UNIVERSITY OF ILLINOIS FALL 2013 ECON 564: Theory of Monetary Policy Tuesday, Thursday: 3:00-4:40 pm, Room 119 DKH Prof. Pedro Elosegui: elo@illinois.edu Office hour: Tu 1-2 PM and by appointment. Office: 205 DKH Course Objectives. The purpose of this course is to introduce you to current theoretical and policy problems in monetary economics and macro policy. The goal is to help you understand developed financial systems and how the financial system is connected to the macroeconomy. We will learn some basic finance and I will emphasize international aspects of the material whenever possible. We will discuss recent events in financial markets, including the global financial crisis, recession and ongoing Euro problems. We will analyze the role of Central Banks and monetary policy implementation. By the end of this course, students should understand: what determines bond prices, equity prices, price volatility, time value of money, financial regulation, and what can/should a Central Bank do. Course Requirements and Evaluation Procedure. The course grade will be determined by your performance on two mid-term examinations and a comprehensive final examination. In addition, there will be homework to assist you in mastering the material. The homework will also be used to determine final course grades for scores that fall “on the margin.” The exam dates are: Mid-term Exam I: Thursday, October 10 (25 points) Mid-term Exam II: Tuesday, November 21 (25 points) Homeworks (6) (10 points) Final Exam Dates: 7:00-10:00PM, Thursday, December 19 (40 points) Note: Requests for re-graded exams must be handed in no later than one week after the exam is returned. Text & Readings: R. Glenn Hubbard and Anthony O'Brien, Money, Banking and the Financial System, 1st edition, 2011, Pearson Prentice Hall Publishing, lecture notes, and web links (see urls below). The lecture notes, homework and other material will be posted on the course website: http://compass.illinois.edu Please follow current events, e.g. http://www.nytimes.com, http://www.economist.com, etc. Other Issues. If you have any problems with the course, please let me know as soon as possible. 1 Tentative Schedule Session 1: August 27. Overview & Intro READ: chap 1, 2 Session 2: August 29. Interest rates and rates of return READ: chapter 3 HW 1: chapter 3, questions 1.8, 1.9, 1.10, 1.11, 1.12 on p. 81; 3.6, 3.7, 3.8, 3.9, 3.10 on p. 82-83; 4.7, 4.8 on p. 84; 5.3, 5.5, 5.6, 5.7 on p. 85; 6.5 on p. 86. Also, plot GDP, the civilian Unemployment rate and the Monetary Base for the last 4 years. Use the data at: http://www.richmondfed.org/research/national_economy/national_economic_indicators/index.cfm#ta bview=tab3 Session 3: September 3. Determining Interest Rates READ: read chapter 4 Session 4: September 5. The risk and term structure of interest rates READ: chapter 5. HW1 due HW2: Chapter 4, questions 3.3, 4.5 on pp. 120-121 chapter 5, questions 2.4, 2.5, 2.6, 2.11, 2.16 on pp. 153-155. Session 5: September 10. The risk and term structure of interest rates READ: chapter 5. Session 6: September 12. Financial market policy lecture: overview READ: lecture note. Session 7: September 17. The stock market, information and financial market efficiency READ: chap 6 and lecture note. HW2 due Session 8: September 19. Formal approach to Asset pricing, TSIR & efficient markets READ: lecture note Session 9: September 24. The market for foreign exchange READ: chapter 8 HW3: Posted on Compass Session 10: September 26. Transaction costs, asymmetric information & financial system structure 2 READ: chapter 9. Session 11. October 1. The economics of banking. Review and Problem Session. HW3 due. READ: chapter 10 Session 12: October 3. Field Trip Session 13. October 8. Review and Problem Session. Session 14: October 10. Midterm Exam I (in class) Session 15: October 15. Investment banks, mutual funds, hedge funds & the shadow banking system READ: chapter 11. HW4: Posted on Compass Session 16: October 17. Financial crises and financial regulation READ: chapter 12. Session 17. October 22. The FED and Central Banking READ: chapter 13 Session 17: October 25. The FED's balance sheet and the money supply process READ: chapter 14 Session 18: October 29. Framework for Financial and Monetary Statistics. Monetary policy. HW4 Due READ: chapter 15. Monetary and Financial Statistics Manual (selected chapters). HW5 posted on Compass Session 19: October 31. Banking Industry Regulation and Banking in Three Countries READ: Lecture notes Session 20: November 5. The international financial system and monetary policy READ: chapter 16 Session 21: November 7. The international financial system and monetary policy (continued) HW5 due READ: chapter 16 Session 22: November 12. Review Session 23: November 14. Exam II (in class) Session 24: November 15. Policy lecture 3 Thanksgiving Break: No Class Nov. 26 or 28 Session 25: December 3. "Chronic Sovereign Debt Crises in the Eurozone, 2010-12,: Arellano, Conesa, Kehoe READ: http://www.minneapolisfed.org/publications_papers/pub_display.cfm?id=4877 Session 26: November 5. Euro Reforms READ: Lecture Notes Session 27: December 10: Monetary and Fiscal Policy, HW6 posted on Compass Session 28: December 12. Inflation and Deflation. HW6 due READ: Lecture Notes Session 29: December 14: Course summary and review Session 30: Final Exam. 7:00-10:00PM, Thursday, December 19 4