Financial Statement Analysis Bodie, Kane, and Marcus Essentials of Investments, 9th Edition McGraw-Hill/Irwin 14 Copyright © 2013 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 14.1 Major Financial Statements • Income Statement • Financial statement showing firm’s revenues and expenses during specified period • Economic Earnings • Real flow of cash firm could pay without impairing productive capacity • Accounting Earnings • Earnings of a firm as reported on income statement 14-2 14.1 Major Financial Statements • Balance Sheet • Accounting statement of firm’s financial position at specified time • Statement of Cash Flows • Financial statement showing firm’s cash receipts and cash payments during specified period 14-3 Table 14.1 Home Depot’s Income Statement $ Million Operating Revenues Net sales Operating Expenses Cost of goods sold Selling, general, & administrative expenses Other Depreciation Earnings before interest and income taxes Interest expense Taxable income Taxes Net income Allocation of net income Dividends Addition to retained earnings Percent of Revenue 67,997 100.0% 42,975 15,849 1,652 1,718 63.2% 23.3% 2.4% 2.5% 5,803 530 5,273 1,935 3,338 8.5% 0.8% 7.8% 2.8% 4.9% 1,569 1,769 2.3% 2.6% Note: Sums subject to rounding error 14-4 Table 14.2 Home Depot’s Balance Sheet Panel A: (millions of dollars) Assets Current assets Cash and marketable securities Receivables Inventories Other current assets Total current assets Fixed assets Tangible fixed assets Property, plant, and equipment Long-term Investments Total tangible fixed assets Intangible fixed assets Goodwill Total fixed assets Other assets Total assets Percent of $ million total assets 545 1,085 10,625 1,224 13,479 1.4% 2.7% 26.5% 3.1% 33.6% Liabilities and shareholders' equity Current liabilities Debt due for repayment Accounts payable Other current liabilities Total current liabilities 1,042 7,903 1,177 10,122 2.6% 19.7% 2.9% 25.2% 8,707 2,407 21.7% 6.0% Total liabilities 21,236 52.9% Shareholders' equity Common stock and other paid-in capital Retained earnings Total shareholders' equity 3,894 14,995 18,889 9.7% 37.4% 47.1% Total liabilities and shareholders' equity 40,125 100.0% Long-term debt Other long-term liabilities 25,060 139 25,199 62.5% 0.3% 62.8% 1,187 3.0% 26,386 65.8% 260 0.6% 40,125 100.0% Percent of $ million total assets Source: Home Depot Annual Report, year ending January 2011 14-5 Table 14.3 Home Depot’s Statement of Cash Flows $ Million Cash provided by operations Net income $3,338 Adjustments to net income Depreciation 1,718 Changes in working capital Decrease (increase) in receivables Decrease (increase) in inventories Increase (decrease) in other current liabilities Changes due to other operating activities Total adjustments Cash provided by operations (102) (355) (269) 255 $1,247 4,585 Cash flows from investments Gross investment in tangible fixed assets Investments in other assets Cash provided by (used for) investments ($1,096) 84 ($1,012) Cash provided by (used for) financing activities Additions to (reductions in) long-term debt Net issues (repurchases of) shares Dividends Other Cash provided by (used for) financing activities ($31) (2,504) (1,569) (347) ($4,451) Net increase in cash ($878) Source: Home Depot Annual Report, year ending January 2011. 14-6 14.2 Measuring Firm Performance • Investment Decisions • Efficiency of assets • Profitability of sales • Financing Decisions • Leverage • Liquidity 14-7 Figure 14.1 Ratios 14-8 14.3 Profitability Measures • 14-9 Table 14.4 Nodett’s Profitability over Business Cycle 14-10 Table 14.5 Impact of Financial Leverage on ROE *Somdett’s after-tax profits equal .6(EBIT − $3.2 million). †Somdett’s equity is only $60 million. 14-11 14.3 Profitability Measures • Economic Value Added • Measure of dollar value of firm’s return in excess of opportunity cost • Also known as residual income • Spread between ROA and cost of capital multiplied by capital invested in firm 14-12 Table 14.6 Economic Value Added, 2011 EVA ($ billion) Capital ($ billion) ROA (%) Cost of Capital (%) ExxonMobil 6.90 171.31 10.8 6.8 Intel 4.29 52.87 16.1 8.0 Walmart 3.87 125.80 8.6 5.5 GlaxoSmithKline 3.02 34.75 15.3 6.6 Google 2.60 61.38 12.0 7.7 Hewlett Packard -0.91 68.86 5.9 7.2 AT&T -1.60 183.99 4.6 5.5 Honda -3.63 105.20 1.7 5.1 Source: Authors' calculations using data from finance.yahoo.com 14-13 14.4 Ratio Analysis • 14-14 14.4 Ratio Analysis • Decomposition of ROE • Total asset turnover (ATO) • Annual sales generated by each dollar of assets (Sales/Assets) • Interest coverage ratio • Financial leverage measure • EBIT divided by interest expenses 14-15 14.4 Ratio Analysis • Decomposition of ROE • Leverage ratio • Measure of debt to total capitalization of firm • ROE = Tax burden × Interest burden × Margin × Turnover × Leverage • ROA = Margin × Turnover 14-16 Figure 14.2 Median ROA, Profit Margin, and Asset Turnover for 23 Industries 14-17 Table 14.7 Ratio Decomposition Analysis for Nodett and Somdett 14-18 Table 14.8 Differences between Profit Margin and Asset Turnover across Industries 14-19 14.4 Ratio Analysis • 14-20 14.4 Ratio Analysis • Liquidity Ratios • Liquidity: Ability to convert assets into cash at short notice • Current ratio: Current assets/Current liabilities • Quick ratio: Measure of liquidity similar to current ratio; excludes inventories • Cash ratio: Cash and marketable securities to current liabilities 14-21 Table 14.9 Growth Industries Financial Statements 2011 2012 2013 2014 14-22 14.4 Ratio Analysis • 14-23 Table 14.10A Summary of Financial Ratios 14-24 Table 14.10B Summary of Financial Ratios 14-25 Figure 14.3 DuPont Composition for Home Depot 30 Turnover x 10 25 ROA Ratio 20 15 Profit margin 10 5 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 14-26 Table 14.11 Financial Ratios: Major Industry Groups LT Debt Interest Assets Coverage Current Ratio Quick Ratio Asset Turnover Profit Margin (%) Return on Assets (%) Return on Equity (%) Payout Ratio All manufacturing 0.21 5.01 1.42 0.98 0.84 8.03 6.78 17.12 0.27 Food products 0.29 3.83 1.28 0.76 1.15 5.95 6.87 5.59 0.87 Clothing 0.19 7.02 2.32 1.31 1.28 9.29 11.91 22.03 0.21 Printing/publishing 0.40 3.04 1.52 1.19 1.32 7.40 9.75 25.69 0.23 Chemicals 0.26 4.41 1.28 0.94 0.51 14.08 7.14 17.38 0.30 Drugs 0.25 4.47 1.28 1.00 0.35 20.44 7.08 16.26 0.28 Machinery 0.17 5.18 1.39 0.92 0.83 8.78 7.25 16.27 0.19 Electrical 0.12 4.37 1.17 0.75 0.51 7.06 3.63 11.47 0.59 Motor vehicles Computer and electronic 0.14 4.28 1.29 0.99 1.17 4.15 4.86 22.58 0.19 0.15 5.12 1.62 1.33 0.55 7.42 4.11 15.23 0.18 Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, Quarterly Financial Report for Manufacturing, Mining and Trade Corporations, third quarter 2011. Available at http://www2.census.gov/econ/qfr/current/qfr_pub.pdf 14-27 14.5 Illustration of Financial Statement Analysis • Example: Growth Industries • Sales, assets, operating income increased 20% • ROE declining • ROA not declining • Rapid increase in year-to-year short-term debt and interest expense 14-28 Table 14.12 Key Financial Ratios: Growth Industries 14-29 Table 14.13 Growth Industries Cash Flows 14-30 14.6 Comparability Problems • Inventory Valuation • LIFO • Last-in first-out inventory valuation • FIFO • First-in first-out inventory valuation 14-31 14.6 Comparability Problems • Depreciation • Economic • Amount of operating cash flow that must be reinvested in firm to sustain real cash flow • Accounting • Amount of acquisition cost of asset that is allocated to each accounting period over arbitrarily specified life of asset 14-32 14.6 Comparability Problems • Fair Value Accounting • Use of current market values rather than historic costs in firm’s financial statements • Relies heavily on estimates 14-33 14.6 Comparability Problems • Quality of Earnings • Realism and sustainability of reported earnings • Factors that affect quality of earnings • Allowance for bad debt • Nonrecurring items • Earnings smoothing • Revenue recognition • Off-balance-sheet assets and liabilities 14-34 14.6 Comparability Problems • International Accounting Conventions • Reserving practices • Subject to more managerial discretion in U.S. • Depreciation • Other countries do not allow dual sets of accounts • Most firms in foreign countries use accelerated depreciation • Intangibles • Treatment varies wildly from country to country 14-35 14.6 Comparability Problems • International Accounting Conventions • International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) • Principles-based set of accounting rules adopted by around 100 countries, including European Union 14-36 Figure 14.4 Adjusted versus Reported Price-Earnings Ratios 14-37