CURRENT PLAN
Assump&ons:
5.00% Real Discount Rate (2%, OMB Circular A-­‐94, 30yr)
$ 74.90 Base Electric Price, $/MWh
Base Gas Price, $/MCF (burner Lp)
$ 7.23
Base Oil Price, $/gallon
$ 3.50
$ 112.70 Base Coal Price, $/short ton
Default Price, GHG Emission 2015 Start Price Scenario PrioriLes for improving the comparison accur
1) Cost esLmates for building heaLng distribu
2) Accurate 2012 Fuel use data and price 3) RealisLc pumping and COP for the GHSP op
4) All charges associated with water use/wate
5) ConsideraLon of different scenarios of imp
6) Inclusion of cooling system distribuLon as w
ground bafery needed. Year
2012, BASE YEAR
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
2040
2041
2042
10yr NPV
20yr NPV
30yr NPV
$/MCF $ 7.23
$ 7.16
$ 7.30
$ 7.59
$ 7.66
$ 7.66
$ 7.74
$ 7.81
$ 7.95
$ 8.03
$ 8.10
$ 8.17
$ 8.17
$ 8.24
$ 8.24
$ 8.24
$ 8.10
$ 8.17
$ 8.24
$ 8.39
$ 8.46
$ 8.60
$ 8.75
$ 8.97
$ 9.11
$ 9.18
$ 9.33
$ 9.47
$ 9.47
$ 9.62
$ 9.76
Capital $ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ 50,000,000
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ 45,351,474
$ 45,351,474
$ 45,351,474
10yr NPV TOTAL $ 149,154,610
20yr NPV TOTAL $ 228,341,511
Maintenance $ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
NatGas, MCF
135,727
135,727
135,727
1,633,586
1,633,586
1,633,586
1,633,586
1,633,586
1,633,586
1,633,586
1,633,586
1,633,586
1,633,586
1,633,586
1,633,586
1,633,586
1,633,586
1,633,586
1,633,586
1,633,586
1,633,586
1,633,586
1,633,586
1,633,586
1,633,586
1,633,586
1,633,586
1,633,586
1,633,586
1,633,586
1,633,586
Gas Cost $ 981,306
$ 971,493
$ 991,119
$ 12,401,365
$ 12,519,473
$ 12,519,473
$ 12,637,582
$ 12,755,690
$ 12,991,906
$ 13,110,015
$ 13,228,123
$ 13,346,231
$ 13,346,231
$ 13,464,339
$ 13,464,339
$ 13,464,339
$ 13,228,123
$ 13,346,231
$ 13,464,339
$ 13,700,556
$ 13,818,664
$ 14,054,880
$ 14,291,097
$ 14,645,422
$ 14,881,638
$ 14,999,746
$ 15,235,963
$ 15,472,179
$ 15,472,179
$ 15,708,396
$ 15,944,612
$ 76,506,882
$ 140,266,706
$ 183,890,467
30yr NPV TOTAL $ 287,795,052
30yr GHG TOTAL
2,843,821
oving the comparison accuracy: for building heaLng distribuLon system changes, campus district piping, and well drilling for the GHSP+COGEN opLon. Fuel use data and price ng and COP for the GHSP opLon ociated with water use/water loss in both system types. This is substanLal for the steam system, perhaps on the same order of maginitude
of different scenarios of improved building efficiency over this 30yr Lme span oling system distribuLon as well; is it cheaper to cool with the GHSP than cooling towers + chillers (keep in mind there will be some "rechar
Oil, gallon
7,469
7,469
7,469
7,469
7,469
7,469
7,469
7,469
7,469
7,469
7,469
7,469
7,469
7,469
7,469
7,469
7,469
7,469
7,469
7,469
7,469
7,469
7,469
7,469
7,469
7,469
7,469
7,469
7,469
7,469
7,469
$/gallon $ 3.50
$ 3.15
$ 3.19
$ 3.33
$ 3.40
$ 3.47
$ 3.50
$ 3.54
$ 3.57
$ 3.61
$ 3.64
$ 3.68
$ 3.71
$ 3.75
$ 3.82
$ 3.82
$ 3.85
$ 3.89
$ 3.92
$ 4.03
$ 4.10
$ 4.06
$ 4.03
$ 4.10
$ 4.13
$ 4.17
$ 4.24
$ 4.31
$ 4.38
$ 4.41
$ 4.45
Oil Cost $ 26,142
$ 23,527
$ 23,789
$ 24,834
$ 25,357
$ 25,880
$ 26,142
$ 26,403
$ 26,664
$ 26,926
$ 27,187
$ 27,449
$ 27,710
$ 27,971
$ 28,494
$ 28,494
$ 28,756
$ 29,017
$ 29,278
$ 30,063
$ 30,586
$ 30,324
$ 30,063
$ 30,586
$ 30,847
$ 31,108
$ 31,631
$ 32,154
$ 32,677
$ 32,938
$ 33,200
$ 196,942
$ 332,776
$ 424,174
Coal, short ton
71,255
71,255
71,255
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
$/short ton $ 112.70
$ 111.57
$ 113.83
$ 118.34
$ 119.46
$ 119.46
$ 120.59
$ 121.72
$ 123.97
$ 125.10
$ 126.22
$ 127.35
$ 127.35
$ 128.48
$ 128.48
$ 128.48
$ 129.61
$ 130.73
$ 130.73
$ 131.86
$ 131.86
$ 132.99
$ 134.11
$ 135.24
$ 137.49
$ 138.62
$ 139.75
$ 142.00
$ 143.13
$ 144.26
$ 145.38
Coal Cost $ 8,030,439
$ 7,950,134
$ 8,110,743
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ 14,928,239
$ 14,928,239
$ 14,928,239
COGEN opLon. s on the same order of maginitude as GHG cost. in mind there will be some "recharge" of the CogeneraPon Elec Pumping Energy (MWh)
(MWh)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
$/MWh $ 74.90
$ 72.65
$ 71.16
$ 71.16
$ 70.41
$ 69.66
$ 69.66
$ 68.91
$ 69.66
$ 70.41
$ 71.16
$ 71.16
$ 71.90
$ 71.16
$ 70.41
$ 68.91
$ 68.91
$ 68.91
$ 68.91
$ 69.66
$ 69.66
$ 70.41
$ 71.16
$ 72.65
$ 74.15
$ 74.90
$ 75.65
$ 76.40
$ 77.15
$ 77.15
$ 77.90
Elec Gen Cost
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
Pumping Cost
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
Water Treatment Water Charges
Charges
Sewer Charges
Insurance
Salaries
$ -­‐ $ -­‐ $ -­‐ $ -­‐ $ -­‐
$ -­‐ $ -­‐ $ -­‐ $ -­‐ $ -­‐
$ -­‐ $ -­‐ $ -­‐ $ -­‐ $ -­‐
$ -­‐ $ -­‐ $ -­‐ $ -­‐ $ -­‐
MT CO2e*
174,510
174,510
174,510
89,100
89,100
89,100
89,100
89,100
89,100
89,100
89,100
89,100
89,100
89,100
89,100
89,100
89,100
89,100
89,100
89,100
89,100
89,100
89,100
89,100
89,100
89,100
89,100
89,100
89,100
89,100
89,100
GHG Cost $ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ -­‐
$ 1,782,000
$ 1,782,000
$ 1,782,000
$ 1,782,000
$ 1,782,000
$ 2,673,001
$ 2,673,001
$ 2,673,001
$ 2,673,001
$ 2,673,001
$ 2,673,001
$ 2,673,001
$ 3,564,001
$ 3,564,001
$ 3,564,001
$ 3,564,001
$ 3,564,001
$ 4,455,001
$ 4,455,001
$ 4,455,001
$ 4,455,001
$ 5,346,001
$ 5,346,001
$ 5,346,001
$ 6,237,002
$ 6,237,002
$ 6,237,002
$ 7,128,002
$ 12,171,073
$ 27,462,316
$ 43,200,698