Analyzing Financial Statements McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2009 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. I am excited about analyzing the financial statements of cat food companies! Understanding The Business Individual Company Factors Industry Factors Economy-wide Factors Invest? No Yes 14-3 Understanding The Business Return on an equity security investment Increase in share price Dividends Investors 14-4 “It’s not buy and hold, it’s buy and homework!” McGraw-Hill/Irwin Understanding a Company’s Strategy I need to know the company’s policies on product differentiation, pricing, and cost control to make my financial analysis more meaningful. Business Strategy Operating Decisions Transactions Financial Statements 14-6 Financial Statement Analysis FINANCIAL STATEMENT USERS MANAGEMENT EXTERNAL DECISION MAKERS . . . uses accounting data to make product pricing and expansion decisions. . . . use accounting data for investment, credit, tax, and public policy decisions. 14-7 Financial Statement Analysis THREE TYPES OF FINANCIAL STATEMENT INFORMATION Past Performance Income, sales volume, cash flows, returnon-investments, EPS. Present Condition Assets, debt, inventory, various ratios. Future Performance Sales and earnings trends are good indicators of future performance. 14-8 Statements made in this presentation concerning projections or expectations of financial or operational performance or economic outlook, or concerning other future events or results, or which refer to matters which are not historical facts, are "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the federal securities laws. Forward-looking statements involve a number of risks and uncertainties, and actual results may differ materially from that projected or implied in those statements. Important factors that could cause such differences include, but are not limited to, economic and industry conditions: material adverse changes in economic or industry conditions, both within the United States and globally, customer demand, effects of adverse economic conditions affecting shippers, adverse economic conditions in the industries and geographic areas that produce and consume freight, competition and consolidation within the transportation industry, the extent to which BNSF Railway is successful in gaining new long-term relationships with customers or retaining existing ones, changes in the securities and capital markets, changes in fuel prices, and changes in labor costs and labor difficulties including stoppages affecting either BNSF Railway’s operations or our customers’ abilities to deliver goods to BNSF Railway for shipment; legal and regulatory factors: developments and changes in laws and regulations, the ultimate outcome of shipper and rate claims subject to adjudication, environmental investigations or proceedings and other types of claims and litigation; and operating factors: technical difficulties, changes in operating conditions and costs, commodity concentrations, the availability of equipment and human resources to meet changes in demand, the Company’s ability to achieve its operational and financial initiatives and to contain costs, as well as natural events such as severe weather,floods and earthquakes or man-made or other disruptions of the Company’s operating systems, structures, or equipment. The Company cautions against placing undue reliance on forward-looking statements, which reflect its current beliefs and are based on information currently available to it as of the date a forward-looking statement is made. The Company undertakes no obligation to revise forward-looking statements to reflect future events, changes in circumstances, or changes in beliefs. In the event that the Company does update any forward-looking statements, no inference should be made that the Company will make additional updates with respect to that statement, related matters, or any other forward-looking statements. Any corrections or revisions may appear in BNSF’s public filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, which are accessible at www.sec.gov or on BNSF’s website at www.bnsf.com, and which you are advised to consult. McGraw-Hill/Irwin McGraw-Hill/Irwin McGraw-Hill/Irwin McGraw-Hill/Irwin Financial Statement Analysis Financial statement analysis is based on comparisons. Time series analysis Comparison with similar companies Examines a single company to identify trends over time. Provides insights concerning a company’s relative performance. 14-13 Component Percentages Express each item on a particular statement as a percentage of a single base amount. Net sales on the income statement Total assets on the balance sheet The comparative income statements of Home Depot for 2007 and 2006 appear on the next slide. Prepare component percentage income statements where net sales equal 100%. 14-14 HOME DEPOT Comparative Income Statements (Condensed) Amounts in Millions Except Per Share Data 2007 Percent 2006 Percent Net Sales $ 90,837 100.0% $ 81,511 100.0% Cost of Merchandise Sold 61,054 67.2% 54,191 66.5% Gross Profit 29,783 27,320 Operating Expenses 20,110 17,957 Operating Income 9,673 9,363 Interest and Investment Income 27 62 Interest Expense (392) (143) 2007 Cost ÷ 2007 Sales Earnings Before Income Taxes 9,308 9,282 Income Taxes 3,547 3,444 Net Earnings $ 5,761 $ 5,838 Basic Earnings Per Share $ 2.80 $ 2.73 Weighted-Average Number of Common Shares Outstanding 2,062 2,147 Diluted Earnings Per Share $ 2.79 $ 2.72 14-15 HOME DEPOT Comparative Income Statements (Condensed) Amounts in Millions Except Per Share Data 2007 Percent 2006 Percent Net Sales $ 90,837 100.0% $ 81,511 100.0% Cost of Merchandise Sold 61,054 67.2% 54,191 66.5% Gross Profit 29,783 32.8% 27,320 33.5% Operating Expenses 20,110 22.1% 17,957 22.0% Operating Income 9,673 10.6% 9,363 11.5% Interest and Investment Income 27 0.0% 62 0.1% Interest Expense (392) -0.4% (143) -0.2% Earnings Before Income Taxes 9,308 10.2% 9,282 11.4% Income Taxes 3,547 3.9% 3,444 4.2% Net Earnings $ 5,761 6.3% $ 5,838 7.2% Basic Earnings Per Share $ 2.80 $ 2.73 Weighted-Average Number of Common Shares Outstanding 2,062 2,147 Diluted Earnings Per Share $ 2.79 $ 2.72 14-16 Commonly Used Ratios The 2007 and 2006 balance sheets for Home Depot are presented next. We will be referring to these financial statements throughout the ratio analyses. Home Depot 14-17 HOME DEPOT Comparative Balance Sheets (Condensed) Amounts in Millions 2007 Assets Cash and Cash Equivalents Short-Term Investments Receivables, net Merchandise Inventories Other Current Assets Total Current Assets Property and Equipment, at cost Less Accumulated Depreciation Net Property and Equipment Other Assets Total Assets 2006 $ 600 $ 793 14 14 3,223 2,396 12,822 11,401 1,341 665 18,000 15,269 34,358 31,530 7,753 6,629 26,605 24,901 7,658 4,235 $ 52,263 $ 44,405 Continued 14-18 HOME DEPOT Comparative Balance Sheets (Condensed) Amounts in Millions 2007 2006 Liabilities Current Liabilities Noncurrent Liabilities Total Liabilities Stockholders' Equity Common Stock, $.05 par Paid-in Capital Retained Earnings Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income Total Less: Treasury Stock Total Stockholders' Equity Total Liabilities & Stockholders' Equity $ 12,931 $ 12,706 14,302 4,790 27,233 17,496 121 7,930 33,052 310 41,413 (16,383) 25,030 $ 52,263 $ 120 7,149 28,943 409 36,621 (9,712) 26,909 44,405 14-19 Test of Profitability ─ Return on Equity Profitability is a primary measure of the overall success of a company. Return on Equity = Return on Equity = Net Income Average Stockholders’ Equity $5,761 ($25,030 + $26,909) ÷ 2 = 22.2% This measure indicates how much income was earned for every dollar invested by the owners. 14-20 Test of Profitability ─ Return on Assets Return on Assets Return on Assets = Net Income + Interest Expense (net of tax) Average Total Assets = $5,761 + ($392 × (1 - .34)) = 12.5% ($52,263 + $44,405) ÷ 2 Corporate tax rate is 34%. This ratio is generally considered the best overall measure of a company’s profitability. 14-21 Test of Profitability ─ Financial Leverage Percentage Financial Leverage 9.7% = Return on Equity – Return on Assets = 22.2% – 12.5% Financial leverage is the advantage or disadvantage that occurs as the result of earning a return on equity that is different from the return on assets. 14-22 Test of Profitability ─ Earnings per Share (EPS) EPS = Net Income* Average Number of Shares Outstanding for the Period *If there are preferred dividends, the amount is subtracted from net income. EPS = $5,761 (1,970 + 2124) ÷ 2 = $2.81 Average number of shares based on the number of shares at the beginning and end of the year. Earnings per share is probably the single most widely watched financial ratio. 14-23 Test of Profitability ─ Quality of Income Quality = of Income Cash Flow from Operating Activities Net Income Cash Flow from Operating Activities Net Income Add: Depreciation and Amortization Decrease in Receivables, net Increase in Accounts Payable Increase in Deferred Income Taxes Stock-based Compensation Expense Other $ 5,761 1,886 96 531 46 297 178 Deduct: (123) (563) (172) (225) (51) $ 7,661 Increase in Deferred Revenue Increase in Merchandise Inventories Decrease in Income Taxes Payable Decrease in Other Current Assets Decrease in Other Long-term Liabilities Cash Flow from Operating Activities 14-24 Test of Profitability ─ Quality of Income Quality = of Income Cash Flow from Operating Activities Quality = of Income $7,661 Net Income $5,761 = 1.33 A ratio higher than 1 indicates high-quality earnings. 14-25 Test of Profitability ─ Profit Margin Profit = Margin Net Income Profit = Margin $5,761 Net Sales = 6.3% $90,837 This ratio tells us the percentage of each sales dollar that is income. 14-26 Test of Profitability ─ Fixed Asset Turnover Fixed = Asset Turnover Net Sales Revenue Average Net Fixed Assets Fixed $90,837 = = 3.53 Asset ($26,605 + $24,901) ÷ 2 Turnover This ratio measures a company’s ability to generate sales given an investment in fixed assets. 14-27 Tests of Liquidity ─ Cash Ratio Tests of liquidity focus on the relationship between current assets and current liabilities. Cash Ratio Cash Ratio Cash + Cash Equivalents = Current Liabilities = $600 $12,931 = 0.05 to 1 This ratio measures the adequacy of available cash. 14-28 Tests of Liquidity ─ Current Ratio Current Ratio Current Ratio = = Current Assets Current Liabilities $18,000 $12,931 = 1.39 to 1 This ratio measures the ability of the company to pay current debts as they become due. 14-29 Tests of Liquidity ─ Quick Ratio (Acid Test) Quick Ratio = Quick Assets Current Liabilities Quick Ratio = $3,837 $9,554 Cash & Cash Equivalents Receivables, net Short-term Investments Quick Assets = 0.40 to 1 $ 600 3,223 14 $ 3,837 This ratio is like the current ratio but measures the company’s immediate ability to pay debts. 14-30 Tests of Liquidity ─ Receivable Turnover Receivable Turnover Receivable Turnover = = Net Credit Sales Average Net Receivables $90,837 = 32.3 Times ($3,223 + $2,396) ÷ 2 This ratio measures how quickly a company collects its accounts receivable. 14-31 Tests of Liquidity ─ Average Age of Receivables Average Age of Receivables Average Age of Receivables = = Days in Year Receivable Turnover 365 32.3 = 11.3 Days This ratio measures the average number of days it takes to collect receivables. 14-32 Tests of Liquidity ─ Inventory Turnover Inventory Turnover Inventory Turnover Cost of Goods Sold = Average Inventory $61,054 = 5.0 Times = ($12,822 + $11,401) ÷ 2 This ratio measures how quickly the company sells its inventory. 14-33 Tests of Liquidity ─ Average Days’ Supply in Inventory Average Days’ Supply in Inventory Average Days’ Supply in Inventory = = Days in Year Inventory Turnover 365 5.0 = 73 Days This ratio measures the average number of days it takes to sell the inventory. 14-34 Tests of Liquidity ─ Accounts Payable Turnover Accounts Payable Turnover = Accounts Payable Turnover $61,054 = ($7,356 + $6,032) ÷ 2 Cost of Goods Sold Average Accounts Payable = 9.1 Times This ratio measures how quickly the company pays its accounts payable. 14-35 Tests of Liquidity ─ Average Age of Payables Average Age of Payables Average Age of Payables = = Days in Year Accounts Payable Turnover 365 9.1 = 40.1 Days This ratio measures the average number of days it takes to pay its suppliers. 14-36 Tests of Solvency ─ Times Interest Earned Tests of solvency measure a company’s ability to meet its long-term obligations. Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned = = Net Interest Income Tax + + Income Expense Expense Interest Expense $5,761 + $392 + $3,547 $392 = 24.7 Times This ratio indicates a margin of protection for creditors. 14-37 Tests of Solvency ─ Cash Coverage Cash = Coverage Cash Flow from Operating Activities Before Interest and Taxes Paid Interest Paid Cash Flow from Operating Activities Net Income Add: Depreciation and Amortization Decrease in Receivables, net Increase in Accounts Payable Increase in Deferred Income Taxes Stock-based Compensation Expense Other $ 5,761 1,886 96 531 46 297 178 Deduct: (123) (563) (172) (225) (51) $ 7,661 Increase in Deferred Revenue Increase in Merchandise Inventories Decrease in Income Taxes Payable Decrease in Other Current Assets Decrease in Other Long-term Liabilities Cash Flow from Operating Activities 14-38 Tests of Solvency ─ Cash Coverage Cash Flow from Operating Activities Before Interest and Taxes Paid Interest Paid Cash = Coverage Cash = Coverage $7,661 + $270 + $3,963 $270 = 44.0 From Statement of Cash Flows Cash interest paid Income tax paid $ 270 3,963 This ratio compares the cash generated with the cash obligations of the period. 14-39 Tests of Solvency ─ Debt-to-Equity Ratio Debt-to-Equity Ratio Debt-to-Equity Ratio = = Total Liabilities Stockholders’ Equity $27,233 $25,030 = 1.09 This ratio measures the amount of liabilities that exists for each $1 invested by the owners. 14-40 “20” 14-41 Market Tests ─ Price/Earnings (P/E) Ratio Market tests relate the current market price of a share of stock to an indicator of the return that might accrue to the investor. P/E Ratio P/E Ratio = Current Market Price Per Share Earnings Per Share = $34 $2.80 = 12.1 A recent price for Home Depot stock was $34 per share. This ratio measures the relationship between the current market price of the stock and its earnings per share. 14-42 Market Tests ─ Dividend Yield Ratio Dividend Yield Dividend Yield = Dividends Per Share Market Price Per Share = $0.675 $34 = 2% Home Depot paid dividends of $.675 per share when the market price was $34 per share. This ratio is often used to compare the dividend-paying performance of different investment alternatives. 14-43 Interpreting Ratios Ratios may be interpreted by comparison with ratios of other companies or with industry average ratios. Ratios may vary because of the company’s industry characteristics, nature of operations, size, and accounting policies. 14-44 Other Financial Information In addition to financial ratios, special factors might affect company analysis: Rapid growth. Uneconomical expansion. Subjective factors. A securities market in which prices fully reflect available information is called an efficient market. In an efficient market, a company’s stock reacts quickly when new, relevant information is released about the company. 14-45 No .. Let us analyze a real firm! McGraw-Hill/Irwin McGraw-Hill/Irwin End of Chapter 14 McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2009 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.