MONTHLY NEWS SCAN Tinjauan Berita Bulanan Compiled by IDS Vol. 16 Issue 4 (For internal circulation only) IDS Online http://www.ids.org.my HIGHLIGHTS FOKUS ‘see two-speed • Eurozone economic recovery’ • Foreign direct investment in China rises to $12.5 billion • Malaysia dipilih pusat tadbir Tabung Infrastruktur ASEAN • MIDA to attract RM55b investments • KKIP tarik lebih RM1.7 bilion pelaburan – Musa • Sandakan poised to become business hub in Sabah’s east coast INTERNATIONAL ANTARABANGSA Eurozone ‘sees two-speed economic recovery’: The eurozone bloc of countries is on track for sustained economic recovery, but there is growing evidence of a two-speed revival, a survey suggests. Germany and France are outpacing the 17nation bloc, but periphery nations like the Irish Republic and Greece are struggling, said research group Markit. Its closely-watched purchasing managers index was 57.8 in April, up from 57.6 in March. But economists said April's data was flattered by France and Germany. Any score above 50 indicates economic expansion. (19 April, BBC News) Foreign direct investment in China rises to $12.5 billion: Foreign direct investment added $12.5 billion to China’s economy in March, swelling inflows of capital that may encourage the central bank to keep ratcheting up lenders’ reserve requirements. Investment rose 33 percent from a year earlier, the Ministry of Commerce said in a statement in Beijing today. That compares with a 29 percent gain in the first quarter as a whole. Chinese officials aim to prevent excess cash in the financial system from fueling inflation that accelerated to the fastest pace in almost three years in March. Liquidity remains “excessive,” Governor Zhou Xiaochuan said in Beijing last night, a day after the central bank announced the fourth increase in lenders’ reserve ratios this year. (19 April, Bloomberg) three months of the year, official figures have shown, reducing the risk of a double-dip recession. The chancellor welcomed the return to growth, which followed a contraction of 0.5% at the end of 2010. But Labour said the economy was flat and the recovery had been “choked off”. The manufacturing and services sectors had performed well, the Office for National Statistics said, but construction output had fallen sharply. (27 April, BBC News) G20 agrees guidelines to measure economic imbalances: Finance ministers and central bankers from the G20 have agreed a set of “indicative guidelines” to measure potential risks to the global economy posed by national economic policies. All members of the G20 will be monitored under the new system. In addition, members who account for more than 5% of total G20 economic output will be subject to a deeper, second-stage analysis of imbalances. They include the US, China, Japan, Germany and France. (15 April, BBC News) Japan’s government downgrades its outlook for growth: The Japanese government has downgraded its assessment of the economy in the wake of the devastation caused by last month’s earthquake and tsunami. It said key areas of the economy would suffer, including industrial production and exports. The decision marks the first time in six months that the government has downgraded its assessment. On Monday, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) cut its forecast for Japanese growth. “The economy is showing weakness recently due to the influence of the Great East Japan earthquake,” the Japanese government said in its monthly economic report. “It remains in a severe condition.” (13 April, BBC News) Singapore allows further currency gains as GDP grows twice estimated pace: Singapore’s economy grew more than twice the pace economists estimated in the first quarter and the central bank said it would allow further gains in the currency in the third tightening of monetary policy in a year. The Singapore dollar jumped to a record after a trade ministry report showed gross domestic product rose at an annual rate of 23.5 percent last quarter from the previous three 1 – 30 April 2011 months. That’s up from 3.9 percent in the fourth quarter, and compares with the 11.4 percent median estimate in a Bloomberg News survey of 14 economists. The central bank said separately it will allow the Singapore dollar to appreciate more. (13 April, Bloomberg) Asian economic recovery solid but inflation a risk: Asia’s developing economies are expected to grow by just under 8% in 2011, according to the Asian Development Bank (ADB). In its annual Asian Development Outlook it predicted that the region would expand solidly over the next two years. However, growth rates would be slower than in 2010, it said. And it warned that inflation would pose a challenge for many Asian countries and could lead to social tensions. The ADB also said that stronger economic links between developing countries could offset reduced demand for goods and services from recession-hit richer countries. (6 April, BBC News) Gas prices rise, and economists seek tipping point: Gas prices are approaching record highs, but so far most Americans do not appear to be drastically cutting back their driving or even their spending as they did in 2008. The question, economists agreed, is what happens if prices continue to go up and remain high. Prices for a gallon of regular unleaded gas are topping $4 at more service stations nationwide, revisiting the bleak territory of three years ago, when the average price for a gallon of regular gas reached a peak of $4.11 on July 17, 2008, according to the Oil Price Information Service. (11 April, New York Times) Australia, N.Z. disasters slow GDP before rebound, IMF says: Australia and New Zealand will grow at a slower pace than previously forecast this year as floods and earthquakes disrupt their economies before higher investment spurs expansions in 2012, the International Monetary Fund said. Australia’s gross domestic product will increase 3 percent in 2011, half a percentage point lower than an October estimate, the IMF said in its semi-annual World Economic Outlook. New Zealand’s GDP will rise 0.9 percent, down from last month’s prediction of 1 percent and last year’s 3.2 percent, it said. (12 April, Bloomberg) UK economy grows by 0.5% in first quarter of 2011: The UK economy grew by 0.5% in the first 1 – 30 April 2011 MONTHLY NEWS SCAN (Tinjauan Berita Bulanan) 1 NATIONAL NASIONAL Malaysia dipilih pusat tadbir Tabung Infrastruktur ASEAN: Malaysia dipilih sebagai pusat pentadbiran Tabung Infrastruktur ASEAN (AIF) bernilai AS$485 juta (RM1.46 bilion) yang dilancarkan di Kuala Lumpur, bulan depan. Menteri Kewangan Kedua, Datuk Seri Ahmad Husni Hanadzlah, berkata persetujuan itu dicapai pada Mesyuarat Menteri-Menteri Kewangan ASEAN Ke-15 di Bali, Indonesia, Jumaat lalu. Katanya, struktur organisasi AIF yang diwujudkan untuk membiayai projek negara ASEAN yang dikenal pasti akan diputuskan bulan depan termasuk dari segi pengurusan, lembaga pengarah serta matlamat khas tabung berkenaan, selain perjanjian yang akan dimeterai pada Oktober depan. (11 April, Berita Harian) MIDA to attract RM55b investments: Malaysian Investment Development Authority (MIDA) aims to attract RM55bil of investments in the manufacturing sector this year from RM47.2bil in 2010. Director-general Datuk Jalilah Baba said MIDA was currently negotiating with several serious investors. “We have about RM14bil worth of investment in the pipeline that will be realised this year,” she told reporters after delivering her presentation on The RM1.4 trillion Question: Strategies To Attract and Boost Private Investments. In 2010, the RM47.2bil worth of approved investment in manufacturing sector entailed 910 projects and is 44.8% higher than in 2009 when 766 projects worth RM32.6bil were approved. (14 April, The Star) February IPI lifted by manufacturing and electricity output: Lifted by increases in manufacturing and electricity output, Malaysia’s industrial production index (IPI) expanded 5% in February from a year ago after gaining a revised 0.5% year on year (yoy) in the preceding month. According to the Department of Statistics, manufacturing output rose 7.9% yoy, while electricity output rose by a marginal 0.7% yoy in February. The increase in manufacturing output was attributable to increases in the following groups – petroleum, 1 – 30 April 2011 chemical, rubber and plastic products (17.1% yoy); non-metallic mineral products, basic metal and fabricated metal products (26.3% yoy); and food, beverages and tobacco products (10.1% yoy). (12 April, The Star) Halal players urged to tap agri sector: The agriculture sector, including palm oil, offers numerous opportunities for the halal industry to expand. Domestic Trade, Cooperative and Consumerism Minister Datuk Seri Ismail Sabri Yaakob said developments in the agriculture and palm oil areas present opportunities for the halal food manufacturing sector and related downstream activities. “The trend towards promoting halal food and non-food sectors is gaining traction in many countries and more companies are open to the idea of participating in this halal sector,” he said at the launch of the International Halal Showcase (Mihas 2011) and World Halal Research Summit here (Kuala Lumpur) yesterday. (7 April, Business Times) Malaysia set to exceed investment target: Malaysia is on track to achieve or exceed its investment target this year based on the value of potential and planned projects that have been earmarked by the private sector. “Based on the indications so far, we can confidently say that the private investment target of RM83bil for 2011 is achievable,” Minister in the Prime Minister’s Department Datuk Seri Idris Jala. Speaking at the Invest Malaysia 2011 conference here in Kuala Lumpur yesterday, Jala, who is also the chief executive officer of Performance Management and Delivery Unit, said Pemandu’s data showed that the country had planned investment projects with a combined value of up to RM127bil this year. (13 April, The Star) MIER says growth to pick up in 2012: Weaker exports will drag down gross domestic product (GDP) growth to 5.2 percent this year, from its 7.2 percent expansion in 2010, Malaysian Institute of Economic Research (MIER) says. “Economic growth is projected to decline this year before picking up momentum in 2012,” said its executive director Zakariah Abdul Rashid. The figure is still in line with Bank Negara Malaysia’s forecast of between 5 percent and 6 percent growth. Although exports will grow slower, domestic demand is likely to remain strong this year on low borrowing costs and government plans to push for private investments. At MIER’s corporate economic briefing yesterday, Zakariah said the country’s inflation rate could climb to 3.2 percent this year. (15 April, Business Times) Malaysia-UAE trade to grow 10pc this year, says Mustapa: Malaysia’s trade with the United Arab Emirates (UAE) is expected to grow by as much as 10 percent this year, Minister of International Trade and Industry Datuk Seri Mustapa Mohamed said here in Abu Dhabi yesterday. “That’s a modest target,” Mustapa told reporters at a press conference after the launch of the fourth Malaysia Service Exhibition (MSE) here. He said last year, bilateral trade between the two nations grew by 21 percent to US$5.6 billion (RM16.91 billion). (18 April, Business Times) RM73 bilion bakal masuki Iskandar: Pihak Berkuasa Wilayah Pembangunan Iskandar (IRDA) menjangka kemasukan pelaburan berjumlah RM73 bilion dalam tempoh lima tahun akan datang dengan menjadikan sektor pembuatan dan hartanah sebagai penyumbang utama. Ketua Pegawai Eksekutif IRDA, Ismail Ibrahim berkata, sasaran itu bertujuan memastikan pihaknya mencatatkan pertumbuhan lapan peratus setahun melebihi dua peratus berbanding unjuran kerajaan. “Kedua-dua sektor tersebut merupakan antara penyumbang utama kepada pertumbuhan Iskandar Malaysia dan sentiasa mendapat perhatian daripada pelabur dari dalam dan luar negara. (23 April, Utusan Malaysia) Inflation up by 2.8% in first quarter: Inflation, as measured by Consumer Price Index (CPI), for the first quarter of this year increased by 2.8%, according to the Statistics Department. For March, inflation rose to 3% compared with a year ago while it rose a marginal 0.1% over February. The 2.8% increase was brought about by increases in the indices of all main groups except those of clothing and footwear and communication. Notable increases among these main groups with high weights were transport (4.4%); food and non-alcoholic beverages (4.3%) and housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels (1.5%). (21 April, The Star) MONTHLY NEWS SCAN (Tinjauan Berita Bulanan) 2 LOCAL TEMPATAN KKIP tarik lebih RM1.7 bilion pelaburan – Musa: Taman Perindustrian Kota Kinabalu (KKIP) yang diwujudkan sejak enam tahun lalu sudah berjaya menarik lebih RM1.7 bilion nilai pelaburan dari dalam dan luar negara. Ketua Menteri, Datuk Seri Musa Aman berkata, sejak ditubuhkan pada November 2005, sebanyak 213 buah kilang dan 14 institut latihan penyelidikan dan pembangunan (R&D) sudah beroperasi di pusat perindustrian itu. “KKIP dijangka terus berkembang dengan pembukaan lebih banyak tanah perindustrian bagi memenuhi permintaan yang semakin meningkat. “Dalam lima tahun akan datang, 550 ekar kawasan tanah perindustrian akan dibuka untuk dijual dan saya percaya lebih ramai pelabur akan membuat pelaburan di situ,” katanya. Beliau berkata demikian ketika berucap pada majlis Makan Malam Tahunan Jawatankuasa perunding pelabur KKIP di Kota Kinabalu, malam semalam. (4 April, Utusan Malaysia) Sandakan poised to become business hub in Sabah’s east coast: Sandakan is poised to become a business hub in the State’s east coast. Chief Minister Datuk Seri Musa Haji Aman said the east coast is a vital contributor to economic development, mainly through vast hectarage of oil palm estates, and its numerous eco-tourism sites like the Kinabatangan River, Danum Valley and closer to Sandakan, the Sepilok Orang Utan Rehabilitation Centre and the Rainforest Discovery Centre. Tourism and agriculture which are part of the State government’s development agenda, he said, offer jobs, businesses and investment opportunities, all of which depend on a reliable and efficient banking sector. (12 April, New Sabah Times) 189 rumah PPRT dibina di Batu Sapi tahun ini: Sebanyak 189 rumah bagi Program Perumahan Rakyat Termiskin (PPRT) akan dibina di kawasan Batu Sapi, Sandakan pada tahun ini. Ketua UMNO bahagian Batu Sapi, Datuk Samsudin Yahya berkata, pada masa ini pihaknya telah menyenaraikan kawasan yang dikenal pasti untuk pembinaan rumah-rumah tersebut. “Pembinaan PPRT ini adalah untuk menyediakan 1 – 30 April 2011 kemudahan rumah yang lebih baik kepada rakyat miskin. “Kita mahu mereka menikmati kemudahan tempat tinggal yang lebih selesa hasil program dirancang oleh kerajaan,” katanya selepas merasmikan program Juara Rakyat Batu Sapi di sini, semalam. (4 April, Utusan Malaysia) RM43.9 juta subsidi bantu penternak: Kerajaan telah membelanjakan sebanyak RM43.9 juta dalam tempoh 2006 hingga 2010 bagi membayar subsidi untuk membantu penternak di negeri ini meningkatkan daya pengeluaran daging tempatan. Pembantu Menteri Pertanian dan Industri Makanan negeri, Datuk Bobbey Suan berkata, peruntukan berkenaan disalurkan dalam pelbagai program bantuan yang dilaksanakan Jabatan Perkhidmatan Haiwan dan Perusahaan Ternak Sabah. (29 April, Utusan Malaysia) Lima program atasi pengangguran: Kerajaan negeri telah mengenal pasti lima program yang akan diberi tumpuan dalam usaha mengatasi masalah pengangguran di negeri ini. Pembantu Menteri Pembangunan Sumber dan Kemajuan Teknologi Maklumat negeri, Datuk Jainab Ahmad berkata, ia termasuklah Program Penempatan Pekerjaan (Program 3P) yang telah dilaksanakan pada masa ini. “Kita juga akan menjalankan program bagi meningkatkan perkhidmatan Jobs Malaysia Point dan menggalakkan majikan di Sabah mengusahakan peluang-peluang bekerja di rumah. “Selain itu, kita turut menganjurkan program bimbingan kerjaya dan menggiatkan pameran latihan kemahiran ke seluruh negeri,” katanya pada Persidangan Dewan Undangan Negeri Sabah ke-13 di Kota Kinabalu hari ini. (28 April, Utusan Malaysia) Projek bina Jalan Poring-Tebobon dijangka siap sepenuhnya akhir tahun 2012: Pairin: Timbalan Ketua Menteri Tan Sri Joseph Pairin Kitingan berkata, projek pembinaan Jalan Poring – Tebobon, Jalan Mantob-Gonipis dan Jalan GonipisTebobon, Kiulu, dijangka akan dimulakan pada Jun ini dan dijangka siap sepenuhnya sebelum akhir tahun 2012. Beliau yang juga Menteri Pembangunan Infrastruktur berkata, kos projek bagi Jalan Poring Tebobon (enam kilometer) ialah RM14.025 juta, Jalan Mantob-Gonipis (tujuh kilometer) RM17.79 juta dan Jalan Gonipis-Tebobon (10 kilometer) RM18.5 juta). (27 April, New Sabah Times) Rumpai laut sumbang RM1.4 bilion menjelang 2020: Pengeluaran rumpai laut di negeri ini disasarkan memberi sumbangan yang signifikan kepada ekonomi negeri dengan sumbangan Keluaran Negara Kasar bernilai RM1.4 bilion menjelang 2020. Timbalan Ketua Menteri, Datuk Yahya Hussin berkata, industri yang berpotensi itu juga dijangka berupaya mewujudkan 12,700 peluang pekerjaan menjelang tempoh tersebut. “Pengeluaran rumpai laut di Sabah pada 2010 adalah sebanyak 15,500 tan metrik dan kementerian saya menyasarkan pada 2020 pengeluaran rumpai laut akan meningkat kepada 150,000 tan metrik. (29 April, Utusan Malaysia) More than 1,800 medium cost houses under 10th MP: The Local Government and Housing Ministry through Sabah Housing and Town Development Authority (SHTDA) has planned to build 1,873 medium cost houses under the 10th Malaysia Plan. Assistant Minister Datuk Edward Yong Oui Fah said the ministry also planned to build another 4,236 units of affordable homes under the “My First Home” programme. He was replying to Luyang Assemblywoman Melanie Chia during question and answer session at the State Assembly sitting here in Kota Kinabalu yesterday. (27 April, New Sabah Times) Putatan dapat sekolah baru: Kerajaan negeri akan membina sekolah baru iaitu Sekolah Menengah Kebangsaan (SMK) Petagas bernilai RM60 juta bagi menampung pertambahan bilangan pelajar di daerah itu setiap tahun. Timbalan Ketua Menteri, Datuk Seri Yahya Hussin berkata, sekolah berkenaan akan dibina di tapak seluas enam hektar di daerah itu. “Kerja-kerja pembinaan sekolah itu akan dimulakan dalam tempoh terdekat manakala jalan masuk ke kawasan itu yang sedang dalam pembinaan dijangka siap akhir Jun ini,” katanya kepada pemberita selepas menghadiri mesyuarat Tindakan Daerah Putatan, di Putatan hari ini. (19 April, Utusan Malaysia) MONTHLY NEWS SCAN (Tinjauan Berita Bulanan) 3 SELECTED FACTS AND FIGURES FAKTA MUTAKHIR JAPAN TRADE SURPLUS (BILLION YEN) (bil yen) 1800 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 -200 1,602.60 1,096.20 939.1 931.9 196.5 2006 2007 2008 -5.4 2009 2010 2011 (Source: 21 April, Business Times) CRUDE PALM OIL 2011 STATISTICS (MILLION TONNES) January February March Production 1.06 1.09 1.42 Stocks 1.42 1.48 1.61 Exports 1.21 1.11 1.23 (Source: 12 April, The Star) PERFORMANCE OF SELECTED ASIAN CURRENCIES VS US DOLLAR (3 JANUARY 2010 TO 25 APRIL 2011) (%) 12.62 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 12.11 10.29 9.57 8.3 6.39 6.04 4.33 Malaysia (RM) Philippines (Peso) Thailand (Bath) Indonesia Singapore South Korea (Rupiah) (Dollar) (Won) Taiwan (Dollar) China (Yuan) (Source: 26 April, The Star) 1 – 30 April 2011 MONTHLY NEWS SCAN (Tinjauan Berita Bulanan) 4 CHINA GDP QUARTERLY GROWTH (%) (%) 14 11.9 12 10.3 9.8 9.6 10 9.7 8 6 4 2 0 Q1 2010 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2011 (Source: 16 April, Business Times) PERCENTAGE SHARE OF PROPERTIES TRANSACTED BY SUB SECTOR 2010 Industrial - 2.6% Development & Others5.1% Commercial - 10.6% Agricultural - 21.5% Residential - 60.2% (Source: 21 April, The Star) 1 – 30 April 2011 MONTHLY NEWS SCAN (Tinjauan Berita Bulanan) 5