kantar retail 2013 v25.qxp 9/19/2013 10:43 AM Page 1 Ad spending strategies. How Google and Amazon are changing the retailing game. Why email (for now) trumps social media. With strategic partner kantar retail 2013 v25.qxp 9/19/2013 10:43 AM Page 3 RETAIL MARKETING THE FUTURE OF RETAIL, ONLINE AND OFFLINE Ad spending is growing again. Data-driven marketing matters. By Beth Snyder Bulik — bbulik@adage.com INSIDE THE FUTURE OF RETAIL, ONLINE AND OFFLINE - Now you see it, now you buy it - Amaz-ing Amazon Charts: - 25 largest retail advertisers - Sales of the 10 largest retail advertisers - Largest department-store advertisers - Largest food-store advertisers - Largest advertisers by category - Retail ad spending by medium - Retail ad spending by category 3 5 7 6 7 8 8 9 10 11 WHY RETAILERS AND SHOPPERS LIKE PRODUCT LISTING ADS 12 Like trends in fashion, what’s old is new again in the world of retail marketing. Overall ad spending is up, particularly TV and digital. Department store ad spending is on the rise. Couponing (albeit digital) is growing. Customer service and engagement is more important than ever. Even the Made in America pitches and downsized stores with smaller footprints feel like déjà vu all over again. The economy—and retailing—are still in a comparatively slow recovery from the 2007-2009 Great Recession. Retailing’s rebound has not been easy. Some elements of retail marketing aren’t coming back. The rise of digital marketing has come with the fall of print. U.S. measured-media spending in newspapers by retailers has tumbled 39% since its 2004 peak (based on spending in print editions only), according to data from WPP’s Kantar Media. Overall newspaper advertising revenue last year was down 55% from its 2005 peak, according to the Newspaper Association of America. “The downturn in the newspaper business has arguably hit the retail sector harder than any other category because of the primacy that newspaper had in retailers’ plans,” said Jon Swallen, chief research officer at Kantar Media Ad Intelligence North America. “Until five years ago, when the print industry really started eroding, print was a very integral part of retailers’ budgets and media plans. Not only for the major national brands, but also for a lot of the regional and local market retailers for whom TV was comparably less affordable.” That has forced retail advertisers to do one of two things, Mr. Swallen said: Sit by and do the same thing and get less and less return, or adapt and make changes and spend money in other places to reach your target audience. Fortunately for the industry, Chart: - Biggest users of Google’s product listing ads 13 WIN THE WEEK, WIN THE WAR 14 50% GROWTH IN RETAILER DIGITAL-COUPON PROMOTIONS IN 2012 OVER $490 MILLION WHAT MASS RETAILERS SPENT LAST YEAR ON PAID SEARCH SOURCE: KANTAR MEDIA Chart: - When retailers advertise 15 RETAILERS SPEND MORE, BUT DO VIEWERS GET THE MESSAGE? 16 Charts: - How to measure commercial reach and wearout - TV campaign effectiveness 17 17 EMAIL VS. SOCIAL MEDIA 18 Ad Age DataCenter produced this research report based on data from Kantar Media. Retail Marketing was researched and written by Beth Snyder Bulik, a freelance writer and frequent Ad Age contributor. Published Sept. 30, 2013. This is one in a series of research reports published by Advertising Age. To see other Ad Age reports and download additional copies of this one, go to AdAge.com/trend-reports This document and information contained therein are the copyrighted property of Crain Communications Inc. and Advertising Age (Copyright 2013) and are for your personal, noncommercial use only. You may not reproduce, display on a website, distribute, sell or republish this document, or the information contained therein, without the prior written consent of Advertising Age. Copyright 2013 by Crain Communications Inc. All rights reserved. CONTINUED ON P. 5 ADVERTISING AGE SEPTEMBER 30, 2013 · 3 kantar retail 2013 v25.qxp 9/19/2013 10:43 AM Page 5 RETAIL MARKETING CONTINUED FROM P. 3 many retailers took the latter strategy. Some of the spending shift has benefited TV, and some went to digital marketing (including, among other digital media, the online editions of newspapers). The number of retailer digital-coupon promotions, for instance, grew by more than 50% from 2011 to 2012, according to Kantar Media’s Marx, which tracks consumer promotions. Mass retailers’ paid-search spending topped $490 million in 2012, according to AdGooroo, a digital-marketing research venture owned by Kantar Media. The denouement in the long-standing war of online retailers versus traditional brick-and-mortar stores seems to have arrived. Each side realizes neither one is going to disappear. The new normal is a competitive online and offline market where players cross platforms frequently and more easily. Still, like most accords, this truce has had casualties. Offline retailers such as Circuit City Stores and Borders Group disappeared, while Sears Holdings Corp. (Sears, Kmart) and J.C. Penney Co. are shadows of their former selves. “The competition between online and offline retailers has been analogous to a pendulum swinging back and forth,” said Mr. Swallen. “As online shopping became more established the pendulum shifted in the direction of e-tailers. Traditional retailers adapted, consumer behavior continued to evolve, and now the pendulum has moved back towards an equilibrium characterized by greater integration between online and offline retailing.” The fight for consumer dollars may have lessened since the recession, but the battle is far from over. The slow pace of economic recovery has created what the National Retail Federation calls an “either/or” economy. Consumers are spending again, but doing so more carefully. Whether that means choosing either a new computer or a new wardrobe for college students, or the choice between bulking up the kids’ college fund or going on a Disney Cruise, consumers today aren’t generally doing both. “It’s still a competition. Amazon still wants you to spend $25 with them instead of somebody else. And you’re only going to spend that $25 with one or the other,” Mr. Swallen said. Advertising and marketing spending strategies matter more in that world. Social media, while still a nascent ad platform, will become a more important tool as well as offer important analytics into customer behavior. Kantar Media, for instance, in August 2013 announced a partnership with Twitter to develop analytics combining TV and social-media data. New social media like fast-growing Pinterest will continue to make waves and offer even more data. The key for retailers lies in evaluating the media, the channels and the consumers who use them to deliver the right message at the optimal time and place to the correct target. Data-driven thinking matters. ADVERTISING AGE NOW YOU SEE IT,NOW YOU BUY IT Go online, then see what’s in store While the rise of visual social media like Pinterest and Instagram is changing the way retailers market, it’s also driving an emerging consumer shopping trend: reverse showrooming. People see and discover products they want online, and they then go out to brick-and-mortar stores to buy them. This turns on its head the struggle retailers face with showrooming, or the practice of customers using local stores to examine products and then going online to price shop and purchase. Reverse showrooming is not an entirely new practice. When it comes to larger purchases, or more expensive apparel such as running shoes, consumers research products online first and then go to the store to see, try out and buy the goods. For instance, Kantar’s Millward Brown Digital (formerly Compete) found that although 59% of in-store shoppers looked online for running shoes, 71% of them still bought in-store. The new twist is that visual social-media sites such as Instagram (bought by Facebook in 2012) and Pinterest, and to a certain extent social-media mainstays Facebook and Twitter, encourage product discovery through pictures and photographs. Consumers stumble on products they want through friends’ artful photos, original pins and repins. While those products are sometimes linked to a store or direct-purchase site, more often they are linked to a blog post or other editorial commentary. Users do search and shop for those items online, but they also are going to the physical stores. In part, that’s because pins tend to be more creative and extensive than just a single product photo. It’s not just an image of a box of crayons, but a photograph of melted crayons made into wall art. You can buy the crayons online of course, but you’ve also got to get the canvas and blowtorch, so you might as well get them all on a trip to the craft store. Food and recipe pins, the most popular category, generally require a trip to the grocery store. “Shopping used to be confined to the store and its store hours,” said Matt Pace, director of retail and consumer products at Millward Brown Digital. “Then with the PC, it became confined to the time consumers had to sit down at their desks and browse and shop. With mobile, consumers could shop anywhere they wanted. Now the store experience can be accessed anywhere.” SEPTEMBER 30, 2013 · 5 kantar retail 2013 v25.qxp 9/19/2013 10:43 AM Page 6 RETAIL MARKETING 25 LARGEST RETAIL ADVERTISERS By 2012 U.S. measured-media spending in 18 media. Dollars in millions. RANK 2012 RETAILER HEADQUARTERS 1 Macy’s Cincinnati 2 Walmart Stores 3 U.S. MEASURED-MEDIA SPENDING 2012 2011 % CHG CATEGORY $842.4 $839.6 0.3 Bentonville, Ark. 762.4 674.3 13.1 Mass merchandiser and food Target Corp. Minneapolis 671.9 700.8 -4.1 Mass merchandiser and food 4 Sears Holdings Corp. Hoffman Estates, Ill. 642.0 666.3 -3.6 Department, mass merch. 5 J.C. Penney Co. Plano, Texas 506.5 446.3 13.5 Department 6 Home Depot Atlanta 470.5 490.5 -4.1 Home improvement 7 Lowe’s Cos. Mooresville, N.C. 359.6 344.6 4.3 Home improvement 8 Kohl’s Corp. Menomonee Falls, Wis. 356.4 332.7 7.1 Department 9 Best Buy Co. Richfield, Minn. 342.0 374.5 -8.7 Electronics and appliances 10 Gap Inc. San Francisco 340.2 302.3 12.5 Apparel 11 Walgreen Co. Deerfield, Ill. 310.9 239.9 29.6 Drug 12 Amazon Seattle 298.7 219.4 36.2 Web 13 Fry’s Electronics San Jose, Calif. 247.9 217.5 14.0 Electronics and appliances 14 Signet Jewelers Hamilton, Bermuda 214.8 216.3 -0.7 Jewelry 15 TJX Cos. Framingham, Mass. 188.8 171.0 10.4 Discount 16 Rooms To Go Seffner, Fla. 181.3 164.9 9.9 Furniture 17 Kroger Co. Cincinnati 178.3 163.5 9.1 Food 18 Safeway Pleasanton, Calif. 150.0 157.5 -4.8 Food 19 Ashley Furniture Arcadia, Wis. 126.4 123.3 2.5 Furniture 20 Luxottica Group Milan/Port Washington, N.Y. 124.6 124.3 0.2 Optical 21 Ikea International (Ingka Holding) Leiden, Netherlands 121.2 102.2 18.6 Furniture 22 CVS Caremark Corp. Woonsocket, R.I. 119.0 97.0 22.7 Drug 23 eBay San Jose, Calif. 116.5 136.4 -14.6 Web 24 Toys R Us Wayne, N.J. 112.3 119.6 -6.0 Toy 25 PetSmart Phoenix 96.8 96.8 0.0 Pet $7,881.5 $7,521.2 4.8 Total top 25 Department Source: Ad Age DataCenter analysis of data from Kantar Media. Measured-media spending figures include 18 media from Kantar Media’s Stradegy, including network TV, spot TV, cable TV networks, syndicated TV, Spanish-language network TV, local radio, national spot radio, network radio, magazine, Sunday magazine, local magazine, Spanish-language magazine, business publication, newspaper, national newspaper (New York Times, USA Today, Wall Street Journal), Spanish-language newspaper, outdoor and internet display. Categories are designated by Ad Age. Figures shown include all advertising by parent company regardless of category. 6 · SEPTEMBER 30, 2013 ADVERTISING AGE kantar retail 2013 v25.qxp 9/19/2013 10:44 AM Page 7 RETAIL MARKETING AMAZ-ING AMAZON: A STORE (AND A BIT MORE) Amazon is the elephant in the dressing room when it comes to retail. It’s a huge retailer that doesn’t advertise and market like most huge retailers. It doesn’t have a single physical store. It sets market trends in supply-chain management, digitalrights management and shipping-delivery services. Amazon is not only the largest online retailer in the world, but a destination website, shopping search engine, consumer-review site, consumer-electronics maker (Kindle), media company selling online ads and a top provider of cloud computing services. Not exactly breathing the same air as Macy’s, Walmart or Target. Amazon reported 2012 North American product and services sales of $34.8 billion. The company last year had U.S. measuredmedia spending of $298.7 million, ranking it No. 12 among retailers based on Kantar Media data (see P. 6). If you isolate shopping data, Amazon’s singular status in retail is quickly evident. Consider these stats from a 2013 joint study by two WPP units—GroupM Next and Kantar Media’s Compete (now Kantar’s Millward Brown Digital)—that show Amazon’s shopping influence among digital consumers: ■ 37% of the time, Amazon starts a consumer down a path that ends somewhere else. ■ 35% of the time, the consumer purchase path ends at Amazon. ■ 22% of the time, a consumer starts and ends somewhere else, but uses Amazon in the middle. ■ 6% of the time, Amazon is the only destination in the consumer purchase path. As noted in a joint report by Compete and GroupM: “Amazon has joined Google as the two most important digital properties in consumer purchase behavior. … When consumers go to retailers, one out of every three goes to Amazon. On its way to becoming the largest retail site, an interesting thing happened: Amazon became a trusted source of research at all stages of the conversion pathway.” SALES OF THE 10 LARGEST RETAIL ADVERTISERS Company’s U.S. retail sales. Company’s share of overall U.S. retail sales. RANK 2012 RETAILER 1 Macy’s $27.7 $26.4 4.9 2 Walmart Stores 330.9 318.0 4.1 11.5 11.5 3 Target Corp. 72.0 68.5 5.1 2.5 2.5 4 Sears Holdings Corp. 35.5 36.9 -3.8 1.2 1.3 5 J.C. Penney Co. 13.0 17.3 -24.8 0.5 0.6 6 Home Depot 66.4 62.4 6.3 2.3 2.3 7 Lowe’s Cos. 49.4 49.3 0.3 1.7 1.8 8 Kohl’s Corp. 19.3 18.8 2.5 0.7 0.7 9 Best Buy Co. 36.8 37.0 -0.4 1.3 1.3 Gap Inc. 12.2 11.4 7.3 0.4 0.4 663.2 645.9 2.7 23.0 23.4 $2,883.2 $2,759.4 4.5 100.0 100.0 10 U.S. RETAIL SALES (DOLLARS IN BILLIONS) 2012 2011 % CHG Top 10 Industry total 1 SHARE OF U.S. RETAIL SALES 2012 2011 1.0% 1.0% Source: Company financial filings; Census Bureau (U.S. retail sales); Ad Age DataCenter analysis. Numbers rounded. 1. Retail sales for the industry, from Census Bureau’s Monthly Retail Trade Survey, for U.S. retail sales excluding motor vehicle and parts dealers, gas stations and fuel dealers. ADVERTISING AGE SEPTEMBER 30, 2013 · 7 kantar retail 2013 v25.qxp 9/19/2013 10:44 AM Page 8 RETAIL MARKETING 10 LARGEST DEPARTMENT-STORE ADVERTISERS By 2012 U.S. measured-media spending in 18 media. Dollars in millions. Excludes mass merchandisers, which are shown on P. 9. RANK 2012 RETAILER HEADQUARTERS 1 Macy’s New York 2 JCPenney 3 U.S. MEASURED-MEDIA SPENDING 2012 2011 % CHG PARENT $761.0 $759.8 0.2 Plano, Texas 498.3 440.8 13.1 Kohl’s Menomonee Falls, Wis. 354.6 329.5 7.6 4 Sears Hoffman Estates, Ill. 326.6 344.8 -5.3 5 Dillard’s Little Rock, Ark. 74.2 90.7 -18.2 Dillard’s 6 Bloomingdale’s New York 72.3 71.6 1.0 Macy’s 7 Nordstrom Seattle 40.1 36.4 10.2 Nordstrom 8 Neiman Marcus Dallas 35.6 22.3 59.8 Neiman Marcus 9 Belk Charlotte, N.C. 35.1 33.2 5.8 Boscov’s Reading, Pa. 34.0 28.0 21.4 $2,231.8 $2,157.0 3.5 10 Total top 10 Macy’s J.C. Penney Co. Kohl’s Corp. Sears Holdings Corp. Belk Boscov’s 10 LARGEST FOOD-STORE ADVERTISERS By 2012 U.S. measured-media spending in 18 media. Dollars in millions. RANK 2012 RETAILER HEADQUARTERS 1 Kroger Cincinnati 2 Safeway 3 U.S. MEASURED-MEDIA SPENDING 2012 2011 % CHG PARENT $101.3 $99.3 2.1 Pleasanton, Calif. 94.6 104.8 -9.7 Safeway Publix Lakeland, Fla. 61.2 61.7 -0.8 Publix Super Markets 4 Aldi Batavia, Ill. 31.7 17.5 81.7 Aldi 5 SuperValu Eden Prairie, Minn. 29.3 38.3 -23.3 6 Vons Arcadia, Calif. 28.2 24.7 14.4 Safeway 7 ShopRite Keasbey, N.J. 26.3 22.6 16.8 Wakefern Food Corp. 8 H-E-B San Antonio 24.6 26.2 -6.0 HEB Grocery Co. 9 Wawa Wawa, Pa. 23.6 17.6 33.8 Wawa Albertsons Boise, Idaho 21.7 20.7 4.7 $442.7 $433.2 2.2 10 Total top 10 Kroger Co. SuperValu Albertson’s LLC Source: Ad Age DataCenter analysis of data from Kantar Media. Measured-media spending figures include 18 media from Kantar Media’s Stradegy; see P. 6. Categories are designated by Ad Age based on retailer’s primary business. Figures shown include all measured advertising by the branded advertiser/retailer regardless of category. Some parent companies own multiple retailers. 8 · SEPTEMBER 30, 2013 ADVERTISING AGE kantar retail 2013 v25.qxp 9/19/2013 10:44 AM Page 9 RETAIL MARKETING LARGEST ADVERTISERS IN OTHER RETAIL CATEGORIES By 2012 U.S. measured-media spending in 18 media. Dollars in millions. MASS MERCHANDISERS RANK 2012 RETAILER 1 Walmart 2 3 APPAREL STORES U.S. MEASURED-MEDIA SPENDING 2012 2011 % CHG $621.7 10.9 1 Old Navy Target 658.1 687.2 -4.2 2 Kmart 211.2 216.0 -2.2 3 Walgreens 2 CVS 3 Rite Aid Best Buy 2 Fry’s Electronics 3 H.H.Gregg RETAILER 1 Home Depot 2 Lowe’s 3 Harbor Freight Tools 1 RETAILER 1 Rooms To Go 2 3 79.4 78.6 1.0 T.J. Maxx 68.0 56.7 19.8 RANK 2012 U.S. MEASURED-MEDIA SPENDING 2012 2011 % CHG RETAILER 1 Kay Jewelers 2 105.1 91.5 14.9 2 Jared 47.1 45.9 2.6 3 Zales 2 $139.1 $147.9 -5.9 66.5 63.2 5.1 43.2 45.3 -4.7 SPORTING GOODS U.S. MEASURED-MEDIA SPENDING 2012 2011 % CHG RANK 2012 U.S. MEASURED-MEDIA SPENDING 2012 2011 % CHG RETAILER $314.9 $348.7 -9.7 1 Dick’s Sporting Goods $81.7 $52.1 56.9 246.5 217.5 13.3 2 Big 5 Sporting Goods 62.1 66.0 -5.9 85.9 72.7 18.2 3 Bass Pro Shop 28.8 30.9 -6.7 OFFICE SUPPLIES U.S. MEASURED-MEDIA SPENDING 2012 2011 % CHG RANK 2012 RETAILER $461.6 $487.9 -5.4 1 Staples 351.7 339.7 3.5 2 Office Depot 65.3 66.8 -2.3 3 OfficeMax 3 FURNITURE STORES RANK 2012 Burlington Coat Factory 30.5 HOME IMPROVEMENT STORES RANK 2012 -9.0 $217.3 RETAILER 1 $221.5 $283.4 ELECTRONICS SUPERSTORES RANK 2012 $201.5 JEWELRY STORES U.S. MEASURED-MEDIA SPENDING 2012 2011 % CHG RETAILER 1 U.S. MEASURED-MEDIA SPENDING 2012 2011 % CHG RETAILER $689.2 DRUG STORES RANK 2012 RANK 2012 U.S. MEASURED-MEDIA SPENDING 2012 2011 % CHG 3 $87.0 $113.1 -23.1 59.6 46.1 29.4 31.8 24.6 29.7 PET SUPPLIES U.S. MEASURED-MEDIA SPENDING 2012 2011 % CHG RANK 2012 RETAILER $181.3 $164.9 9.9 1 PetSmart Ashley Furniture 123.8 121.7 1.7 2 Petco Ikea 121.1 102.1 18.6 3 U.S. MEASURED-MEDIA SPENDING 2012 2011 % CHG $93.5 $92.3 1.3 26.8 27.8 -3.6 PetMed Express/1-800-PetMeds 11.9 18.2 -34.5 Source: Ad Age DataCenter analysis of data from Kantar Media. Measured-media spending figures include 18 media from Kantar Media’s Stradegy; see P. 6. Categories are designated by Ad Age based on retailer’s primary business. Figures shown include all measured advertising by the branded advertiser/retailer regardless of category. Some parent companies own multiple retailers. 1. Spending excludes Orchard Hardware Supply, acquired in August 2013. 2. Signet Jewelers owns both Kay Jewelers and Jared. 3. Office Depot and OfficeMax in February 2013 announced merger; companies expect to complete merger by year-end 2013. ADVERTISING AGE SEPTEMBER 30, 2013 · 9 kantar retail 2013 v25.qxp 9/19/2013 10:44 AM Page 10 RETAIL MARKETING RETAIL AD SPENDING BY MEDIUM How U.S. measured-media spending by retailers has changed over the past 10 years. WHERE RETAILERS PUT THEIR MONEY IN MEASURED MEDIA RETAIL AD SPENDING, 2012 VS. 2003 Spending has risen since 2007-2009 recession but is still below pre-downturn levels. Newspapers get a smaller slice. Stores spending more on cable TV networks. $20 BILLION Internet (display) Magazine Outdoor Newspaper Radio Cable TV networks Syndicated TV Network TV Spot TV Outdoor Radio Internet (display) 6.97% 2.42% 10.59% Syndicated TV 15 10.11% 26.44% Spot TV 3.24% 2012 Retail spending Network TV $17.0 billion Cable TV networks 10 12.65% Newspaper 11.56% 16.01% $7.4 BILLION Retail ad spending in newspapers peaked in 2004. 5 $4.5 BILLION 1.58% 4.83% 8.57% 12.38% Measured-media spending by retailers in newspapers has tumbled 39% since 2004. 1.33% 2003 Retail spending Magazine $18.3 billion 0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Source: Ad Age DataCenter analysis of data from Kantar Media. Numbers rounded. Magazine includes consumer magazine, business publication, Spanish-language magazine and local magazine. Newspaper includes print-edition ad spending only for newspaper, national newspaper (New York Times, USA Today, Wall Street Journal), Spanish-language newspaper and Sunday magazine. Network TV includes Spanish-language TV networks. Radio includes local radio, national spot radio and network radio. Internet includes display only and excludes paid search and broadband video. 10 · SEPTEMBER 30, 2013 2012 14.49% 39.13% 12.46% 5.23% ADVERTISING AGE kantar retail 2013 v25.qxp 9/19/2013 10:44 AM Page 11 RETAIL MARKETING RETAIL AD SPENDING BY CATEGORY Share of U.S. measured-media spending by retail category in 2012. Spending in 2012 vs. 2011 and 2003. Pharmacy and personal care Other 2012: $1.83B 2011: $1.74B 2003: $1.64B 2012: $671M 2011: $525M 2003: $527M Sporting goods, games and toys 2012: $722M 2011: $738M 2003: $757M Food 2012: $1.27B 2011: $1.20B 2003: $1.18B 10.8% 4.0% 2012: $4.29B 2011: $4.28B 2003: $4.42B 4.3% 7.5% 25.3% 2012 Total $16.95 B 2011: $16.50B 2003: $18.33B 14.9% 9.4% Consumer electronics and appliances Home improvement and garden 10.1% 13.8% Apparel, shoes and jewelry 2012: $2.53B 2011: $2.58B 2003: $2.23B 2012: $1.60B 2011: $1.49B 2003: $2.96B Mass merchandisers 2012: $1.71B 2011: $1.65B 2003: $1.29B ADVERTISING AGE Department stores 2012: $2.34B 2011: $2.29B 2003: $3.33B Source: Ad Age DataCenter analysis of data from Kantar Media. Categories are designated by Ad Age. Numbers rounded. SEPTEMBER 30, 2013 · 11 kantar retail 2013 v25.qxp 9/19/2013 10:44 AM Page 12 RETAIL MARKETING WHY RETAILERS AND SHOPPERS LIKE GOOGLE’S PRODUCT LISTING ADS Product listing ads are changing the picture for Google’s search-engine results pages as simple photo-with-price search results supplant standard text ads. Google began selling photo ads—called product listing ads— last year, and the volume of such ads has surged in recent months. From March to July 2013, the number of advertisers jumped 25.2% and the number of ad impressions rose 86.7%, according to AdGooroo, a digital-marketing research firm owned by Kantar Media. In comparison, the number of Google AdWords text ad impressions rose a tiny 2.5% over that same time period. PRODUCT PLACEMENT Tips for optimizing Google product listing ads ■ Test different images, product descriptions and promotions to boost your clickthrough rate. ■ Bid price is also important as it can affect your average position (but at a minimum, it should be high enough to ensure your ad appears regularly). ■ Manually target specific placements for your top keywords for product listing ads. That can result in a major improvement in your advertising ROI since it cuts down on wasted clicks from individuals outside of your target audience. It also provides better transparency since AdWords will report your product listing ad statistics for manually targeted keywords down to the individual keyword, allowing you to see which are working and which should be deleted. ■ Use negative keyword matching to avoid having your product listing ad appear for the wrong terms (example: Jaguar car vs. Jaguar cat). Source: Richard Stokes’ book, “Ultimate Guide to Pay-Per-Click Advertising, Second Edition,” to be published in spring 2014. 12 · SEPTEMBER 30, 2013 Welcome to the new search-engine shopping where picture listings trump text listings, and pictures with price listings trump just about everything. Google strategically places these product listing ads above the web page “fold” where they can’t be missed. “It’s a chunk of incredibly valuable real estate on the search page, and they’ve effectively turned one spot into eight,” said Richard Stokes, CEO of AdGooroo. “Any kind of contrast with the rest of the page, in this case, images in smaller boxes, will draw the eye, and where the eye goes, the clicks go.” Google has added search advertising space but done it in a way that’s not only inoffensive to consumers, but also helpful. If searching for Sperry shoes, for instance, consumers no longer have to go to each retail site that comes up in search text to see things like color of the shoe, and more importantly, price. That information is all right there in the product listing ad, easily comparable side by side, right on the top of the first search page. What’s not to like for consumers? They just saved a bunch of clicks. Every click is a decision point, to continue down the purchase path, so the fewer the better. Not to mention studies have revealed click-anathema, with users exiting a website if there are too many clicks. The product-listing-ads placement process works a lot like AdWords. Instead of keywords, though, retailers bid on targeted product categories or even specific products. Once a retailer uploads images of the products it wants to sell through product listing ads, AdWords dynamically creates an ad. Shopping searches then are “matched to your ads based on your product data,” according to Google, with product listing ads appearing when the bid is won. The cost of product listing ads varies by product and category demand, but Mr. Stokes said his understanding so far has been that product listing ads are actually cheaper than equivalent text ads. AdWords text ads range wildly depending on the brand and keyword, but top-selling ones such as insurance, loans, mortgage and attorney cost well over $40 a click. In general, product listing ads are estimated, for competitive pricing, to fall in a range of about 20 cents to 40 cents a click. ADVERTISING AGE kantar retail 2013 v25.qxp 9/19/2013 10:45 AM Page 13 RETAIL MARKETING The discrepancy is due in large part to the fact that not a lot of retailers are using them yet, and so demand and price bidding wars are still relatively contained. But the picture is changing. The 18,514 U.S. retailer users in March 2013 surged 25.2% to 23,171 in July, AdGooroo found. Almost every major online and offline retailer—Walmart, Target, eBay, Best Buy, Overstock—has adopted product listing ads. There’s one glaring omission: Amazon. It used to place Google Shopping ads but pulled them last fall. Mr. Stokes offered the theory that the sales funnel of yesterday is gone and has been replaced by a cloud of dominant shopping habits. In that cloud, Google, Amazon, Twitter and a few others sites such as Yelp, Pinterest and Facebook command most direct-shopping searches. Amazon also has its own image ads, called Amazon Product Ads, and may perceive itself as equal or superior to Google as a search engine for shopping. A New York Times story last year reported that shoppers tend to do two things when searching for a product: Go to Google search or straight to Amazon’s website. Amazon took top share, with 33% of shoppers starting there, versus 13% going to Google first. What are the rest of retailers supposed to do? Try out product listing ads. And soon, before the prices go up, Mr. Stokes advises. “The party is still going on now, and it seems like there is still a lot of room for retailers, but things will begin to change,” he said. “As the market matures, certain advertisers will get smarter and figure out how to get more and better placement. With Google, we tend to see a democracy at first, then consolidation and then those with power—and money to spend—take over.” He mentioned Etsy, for example, which is buying a lot of product listing ads. However, the home-crafting congregator also used to do a lot of AdWords advertising, before it got too expensive. “A lot of internet advertising doesn’t work in all markets or for all products, but product listing ads work around the world—and for lots of products,” Mr. Stokes said. “IMAGES IN SMALLER BOXES DRAW THE EYE, AND WHERE THE EYE GOES, THE CLICKS GO.” — Richard Stokes CEO of Kantar Media’s AdGooroo BIGGEST USERS OF PRODUCT LISTING ADS By U.S. impressions, March to July 2013. RANK WEBSITE NUMBER OF IMPRESSIONS IN MILLIONS NUMBER OF UNIQUE PRODUCTS ADVERTISED NUMBER OF UNIQUE ADS* 1 walmart.com 877.0 177,982 557,637 2 ebay.com 544.0 864,195 2,376,921 3 target.com 436.0 68,880 175,857 4 bestbuy.com 279.0 10,010 37,624 5 overstock.com 234.0 112,422 367,822 6 newegg.com 208.0 84,131 184,954 7 macys.com 185.0 46,757 291,207 8 staples.com 159.0 54,956 123,068 9 sears.com 123.0 97,317 196,037 10 homedepot.com 108.0 45,199 105,427 11 walgreens.com 104.0 19,901 96,334 12 drugstore.com 1 100.0 30,500 154,711 13 etsy.com 96.7 189,888 304,556 14 globalindustrial.com 96.4 61,698 125,686 15 soap.com 2 88.0 18,122 71,565 16 nordstrom.com 84.0 59,451 140,290 17 rakuten.com 83.0 57,719 189,953 18 dell.com 81.0 6,605 34,113 19 lowes.com 79.0 26,839 86,691 20 toyrus.com 76.0 19,343 53,114 Source: Kantar Media’s AdGooroo. *Defined as displaying a unique product name, price, image, URL or ad copy. 1. Owned by Walgreen Co. 2. Owned by Amazon. ADVERTISING AGE SEPTEMBER 30, 2013 · 13 kantar retail 2013 v25.qxp 9/19/2013 10:45 AM Page 14 RETAIL MARKETING WIN THE WEEK,WIN THE WAR: HOW TO KNOW WHEN TO SPEND Think about how shoppers shop. They don’t make monthly, quarterly or yearly trips for most products; they go every week. For retailers, capturing consumers’ attention—and spending—is about winning people over every week. To that end, mass retailers, grocery chains, pharmacies and even pet stores create new promotions every week, usually including print advertising free-standing inserts, in-store shopper marketing and digital loyalty coupons and rewards. But what does it take to “win the week,” to come out on top for the week? The key is to grab the most attention but not necessarily spend the most money. Conventional wisdom, and simple math, indicates that spending the most money will guarantee the most attention. That may be true sometimes, but data show that hypothesis generally to be incorrect or incomplete. The weeks that retailers spend the most money are not usually the same weeks they get the most bang for their buck. One key reason is that when marketers spend a lot of money in a given week, so do their competitors. Think about holiday marketing blitzes. While a retailer might “win” the highest share of spending, it may “lose” when it comes to the highest amount of attention. Even if a retailer does win the most attention, it likely comes at a high advertising cost during those competitive weeks. Marx, a Kantar Media unit specializing in tracking, reporting and analyzing consumer promotions, recently compared weekly share of advertising and promotion budgets with the weekly share of voice across several retail sales channels (that is, types of stores). Share of budget is the individual retailer’s ad and promotion spending for that week relative to its total spending for the year. Share of voice is a retailer’s ad and promotion spending relative to the total spending of a competitive retailer set. Marx looked at data for 26 major retailers that spent a total of $2.5 billion on ads and promotion in 2012. Across major retail channels, only club stores had the same winning week for share of budget and share of voice. Other retailers—mass, food, drug, pet and value—varied widely in which week they spent the most and which week they got the most impact for their ad dollars. Consider the seven days ended Dec. 3, 2012, when mass retailers such as Walmart and Target spent more than $60 million on 14 · SEPTEMBER 30, 2013 ads and promotion—more than double their spending on a typical week—to court holiday shoppers. Did mass retailers win the week? Not according to Marx. While budget spending ranked a 229 on Marx’ comparative index, mass retailers’ overall share of voice indexed at just 131. That means for more than double the spending, mass retailers only received a 31% increase over an average week’s share of consumers’ attention. DO SOMETHING DIFFERENT “If everyone is doing the same thing, it may not be as effective as doing something different,” said Dan Kitrell, VP-account solutions at Marx. “While winning such an important week may seem critical to many retailers, it’s clearly an expensive initiative, and smaller companies, or those who need to restrict their budgets, may want to seek out less crowded times during the holiday season.” There are specific ways retailers can increase their share of voice and overall effectiveness. Mr. Kitrell advises retailers to do one of two things: Schedule advertising and promotions during other less spending-intensive weeks, or keep spending during those weeks but change the product category being promoted to a less traditional one. The first strategy shifts and concentrates promotions and advertising in less “noisy” weeks. Retailers, for instance, could move some of the holiday kickoff week budget to earlier or later weeks. In the case of mass retailers, the best weeks depend on what they’re trying to accomplish. If a store is looking to move electronics, it might make sense to shift spending to the weeks before Father’s Day or the weeks after the winter holiday (when teens and college students are flush with post-holiday gift certificates and cash). Retailers also can turn to brand-marketer partners to co-create special deals or promotions during some of those “off” weeks to further spur interest. The second strategy retailers can adopt is to continue advertising during the same weeks but change the products promoted. If most mass retailers are pushing Christmas toy deals one week, then think about promoting high-end beauty products, wrapping paper or groceries, for example. Walmart has done this to some success, said Mr. Kitrell. Looking at advertising and promotions in fall 2012, Marx noticed ADVERTISING AGE kantar retail 2013 v25.qxp 9/19/2013 10:45 AM Page 15 RETAIL MARKETING WHEN RETAILERS ADVERTISE Retailer advertising and promotion activity varies by week, directing shoppers to different retailers, different aisles and different brands. In 2012, mass merchants accounted for 72% of retail ad and promotion spending in early December but just 28% of retail ad/promo spending in the post-holiday lull of late January. Retailers spent more than 3% of their annual ad/promo budgets each week from Thanksgiving leading up to Christmas but just 1.3% during a slow week in late July. WEEKLY AD AND PROMOTION SPENDING BY CHANNEL ($ MILLION) MASS FOOD DRUG ALL OTHER $100 80 60 40 SEVEN DAYS ENDED 1/2/12 2/6 3/5 4/2 5/7 6/4 7/2 8/6 9/3 10/1 11/5 12/3 12/31 Source: Kantar Media analysis of $2.5 billion in annual advertising and promotion activity across 26 leading retailers in the mass, food, drug, club, value, pet and convenience channels. This chart aggregates club, value, pet and convenience as “all other.” that Walmart created aggressive pet-care promotions for no obvious reason—that is, not around a holiday or pet month theme. “They did it as a different way to get people in the store. Rather than going head-to-head with the other retailers on food items, they took a different approach to attracting shoppers,” Mr. Kitrell said. FOLLOW THE MONEY Those strategies also can be applied by retailers and brand marketers to cyclical trends in week-to-week advertising and promotion. Consider the general spending uptick at the beginning of the month. Retailers know that anyone who gets a paycheck, whether it’s monthly, weekly or biweekly, will generally have cash at the beginning of the month. Marketing spending by both retailers and brand marketers follows that money, with Marx data showing that the first week of the month is usually the highest advertising spending week of the month. While following the crowd and the leaders is tempting, Mr. Kitrell recommends further evaluation. Procter & Gamble Co., for instance, puts out its “brandSAVER” coupon booklet every month during the first week. A retailer could piggyback on the fact that those premium-brand beauty and personal-care coupons are in consumers’ hands by either featuring them or taking the opposite tactic and offering sales on store-brand personal-care items. Another monthly trend retailers can strategize around is the mid-month fill-in trips. That’s when consumers need replenishable ADVERTISING AGE items like produce, milk and diapers. While wallets may be thinner than the first week, those weeks may be opportune times for discount advertising and digital coupons. Grocery retailer Kroger Co. uses digital couponing throughout the month, Mr. Kitrell said, allowing customers to print or load them to loyalty cards. At the beginning of the month, the brands tend to be national high-end brands; mid-month coupons and promotions feature more private-label and bargain brands. Looking beyond retail spending and the habits of weekly consumers, more valuable information can be garnered by analyzing share of budget and share of voice. For example, the product category most frequently mentioned in Target ads is apparel, a category that Target advertises consistently and throughout the year. Meanwhile, Walmart’s most frequently mentioned ad category is wireless phones and services, but its wireless promotion switches on-and-off throughout the year, spiking during graduation, back-to-school and winter holiday time frames. This type of analysis makes it easier to see what categories play into a retailer’s year-round and more tactical promotional strategies. “Retailer-specific analysis provides insights into which categories are strategically important throughout the year,” Mr. Kitrell said, “versus which categories are tactically important during key weeks.” He said retailers and manufacturers can use that information not only to devise competitive strategies, but also to create the greatest combined “brand influence” with shoppers. SEPTEMBER 30, 2013 · 15 kantar retail 2013 v25.qxp 9/19/2013 10:45 AM Page 16 RETAIL MARKETING RETAILERS SPEND MORE ON TV ADS, BUT DO VIEWERS GET THE MESSAGE? “And now a word from our sponsor.” That used to be the cue for TV watchers that a commercial was about to start. It also often served as the cue for viewers to get up for a snack or take a bathroom break. In today’s world, where advertising is content and content contains advertising messages, the line between content and commercial is much blurrier. But marketers still need to know how, when, where and even if their message is being seen by consumers. Retail is the largest U.S. ad spending category with nearly $17.0 billion in measured spending in 2012, up about 3% over the previous year, according to Ad Age DataCenter’s analysis of data from Kantar Media. TV is retail’s biggest medium, accounting for $7.4 billion of retailers’ 2012 spending, up nearly 4%, including network, cable, spot and syndicated TV. GET THE MESSAGE But are viewers getting the message? To determine that, Kantar Media tracks second-by-second audience behavior both during a show and during commercials. To measure effectiveness with that data, Kantar Media created the Commercial Tuning Index, or CTI, that compares the rating of a commercial to the rating of the show on which it appeared. A related index, CTI Live +3, is the CTI plus the three following days after a commercial airs, capturing consumers who delay watching. A CTI Live +3 score of 100 is very positive, meaning the same number of viewers tuned in to the commercials as watched the TV show. The average commercial score across TV—all shows, all categories—was 87.6 in fourth-quarter 2012. The average CTI Live +3 for retailer spots was slightly below that at 86.8. Put another way, consumers didn’t see about 13% of retail TV commercials. If advertisers fall behind the average by two points or more, indexing at 85 or lower, and particularly in their own categories, it can indicate a significant impact on ad effectiveness, said Jeff Boehme, chief research officer for Kantar Media’s Audiences. Retail categories have varying levels of success beating the 86.8 average. The largest share of retailers fall right in the middle—more than 20 categories score in the 86-88 range—indicating largely average commercial attention scores for retail. However, there are a handful of categories that fall outside the 16 · SEPTEMBER 30, 2013 mean. At the top of list, scoring in the 90s for effectiveness, are video rental and record stores. At the bottom for effectiveness, ranking below 85 are food stores and supermarkets. (See P. 17.) CREATIVE EXECUTION, MEDIA PLACEMENT The reasons why a particular TV campaign performs well (or poorly) relate to a mix between creative execution excellence and correct media placement for the target audience. Good data can help take the guesswork out of which one is failing or succeeding, when that happens and how far off the average the ad fell. For example, the CTI index for a TV commercial for pet food might score an 89 when viewers see spot run on “Dogs 101” but drop below 85 during “American Idol,” which would likely indicate a media placement issue. If the same pet-food spot ranks a uniformly high or low index across all TV shows, that could indicate a creative hit or miss. Kantar Media can track data over time, adding other variables such as ad spending and the point when a commercial hits its “reach” (when the ad execution has been seen by most of the audience and few new households are tuning in). Kantar Media then plots key metrics—advertising spending, reach, the CTI score for that commercial against average CTI for the category—to produce a graph showing overall effectiveness of an ad across its entire run. Mr. Boehme pointed to a Home Depot campaign on the DIY Network last holiday season, “DIY Value Minute: Thermostat Campaign” (see P. 17). Data show the spot hit maximum “reach” about halfway through its run, with the CTI remaining higher than average. This suggests that even though viewers saw the ad multiple times, the creative or subject matter held their interest. The resulting overall ad tuneaway was lower than average across the whole campaign and during its entire run, making it a success. “We don’t ask people how they feel (about an ad’s effectiveness), but more importantly we measure it and we can test it,” Mr. Boehme said. “The content of the program and the subject of the ad can and should work well together. If they’re not, a retailer can switch up the media placement or the creative, even mid-campaign, to change the CTI.” ADVERTISING AGE kantar retail 2013 v25.qxp 9/19/2013 10:45 AM Page 17 RETAIL MARKETING HOW TO MEASURE COMMERCIAL REACH AND WEAROUT A look at how one TV commercial performed over time. Commercial: Home Depot’s “DIY Value Minute: Thermostat Campaign,” running on the DIY Network from Nov. 1, 2012, through Dec. 31, 2012. A Commercial Tuning Index (CTI) of 100 would mean the commercial audience rating was the same as the program in which it appeared. This commercial over the entire campaign averaged a CTI Live +3 score of 91.9. That’s five points higher than the average retail commercial CTI Live +3 of 86.8. Results indicate the relevance of the commercial product and program environment worked well in retaining audiences during commercial breaks. ■ CTI LIVE+3 1 ■ % BUILD REACH - DIY HOUSEHOLDS 2 ■ % BUILD REACH - TOTAL HOUSEHOLDS 2 ■ CUMULATIVE TV SPENDING 3 %/INDEX $ THOUSANDS RELATIVELY HIGH CTI LIVE +3 140 AD SPEND INCREASES $140 120 120 100 100 80 80 60 60 BUILD REACH STARTS TO PEAK 40 40 20 20 11/1/12 12/1/12 12/31/12 Source: Kantar Media. LEFT SCALE frames two factors: 1. Commercial Tuning Index (CTI Live +3, shown in gold), compares tuning to an ad relative to tuning to the entire program content in which it appears. 2. Audience reach, or percent of unduplicated households that have tuned to commercial at any point. Specifically, the blue line shows percent of unduplicated DIY Network tuning households (households tuned to DIY for at least one hour from Nov. 1-Dec. 31, 2012) that had seen this spot at least once; the gray line shows the percent of all TV households in Kantar Media’s RPD database that were exposed to the spot at least once. 3. RIGHT SCALE: Home Depot’s cumulative measured-media spending in thousands of dollars for this commercial over this period from Kantar Media. Each tick at bottom of chart represents one day when spot ran; spot did not run on all days over these two months. TV CAMPAIGN EFFECTIVENESS BY RETAIL CATEGORY BASED ON COMMERCIAL TUNING INDEX Based on Commercial Tuning Index Live +3 for retailer spots that ran in fourth-quarter 2012. An index of 100 would mean the commercial audience rating was the same as the program in which it appeared that included spots from these retail categories. Average CTI Live +3 score for all commercials in fourth-quarter 2012: 87.6. Average CTI Live +3 score for all retail commercials in fourth-quarter 2012: 86.8. HIGHEST-PERFORMING RETAIL CATEGORIES LOWEST-PERFORMING RETAIL CATEGORIES RETAIL CATEGORY/STORES CTI LIVE CTI LIVE +3 # OF SPOT OCCURENCES RANK 1 Video rental, CD, tape and record 94.6 92.6 385 2 Hobby and craft 93.8 91.4 3 Drapery and window covering 93.1 89.7 4 Nurseries, lawn and garden 91.5 5 Computer and software 91.8 RANK RETAIL CATEGORY/STORES CTI LIVE CTI LIVE +3 # OF SPOT OCCURENCES 5 Shoe 90.1 85.9 35,593 3,749 4 Office equip’t, furniture and supply 89.8 85.9 13,538 156 3 Automotive supply retailers 89.1 85.8 10,085 88.4 127 2 Home furnishings 89.9 85.7 27,396 88.4 642 1 Food stores and supermarkets 84.5 82.8 121 Source: Kantar Media. Commercial Tuning Index (CTI) compares tuning to (watching) an ad relative to tuning to (watching) the entire program content. CTI Live refers to audiences watching live. CTI Live + 3 refers to audiences watching live and within three days of when program originally aired. ADVERTISING AGE SEPTEMBER 30, 2013 · 17 kantar retail 2013 v25.qxp 9/19/2013 10:45 AM Page 18 RETAIL MARKETING SOCIAL MEDIA IS THE HOT NEW THING, BUT EMAIL IS STILL THE KING Good old emails, do people even read them anymore? Yes, they do. In fact, more than three-fourths (76%) of consumers who get retailer emails not only read them, but also use them for shopping. In the excitement and buzz of the new, new thing, it can be easy to get caught up in the hot tactic of the day (social media) and even cast aspersions on the tried and true (email). Yet, marketing tactics get to be tried and true by, well, you know. And it turns out not only do consumers use email for shopping, but they also turn to email much more often than social media to research, find and buy the products they want. “Email is not dead. People say no one checks email from retailers anymore, but according to our research, people clearly are doing just that. And much more often than they’re using social media for retail,” said Uyen Chand, senior analyst for retail and consumer packaged goods at Kantar’s Millward Brown Digital. Fewer than 8% of people said they “never” click through a retailer’s email or go immediately to its site after reading an email, according to a study by Millward Brown Digital (formerly Compete). More than 77% said they do some of the time, with the remaining 15% saying they “often” or “always” go to the retailer’s site. Comparatively, almost half (46%) of consumers said they “never” use social media for shopping. Part of the reason why email is still more effective has to do with human nature. Retail emails are pushed to consumers’ inboxes, while consumers have to actively seek social-media retail interactions. Emails also are an opt-in message, with retailer come-ons easily skimmed and ignored if a consumer isn’t interested. However, social media retail ads add unasked-for noise to the place where consumers are trying to chat with friends or browse Aunt Sally’s vacation photos. Email wins in sheer numbers as well. There now are more than 3 billion active email accounts worldwide, or more than double the number of Facebook and Twitter accounts combined. That doesn’t mean retailers should give up on social media. The data really should just serve as a reminder that email still works, and works well for retail marketing, Ms. Chand said. Retailers, however, should use different strategies with each. 18 · SEPTEMBER 30, 2013 RETAIL EMAILS STILL CLICK WITH CONSUMERS How often do you visit a retail site immediately after reading an email from that retailer or click through to a retail site from an email? How many emails do you receive from retailers in a week? Always 2.7% Often 12.5% 7.6% 31+ None Never 4.8% 21-30 1-5 20.1% 28.4% 10.8% 31.8% 45.4% 15.2% Sometimes Occasionally 20.6% 11-20 6-10 Source: Millward Brown Digital study of 1,209 internet users, June 2013. Numbers rounded. “Liking a brand on Facebook and engaging with a brand on a daily or even monthly basis on email are completely different things,” she said. “Many users initially ‘liked’ a Facebook page to get a retail deal or special, and some haven’t returned since.” A surprising finding in the Millward Brown Digital study was the number of emails people receive from retailers. Nearly half of consumers said they receive more than 10 retailer emails a week, with 20% receiving more than 30. Because the emails are easily unsubscribed from—retailers are required by law to include an unsubscribe link or instructions—it would appear consumers want to receive that volume of emails. Or at least they’re not bothered enough to unsubscribe. A potentially worrisome question mark for retailers is Google’s new Gmail bucket system that categorizes emails into tabs: primary, social and—segregating retailers’ pitches—promotions. “At this point we don’t know what the impact will be,” Ms. Chand said. “But for now, though, we do know that consumers are engaging more with email than with social media.” ADVERTISING AGE