MONTHLY NEWS SCAN Tinjauan Berita Bulanan Compiled by IDS Vol. 14 Issue 12 • • • • • • (For internal circulation only) 1 – 31 December 2009 IDS Online http://www.ids.org.my HIGHLIGHTS FOKUS Eurozone confirms inflation return EU says stimulus to remain until recovery is ‘fully secured’ Najib: Announcement on new economic model by end February 2010 Exports improve in October, going up 15 percent to RM54.28 billion Ekonomi negeri yang kukuh mampu tarik pelabur asing Sabah terima RM16 juta untuk enam projek R&D INTERNATIONAL ANTARABANGSA Eurozone confirms inflation return: November’s eurozone annual inflation figure was the first positive rate for seven months, figures have confirmed. The European Union's Eurostat body said consumer prices in the eurozone in the year to November rose by 0.5%. The positive figure, which was slightly down on an initial estimate of 0.6%, was widely expected by economists. But the return to price rises - which is largely because of a rise in energy costs - is being seen as welcome news for the European Central Bank. (16 December, BBC News) EU says stimulus to remain until recovery is ‘fully secured’: European Union leaders say government measures to stimulate the economy should stay in place until the “recovery is fully secured,” according to a draft of the conclusions at a Brussels summit that ends today. “Forecasts suggest a weak recovery in 2010, followed by a return to stronger growth in 2011,” the draft statement by the government heads of the 27-nation EU shows. “But uncertainties and fragilities remain, while the employment and social situation is expected to deteriorate further in 2010.” (11 December, Bloomberg) the global recovery sparked a revival in exports and manufacturing growth. The Munich-based Ifo institute’s business climate index rose to 94.7 from 93.9 in November. That’s the highest since July 2008 and exceeded the 94.5 median forecast of 33 economists in a Bloomberg News survey. The current conditions and expectations gauges also increased and the Ifo said the outlook for exports improved. (18 December, Bloomberg) Japan aims for 2% GDP growth in long-term strategy: Japan’s government unveiled a long-term strategy on Wednesday aiming for real GDP growth averaging over 2 percent in the next decade by creating new demand in sectors such as the environment, health and tourism. The growth strategy, which outlined key targets and policy proposals for the 10 years to the fiscal year starting in April 2020, focused on six areas, which also included Asia, science and technology, and employment. It seeks to create over 4 million new jobs. (30 December, Reuters) China’s industrial output beats estimates as export slide slows: China’s industrial production grew more than economists estimated in November and exports fell the least in 13 months, strengthening the recovery of the world’s third-biggest economy. Factory output climbed 19.2 percent from a year earlier, the statistics bureau said in Beijing. That was more than the 18.2 percent median estimate in a Bloomberg News survey of 25 economists. Exports slid 1.2 percent. Consumer prices rose 0.6 percent, the first increase in 10 months. (11 December, Bloomberg) Russian will lead gas exporting alliance: An organization of natural gas exporting countries informally known as the Gas OPEC has elected a Russian as its first secretary general, underscoring the oversize role the country is likely to have in the group that it helped found a year ago. Leonid V. Bokhanovsky, a vice president at Stroytransgaz, a wellconnected pipeline construction company, was elected at a meeting of energy ministers from the 11 member countries. The meeting was held in Doha, Qatar, where the group, the Gas Exporting Countries Forum, has its headquarters. (9 December, New York Times) OPEC should stay cautious, nurture economy: OPEC should be cautious when it meets this month to decide its oil output policy as it needs to balance signs of economic recovery and abundant supplies, the group’s secretary general said on Thursday. The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, which pumps more than a third of the world’s oil, meets in Angola on December 22. Several members, such as Algeria, Kuwait and Qatar, have indicated OPEC may hold output steady. (3 December, Reuters) Australian business confidence jumps to 7-year high: Australian business confidence rose in November to the highest level in more than seven years, underscoring the central bank’s decision to raise borrowing costs last week for an unprecedented third straight month. The sentiment index climbed 3 points to 19, the most since May 2002, according to a National Australia Bank Ltd. survey of more than 540 companies questioned between Nov. 23 and Nov. 27, and released in Sydney today. (8 December, Bloomberg) UK interest rate remains at 0.5%: The Bank of England has held UK interest rates at the record low of 0.5% in a widely-expected move. It also announced no changes to its programme of pumping newlycreated money into the economy - socalled quantitative easing (QE). In November, the Bank of England said it would inject another £25bn, taking the total planned under QE to £200bn. The Bank cut interest rates to 0.5% in March in an attempt to boost the recession-hit economy. Under QE, the Bank of England prints money to buy assets from banks and other companies to stimulate the economy. (10 December, BBC News) German business confidence rises to 17-month high: German business confidence increased to the highest level in 17 months in December as 1 – 31 December 2009 MONTHLY NEWS SCAN (Tinjauan Berita Bulanan) 1 NATIONAL NASIONAL Najib: Announcement on new economic model by end February 2010: The country’s new economic model is expected to be announced by Prime Minister Datuk Seri Najib Tun Razak at the end of February next year. He said the new economic model will form the basis and direction of the country’s economy in the future. “It is a comprehensive model as it does not only cover the economy but encompasses all aspects of a nation's role. (22 December, Bernama Online) Exports improve in October, going up 15 percent to RM54.28 billion: The country’s exports in October rose to RM54.28 billion, a strong growth of 15 percent from September’s exports. The figure was also the highest monthly export recorded in the last 10 months, International Trade and Industry Minister Datuk Mustapa Mohamed announced. Electrical and electronic (E&E) products led the strong growth, he said in a report released here today on trade performance in October and also from January to October this year. Total trade in October went up 14.1 percent to RM97.09 billion with imports increasing 12.9 percent to RM42.81 billion from September this year. (4 December, Bernama Online) Manufacturing sales up 9.3 per cent in October from September: Manufacturing sales in October 2009 rose 9.3 percent to RM44.6 billion from a month earlier but declined 3.7 percent as compared to RM46.3 billion in October 2008. The Statistics Department said the sales value in September 2009 was a revised negative 21.2 percent yearon-year to record RM40.8 billion. In a statement Thursday, it said the month-on-month increase in October 2009 as compared to the preceding month was generated by the growth in the sales value of 91 industries (78.4 per cent) out of 116 industries covered in the survey. (10 December, Bernama Online) Pertumbuhan positif suku ini: Malaysia berada di landasan tepat untuk mencatat pertumbuhan positif pada suku keempat tahun ini. Menteri Perdagangan Antarabangsa dan Industri, Datuk Seri Mustapa Mohamed berkata, sektor eksport 1 – 31 December 2009 telah menunjukkan tanda-tanda pemulihan mulai pertengahan tahun ini. Menurutnya, tempahan kerja yang mula menyaksikan peningkatan dan pengambilan pekerja baru sejak dua bulan lalu, mencerminkan pertumbuhan positif pada Oktober lalu. “Angka positif bagi bulan itu adalah tertinggi buat pertama kali dalam beberapa bulan dengan peningkatan sebanyak 15 peratus berdasarkan perbandingan bulan ke bulan manakala 1.6 peratus berdasarkan perbandingan tahunan. (15 Disember, Utusan Malaysia) Muhyiddin leads trade mission to Japan: Deputy Prime Minister Tan Sri Muhyiddin Yassin, who is leading a trade and investment mission to Japan, will have separate discussions with presidents and chairmen of several Japanese companies in efforts to attract increased investments to Malaysia. The mission aims to attract Japanese investments in areas such as advanced electronics, green automotive technologies, transport equipment and components, petrochemicals and chemical products, as well as medical and food products. (6 December, Bernama Online) Malaysia to register modest growth of 4.5 percent next year: The Malaysian economy is expected to register a modest growth of 4.5 per cent next year aided by an increase in external demand and domestic consumption. RAM Holdings Group Chief Economist Dr Yeah Kim Leng said the favourable expectation was due, in part, to the critical response by the government in limiting the impact of the financial crisis earlier this year. The government, he said, was fast in implementing measures such as trimming interest rates and injecting two stimulus packages, amounting to RM67 billion, to pumpprime the economy over two years. (31 December, Bernama Online) Malaysia sedia insentif khas projek khusus: Malaysia akan menawarkan insentif khas yang dibentuk untuk projek tertentu bagi menggalakkan lebih ramai pelabur asing terutama dari Jepun, menyertai dan membangunkan beberapa projek khusus. Ini termasuk pembangunan teknologi hijau dan pengeluaran kenderaan mesra alam seperti kereta hibrid dan elektronik pada masa depan. Timbalan Perdana Menteri, Tan Sri Muhyiddin Yassin, berkata kerajaan sedia menimbang jika ada cadangan tertentu daripada pelabur termasuk dari Jepun, memandangkan kerajaan kini lebih bersikap proaktif dalam menarik pelaburan secara langsung dari luar. (8 Disember, Berita harian) Malaysia alu-alukan pelabur Thailand: Malaysia kini merancang strategi menggalakkan kemasukan lebih ramai pelabur Thailand ke negara ini, terutama dalam sektor pertanian dan makanan, khususnya industri halal serta perusahaan kecil dan sederhana (PKS). Menteri Perdagangan Antarabangsa dan Industri, Datuk Seri Mustapa Mohamed, berkata sehingga kini jumlah pelaburan Thailand di Malaysia adalah kecil iaitu AS$300 juta berbanding negara ini yang sudah melabur AS$2.3 bilion di negara itu. (14 Disember, Berita harian) ICT industry poised for positive outlook next year: The outlook for Malaysia's information and communications technology (ICT) industry next year remains positive in line with the recovery in the global economy, says analysts. They say the economic recovery would spur interest in technology among business corporations and small-andmedium sized enterprises (SMEs) as they prepare for growth. In its research note, OSK Research Sdn Bhd said the economic recovery would boost mobile spending. (30 December, Bernama Online) Malaysia jadi pasaran tumpuan Macau: Malaysia dijangka terus menjadi pasaran yang giat berkembang dalam sektor pelancongan Macau, terutamanya dengan peningkatan baru-baru ini berikutanterdapatnya tanda-tanda pemulihan daripada wabak selesema Influenza A (H1N1) dan krisis ekonomi global.Pengurus Pemasaran Perwakilan Pejabat Pelancongan Kerajaan Macau (MGTO) di Malaysia, Ho Yoke Ping hari ini berkata, terdapatnya penerbangan terus setiap hari sebanyak tiga kali dari Kuala Lumpur selain tiga kali seminggu dari Kuching dan empat kali seminggu dari Kota Kinabalu dan Pulau Pinang ke Macau pada masa ini. (22 Disember, Utusan Malaysia) MONTHLY NEWS SCAN (Tinjauan Berita Bulanan) 2 LOCAL TEMPATAN Ekonomi negeri yang kukuh mampu tarik pelabur asing: Kekukuhan fundamental ekonomi domestik, pengurusan dan tadbir urus kewangan yang berhemah berjaya mengukuhkan keyakinan sektor swasta dan pelaburan asing ke negara ini, khususnya di Sabah. Ketua Menteri, Datuk Seri Musa Haji Aman berkata, ia sekaligus akan turut menyumbang kepada pengwujudan lebih banyak peluang pekerjaan kepada rakyat tempatan, termasuk di negeri ini. “Meskipun persekitaran ekonomi global masih tidak menentu, namun sebagai kerajaan yang prihatin dan bertanggungjawab, kita terus merancang dan melaksanakan pelbagai agenda pembangunan dalam pelbagai sektor demi untuk kepentingan rakyat,” katanya. (22 Disember, New Sabah Times) Sabah terima RM16 juta untuk enam projek R&D: Sabah menerima peruntukan sebanyak RM16 juta daripada Kementerian Sains, Teknologi dan Inovasi di bawah geran ‘Technofund’ bagi menjalankan enam projek penyelidikan dan pembangunan (R&D). Technofund merupakan skim peruntukan yang diperkenalkan kementerian bagi projek R&D yang mendapat keutamaan selain memenuhi kehendak industri di negara ini. Menteri berkenaan Datuk Dr Maximus Ongkili berkata geran itu diberikan kepada enam syarikat di Sabah sebagai rakan industri kepada kementerian dalam melaksanakan kerja-kerja R&D. (30 Disember, New Sabah Times) KB’s petroleum, tourism potential: The State Government will look into the possibility of setting up a petroleum and gas industry in the district, like in Labuan, besides developing the long and beautiful beach as a new tourism destination. CM Datuk Seri Musa Aman, who agreed to the requests by Kota Belud MP Datuk Abdul Rahman Dahlan, said the petroleum and gas industry can be developed in Kuala Abai where Yayasan Sabah’s whollyowned Petrosab Logistik Sdn Bhd recently took over Mamut Copper Mining Sdn Bhd’s Usukan port. (29 December, Daily Express) Musa puas hati pembangunan di negeri ini: Ketua Menteri, Datuk Seri Musa Haji Aman, berkata beliau berpuas hati dengan kepesatan pembangunan dan kemajuan yang 1 – 31 December 2009 sedang rancak berjalan khususnya di daerah ini yang telah memberikan sumbangan yang besar kepada pembangunan dan kemajuan negeri ini. “Antaranya menjadi daerah perindustrian dengan adanya Taman Perindustrian Kota Kinabalu (KKIP, wujudnya pelbagai pusat pengajian tinggi dan institusi kemahiran, destinasi makanan laut yang popular serta tumpuan pelancongan terkemuka,” katanya. (13 Disember, New Sabah Times) Musa: Setiap daerah perlu terokai potensi pelancongan: Setiap daerah di negeri ini disaran supaya terus meneroka potensi dan prospek pelancongan termasuklah yang berkaitan dengan aktiviti kebudayaan dan kesenian tempatan. Ketua Menteri, Datuk Seri Musa Haji Aman, berkata ianya untuk mencapai matlamat kerajaan dalam Bajet Negeri 2010 bagi merancakkan sektor pelancongan di negeri ini. Dalam hal ini, katanya, semua produk dan perkhidmatan yang ditawarkan hendaklah mempunyai nilai tambah yang tinggi bukan sahaja untuk menjana pertumbuhan sosio ekonomi rakyat, bahkan untuk dikomersilkan dan dipromosikan ke luar negara. (14 Disember, New Sabah Times) Projek pembangunan RM500 juta bagi Kota marudu bawah RMK10: Jawatankuasa Pembangunan dan Tindakan Daerah Kota Marudu telah mengenal pasti beberapa projek pembangunan bernilai RM500 juta untuk dikemukakan kepada kerajaan untuk dilaksanakan di bawah Rancangan Malaysia Kesepuluh (RMK-10). Anggota Parlimen Kota Marudu Datuk Seri Dr Maximus Ongkili kelmarin berkata, projekprojek untuk menyediakan kemudahan awam dan insfratuktur asas adalah perlu bagi daerah itu, yang merupakan antara daerah termiskin di negara ini, untuk tujuan pembangunan dan meningkatkan taraf hidup penduduknya. (8 Disember, New Sabah Times) 8,798 nelayan Sabah terima elaun sara hidup: Kerajaan telah membelanjakan sebanyak RM15 juta sejak Jun tahun lalu bagi membayar elaun sara hidup kepada 8,798 nelayan di negeri ini. Pengerusi LKIM, Datuk Abdul Rahim Ismail berkata, beliau berharap para nelayan di negeri ini dapat memanfaatkan bantuan yang dibayar melalui Lembaga Kemajuan Ikan Malaysia (LKIM) itu dengan sebaik mungkin bagi meningkatkan taraf hidup mereka. “Jika dua bulan lalu jumlah penerima elaun itu kira-kira 6,000 orang tetapi kini jumlahnya telah melebihi sasaran sebanyak 8,000 orang,” katanya ketika berucap pada majlis perasmian program penerangan elaun sara hidup nelayan dan dialog bersama jabatan kerajaan di dewan perpustakaan daerah di sini (Papar) hari ini. (14 Disember, Utusan Malaysia) Pineapples for 800 hectares in Beaufort: The Sabah Land Development Board (SLDB) has identified some 800 hectares in Beaufort and Sipitang as suitable for pineapple cultivation. It will start cultivating the first 100 hectares next month under a five-year project jointly with the Malaysian Pineapple Industry Board and landowners, said SLDB Chief Executive Officer Jhuvarri Majid, Sunday. He said the areas where pineapples will be the main crop are Banting (200ha), Sindumin/Luagan (100ha) and Mesapol (40ha) in Sipitang as well as Lumat (260ha) and Banting/Batu 6 (200ha) in Beaufort. (28 December, Daily Express) Palm oil millers can help solve Sabah power shortage: Sabah’s power shortage can be mitigated if the government provides better incentives for palm oil millers to generate renewable energy. There are 410 palm oil mills in the country, of which 117 are in Sabah. Mills emit methane from retention ponds after oil extraction. “Estate owners can trap methane from the mill sludge to fuel up steam turbines and generate electricity, a renewable source of clean energy,” said Malaysian Palm Oil Board (MPOB) chairman Datuk Sabri Ahmad. (21 December, Business Times) Infrastruktur sosial rancakkan ekonomi Sabah - Musa Aman: Pembangunan infrastruktur bagi keperluan sosial rakyat mampu merancakkan pertumbuhan ekonomi Sabah, kata Ketua Menteri, Datuk Seri Musa Aman. Katanya, infrastruktur moden seperti prasarana sukan bukan sahaja bagi kemudahan rakyat mengamalkan gaya hidup sihat, malah boleh dijadikan tempat penganjuran pelbagai acara yang mampu merancakkan ekonomi negeri menerusi sektor pelancongan, sukan dan kebudayaan, di samping memupuk kemesraan dan semangat muhibbah di kalangan masyarakat. (23 Disember, Utusan Malaysia) MONTHLY NEWS SCAN (Tinjauan Berita Bulanan) 3 SELECTED FACTS AND FIGURES FAKTA MUTAKHIR MALAYSIA’S PLANTATION-BASED COMMODITY EXPORTS (RM billion) 112.43 120 76.05 80 60 90.00 88.70 100 65.32 62.78 55.29 45.84 38.44 40 20 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009f f: forecast (Source: 14 December, Business Times) PETRONAS HIGHLIGHTS (SIX MONTHS ENDED SEPT. 30) RM bil 2009 2008 % changes Revenue 98.2 157.2 (37.5) Pre-tax profit 31.2 63.3 (50.7) Tax expense (8.9) (20.6) (56.9) 22.3 42.7 (47.7) After-tax profit (Source: 9 December, The Star) JAPAN STIMULUS 2009 (THE BREAKDOWN) (Trillion, yen) Employment subsidies US1$=89.01 yen 0.6 Social welfare e.g. help for elderly 1 Regional spending e.g. infrastructure 3.5 Environment e.g. energy saving incentives 4.1 Economic/financial e.g. business loans 18.6 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 (Source: 9 December, Business Times) 1 – 31 December 2009 MONTHLY NEWS SCAN (Tinjauan Berita Bulanan) 4 UTILISATION OF THE CEPT SCHEME BY MALAYSIA No. of FOB* value No. of companies (RM mil) companies Year % of total export – Malaysia to ASEAN Jan- Oct ‘09 117,933 15,242 2,712 n.a 2008 139,894 16,063 2,755 22.1 2007 130,137 13,491 2,661 20.5 2006 116,809 11,264 3,371 20.9 *Free on board (Source: 28 December, The Star) MARKET SIZE OF CHINA TEXTILE INDUSTRY 297.26 350 Unit in Bil USD 300 251.52 250 190.03 200 150 149.98 112.61 100 50 0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 (Source: 12 December, The Star) PALM OIL HIGHLIGHTS Malaysia palm oil exports to India (tonnes) 2006 2007 2008 561,779 511,167 970,734 Malaysia CPO production (million tonnes) 2007 2008 2009* 15.8 17.7 17.5 (Source: 28 December, The Star) 1 – 31 December 2009 MONTHLY NEWS SCAN (Tinjauan Berita Bulanan) 5