Title: Evaluating E. coli transport risk in soil using dye and bromide tracers Fiona P. Brennana,b, Gaelene Kramersa,c, Jim Grantd, Vincent O’Flahertyb, Nicholas M. Holdenc and Karl Richardsa* aTeagasc, Environmental Research Centre, Johnstown Castle, Wexford, Ireland bMicrobial Ecology Laboratory, Microbiology, School of Natural Sciences and Ryan Institute, National University of Ireland, Galway, Ireland cUCD Bioresources Research Centre / Biosystems Engineering, University College Dublin, Ireland dTeagasc, Ashtown Research Centre, Dublin, Ireland Email addresses: Fiona.brennan@teagasc.ie (F. Brennan), gkramers@bluebottle.com (G. Kramers), Jim.grant@teagasc.ie (J. Grant), vincent.oflaherty@nuigalway.ie (V. O’Flaherty), nick.holden@ucd.ie (N. Holden), Karl.richards@teagasc.ie (K. Richards) * Corresponding Author. Mailing Address: Teagasc, Environmental Research Centre, Johnstown Castle, Wexford, Ireland. Phone +353539171261. Fax +353539142213. E-mail Karl.richards@teagasc.ie. Acknowledgements This work was funded by the Irish research council for Science, Engineering and Technology (IRCSET) and supported by Teagasc, Johnstown Castle. The authors wish to thank the farm and research staff at Johnstown Castle, Grange and Moorepark research centres for assistance with and accommodation of field trials, and Dr Cormac Murphy (University College Dublin) for the provision of the E. coli isolate. Title: Evaluating E. coli transport risk in soil using dye and bromide tracers Abstract Dye and bromide tracers are established methods of assessing the presence, function and extent of hydrological pathways in soil. Prediction of E. coli transport pathways in soil, using brilliant blue (BB) dye and bromide tracers, was investigated using in-situ field trials on three grassland soil types, under different moisture regimes. Passive transport through preferential flow routes was the dominant mechanism of vertical E. coli transport in the soils studied. However, lateral movement of E. coli from macropores to the soil matrix was also observed. E. coli transport was mainly associated with visualised infiltration patterns but there was some evidence of differential transport of BB and E. coli. Maximum E. coli depth was found not to co-occur with BB and bromide tracers in 44 and 71% of samples, respectively. Soil type and season of application were important in the distribution and maximum depth of E. coli, and the relationship between the bacterium and its tracers. Moisture content was found to be important for the relationship between E. coli and BB, and the extent of this effect varied with soil type. There was a trend of increasing E. coli concentrations to a peak sample moisture concentration of 0.3 to 0.4 g g-1 dry soil followed by a decrease. Overall BB was found to have greater predictive value than Br. Correlation and co-occurrence analysis found that shortly after land application both BB and Br were good predictors of E. coli transport pathways and distribution under certain conditions, but underestimate risk to shallow groundwater. Abbreviations: BB, brilliant Blue; TSB, tryptone Soya Broth; PBS, phosphate buffered saline; JC, Johnstown Castle; G, Grange; M, Moorepark; CFU, colony forming units; MPN, most probable number; WRB, world reference base; OM, organic matter. Introduction The contamination of groundwater, including potable water supplies, with the causative agents of disease continues to be of worldwide concern (World Health Organisation, 2006). Even within developed countries, where water and wastewater treatment infrastructure has been improved considerably in recent years, outbreaks of waterborne diseases frequently occur (Karanis et al., 2007; O'Reilly et al., 2007; Strachan et al., 2001; Unc and Goss, 2006). Remediation of contaminated groundwater is extremely difficult, and enteropathogens can survive for significant periods posing a prolonged risk to consumers of contaminated drinking water supplies (John and Rose, 2005). While a variety of sources of contamination have been identified, international evidence suggests that the landspreading of animal slurries, manures and soiled waters are significant contributors (Chadwick et al., 2008; Fenlon et al., 2000; Gerba and Smith, 2005). A large array of enteric pathogenic bacteria, protozoa and viruses may be present in agricultural materials potentially resulting in diffuse pollution when released into the environment by landspreading (Duffy, 2003; Hutchison et al., 2004; Vernozy-Rozand et al., 2002). Soils are relied upon to mitigate the biological risk factors of landspreading by both retention and attenuation, and they are often perceived as a barrier for the protection of groundwater from landspread enteropathogens (Tim et al., 1988). However, observed leaching of microbial enteropathogens through soil (Brennan et al., 2010; Jackson et al., 1998; Powelson and Gerba, 1995) indicates that soils cannot always prevent enteropathogen transport to groundwater (Gagliardi and Karns, 2000; Unc and Goss, 2004). As such, an understanding of the factors affecting the transport of pathogens through the unsaturated zone of soil/subsoil (vadose zone) has become essential for the evaluation of the risk to groundwater posed by landspreading of biosolids and animal manures, on-site waste water treatment plants (Gill et al., 2007), and the development of mitigation strategies. Preferential flow routes are increasingly being viewed as ‘super highways’ for enteropathogen transport in the vadose zone (Abu-Ashour et al., 1994; Artz et al., 2005; Darnault et al., 2003; McLeod et al., 2008). Smith (1985) considered that the degree of macropore flow determined the extent of E. coli transport in soils. Preferential flow occurs when infiltrating water from the surface bypasses the soil matrix, through pathways in the soil profile, potentially causing rapid transport of nutrients, contaminants or pathogens to ground and surface water (Flury and Flühler, 1994). Preferential flow, which includes macropore flow, fingering and funnel flow, occurs via earthworm burrows, root channels, soil fissures and cracks, soil heterogeneity and wetting front instabilities (Bundt et al., 2001; Darnault et al., 2003). The occurrence of preferential flow is critically dependent on the conditions at the soil surface such as soil water content, macropore aeration, and surface micro-topography (all influenced by soil type and physical properties), rain intensity (Chu et al., 2003; Mawdsley et al., 1996; Paterson et al., 1993; Van Elsas et al., 1991), and the hydraulic properties of the pathways, as influenced by pore size distribution and conductivity (Messing and Jarvis, 1993). An understanding of preferential flow and the implications for pathogen movement are important for effective risk assessment (Natsch et al., 1996; Smith, 1985). E. coli has been widely characterized and it is often used as a model organism for the investigation of bacterial transport in environmental systems (Passmore et al., 2009; Powelson and Mills, 2001). The transport of landspread E. coli in soils is of importance, both with regard to its role as an indicator of faecal contamination in the environment, and due to the pathogenic nature of certain strains (Committee on Indicators for Waterborne Pathogens, 2004). While preferential flow routes have been shown to be highly important pathways for E. coli (or faecal coliform) movement through soils (Abu-Ashour et al., 1998; Geohring et al., 1998; Smith, 1985; Unc and Goss, 2003), the majority of studies reported thus far have concentrated on the quantification of the fast break through of bacteria, characteristic of preferential flow, at scales ranging from soil core (Artz et al., 2005; Darnault et al., 2004; Smith, 1985) to field (McCarthy and McKay, 2004; Unc and Goss, 2003). In-situ field trials where the pathways and mechanisms of bacterial transport within soil can be related to visualised infiltration patterns are rare (Natsch et al., 1996; Passmore et al., 2009). The use of dye for the visualisation of infiltration patterns in soil is an established method of indicating the presence and extent of preferential flow pathways (Kramers et al., 2009; Weiler and Fluhler, 2004). Vitasyn blue, otherwise known as Brilliant Blue (BB), is a dye commonly used for this purpose. Ideal dye tracers should have good visibility in soil, should be non toxic and should have transport properties similar to the substance of interest such as water, chemical or biological agents (Flury and Flühler, 1994). Brilliant Blue has low toxicity, is clearly visible in soils at concentrations of 1-4 g L-1, is soluble in water and is neutral or anionic, and thus not subject to strong adsorption by negatively charged soil components (Flury and Flühler, 1995). The distribution of BB in soils has been found to be strongly correlated with pathways of water and solute movement (Burkhardt et al., 2008). However, several studies have found that BB is retarded relative to the wetting front and anionic salts (e.g. Br-, I-) that move similarly to water (Flury and Flühler, 1995; Nobles et al., 2010; Perillo et al., 1998). The capacity of BB to predict the movement of colloidal particulates including bacteria (Burkhardt et al., 2008; Passmore et al., 2009) has been investigated but its predictive ability would be expected to vary with soil type and soil moisture content as these are known to affect the transport of microbial pathogens in soil (Chu et al., 2003; Mawdsley et al., 1996; Paterson et al., 1993; Van Elsas et al., 1991). Additionally, adsorption and transport of BB in soils has been reported to be effected by soil type, organic matter content and antecedent soil moisture content (German-Heins and Flury, 2000; Ketelsen and Meyer- Windel, 1999; Kramers et al., 2009). The objective of this study was to investigate the predictive value of BB and Br for characterising E. coli transport pathways in the vadose zone of different soil types, with low intensity artificial rainfall and different antecedent moisture regimes. Specifically, we were interested in finding out whether: (1) BB dye patterns are predictive of E. coli distribution and transport in a soil profile; (2) the predictive value of BB tracing for characterising E. coli transport in soil will vary by soil type (specifically the macropore structure of the soil type) and initial moisture content; (3) non-reactive bromide is a better predictor of E. coli distribution in soil than BB and (4) whether either tracer provides a conservative estimate of the risk of E. coli transport to shallow groundwater. Materials and methods Toxicity Testing Toxicity effects on bacteria may be strain specific and should therefore be tested on a case-by-case basis. A toxicity test was carried out in this experiment to establish whether there was an adverse effect of the BB/Brmixture (applied simultaneously with the E. coli in the application matrix) on the survival of the E. coli isolate (IND1, isolated from a human host in University College Dublin) used in the field trials. The E. coli was grown in Tryptone Soya broth (TSB) at 37°C for 15 h. 25 ml of the culture was added to 225 ml (1: 9 ratio) of sterile Phosphate Buffered Saline (PBS). 100 ml of this solution was added to an equal volume of treatment solution or the control, and E. coli numbers were enumerated at 1, 6, 24 and 48 h on MacConkey (Oxoid) agar using the spread plate technique. Two experimental treatments (T1: 45 g L-1 BB & 2 g L-1 KBr; T2: 60 g L-1 BB & 4 g L-1 KBr) were compared against a control (deionised water) with three replicates for each treatment. Preparation and enumeration of the application matrix TSB (500 ml) was inoculated with the E. coli isolate and the culture was incubated at 37°C for 15 h (stationary phase) in a shaking waterbath. Thereafter, 100 ml of the broth was transferred into each of two or three Erlenmeyer flasks containing 900 ml of sterile PBS (1: 9 ratio). For experiments carried out near the laboratory two flasks were prepared. These flasks, for spreading on each of two experimental plots, were enumerated immediately before spreading. For experiments further away from the laboratory three flasks were prepared and enumerated simultaneously before the departure of two flasks for the trial site. The remaining flask was enumerated again at the time of spreading, and the change in microbial loading in flask three between the initial enumeration and spreading was used to estimate microbial loadings for the two flasks applied at time of spreading. Enumeration of the microbial loading in matrices to be spread was carried out by plating 0.1 ml volumes of the matrix on MacConkey agar, after serial dilution with PBS, using the spread plate technique, and incubating for 24 h at 44°C before counting colonies. Directly before application, the 1 L volume of the E. coli matrix was added to an equal volume of a solution of 60 gL-1 of blue dye (BB FCF, FD& C Blue 1, C.I. Food 2, 42090) and 1.12 gL-1of KBr, resulting in a final applied concentration of 30 gL-1 of BB and 375 mgL-1 of Br. Field Trials Trials were conducted at three research farms in Ireland: Johnstown Castle (JC) (6°30’W, 52°17’N), Grange (G) (6°36’W, 53°3’N), and Moorepark (M) (8°15’W, 52°10’N). The sites had different soil types and drainage characteristics, which are summarised in Table 1, but trials were all flat and under permanent grass management for either beef or dairy production. Information on the soil physical properties at the sites such as structure, porosity and bulk density, can be found in Kramers et al. (2009). Trials were carried out under wet soil moisture conditions in the spring (March-April) and dry soil moisture conditions in late summer (August-September) to ascertain the effect of soil moisture conditions on transport prediction using BB. The grass was cut to a height of 6 to 7 cm before the even distribution of the application matrix over an experimental area of 1 m x 0.5 m with a watering can and sprayer attachment. Two hours after spreading, 28 mm of rainfall equivalent, equating to rainfall event with a 2 to 5 year return period in Ireland (Fitzgerald, 2007), was irrigated evenly over the plot areas for 7 h (4 mm h -1) with a with a drip irrigator rainfall simulator (Bowyer-Bower and Burt, 1989), while ensuring no ponding occurred. This was to simulate a rainfall event shortly after the landspreading of soiled water. The experiment was conducted simultaneously on 2 plots for each trial using identical irrigators. Two trials were conducted for each soil type and application season, resulting in 4 replicate plots (with the exception of the G spring application trials where n=2 due to flooding during the second trial). After 12 h post cessation of irrigation (21 h after application), the plots were manually excavated and vertical dyed profiles (average of 4.4 per plot), 10-20 cm apart, were prepared by shaving off the soil with a knife until the profile was vertical and the smearing was reduced to a minimum. The profiles were then photographed in a frame measuring 35 cm x 75 cm. All profiles were photographed and one profile for each plot was sampled. Soil samples, representative of different degrees of dye exposure, were randomly taken from 4 cm2 sections of the vertical soil profile within the frame and their location within the profile was recorded. Two samples were taken from each 4 cm2 section, with a sterile spatula. A small sub-sample for microbial and bromide analysis was taken initially in close proximity to the surface area which was photographed. Subsequently, a larger sample was taken within the same area for moisture content analysis. Control samples were also taken at intervals down the other sides of the pit to determine background levels of E. coli and Br in the soil. Samples were stored in sterile bags and transported as rapidly as possible in a cool box to the laboratory. All samples where were processed the day of sampling. Laboratory analysis About 1.5 g of soil (fresh weight) was transferred into sterile containers for E. coli analysis. Bacterial extraction was carried out by adding 100 ml of PBS to each sample and subsequently shaking on an end-over-end shaker for 30 min. Dilutions of the extraction mixtures were carried out with sterile distilled water and enumerated using Idexx Colisure™ most probable number methodology (MPN) (McFeters et al., 1997) by incubating at 35°C for 24-48 h. Colony forming units (CFU) per gram of soil were calculated by dividing the MPN counts by the sample dry weight. The remainder of the soil samples were used to determine moisture, Br and BB content. Moisture content analysis for pre and post experimental samples was conducted by drying samples for 48 h (or until constant weight was achieved) at 105°C, and was calculated as (sample fresh weight - sample dry weight)/ sample dry weight. For Br and BB analysis, 10 g soil samples were placed in 50 ml of deionised water and shaken in an end-over-end shaker for 1 h. Thereafter, they were allowed to settle for 2 h and filtered consecutively through a Whatman Ashless (Grade 41, 20 µm) and a filtropur S filter (0.45 µm). Control solutions with known concentrations of BB and Br were analysed before and after filtering to test for any adsorption effect of the filters. Br concentrations were measured using an ion chromatography system (Metrohm 790, Herisau, Switzerland) with a conductivity detector and an analytical column (ICSep AN2, transgenomic). Standard solutions were prepared from a certified Br stock standard and the detection limit of the method was 0.025 mg L-1. BB concentrations were determined by measuring the extracted samples at 630 nm (Flury and Flühler, 1995) with a UV-visible spectrophotometer (Varian Cary 50, Mulgrave, Australia) and comparing with standards of known concentration. Statistics Statistical analysis of toxicity data was conducted by comparing E. coli count numbers with a repeated measures spatial-type covariance model using Proc Mixed (SAS 9.1). We tested the hypothesis that there was no toxicity effect. Proc Glimmix (SAS 9.1) was used to slice the interaction into simple effects. Residual checks showed no evidence that the assumptions of the analysis were not met. Data obtained from the field trials was analysed using Proc mixed (SAS 9.1), with log-transformed E. coli, log BB, log Br, log (E. coli/BB) ratio, log (E. coli/Br) ratio and maximum depth as the responses of interest. Responses were log transformed to achieve constant variance. The structural factors in the experiment were soil type, application season and their interaction. The null hypothesis for each response was no effect of these factors. It was anticipated that soil depth and moisture content of the locations sampled could influence the responses and these measurements were therefore tested as covariates before finalising the analysis model. In order to avoid local, surface effects of the applications, where the entire profile was dyed, only samples at depths greater than 10 cm with detectable E. coli and BB were modelled. E. coli used in all models was normalised for the number of E. coli spread on individual plots, which differed slightly between trials. As the responses from different depths within a profile were correlated, a covariance structure was employed to model this but convergence problems made it difficult to fit structures other than compound symmetry. Soil type and application season were considered as block effects and therefore inference on these factors was of association rather than causation. Within each model multiple comparison post-hoc analyses, using the Tukey method, were performed on soil type and application season to indicate patterns of association. Correlations between E. coli, BB and Br was carried out using Proc Corr (SAS 9.1), while regression analysis using Proc mixed was used to explore the relationship between BB and Br. Results Toxicity testing There was no significant (α=0.05) treatment effect of BB /Br on E. coli numbers and therefore no toxicity effect (Figure 1). There was a significant time by treatment interaction (p=0.004), with a significant difference between control and T2 at 48 hr (p=0.0001). Field trial data The average E. coli applied on the field plots was 1.2 x 108 CFU ml-1 (s.d. 2.04 x 108 CFU ml-1). E. coli transport by preferential flow was observed in all three soil types in both the spring and late summer trials. To illustrate this, an example of a dyed soil profile with superimposed E. coli sample counts is depicted in Figure 2. While samples containing E. coli were generally associated with dyed flow pathways, positive E. coli samples were also found in non-dyed sections of profiles within close proximity of dyed areas, suggesting lateral transport of E. coli into the soil matrix. A total of 266 samples were found to be positive for E. coli or BB. Of these positives 200 had both present, 23 had only BB and 43 had only E. coli (Table 2). On average 75% of samples had co-occurrence of E. coli and BB, and this varied between soil type and application timing (53 to 89%). The lowest cooccurrences were observed in the G soil. The presence of BB in the absence of E. coli was observed only in summer applications. A total of 258 samples were found to contain either E. coli or Br. Of these 145 had both present, 15 had only Br and 98 had only E. coli. Overall Br and E. coli co-occurred in 65% of samples, ranging between 40 and 71% within soil type and season. 29 to 60% of samples were positive for E. coli in the absence of Br. 224 samples were found to contain either BB or Br. Of these 159 were positive for both, 1 had only Br and 98 had only BB. 18 to 35% of samples within a soil type and season were found to be positive for Br in the absence of BB. Across the 3 sites 44% and 71%, respectively, of samples indicating a maximum E. coli depth had no co-occurrence of BB or Br. Field trial analysis Experiment Factors (block effects) The F statistics of soil type and application season were used as indicators of block effects. While p values for block factors cannot be interpreted in the same way as randomised treatments, multiple comparison procedures were used as a general indicator of which differences between means were of importance. In the analysis of log transformed E. coli the F statistics of soil and application season (3.54 and 7.59, respectively) indicate strong effects. In this case, differences in E. coli between G and M soils (p=0.0417) and between spring and summer applications (p=0.0416) were evident. In the analysis of log transformed BB the F statistic of the soil by application season interaction term shows a substantial block effect (F=4.61). Posthoc multiple comparison analyses of the blocking factors found no large differences. In the analysis of log transformed (E. coli/BB) ratio the F statistic of the soil by application season interaction term (F=6.83) shows a block effect. Multiple comparison analyses found that within the JC soil there was an association of the ratio with application season (p=0.0003). Within the same application season, there was an indication of differences in spring between G and JC (p=0.0045) and between G and M (p= 0.0022) soils, while in summer significant differences were indicated between G and M (p=0.0003) and between JC and M (p=0.0011) soils. In the analysis of log Br the F statistic (F=5.27) indicated a soil type effect, while posthoc multiple comparison analyses indicated differences between JC and M soils (p=0.189). In the analysis of log transformed (E. coli/Br) ratio the F statistics of the soil by application season interaction term was 4.57, indicating strong effects. Multiple comparison analyses found that within the JC soil there was an association of the ratio with application season (p=0.0077). Within the spring application season there was an indication of differences between G and JC (p=0.0161) and between G and M (p= 0.0451) soils, while in summer significant p values indicated differences between G and M (p<0.0001), JC and G (p=0.0030), and JC and M (p=0.0269) soils. In the analysis of maximum depth reached by E. coli within each profile sampled, the F statistic was large (F=5.27) for the soil x application season interaction term. Multiple comparison analyses found that within the J and M soils there was an association with application season (p=0.0049 and p=0.0115 respectively). Within the same application season, there was an indication of differences in spring between G and JC (p=0.0050) and between JC and M (p=0.0013) soils, while in summer significant p values indicated differences between G and M (p=0.0198) and JC and M (p=0.0076) soils. Statistical evaluation of covariate relationships Covariates found to be important in each response analysis and their relationship form are shown in Table 3. Due to danger of spurious covariate relationships being detected in a small data set, all significant fits were verified graphically insofar as possible and interpreted as a confirmation or refutation of scientific understanding of the relationships involved. Predictions are presented as exploratory analysis with the focus on the general form of the relationship rather than the detail of the fitted values. Relationship forms outlined in Table 3 have been depicted in Figure 3 to 7 following back transformation. A statistical prediction of the relationship between E. coli concentrations and moisture content is shown in Figure 3. In all soil types, at both application seasons, there was a trend of increasing E. coli concentrations to a peak moisture concentration of 0.3-0.4g g-1 dry soil and thereafter a decrease. The extent of this trend was more pronounced in summer than spring. This trend is greatest in the G soil and smallest in the M soil. The statistical relationship between moisture content and the E. coli/BB ratio is shown in Figure 4. In summer, an increase in the ratio is observable until a peak moisture content of between 0.2-0.3 g g-1 dry soil, followed by a decrease thereafter, in both JC and G soils. A similar pattern is observed in G spring, albeit to a lesser degree. A very slight relationship only was observable between the ratio and moisture content in spring in the JC soil, and in both spring and summer in the M soil. As the moisture content depended on application season, a comparison of the fit of the full model with the model without application season found that application season contributed extra information compared to what could be attributed to moisture alone. The statistical relationship between moisture content and the BB/Br ratio is shown in Figure 5. In the G soil there is a decrease in the BB/Br ratio with increasing moisture content at both application timings (to a lesser extent in spring) to a moisture content of 0.4 g g-1. This is a linear relationship when plotted on a semi log scale. The other soil types show a very slight similar relationship, which is greatest in J at the spring application. A statistical prediction of the relationship between BB and soil depth is depicted in Figure 6. There is an overall decrease in BB concentration with depth to a depth of 60-70 cm. For both M and G soils the BB concentration is lower in spring than in summer, while the opposite is evident in the JC soil. A statistical prediction of the relationship between depth and the BB/Br ratio is shown in Figure 7. At both application timings there is a decrease (linear on a semi-log scale) in the BB/Br ratio with depth in the G soil. The other soil types show a similar relationship (that is most pronounced in J following the spring application) but to a much lesser degree. E. coli, Br and BB correlations Overall correlation analysis on non-zero samples (excluding near surface results) found significant correlation coefficients between Br and BB, E. coli and Br, and E. coli and BB, of 0.91, 0.59 and 0.56, respectively. When broken down by soil type and application season combinations Br and BB had significant correlations ranging between 0.84 and 0.98, E. coli and Br had correlations ranging between 0.63 and 0.92, and E. coli and BB had correlations ranging from 0.65 to 0.81. This analysis provides evidence that in a particular set of conditions there is a useful relationship between E. coli and BB or E. coli and Br but the relationship between BB and Br is consistent across the range of conditions examined here. A regression analysis found that the relationship between BB and Br was not dependent on soil type or application season. There was no variation in slope with soil or application season, and no curvature in the relationship was detected. Discussion Toxicity of the BB/Br- application matrix to E. coli was found to be low and unlikely to have had any effect on the field results. The concentrations of BB and Br tested in the laboratory were much higher than those applied in the field trials and thus gave a conservative estimation of any toxicity effects. While toxicity effects may be experienced by contact for about 48 h with BB/Br at high concentrations, the concentrations used in the field trials were lower and the contact time of the E. coli with the concentrated matrix was limited to the two hour period prior to rainfall simulation. Therefore any effect could be ignored. We evaluated the idea that BB dye patterns are predictive of E. coli distribution and transport in the vadose zone. Preferential flow was found to be important in the transport of E. coli through the 3 grassland soils studied, with E. coli transport being strongly associated with patterns of active preferential flow revealed by BB tracer. International evidence indicates that preferential flow is the rule, rather than the exception, in most structured soils (Flury et al., 1994; Morales et al., 2010; Smith, 1985). This is due to the fact that only pores that are several times larger than the dimensions of a particulate such as a micro-organism allow transport over significant distances (Unc and Goss, 2004). E. coli concentrations were, for the most part, higher in the dyed parts of the soil profiles than in the rest. However, similar to the findings of Natsch et al. (1996) with Pseudomonas fluorescens, high concentrations of E. coli were found in non-stained areas of the soil profile close to macropores. These concentrations reduced with increasing distance from the dyed flow channels, which is suggestive of active motility of E. coli or the complete retardation of the BB signal. Active transport of bacteria may be important for movement in suspension over short distances during, or soon after, infiltration (Ritchie et al., 2003; Unc and Goss, 2004), although some findings suggest there is no relationship between the presence of flagella and the degree of bacterial movement (Gannon et al., 1991). Migration of E. coli from the macropores into protected sites in the soil matrix may prevent their further vertical transport (Natsch et al., 1996) and this could be a factor in the prolonged survival of E. coli in soil (Brennan et al., 2010). The co-occurrence of E. coli with BB (Table 2) in the majority of samples suggests that BB is predictive of the distribution patterns of E. coli within a soil profile. The (non-zero) correlation analysis also suggests that under specific conditions BB can be a good predictor of E. coli distribution. Passmore et al. (2009) also found that the concentration of colloids in soil was generally proportional to the intensity of BB staining. This is in line with the general consensus that bacterial transport in soils is mostly passive, being determined by mass water flow (Artz et al., 2005; Ritchie et al., 2003; Unc and Goss, 2004). However, the non co-occurrence (Table 2.) of E. coli in a considerable portion of samples combined with low correlation coefficients under certain conditions suggests that the transport properties of E. coli and BB do not mirror each other all of the time and the factors influencing retention and movement in soil may impact differently on each. These may include differential effects of pore clogging, filtration, sedimentation, dispersion, advection, adhesion, adsorption, hydrophobic and other electrochemical interactions, and active transport of E. coli over short distances by chemotaxis (Abu-Ashour et al., 1994; Unc and Goss, 2004). The finding of non co-occurrence of E. coli and BB is in contrast to that reported by Burkardt et al. (2008) who found that fluorescent microspheres were rarely found in the absence of BB. However, factors affecting transport may impact differently on microspheres than on a bacterial cell. The exploratory statistical analysis (Table 3, Figures 3-7) reported also suggest that BB and E. coli may behave differently, with moisture content found to be significant in the E. coli analysis response (and those containing E. coli; Figure 3-5) but not in that of the BB (Table 3). The reverse is suggested with regard to the significance of the soil depth (Figure 6, Table 3) at which the sample was taken. While the moisture content was found to be important with regard to E. coli concentrations present in samples, the precise mechanisms involved may be complex. An effect of survival on E. coli numbers may be observed at lower moisture concentrations. At higher moisture contents the continuous water films and low matric potentials, required for bacterial movement, may be present in addition to surface and solute chemistry effect enabling cells to overcome the constraining forces of colloidal adsorption and facilitate active or passive transport. This may result in lower E. coli concentrations in wetter samples. In contrast to the findings of Natsch et al. (1996), when using a similar approach to trace Pseudomonas fluorescens (CHA0-Rif), we found that average E. coli concentrations decreased with increasing depth ranges, suggesting that there was some retention or lateral redistribution of the bacteria into the soil matrix during transport. While an association with depth was not found to be significant in the final E. coli analysis response within this study, it should be noted that soil depth and moisture content are strongly related in this data set. The effect of retention would be expected to vary with soil structure and texture (including clay content), which differs between soil types and soil horizons. We also investigated whether the predictive value of BB tracing for characterising E. coli transport in soil varied with soil type (specifically the macroporocity of the soil) and initial moisture content. The data reported here supports this assertion. Strong associations were indicated with soil type and application timing (and their interaction), indicating that these blocking factors were important in the distribution of E. coli, with the F statistic indicating an association in each of the models. Application season as a factor was found to contribute more to the model than could be accounted for by soil moisture content alone and further work is required to explain this in terms of other factors such as temperature, humidity, solar radiation etc., which contribute to the application season effect. Additionally, differences were observed between soils and application timings in co-occurrence (Table 3) and correlation analysis. Differences were also observed between soil type and season in the predicted relationships depicted in Figures 3 to 7. Soil type affects the nature and extent of preferential flow (Aislabie et al., 2001; Flury et al., 1994; Jarvis, 2007; McLeod et al., 2008; Natsch et al., 1996). Macropore flow has been shown to be greatest in soils which are well structured (Aislabie et al., 2011; Flury et al., 1994; Jarvis, 2007; McLeod et al., 2008; Natsch et al., 1996) and this is the case in the lower regions of both JC and G soils. Previous work (Kramers et al., 2009) on these soil types reported, based on analysis of the dye coverage, finger numbers and finger types, that JC and G soils demonstrated a stronger tendency towards preferential flow through macropores than that of M, with a higher risk of active paths occurring at 0.7 m depth in the JC soil relative to the other soil types. Generally wetter initial soil conditions would be expected to generate more macropore flow but the effects of initial water content are complex, due to the confounding effects of clay soil shrinkage and water repellency if present (Unc and Goss, 2003). Previous work on these soil types reported that in summer, under the drier initial soil conditions, there was an increased interaction between macropores and the matrix in G and M soils than was observed under wetter initial conditions (Kramers et al., 2009). This increase in lateral redistribution may decrease the relative proportion of water flowing to greater depths, resulting in higher numbers of bacterial cells being translocated into the smaller pores in the soil matrix, where their vertical transport becomes limited. The idea that non-reactive tracer bromide, which is believed to move similarly to water (Natsch et al., 1996), is a better predictor of E. coli distribution in soil than BB was not supported by the data. BB has been found to be retarded relative to both E. coli and Br (Passmore et al., 2009; Perillo et al., 1998) and Br has been reported to move similarly to Pseudomonas fluorescens (Natsch et al., 1996). Br is considered to be a conservative tracer which does not interact with the soil matrix, while BB is a reactive tracer with a non linear sorption isotherm (Nobles et al., 2010). Over all samples, non zero correlation coefficients with E. coli were found to be similar for Br and BB, although the highest achieved coefficients when broken down by soil type and season were greater for Br than BB. The best correlation was observed to be between Br and BB. This may partially be due to the fact that neither tracer is affected by moisture content to the same degree as E. coli (Table , figures 35). The co-occurrence analysis, which includes zero values, found that cooccurrence with E. coli was greater with BB than with Br. E. coli was also found twice as often without Br than BB, and the percentage of samples at the maximum transported depth of E. coli without Br was found to be greater that for BB. BB was rarely observed in the absence of Br but Br was found without BB in 25-36% of samples. This may indicate retardation of BB relative to the wetting front and advection and dispersion of Br. Based on the data from the field trials reported here we rejected the prediction that Br was a better tracer of E. coli distribution in soil than BB. The predictive value of these relationships however is likely to be organism specific and thus may not pertain to all landspread bacteria, or even all E. coli strains. In addition to investigating the overall predictive value of BB and Br in tracing E. coli distribution in soil, we were specifically interested in whether the tracers were good predictors of the maximum depths to which E. coli could travel. This is a critical factor in the assessment of whether the tracers provide a conservative estimate of the risk of E. coli transport, from activities such as landspreading, to underlying shallow groundwater or field drains that impact on surface water. The absence of BB in 44% of samples at the maximum transported depth of E. coli suggests that BB may not always indicate the extent of the risk of E. coli movement to greater depths. Others have also reported that bacteria were transported deeper than visible dye (Natsch et al., 1996; Passmore et al., 2009). This may be due to BB retention combined with anion exclusion, which may enhance transport of microbes relative to water (Flury et al., 1994; Powelson and Gerba, 1995). This is contrary to the findings of (Nielsen et al., 2011), however, who observed undiluted concentrations of BB and Br tracers in drainage water and a reduction in microspheres by a factor of 150. Br was found to be a poorer indicator of the presence of E. coli than BB at lower depths, with an absence of Br in 71% of samples at the maximum transported depth of E. coli. Studies using dye staining or bromide tracing in soils to identify the depths of infiltration by preferential flow should therefore use caution when extrapolating the distribution results to indicate risks of pathogen movement in soil as the both tracers may represent an underestimate of E. coli transport in subsoil. In conclusion, in this study we observed that passive transport through preferential flow routes was the dominant mechanism of vertical E. coli transport in the grassland soils studied. E. coli transport was mainly associated with visualised infiltration patterns, although there was some evidence of differential transport of BB and E. coli. Correlation and cooccurrence analysis found that both BB and Br could be good predictors of E. coli distribution under certain conditions, but the usefulness of the relationship was affected by a number of factors. Soil type and application season were important in the distribution of E. coli (including its maximum depth) and the predictive relationship between the bacterium and its tracers. Moisture content was found to be an important covariate for interpretation of the E. coli results and therefore the relationship between E. coli and BB, and the extent of effect varied with soil type. 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Percentage co-occurrence and non co-occurrence of E. coli, BB and Br in positive samples for soil type and application season Table 3. Covariates found to be important in each response analysis and their relationship form (E: E. coli count, C: constant that is the general additive effect of soil and application season, MC: moisture content, β1 and β2: coefficients of linear and quadratic terms respectively, D: BB concentration, d: depth, and RED: E. coli/BB ratio, REB: E. coli/Br ratio). Figure 1. Average E. coli survival in toxicity test with BB and bromide (T1: 45 gL-1 BB & 2 gL-1 KBr; T2: 60 gL-1 BB & 4 gL-1 KBr). Bars represent standard error. Figure 2. An example of a dyed soil profile with superimposed E. coli sample counts (CFU’s/g dry soil). Figure 3. Predicted E. coli concentrations per gram of soil (dry weight) with varying moisture content at the two application seasons: summer (Sum) and spring (Spr). Figure 4. Predicted E. coli/BB ratio with varying moisture content the 3 studied soils at the two application seasons: summer (Sum) and spring (Spr). The predicted curve of JC spring mirrors exactly that of M spring and so is not observable. Figure 5. Predicted BB/Br ratio with varying moisture content the 3 studied soils at the two application seasons: summer (Sum) and spring (Spr). Figure 6. Predicted BB concentrations per gram of soil (dry weight) with varying soil depth the 3 studied soils at the two application seasons: summer (Sum) and spring (Spr). Figure 7. Predicted BB/Br ratios with varying soil depth the 3 studied soils at the two application seasons: summer (Sum) and spring (Spr). Table 1. Site Soil Type (WRB) Parent Material Johnstown (JC) Luvic Gleysol Glacial deposits Grange (G) Haplic Luvisol Glacial deposits Moorepark (M) Haplic Cambisol Sandstone Depth (cm) 0-10 10-35 35-75 75100 0-15 15-45 45100 0-15 15-55 55100 Sand % 67 55 42 42 Silt % 21 27 31 31 Clay % 13 18 27 27 OM % 6.3 2.7 2.2 2.2 Depth (cm) 0-35 35-75 Initial Soil Moisture % Spr Sum 29 19 34 31 37 32 28 39 42 40 24 26 32 7.4 3.5 2.1 0-15 15-45 32 35 22 26 53 55 56 31 37 37 16 8 7 8.5 3.7 2 0-15 15-55 33 26 15 14 Table 2. % occurrence G Spr G Sum G Total JC Spr JC Sum JC Total M Spr M Sum M Total Overall Total BB and E. coli present 60.0 53.5 56.2 84.6 79.5 82.3 88.9 74.4 82.5 75.2 BB present, no E. coli 0.0 39.5 23.3 0.0 2.3 1.0 0.0 11.6 5.2 8.6 E. coli present, no BB 40.0 7.0 20.5 15.4 18.2 16.7 11.1 14.0 12.4 16.2 Br and E. coli present 40.0 40.0 40.0 71.2 53.5 63.2 57.4 66.7 61.3 56.2 Br present, no E. coli 0.0 35.0 20.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.6 1.1 5.8 E. coli present, no Br 60.0 25.0 40.0 28.8 46.5 36.8 42.6 30.8 37.6 38.0 BB and Br present 66.7 75.0 72.4 80.0 63.9 72.8 64.6 73.0 68.2 71.0 BB present, no Br 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.2 0.0 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 Br present, no BB 33.3 25.0 27.6 17.8 36.1 25.9 35.4 27.0 31.8 28.6 Table 3. Analysis variable log E. coli log BB log (E. coli/ BB) ratio log Br log (E. coli/ Br) ratio Maximum depth Significant Covariates tested moisture content moisture content squared depth below soil surface depth squared moisture content moisture content squared None moisture content P values 0.0005 0.0001 0.0041 0.0315 0.0315 0.0015 n/a 0.0003 Depth below soil surface None 0.0216 n/a Relationship form E e C 1MC 2 MC 2 D e C 1d 2d 2 RED eC 1MC2MC REB e C 1MC 2d 2 Figure 1 E. coli CFU's/ml 1e+9 1e+8 1e+7 0 10 T1 T2 Control 20 30 Time (hrs) 40 50 Figure 2 Figure 3 Figure 4 Figure 5 Figure 6 Figure 7