Solutions: 1. a. H0: 600 Manager’s claim. Ha: > 600 3. 7. b. We are not able to conclude that the manager’s claim is wrong. c. The manager’s claim can be rejected. We can conclude that > 600. a. H0: = 32 Specified filling weight Ha: 32 Overfilling or underfilling exists b. There is no evidence that the production line is not operating properly. Allow the production process to continue. c. Conclude 32 and that overfilling or underfilling exists. Shut down and adjust the production line. a. H0: 8000 Ha: > 8000 9. Research hypothesis to see if the plan increases average sales. b. Claiming > 8000 when the plan does not increase sales. A mistake could be implementing the plan when it does not help. c. Concluding 8000 when the plan really would increase sales. This could lead to not implementing a plan that would increase sales. a. z b. x 0 / n 19.4 20 2 / 50 2.12 Area = .4830 p-value = .5000 - .4830 = .0170 c. p-value .05, reject H0 d. Reject H0 if z -1.645 -2.12 -1.645, reject H0 9-1 Chapter 9 Reject H0 if z 1.645 13. a. z x 0 / n 52.5 50 8 / 60 2.42 2.42 1.645, reject H0 b. z x 0 / n 51 50 8 / 60 .97 .97 < 1.645, do not reject H0 c. z x 0 / n 51.8 50 8 / 60 1.74 1.74 1.645, reject H0 17. a. H0: 44.75 Ha: 44.75 b. z x 0 43.95 44.75 1.54 / n 5.48 / 111 p-value = 2(.5000 - .4382) = .1236 c. p-value > .05, do not reject H0. We cannot conclude that the mean length of a work week has changed. d. Reject H0 if z -1.96 or z 1.96 z = -1.54; cannot reject H0 19. H0: 45064 Ha: > 45064 z x 0 / n 46196 45064 4562.96 / 75 2.15 Area = .4842 p-value = .5000 - .4842 = .0158 p-value .05, reject H0. Conclude that there has been an increase in the mean monthly earnings of service industry workers. 9-2 Hypothesis Testing 21. a. H0: 15 Ha: > 15 b. z x / n 17 15 4 / 35 2.96 c. p-value = .5000 - .4985 = .0015 d. p-value .01; reject H0; the premium rate should be charged. 23. a. b. t x 0 s/ n 14 12 4.32 / 25 2.31 Degrees of freedom = n – 1 = 24 Using t table, p-value is between .01 and .025. Actual p-value = .0147 c. p-value .05, reject H0. c. With df = 24, t.05 = 1.711 Reject H0 if t 1.711 2.31 > 1.711, reject H0. 25. a. t x 0 s/ n 44 45 5.2 / 36 1.15 Degrees of freedom = n – 1 = 35 Using t table, p-value is between .10 and .20 Actual p-value = .1282 p-value > .01, do not reject H0 b. t x 0 s/ n 43 45 4.6 / 36 2.61 Using t table, p-value is between .005 and .01 Actual p-value = .0066 p-value .01, reject H0 9-3 Chapter 9 c. t x 0 s/ n 46 45 5 / 36 1.20 Using t table, area in upper tail is between .10 and .20 p-value (lower tail) is between .80 and .90 Actual p-value = .8809 p-value > .01, do not reject H0 29. a. H0: = 5600 Ha: 5600 b. t x 0 s/ n 5835 5600 520 / 25 2.26 Degrees of freedom = n – 1 = 24 Using t table, area in tail is between .01 and .025 Actual p-value = .0332 c. p-value .05; reject H0. The mean diamond price in New York City differs. d. df = 24 t.025 = 2.064 Reject H0 if t < -2.064 or t > 2.064 2.26 > 2.064; reject H0 31. H0: 4946 Ha: > 4946 t x 0 s/ n 5310 4946 1249 / 64 2.33 Degrees of freedom = n - 1 = 63 Using t table, p-value is between .01 and .025 Actual p-value = .0114 Reject H0; High income households are paying a higher mean water bill. 9-4 Hypothesis Testing 33. a. H0: 280 Ha: > 280 b. 286.9 - 280 = 6.9 yards c. t x 0 s/ n 286.9 280 10 / 9 2.07 Degrees of freedom = n – 1 = 8 Using t table, p-value is between .025 and .05 Actual p-value = .0361 c. 35. a. b. p-value .05; reject H0. The population mean distance for the new driver is greater than the USGA approved driver. z p p0 p0 (1 p0 ) n .175 .20 .20(1 .20) 400 1.25 Area in tail = (.5000 - .3944) = .1056 p-value = 2(.1056) = .2112 c. p-value > .05; do not reject H0 d. z.025 = 1.96 Reject H0 if z -1.96 or z 1.96 z = 1.25; do not reject H0 37. a. H0: p .40 Ha: p > .40 b. p z 189 .45 425 p p0 p0 (1 p0 ) n .45 40 .40(1 .40) 425 1.88 Area = .4699 p-value = .5000 - .4699 = .0301 c. p-value .05; reject H0. Conclude more than 40% access less than seven hours per week. 9-5 Chapter 9 41. a. H0: p .75 Ha: p < .75 b. z p p0 p0 (1 p0 ) n .72 .75 .75(1 .75) 300 1.20 Area = .3849 p-value = .5000 - .3849 = .1151 c. 43. a. p-value > .05; do not reject H0. The executive's claim cannot be rejected. H0: p .48 Ha: p .48 b. p z 360 .45 800 p p0 p0 (1 p0 ) n .45 .48 .48(1 .48) 800 1.70 Area = .4554 p-value = 2(.5000 - .4554) = .0892 c. p-value > .05; do not reject H0. There is no reason to conclude the proportion has changed. 9-6 Hypothesis Testing Reject H0 if z -1.96 or if z 1.96 47. x n 10 200 .71 c1 = 20 - 1.96 (10 / 200 ) = 18.61 c2 = 20 + 1.96 (10 / 200 ) = 21.39 a. = 18 z 18.61 18 10 / 200 .86 = .5000 - .3051 = .1949 b. = 22.5 z 21.39 22.5 10 / 200 1.57 = .5000 - .4418 = .0582 c. = 21 z 21.39 21 10 / 200 .55 = .5000 +.2088 = .7088 9-7 Chapter 9 51. a. b. Accepting H0 and letting the process continue to run when actually over - filling or under - filling exists. Decision Rule: Reject H0 if z -1.96 or if z 1.96 indicates Accept H0 if 15.71 < x < 16.29 Reject H0 if x 15.71 or if x 16.29 For = 16.5 z 16.29 16.5 .8 / 30 1.44 = .5000 -.4251 = .0749 c. Power = 1 - .0749 = .9251 d. The power curve shows the probability of rejecting H0 for various possible values of . In particular, it shows the probability of stopping and adjusting the machine under a variety of underfilling and overfilling situations. The general shape of the power curve for this case is 9-8 Hypothesis Testing 1.00 .75 .50 Power .25 .00 15.6 15.8 16.0 16.2 Possible Values of u ( z z )2 2 n 59. At 0 = 25, = .02. z.02 = 2.05 At a = 24, = .20. z.20 = .84 ( 0 a ) 2 (1.96 1.645)2 (10)2 325 (20 22)2 55. =3 n ( z z )2 2 ( 0 a ) 2 (2.05 .84)2 (3)2 75.2 Use 76 (25 24)2 9-9 16.4