Mgt 511: Techn nology Commercialization and thee Global Envvironment, Spring 20144 CRN 13793/8: 1 Th 4-630 pm, CRN C 13976//9: Th 7-930 pm, GSM 2232 Instructor: Contact: Yorgos Marinakis, Ph.D., J.D., MB BA ymarinak@unm.edu ation Informa 1. Name N Sign. If I you want me m to learn your y name ffor referencee letters and m miscellaneouus networking purposes, prin nt a sheet off paper with yyour name oon it and placce it in frontt of you during cllass sessions. 2. We’re W onlinee at UNM Learn L (learn n.unm.edu). 3. Reasonable R accommoda a ation will bee given to anny individuall with a legittimate disabiility. Please contacct the instrucctor privately y for arrangeements. If yoou are a quallified personn with disabilities who might need appropriaate academicc adjustmentts, please com mmunicate w with me m as soon ass possible so o that we may make apprropriate arraangements too meet your needs in a tim mely manner. Frequently y, we will neeed to coordinnate accomm modating acctivities with h other offices on campu us. Course m materials cann be made avvailable in allternative formats. 4. Academic A In ntegrity And derson Schoo ol of Manageement facultty, staff and students com mmit to o values of trrust, honesty y, integrity, and a accountaability. We w will not tolerrate academic dishonesty. By B enrolling in any coursse at Andersoon, the studeent accepts the Andersonn Academic A Ho onesty Code and affirms the followinng pledge: I will not lie, cheat, fabriicate, plagiarize or use any otheer dishonestt means to gaain unfair accademic advvantage. Anyy violation of th he code of co onduct will be b taken verry seriously aand approprriate sanctionns will w be applieed. FOR FUL LL TEXT OF O ANDERS SON’S ACA ADEMIC HO ONESTY CO ODE, please visit htttp://www.m mgt.unm.edu//honesty 5. Attendance. A “Students arre expected to t attend all meetings off the classes in which theey arre enrolled. A student with excessivee absences m may be droppped from a ccourse by thee in nstructor witth a grade off WP or WF or the student may receiive a grade oof F at the ennd of th he semester. Absences du ue to illness, or to authoorized University activityy such as field trrips, athletic trips, etc., are a to be repo orted by the student to his/her instructor(s) and tto the Dean D of Students Office.”” RED COUR RSE MATER RIALS FOR R PURCHA ASE ONLIN NE REQUIR 1. You Y need onee book: “W Winning in Emerging E Markets: M a roaad map for sstrategy and execution” bby Khanna & Palepu. You can c buy the pdf p for $17.50 through H Harvard (https://cb.hb h sp.harvard.e edu/cbmp/ac ccess/232256 624), or you can buy it on n Amazon (h http://www.aamazon.com m/dp/B00D57 7JFTC). 2. “CountryMa anager” by Interpretivee Simulations. Look forr the email. C Costs $39.955. 3. You Y need to buy b the Harv vard Businesss Review cooursepack ffor ~$70 at https://cb.hbs sp.harvard.ed du/cbmp/acc cess/2322555 56 1 4. Wall Street Journal. Student subscriptions for the Spring semester are at WSJ.com/studentoffer. Be sure you use my name as your instructor, if prompted. RECOMMENDED AUDIO AND VISUAL Bloomberg Podcasts (free, on iTunes or at http://www.bloomberg.com/podcasts ) Bloomberg TV (free, http://www.bloomberg.com/tv ) The Economist Podcasts (free, on iTunes or at http://www.economist.com/multimedia ) Harvard Business Review Youtube Channel (http://www.youtube.com/user/HarvardBusiness ) OPTIONAL ARTICLES Students may download the cited articles from UNM Research Databases. We do not put articles on WebCT because that would be a violation of copyright law. It will take you only a few minutes to locate and download all of the articles we cite. Here are two ways to access articles. 1. a. Point your browser to this link: http://elibrary.unm.edu/articles/resource.php?qid=60 b. Then select Business Source Complete. If you are off campus, you will then be prompted to log in. c. That brings you to a search screen. From there you can search by article title, by author, by keyword, or whatever else you want. Note that I included the article citations in the Syllabus. The Powerpoints also show the citation information. OR: 2. a. Point your browser to the UNM online catalog at http://libros.unm.edu. b. From there select Journal Title, type in the title of the journal, and click Submit. c. On the next page, click on links that include "...[electronic resource] UNM Online..." That will take you to the journal webpage, where you can navigate to the desired volume and issue. Some students like to find articles using Google Scholar (http://scholar.google.com). If you are off campus, Google Scholar will let you see the abstracts but not the articles. You will then need to use one of the above methods to retrieve the article. NATURE OF THE COURSE This course is custom-designed especially for you, with reference to Harvard Business School’s modules, to the primary literature, and to student feedback. I select the simulations, cases and articles, and make my own Powerpoints. At the end of the semester, you will have the opportunity to provide feedback on the selection of materials. You will help design the course for the semester that follows you. One of my goals in this course is to cover material that you need to know but that you will not cover elsewhere. Because most of you already have some coursework or background in international business, we will be focusing specifically on the emerging markets portion of international business. These markets are of great interest because, for many firms, emerging markets contain more profit potential than developed markets. These markets require a different set of skills than developed markets, and in this class you will acquire those skills. In the technology commercialization section, we’ll begin with “the innovator’s dilemma.” This theory explains why firms fail, in the face of disruptive innovation, precisely because they do everything right. But because this phenomenon mainly afflicts larger firms, we’ll also look at how small and medium-sized firms (SME’s) approach the challenge of technology commercialization. They have their own unique set of problems, and they make their own unique set of errors. We’ll also look at the strategies and the competencies required by these enterprises. 2 The cases we cover will enable you to discuss the following aspects of the international technology business: How do identify and exploit institutional voids in emerging markets? (Mobile banking, Sarvajal) How do you engage local competitors in emerging markets, and what are the business model implications? (Novozymes) How do you make products specifically for emerging markets? (Tata Nano) How do companies stay competitive in high-growth industries? (Wii Encore?) How do firms manage R&D investment tradeoffs between existing technology versus investing in a new, potentially disruptive technology? (Back Bay Battery) How do you launch a completely novel technology, and select a target application and target market? (Emotiv) How does technology assist in economic development? (Competing) How do you manage technology in the international policy arena? (World Climate) Performance Measures and Grading Your grade will be determined as follows: 30 points for your CountryManager team simulation/presentation 20 points for your Back Bay Battery simulation 5 points each for your answers to case focusing questions. (40) 5 points each will be deducted if you miss Competing for Development and World Climate. 5 points each for your Zomeworks and Novozymes cases. More details on these assignments, including grading rubrics, will be provided separately. GRADING SCALE 95-100%….………...A 90-94%......................A88-89%……………..B+ 85-87%……………..B 80-84%......................B78-79%……………..C+ 75-77%……………..C 70-74%......................C68-69%....…………..D+ 65-67%....…………..D 60-64%......................D< 59%..……………..F How to Succeed in This Class The focusing questions will help you prepare for the discussions. Participating in the classroom case discussions will help you determine whether you sufficiently understand the cases. The simulations will help you practice your new understanding and make this knowledge your own. If you put these off to the last minute, you will not enjoy their benefit. I am entitled to expect from you a minimum of 3 hours of homework and study each week per credit hour. Remember, that is the minimum. “Homework and study” means sitting in a quiet place without distractions (such as a library carrel) so you can concentrate. It does not mean setting up in a café, opening up your laptop to Facebook, receiving and sending text messages on your phone, looking up whenever someone new walks in the door, etc. I suggest that you keep a study time sheet (see end of syllabus). If you want to discuss your grade with me, the first thing I will ask to see is your study time sheet. The study time sheet 3 is an excellent self-management tool, and will usually explain why you are dissatisfied with your academic performance. 4 MGT 511 - COURSE AGENDA __________________________________________________________________ Part 1. Global Environment: emerging markets __________________________________________________________________ SESSION ONE (Thursday, January 23, 2014) Presentations: Introduction to the Course & Syllabus. Introduction to Interpretive Simulations’ “CountryManager.” Consumer research. Brand equity. Presentation: Levels of uncertainty; shaping views. Optional Articles: Courtney, Hugh G., Kirkland, Jane and Viguerie, S. Patrick. 1997. Strategy Under Uncertainty. Harvard Business Review. Hagel, J., Brown, J.S. and Davison, L. 2008. Shaping strategy in a world of constant disruption. Harvard Business Review October: 80-89. Form your teams. You will have access to the individual CountryManager for one week. For next time: Read “Mobile banking for the unbanked” and Khanna & Palepu chapters 1-3. (in coursepack). Read the CountryManager case (Buy the CountryManager simulation and read the student manual, pages 7-22). Submit your answers to the focusing questions on UNM Learn by Wednesday midnight before class. Focusing questions: 1. Is mobile banking for the poor the next “killer app”? 2. What alignment of the various players would allow this market innovation to succeed? ____________________________________________________________________ SESSION TWO (Thursday, January 30, 2014): Identifying and Exploiting Institutional Voids Case: Mobile banking for the unbanked Presentations: Adapating and Shaping strategies revisited: Kirznerian- and Schumpeterianoriented firm behaviors. Catalytic innovation. Khanna & Palepu chapters 1-3. Optimal plant locations. Optional Articles: Sundqvist, S., Kyläheiko, K., Kuivalainen, O. and Cadogan, J.W. (2012). Kirznerian and Schumpeterian entrepreneurial-oriented behavior in turbulent export markets. International Marketing Review, 29(2), 203-219. Team play on CountryManager begins. You have 120 replays, so you can go back to any year and start again. Optional Article: Christensen, C.M., Baumann, H., Ruggles, R. and Sadtler, T.M. 2006. Disruptive innovation for social change. Harvard Business Review December: 94-101. Optional Videos: M-Pesa Ad (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zQo4VoLyHe0); Interview with Nick Hughes (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J-PDSN-SrEk) . For next time: Read “Sarvajal” and “Competing through Business Models (A)” (both in coursepack). Submit your answers to the focusing questions on UNM Learn by Wednesday midnight before class. Focusing questions: Sarvajal: 1. What should Shah do about the problems in Vasai? 2. What are the strengths and weaknesses of the Sarvajal business model? How big can it get? 3. As Shah, are you in favor of the leasing model or opposed to it? Why? As a leasing company, would you extend credit to Sarvajal in the form of leases? Would it be expensive? How expensive? 5 4. What other services in addition to water could use this business model if successful? 5. From a venture capital/private equity point of view, what is the exit/liquidity opportunity? ____________________________________________________________________ SESSION THREE (Thursday, February 6, 2014): Multinationals from the Developed World Case: Sarvajal. Presentations: Graphical analysis of business models. Distribution coverage. Marketing plan. Optional Articles: Casadeus-Masanell, R., and Ricart, J.E. 2011. How to Design a Winning Business Model. Harvard Business Review Jan.-Feb.: 100-107. Eyring, M.J., Johnson, M.W. and Nair, H. 2011. New business models in emerging markets. Harvard Business Review January-February: 88-96. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uLHwOsNLWKY Optional Videos: Eight19 and Solar Aid explain pay-as-you-go solar (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4UENEDV6V_g ); Point10tv : Anand Shah, CEO, Piramal Foundation & Sarvajal - Part 1 (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1AR8xZu2w5c ); BP Stoves in India (http://www.netroadshow.com/custom/bp/bpflv3.asp?cf=053008b ). For next time: Read “Novozymes” and “Strategies for Competing in a Changed China” and Khanna & Palepu chapter 4 (in coursepack). Submit your answers to the focusing questions on UNM Learn by Wednesday midnight before class. Focusing questions: 1. How should Novozymes relate to local competitors? By competing on technological innovation only in high-margin verticals? Or through a separate subsidiary with a new low-cost business model for commoditized verticals? 2. How should Novozymes react to the potential commodization of their type of product? 3. What if they converted their business process to software? ____________________________________________________________________ SESSION FOUR (Thursday, February 13, 2014): Emerging Giants from Fast-Growing Emerging Markets; Globalization of Emerging Giants Case: Novozymes. Presentations: Competitive Strategies for Engaging Local Competitors in Emerging Markets; combating commoditization; global R&D. Khanna & Palepu chapter 4. Pricing. Gross contribution analysis. Optional Articles: Khanna, T. and Palepu, K.G. 2005. Strategies That Fit Emerging Markets, Harvard Business Review June: 63-76. Khanna, T. and Palepu, K.G. 2006. Emerging Giants. Harvard Business Review October: 60-69. For next time: Read “Tata Nano” and Khanna & Palepu chapter 5-7 (in coursepack). Submit your answers to the focusing questions on UNM Learn by Wednesday midnight before class. Focusing questions: Tata Nano: 1. How big a bet should Tata Motors make on the Nano? Rationalize your position. __________________________________________________________________ SESSION FIVE (Thursday, February 20, 2014): Emerging Giants from Fast-Growing Emerging Markets; Globalization of Emerging Giants Case: Tata Nano. Presentations: Khanna & Palepu chapter 5-7. 6 Optional Article: Ray, S. and Ray, P.K. 2011. Product innovation for the people’s car in an emerging economy. Technovation 31(5-6): 216-227. Optional Video: Tata Nano launch ad (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3WB87eo_obU) . For next time: Work on your CountryManager simulations. __________________________________________________________________ SESSION SIX (Thursday, February 27, 2014) Work in class in your CountryManager teams. For next time: CountryManager Presentations. __________________________________________________________________ SESSION SEVEN (Thursday, March 6, 2014): Hard Copies of All Presentations Due Today at Beginning of Class Class Presentations Today. For next time: Read “Back Bay Battery” (simulation case) and “Catching the Wave” (in coursepack). Submit your answers to the focusing questions on UNM Learn by Wednesday midnight before class. Focusing question: Catching the Wave: 1. Why did this happen repeatedly in the disk drive industry? Why weren’t subsequent companies able to learn the important historical lessons about the threat of disruptive technologies? 2. Where do you see disruptive technologies threatening successful, established companies today? 3. If you were running one of the companies you identified in #2 above, what strategy would you use to counter the disruptive threat? If you wanted to enter the industry, what strategy should you use? __________________________________________________________________ Part 2. Technology Commercialization __________________________________________________________________ SESSION EIGHT (Thursday, March 13, 2014): Disruptive Innovation, Part 1 Presentations: Disruptive innovation, low end encroachment, incumbent inertia. Catching the Wave. How to Play Back Bay Battery. Optional Articles: Schmidt, G.M. and Druehl, C. T. 2008. When Is a Disruptive Innovation Disruptive? Journal of Product Innovation Management 25:347–369. Optional Videos: Disruptive innovation explained (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qDrMAzCHFUU ); Tech’s Rust Belt Takes Shape (http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424127887323809304578431211400776432.html ). For next time: Run the Back Bay Battery simulation. __________________________________________________________________ SPRING BREAK (March 16-23) For next time: Read “Wii Encore?” and “Which strategy when?” (in coursepack). Submit your answers to the focusing questions on UNM Learn by Wednesday midnight before class. Focusing questions: 1. Analyze the macro view of the video game industry and Nintendo’s business cycle. 2. Discuss how technology companies can cope with a fast-paced environment. 3. Analyze the disruptive innovations that are affecting Nintendo. What options does Nintendo have to respond? 7 __________________________________________________________________ SESSION NINE (Thursday, March 27, 2014) Disruptive Innovation, Part 2 Case: Wii Encore? Presentation: Dynamic/design capabilities; strategic management. Optional Articles: Subramanian, A.M., Chai, K.-H.,Mu, S. 2011. Capability reconfiguration of incumbent firms: Nintendo in the video game industry. Technovation 31: 228–239. Teece, D.J., Pisano, G., and Shuen, A. 1997. Dynamic capabilities and strategic management. Strategic Management Journal 18(7): 509-533. Vergne, J.-P. Durand, R. (2011). The Path of Most Persistence: An Evolutionary Perspective on. Path Dependence and Dynamic Capabilities. Organization Studies, 32(3): 365382. Zomeworks and Novozymes assignments made available today. For next time: Read “Emotiv Systems Inc.” (in coursepack). Submit your answers to the focusing questions on UNM Learn by Wednesday midnight before class. Focusing questions: 1. Should Emotiv keep trying to convince major console makers to endorse its technology as part of their platform, or is just being PC-enabled sufficient for the launch? 2. If Emotiv manages to convince one of the console makers in time for a Fall 2008 debut, what marketing strategy (price, channel, consumer promotions, etc.) would best facilitate rapid adoption? How about if EPOC is only PC enabled? 3. What kind of demand could materialize for the EPOC if it is console enabled? How relevant is the Guitar Hero analogy in answering this question? 4. Do any of the non-gaming applications for Emotiv’s technology seem like better alternatives to gaming? 5. What do you think about Le and Do’s long-term vision for BCI technology? ____________________________________________________________________ SESSION TEN (Thursday, April 3, 2014): Technology Commercialization Case: Emotiv Systems Inc. Presentation: Zomeworks Optional Videos: Tan Le: A headset that reads your brainwaves (http://www.ted.com/talks/tan_le_a_headset_that_reads_your_brainwaves.html ); Linking Angry Birds with Neuroscience (http://live.wsj.com/video/linking-angry-birds-with-neuroscience/9089F0C2-F190-4B2C-81C7-859B62D4C4BA.html ); Eye-tracking technology coming soon (http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424127887324105204578382353581452288.html ). For next time: Read “Competing for Development” (A through C). Submit your answers to the focusing questions on UNM Learn by Wednesday midnight before class. Focusing questions: Competing for Development: 1. What are the key trade-offs associated with the U.S. $65, 000 investment? What are the implications of pursuing a mass production strategy for the metal stove? 2. What is the right price for CHF’s metal stove? What makes it the right price? Is the intervention sustainable at this price point? 3. What aspects of the CHF portfolio are likely to be affected by this decision? How would the decision influence the current partnerships with the ITDG/PA and LBNL? What are the longterm implications of the US $65,000 investment for international donors and local organizations? 4. If CHF Sudan pursues the investments, what reactions do you expect from international donors (e.g., USAID), local communities (especially organizations representing women IDPs) 8 and new entrant NGOs selling cheaper stoves (e.g., Aprovecho and the Lifeline Fund)? How do you anticipate, counteract or leverage these reactions? ______________________________________________________________________________ SESSION ELEVEN (Thursday, April 10, 2014): Technology & Economic Development Role Play: TO BE RUN IN CLASS: Competing for Development (A) through (C) Optional Videos: Darfur Stoves Project (http://science.kqed.org/quest/2008/05/20/producersnotes-darfur-stoves-project/ ; http://science.kqed.org/quest/video/darfur-stoves-project/ ); Oxfam in Darfur: Building stoves, saving lives (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LozcmUINPHY ). For next time: read your World Climate briefing. ______________________________________________________________________________ SESSION TWELVE (Thursday, April 17, 2014): Technology and Public Policy Presentation: World Climate simulation. Simulation/Role Play: TO BE RUN IN CLASS. World Climate: Negotiating a Global Climate Change Agreement (https://mitsloan.mit.edu/LearningEdge/simulations/worldclimate/Pages/default.aspx) Course evaluations today. ______________________________________________________________________________ SESSION THIRTEEN (Thursday, April 24, 2014) Class does not meet. Work on your Zomeworks and Novozymes cases. ______________________________________________________________________________ SESSION FOURTEEN (Thursday, May 1, 2014) Class does not meet. Work on your Zomeworks and Novozymes cases. ______________________________________________________________________________ SESSION FIFTEEN (Thursday, May 8, 2014) Zomeworks and Novozymes cases are due. 9 Study Time Sheet Date Place Subject 10 Start Time Stop Time