2. Technische Universität München Liquidity analysis: Length of cash cycle Operating cycle of a merchandising firm: number of days it takes to sell inventory + number of days until the resulting receivables are converted to cash Cash cycle: Number of days a company’s cash is tied up by its current operating cycle Merchandising firm ► only finished goods inventory Manufacturing firm ► inventory held through three stages: raw material work in progress finished goods Handout Problem Set 1: Financial Ratios Inventory storage Acquisition of inventory Days payables outstanding Cash collection 7 Sale Prof. Dr. Gunther Friedl – SS 2012 Technische Universität München Value-Based Management: Lecture 1 8 Prof. Dr. Gunther Friedl – SS 2012 2. Technische Universität München Cash cycle for Dell computers: Negative cash cycles Dell has a negative cash cycle: Dell manufactures and ships directly to its customers only after an order is received ► minimal inventory days Its customers pay on time ► low receivable collection period Dell takes its time in paying its suppliers because of its market power ► longer period of days in accounts payable Fiscal Year Ended 2/3/06 1/28/05 Days of sales in accounts receivables Days of supply in inventory Days in accounts payable 29 4 (77) 27 4 (73) 27 3 (70) Cash cycle (44) (42) (40) Handout Problem Set 1: Financial Ratios 9 1/30/04 Prof. Dr. Gunther Friedl – SS 2012 2. Technische Universität München Ratios for liquidity analysis: working capital ratios Cash and cash equivalents Marketable securities Accounts receivable Inventories Prepaid expenses Current Ratio Ratios for cash obligations Cash flow from operations Current assets Current liabilities Short-term debt Accounts payable Accrued liabilities Current Assets Current Liabilities Cash Marketable Securities Accounts Receivable Current Liabilities More conservative Cash Marketable Securities Cash Ratio Current Liabilities Most conservative Quick Ratio Cash Flow from Operations Ratio Handout Problem Set 1: Financial Ratios Cash Flow from Operations Current Liabilities Actual cash flows 10 Prof. Dr. Gunther Friedl – SS 2012 2. Technische Universität München Question 1: Calculate the cash cycle and the following liquidity ratios for Microsoft 2011 Microsoft 2010 Average no. of days inventory in stock (plus) Days of receivables outstanding Length of operating cycle (minus) Payables outstanding Length of cash cycle Current ratio Quick ratio Cash ratio Cash from operations ratio Handout Problem Set 1: Financial Ratios 11 Prof. Dr. Gunther Friedl – SS 2012 3. Technische Universität München Ratios for long-term debt and solvency analysis Debt to Total Capital Debt ratios Interest coverage ratios Capital expenditure and CFO-todebt ratios Total Debt (Current Long - Term) Total Capital (Debt Equity) Total Debt Debt to Equity Total Equity Times Interest Earned Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBIT) Interest Expense Ability to meet interest payments Capital Expenditure Ratio CFO to Debt Handout Problem Set 1: Financial Ratios Level of risk borne by a firm CFO Total Debt Cash from Operations (CFO) Ability to finance Capital Expenditures investments and generate cash for debt repayment 12 Prof. Dr. Gunther Friedl – SS 2012 3. Technische Universität München Question 1: Calculate the following debt ratios for Microsoft Microsoft 2011 2010 2009 0 1,000 2,000 + Long-term debt 11,921 4,939 3,746 = Total debt 11,921 5,939 5,746 + Total equity 57,083 46,175 39,558 = Total capital 69,004 52,114 45,304 Short-term debt Debt to equity Debt to capital Times interest earned Capital expenditure ratio Cash flow from operations(CFO) to debt All numbers in $ millions Handout Problem Set 1: Financial Ratios 13 Prof. Dr. Gunther Friedl – SS 2012 Technische Universität München Handout Problem Set 1: Financial Ratios 14 Prof. Dr. Gunther Friedl – SS 2012 4. Technische Universität München Ratios for profitability analysis: return on sales Gross (profit) margin Operating margin Gross Margin Operating Margin Operating Income Sales Margin before Interest & Tax Margin Before Interest and Tax Profit margin Profit Margin Handout Problem Set 1: Financial Ratios Relationship between sales and manufacturing costs Gross Profit Sales Net income Sales EBIT Sales Profitability from operations Independent of finance and tax position Net of all expenses 15 Prof. Dr. Gunther Friedl – SS 2012 4. Technische Universität München Ratios for profitability analysis: return on investment Return on Assets Return on Total Capital Return on Equity ROA EBIT Average Total Assets Pretax ROA Net Income After - Tax Interest Cost Average Total Assets After-tax (takes into account the tax shield of debt) ROTC EBIT Average (Total Debt Stockholder' s Equity) Pretax (after-tax calculation is similar to the above one) ROE Pretax Income Average Stockholder' s Equity Pretax ROE Net Income Average Stockholder' s Equity After-tax Handout Problem Set 1: Financial Ratios 16 Prof. Dr. Gunther Friedl – SS 2012 4. Technische Universität München Question 1: Calculate the following profitability ratios for Microsoft 2011 Microsoft 2010 Gross margin (%) Operating margin (%) Profit margin (%) ROA pre-interest and pretax (%) ROTC pre-interest and pretax (%) ROE after tax (%) Handout Problem Set 1: Financial Ratios 17 Prof. Dr. Gunther Friedl – SS 2012 Technische Universität München Ratios: an integrated analysis Financial analysis requires a review of three interrelationships among ratios: Economic relationships: ► Example: Higher sales are generally associated with higher investment in working capital components such as receivables and inventory. Ratios comprising these elements should be correlated Overlap of components: ► Identical terms in the numerator or denominator of different ratios ► A term in one ratio being a subset or component of another ratio ► Aggregations like the total assets turnover as aggregation of inventory, accounts receivable, and fixed asset turnover Ratios as composites of other ratios, e.g., ROA = profitability x turnover Implications of these interrelationships: ► Disaggregation of a ratio into its components allows us to gain insights into factors affecting a firm’s performance Ratio differences can highlight the economic characteristics and strategies of The same firm over time Firms in the same industry Firms in different industries Firms in different countries Handout Problem Set 1: Financial Ratios 18 Prof. Dr. Gunther Friedl – SS 2012 Technische Universität München Analysis of firm performance Disaggregation of ROA Relationship between ROE and ROA ROA Total Asset Turnover Return on Sales A firm’s overall profitability is the product of an activity Sales Operating Income ratio and a profitability ratio Sales Assets Debt ROE ROA ROA - Cost of Debt Benefits from financial Equity leverage ROE Profitability Activity Solvency Disaggregation of ROE Standard duPont analysis Income Sales Assets Sales Assets Equity Net Income EBT EBIT Net Income EBT EBIT Sales Sales Handout Problem Set 1: Financial Ratios 19 Extended duPont analysis Prof. Dr. Gunther Friedl – SS 2012 Technische Universität München Appendix: The income statement – some definitions Sales revenue is income from sales (gross revenue) minus cost associated with things like returned or undeliverable merchandise (synonyms: sales, net sales, revenue, net revenue). Sales cost are expenses directly related to creating the goods or services being sold (like the cost of raw materials, salaries of persons turning raw materials into sellable goods, depreciation of equipment); not included are expenses like R&D, marketing, and interest payments on debt. Synonyms: cost of sales, cost of goods sold (CoGS). Gross profit (synonym: sales profit) = sales revenue – sales cost Operating expenses are expenses associated with running a business but not (necessarily) considered directly applicable to the current line of goods and services being sold. These include Sales and Marketing, R & D, and General and Administrative costs (including the salaries of people working in these areas). Operating income = gross profit – operating expenses. Operating income is the pre-tax, preinterest profit from the company's “operations”. Synonymous to EBIT, if the firm has no nonoperating income. Recurring income refers to a company’s income by recurring activities and excludes the impact of transitory or random components which should not be regarded as components of permanent or sustainable income (unusual or infrequent items). Earnings (synonym: net income or profit) = total income minus total expenses. "Net income" is used for after-tax profit before paying dividends; this is the number that's carried to the top of the cash flow statement. Handout Problem Set 1: Financial Ratios 20 Prof. Dr. Gunther Friedl – SS 2012