SNAPSHOT Health Care Costs 101 2005 Health Care Costs 101 Introduction CONTENTS For the first time in seven years, growth in health spending is slowing down. Nevertheless, Spending Levels. . . . . . . . . . . 2 health care spending continues to outpace inflation and wage growth, which is likely to Spending Categories . . . . . . . 5 keep the burden of rising health care costs in the spotlight. Recent examples include the Payment Sources. . . . . . . . . . 7 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 central role insurance coverage played in recent grocer worker labor negotiations, the controversies over drug re-importation, and the debate over the escalating cost estimates Growth Trends . . . . . . . . . . . 11 for the new Medicare Modernization Act. Premiums and Contributions . . . . . . . . . . . . 17 This annual presentation of Health Care Costs 101 provides general background on U.S. Appendix. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22 health spending, with detail for California where available. Just how much money is being spent on health care and how does this compare to inflation? Where are the funds coming Resources. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23 from and what are they being spent on? Which categories of spending are increasing the fastest? Has growth in prescription drug spending continued to slow? With the increase in copays and deductibles, are consumers now paying a bigger share of the bill? The guide addresses these questions and more. A re-issued companion analysis for California examines California vs. U.S. per capita CONTACT US spending and documents California’s historically slower growth rates for hospital, California HealthCare Foundation 476 Ninth Street Oakland, CA 94607 t: 5 1 0 . 2 3 8 . 1 0 4 0 f: 5 1 0 . 2 3 8 . 1 3 8 8 www.chcf.org prescription drugs, and physician spending in the period up to 1998. Updated data will be published when available. ©2005 C ALIFORNIA H EALTH C ARE F OUNDATION 1 Health Care Costs 101 National Health Spending SPENDING LEVELS in Billions $1,937 $1,805 Health spending reached $1,679 $1.7 trillion in $1,559 $1,426 2003 — about $1,310 4.3 times the $990 amount spent on national $696 defense. $246 $27 1960 $73 1970 1980 1990 1995 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004P 2005P Note: Selected rather than continuous years of data are shown prior to 2000. Years 2004 forward are CMS projections. Source: Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS), Office of the Actuary. ©2005 C ALIFORNIA H EALTH C ARE F OUNDATION 2 Health Care Costs 101 National Health Spending as a Share of Gross Domestic Product SPENDING LEVELS Health care’s 18.7% share of the economy is 14.9% 15.3% 15.4% 15.6% 14.1% 13.3% 13.3% 13.2% 13.3% once more increasing, 12.0% following a flat period when 8.8% historically 7.0% low increases in health care costs coincided 1970 1980 1990 1993 1996 1998 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004P 2005P 2014P with stable economic Note: Selected rather than continuous years of data are shown prior to 2000. Data for 2004 forward are projections. Source: Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS), Office of the Actuary. ©2005 C ALIFORNIA H EALTH C ARE F OUNDATION growth. 3 Health Care Costs 101 National Health Spending per Person SPENDING LEVELS $6,423 The amount spent per $5,671 person from $4,914 all sources $4,302 increased $3,938 $3,650 69 percent $3,354 between 1993 and 2003. 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005P Note: Selected rather than continuous years of data are shown. 2005 is a projection. Source: Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS), Office of the Actuary. ©2005 C ALIFORNIA H EALTH C ARE F OUNDATION 4 Health Care Costs 101 Spending Distribution SPENDING CATEGORIES by Category, 2003 Hospital and Total Spending $1.7 trillion physician Administration* services take (7.1%) Hospital Care (30.7%) Nursing Home/ Home Health Care (9.0%) Other* (10.2%) the largest share of the health care dollar. Dental/Other Professional* (10.3%) Physician and Clinical Services Prescription Drugs Prescription drugs account for 11 percent. (10.7%) (22.0%) *See Appendix for breakdown of combined categories. Source: Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS), Office of the Actuary. ©2005 C ALIFORNIA H EALTH C ARE F OUNDATION 5 Health Care Costs 101 Spending Summary Spending Levels (billions) Category NATIONAL HEALTH EXPENDITURES (NHE) 2003 SPENDING CATEGORIES Spending Distribution Growth Over 2002 2002 1983 2003 2002 1983 Billions Rate $1,679 $1,559 $354 100% 100% 100% $120 7.7% In the last 20 years, the Hospital Care 516 484 146 30.7% 31.1% 41.4% 32 6.5% share spent on Physician and Clinical Services 370 341 68 22.0% 21.9% 19.2% 29 8.5% hospital care Prescription Drugs 179 162 17 10.7% 10.4% 4.9% 17 10.7% Dental/Other Professional 172 162 28 10.3% 10.4% 8.1% 10 6.2% the share spent Other 171 161 45 10.2% 10.3% 12.8% 10 6.3% on prescription Nursing Home/ Home Health Care 151 143 30 9.0% 9.2% 8.4% 8 5.4% drugs has Administration 120 106 19 7.1% 6.8% 5.3% 14 13.2% has shrunk; more than doubled. Notes: “Dental/Other Professional” includes other professional, dental, and other personal health care (see Appendix). “Administration” refers to government program administration (spending for the cost of running various government health care programs) and net cost of private health insurance (the difference between premiums earned by insurers and the claims or losses incurred for which insurers become liable). “Other” includes durable medical equipment, other non-durables, government public health activities, and research and construction (see Appendix). Source: Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS), Office of the Actuary. ©2005 C ALIFORNIA H EALTH C ARE F OUNDATION 6 Health Care Costs 101 Historic Payment Sources PAYMENT SOURCES Over time, 100% 14% 80% 13% State and Local of federal 11% 32% 75% Federal 60% 40% the share spending has increased, most 54% Medicare and Medicaid enacted in 1965. Private dramatically following the creation of 20% Medicare and Medicaid. 0% 1960 1967 1973 1979 1985 1991 1997 2003 Notes: Chart reflects national health expenditures (NHE) by source of funds. Some figures may not add to 100% due to rounding. Source: Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS), Office of the Actuary. ©2005 C ALIFORNIA H EALTH C ARE F OUNDATION 7 Health Care Costs 101 Spending Distribution PAYMENT SOURCES by Payment Source, 2003 Other State Public funds (6.7%) Private Health Insurance State Medicaid State (6.6%) (35.8%) 13% just under half of the health Federal Medicaid care dollar. (9.7%) Other Federal account for Federal Private 32% 54% (5.7%) Federal Medicare (16.9%) Other Private (4.9%) Out-of-Pocket (13.7%) Notes: “Other Federal” and “Other State” include Department of Defense and Veterans Administration spending. “Other Private” includes philanthropy and non-patient revenues. “Out-of-Pocket” includes direct spending by consumers for all health care goods and services, such as coinsurance, deductibles and any amounts not covered by insurance. Premiums are included under “Private Health Insurance.” Some figures may not add to 100% due to rounding. Source: Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS), Office of the Actuary. ©2005 C ALIFORNIA H EALTH C ARE F OUNDATION 8 Health Care Costs 101 Distribution of Spending PAYMENT SOURCES Public vs. Private for HSS, 2003 The public 24% Hospital Care 42% 17% 12% Dental/ Other Professional* Nursing Home/ Home Health Care Prescription Drugs Administration* Other* more of its 28% Physician and Clinical Services 9% sector spends dollar on Private Public hospital and institutional 7% 13% care than do 15% private payers. 6% 9% 5% 5% 9% *See Appendix for breakdown of combined categories. Note: HSS (Health Services and Supplies) includes all national health expenditures (NHE) except research and construction. Source: Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS), Office of the Actuary. ©2005 C ALIFORNIA H EALTH C ARE F OUNDATION 9 Health Care Costs 101 Distribution of Spending PAYMENT SOURCES Out-of-Pocket vs. Private Insurance for HSS, 2003 Prescription 7% Hospital Care 30% 31% account for the 9% greatest share 16% Nursing Home/ Home Health Care 3% of out-of-pocket 23% Prescription Drugs Other* professional 20% Dental/ Other Professional* Administration* dental/other 16% Physician and Clinical Services drugs and spending. 14% Out-of-Pocket 0% 14% Private Insurance 17% 1% *See Appendix for breakdown of combined categories. Note: HSS (Health Services and Supplies) includes all national health expenditures (NHE) except research and construction. Source: Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS), Office of the Actuary. ©2005 C ALIFORNIA H EALTH C ARE F OUNDATION 10 Health Care Costs 101 Average Annual Growth Rate in National Health Expenditures GROWTH TRENDS The year 2003 marked 12.9% the first 11.0% 10.6% 8.9% 8.5% 7.7% 7.2% 5.6% 1970 1980 1990 1993 1995 deceleration 9.3% in spending in seven years. 5.7% 5.1% 1997 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 Note: Selected rather than continuous years of data are shown. Percentage increases are the average annual increase over the prior period shown. The 1970 figure represents the average annual increase since 1960. Source: Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS), Office of the Actuary. ©2005 C ALIFORNIA H EALTH C ARE F OUNDATION 11 Health Care Costs 101 Annual Growth Rates GROWTH TRENDS NHE vs. CPI Health 18% spending has 16% been increasing 14% at a faster pace 12% than inflation. 10% 8% NHE 6% 4% CPI 2% 0% 1970 1973 1976 1979 1982 1985 1988 1991 1994 1997 2000 2003 Note: Health spending refers to national health expenditures (NHE). CPI is the consumer price index. Source: Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS), Office of the Actuary; Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI-U, U.S. city average, annual figures). ©2005 C ALIFORNIA H EALTH C ARE F OUNDATION 12 Health Care Costs 101 Cumulative Impact of Growth Rates 16 NHE per Capita 14 Health care spending per capita in 2003 was 16.3 times 1970 levels. GROWTH TRENDS The impact of consistently higher growth 12 rates in health 10 care spending 8 is seen in the 6 comparison to Consumer Price Index 4 Consumer prices in 2003, as measured by CPI, were 4.7 times 1970 levels. 2 1970 1970 levels. 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2001 2002 2003 Note: 2003 CPI is actual; 2003 NHE is projected. Source: Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS), Office of the Actuary; Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI-U, U.S. city average, annual figures). ©2005 C ALIFORNIA H EALTH C ARE F OUNDATION 13 Health Care Costs 101 Annual Growth Rates GROWTH TRENDS by Health Spending Categories Growth in 25% prescription drug spending 20% continues to decelerate, 15% 2003 Growth Rates Prescription Drugs 10% 10.7% remains higher Physician and 8.5% Clinical Services 5% Hospital Care 6.5% CPI 2.3% 0% 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 although it than all other major categories except administration (not shown at Source: Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS), Office of the Actuary. ©2005 C ALIFORNIA H EALTH C ARE F OUNDATION 13.2 percent). 14 Health Care Costs 101 Share of Health Care Spending vs. Share of Increase, 2003 GROWTH TRENDS Drugs, 31% Hospital Care 26% 22% 24% Physician and Clinical Services Nursing Home/ Home Health Care Administration* Other* services, and administration 11% Prescription Drugs Dental/ Other Professional* physician contribute dis- 14% proportionately 10% 8% Share of Spending 9% 6% Share of Increase to the overall increase in health 7% 12% 10% spending. 8% *See the Appendix for a breakdown of combined categories. Note: Health care spending categories total to national health expenditures (NHE). Source: Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS), Office of the Actuary. ©2005 C ALIFORNIA H EALTH C ARE F OUNDATION 15 Health Care Costs 101 Prescription Drugs GROWTH TRENDS by Sources of Payment As insurance 80% coverage for 70% drugs has 60% become more 50% widespread, Private Insurance (46%) 40% Out-of-Pocket (30%) 30% Public (24%) there has been a major shift in how 20% prescription 10% drugs are 0% 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2003 paid for. Source: Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS), Office of the Actuary. ©2005 C ALIFORNIA H EALTH C ARE F OUNDATION 16 Health Care Costs 101 Annual Growth in Private Health Insurance Premiums PREMIUMS AND CONTRIBUTIONS Premiums in 18.0% U.S. CA California 15.8% 14.0% and the U.S. 13.9% 13.4% 12.9% 11.2% 11.4% 10.9% grow at 10.0% 8.5% continue to double digit 8.2% 6.7% rates, but less 5.3% quickly than in the past. 0.8% 1989 1990 1993 1996 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 Notes: Data on premium increases reflect the cost of employer-based health insurance coverage for a family of four as reported by employers. Percent increase represents the growth over the immediate prior year. Selected rather than continuous years of data are shown prior to 1999. Sources: KFF/HRET Survey of Employer-Sponsored Health Benefits, 2004. CHCF/HRET California Employer Health Benefits Survey, 2004. California survey not conducted prior to 2000. ©2005 C ALIFORNIA H EALTH C ARE F OUNDATION 17 Health Care Costs 101 Monthly Insurance Premiums PREMIUMS AND CONTRIBUTIONS Single Enrollee in Group Health Plan, 2004 Although $308 U.S. CA All Plans $307 premiums for HMOs are lower in Health Maintenance Organization (HMO) Preferred Provider Organization (PPO) $288 California than $261 the nation, premiums for $317 $374 PPOs are considerably Point-of-Service (POS) $302 higher. $300 Source: CHCF/HRET California Employer Health Benefits Survey, 2004. ©2005 C ALIFORNIA H EALTH C ARE F OUNDATION 18 Health Care Costs 101 Monthly Insurance Premiums PREMIUMS AND CONTRIBUTIONS Family Enrollee in Group Health Plan, 2004 Among U.S. $829 CA All Plans $834 employer-based insurance offerings, PPOs HMO $792 have the most $721 PPO expensive insurance $851 $981 premiums, both in POS $818 $874 California and nationally. Source: CHCF/HRET California Employer Health Benefits Survey, 2004. ©2005 C ALIFORNIA H EALTH C ARE F OUNDATION 19 Health Care Costs 101 Employee Share of Premium PREMIUMS AND CONTRIBUTIONS California vs. U.S., Single and Family, 2000 and 2004 California employees are 28% 27% 26% 23% contributing more to their health insurance 16% 14% 13% premiums than 10% in the past. CA Single 2000 2004 CA Family 2000 2004 U.S. Single 2000 2004 U.S. Family 2000 2004 Source: CHCF/HRET California Employer Health Benefits Survey, 2004. ©2005 C ALIFORNIA H EALTH C ARE F OUNDATION 20 Health Care Costs 101 Annual Out-of-Pocket Spending Share of Total Per Capita $1000 45% $900 Percentage of all personal health care spending $800 $541 $540 35% continue to 30% rise, as a share 25% of all personal $500 20% $394 $400 of-pocket costs for consumers $700 $600 Although out- 40% $779 $731 PREMIUMS AND CONTRIBUTIONS health care spending, the $300 15% $253 10% $200 $119 $100 percentage has declined. 5% $0 1970 1980 1985 1990 1995 2002 2003 0% Notes: Selected rather than continuous years of data are shown prior to 2002. Out-of-pocket spending includes direct spending by consumers for all health care goods and services, such as coinsurance, deductibles, and any amounts not covered by insurance. Out-of-pocket premiums paid by individuals are not counted here but are counted as part of private health insurance. Source: Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS), Office of the Actuary. ©2005 C ALIFORNIA H EALTH C ARE F OUNDATION 21 Health Care Costs 101 Category Breakdown APPENDIX Spending Levels (billions) Distribution Growth 2002 1983 2003 2003 over 2002 $1,678.9 $1,559.0 $353.5 100% 7.7% 2003 NATIONAL HEALTH EXPENDITURES (NHE) 1,614.2 1,499.8 336.4 96% 7.6% 1,440.8 1,342.9 308.3 86% 7.3% • Hospital Care 515.9 484.2 146.3 31% 6.5% • Professional Services • Physician and Clinical Services • Dental Services* • Other Professional Services* • Other Personal Health Care* 369.7 74.3 48.5 49.5 340.8 70.9 46.1 45.3 67.8 18.3 5.9 4.3 22% 4% 3% 3% 8.5% 4.8% 5.3% 9.2% • Nursing Home Care † 110.8 106.6 25.5 7% 4.0% • Home Health Care † 40.0 36.5 4.2 2% 9.5% 179.2 20.4 32.5 161.8 19.6 31.1 17.3 4.9 13.8 11% 1% 2% 10.7% 4.0% 4.4% 119.7 105.7 18.8 7% 13.2% 53.8 51.2 9.4 3% 5.1% Research** 40.2 36.5 6.5 2% 10.0% Construction** 24.5 22.7 10.6 1% 7.7% Health Services and Supplies (HSS) Personal Health Care (PHC) • Retail Outlet Sales • Prescription Drugs • Durable Medical Equipment (DME)** • Other Non-Durable Medical Products** Administration †† Public Health Activity** *Combined to create “Dental/Other Professional.” †Combined as one figure. **Combined to create “Other.” ††“Administration” refers to government program administration (spending for the cost of running various government health care programs) and net cost of private health insurance (the difference between premiums earned by insurers and the claims or losses incurred for which insurers become liable). Source: Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS), Office of the Actuary. ©2005 C ALIFORNIA H EALTH C ARE F OUNDATION 22 Health Care Costs 101 Sources and Definitions RESOURCES This guide is primarily based on 2003 national data, the latest information on health spending available from the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS), and the Office of the Actuary. Except where noted, “health spending” refers to total national health expenditures as collected and published by CMS. Projections for 2004 forward represent those released by CMS in February 2005 and reflect provisions of the recently passed Medicare Prescription Drug Improvement and Modernization Act of 2003. Information here on health insurance premiums and employee contributions comes from the California HealthCare Foundation/Health Research and Educational Trust annual California employer health benefits survey. Additional information on the sources used in preparing this document can be found on the following pages. ©2005 C ALIFORNIA H EALTH C ARE F OUNDATION 23 Health Care Costs 101 Data Resources CMS Online Resources* NHE Tables, Historical and Projected: www.cms.hhs.gov/statistics/nhe/default.asp? Category Definitions: www.cms.hhs.gov/statistics/nhe/quick-reference/ National Health Accounts: Definitions, Sources, and Methods: www.cms.hhs.gov/statistics/nhe/ definitions-sources-methods/ *As of February 9, 2005 Health Insurance Premium and Contribution Data California HealthCare Foundation (CHCF) and Health Research and Education Trust (HRET), California Employer Health Benefits Survey, 2004, Oakland, CA. www.chcf.org/topics/view.cfm?itemid=108023 Kaiser Family Foundation (KFF) and Health Research and Educational Trust (HRET), Employer Health Benefits, 2004 Annual Survey, Menlo Park, CA. Publication #7148. ©2005 C ALIFORNIA H EALTH C ARE F OUNDATION RESOURCES Journal Publications Authored by CMS Staff Cowan, Cathy, Patricia A. McDonnell, Katharine R. Levit, Mark A. Zezz, “Burden of Health Care Costs: Businesses, Households, and Governments 1987–2000,” Health Care Financing Review, Vol 23, Number 3, Spring 2002, pp. 132–159. Heffler, Stephen, Sheila Smith, Sean Keehan, Christine Borger, M. Kent Clemens, and Christopher Truffer, “Trends: U.S. Health Spending Projections for 2004–2014,” Health Affairs, Web Exclusive, 23 February 2005. www.healthaffairs.org. Lazenby, Helen C., Katharine Levit, Daniel R. Waltdo, et al, “National Health Accounts: Lessons from the U.S. Experience,” Health Care Financing Review, Vol. 13, No. 4, Summer 1992, pp. 89 –103. Smith, Cynthia, Cathy Cowan, Art Sensenig, Aaron Catlin, and the Health Accounts Team, “Health Spending Growth Slows in 2003,” Health Affairs, Vol. 24, No. 1, January/February 2005, pp. 185–194. 24