Economic Modeling of Woody Biomass Utilization for Biofuels: A Case Study in West Virginia Jinzhuo Wu, Jingxin Wang, Joseph McNeel West Virginia University Division of Forestry and Natural Resources Morgantown, WV 26506 Presented to 31st Annual Council on Forest Engineering Meeting June 22-25, 2008 Charleston, South Carolina West Virginia University 1 Outline Introduction Objective Methodology Results Conclusion West Virginia University 2 Introduction U.S. Energy Overview and Biofuels from Woody Biomass The interest of using woody biomass as feedstock for bioenergy in the U.S. has been increasing. 20000 4 U.S. Crude Oil Field Production U.S. Crude Oil and Petroleum Imports U.S. Crude Oil and Petroleum Exports U.S. Crude Oil and Petroleum Products Supplied 3.5 3 Quadrillion Btu Thous a nd B a rre ls pe r D a y 25000 15000 10000 Biomass Biofuels Waste Wood Derived Fuels 2.5 2 1.5 1 5000 0.5 0 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 (Data Source: Energy Information Administration) West Virginia University 2005 2010 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 (Data Source: Energy Information Administration) 3 Factors Affecting Woody Biomass Utilization Biomass sustainability Efficient harvesting, extraction, and transportation Investment cost for woody biomass based facility Production cost Social and environmental consideration Policy West Virginia University 4 Woody Biomass Sustainability in West Virginia ¾ History of Forest Lands Harvested in West Virginia 350,000 Acres of Harvested 300,000 250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 (Data Source: West Virginia Division of Forestry) Of 12 million acres of forestland there were 230,000 acres of forest lands harvested in West Virginia during 2007. West Virginia University 5 ¾ Annual Woody Biomass Potential in West Virginia Million Dry tons Per Year 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.4 1.6 1.34 Logging Residue 0.942 Mill Residue Urban Tree Residue Pallet Residue 1.2 0.119 0.013 (Data Source: Wang et al. 2006) West Virginia University 6 Annual woody biomass growth to removal ratio in West Virginia ¾ 500,000,000 Average net annual growth of sawtimber Average of annual removals of sawtimber 450,000,000 400,000,000 Cubic feet 350,000,000 300,000,000 250,000,000 200,000,000 150,000,000 100,000,000 50,000,000 0 2000 2005 (Data source: Forest Inventory Analysis) West Virginia University 7 Woody Biomass Utilization Process Chipping at landing Transporting Storage at plant Loading Loose residue Transporting Processing at plant Forwarding Loading Transporting Extraction Logging residue Bundling Woody Biomass Supply Chain (Source: Alakangas, VTT ) West Virginia University Example Machines (Sources: Rummer et al. 2004; Reis et al. 2007 ) 8 Summarized woody biomass conversion technologies Woody Biomass Thermo-chemical technologies Gasification * Steam * Process heat * Electricity * Fuel gas methane Pyrolysis * Charcoal * Bio-oil * Fuel gas Combustion * Steam * Process heat * Electricity Biochemical technologies Hydrolysis fermentation * Ethanol Anaerobic digestion * Biogas (methane, carbon dioxide) * Heat * Steam * Electricity * Transportation Fuels * Chemicals (Source: Caputo et al 2005, Wang et al 2006) West Virginia University 9 Objective Develop a mix integer programming (MIP) model to evaluate woody biomass utilization for biofuels West Virginia University 10 Methodology Objective: Minimize the total annual delivered cost of woody biomass from the supply locations to biorefinery locations. I H I J H ⎡ I H Min z = ∑ ⎢ ∑∑ (α h + sc) xhihm + ∑∑ ϕ xpsihm + ∑∑∑ (csh + τ ijh + cph ) xtijhm m =1 ⎣ i =1 h =1 i =1 h =1 i =1 j =1 h =1 M ⎤ + ∑∑∑ (mcr + mtij ) xmijrm ⎥ + Lct i =1 j =1 r =1 ⎦ I J R Cost components: Extraction cost, storage cost, chipping cost, loading cost, transportation cost, and purchased cost. West Virginia University 11 Methodology Woody biomass handling systems considered: Cable skidder-loose material Cable skidder-chip Grapple skidder-loose material Grapple skidder-chip Forwarder-loose material Forwarder-chip Forwarder-bundle West Virginia University 12 Methodology Constraints • Logging residue availability constraints - slope constraint & 65% available; • Mill residue availability constraint - 90% available; • Number of woody biomass handling systems used – 1; • General storage system balance; • Storage constraints for slash bundling system; • Demand of woody biomass at the plant constraint - 1,000 dry tons/day; • Number of plants requiring woody biomass – 1. West Virginia University 13 Methodology General transportation cost model Tij = 2dij fpg + mpg 2dij mph ( tp − ts ) + ⎛ (tp − ts)( N + 1) + ts ⎞ IITR dwh + N ⎜ ⎝ 2N SMH ⋅ UT ⎟ ⎠ 2dij mph + ( tp − ts ) MR 2dij N ⋅ SMH ⋅ UT mph • Developed based on Jensen’s WTRANS program • Fuel cost, driver wages, and overhead and maintenance costs • A function of transportation distance Within-county transportation cost model ⎛ 2.55xtlijh1 +5.35xtlijh2 +7.63xtlijh3 +10.42xtlijh4 +14.74xtlijh5 ⎞ Lct = ∑∑∑th ⎜ ⎟⎟, wheredij ≤ rsi ⎜ xtl xtl xtl xtl + 19.08 + 22.60 + 25.63 + 30.17 i=1 j=1 h=1 ⎝ ijh6 ijh7 ijh8 ijh9 ⎠ I J H West Virginia University 14 Results (Base case) Woody Biomass Supply and Demand Locations West Virginia University 15 Results (Base case) Delivered Cost of Woody biomass by Handling Systems (demand of 1,000 dry tons/day) A v e r a ge de liv e re d c os t ($ /dr y ton) Optimized Location for Woody Biomass-based Facility (demand of 1,000 dry tons/day) 50 Extraction cost Storage cost Transport cost Chipping cost Purchased cost 40 30 20 10 0 Cable Cable Grapple Grapple skidder-loose skidder-chip skidder-loose skidder-chip material material West Virginia University Forwarderloose material Forwarderchip Forwarderbundle 16 Results (Sensitivity analysis) The delivered cost varied slightly as logging residue availability changed. The delivered cost of woody biomass was sensitive to mill residue availability. 50 45 40 35 Cable skidder-loose material Grapple skidder-loose material Forw arder-loose material Forw arder-bundle 30 Cable skidder-chip Grapple skidder-chip Forw arder-chip 25 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 Logging residue availability (%) Delivered Cost vs. Logging Residue Availability 80 A verag e d elivered co st ($/d ry to n ) Scenario 1: Woody Biomass Availability Average delivered cost ($/dry ton) 55 Cable skidder-loose material Grapple skidder-loose material Forw arder-loose material Forw arder-bundle 70 Cable skidder-chip Grapple skidder-chip Forw arder-chip 60 50 40 30 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 Mill residue availability (%) West Virginia University Delivered Cost vs. Mill Residue Availability 17 Results (Sensitivity analysis) Scenario 2: Woody Biomass Demand at Plant Due to defined biomass and slope constraints for extraction, the availability of woody biomass can be up to 1,800 dry tons/day. 70 A verag e d elivered co st ($/d ry to n ) The delivered cost increased dramatically as the demand at a plant increased among woody biomass handling systems. 60 50 Cable skidder-loose material Cable skidder-chip Grapple skidder-loose material Grapple skidder-chip Forw arder-loose material Forw arder-chip Forw arder-bundle 40 30 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 Woody biom ass dem and (dry tons/day) Delivered Cost vs. Woody Biomass Demand West Virginia University 18 Results (Sensitivity analysis) Scenario 3: Woody Biomass Inventory at Plant The delivered cost A verag e d elivered co st ($/d ry ton ) 55 50 45 40 35 Cable skidder-loose material Grapple skidder-loose material Forw arder-loose material Forw arder-bundle 30 25 0 1 Cable skidder-chip Grapple skidder-chip Forw arder-chip 2 3 Inventory (w eeks) increased as inventory increased among different systems. The highest cost occurred with cable skidder handling systems followed by grapple skidder handling systems. Delivered Cost vs. Woody Biomass Inventory West Virginia University 19 Conclusions • West Virginia’s forests currently have a sustainable growth/removal ratio. • Wood residue utilization will promote rural economic development in WV. • The model developed can be applied to other areas of the Appalachian region. • On-going research activities at WVU will lead to more efficient utilization of woody biomass. West Virginia University 20 Questions, Comments or Suggestions? Thank you! West Virginia University 21