+ Roll Back the Barrel CTN plc has a problem. Some time ago it issued a purchase order for some equipment from the United States. Payment for the equipment and for the shipping costs are due when the ship reaches a British port. The arrival date is uncertain because, to keep costs down, the equipment has not been shipped on a liner service but by a tramp operator, operating out of Seattle. The many ports passed on the way, the negotiation of the Panama Canal and the vagaries of the Atlantic weather mean that it is extremely difficult to determine the exact arrival date and hence payment date. The equipment was shipped two weeks ago and that means that it could arrive any time within the next two to thirty-two days. Since the total invoice is large and since the dollar is likely to strengthen, CTN plc now wish to cover their exposure. Their first thought is to use a bank’s forward time option. Given the following rates: Spot GBP/USD 1.6390 - 1.6400 30 day points 97 ______ - 95 ______ 1.6293 - 1.6305 i) ii) What would the bank’s two way quote be for a time option running from T2 to T32? Is there a better way of covering the exposure? Options Some Terminology * European - Right to exercise only at maturity. * American - Right to exercise at any time in the option period. * Traded - Traded on an exchange. Will be a standard contract. * Over the counter or O.T.C. * Put - Buyer of a put has the option to give currency, take dollars. * Call - Buyer has the option to take currency, give dollars. * In, At, Out of the money - Tailor made option. Example: Sterling Call, Strike Price of 1.82 6 Value of 5 Option 4 Cents 3 2 Out of At In The Money 1 0 ------------------------------------------------178 * 180 181 182 183 Current Cash market Intrinsic and Time Value GBP Call at Current Spot Premium * 179 1.8250 for September 1.8840 5.90 cents: Intrinsic Value 6.05 .15 Time Value Effective rate equals Strike Price + or – the premium Call = + i.e. 1.8250 + 6.05 cents = 1.8855 Put = - i.e. 1.8500 - 3.10 cents = 1.8190 184 185 Options A. Which cash price is the underlying? You have a September GBP call with a strike price of 165. Today is June 20th. Current Spot is 3 Mo Fwd is 1.6930 1.6785 You have two alternatives. Exercise today or sell sterling forward. Question, which action will give you most profit? 1. 2. Exercise today Give 1.6500 Get 1.6930 Net 430 Get Give GBP1.00 GBP1.00 Sell GBP forward. At expiry date exercise and Give 1.6500 Get GBP1.00 Get 1.6785 Give GBP1.00 to cover forward sale Net 285 So underlying is spot Note: GBP is at a discount to USD call = spot underlying Therefore put = forward underlying For currencies at a premium to the USD Vice Versa. B. Better to sell than to exercise. Sept £ call Today’s spot = SP165 1.6930 Sept call SP165 option, current premium 5.62 cents. You could exercise. If you did each £ would cost 1.65 Or You could sell the option - sell option, receive - transact £ deal in spot market to cover expenditure at Net $ outflow If you exercise you only pick up the intrinsic value. If you sell you pick up the intrinsic and time value. + .0562 - 1.6930 - 1.6368 Time Value Options 28.2.95 Philadelphia SE £/$ Options £31250 (Cents per Pound) Strike Price Call Underlying March Premium Intrinsic Value Time Value 1.500 1.525 1.550 1.575 1.600 1.625 1.5756 “ “ “ “ “ 7.90 5.48 3.13 1.27 .31 .02 7.56 5.06 2.56 .06 - .34 .42 .57 1.21 .31 .02 May Premium Intrinsic Value Time Value 8.02 5.98 4.16 2.68 1.65 .93 7.56 5.06 2.56 .06 - .46 .92 1.60 2.62 1.65 .93 Note. Time value is greatest when at the money.