Attachment Financial Condition (E) Committee 12/12/06 Drafted: 12/7/06 Hybrid RBC (E) Working Group Conference Call October 26, 2006 The Hybrid RBC Working Group of the Financial Condition (E) Committee met in New York, New York and via conference call Oct. 26, 2006. A quorum was present, and Lou Felice (NY) chaired the meeting. The following Working Group members were present: Richard Ford (AL); Tomoko Stock (CA); Philip Barlow (DC); Paul Kropp (NH); Kaushik Patel (PA); Betty Patterson (TX); Van Tompkins (VA); and Roger Peterson (WI). Also in attendance were: Mike Moriarity and Matti Peltonen (NY). 1. American Academy of Actuaries (AAA) Work Plan Mr. Felice said the Hybrid RBC (E) Working Group would be working with a lot of other groups in the NAIC. The Working Group would need to work with the Valuation of Securities (E) Task Force, the Blanks (E) Working Group and the Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force to bring everything together. The Working Group was also dealing with the inherit risks of contract provisions and the probability of the risk. Mr. Felice asked the AAA to provide a broad overview as to the status in the deliberations in a developing a work plan and the elements that would go into the plan. David Berger (Ameriprise Financial) said the work plan was still going through the AAA review process. The work group had gone through the issues including the risks involved. For RBC, the work group was concerned with the investments from the investor perspective. The work group discussed whether convertibles were in or out of the scope. Surplus notes and the impact on Total Adjusted Capital were also discussed. Doug Barnert (Barnert Associates) indicated he would like to get some background and some understanding of how the process would work. Mr. Berger said first, the work group was defining hybrids. Second, the group would identify the risks associated with hybrids. Third, the group would look into differences in SVO ratings versus the rating agencies ratings. Fourth, the group would look at the features of the securities as compared to pure equity. The work group would then consider input from interested parties and consider different methodologies. Both factor-based and principles-based approaches would be considered. Propose recommended methodology. Mr. Felice asked about the construction of the group. Nancy Bennett (Ameriprise Financial) said the work group was comprised of members AAA. The group consisted mainly of life actuaries with one property and casualty actuary. The work group was currently trying to recruit a health actuary. Most of the members were company actuaries. One actuary had previously worked for Standard and Poor’s. There were six or seven members currently. Four meetings had been held so far. The group was meeting every Wednesday. Mr. Barnert asked what provisions were being made for inclusion of small or medium-sized companies. Mr. Felice said the Working Group would want as wide a participation as possible. Ms. Bennett said the AAA work group did include a person from a small company. Any actuary could listen to the calls. Ms. Bennett said it would be at the discretion chair if interested parties were included. Mr. Barnert felt that would be a shift in the normal process. Mr. Felice said the Hybrid RBC Working Group was open to all input. Chris Anderson (Merrill Lynch) agreed it was a departure. Ms. Patterson asked when the AAA meetings would be opened to participations. Ms. Bennett said the intent was to open up once the work plan was completed. Ms. Bennett said it was never part of AAA bylaws to require interested parties. There was no change to AAA processes regarding interested parties. The work group wanted time to formulate an un-biased view of the issue. Ms. Bennett said the AAA had no vested interest in the decisions. The AAA meetings will open up in the next several weeks. Mr. Barnert said he did not intend to imply that the bylaws had been changed. Mr. Barnert said the NAIC intention part of AAA process won't be smaller companies. NALC and ACLI invited in for areas not relegated to actuaries only. Mr. Felice said it still continues to be Working Group that controls the process and makes the ultimate decisions. The Working Group charged the AAA to come up with work plan. The Working Group and interested parties will be providing input on the work plan. Mr. Felice said the Working Group would hold a conference call once the work plan was received. Mr. Barnert requested at least a week would be needed to review work plan. Mr. Felice agreed that both regulators and interested parties would need time to consider the work plan. © 2006 National Association of Insurance Commissioners 1 Attachment Financial Condition (E) Committee 12/12/06 2. Discussion of Hybrid Risks Mr. Felice said previously a New York memo on risks and a response from ACLI had been distributed. The Working Group would be looking at the risks and whether any of risks are reviewed by rating agencies. Mr. Felice wanted to hear any comments on the risks in the New York memo. Mr. Anderson said the risks of hybrids were similar to risks that were well known and established in other types of assets. One most significant risk is subordination. Preferred stock recovers poorly when in default. It is likely a claim would result in no return. In addition, payments are deferrable for hybrids. Payment deferral was already accounted for in rating agency ratings. Mr. Anderson said securities can have imbedded call options. The call option can lead to extension risk. Call options had been around for many years. Those options were not explicitly factored into ratings for any type of security. Mr. Anderson said work needs to be done on extension risk. But, that may not result in any significant differential in RBC charge. Mr. Felice said the extent risks are reflected in rating agencies ratings would be a factor. Mr. Peltonen said extension call risk not typically included in RBC. Mr. Peltonen said pricing volatility of hybrids was less than for common stock and more than for fixed income. Mr. Anderson said a lot of other securities have that risk as well. Hybrids should not be singled out. Ms. Bennett said extension risk for CMO's was considered for C-3 Phase I. An additional piece of C-3 Phase I mortgage backed securities. To some extent, the RBC currently does take that into account. Actuaries currently model asset and liability matching. Those models would reflect call options. But, it was not known to what extent the call options would have an effect. Ms. Bennett felt some items were already factored into RBC. Mr. Anderson agreed but wanted to make sure the risks were explicitly considered. Mr. Wake said one risk that would make a security as equity-like would be mandatory conversion. The subordination risk for many securities was qualitatively different from regular subordination. Often, the loss of principle could occur before reach default. Mr. Wake said debt-holder protection rights would be another risk related to the ability to block payments to junior security holders. Mr. Felice said mandatorily convertible already receive equity treatment. Regular convertible securities currently receive bond treatment. Mr. Felice felt that would be outside of the current scope. Ms. Bennett asked whether anything unique from a tax perspective applied to the securities. Mr. Anderson felt there were not any special tax issues for hybrids. Mr. Moriarity agreed. Mr. Felice said the Working Group may need to add another category for hybrids. Mr. Wake said with current difference between debt and equity may need a more intermediate measure. Mr. Anderson said for common stock, the risk reviewed was price volatility such as the common stock beta. For fixed income securities, the likelihood of a payment schedule being realized is reviewed. Mr. Anderson said if it is felt the payment schedule very uncertain a security may be rated a six similar to common equity rather than creating a new category. Mr. Anderson said if the NAIC needs more gradation in the ratings, then that should be done. Mr. Felice felt some securities do have equity-like characteristics. Currently, there is only a common stock category. The Working Group is looking at whether another category is needed. Mr. Barnert said AAA work plan should provide some clarity at what equity-like characteristics are. Mr. Wake said hybrids had existed in some form previously. Preferred stock was equity with a lot of debt-like characteristics. Securities can be designed to behave many different ways and have been. Diane Marchesi (Transamerica) asked whether the AAA was also looking at preferred stock. Mr. Felice said that was the case the extent that identifying risks associated with them. Ms. Marchesi asked whether surplus notes would also be included. Mr. Felice said they would be discussed. Whether surplus notes are reviewed separately would be something to discuss. Mr. Barnert asked whether convertible debt should also be included. Mr. Barnert did not feel convertibles should be separated out. The conversion may be far out in the future. There may be a lot of different terms used. Ms. Bennett said from an actuarial perspective look at RBC as a way to capture risk through default and price volatility. The AAA was thinking about all of the risks and impact on capital. The AAA will give recommendation on RBC charge and how treated. Ms. Bennett said the AAA was not really considering classification. But, there may be some practical implementation issues. Mr. Felice said classification was not determined by Capital Adequacy. Capital was assigned according to current classifications. Mr. Anderson said it was most important to get risk assessed correctly and less important where the securities show up. Mr. Barnert said the process would need to take into account where to classify the securities. Mr. Barnert said classifications were important regarding investment limitations. Mr. Anderson agreed it was important to capture all of the © 2006 National Association of Insurance Commissioners 2 Attachment Financial Condition (E) Committee 12/12/06 risk factors. Develop factors that reflect the risk. It is less important how classified. Mr. Barnert said investment limitations are important though. Ms. Stock asked how the review process would work. Ms. Bennett said the AAA would be looking at different types of hybrids and would see how to break out. Need to start out at a fairly granular level. If the AAA was not able to delineate risks for the securities, then a principles-based approach might be called for. Mr. Wake said at one end of the spectrum was pure debt and pure equity at the other end. In between are quite a few other options. The question was whether the rating agencies correctly capture the risk for those in between. Ms. Bennett asked for surplus notes need to look at any change to Total Adjusted Capital. Rating agencies do not give full credit for surplus notes. For rating agency purposes, surplus notes have a cap put on them. Ms. Marchesi said rating agencies also cap hybrid securities. The rating agencies limited hybrids to 15% of capital. Mr. Felice said the only hybrids issued by insurance companies were surplus notes. At some point, it may be needed to consider the issuer perspective. Mr. Felice felt that should probably be addressed separately from this discussion. Mr. Moriarity said if surplus notes were changed from the issuer perspective state laws would need to be changed. Mr. Barnert said a similar argument could be made for convertible debt. Ms. Bennett said it was now her understanding that surplus notes would only be reviewed from an investor perspective. 3. Implementation of the Short-Term Proposal Mr. Felice said an ACLI letter on implementation of the short-term proposal. Once the proposal becomes effective, cannot go back and submit securities for removal of a notch. Mr. Felice felt the intention to set a fixed amount of capital for hybrids at that time. The Financial Condition (E) Committee call will be held Nov. 1, 2006. The Working Group could choose to do nothing. One option to would be to set and effective date of Dec. 31, 2006. Another option would be to remove effective date language. Finally, the effective date could be changed to Sept. 12, 2006 when Financial Condition (E) Committee adopted the proposal. Ms. Stock asked what the implication of the third option. Ms. Stock asked whether that option open up to having a lot of new issues being filed. Mr. Felice said any issue can be submitted until adopted in December. Ms. Marchesi asked whether insurance companies able to submit any securities previously classified as common stock issued prior to Aug. 18, 2005 for reconsideration. Ms. Marchesi said some securities classified as common stock where submitting for an appeal. Mr. Felice said the normal SVO appeal procedures would apply. Ms. Marchesi said wanted to retain the right remove notch for those securities. Mr. Felice said that should be the case there was nothing currently that limited the right to appeal. Mr. Barlow clarified the Working Group could make a motion to provide additional guidance to Financial Condition (E) Committee or just take no action. Mr. Felice agreed. Having no further business, the Hybrid RBC Working Group of the Financial Condition (E) Committee adjourned. W:\Sep06\Cmte\E\wg\Hybrid RBC\08 31 Call\AttB Minutes 8_31_06.doc © 2006 National Association of Insurance Commissioners 3