Green and Lean Approaches to Sustaining the US Industrial Base Marilyn A. Brown School of Public Policy Georgia Institute of Technology Marilyn.Brown@pubpolicy.gatech.edu NGA Governors Energy Policy Advisors Institute Washington, DC May 5, 2011 of Liberal Arts RESEARCH QUESTION What Federal policies could motivate industrial enterprises to expand their investments in improving the energy efficiency of their facilities, processes, and practices? 2 Industry Accounts for One-Third of U.S. Energy Consumption 3 The “Energy Efficiency Gap” in Industry Other Studies (3-18%) (5-65%) (6-37%) (15-57%) (19-50%) Potential for Energy Efficiency Improvements in Five Industries in 2020 Nano-info-bio Technologies could Make Industry much Leaner Significant improvements are anticipated in: – Energy-efficient distillation through supercomputing – Novel energy-efficient separations – Super-durable materials for aggressive environments – Molecular-level control of catalytic materials – Self-optimizing sensor systems – Recovery and use of low-grade waste heat Source: Brown, Marilyn. 2005. “Nano-Bio-Info Pathways to Extreme Efficiency,” AAAS Annual Meeting, Washington, DC, February 21, 2005 Case Studies Illustrate the Economic Potential for Improved Efficiency • Dow: Estimates its energy efficiency strategy has led to $8.6 billion in cost savings and 86 million tons of avoided CO2 emissions • DuPont: Estimates its efficiency initiatives saved the company approximately $2 billion between 1990 and 2000. • PepsiCo: Saved $100 million and prevented the release of 0.17 million tons of CO2 from 2006-2008 • Toyota’s North American Energy Management Organization has reduced energy intensity by 23% since 2002 and saved $9.2 million in energy costs since 1999. Prindle, Bill. 2010. From Shop Floor to Top Floor: Best Business Practices in Energy Efficiency (Washington, DC: Pew Center) and Scheihing, 2009. 6 Energy Intensity (Thousand Btu/Constant Mill 2000 $) Changes in Energy Intensity in Six Key US Industries 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 1977 1980 1983 1986 1989 1992 1995 1998 2001 Paper Mfg. Petroleum and Coal Prod. Chemical Mfg. Plastic and Rubber Prod. Nonmetallic Mineral Mfg. Primary Metal Prod. 2004 Source: Brown, Cortes, and Cox, 2010 7 Distributed Energy Holds Great Promise, With Renewables & Combined Heat and Power Central Generation Distributed Generation Source: Brown, Stovall, and Southworth (2005) Combined Heat and Power can Improve System Efficiencies by 30% Traditional System Power Plant CHP System ELECTRICITY CHP Boiler Efficiency 4549% HEAT Efficiency 7580% Sources: EPA Fact Sheet: http://www.epa.gov/chp/state-policy/obr_factsheet.html and Shipley, et al. 2008. Combined Heat and Power: Effective Energy Solutions for a Sustainable Future (ORNL/TM-2008/224) Lots of Opportunities for CHP in Industry: Proposed CHP Plant in Alloy, WV – Waste heat from silicon manufacturing could generate 60 MW of electricity. – 20 of these would produce the electricity of a new nuclear reactor. Existing Policies Can Create Barriers: e.g., Input-Based Emissions Standards Source: Brown, et al., 2011, Making Industry Part of the Climate Solution, April. Seven Synergistic Policy Options that We’re Studying Social Benefit-Cost Ratios of Seven Federal Policy Options Corporate Sustainability and the Next Generation of Lean and Green Technologies • Product line choices are also important – A new generation of fuel cells and batteries for greater savings in motor vehicles – Integrated heat pump systems – Biorefinery process for a next generation of biofuels – New plastics that double as integrated photovoltaic systems • Corporate sustainability – Industry is adopting a much broader view of its energy and environmental responsibilities Source: Delamaide, Darrell. 2011. “Green Trade Wars Heat Up, energybiz, 8(2) pp. 12-14 Estimated Increased Employment in the South from EE and RE Policy Scenarios Study Additional Jobs in 2020 Additional Jobs in 2030 Energy Efficiency in the South* 380,000 520,000 Renewable Energy in the South** 46,300 152,900 *Brown, Marilyn A., Etan Gumerman, Xiaojing Sun, Youngsun Baek, Joy Wang, Rodrigo Cortes, and Diran Soumonni. 2010. Energy Efficiency in the South (Atlanta: Southeast Energy Efficiency Alliance), April, http://www.seealliance.org/programs/se-efficiencystudy.php. **Marilyn A. Brown, Etan Gumerman, Youngsun Baek, Joy Wang, Cullen Morris, and Yu Wang. 2011. Renewable Energy in the South (Atlanta: Southeast Energy Efficiency Alliance), 190 pages, December (http://www.seealliance.org/PDFs/RENEWABLE%20ENERGY%20IN%20THE%20SOUTH.p df). IMPLAN Coefficients GRP Coefficients Jobs Coefficients Regional Purchase Coefficients 16.45 13.86 $1.09 $1.08 94% 86% 5.63 Construction and EE Equipment Electricity $0.98 $1.10 8.43 72% Natural Gas (Source: Brown, et al., 2010) (Source: swifteconomics.com) 75% All Others CONCLUSIONS • The energy-efficiency gap in the U.S. industrial sector is large • Policies could help motivate businesses to focus more of their resources on green and lean energy systems – preserving jobs in existing industries • Advancing product innovation can enable nextgeneration green and clean technologies – creating new jobs in new industries • Both approaches are key to sustaining the U.S. industrial base 17