Iqra University Karachi Management Science Course Study Guide Academic Year 2013 Fall Semester ¶ MBAProgramme Department of Management Science Management Science 2013 Course Study Guide for Management Science cont’d 1. INTRODUCTION This course is an introduction to the basic theory underlying Management Science and Operations Research. It focuses on linear programming, the fundamental concepts, and algorithms. Applications drawn from different functional areas of business will also be presented. In particular, the course will cover a variety of applications of management science in the areas of finance, marketing, and production such as capital budgeting, optimal sales allocation, and scheduling and distribution. Special cases of linear programming problems, such as the transportation problem and assignment problems will also be studied Learning Goals To introduce students to the subject of Management Science, and a variety of management science models, methods and computational procedures that are helpful in solving management problems in Finance, PoM., Accounting, M.I.S., Marketing, Operational Research, Actuarial Science, etc..Emphasis is placed on models and their solutions. To give students a good foundation in basic problem solving as a preparation for upper level quantitative courses (Finance, Production/ Operations Management, Accounting, M.I.S., Marketing, Operational Research, Actuarial Science, etc.). To develop in students an appreciation of the management science approach to problem formulation and solution, so important in the modern business and industrial world with the increased use of computers.. PREREQUISITES: It is assumed that students taking this course have completed the Business Mathematics course and also have a good foundation in basic statistics and probability theory as covered in the statistical inference course. Although some review of elementary concepts and terminology is provided in the textbook, it is not intended to replace a complete course, but rather to refresh your memory. While a high degree of mathematical skill is not necessary in an “applied” course such as this, there are certain insights into the course that are gained through the mathematics involved. REQUIRED TEXT: Anderson, Sweeney, Williams, Camm and Martin, An Introduction to Management Science: Quantitative Approaches to Decision Making, 13th Edition, © 2011 South Western Educational Publishing (an imprint of Cengage Learning) ISBN-10: 1439043272, ISBN-13: 9781439043271. (It is alright if you have bought the 12th Edition of this textbook, which has the author “Camm” missing in the author roll. You will however need to reconcile the Self test Exercises, end-of-chapter Cases and problems with the 13th edition as needed. I will be using the 13th edition in class.) COURSE FACILITATOR: Imtiaz Arif arif.i@iuk.edu.pk 2 Course Study Guide for Management Science cont’d There is a lot of reading to do to support the broad scope of this course. A selection of key readings is given for each session. You will be given additional readings to follow up the sessions. Ask your course facilitator for advice on further reading on a topic which interests you. 2. ASSESSMENT The assessment for the course is based on quiz, assignment and two exams, mid-term and final exam The mid-term and the final exam will cover both the theory and application of topics covered in classes and the readings. The mid-term test and final examination are closed-book and closed-notes. Both midterm and final will consist of multiple choice and short essay/problem type questions. The date for the final exam will be posted by the University later in the semester. Assignment schedule The assignment is due no later than 06:30 p.m. on mentioned day. 3. STUDYING PRINCIPLES AND PRACTICE This course brings together a range of topics and ideas which need to be related to your experience and context of work. There are many potentially relevant ideas, so you should expect to find that you receive a lot of information and that there is not time to go into all of it in depth. You will have to be selective, as the facilitator is in what they present, and what we work on in class. However, you should endeavour to cover a range of topics and not focus simply on one area of personal interest. To get the most out of classes you will need to do preparatory reading. This may include a handout given in advance, and a journal article which you will find in the fileserver library; in addition other readings are suggested, but you are not expected to complete all of these. You will have to select what you can find or what interests you. However it is strongly recommended that you do at least some reading around all or most of the topics covered. In class you will be expected to take part in discussions. You should come to class with questions and comments about the preparatory readings. The aim of these activities is to help you explore your professional experience against the background of the ideas. 1. TIMETABLE OF THE CLASSES Week Topics Introduction to Decision Theory 1. Week1 • Problem Solving and Decision Making • Introduction to Quantitative Analysis • Models of Cost, Revenue and Profit 3 Course Study Guide for Management Science cont’d Introduction to Linear Programming 2. Week 2 • Maximization and Minimization Problems • Graphical Solution Procedure • Formulating Spreadsheet Models Linear Programming: Sensitivity Analysis 3. Week 3 • Sensitivity Analysis • More Than Two Decision Variables Linear Programming Applications • Marketing Applications 4. Week 4 • Financial Applications • Production Management Applications • Blending Problems • Simplex Method Transportation, Assignment and Transshipment Problems 5. Week 5 • The Transportation Problem • The Assignment Problem • The Transshipment Problem Network Models 6. Week 6 • Shortest-Route Problem • Minimal Spanning Tree Problem • Maximum Flow Problem Project Scheduling: PERT/CPM 7. Week 7 8. Week 8 • Project Scheduling with known Activity Time • Project Scheduling with Uncertain Activity Times Mid-Term Examination (No Class) Project Scheduling: PERT/CPM 9. Week 9 • Project Scheduling with Uncertain Activity Times • Considering Time-Cost Trade Offs 10. Week 10 Contd. Waiting Line Models • Structure of a Waiting Line System 4 Course Study Guide for Management Science cont’d • Waiting Line Models Single-Channel, Multiple-Channel Economic Analysis of Waiting Lines Simulation 11. Week 11 • Risk Analysis • Inventory Simulation • Waiting Line Simulation Decision analysis • Structuring the Decision Problem 12. Week 12 • Decision Making with and without Probabilities • Decision Analysis with Sample Information • Computing Branch Probabilities Multi-criteria Decisions 13. Week 13 • Goal Programming • Scoring Model Multi-criteria Decisions 14. Week 14 Contd. • Analytic Hierarchy Pro (Tulsian & Pandaey, 2004)ess • Using AHP to Develop an Overall Priority Ranking Forecasting • Component of Time Series 15. Week 15 • Smoothing Methods • Trend Projection • Trend and Seasonal Components. Markov Processes 16. Week 16 • Market Share Analysis • Account Receivable Analysis 5 Course Study Guide for Management Science cont’d OUTLINE OF SESSIONS AND PREPARATORY READINGS Week 1 Introduction to Decision Theory Key readings (2009). An Introduction to Decision Theory. In D. R. Anderson, D. J. Sweeney, & T. A. Williams, An Introduction to Management Science (pp. 3-18). Week 2 Introduction to Linear Programming Key reading (2009). An Introduction to Linear Programming. In D. R. Anderson, D. J. Sweeney, & T. A. Williams, An Introduction to Management Science (pp. 31-60). (2004). Linear Programming. In P. C. Tulsian, & V. Pandaey, Quantitative Techniques (pp. 1.1-1.57). Week 3 Linear Programming: Sensitivity Analysis Key reading (2009). Linear Programming Sensitivity Analysis. In D. R. Anderson, D. J. Sweeney, & T. A. Williams, An Introduction to Management Science (pp. 96-122). Week 4 Linear Programming Applications Key reading (2009). Linear Programming Applications. In D. R. Anderson, D. J. Sweeney, & T. A. Williams, An Introduction to Management Science (pp. 153-168). Week 5 Transportation, Assignment and Transshipment Problems Key reading (2009). Transportation, Assignment and Transshipment Problems. In D. R. Anderson, D. J. Sweeney, & T. A. Williams, An Introduction to Management Science (pp. 306-350). (2004). Assignment Problem. In P. C. Tulsian, & V. Pandaey, Quantitative Techniques (pp. 4.1-4.43). (2004). Transportation Problem. In P. C. Tulsian, & V. Pandaey, Quantitative Techniques (pp. 5.1-5.24). Week 6 Network Models Key reading (2009). Network Models. In D. R. Anderson, D. J. Sweeney, & T. A. Williams, An Introduction to Management Science (pp. 428-446). 6 Course Study Guide for Management Science cont’d Week 7 Project Scheduling: PERT/CPM Key reading (2009). Project Scheduling: PERT/CPM. In D. R. Anderson, D. J. Sweeney, & T. A. Williams, An Introduction to Management Science (pp. 306-350). (2004). PERT. In P. C. Tulsian, & V. Pandaey, Quantitative Techniques (pp. 7.1-7.4). Week 9 Project Scheduling: PERT/CPM Contd. Key reading (2009). Project Scheduling: PERT/CPM. In D. R. Anderson, D. J. Sweeney, & T. A. Williams, An Introduction to Management Science (pp. 306-350). 2004). Cretical Path Method (CPM). In P. C. Tulsian, & V. Pandaey, Quantitative Techniques (pp. 6.1-6.70) (2004). Crashing, Resource Allocation and Smoothing. In P. C. Tulsian, & V. Pandaey, Quantitative Techniques (pp. 8.1-8.41). Week 10 Waiting Line Models Key reading (2009). Waiting Line Models. In D. R. Anderson, D. J. Sweeney, & T. A. Williams, An Introduction to Management Science (pp. 306-350). (2004). Queueing Theory. In P. C. Tulsian, & V. Pandaey, Quantitative Techniques (pp. 9.1-9.8). Week 11 Simulation Key reading (2009). Simulation. In D. R. Anderson, D. J. Sweeney, & T. A. Williams, An Introduction to Management Science (pp. 585-619). (2004). Simulation. In P. C. Tulsian, & V. Pandaey, Quantitative Techniques (pp. 11.111.8). Week 12 Decision Analysis Key reading (2009). Decision Analysis. In D. R. Anderson, D. J. Sweeney, & T. A. Williams, An Introduction to Management Science (pp. 306-350). (2004). Decision Tree. In P. C. Tulsian, & V. Pandaey, Quantitative Techniques (pp. 12.1-12.2). 7 Course Study Guide for Management Science cont’d Week 13 & 14 Multicriteria Decisions Key reading (2009). Multicriteria Decisions. In D. R. Anderson, D. J. Sweeney, & T. A. Williams, An Introduction to Management Science (pp. 712-742). Further reading Analytical Hierarchical Process http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=18GWVtVAAzs Week 15 Forecasting Key reading (2009). Forecasting. In D. R. Anderson, D. J. Sweeney, & T. A. Williams, An Introduction to Management Science (pp. 758-784). Further reading Forecasting http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DVEbZ__FNRg&feature=related Time series Analysis http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cC2kE2RcN68 Week 16 Markov Processes Key reading (2009). Markov Process. In D. R. Anderson, D. J. Sweeney, & T. A. Williams, An Introduction to Management Science (pp. 808-821). 8