jerez, I. Erdogan, and D. Zhang. 2010. Exploring science teachers’ attitudes and knowledge about environmental education in three international teaching communities. International Journal of Environmental and Science Education 5 (1): 3–29. Eakins, B.W., and G.F. Sharman. 2010. Volumes of the world’s oceans. Boulder, CO: NOAA National Geophysical Data Center. Gayford, C. 2002. Controversial environmental issues: A case study for the professional development of science teachers. International Journal of Science Education 24 (11): 1191–1200. Hallar, A.G., I.B. McCubbin, and J.M. Wright. 2011. 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