Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic 1 W ork i ng P a pe r S eri e s Working Paper xx Work Package 11, January 2003 Integrated Strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic ) DRAFT VERSION 6. März 2016 Tomas Ratinger Tomas Doucha, Ivan Foltyn, Ladislav Jelinek, Kamila Koutna, Frantisek Nohel, Jaroslav Prazan Research Institute for Agricultural Economics, Prague This Research Project is Financed by the EU Commission's 5th Framework Programme (QLRT-1526): Quality of Life and Management of Living Resources Key Action 5 - Sustainable Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry, and Integrated Development of Rural Areas Including Mountain Areas Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic 2 Executive Summary The Czech republic is an industrial country with significant rural features. Predominantly rural areas cover 91% of the country territory and 63% of the population. About 60% of rural areas are relatively sparsely populated. However, the importance of agriculture in rural economy has declined. Economic and property rights reforms have resulted in a substantial reduction of agricultural employment. During the period 1989-2001, the average number of employees in the sector has dropped by more than two thirds. Because this process culminated in early 90ties, when the industrial decline had not stared yet, the rest of the economy was able to absorb released agricultural labour and no social tension appeared. In the second of 1990s industry passed through a deep depression. The rural areas with people commuting to urban (industrial) centres were hit severely by a rapid growth of unemployment. The process of slow (year by year tiny), but long lasting migration out of remote rural regions threatened their socio-economic-ecological sustainability. The area having suffered the most significant structural difficulties (remote) accounted for a quarter of the rural space. The Czech government addressed the rural problem in several separate politics: supporting improvement of important attributes of rural life which are not usually a subject of business activities (such as culture, heritage renewal, improvement of village appearance etc.) enhancing development rural non-farm economy by supporting small and medium enterprises. promoting farming, particularly its role in preserving rural environment and landscape. These policies without doubts generated benefits for rural areas, however, they had only limited scope and have been loosing the synergy effect due to lack of co-ordination and planning. The analysis provided in the IDARA projects highlighted different roles of agriculture in different types of rural areas and different needs for state assistance. In the rural areas largely integrated in the national economy the socio-economic importance of agriculture has declined, but farming has remained a key of land use. In the remote areas with more 10 percent of active population engaged in agriculture, farming has become a critical factor for survival. The fact that these people do not commute to urban centres creates necessary minimum demand for services. Farming population is usually significantly attached to local environment and nature and carries cultural tradition, these characteristics contribute to the stabilisation of rural areas. However, the nature conditions for agriculture are usually (but tot necessary) worse in rural areas suffering structural difficulties than elsewhere. The research confirmed a big gap in productivity and economic performance between farms in better and less favoured areas. The Czech agricultural and rural development policy has been challenged to harmonise with the EU environment for almost a decade. This included structures of support, particularly, common market organisations, and the standards for food safety, environmental pollution and animal welfare. The pre-accession rural development programme – SAPARD contributed to harmonise the scopes of the support and to build up (public) institutional capacity for co-ordinating the future programmes. With adopting CAP the agricultural sector performance will improve substantially. The sector gross value added will rise by 67% due to higher prices. Direct payments will imply an Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic 3 additional substantial improvement of income (NVA at FC by 162%). However, the gradual increase of direct payments toward the 100 percent is likely to guide farmers in less efficient production structures (decrease of GVA), although farmers will continue to be better off. This increasing policy inefficiency will hardly be socially justifiable. De-coupling of direct payments may allow both i) following the objective of protecting farmers against income risk and ii) letting farmers seek for the (economically) optimal structure. It is important how the improved income will be distributed; i.e. how much will be reinvested in improving farm productivity, and how much will flow out of the sector in form of increased rents and wages. It is likely that non-member capital holder of assets in co-operatives will press managers to be paid off. In the other word, policy makers should be aware that there are more stakeholders than only farmers who will spend effort to capture the benefit of the CAP. Thus the resulting improvement of income of the rural population engaging in farming will not necessary be as good as it might seem now. The EU approach to the rural development is not entirely different from the current Czech one. However, adopting the EU framework will substantially improve the integration of rural development policies. The National Development Plan will outlines much of the overall strategic context within which the objectives of and measures of the agricultural rural development plans (HRDP and SOP) will become operational. Although the full integration in implementation cannot be expected, the sector approach will be crossed at least to some extent. The Rural development regulation implemented in the agricultural SOP recognises support to farmers to diversify their activities in non-agricultural rural economy. The Czech republic concluded the negotiation chapter on agriculture at the time when the discussion about the future CAP culminated again. The general direction of CAP follows the necessity to move away from being a sectoral policy which support farmers through agricultural commodity markets, toward a territorially defined and more integrated policy which contributes alongside other elements of public policy to the development of rural areas. In the mid-term review of CAP, the changes aim to address food safety and quality, to help farmers adapt to new standards and to promote animal welfare. The Czech strategy for agricultural and rural development has to be built within the framework of European agricultural and rural development policies and their envisaged reforms. We understand that the adoption of the current common market regimes is temporal, earlier or later it will undergo further reforms in which farmers will be exposed to larger international competition. The desired new policy (or strategy) should be integrated in several respects: efficiency, environmental sustainability, consumer safety and rural development should be balanced distortions which have (or even will) over stimulated certain sectors should be removed attention will have to be paid to increasing farmers awareness of necessity of changes the support should be open to local people – farmers and non-farmers as well as collectives like community organisations to create sustainable economic environment in rural areas. The strategy has four elements: market stabilisation, environmental and cultural landscape contracts, food quality and safety and rural (non-agricultural) development Market stabilisation (Agricultural income stabilisation) Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic 4 Agricultural production is associated with relatively high degree of risk. This risk involves dependence on weather and exposure to pests and diseases, high proportion of immobile assets (land) which reduce freedom of manoeuvre, moderately long gestation period involved in the production cycle. The general perception is that the scale of the problem of risk management in relation to the capacity of businesses involved (farms) to act is such that some public assistance is justified. The current CAP provides market stabilisation through safety nets for the most important commodities (cereals, beef and pork) based on clearly defined (triggering) rules. Thus the basic mechanism for market stabilisation exists. Gradual liberalisation of milk market will be welcome since the sector need to continue improving efficiency and modernisation. Expanding the quota and lowering the support price will provide a necessary degree of market stability for planning the investment on one hand and it will also reduce the pressure on buying expensive quota when modernising and expanding production. The simulations have shown that the Czech beef sector will tend to be over-stimulated at least shortly after accession. It will be not only the price but to large extent the headage premiums. The Midterm review proposed reform may de-couple the incentive from beef, but the already applied Czech environmental policy has (weakly) coupled environmental payments to beef. The argumentation behind it rests in stimulating desired conversion of arable land in grasslands and grasslands have to be utilised by cattle or sheep. The Czech agri-environmental schemes may tend to continue in this direction after accession. The policies fostering the beef sector will threaten the stability of the beef market. In short run the Czech Ministry of Agriculture should open a discussion on the future of the beef sector and advise farmers not to over react to incentives from the CAP. In the medium and long run, the Czech republic should argue for lowering the support to beef in terms of price and direct payments. The accompanying measures to reducing the dairy and beef support should include the expanded access to investment supports in order to promote modernisation (conditioned also by animal welfare and environmental standards) and conversion from dairy beef to specialised beef breeding. Environmental and cultural landscape programmes Agri-environmental policies should continue to be structured in three levels (legal obligations, support to farming systems, support to specific environmental management), but the levels should be more balanced. The Czech republic belongs to countries which put strong emphasis on obligatory environmental legislation. The current active Czech agri-environmental policy consists mainly of measures supporting grassland maintenance, the package targeted to specific environmental management practises is small (15% of the budget). EU accession will expand the range of environmental measures which will enable to address a much larger spectrum of environmental values. There are two directions in which the policy should improve further: 1) the agri-environmental policy should not be designed and implemented without assessing interrelation to the other policy directions; moreover, policy directions have to complement each other; 2) the need fro horizontal co-ordination has to be recognised. The Czech policy makers (the Ministry of Agriculture) have to be aware that some agrienvironmental measures may imply higher output of some commodities and it may affect the Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic 5 commodity markets. The Czech republic should also argue for changing CAP in the way that environmental and other rural development measures (particularly investment) can be combined, and claim the mechanism to be developed that such a combined projects are applied, assessed and implemented in an integrated way. We argue that a number of environmental benefits require significant co-ordination (either because they are so complex or spatial). Therefore, the policy should include support to establishments of local/regional associations (round tables) which will invite local stakeholders to develop an environmental management plan (e.g. for landscape management or for conservation), to prepare a project or projects and to co-ordinate their implementation. The associations should be regional or local, can resulted from public administration initiative or from private/ NGO one. We would also suggest binding certain environmental programmes to the existence of such a body. To make it successful the environmental policy should pay attention to the knowledge base of farmers and other agents engaging in it. Information dissemination, training and education and extension should be an integral part (with a budget) of the policy. It can be mentioned local/regional associations, it can be the public administration or other bodies (NGOs) who take this role. Quality and differentiation It is recognised that it is becoming extremely difficult to compete on the globalised market. The pressure from the other world market producers on reducing the protection in Europe is high. It can be also shown that quite a large proportion of the support to farm income is paid by consumers (24% in the CR, 49% in the EU). To continue earning the premium by the European farmers the products should be differentiated and high quality. The quality involves safety and the environmentally safe and animal welfare friendly way of production too. In its Midterm review the Commission stresses that it is a fundamental obligation to guarantee the safety of food to consumers both within and outside the EU, and this therefore must be a continuous top priority for the CAP (European Commission 2002a). The Czech republic already harmonised legislation with the European system for ensuring food safety. There is still a lot of work on the way of its enforcement in practice. It has been spelled many time that the Czech republic will have to continuously strengthen the capacity to deal with food safety enforcement. Guaranteeing that production meets consumer wishes in terms of quality is a dynamic process between consumers and producers. The Czech policy should not underestimate the concern of Czech consumers (although their income is substantially lower than in the current members states) and include in the national plan measures encouraging farmers to participate in quality assurance and certification schemes. Differentiation can be done on the basis of organic farming or (on farm) processing locally specific products. To be it successful a nation wide co-operation in distribution and promotion. Generating employment in rural areas. The analysis confirmed that there are significant differences in productivity and overall farm performance between marginal and the other areas. This threatens that farmers will give up farming and look for jobs elsewhere. The LFA compensations, which have already been applied in the Czech republic and are a part of the EU Rural development regulation, contribute to the stabilisation of rural settlement. IDARA investigation concluded that farm diversification contributes not only to the stabilisation of the business, but also to job creation or maintaining all year employment for otherwise only seasonal labour. The success of diversification is not simple. Obtaining initial Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic 6 capital is often difficult. Equally important seems to be networking. Relationships with other companies provide means to diversify with little or no investment and a ready market for the goods produced. Encouragement of such relationships could aid in promoting diversification. However, the development process cannot rely on informal institutions - the formal ones have to emerge. The Czech government should stimulate establishment of regional development agencies (planning institutions) and emergence of regional advice agencies, which will be a link between businesses and external environment. All policy elements qualify for investment support. Formally, it can be allocated separately, however, investment directions should integrate with the main policy elements and the individual projects should be assessed in the context an integrated development plan. Investment support should not only oriented on primary commercial activities, it should also include primarily environmental or social activities. In spite of the support programme for investment farmers as well as non-farming economic agents reported the difficulty with getting bank credits. A top-level negotiation with banking sector should contribute to the improvement of credit conditions. Rural development agency should be in the position to agree a framework with banks for rural development projects. It can be also expected that if investments a business plans fit to a solid development plan it will improve client and project evaluations by the banks. A particular issue is the direct income support. We argue that the direct income support for corporate businesses is quite a non-standard approach. On one hand it is not clear who and why should earn the benefit, on the other hand, there are sector problems, which need to be solved. It is particularly “reform” indebtedness and insufficient replacement of outdated assets. If payments are made digressive across the EU, than the Czech republic may claim to being able to collect the difference between the initial and final levels of the payments in a fund which will compensate “eligible (from restitution) owners” of agricultural assets who decided not to participate in farming business and will assist modernising farms. The beneficiaries of this approach will be current capital holders. Once the process (which has to be defined precisely) of curing farms financial/capital position will be finished, the resources will be transferred to the regular rural development funds (as it will be done in modulation). The rest of the direct payment budget will be distributed in the standard decoupled direct payment way. It is obvious that such a solution will require further elaboration and a broad discussion between policy makers and agricultural public. Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic 7 Table of contents Executive Summary 2 1 Introduction 9 2 Rural Areas 9 3 2.1 General characteristics of rural areas 2.2 Rural areas during transition 12 2.3 Current (non-agricultural) rural development programmes 14 Agriculture 17 3.1 Land reforms, privatisation and structural development 3.1.1 Land reforms and privatisation 3.1.2 Structural development in the late 1990s 17 17 18 3.2 Agricultural output, trade and sector performance 3.2.1 Agricultural output 3.2.2 Price development and sector performance 3.2.3 Agricultural trade 21 21 25 27 3.3 29 Farm income and labour productivity 3.4 Agricultural policies 3.4.1 Changing priority areas during transition 3.4.2 Market support policies – Pillar I measures 3.4.3 Competitiveness enhancing policies 3.4.4 Policies addressing environmental and rural development problems – agricultural 3.4.5 Pre-accession policies (adoption of acquis, SAPARD) 3.4.6 Conclusion on policies 4 9 Analysis of the current Situation and Impacts of EU accession. 30 30 32 33 34 35 36 38 4.1 Agriculture 4.1.1 Sector Analysis 4.1.2 Farm Level Analysis 4.1.3 Policy Implications 38 38 43 51 4.2 Rural Development 4.2.1 Assessment of the farm sector potential to contribute to rural development 4.2.2 Rural Development: Policies 4.2.3 Policy recommendations 51 51 63 68 5 Policy recommendations – a strategy 69 6 Appendix 74 7 Literature 76 Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic 8 List of Figures Figure 1 Distribution of agricultural employment in rural areas. 11 Figure 2 Employment characteristics of rural areas Figure 3 Employment structure and labour intensity Figure 4 Shifts in the structure of crop products, 1989-2001 Figure 5 Development of livestock output, 1989-2001 Figure 6 Development of revenue in relation to price and output developments. Figure 7 Terms of trade and the sector performance Figure 8 Development of labour productivity and income per labour unit, 1995-2001 Figure 9 A development of the ratio between budget outlays for Pillar I and Pillar II policies Figure 10 Expected agricultural revenue in individual scenarios Figure 11 Expected shifts in animal productions relative to the reference scenario Figure 12 Changes in the crop structure relatively to the reference scenario Figure 13 The changes in sector income according to the scenarios relatively to the reference scenario Figure 14 Labour and capital intensity in farm clusters Figure 15 Financial viability of Czech farms Figure 16 Farm performance in clusters Figure 17 Frequency of the sources of household income between 1990 and 2000 Figure 18 Characteristics of selected regions 12 20 22 24 26 27 30 37 40 41 42 43 48 49 50 53 64 List of Tables Table 1 Rural areas according to EUROSTAT definition Table 2 Rural areas according to OECD definition Table 3 Characteristics of rural areas Table 4 Land tenancy structure Table 5 Farm structure development, 1989-2000 Table 6 Land use comparison – the Czech republic, Germany and Austria, 1999 Table 7 The structure of Czech agricultural trade Table 8 Agricultural trade in the processing level and territorial break down Table 9 Czech agricultural policy outlays in the CAP break down Table 10 Agri Environmental measures Table 11 SAPARD measures and budget Table 12 Policy variables in scenarios – the simulation year 2006 Table 13 Changes in production structure in respect to reference scenario. Table 14 Structure and Representativeness of the FADN farm sample for the Czech Republic Table 15 Descriptive Statistics, Profitability Ratios, Czech FADN Sample, 1999 Table 16 Regional/local and national priority areas in rural development and rural policy measures Table 17 Results of model i-sim simulations for Czech agriculture to the year 2006 10 10 11 18 19 21 28 28 32 34 35 39 40 45 46 66 74 Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic 9 1 Introduction The Czech society has passed through a turbulent transition from an authoritative regime based on command economy to a democratic society based on market economy. On the way social preferences as well as policy method have changed substantially. Although agricultural output was big, due to inefficiencies in storing, processing and distribution food supplies varied considerably in the pre-reform period. High agricultural intensity polluted significantly the environment, however the priority of the regime rested in food selfsufficiency. As the state supported agriculture substantially, the rural agricultural population enjoyed quite a high living standard. The reforms and market adjustment affected the levels of food chain in different manners. The agricultural sector contracted and fragmented, but large farms have survived. Food industry has had to modernise quickly and concentrate to compete internationally. Food distribution has changed entirely; new multi-product outlets emerged and have been wining the market fast. In spite of loosing low food prices, consumers have benefited in many other respects. The quality and assortment of products rose sharply in the middle of 1990s. By opening the economy and due to improvements in distribution food supply has stabilised. Important changes have happened in rural areas. Agriculture has not only reduced its participation in the rural economy, and hence, its contribution to rural income, but (necessary) has withdrawn from providing a lot of social services. Some rural areas were affected seriously, and people have stared to migrate out. In the end of the transitional process the country will join the European community. During this integration process societal priorities and problem perceptions converged. Nowadays, the Czech society as well as the European one has become concerned with the way its food is produced, the quality, variety and safety of that food, the environmental effects of food production and the balanced development Objective of the strategy paper is to draw attention to particular issues in rural development, like population stability, income and employment, the role of the farming sector in it and options for integrating agricultural and rural policies in a coherent framework. All the assessment and policy recommendation are done in the context of EU accession and adoption of the Common Agricultural Policy. 2 Rural Areas 2.1 General characteristics of rural areas There is not a unique concept of rurality. Although it is evident that rural areas differ from urban centers in a number of features like life style and values recognized by their inhabitants, nature environment or economic structures, for policy purposes rural is usually conceived as a spatial/territorial concept. The OECD uses a simple definition of rural areas for the purpose of making international comparisons of rural conditions trends (European Commission 1997). The definition distinguishes two hierarchical levels of territorial unit: local and regional. At local community level (NUTS 5), the OECD identifies rural areas as communities with a population density below 150 inhabitants per square kilometre. At regional level, the degree of rurality, is derived from the share of the region’s population living in rural communities. Regions are grouped into three types, predominantly rural regions (with over 50% of the population living in rural communities), significantly rural regions (15 to 50%) and predominantly urban regions. Since the average population density of the Czech Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic 10 republic is 129 people per km2, adopting the OECD definition would imply that rural areas cover 99% of the country with 77% of the population. Another territorial concept (used by EUROSTAT) is based on the identification of densely, intermediary and sparsely populated zones. Rural areas might then be considered as sparsely populated zones i.e. with the density smaller than 100 inhabitants per km2 or with more than 100 inhabitants/km2 but with less than 50 thousand inhabitants in total. Applying this concept on districts (“okres”, NUTS 4) the sparsely populated zones account for 62% of the total country area and 30% of the population. Table 1 Rural areas according to EUROSTAT definition Sparsely populated Intermediate S+I Sparsely – the share S+I – the share Total area km2 48915 29586 78501 62% 99.5% Population 3047150 4756526 7803676 30% 76% Density inhabitants/km2 62 161 99 Agricultural land km2 25502 17066 215 60% 99.5% Note: the threshold 100 inhabitants/ km2 Source: data - CSO, 2002, own calculation There is a good reason to lower the threshold in the OECD definition to just 100 inabitants/km2, however the territorial extent of rural areas will change only slightly. The benefit will rest in the relative decrease of predominantly rural areas to 91% of the country territory and 63% of the population. The contrast between OECD and EUROSTAT definitions is obvious if we compare the extent of sparsely populated zones and predominantly rural areas. It can be shown that 62% of rural areas are sparsely populated. Table 2 Rural areas according to OECD definition Predominantly rural Significantly rural Rural Total CZ Total area km2 71,909 6,703 78,611 78,866 Population 6,454,286 1,467,170 7,921,456 10,206,436 Density inhab/ km2 90 219 101 129 Agricultural land km2 38,754 3,891 42,645 42,770 Note: the threshold 100 inhab/ km2 Source: data - CSO, 2002, own calculation For the purpose of policy analysis and recommendation it is useful to structure rural areas further according to their degree of integration with the national economy (European Commission 1997): integrated rural areas, with an employment basis in the secondary and tertiary sectors, but with farming still being a key use of land. Facing potential threats to their environmental, social and cultural heritage, some of these areas, relatively close to big cities, risk becoming dwelling areas only and not working areas ("rurbanization"); others are developing in their own right; remote rural areas, with the lowest population densities, often the lowest incomes, and an older population which depends heavily on agricultural employment. intermediate rural areas, being between integrated and remote areas. Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic 11 Figure 1 Distribution of agricultural employment in rural areas. RAGRIEMP 8 6 4 Frequency 2 Std. Dev = 2.38 Mean = 7.6 N = 33.00 0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 11.0 12.0 RAGRIEMP Source: own calculation To provide such a breakdown would require gathering a lot of information. For practical reasons we have modified the rural integration concept and simplified the criteria just to the share of agricultural employment1. Figure 1 illustrates the more or less symmetric distribution of agricultural employment in rural areas around the mean. The breakeven points for the integration classes have been set to 1/3 and 2/3 percentiles. About a half of the rural areas can be regarded as integrated while the other half is divided almost equally between intermediate and remote2 areas. Agricultural land is distributed in the similar way. Population density grows with the degree of integration. The share of people over 60 increases slightly toward remote regions. Table 3 Characteristics of rural areas Rural area Total area Integrated Intermediate Remote km2 40193 20327 18091 Agricultural land km2 22138 10793 9714 Population 5300471 1561916 1059069 Population density inhab/ km2 132 77 59 Population over 60 17.9% 18.2% 18.3% Source: CSO data, own calculation While agricultural employment declines with the degree of integration3 industrial employment is stable, around 30% in each category. It indicates that there is similar access to jobs in industry while the service sector is probably less developed in remote regions. It can be 1 It will be shown later that agricultural employment correlate (inversely) with the engagement of population in services and availability of services. 2 The term remote should be understand as weaker in terms of economic and social integration. 3 by definition Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic 12 confirmed also by scores4 of the access to services; the average score for remote areas is significantly (90%) below the rural average, while for integrated it is significantly above (17%). Unemployment increases with the degree of integration; the difference between the remote and integrated areas is high - 3 percentage points. It ca be an effect of structural adjustment in industry, of the willingness of people from the remote areas to accept lower wages, or because it less socially acceptable to release people from their employment in less integrated areas. The wage rate in integrated rural regions is equal to the national average, however, there is a gap between integrated and remote regions (on average 8.5%) and between integrated and intermediate regions (5.7%). It reflects both the differences in labour productivity, and the effect of imperfect labour market due to transportation costs. On the other hand, agricultural wage rates do not exhibit a similar gap, rather they are equal over rural areas. In the result, wage/income disparity between agriculture and the rest of economy increases with the integration of the rural area. Figure 2 Employment characteristics of rural areas 40.0% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0.0% Integrated AgriEmp Intermediate InduEmp Remote Unempl Source: Data – Census 2001, CSO 2002, own calculation Only 40 percent of integrated rural areas are sparsely populated zones, while it is 97 percent for remote rural areas. Significantly rural areas are almost all integrated. 2.2 Rural areas during transition There have been important new driving forces changing rural economies since the fall of communist regime. The first and most pronounced changes happened in agriculture. The abolishment of the most pre-November 1989 subsidies, market decline after liberalisation (particularly for beef and milk), privatisation and following structural adjustments in agriculture were behind it. Agricultural employment declined by 71,7 % during 90ties (Horska 2002). A significant part of farms had an important non-agricultural production (food processing, construction and various small to medium industrial enterprises). During the privatisation process most of the diversified productions separated and created their own businesses (Horska 2002). Economic consequences of market decline led to necessary structural adjustment and investment to more efficient technologies (especially in animal production). Structural adjustment as a driving force, helped to release agricultural employees who were either in retirement age or with low working ethic. Because this process 4 Using principal component method we created factor score variables: SERV relating to the availability of post office, school and medical care in districts and INFRA relating to public water supply and gas supply. Data source: CSO, 2000 Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic 13 had started in early 90ties when the rest of the economy was treated less severely other industries were able to absorb released labour and no social tension appeared as a consequence of agricultural reforms (Horska 2002). Other industries experienced decline particularly in some regions later in the middle of 1990s. Then the rural areas with people commuting to urban (industrial) centres were influenced heavily by a rapid growth of unemployment. Remote areas started to be affected by slow but lasting decline of inhabitants who migrated to urban areas or at least more integrated rural areas. Border regions with Slovakia experienced shed of people after the separation, since they lost their jobs in Slovak industries (Ratinger, Krumalova, 2002). But even in the central part of the country in the highlands the unemployment rate reached almost 19 % in very remote villages in 1999 (Urad prace ve Zdare nad Sazavou 2000). As privatisation progressed and the entry was opened to new entrepreneurs the business structure has changed. Shifts in job opportunities followed the structural adjustment of the economy. A decline of employment in large firms and an increase in small and medium enterprises (SME) and in self-employment was common also in remote (and behind) regions during 90ties (Spolecnost pro regionalni poradenstvi 1999). However, the initial sharp increase of SME numbers slowed down in late 90ties and since that time the size structure of enterprises has not been changing significantly (Spolecnost pro regionalni poradenstvi 1999). Inflow of FDI and state consolidation programmes helped the large businesses to recover while SME suffered the restrictive policy of the Central Bank. Particularly, small entrepreneurs lack enough capital to innovate or expand the businesses slowly loosing their competitive position, (Spolecnost pro regionalni poradenstvi 1999). The government policy failed to facilitate relevant business conditions for SME in the desired extent. Decentralisation: Administration reforms – increasing role of local and regional authorities Financially, the municipalities depended on district office, which distributed the budget till the mid 90ties. The process was difficult and often perceived as unfair. The role of the district authority decreased during the second half of 90ties and in 2000 the way of financial flows changed substantially. Since that income of municipalities constitutes of income taxes of inhabitants, taxes from buildings, the state support and taxes from businesses located in the municipality. The last was initially set at the 100 % of tax collection, but appeared as controversial and decreased to 30 % only later. Stepwise municipalities have become more independent and for many of them it means significant economic improvement and increased decision power. Income from taxes constitutes the most important part of municipal budget. For example in less developed areas like Zdar nad Sazavou district the tax collection constituted 45,3 % of total municipalities income in 2000. It was 8 % below then national average, but the total per capita income from taxes in district Zdar nad Sazavou reached only 60 % of the average per capita municipal income from taxes. This shows indirectly regional disparities in terms of economic activities. The new way of financing municipal budgets have given opportunity to local governments to think about incentives for enhancing entrepreneurship. In addition to tax collections and direct transfers from the state budget municipalities got larger or smaller subsidies from various ministries during the whole period (from 1990 till now) but all of them were conditioned by co-financing which obviously was difficult under the early financial regimes.. From administrational point of view most of the power concentrated in district centres and only few in municipalities. The situation has substantially changed from the beginning of 2003. The districts as an administration level was abolished and the district offices were Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic 14 closed down. Their roles have been distributed between the newly established region (“kraj”, county, NUTS 3) and their elected representatives – the assembly and the regional council (government) and selected municipalities. The coordination responsibility for regional development rests on the regional administration, selected municipalities should be administrative points spread across the region, enabling easy access of inhabitants to offices. A danger of a frequent staff change after elections has sometimes been regarded as disadvantage of the new public administration arrangement (district representatives were not elected) but generally it is expected that the new system will soon settle down ensuring a necessary level of stability. Municipality representatives5 believe that the high degree of independency of municipalities will not allow for big difficulties arising from the public administration reform. In order to increase the power and budget to conduct a large investment or to sort out development problem requiring larger (spatial) co-ordination municipalities gather together creating associations – often called micro-regions. These associations act as NGOs. Their number has increased since the middle of 1990s and has become very significant e.g. in the case study sub-region – the (former) district Trebic – the number of micro-regions reached 8 in 2000, covering most of the district area. 2.3 Current (non-agricultural) rural development programmes There is no integrated rural policy framework. Attributes of rural development are addressed by policies of several ministries separately. The most influential is the Ministry of Regional Development (MoRD), which is first of all responsible for coordinating regional policy. Its policy scope addresses issues like rural infrastructure, rural heritage or village appearance. Beside the MoRD at least six other ministries are involved in rural development: the Ministry of Industry and Trade, the Ministry of Environment (and its State Fund for Environment), the Ministry of Culture, Ministry of Agriculture, Ministry of Health and the Ministry of Labour and Social Affairs. So far there was no regional approach to rural development. This is about to change since the newly established regional governments will inevitably intervene rural development policies. Here we present two most developed rural policy measures (from the MoRD framework): Village renewal and Support to small and medium enterprises (SME). The village renewal programme was launched by the MoRD in 1991 and should facilitate grass-root initiatives in rural areas. The idea was not to transfer enormous amount of financial resources to cause substantial changes of rural areas, rather the objective has always been to support small and medium projects for improving important attributes of rural life which are not usually a subject of business activities (such as culture, heritage renewal, improvement of village appearance etc.). The program has been very successful and has helped to numerous municipalities to improve/renew village life. In addition, local administrations have passed through important learning process which will be soon utilised when they applies for EU funds. Annual event - contest “Village of the year” document the ability of rural settlements to improve their physical and social environment in the most aspects (culture, sport activities, infrastructure, services, architecture etc.). Although the program has never focused directly on business, facilitating attractiveness of the place and creating business conditions it promoted local services and job opportunities. 5 municipality Telnice, Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic 15 The program has following goals: maintenance, renewal and enforcement of local cultural and societal tradition, living style, responsibility for local development, development of partnership between rural area and cities, next micro-regions and partners villages on both sides of border, development of economy with utilisation of local resources and employment of local people (development of agricultural and non-agricultural entrepreneurship, services, local marketing and distribution, tourism etc., conservation and renewal of look of the villages themselves, their organic links to countryside, specific rural buildings, exclusive influence in countryside, renewal of cultural heritage in countryside, improvement of public areas and buildings, improvement of public services, technical infrastructure including technical facilities for environment protection, public transport, renewal of traditional roads network including of alternative local transport, maintenance, renewal and efficient use of natural potential of agricultural countryside tied to suitable organisation and use of land protecting natural and aesthetic values, maintenance and development of recreational and therapeutic function of countryside. The program is governed directly by the MoRD. To assist in choosing applications, regional selection committees have been established. District offices (state administration at district level) have played an important role in information dissemination. The program was implemented on the whole Czech territory and about three quarters of all villages have already participated. The programme financial design allowed for grants covering 30-70 % of expenses of the project, interest discount on bank loans, 70% subsidy on project developing education and advisory/extension in rural areas, a subsidy up to 70 % of expenses of projects for integrated rural micro-regions (villages associations). Program enabled combination with PHARE. The budget given to this programme has varied considerably: for example it was EUR 6.6 millions in 1997 and just EUR 1.6 millions in 2000. The programme for SME is aimed at encouraging of business activities in rural areas with a particular attention to rise employment opportunities. The Ministry of Regional Development in co-operation with the Ministry of Trade and Industry introduced the programme 1996 (with expected duration until 2004). The scheme includes four general (nation-wide) subprogrammes (GUARANTEE, CREDIT, MARKET and START) and four sub-programmes ( COMMUNITY, REGION, BORDER, OPERATION) for structurally afflicted and economically weak regions (including Znojmo and Trebic). These regions comprise mostly rural areas with low level of urbanisation, with less developed economic infrastructure, but with rather preserved nature and environment. Most of the supports (51 %) are interest subsidies on bank loans, guarantees for bank credit or interest free loans. The programme for SME does not recognise grants. Financial transfers (interest subsidies, guarantees) are administrated and operated by the Czech-Moravian Guarantee and Development Bank (CMGDB). The programme has got four main objectives: i) to facilitate implementation of business plans of SME, ii) to provide support to establishment and development of SME and strengthen their market position, iii) to increase the rate of employment and enhance competitiveness of SME on local and international markets, iv) to facilitate access to bank credit in economically weak regions. Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic 16 The sub-programmes are specified to address one or more objectives in a consistent way and are targeted to particular beneficiaries: “Region” – is devoted to young entrepreneurs, who run businesses with less than 50 employees. Entrepreneur could get contribution up to 12% of interest payments in ‘structurally damaged’ regions and 7% in ‘economically weak’ regions. The condition for beneficiary is to create at least two new jobs. “Village” – is the only scheme for medium size businesses (up to 250 employees) in small villages (up to 1999 inhabitants). Support could reach up to 6 percentage point discount of the interest rate. The eligibility condition is to create at least one new job. “Preference” – is targeted to small enterprises up to 25 employees (support in form of decreased interest by 5 %). Total support could come up to 6 million of Crowns and loan could last up to 6 years. The eligibility condition is to employ 2 additional people. “Regeneration” – is targeted in small enterprises with less than 50 employees and active in monumental preserve areas; contributes 3% towards interest payments; conditional on the creation of two jobs. “Operation” – is targeted to young entrepreneurs with less than 50 employees located in small villages “Border” – supported are small enterprises with less than 50 employees located close to borders (Germany or Austria). Contributions could go up to 7% of interest payments; conditional on the creation of two jobs. The “Guarantee” scheme gives out guarantees for bank loans instead of collaterals which small and medium entrepreneurs often lack. Implementation process is relatively simple: applications are collected, evaluated and approved as well as supports given out by the CMGDB Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic Applicant (SME) Assessing own economic situation and business priorities Planning the project Submitting the application 17 MoRD or MoIT Deciding on budget Collecting information on the budget spent Money from the national budget Report on financial contribution CMGDB Collecting applications Valuing the applicant & the project Approval/rejection of the project Monitoring The programme is criticized for insufficient funding on one hand and for not paying attention to monitoring and effectiveness and efficiency evaluation on the other hand. 3 Agriculture 3.1 Land reforms, privatisation and structural development 3.1.1 Land reforms and privatisation The restitution process restored private ownership on about 70 – 75 % of the total agricultural land (TAL) between 1991-1994. The land nationalised before 1948 remained in state hands, but with the intention to be privatised (sold) later. The Land Fund was established to deal with all the state land (18 % of the TAL6) and agricultural assets in 1994. A small part of agricultural land is owned by municipalities and other organisations (including agricultural cooperatives and companies). The private landowners can be broken down into three groups: i) individual farmers, ii) capital owners (partners, shareholders, members) of corporate farms (limited liability companies, joint stock companies, co-operatives), who lease 6 Based on the Land Law Nr. 229/91.about 1 619 thousands ha of agricultural and forestry land were included in the restitution procedures by the end of 2001, of which the completed restitution represents 1 269 thousands ha, the unrealised restitution with compensations represents 120 thousands. ha and the unrealised restitution for non-compliance with legal conditions represents 230 thousands. ha. Besides this, the Land Fund administered 769 thousands. ha of agricultural land at the end of 2001, remaining in the state ownership, of which 753 thousands ha has been leased to farms. Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic 18 their land to the business, and iii) other owners, not participating in agricultural business, who simply lease their land to farms. Table 4 Land tenancy structure Farm types Own land Individual farms under 50 ha Individual farms over 50 ha Legal entities (corporate farms) Total 62% 13% 1% 8% Leased land the state 4% 36% 19% 21% capital owners other owners 34% 51% 18% 63% 13% 58% Source: Sample survey on farm structure, farm household income, Doucha, Jurica, Divila, 2001, Agro-Census 2000, CSO, 2001 A basic notion about the relationship between land ownership and land use can be obtained from the survey carried by VUZE in 2000 (Doucha, Divila Jurica, 2001). If the survey results are completed by the agricultural census 2000 we yield that no more than 300 thousand hectares (8 % of the land included in the census) are owned by farms. The rest is leased (Table 4). The share of own land is the highest in small individual farms (62%), rapidly declining with the size of the farm. Individual farms with more than 500 hectares rent already 96 percent of the cultivated land. The importance of the category of capital owners leasing their land to the business is moderate. From various surveys including those run under the IDARA project (Chaplin et al, 2002) the influence of this group on the business decisionmaking seems to be negligible. The discrepancy between the land ownership and the land usage, expressed in the extremely high share (92 %) of leased land on farms, represents an important specific feature of the present Czech agriculture, without an analogy in the EU-15 countries (the relatively large share of leased land is in Great Britain and in Belgium, the EU-15 average is about 40 %). This discrepancy, together with extremely large fields/operation blocks hiding owners’ parcels and thus limiting the access to them, has hampered development of the land market and restructuring of the agricultural sector. The law enabling privatisation of 500 thousand hectares of state land was settled down in 1999, the privatisation process started in 2002. Only 9 thousands ha of agricultural land has been privatised to December 2001. The conditions for the privatisation, especially conditions related to hitherto tenants of state land, can significantly influence the farm structure development. It is true particularly in regions, where privatised farms (privatised without land) dominate. 3.1.2 Structural development in the late 1990s The structure of land use and the farm structure have outstandingly changed since 1989 (Table 5). The present farm structure reveals an extreme dual character (see Table II.1.4): 5,2 % largest farms from the total number of 37 thousands farms (with land) uses 76,4 % from the total acreage of agricultural land. To the contrary, the share of farms with the size less than 10 ha amounts in number 58,2 %, but they use only 1,9 % from the total acreage of agricultural land. Individual farms with more than 100 ha use more than 60 % from the total acreage of agricultural land in the category of individual farms. The average size of Czech farms (136 ha) is seven times bigger than the EU average (18.4 ha) and it still twice bigger than the highest figure (69 hectares) of the UK. 19 Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic Table 5 Farm structure development, 1989-2000 Land users Farms - physical entities Farms - legal entities Ltd. Joint stock Coops State farms Farms - total Other subjects in 1989 No. 3,205 1,198 1,024 174 4,403 The share Avg. size on TAL 0.4% 5 86.4% 3,098 61.1% 25.3% 86.8% 13.2% 2,561 6,259 847 AgroCensus 2000 No. The share on TAL 24,053 21.8% 2,587 62.7% 1,171 18.3% 519 18.2% 723 24.7% 26,640 84.5% 15.5% Avg. size 39 1,036 669 1,502 1,465 136 Note: Agro-census criteria over 1 ha, or over 0.15 ha of special crops or with more than 1 livestock unit. Source: MoA 1994, Agricultural Census 2000, CSO 2001 3.1.2.1 Assets and liabilities on farms Capital intensity measured by the value of total assets per hectare of agricultural land is varies amongst farms. In the class of individual farms (which usually emerged as new), the capital intensity decreases with the size (from 72 thousand CZK/ha in farms under 50 hectares to less than half in farms over 300 hectares). Capital intensity of legal entities is just constant over size categories, similar to the capital intensity of lower medium size individual farms (50-100 hectares). Obviously, capital intensity is associated with farm specialisation, medium size individual farms and corporate farms have usually mixed production, while large individual farms tend to be crop oriented. The development of capital intensity exhibits a slight increase in nominal terms, however it vanishes if we look at real figures. Actually (according to the FADN figures), investment activity stagnated between 1998 and 2000. In 2001, the value of agricultural investments exceeds for the first time the figure of 1997. The annual change 2001/2000 amounted 20% (at least for farms in the CSO survey i.e. over 20 employees, CSO 2002b). The investment increased in all categories, the most significantly in machinery and transport facilities (index 140,1) and significantly also in buildings and constructions (index 126,9). Through realised investments the quality/structure of assets increased, having a positive impact on the technological level in agriculture. The investment activity responded undoubtedly to the increased state support (from 5 296 mil. CZK in 2000 to 6 369 mil. CZK in 2001). Particularly, the support allocated to investment credits expanded in the structure of all supported credits: thus they represented 63 % in 2001, whilst only to 55 % in 2000. However, the higher investment activity in 2001 was also stimulated by the improvement of the financial situation (as a consequence higher income supports). However, the farm accountancy data (FADN, 1998-2001) reveal the high and unchanging indebtedness of farms, three-generational in principle: (a) old (pre-reform) debts; (b) transitional (reform) liabilities; (c) new bank credits (for financing investment). The transitional liabilities still represent a significant part burden, particularly of co-operatives and limited liability companies. In the case of successors of state farms (often limited liability companies), the value of privatised assets – according to a governmental decree – was adjusted to the “current” market level, it means in turn, a cut of 52,4 % - 43 %, and the repayment period has been extended up 30 years. Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic 20 Besides this, the state has gradually written off the interest free loans given to individual farms in 1992 - 1993, which original total value amounted around 7 mld. CZK. For dealing with transformation debts of cooperatives there was not enough consensus to settle down a solution. 3.1.2.2 Employment in agriculture Economic and property rights reforms have resulted in a substantial reduction of agricultural employment. During the period 1989-2001, the average number of employees in the sector (without related services and hunting) has dropped from 533 thousands to 156 thousands of people, it means by 70,8 %. The most dynamic decline in employment was registered in the early 1990s (by 24 % between 1991 and 1992). The share of agriculture on the total employment decreased from 9,8 % in 1989 to only 3,4 % in 2001. During 1995 - 2001 the employment decreased more significantly on corporate farms (legal entities) than on individual farms (physical entities). However, labour intensity (measured by a number of men per 100 hectares) of individual farms has remained significantly lower than labour intensity of corporate forms. This is partly associated with less labour intensive crop orientation of individual farms and partly with “social” difficulties to release excess labour form mainly cooperatives. Figure 3 Employment structure and labour intensity 6.0 150000 men 4.0 100000 2.0 50000 0 men/100 hectare 200000 0.0 Individual farms Corporate farms Labour Companies Cooperatives Total Labour Intensity men/hectare Source: MoA 2002 In the structure of agricultural labour, the share of hired workers (including the management, having no capital stock in the farms) has grown since 19957. Their share grew up from 38 % in 1995 to 66 % in 2001. In 2001, the working members of co-operatives (the self-employed members) represented 20 % of agricultural labour , the self-employed individual farmers and family members represented more than 12 %. The share of labour in agriculture, hunting, forestry and fishery on the total number of economically active population has converged to the average EU level (the CR 4,4 % in 20018, EU 4,5 % in 1999). 7 Source: Employment and unemployment in the CR according to results of the survey on labour, the Czech Statistical Office, 2001. 8 Source: Labour statistics, the Czech Statistical Office 2001. Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic 3.2 21 Agricultural output, trade and sector performance 3.2.1 Agricultural output The gross agricultural output (GAO) calculated at 1989 constant prices decreased by by 29,9 % during the period of 1989 - 2001. In the same period, the gross crop production decreased by 20,8 %, and the gross livestock production even by 36,5 %. The rapid decline of the GAO (particularly of the gross livestock production) in the early 1990s followed the drop in consumer demand particularly for milk and meat and was also caused by the processes of property reforms culminating that time. The dramatic market driven adjustment process has been replaced by policy driven adjustment process since 1994. The policy has got a framework implied by the WTO commitments of the Czech republic and EU accession target. 3.2.1.1 Changes in the structure of main market commodities in 1989 - 2001 – crop production The structure of cultivated area has gradually adjusted to the demand. The share of arable land in the total area has been permanently, but not distinctly, decreasing (from 75 % in 1989 to 72 % in 2001). The area of set-aside has been increasing. After the introduction of adequate supports in 2001, the area reached 115,6 thousands ha. Table 6 Land use comparison – the Czech republic, Germany and Austria, 1999 The share of arable land The share of cereals on arable land Yields of cereals (t/hectare) CR 72% 51% 4.4 Germany 69% 56% 6.7 Austria 41% 58% 5.9 Source: Eurostat - Agriculture, Statistical yearbook 2000, CSO - Statistical yearbook 2000 A comparison of the structure of land usage in the CR, Germany and Austria in 1999 shows a slight difference of the share of arable land on TAL between the CR and Germany (just 3 percentage points) and a large difference in respect to Austria. The later difference can be attributed to a high share of alpine agriculture and landscape in Austria. After 1990, the area of cereals on arable land has declined on the level of about 50 %, as a consequence of shrinking markets, the reduction of livestock and the outstanding growth of input prices. The increase of the share of cereals in 1997 and 1998 (to more than 54 % of arable land) was a reaction of producers to the low stocks due to the extreme exports in the marketing year 1995/96. Since 1999 the area has relatively stabilised at the level of about 52 % of arable land., Small annual fluctuations has always depended on the possibilities to sell surpluses on the world market and on the related governmental intervention (the State Fund for Market Regulation, later the State Agricultural Intervention Fund) on the domestic market. Compared with the both EU countries, the share of cereals in arable land is also lower in the CR (by 5,0 % compared with Germany and by 7,3 % compared with Austria. However, the average yield of cereals is significantly lower in the CR (by 2,4 t/ha compared with Germany and by 1,6 t/ha compared with Austria). The average yield of cereals in the CR for the period of 1990 - 1999 is higher only by 0,02 t/ha than the average for the period of 1980 – 1989. It indicates a large unused yield potentials in the Czech agriculture. Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic 22 Figure 4 Shifts in the structure of crop products, 1989-2001 2500 hectares 2000 1500 1000 500 0 1989 1994 Cereals 1996 1998 Oil seeds 1999 Potatoes 2000 2001 Sugar beet Note: harvested areas Source: MoA 2002 Oilseeds have become the second most important group of crops for a decade. They have played a positive stabilisation role in the farm economy. Favourable market conditions contributed to the enlargement of the sown area from 3,8 % in 1989 up to 14,2 % of arable land in 2001. The producers have reacted to increasing consumption of vegetable oils and to the state incentives for bio-fuel production. The share of potatoes on arable land dropped to a half from 3,6 % in 1989 to 1,8 % in 2001. The consumption of potatoes has been declining together with the improvement in their processing (semi-finished and ready-made products) and with minimising feed consumption (only waste potatoes are used as feeds). The sugar beet and sugar markets were not regulated in the CR in the most of transitional period – until 1999. The unregulated market exhibited instability and the economy of producers declined. Relative low custom tariffs did not protected Czech producers against subsidised exports of European competitors. The prices on the over supplied domestic market went down rapidly even with little imports. The primary producers have reacted by the reduction of the sugar beet area by more than the half – (1999), sugar processors dramatically concentrated to just three main companies producing more than 90 per cent of sugar. The market regime similar to the EU system, with quotas A,B, and C, including the implementation of special custom measures, was introduced in 2000 the sector has stabilised since that. Formerly the hops production was an important sector generating good revenue and improving the balance of Czech agricultural trade. Changes in the beer production technology have been accompanied by changes in assortment demand for hops. The Czech hop-growers reacted late losing both domestic and international market positions. A reduction of the area of hop gardens followed during 1995 - 2000. 3.2.1.2 Changes in the structure of main market commodities in 1989 - 2001 – livestock production The dairy cows breeding, as the breeding of other categories of cattle, has passed through a very turbulent restructuring since 1989, due to declining demand for commodities as beef Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic 23 meat, milk and dairy products but increasing public concern about food safety, particularly in the context of the incidence of dangerous diseases (e.g. BSE). The milk production dropped from 4,9 mld. litres to 2,7 mld. litres during the period of 1989 - 2001, that was by 45 %. The number of dairy cows was reduced by 57,6 % (from 1 247,6 thousands of heads to 529,1 thousands of heads) during this period. The largest reduction in the number of heads and in the milk production occurred in–the first half of 1990s. Since 1997 the milk production has stabilised on the level of 2,7 mld. litres, also in response to the new supports for producers. While the number of dairy cows has still gone down milk yields have risen respectively since 1997. Nowadays, the average milk yield (5 589 l in 2001) is comparable with the EU level (the EU-15 average 5 688 l, Germany 5 851 l, Austria 4 595 lin 1999 9). The number of dairy cows per 100 ha of agricultural land and the milk production in kg per 1 ha of agricultural land has converged to the EU-15 average, but the indicators have remained substantially below the level of the neighbouring EU countries (in 1999: the density in the CR 14 heads, in the EU-15 15,5 heads, in Germany 27,4 heads, in Austria 20,5 heads; the milk production in the CR 675 kg, in the EU-15 896,5 kg, in Germany 1 640,5 kg, in Austria 973,3 kg)10. The ratio between purchased and produced milk declined since 1989 to 1996 (from 91,3 % to 83,4 %) due to hygienic insufficiencies in the treatment and storage of milk on farms. Since 1997 the ratio has improved to the level of 93,7 %, comparable with EU countries (in 1999: the EU-15 96 %, SRN 96 %, Austria without on farm sales 76 %11). The amount of feed milk thus dropped from 385 mil. l in 1996 to 50 mil. l in 2001. About 0,3 kg of fodder concentrates has been consumed to produce 1 l of milk during the whole reform period. The Czech beef meat production has been continuously year by year decreasing since 1989. The present production of beef meat (2000 and 2001) represents 40 % of the production in 1989. The main reason of this down slopped trend rests in the decrease of the domestic consumption. The domestic consumption in 2001 was lower by 65 % compared with 1989 and during the same time the number of cattle decreased by 55 %. However, these trends in the number of cattle and in the production stopped in the last two years 2000 – 2001 and a further decrease is not expected. 9 Slovak, Czech, Hungarian … Agriculture in Comparison with EU countries. Research Institute of Agricultural and Food Economics, Bratislava, Slovak Republic et al, 2001. 10 Slovak, Czech, Hungarian … Agriculture in Comparison with EU countries. Research Institute of Agricultural and Food Economics, Bratislava, Slovak Republic et al, 2001. From the same source issues a very low density of cattle per 100 ha of agricultural land in the CR compared with the EU: in 1999 in CR 38,7 heads, in the EU-15 61,9 heads, in Germany 87,1 heads and in Austria 63,7 heads. 11 Slovak, Czech, Hungarian … Agriculture in Comparison with EU countries. Research Institute of Agricultural and Food Economics, Bratislava, Slovak Republic et al, 2001. Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic 24 Figure 5 Development of livestock output, 1989-2001 180% 160% 140% 120% 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% 1989 1994 1996 Milk Beef meat 1998 Pork meat 1999 Poultry meat 2000 2001 Eggs Source: MoA, 2002 Based on a specific support applied since 1995, suckler cow breeding has expanded. The number of suckler cows amounted 88 thousands heads in 2001. Compared with the EU, the Czech beef meat production in kg per 1 ha of agricultural land is significantly lower (the CR 2000 23,8 kg, the EU-15 1999 56,5 kg). A similar relationship can be encountered in the consumption per capita (the CR 2000 10,7 kg, the EU-15 1999 20,4 kg)12. Even the traditional production of pork meat has decreased since 1989, although not as dramatically like in the case of beef meat. The 1989 production amounted to 778 thousands t. LW compared with 584 thousands t LW in 2001. The main reason was also in the decline of the domestic demand worsened by low competitiveness of pork met on the European and World markets. The number of pigs and sows has fallen accordingly, in 2001 it represented 75 % of the 1989 figures, the domestic consumption declined by 22 % to 589 thousands t LW over the same period. The pork meat production has stabilised during the last two years and its further more significant decrease is not expected because the preference for pork meat of Czech consumers has been growing. The number of pigs per 100 ha of agricultural land in 1999 amounted to 129 heads, in Germany 101,4 heads and in Austria 275,1 heads13. During 1989 – 1994, the number of poultry (all categories) decreased by 23 %. The decrease had stopped in 1994 and since then by 2001 the number of poultry gradually increased nearly up to the 1989 level (32 mil. heads). However, the developments in the meat sector and in the egg sector differed. Initially, during 1989 – 1994, the poultry meat production dropped (as other meat) by 17 % to 165 000 t (LW). Since 1995, in accordance with the world trend, the poultry meat consumption and production have risen. Compared with 1989, the poultry meat production increased by 57 % up to 312 500 thousands t (LW) in 2001. 12 13 The Yearbook 2000 – Cattle breeding in the Czech Republic. Slovak, Czech, Hungarian … Agriculture in Comparison with EU countries. Research Institute of Agricultural and Food Economics, Bratislava, Slovak Republic et al, 2001. Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic 25 Since 1989 to 2001, the number of hens gradually declined by 26 % to 11 677 thousands heads. In the same period - due to higher egg yields - the egg production declined only by 12 % to 3 190 million pieces. The average egg yield per year increased from 226 pieces in 1992 to 272,7 pieces in 2001. 3.2.1.3 The development of intermediate consumption of agricultural products More than 50 % of the cattle breeding is still bound to arable land and to more favourable areas. Moving cattle production to grassland, particularly in marginal areas has been a primary task of restructuring in the livestock production since the beginning. This process has occurred more resistant and therefore, the switch from intensive fattening to extensive pastoral production has been relatively slow. However, the grassland area grew from 828,6 thousands ha in 1989 to 961,1 thousands ha in 2001 (by 16 %) and the area of forage crops on arable land fell from 1 079,4 thousands ha to 672,6 thousands ha (by 37,7 %) in the same period. The changes could be observed for feed grains too: especially due to the reduction in the number of animals their intermediate consumption dropped by 19 % between 1989 and 2001). In general, production of fodder on arable land as well as grasslands has extensified. Compared with the neighbouring EU countries, the feed efficiency (feed consumption per a unit of production) is not on average at a satisfactory level. 3.2.2 Price development and sector performance The economic performance of the agricultural sector is a result of the development of external conditions and internal structural changes. The Economic Accounts for Agriculture (EAA)14 represent a consistent instrument for assessing the sector performance and allowing at least a limited insight in the interplay of external and internal conditions. Being standardised, EAA are also a suitable instrument for international comparison. Output price is an important determinant of the sector revenue: first, multiplying given output we yield the revenue, second, the agents through optimising their profit adjust the volume of output accordingly. Four factors affect Czech farm gate prices: the elasticity of domestic demand, world market prices, market support policies and the power of farmers in the marketing chain. At the beginning of the transition real income came under the stress and domestic demand for food has fallen dramatically (FAO, 1999). The real wage fell by 30 between 1989 and 1991, since that the real income has increased and within then years exceeded the level of 1989 by 15 %. However, the demand for food has not recovered in the original extent. Partly, because the relative price of food has remained high, partly due to shifts in consumer preferences toward more processed, healthy and safe food (Brosig, Ratinger, 1999). Thus the benefit of slowly increasing food prices have been earned by those sectors adding value (the processing industry) and delivering food to consumers. Concerning the former, the process of merging and acquisition of food processors stared shortly after privatisation. The benefit from the economy of scale and inflow of the foreign capital enabled substantial innovation. Concerning the later, food retailing experienced rapid concentration during the last five years. The overhang of supply put pressure on agricultural prices in early 1990s. The government introduced policies to dispose surpluses and to deal with declining prices. With envisage EU 14 The Aggregate Agricultural Account for 1994 - 1997 was calculated by the RIAE according to the then applied EU methodology. Since 1998, also after amendments of the EU methodology, the competency for the calculation of the account has been transferred to the Czech Statistical Office. 26 Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic accession the policy instruments took the form of CAP. Intervention purchases and minimum prices were introduced, border protection went up and later quotas for milk and sugar were launched. Concentration in food processing and retailing sectors has led to a dramatic decline of farmers’ power in the marketing chain. At least to some extent retailers and processors have successfully transferred their transitional costs to the unconsolidated farming sector (MoA, 2002). However, the main price pressure comes from constrained households budget, which is passed quickly trough the vertically integrated marketing system to farmers. Figure 6 Development of revenue in relation to price and output developments. 1.500 1.400 1.300 Index to 1995 1.200 1.100 1.000 0.900 0.800 0.700 0.600 0.500 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 Price of Final Crop Production Price of Final Animal Production Nominal Value of Final Crop Production Nominal Value of Final Animal Production Volume of Final Crop Production Volume of Final Animal Production Source: MoA, 2000, MoA 2001, MoA 2002 The aggregate price of animal products grew over 1995-2001, while the aggregate animal output went down. Since the fall of production was more pronounced than the price increase, the animal revenue (nominal value of the production) declined. Crop prices exhibited a cyclical behaviour, however, the prices and the output went up during last three years, hence the revenue as well. 27 Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic 1 .2 5 45000 1 .2 40000 1 .1 5 35000 GV A - CZK million Index of the O/I ratio Figure 7 Terms of trade and the sector performance 1 .1 1 .0 5 1 0 .9 5 0 .9 30000 25000 20000 15000 10000 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 5000 0 T e r m s o f tr a d e 0 .9 5 1 1 .0 5 1 .1 1 .1 5 V a lu e ( In te r m e d ia te c o n s /F in a l o u tp u t) T r e m s o f tr a d e V o lu m e ( In te r m e d ia te c o n s /F in a l o u tp u t) Note: Terms of trade – the ratio of input and output price indexes. Source: MoA 2000, MoA 2001, MoA 2002 The decision-making of agricultural entrepreneurs and hence, the performance of the sector depends upon the ration between input and output prices. The development of input prices was unfavourable for agricultural producers during the all period 1989-2001. Since the output price increase (if any) was rather modest, terms of trade also deteriorated over time. A certain improvement could be noticed during the last two years (Figure 7). Gross value added dropped sharply almost to a half (from 41 billions CZK to 24 billions CZK in nominal terms) between 1996 and 1999, and recovered slightly during 2000 and 2002. Efficiency measured by the ration of intermediate costs and revenue (value ratio) and deflated ratio (volume ratio15) worsened until 1999 and 1998 respectively. The recent improvement of the performance is notable. It can be associated with a stabilisation effect of the CAP like policy, however, two year experience is not an enough solid base for a serious judgement. 3.2.3 Agricultural trade The share of the agricultural trade on the total Czech foreign trade has been permanently decreasing (the share of agricultural exports in the total Czech exports from 6,1% in 1996 to 3,9 % in 2001, adequately for imports from 7 % to 4,6 %). The evaluation of the agricultural trade realised in the regime of a free circulation of goods16, which has a decisive importance for the evaluation, shows that the average annual increase of imports was higher than the average annual increase of exports in the given period of 1996 – 2001. In spite of the border protection, the balance of the agricultural trade in 2001 15 16 Note the similarity and difference with the total factor productivity index The presented analysis considers the agricultural trade realised only in the regime of a free circulation of goods. It represents exports/imports realised directly (exported/imported goods allocated on the market of an importing country/domestic market, re-exports not excluded. It means that exports/imports realised by „other custom regimes“ are excluded, In those regimes, traded goods do not enter into the balances of importers (e.g. the so-called grading up trade). The share of the agricultural exports realised in the regime of a free circulation of goods in the total agricultural exports amounted to 78,7 % in 2001; adequately the share for imports amounted to 92,8 %. 28 Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic was negative; the deficit reached 19,8 mld. CZK (i.e. 21,3 % of the total trade deficit). The negative balance 2001 was higher by 2,5 mld. CZK compared with the negative balance 2000. However, the export/import ratio improved during the given period (from 60,6 % in 1996 to 71,4 % in 2001). Table 7 The structure of Czech agricultural trade Year Total EU imports exports imports exports The share on the total agricultural trade (%) 1996 100% 100% 55% 37% 2001 100% 100% 51% 35% Annual changes 1997/96 5% 7% -2% -1% 1998/97 1% 4% 3% -6% 1999/98 3% -1% -2% 24% 2000/99 6% 20% 7% 14% 2001/00 5% -1% 8% -4% Candidate countries Other countries imports exports imports exports 16% 22% 36% 41% 29% 26% 27% 23% 21% 15% 11% 8% 4% 8% 15% -2% 22% 2% 10% -11% 8% 2% 2% 15% 3% -25% 26% -1% Source: VUZE,2002 During the whole period of 1996 – 2001 the EU was the main trade partner (Table 7), with the share of 46 % on the Czech agricultural trade turnover. Nevertheless, the CR has permanently been a net (agricultural) importer with respect to the EU. Rape seeds, beer and dairy products represented the main export commodities to the EU in the period 1996-2001. The mutual trade with processed products under the agreed trade concessions exhibited the largest share on the total value of the turnover. The acceptance of further measures for the liberalisation of the trade between the CR and the EU, it means the implementation of the so-called “double zero option”, has exacerbated the imbalance in the trade. In the period 7/1999 - 6/2002, the trade concessions were much more utilised by the EU exporters than by the Czech ones. It held for the both categories of the concessions, with and without quantity limits. In the given period, unlimited and tariff free imports of agricultural products from the EU increased by 1163 mil. CZK whilst Czech exports decreased by 27,6 mil. CZK. The CEFTA countries represented the second main partner of the Czech republic in agricultural trade. The CR was a net exporter during the whole period of 1996 – 2001, but with exchange terms (the ration of the value of exports to the value of imports) slowly but continuously deteriorated (decreased from 1.22 in 1996 to 1.14 in 2001). The trade with other candidate countries was negligible, in spite of large concessions agreed with Estonia, Lithuania and Latvia. Table 8 Agricultural trade in the processing level and territorial break down Processing level 2000 Raw materials Medium processed Highly processed 2001 Raw materials Medium processed Highly processed Total EU Candidate 26% 25% 22% 17% 30% 31% 35% 18% 24% 33% 20% 31% 15% 26% 22% 9% 25% 30% Other countries 30% 34% 18% 9% 55% 36% Note: Raw materials (cattle, cereals, rape seeds, fruits and vegetables hops), Medium processed products ( meat, dried milk, butter, flour, malt, starch, sugar, oils), Highly processed products (cheese, sweets, pasta, bakeries, beer, wine, lemonades, juices, distillates) Source: Custom statistics Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic 29 The assessment provided by a team of experts (FAO/TCP/CEH/8821) in 1999 on the data of 1997 and 1999 concluded that the competitiveness position (the share on exports) declined with the level of processing. Looking at the figures of the Czech agricultural exports now, gradual shifts toward more processed products can be observed (Table 8). Actually, raw materials are represented particularly by exports of rapeseeds and hops, in some years also by exports of cereals, whilst the share of live animals has dropped to less 2 %). The representation of crop and livestock semi-processed products is more balanced: commodities CN 0402 (milk and creams) show the important share (8,2 % and 10,3 % in 2000 and 2001, respectively); malt and sugar are the main export crop products. The dominance of crop origin products appears again at the level of highly processed products. This group consists specially of traditional products like beer and bakeries, but also of the new ones – lemonades. From animal origin products it is only cheese with the notable share of 4 %. Considering the territorial break down, we receive different conclusions. A considerable part of exports to the EU consists still of raw materials (33%), live cattle and rape seeds are the most important commodities. Exports to the other territories rely on processed products. Medium processed products have succeeded on the “other countries” markets. Highly processed products acquired a similar share (one third) on the export to either terriotory. The share of subsidised exports on the total value of the agricultural exports in the period of 1996 – 2001 ranged between 2,2 % (in 2000) to 4,04 % (in 1997). The total level of export subsidies under the WTO commitments decreased from 5,9 mld. CZK to 4,3 mld. CZK during the period of 1996 - 2000, withal the share of actually paid export subsidies on the total export commitments has increased from 18,9 % in 1996 to 32,5 % in 2001 (VUZE, 2002). 3.3 Farm income and labour productivity In market economy, farm income is supposed to result from farm economic performance. However, the government has gradually introduced policies either compensating for inefficiencies (compensating certain costs (green fuel) or paying premiums to certain outputs) or even directly supporting farm incomes17 since 1997. Labour productivity (Gross value added at market prices per a labour unit) declined considerably between 1995 and 1999. The impact of this development in farm income was moderated by an increasing share of subsidies on the Net value added at factor costs (Figure 8). Despite the recovery – labour productivity grew sharply in 2000 and 2001 – the policy continued subsidising18 agriculture increasingly. In 2001 NVA exceeded the average 1996-1996 by 10 percent in nominal terms, but remain 18 percent below in real terms. 17 18 This category includes also disaster payments, which amount has grown since 1997, MoA, 2002 For calculating NVA at factor costs – subsidies were taken from MoA, 2002, table TB8.1/02, pp 159 Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic 30 Figure 8 Development of labour productivity and income per labour unit, 1995-2001 8.0 7.0 '000 EUR 6.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1995 1996 1997 GVA/AWU 1998 NVA/AWU 1999 2000 2001 Net Subsidies Note: GVA – Gross value added at market prices, NVA Net value added at factor costs, AWU – annual work units. Source: MoA, 1997, MoA 2000, CSO 2002b, Compared with the EU, farm income in the Czech republic (NVA at factor costs per 1 AWU) is very low amounting less a quarter of the EU average, but only one ninth of the Belgian. . Since the labour intensities of the Czech republic and the EU average are similar, the difference in income per hectare is similar to the one per labour unit. This difference between the Czech farm income and the EU one is given in large extent by substantially (twice) higher market price support and direct payments and by the productivity gap (probably in smaller extent). 3.4 Agricultural policies 3.4.1 Changing priority areas during transition Agricultural policy represents a set of measures aimed at given goals in a given period. Among these measures, the legislation for property transformation and for primary allocation of capital had a priority at the beginning of the reform. Even though the legislation was prevailingly settled down already in years 1991 - 1992, it has shown the long-term influence on the sector development. Property reforms in agriculture took three main forms: Restitution of land titles and rights to non-land assets; Distribution of property rights to assets of cooperatives exceeding original membership deposits (transformation of cooperatives); Sale of agricultural assets. Concerning the last form the privatisations of land and non-land assets have gone their own ways. Thus while the privatisation of non-land assets culminated in 1994 – 1995 and has already been finished privatisation of the state land has just started. The legislation and a few governmental degrees on its implementation from the early 1990s triggered the process of farm restructuring which continued with some turbulence all over the transitional period. The redistribution of assets, which included the non-farming and often non-rural population, created liabilities with which agricultural entrepreneurs lacked capacity to deal in large extent (Davidova, 2002). The policy addressed some of the issues (3.1.2.1) late, the problem of assets of “eligible” persons in successor organisations of collective farms has failed to be addressed at all. Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic 31 Box 1 Four phases of the Czech agricultural policy (1989-2002) Phase 1 – Reform-liberal (1990 - 1994); Phase 2 – Stabilisation (1995 - 1998); Phase 3 – Revitalisation (1998 - 2000); Phase 4 – Adaptation (after 2000). Considering the agricultural policy in a narrower sense as a mix of support measures concentrating on food production, land cultivation and farm income, it is possible to identify the 4 phases of the policy in the period of 1990 – 2001: During the Reform-liberal phase (1990-1994) land reforms and liberalisation of agricultural market was launched. While the institutional environment (in terms of legislation and other formal rules) innovated the organisation, particularly state administration descended from the pre-reform period. Market liberalisation included radical abolishment of all direct and indirect income supports and opening border to foreign competitors. However, the policy had to deal with extreme surpluses soon. Market regulating policy was launched and Market regulation fund established. Thus in contrast to the initial liberal position, barriers to trade were reintroduced. The investment supports for the establishment and stabilisation of new farms started with grants, later was converted into interest free loans. In total, the level of supports decreased by a half to 25% PSE comparing to the pre-reform period. The stabilisation phase (1995 - 1998) is characterised by a gradual increase of direct supports aiming at offsetting financial problems of farms. The second most important policy objective of this phase was modernisation of farms. This objective was backed up by relatively massive investment support in the form of interest subsidies and the state guarantee to bank credits. The importance of the market price supports went down (partly due to high world market prices, FAO, 1999) and the total level of supports declined to a half compared with the foregoing phase (10 - 15 % PSE). The cost of stabilisation policy was paid roughly 50 % to 50 % by consumers and tax-payers. The policy orientation on (farm income) stabilisation was incorporated in the new Agricultural Law, settled down in 1997. It is also important to remind that multi-functionality of agriculture was for the firs time officially recognised. The revitalisation phase (1998 - 2000) can also be market as the first pre-accession phase. At the beginning of this phase, the government approved document: the Agricultural Preaccession Policy Agenda. The formal policy objective rested in improving competitiveness and overall economic viability of farms, however corresponding measures did not differ from those already launched in the previous phase. Rather the emphasis was put on reorientation of farmers on non-market activities (e.g. grassland management). The measures of this sort were primarily focused on improving farm income, but the environmental benefit was considerable (Ratinger, Krumalova, 2002). Beside the above directions the policy started to compensate “disasters” of any kind. One cannot assess it in other way as a certain form of the direct income support. There are no doubts that “disasters” happened, but the problem was that the policy turned to the position that it was government obligation to eliminate any entrepreneurial risk. This character o the policy continued in the next phase. The total level of supports represents about 20 % PSE on average. The privatisation of the state land started in this phase. The all pre-accession phase, and particularly its the second part -adaptation (after 2000) was characterised by pushing legislative and institutional harmonisation with the EU forward and by the effort to modify national measures to get closer to CAP. Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic 32 Another way how to structure the current Czech policy is to group measures according to CAP pillars. It will enable as to assess the degree of similarity of the Czech national policy and the CAP. In principle, agriculture is supported by consumers and by tax-payers, and at the same time supports from the side of consumers – except some years – prevails both in the Czech policy and in the CAP. They range from 30 % to 75 % from the total expenditures of the Czech policy in 1995 – 2001, and in the EU from 50 % to 60 %. Particularly the dimension of supports from the side of consumers (reflecting the level of the protection of the domestic markets, being 2-2,5 times higher in the EU compared with the CR) contributes to large differences in the total level of supports expressed by the % PSE indicator. The value of % PSE is permanently 2 – 3 times lower in the Czech agriculture compared with the level of supports in the EU. Table 9 Czech agricultural policy outlays in the CAP break down 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 EUR Millions Market price support 599 615 30 652 567 339 331 Pillar I 90 122 135 157 176 200 343 Direct input and output supports 41 45 46 73 91 100 159 Direct payments Disaster payments 49 76 89 84 85 99 184 The share of applicable in the EU 45% 37% 34% 46% 52% 50% 46% Pillar II 42 75 101 145 145 135 136 HRDP like measures 36 45 49 87 110 104 87 SOP like measures 6 30 52 59 35 32 49 The share of applicable in the EU 94% 96% 93% 95% 96% 94% 82% Source: MoA 2002, own grouping 3.4.2 Market support policies – Pillar I measures Pillar I measures, are such measures which aim at enhancing farm income by increasing revenue from agricultural production or by reducing costs. Coupled direct payments would belong to this group too, however the Czech policy has not applied them yet. Market price support belongs to this category. Most of the effect has achieved by tariffs, which protect the domestic market from cheaper imports. The active price support policy has been implemented by the State Fund for Market Regulation (SFTR, established in 1993). The operations of SFTR include intervention purchases and export supports (subsidies). Most of the time the SFTR supported mainly milk (dairy products) and food wheat. However, time from time the SFTR Board decided to intervene also other markets in order to foster the price and balance of supply and demand, e.g. in 1997 and 1998, potatoes were included under the scheme or pork in 1998 and 1999. In 2002, the SFTR was reorganised to fit better to EU CAP scheme and renamed to the State Agricultural Intervention Fund (SZIF). In 1999 and again in 2000 the government had to give up its effort to rise the price of milk because of the insufficient budget for subsidising export. To cope with budget constraints, the Ministry of Agriculture decided to introduction of a minimum price. The Ministry counted with the delayed response in supply and the quota system was launched only half a year later in Spring 2001. Although GATT commitments outlined the framework/limits of the national agricultural policy, till 1999 the policy was rather constrained by the budget than by the commitments. However, in 1999 the government had to use an emergency procedure when it tried to save the Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic 33 domestic sugar producers against the impact of declining sugar price at world market. The government insisted on more solid solution rested in the introduction of quota system with self-financing export support and the effective protection of the domestic market. Obviously, rising tariffs requires negotiation within WTO. The dairy cow premium was a measure adopted to stimulate productivity in the dairy sector. Only those cows with the yield over 6000 litre per year were eligible for the premium. This measure has had digressive tendency, it was reduced to a quarter in 2000. Almost at the same time, an incentive to depart from dairy production toward beef production was introduced. Over last 5 years the budget spent on this measure amounted 54 million EUR in which effect the suckler cow herd increased to 88 thousand heads (MoA 2002). Beside the premiums the policy recognised measures reducing costs of inputs. In 1998 the compensation of the consumption tax on fuel was introduced. Disaster payment can also be added to this category, since they compensate for the lost revenue. Most of the cost of market price support (about 19 billion CZK, 450 million EUR) 19 is born by consumers. Thus the budget outlay consists of the other measures applied under the Pillar I. The extreme increase of the outlay in 2001 was caused by large compensations for drought provided in that year (in absolute and relative terms, the figure almost doubled and reached 46 % of the total Pillar I budget). What is urging, is the gradual increase of these payments (Table 9) 3.4.3 Competitiveness enhancing policies The Agricultural agenda issued in 1992 identified (short term) priority areas as restructuring and reallocation of agricultural production, adjustment to market conditions and technical and technological reconstruction and modernisation which can be regarded as fostering competitiveness of agricultural production. A lack of financial capital was identified as the main barrier to restructuring a modernisation. The early 1990s policy sought for a relevant measure to deliver the capital to agricultural entrepreneurs; the attempts included investment grants and interest free loans of the Ministry of Agriculture. Soon, the MoA recognised that it had not enough capacity and funds and suitable financial regime for providing such a policy on one hand, and that farmers only rarely used the banking sector for financing their investments on the other hand. In 1994, the Ministry modified the policy: the support targeted improving the access to bank credits by subsidising interests and issuing guarantee for creditors was launched; the Support and Guarantee Fund for Agriculture and Forestry (SGFAF) was founded, the institution providing both the subsidy and the guarantee. Between 1994 and 2001 the SGFAF gave out interest subsidies in the amount of CZK12.5 billions (EUR 0.369 billions) which together with the guarantees supported agricultural investment of CZK 38.9 billions (EUR 1.1 billions). The criticism of investment supporting policy implemented by SGFAF concerns the fact that the decision on project approval was to too large extent transferred to banking sector having on other objective that earning profit from credits. Thus no specific objectives could be achieved in investment. Beside improving access to capital, the government supported improving access to markets in three ways: a) supporting farmers self-organisations for marketing products, b) negotiating concessions for Czech producers to get access to foreign markets and c) introducing standards and norms (including organisational backup) to guarantee food safety and 19 the average 1995-2002 34 Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic environmental friendly production. The a) and c) have also been included in SAPARD and will definitely continue after EU accession. Concessions will be replaced by single market. 3.4.4 Policies addressing environmental and rural development problems – agricultural Currently, there are two groups of measures of the Ministry of Agriculture addressing directly or indirectly rural problems: i) compensating costs of achieving the benefit and ii) investment supports. The first group of measures include stabilisation of agricultural settlement in less favoured areas and promoting farming practices sensitive to environment and landscape. The objective of compensation in less favoured areas is to stabilise farm income and thus to encourage farmers to stay in the region. The compensations are allocated only to grasslands and accompanied by cross compliance for grassland management. This arrangement aimed at two goals: giving incentive for excluding land from intensive arable agriculture, stimulating landscape (and biodiversity) management. Agri-environmental measures are primarily aimed at achieving environmental benefit. Overview of measures (or groups of measures) focused to landscape and environmental issues (CZK millions) – under the Ministry of Agriculture Table 10 Agri Environmental measures LFA compensations and Agrienvironmental measures Measure Transformation of arable land into grassland Aforestation Renewal of vineyards, hop-gardens and orchards Maintenance of farmland and landscape Ecological agriculture Bee-keeping Support of breeding beef-cattle and sheep Biological protection of crops 1997 2124 1998 3659 1999 4559 2000 4460 2001 3699 Aim of measure Restructuring of agricultural (plant) production, grassing of arable land – land protection Restructuring of agricultural (plant) production, afforestation of agricultural land To preserve alternative source of income Extent of implementation All agricultural area eligible, payment differentiated: LFA and non-LFA All agricultural area eligible, payment differentiated: LFA and non-LFA All agricultural area eligible In the year 1994 and 1995 measure was intended only for grasslands, since 1996 extended to all agricultural land. Since 2001 it has been replaced by LFA payments. The system is introduced according to IFOAM All agricultural area eligible, payment differentiated: LFA and non-LFA Prevent of decrease of bees numbers Expansion of breeding of animals needed for landscape management. Substitute of chemical protection of crops, mostly greenhouses, orchards and vineyards All agricultural area eligible, payment differentiated: LFA and non-LFA All agricultural area eligible Mainly in LFA areas. All agricultural area eligible 35 Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic Liming Improvement of soil reaction (liming of soils up to pH 5,5) Ponds cleaning and ecological network creation Removal of mud from ponds (renewal of water capacity) and planting of tree green belts All agricultural area eligible, payment differentiated: LFA and non-LFA Nation wide All agri-environmental measures have been implemented by the regional office of the Ministry of Agriculture (nowadays Agricultural Agencies of MoA). The budget increased substantially in 1998 and has been more or less stable since that. However, the measures varied in specification of actions year from year as well as administrative requirements. There has been indirect environmental benefit form the investment supporting programmes; modernisation has explicitly (legally) required and implicitly included technologies sensitive to environment. Beside general agricultural investment, the means of SGFAF has been modestly available to promote diversifying activities of farms (like processing, agro-tourism etc.) not reaching 1 % of the total support provided. 3.4.5 Pre-accession policies (adoption of acquis, SAPARD) Purpose of the creation and implementation of SAPARD was to facilitate growth of capacities in Czech Republic to adopt Aquis Communitaire, efficiently fulfil goals of CAP and utilise corresponding funds after EU accession. The main aims of the SAPARD programme of the Czech Republic for the period 2000-2006 included (SAPARD MoA 2002): to strengthen the competitiveness of agriculture and food processing industry, focusing on aquis-related investments in the field of hygiene and quality standards and animal welfare to achieve sustainable rural development, including opening up new local employment opportunities to help counter rural de-population to ensure the full potential of the programme is reached, notably by providing new types of vocational training and technical assistance.(European Commission, Directorate General for Agriculture 2000(a)) Ten measures were devised under these three priorities; they are shown below with their percentage allocation of the total budget. Table 11 SAPARD measures and budget Measures Increasing the competitiveness of agriculture 1.1 Investment in agricultural holdings 1.2 Improving processing and marketing of agriculture and fishery products 1.3 Improving structures for quality control, quality of foodstuffs and consumer protection 1.4 Land improvement and reparcelling Sustainable development of rural areas 2.1a Renovation and development of villages 20[1] Total cost20 (m) EU(m) contribution % of total exp. 66.27 67.91 24.85 25.47 15.8% 16.2% 36.73 13.77 8.8% 41.34 31.01 19.7% 21.88 16.41 10.4% the total cost is comprised of National contributions, EU contributions and private contributions. 36 Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic 2.1b Rural infrastructure 2.2 Development and diversification of economic activities, providing for alternative income 2.3 Agricultural production methods designed to protect the environment and maintain the countryside Technical support 3.1 Improvement of vocational training 3.2 Technical assistance total 10.94 66.08 8.21 24.78 5.2% 15.8% 6.11 4.58 2.9% 4.41 2.15 323.83 3.31 1.61 154.00 2.1% 1.0% 100% Source:(European Commission, Directorate General for Agriculture 2000(a); Commission,European 2000(b)) SAPARD measures focused on land consolidation and rural development (measure 2 above) will be primarily applied in associations of neighbouring villages, so called rural microregions, and communities with wider action (Czech Ministry for Regional Development, Ministry for Agriculture 2000) The rural development programme builds on existing strengths, such as the existence of unique and specific regional products and traditional crafts and well organised micro-regional rural communities on one hand, but taking into account current weaknesses on the other hand. These include poor infrastructure in rural areas compared with urban areas, and insufficient level of conformity to EU standards in certain agricultural sectors, as well as a prevalence of low profitability of farm businesses. (Commission, European 2000(b)) After the first year of SAPARD running it is expected the budget will be fully used during the second year (2003). The project applications slightly exceeded budged in the fist year. According to interviews with SAPARD Agency representatives there is enough capacity to fulfil the goals of SAPARD. However, it will not necessary be sufficient for implementation of the Sector Operational Programme (SOP) which is expected to be more diverse in measures and with bigger budget. There are 60 people in the central SAPARD Agency and the other 60 in regional offices. The numbers shall rise but not significantly after the accession. Concerning the implementation the agency preliminary assessment indicates that spreading information, co-operation with banks and overall performance of regional offices developed positively and contributed to the success of the programme. On the other hand, the system of SAPARD advisors, who were supposed to assist applicants to prepare credible proposals, have appeared to be malfunctioning with advisors insufficiently experienced and educated. In the effect, a significant proportion of projects proposals was of poor quality. Even the better proposals lacked progressive business ideas. Transfer of experiences from SAPARD implementation to newly prepared SOP is an important issue. 3.4.6 Conclusion on policies Pillar II: structural supports (HRDP, SAPARD, SOP), amounting on average in the CR to 17,1 % of the total supports during 1995 - 2001. Pillar III: general services, amounting in average in the CR to 12,3 % of the total supports during 1995 - 2001. Particularly interesting is the development of the rate between Pillar I and Pillar II budgets (Figure 9). We can observe a U shaped curve, indicating that the adjustment of policies following the GATT agreement resulted in a balance between Pillar I and Pillar II spending in 1998, while preaccession policies have fostered Pillar I spending21. 21 Note that Pillar 1 includes disaster compensations regarded as green box measures. Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic 37 Figure 9 A development of the ratio between budget outlays for Pillar I and Pillar II policies 3.0 PillarI/PillarII ratio 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 Regardless the presented distinctive phases, the Czech agricultural policies have exhibited common features too: a relative low level of supports given by budgetary limits (the Czech Republic has permanently belonged to countries with the low level of agricultural supports); the instability, time inconsistency of the policy, especially in respect to supports for providing public goods (e.g. environmental qualities, etc.); the tendency for direct income supports for farms, even not on a regular or systematic base: e.g. massive and partly ad hoc flat compensations (for drought, for floods, as the “green fuel”, etc.); the centralised implementation of the policy, without adoption of regional approaches. Although not all current measures are compatible with the CAP (18 % of the Czech Pillar I, 8 % of the the Pillar II and 15 % of general services, altogether 16 % of all supports) the accession will not be a big change in orientation of farmers. The biggest pressure is being imposed on the state administration to develop and provide an institutional framework in compliance with EU requirements to the time of entry. The institutional preparation of the CR on EU accession and on the harmonisation with the CAP, measured by the level of the harmonisation of the agricultural legislation and institutions with the CAP, outstandingly accelerated during the last few years. However, the latest evaluation of the European Commission (October 2002), pointed out a couple of remaining tasks: completion of the veterinary legislation; completion of the full harmonisation of the market organisations for selected commodities (milk, sugar, etc.) ; improvement of the functioning of the Paying Agency (PA), completion of IACS and its full integration into the work of PA; finishing of the harmonisation of information systems; accelerating building up institutional capacities for the protection of market, consumers and environment, including custom office operation with regard to the third countries; Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic 38 sorting out the status and operations of the Support and Guarantee Fund for Agriculture and Forestry (SGFAF) after accession. 4 Analysis of the current Situation and Impacts of EU accession. 4.1 Agriculture 4.1.1 Sector Analysis At many places we pointed out the link between agriculture and rural development, however, the policies have tended to be separated for long time. To built an integrated policy for rural development requires analysing possible development of the agricultural sector, particularly in respect to expected changes of agricultural “production oriented” policies (Pillar I). The questions relevant to rural development are: “how much income is agriculture able to offer to rural population”, “how much of the rural resources will be deployed in agricultural production”. Not all issues can be satisfactorily answered a sector model. The use of resources like labour and capital would require a general equilibrium approach. Therefore, in the sector modelling we concentrated on two main issues: income from agricultural (food and fibre) activities and the land use. 4.1.1.1 Characteristics of the i-sim model The sector model i-sim is a partial equilibrium, comparative static model based on economic accounts for agriculture. i-sim was has been developed for simulating economic impacts of EU accession on agriculture in candidate countries. i-sim is based on the CAP-SIM22 system (W ITZKE, VERHOUK, ZINTL, 2001), which was designed for a quantitative assessment of conceivable CAP scenarios for EU policy makers. It allows an important degree of comparability between assessments of policy scenarios in the EU and in the candidate countries and the future full integration in the CAP-SIM system. The driving force of a simulation is maximisation of producers’ surplus while searching for market equilibrium (for either directly marketed agricultural products or processed products). The model recognises exogenous variables, control or policy variables and endogenous variables. World market prices and macro-economic assumptions are exogenous variables. Since the model assumes fixed technology, yields belong amongst exogenous variables. Domestic market and producers’ prices are endogenous, as well as activity levels (areas, herds, outputs), revenues and input demands are endogenous. Control/policy variables represent policy instruments adopted in scenarios. Market relationships are defined by supply and demand functions and market clearance equations. Obviously, elasticities are crucial for well functioning the model. They are calibrated on the base year data, corrected from the literature. The model database is built upon the economic accounts for agriculture for the year 1998. Beside others it contains balances of production and use and commodity cost structures for the given year. 4.1.1.2 Exogenous variables – general sector and macro-economic assumptions 22 Formerly: MFSS99 39 Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic Model simulation requires predictions/ assumptions on exogenous variables. This information was obtained from different sources – specialised crop and livestock research institutes, the Czech National Bank (CNB), governmental predictions etc. The assumptions on the production intensity (yields per hectare, livestock productivity, i.e. milk yielding capacity, daily gains of fattening animals, egg laying etc.), on costs (direct costs, wages and salaries, depreciation, rental and interest values) and on the exchange rate were taken from the study on the impact of EU accession on Czech agriculture, carried out by VUZE for the Governmental Council of Social and Economic Strategies (RASES) (VUZE, 2002). Technological progress is incorporated in the assumption of 1.5% yield increase annually. Development of all costs, except wages, follows inflation (CPI) prediction of the central bank (CNB) i.e. 4.9% annually. Up to 2006, agricultural wages will grow at the same rate (8.5% annually) as the average wages in the national economy (i.e. rapider than the inflation rate). The (dis)parity rate between the agricultural wage and the average is supposed to remain constant. The land prices are supposed to rise of 30 percent (comparing to 2000) after accession. The prediction of world prices is based on FAPRI and OECD projections. 4.1.1.3 Scenarios (policy variables) The analysis of future policies starts with preparing and running a reference scenario. The policy variables are set as in the base year. Thus, the reference run represents changes in model results (production levels, land use and income) just due to changed exogenous variables to the predicted level in simulation year. The reference scenario can also be regarded as non-accession scenario with prolonged current policies. Two of the three accession scenarios relate to the debated accession conditions (the EU position from the mid of 2002 and the Czech position from the same time). The last scenario refers to actual conclusions in Copenhagen in December 2002. The simulation horizon was set to 2006. A rough description of policy variable setting in scenarios is given in Table 12. Table 12 Policy variables in scenarios – the simulation year 2006 Item Type of the Unit policy variable EU proposal Czech position Copenhagen agreement Base area Direct payments Area 2254 2401 2254 Historical yield t/ha hectare 4.18 4.20 4.20 Payment EUR/t 22 63 32 Suckler Cow Ceiling heads 61 230 90 Bulls Ceiling heads 235 305 244 Payment EUR/head 195 296 195 Milk Quota ‘000t 2533 3100 2738 Sugar A+B Quota ‘000 t 455 505 455 Quotas Source: EC 2002, MoA 2002c, MoA 2003 4.1.1.4 Analysis of simulation results Most of the debates amongst the agricultural public in the Czech republic have concerned the effect of negotiation positions on farm gross income. Anticipating it we have assumed 40 Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic that farmers will tend to maximise gross income rather than profit or net income in short term – i.e. from the accession (in 2004) up to 2006. Figure 10 Expected agricultural revenue in individual scenarios 6000 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 Base year Reference EU proposal Crop Production Czech position Copenhagen conculusions Animal Production Detailed results of model simulations are shown in Table 17 in the Appendix. Production structure Evidently, adopting the CAP will increase agricultural revenue in either scenario (Figure 10). It will bring with it changes in production structure too. First of all the ratio between crop and livestock revenues will change significantly (from 42%:58%. in the reference scenario to 35%:65% in the accession scenarios). However in quantitative terms the shifts will differ in the accession scenarios (Table 13); the EU proposal will imply expansion of the crop production by 6 percent, while the livestock output will not really increase. the Czech position is much more favourable for the livestock production, the expansion of 11 percent might be expected, the crop output will decline by 2 percent; the Copenhagen conclusions will promote a slight increase of both the crop and livestock production by 2 and 4 percent respectively. This is to large extent due to direct payments and quotas, which will lead to different production mixes (as they did when simulating scenarios). This is also reflected by different increases of crop and livestock prices, while the overall increase (in respect to the reference scenario) is 24 percent in the all three accession scenarios (Table 13). Table 13 Changes in production structure in respect to reference scenario. Scenario EU proposal Czech position Copenhagen conclusion Quantity index Crop Livestock 1.06 1.00 0.98 1.11 1.02 1.04 Overall 1.02 1.07 1.03 Price index Crop 1.04 1.15 1.08 Livestock 1.36 1.29 1.33 Overall 1.24 1.24 1.24 Note: Fischer indexes The expected increase of livestock revenue is much higher (at least 50%) than of the crop one (about 10%) after accession. The most pronounced jump is will occur in the beef sector, this because beef prices are expected to rise sharply (by 95%). Even the more pronounced increase is calculated for the Czech position scenario since the headage payments are at 100% level and the eligibility ceiling is the largest. The number of fattening bulls will rise by 70, 73 and 67 percent in the accession scenarios. Suckler cows eligible for the premium are Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic 41 at their ceilings in the EU proposal and Copenhagen conclusions scenarios. The optimum number of suckler cows remained below the ceiling by 100 thousand heads in the Czech position scenario. The increase in beef production (not followed by the same increase of domestic consumption) will cause the surplus of beef (necessary to export) rising eight times. The diary sector development is limited by quotas. The revenue would drop by 3.7 percent if the EU proposal was adopted. The Czech position would imply a growth of milk production by 17 percent, the Copenhagen terms will cause just a moderate increase of 4 percent. Pork and poultry results are affected by the assumption of the development of EU prices. These are assumed to be roughly 30 percent above the world prices. Since in the reference scenario the domestic (Czech) price is not exceeding the world price significantly (due to the overhang of supply) the price difference between the reference scenario and the accession scenarios is also around 30 percent. The response of pork and poultry producers to higher prices will result in a growth of revenue by 75 and 60 percent respectively. Figure 11 Expected shifts in animal productions relative to the reference scenario 250% 200% 150% 100% 50% 0% -50% Animal Production Beef EU proposal Pork Czech position Poultry Milk Copenhagen conculusions Land use and crop production The model takes into account only 74 percent of TAL; twenty percent is supposed to be used non-commercially (it relates to results of agricultural census in 1995 and 2000, and 6 percent are supposed to be set aside. Most of this uncounted area is supposed to recruit from arable land. The flexibility is given to the model to convert arable land in grasslands and vice versa. the resulting area of grasslands is area used for feeding animals (cattle), hence, no effect of agri environmental measures is considered. In the reference run, grasslands account 30 percent of the model agricultural area. Only the suckler cow sub-sector is bound to grasslands. Thus the area of grassland depends on the number of suckler cows and moves in the accord with the ceilings on suckler cows numbers. The share of grasslands amounts for only 23 percent in the EU proposal scenario where the number of suckler cows is the lowest (only 61 thousand). Despite the full rate of direct payments in the Czech position, producing beef yields higher return per hectare and the area of grasslands returns to the reference level. The suckler cows ceiling of 90 thousand heads in the Copenhagen conclusions will imply the area of grasslands amounting 26 percent of the model agricultural area. Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic 42 Figure 12 Changes in the crop structure relatively to the reference scenario 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% -5% EU proposal Czech position Copenhagen conculusions -10% Cereals Oilseeds Other Arable Crops Vegetables/Fruits/Prennials The crop structure on arable land (including perennial crops) varies only moderately. The sown area of oilseed will increase in the all three accession scenarios. This increase is high in relative terms (27%, 15%, 27%), but in absolute terms it represents only 30-60 thousand hectares. Cereals compete with beef production and spite of full direct payments, the cereal area is the lowest in the Czech position scenario. The sector income Both sector income and sector efficiency will improve substantially after accession (Figure 13). However, higher direct payments will guide farmers in less efficient production structures. Gross value added at market prices (GVA) is the highest (an increase by 80%) in the EU proposal scenario in which subsidies (mainly direct payments) increase three times against the reference scenario. In the remaining accession scenarios GVA increases at the similar rate - by 67 percent (subsidies rise 7 and 4 times). In contrast, the income, net value added at factor costs (NVA at FC) will be the highest in the Czech position scenario. NVA at FC will more than tripled in comparison to the reference run, mainly to the sharp increase of direct payments. The amount of subsidies will jump 7 times and will reach the share of 36 % on NVA at FC. The EU proposal and the Copenhagen conclusions scenarios give very similar improvements of net value added at factor cost, while subsidies will rise more in the Copenhagen one. Obviously, policy efficiency is lower in the Copenhagen conclusion than in the former EU proposal, unless other objectives are followed. The other objective can for example rest in reducing farmers’ risk when they seek for the optimal structure. Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic 43 Figure 13 The changes in sector income according to the scenarios relatively to the reference scenario 300% 800% 600% 400% Subsidies Value added 200% 100% 200% 0% 0% EU proposal GVA Czech position NVA at FC Copenhagen conculusions Subsidies 4.1.2 Farm Level Analysis 4.1.2.1 The organisation and efficiency debate At the outset of transition, Czech collectivised agriculture was widely perceived to be inefficient (Csaki and Lerman, 1996). On the basis of theoretical arguments concerning the superior efficiency of family farming (Schmitt, 1991), many predicted the disappearance of co-operatives and other large collectivised farms, as variations in productivity would lead to a wholesale transfer to individual farming. Others (Gorton and Davidova, 2002) have argued that the superiority of individual farming has been overstated and that the capacity of other structures of production to be efficient has been underestimated. Empirical evidence on changing farm structures in the region indicates that the co-operative sector's share of total agricultural area (TAA) has shrunk, but the complete collapse of co-operative farming has not occurred (3.1.2). Arguments for the superiority of family farms over other organisational types in agricultural production have been based on the need to minimise both production and transaction costs. As the costs of supervision and monitoring of hired labour in agriculture can be high, it has been claimed that family farms are a superior organisational form as they minimise transaction costs (Schmitt, 1993). Focusing on collectivised agriculture in the centrally planned economies, Schmitt (1993) adds to this argument the principal-agent problem in producer co-operatives where the members can vote out the manager so that there can be disincentives for the manager to monitor workers. Since 1989, the Czech Republic has witnessed a growth in individual farming but not a rapid transformation to a predominance of family farms envisaged by some (Beckmann, 1996). By 1999, individual farms, including part-time farming, managed just over 20 per cent of TAA; the rest was managed by corporate farms. Three previous studies (Hughes, 2000, Mathijs and Swinnen, 2000, Curtiss, 2000) on farm performance in the Czech Republic have sought to identify the determinants of variations in Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic 44 efficiency, investigating principally the role of size and organisational type. They have, however, found mixed support for the propositions drawn from the literature. The pattern of increase in average productivity, reflecting scale efficiencies followed by diseconomies of scale at higher farm sizes, is present with economies of scale for arable farming up to 750 ha. Arable farms under 150 ha are regarded as significantly less efficient in all three studies. These studies on data for the mid-1990s point to small farms in the Czech Republic being relatively less efficient than in several other CEECs (Hughes, 2000). Both Hughes (2000) and Mathijs and Swinnen (2000) found that individual private farms were significantly more productive than corporate farms for livestock farming but not crop production. Curtiss's (2000) analysis of crop production in the Czech Republic found that cooperatives performed better for wheat and rapeseed cultivation compared to individual farms but that the latter were superior with regard to sugar beet production. It therefore appears that arguments that co-operatives or other forms of corporate farming are inherently less efficient, for all types of farming, compared to family farms are misplaced. Even for commodities or types of farming where the average corporate farm is less productive than the average family farm, one still sees some co-operatives and companies which are on the frontier or registering high TFP scores (Hughes, 2000; Mathijs and Vranken, 1999). It appears that at least some corporate farms can solve the internal governance problems alluded to in the literature, or that there are some types of farming for which such problems are less severe. The lack of clear evidence of the superiority of one organisational form could also be due to the fact that with the progress of transition factors other than the organisational form, e.g. technology or agri-environmental conditions, have increased in importance with regard to shaping farm performance. For this reason the approach taken here is to identify clusters of farms and to consider the performance of different clusters without focusing exclusively on groups formed by one particular organisational form. The procedure of clustering is detailed below. 4.1.2.2 Data and the approach Data from the Czech Republic's FADN for 1999 were utilised. The Czech sample is surveyed annually in March and included about 1,087 agricultural enterprises of physical and legal persons (Table 14). After checking out 264 farms with poor (inconsistent) records, the sample analysed included 823 farms. Table 14 compares the characteristics of the individual and corporate farms included in the FADN sample (the 823 useable records for 1999) against returns from the Czech Republic's agricultural census. In the Czech Republic there are two main legal types of individual undertaking in agriculture: (a) trade law farmers, subjected to business regulations (Trade Law) like other full liability businesses and (b) solely operating farmers, with less strict regulations. Comparing the FADN sample with returns from the agricultural census, the former is biased to larger individual farms (in both the trade law and solely operating categories). For example, the average size of individual farms in the FADN sample is 134 ha compared against 18 ha in the agricultural census. Comparing the average size of co-operatives and joint stock companies, there are not significant differences although the mean size of limited liability companies in the FADN sample is larger than that recorded in the census. The data for each farm in the sample contained total revenue and five cost items: total labour costs for hired labour including social insurance contributions, intermediate consumption (working capital), land rent, interest, and depreciation. In addition, land and labour were also given in physical units, hectares and annual work units respectively. Labour was sub-divided into hired and family input. Land area was given as a total and rented. 45 Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic For the purposes of this analysis family labour was valued at regional farm unit labour costs (farms in FADN are classified in 76 administrative regions). The variation in the regional labour costs is between 1,681 EUR and 3,900 EUR per year.23 In order to calculate the regional rent that is applied to the owned land, the agri-environmental regions were used as they better reflect the differences in land quality. The variation in rent is from 6 to 30 EUR per ha. According to the regional conditions for farming, the Czech Republic is divided into five agrienvironmental regions, notionally called the maize region, sugar beet region, cereal region, potato region, and mountainous-forage region (Hughes 2000). The most favourable for arable agriculture is the maize region and they are listed in a descending order. Table 14 Structure and Representativeness of the FADN farm sample for the Czech Republic Individual Farms Total Not identified legal form Trade Law Farmers Solely Operating Farmer Other Corporate Farms Total Ltd Joint Stock Co-ops State organisations Other Czech Republic Total Agrocensus (2000) Number Agricultural Average Land area 53 460 962 325 18 FADN Sample (1999) Number Agricultural Average Land area 513 68741 134 18 098 26 908 1 3 384 31 721 68 772 863 870 20 27 11 502 4248 64493 386 128 257 3 027 2 775 2 680 843 11 886 310 473120 1526 1 479 621 746 105 75 56 487 795 359 779 732 1 059 453 38 997 7 007 3 643 168 538 1 256 1 420 371 93 64 61 95 154 65499 166165 241456 1074 1749 1568 823 541 861 658 Source: Czech statistical office, Agrocensus, 2000, own calculations In order to investigate the common features of farms with different financial and structural characteristics, cluster analysis was employed as it is suitable for defining groups of objects, with the maximum homogeneity within the groups while having maximum heterogeneity between the groups (Hair et al., 1998). Structural characteristics/variables included: i) measures of size: total labour measured in annual work units, total output including the net current subsidies, total assets, and the utilised agricultural area; ii) two measures of specialisation: Herfindal index and the share of crop output; iii) two measures of the degree of intensification: the amount of land per annual work unit (AWU) with larger scores indicating lower levels of intensification, the quantity of depreciation per annual work unit, in which case higher values are used as proxies that there is more capital per worker employed; iv) two variables to account for the degree of dependence on direct subsidies: total net current subsidies and the percentage of the value 23 For all conversion purposes the average exchange rate for 1999 was applied, 36.8862 CZK/EUR. 46 Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic of output derived from direct subsidies; v) two variables to account for the use of paid primary factors, the percentage of rented land, and the percentage of paid labour, vi) standard financial ratios: debt to assets ratio and leverage. To these continuous variables, two sets of dummy variables were added. The first one related to farm type, the other one to agrienvironmental region. To reduce the number of structural variables and also to work with uncorrelated set of characteristic factor analysis, the method of principal component with varimax rotation was used. For the assessment of farm performance 6 indicators were used, the total factor productivity index, four profitability ratios and financial stress ratio. Box 2 Farm performance indicators24 TFP – Tornqvist-Theil total factor productivity index Profitability ratios CRS - Cost/(Revenue + Subsidy) ratio CR – Cost/Revenue ratio P_CB - Cost at opportunity factor costs/Revenue ratio (P_CB) S_CB – Opportunity costs/ Opportunity Revenues (SCB) Financial stress – (Rents and interests)/ Gross Value Added ratio Other Financial indicators Indebtedness - Total liabilities/Total assets ratio Leverage – total liabilities/Net worth 4.1.2.3 Results of the performance assessment The most striking feature of the overall profitability results is the low level of farm returns (Table 15). The majority of farms are unprofitable under the three ratios. Out of 823 farms, 662 were loss making (80.4 per cent) applying the P_CB measure. In general, less than a quarter of UAA and labour input were within profitable farms, and they produced between 21 and 28 per cent of the total agricultural output in 1999 (the percentage varies with the measure). Table 15 Descriptive Statistics, Profitability Ratios, Czech FADN Sample, 1999 Max Min Average Standard Deviation No of profitable farms No of loss making farms % of profitable farms % of sample UAA in profitable farms % of sample output in profitable farms % of sample labour input in profitable farms P_CB 4.938 0.442 1.227 0.376 161 662 20 17 21 16 Source: Davidova et al. 2002 24 for detail definitions see Davidova et al. 2002 C_R 3.593 0.423 1.089 0.307 309 514 38 19 23 17 C_R s 3.614 0.423 1.006 0.250 399 424 48 26 28 22 Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic 47 An analysis of covariance (ANCOVA) for the 1999 TFP index as well as profitability ratios indicated that structural characteristics like size (measured in terms of total assets), agrienvironmental region and degree of specialisation are significant determinants of farm productivity (Table 10). When these variables are controlled for, the farm type (legal form) is not significant. Individual farms have the highest standard deviation in TFP scores. Small farms specialisation in crop production (with assets up to 81,000 EUR) had above average TFP scores in 1999, while small, mixed farms (weighted to livestock) were characterised by relatively low productivity. It appears that individual farms are better in crop production than in livestock, which is in contrast to some previous findings (Mathijs and Swinnen, 2000). A seven-cluster solution was obtained. The main characteristics of the clusters can be identified as follows: Cluster 1: Large individual farms mainly located in the sugar beet production region plus a small number located in the maize region. Overall, the farms in this cluster operate in favourable agri-environmental conditions. Farms are relatively small in relation to all size measures when compared to the average for the sample, but they are rather large for individual farms in the Czech Republic. The farms in the cluster have clear specialisation in crop production, accounting for 76 per cent of the gross output. These farms have the highest values for the quantity of land and capital per unit of labour. They appear to be the most capitalised farms in the sample. They use some paid factors although the percentage of rented land (67.8) and paid labour (28.2) is relatively small compared to the sample average. Cluster 2: Smaller Individual farms, located in the cereal production region. Compared to Cluster 1, these farms operate in poorer agri-environmental conditions. These are the smallest farms in the sample and they are far smaller than the individual farms in Cluster 1, particularly as gross output and total assets are concerned. According to these two size indicators, farms in Cluster 2 are less than a half of the farm size in Cluster 1. Farms in this group present some degree of specialisation in crop production but to a lesser extent than farms in Cluster 1. They use more labour per units of land and capital than farms in Cluster 1 Cluster 3: Limited liability companies situated mostly in the sugar beet and cereal production regions. These are large farms utilising mostly rented (state) land and hired labour. They are not specialised. The ratios reflecting land and capital per annual work unit are slightly better than for co-operatives but still much lower than those for individual farms in Clusters 1 and 2. Cluster 4: Production co-operatives located in the sugar beet and cereal production regions. Overall, the agri-environmental conditions for the farms in this cluster are favourable. These are large farms, operating an average area of 1,510 ha, with the majority of the land rented and a dependence on hired labour. They are not specialised. The land and capital per annual work unit are below the averages recorded for individual farms in Cluster 1 and 2. Cluster 5: Joint-stock companies located in the sugar beet and cereal regions. They operate in relatively good agri-environmental conditions. These are the largest farms in the sample, operating on average more than 2,000 ha. Like the co-operatives and limited liability companies, they rent the vast majority of the land they farm and use hired labour. Farms in Cluster 5 show some specialisation in livestock production, but still 43 per cent of the value of gross output is generated by crops. These are the farms with the lowest capital intensity in the sample and the lowest acreage per annual work unit. Cluster 6: Farms situated in the potato region (Other LFA, O-LFA). These are individual farms (55 per cent) and production co-operatives (34 per cent). In contrast to the previous 3 Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic 48 clusters, agri-environmental circumstances rather than organisation form define the cluster. The potato region is an upland area with poor soil fertility and presents unfavourable conditions for arable farming. The farms in this cluster are not specialised and their gross revenue is derived almost equally from crop and livestock production. The cluster is comprised of a mixture of large corporate and small individual farms and the values for rented land and hired labour reflect this mix. Production is not capital intensive. Cluster 7: All the farms from the mountainous region (M-LFA). Most of them are individual farms (65 per cent) or limited liability companies (17.5 per cent). These farms operate in the worst agri-environmental conditions in the Czech Republic. Not surprisingly for mountainous farms, they are specialised in livestock production. The farms in this cluster are quite extensive; they have large values of land per unit of labour and are near the sample average for capital per unit of labour. The first observation from the cluster formation is that there are clearly distinguished better and worse agri-environmental conditions, and that the management form is important characteristic of farms in better conditions. The difference in labour and capital intensity between farm types is quite large (Figure 14). The ratio of labour units per 100 hectares is substantially lower for individual farms (Clusters 1 and 2) than for corporate farms (Clusters 3, 4 and 5). The high figure for co-operatives (and joint-stock companies) is consistent with some theoretical propositions that due to their cooperative principles of voting production co-operatives have difficulties in restructuring and shedding labour when many members contribute labour. Capital intensity per hundred hectares follows the pattern of labour intensity, there is less difference between individual and corporate farming. In turn, capital intensity in terms of total assets per a labour unit is much higher (30-40 %) in individual farms. Farms in less favoured areas deploy labour and capital at the average rate. 6.0 140 5.0 120 4.0 100 80 3.0 60 2.0 40 1.0 20 0 AWU 100 hectare 160 0.0 In d F1 (1 64 ha ) In dF 2( 95 ha ) Lt d( 10 89 ha C ) oo ps (1 51 1h Jo a) in tS t.( 20 08 ha O ) -L FA (6 74 ha ) M -L FA (5 53 ha ) '000 EUR per AWU, per 100 hectare Figure 14 Labour and capital intensity in farm clusters Average area, hectare Assets/AWU AWU/100ha Assets/100 hectare Source: Davidova et al. 2002 Indebtedness of farms varies considerably (Figure 15). The debt to assets ratio is particularly worrying for limited liability companies and co-operatives. The limited liability farms are the most indebted within the sample. Their financial situation is however shaped by their Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic 49 outstanding liabilities to the state for acquiring assets from former state farms. As limited liability companies pay little interest on state loans, they have limited financial stress. Referring to our description of the recent situation (3.1.2.1) there was a kind of writing off of these debts through devaluation of former state assets in 2001. It decreased the liability to state, hence the value of total liabilities one side, but lowered the value of total assets on the other hand. Our estimation is that the debt to assets ratio could drop by 10-20 percentage points for this category. The indebtedness of co-operatives is the second worst in the sample. This is, however, due to the way this organisational form was established during the reform process. Producer co-operatives in the Czech Republic have mainly non-bank longterm liabilities that can be referred to as ‘reform debts’. These are liabilities to owners of cooperative assets who received shares during the land reform process but decided not to farm individually and left them within the co-operative without becoming members. However, the co-operatives have not yet repaid these debts. This is reflected in relatively low financial stress, measured by the ratio of rents and interest payments to the gross value added, which is no higher than the values for the individual farms in Cluster 1. The level of bank credits in respect to total assets is not high in any cluster. Actually, it is rather low. This is consistent with the overall complain that the access to bank credits is difficult. From the interviews we learned that farms carrying “reform” debts are not regarded as credible borrowers and that smaller farmers are considered as too small and risky partner for the banking sector. Overall financial stress (caused by borrowed capital) is low – it is the highest for joint stock companies, but not critical. However, if we take in the context of profitability – as result and labour intensity, as organisation we see that farms are in actual financial stress, caused mainly to high share of compensations of labour on the value added (3.3). Figure 15 Financial viability of Czech farms 1 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 IndF1 IndF2 Ltd Coops DebToAs BankToAs JointSt. O-LFA M-LFA FinStress Source: Davidova et al. 2002 The level of support increases with worsening natural conditions. The share of subsidies on the gross income (revenue plus subsidies) was three-four times higher in mountain regions than in the other clusters. On average, the share of subsidies on gross income is not high ( in other than mountain regions it is between 4 and 6 percent), but since the gross value added is narrow, the resulting income/profitability depend to large extent on subsidies (3.3). Individual farms from the first cluster did the best in terms of the performance results achieved. The mean TFP score for the cluster is slightly above 1. On average, farms are profitable according to two of the profitability ratios, Cost-Revenue without subsidies and Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic 50 Cost-Revenue with subsidies. Despite that farms in Cluster 1 are sensitive to the valuation of own resources at shadow costs, as they employ a great deal of own labour and land, they still have relatively low the Private Cost-Benefit ratio (comparable to Cooperatives, Cluster 4). The performance of individual farms in Cluster 2 is weak, although the profitability ratios are sound if factors are not valued at opportunity costs. The total factor productivity index is below one, and P_CP and S_CB ratios are the worst of the non-LFA clusters. The stark contrast in performance compared to Cluster 1 exemplifies the great variations that exist between individual farms in the Czech Republic. Figure 16 Farm performance in clusters 1.600 20% 1.500 1.400 15% 1.300 1.200 10% 1.100 1.000 5% 0.900 0.800 0% IndF1 IndF2 ltd Coops JointSt. O-LFA SubsSh TFP index Cost (Revenue+Subsidy) ratio Cost Revenue ratio P_CB ratio S_CB ratio M-LFA Note: Productivity, better performance if TFP >1, Profitability indicators, profitable if the ratios are below 1. Differences in performance significant at 0.01 using, ANOVA for individual indicators and MANOVA for all. Source: Davidova et al. 2002 The producer co-operatives (Cluster 4) have the highest productivity in the sample but they are unprofitable according to all the ratios. However, on average their profitability is not far from the break-even point, particularly on Cost-Revenue with subsidies ratio The companies (Clusters 3 and 5) perform similarly. They both exhibit average productivity, but are unprofitable according to all four profitability ratios. Farm productivity deteriorates quickly with worsening agri-environmental conditions. So does the profitability. Despite significant transfers, the average profitability was still the lowest in the mountainous cluster. It can be also well that in 1999 most of farms were under the conversion to beef cattle and pastoral production, having just cost but producing little. The Report on the State of Czech Agriculture in 2001, (MoA 2002) indicated that net value added in mountain LFA was still below the national average, but the gap had narrowed. Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic 51 4.1.3 Policy Implications Both the sector performance and the sector efficiency will improve substantially after the Czech republic joins the EU and adopts CAP. The sector gross value added will rise due to higher prices (on average of 24 % than it would be if the CR stayed aside). Direct payments will imply an additional substantial improvement of income (NVA at FC). However, the gradual increase of direct payments toward the 100 percent is likely to guide farmers in less efficient production structures (decrease of GVA), although farmers will continue to be better off. This increasing policy inefficiency will hardly be social justifiable, unless other objectives are followed. De-coupling of direct payments may allow both i) following the objective of protecting farmers against income risk and ii) letting farmers seek for the (economically) optimal structure. Adopting CAP will improve farm profitability without doubts. The fact that most of the price increase will meet livestock products implies that the advantage of specialized crop producers may be reduce or entirely offset. It may help framers in less favoured areas too, since they are significantly specialized in livestock production, and particularly in beef. On the other hand higher prices and direct payments may shelter inefficiencies and the variation in farm productivity may remain large. It is a question how much of increased income will be reinvested in improving farm productivity, and how much will flow out of the sector in form of increased rents and wages. Production co-operatives will certainly be exposed to higher press of non-member capital holder to be compensated if the sector income has improved. In the other word, policy makers should be aware that there are more stakeholders than only farmers who will spend effort to capture at least a bit of the benefit from the CAP. Thus the resulting improvement of income of the rural population engaging in farming will not necessary be as good as it might seem now. 4.2 Rural Development 4.2.1 Assessment of the farm sector potential to contribute to rural development Historically, agriculture and its ancillary support were central economic activities, the dominant resource users and the primary sources of income in rural areas. However, the role of agriculture changed in the last century and it has been ever changing over the present century. Obviously, agriculture and rural areas were at a different level of development compared to west Europe and central and eastern Europe. The secular decline of agriculture in the total economy, in terms of agricultural output and workforce in national economy coupled with major changes in the social and economic orientations of increasing numbers of its population, has left only a minority of rural communities revolving around farming. The fact that agricultural has several roles in addition to the production of agricultural goods and food is widely recognised. There is no doubt that the time when farmers were expected to produce mainly agricultural commodities to ensure sufficient food supply is far away. In contemporary times, it is internationally recognised that agriculture plays an important role for the environment, the rural landscape and also for rural development. However, it would be misleading to state that only the farm sector itself is able to contribute significantly to rural development, employment in rural areas and increasing the standard of living in these areas. 4.2.1.1 Farm diversification Individual farms or plots occupied less than 0,4 per cent of the total agricultural area. These farms employed about 2000 people (those who had only one job or full-time job in Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic 52 agriculture). Therefore, the private sector played an insignificant role in the pre-reform period, so non-agricultural diversification was, in practise, an unknown term. Concerning cooperatives, they had some freedom with regard to their non-agricultural enterprises. Income generated through these activities could be retained by the farm. State farms did not have this flexibility. Therefore, collective farms had more developed non-agricultural activities than state farms. According to OECD, non-agricultural activities accounted for 20 per cent of market production and 50 per cent of profits on collective farms. During the transformation process, numerous non-agricultural enterprises broke away from the state and collective farms. These enterprises were privatised so that the employees engaged in these enterprises were partly responsible for the rapid decline in agricultural employment during transformation process. The early expectation that land and other farm asset privatisation would stimulate the creation of many commercial family farms, similar to those prevalent in Western European countries, has not been realised. Some of the owners reclaimed only part of their land (about 2 ha) from the collective in order to form an individual farm. In these cases, the owners are often pluriactive, earning their main income from a non-agricultural activity or off-farm jobs. Some of the small individual farmers who started during the reforms are dependent on social benefits (mostly pensions, unemployment benefits, etc.). Those people who had land restituted from the former collectives had the option to enter agriculture or to rent out the land. Therefore, some of these persons diversified into agriculture during the reforms. However, since not all farmers had an agricultural education or experience some of the newly established farms later ceased and rented the land back to the production co-ops or to other companies. Farm income and diversification The current question which this part of the strategy paper is trying to answer is “How diversification of farm agents may contribute to rural development and which constraints and weaknesses need to be overcome to stabilise declining rural areas in terms of employment and income availability”. It is widely recognised (and already stated above) that agriculture no longer plays a key role neither at national level nor in many rural (regional) areas. 53 Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic Figure 17 Frequency of the sources of household income between 1990 and 2000 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Farming Agr. paid employment Non-agric. paid employment Diversified enterprises Income source Subsidies 1990 Unearned income 1995 2000 Source: Chaplin et al. 2002 It is generally recognised today that there is a wide discrepancy between producer and consumer price trends resulting in a low profitability in general. On the other hand, it was found that one of the main determinants of farm performance is the agri-environmental region to which a farm belongs in the Czech Republic. Diversification of income portfolio seems to be one possible solution for many farmers faced by low farm productivity, profitability and income. In addition, diversification is seen as a potential driver for rural development. This is largely because diversification by enterprise creation can increase the incomes of agricultural households or businesses and also may create jobs for other rural dwellers. Increased incomes of agricultural households or businesses may aid in rural development in that a proportion of this income is likely to be spent within the locality, thereby, helping to drive the local economy. However, it would be misleading to state that allocation of farmers` resources outside the farm sector would be able to resolve the issue of farm income and the changing role of agriculture in the rural economy. Inevitably, most of the activities have only minority importance individually when compared with conventional agricultural production. However, their potential range and diversity means they could have considerable significance in aggregate, especially in certain locations or among particular sizes and types of farm holding. Simultaneously, the whole strategy is based on the assumption that different types of farms and companies express various ranges of performance and productivity and as such they require specific solutions and attitudes. Even if the proportion of farm and off-farm income is varied significantly over the legal forms and sizes in the Czech Republic, agricultural families with off-farm income have become an important part of the agricultural population. Figure 17 shows the frequencies of the sources of total household income. The next subsection deals with the main results obtained from the survey and case studies undertaken where just two paragraphs are concerned with farm incomes. Results obtained from the survey and case studies Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic 54 The original owners or their heirs gained back land and other property in the restitution. Some of these owners moved into agriculture and not only from the agricultural sector but even from entirely different branches. The survey discovered that 25% of farm households moved into agriculture and the most influential factor seems to be related to gaining land during the land reform. It is clear that this phenomenon has had a positive effect, for experience gained in different branches enlarges possibilities for diversification. The sample consisted of 102 corporate farms of which 37 were co-operatives, 24 joint-stock companies and 41 limited liability companies. In 2000 there were 158 diversified enterprises recorded, provided that a farm can maintain more than one enterprise. In 1990 there were only 81 enterprises recorded in the sample thus the frequency of diversification through the creation of enterprises has increased over the period 1990-2000. In 2000, farming was responsible for generating 65 per cent of total household income in the survey sample. The number of respondents for non-agricultural activity rose during the period from 49 in 1995 to 56 in 2000, showing an increase in the number of diversified farms (see graph 1). Diversified enterprises have created jobs on 21 corporate farms giving rise to 219 full-time jobs and 10 part-time jobs. Most employees were recruited locally (about 3/4), the rest were recruited regionally. These numbers correspond the hypothesis that diversification supports regional employment. The research found out that a greater increase of diversified enterprises occurred between 1990 and 1995 than 1995-2000. It is not surprising when we realise that in the first half of the last decade many market segments were not occupied, therefore, it was easier to enter the market then than now. On the contrary, managers were lacking experience in running business under the new market conditions and due to this fact some enterprises were terminated. It is important to mention that farms finished their business activity when it became non-profitable. The main reasons were a decrease in demand, intensifying competition and changes in demand preferences. The survey revealed that 71% corporate farms have their origin in a former co-operative. Founders of these successors often worked in the previous collective and are mostly members of the management and the board of directors. Managers suggest new diversified activities and submit a business plan almost in all cases. Approving procedures are dependent on legal forms. The board of directors approve or reject suggestions in joint stock companies and co-operatives, the group of owners make decisions in limited liability companies. Economic criteria are the most relevant during the decision making process. It is necessary to emphasise the fact that almost every farm surveyed concentrated primarily on farming. Ninety-three percent of labour was allocated to agricultural activity and this activity also accounted for on average 87 percent of total revenue in 2000. Managers focus on farming preferentially (as for their time allocation and effort) and their objective is to make agricultural activity profitable. But this aim is not met in many cases, therefore, the revenue from non-agricultural activity makes an essential contribution to the viability of the whole farm. The corporate farms indicated that the most important reasons for diversifying were to generate additional income and a need to smooth income. More options are available for farm households to diversify their revenues. Besides income from agricultural core activities, the farm households also have an opportunity to generate income from non-agricultural on-farm enterprises and off-farm enterprises. Members of households can also be engaged in off-farm employment (we distinguish between agricultural and non-agricultural employment). Governmental and private transfers account for another quite considerable part of household revenue. Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic 55 The survey revealed that during the period 1990-2000 there has been increase in income from farming. There have also been significant increases in governmental transfers and they account for the second most important revenue item. In the mentioned period of time there has also been an increase in income from non-agricultural on-farm and off-farm enterprises. On the contrary, agricultural and non-agricultural paid employment was declining, with agricultural paid employment to a greater extent. This is probably due to the persons ceasing to be employed in state farms and collectives and having begun to farm their own land obtained during the reform process. Governmental and private transfers have both increased in frequency with governmental transfers to a greater extent. The survey found out that diversifiers tend to have low levels of unearned income, high general education, smaller farms and younger heads of households. It was confirmed that higher general education and lower unearned income considerably increase the likelihood of gaining off-farm jobs and also has a positive effect on the creation of on-farm and off-farm businesses. As far as the government transfers are concerned, there is a negative correlation (it means that propensity to diversification declines with higher income). The main reasons for diversification (for households) have been generating additional income and the need to smooth income. Off-farm employment was motivated mostly by the opportunity of off-farm work and for the purpose of generating additional income. Again it has been confirmed that revenue instability from agriculture compels households to look for other sources of income. Economic criteria play a key role in terms of decision making about diversification. Out of the 217 household farms surveyed (registered and unregistered), there were 120 diversified enterprises recorded, with farm households able to have more than one enterprise. Diversification created 18 full-time jobs and 3 part-time jobs on 8 farms. On 5 farms, the jobs were taken by family members who either performed non-essential farm work or preferred non-agricultural to farm work. Where new employees were recruited, they were mostly recruited locally. An important finding has been that successful diversification is closely related to the entrepreneurs’ marketing knowledge and experiences gained. In other words, businesses which have been successful were based on customer demand and their founders have had sufficient skills in the running the business. A good business idea and experience on the field were behind the success. The quality of goods and services plays the relevant role as well. The selling or leasing of buildings and land to other persons and companies for business purposes has occurred on 53 occasions. These businesses have resulted in the creation of 1, 024 full-time jobs. Such businesses have created more employment then diversified enterprises. However, the research has uncovered weaknesses of this business as well. The lessees of buildings and land (prevailingly firms from non-agricultural sectors) often recruit new employees locally. If the lessee goes out of business or decides to leave the premises, recruited employees become unemployed. Unfortunately, we found out that it is generally more and more difficult to find a new lessee because there are surpluses of premises for lease and companies tend to move from rural areas to bigger towns. Some of the managers claimed that nowadays the time taken to find a new tenant could be more than one year. Similarly, jobs were also created in 14 cases (resulting in total of 60 full-time jobs and one part-time job) by business development which occurred on farm land or buildings which had been leased out or sold by agricultural households. Compared to corporate farms this suggests that corporate farms are more likely to diversify through business development. The most common cases were empty premises which were used for animal production before and for which now managers look for another usage. Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic 56 The following paragraph is related to the identification of strengths, weaknesses, threats and opportunities which are related to non-agricultural diversification of farms and companies. A. Strengths Surplus of production factors – the development of the farm sector has brought about a different farm structure after 1989. The decline of animal production was more significant than the decline of crop production. As a result some outbuildings designed for livestock breeding are operating under-capacity. The survey has proved that there is some surplus production capacity (mainly building, stores, etc.). Basically, these building may be either sold or rented out (which does not require large investments) or renovated them (which is, however, more demanding). Diversification as a stabiliser of revenue – it was found that diversified income plays a significant role in the financial management of companies which diversified. Diversified income is considered to be income which, in some cases, supports agricultural production. Thus, it is not surprising that management (farmers) of diversified enterprises are open to undertaking these activities in years to come, if these enterprises are profitable. Positive perception of diversification – both managers and household farmers have a positive view of diversification. They perceive that diversification is for progressive farmers and, on the other hand, most respondents strongly disagree that it indicates poor farming skills. Human capital on the individual farms – about 25 per cent of farmers worked outside agriculture before entering it as an individual farmer. Since these people gained some knowledge and experience beforehand, they may be likely to start new nonagricultural activities. B. Weaknesses Lack of capital – it was proved that a lack of capital is a problem when starting a diversified enterprise . Individual farmers have confirmed (as well as the corporate farms) that their propensity to diversify might increase if financial supports (seeding money, loan guarantees, tax exemption, etc.) are available. Using cluster analysis, it was found that 67 per cent of the sub-sample of non-enterprise diversifiers find lack of financial capital to be an impediment. Taking legal form into consideration, cooperatives seem to be the most influenced by this because of their transformation debts dating back to the early 90s. On the other hand, individual farms may be disadvantaged when asking for a loan because of their relatively small revenues which make these farms unstable in terms of revenues (profitability) and thus, handicapped. Concentrating on agriculture – corporate farms indicated that the main reason for not diversifying (taking up off-farm employment in case of members of households) was a desire to concentrate on farming and, for households, a lack of time for diversified activities. As cluster analysis revealed, these farmers typically have larger farms. A commitment to agriculture, causing a reluctance to diversify income is difficult to change. In fact, there is a positive relationship between concentration on farming and farm size and, on the other hand, a negative correlation between concentration on agriculture and a prospect to diversify. Lack of professional knowledge and experience with running the business outside the farm sector – it was confirmed that farmers and managers have a positive perception of diversification (as already stated), however, they are aware of limitations in human Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic 57 capital (managers` knowledge). More than half of all managers have agricultural university education and only 1 per cent non-agricultural university education. There are groups of households in which low education of their members is an impediment in taking on a new job. On the other hand, higher education is positively correlated with diversification on farm. It can be stated that knowledge of managers or individual farmers in the field e.g. marketing, quality management, etc. are still lacking. C. Threats Low attractiveness of agriculture – the income disparity between the national economy and the agricultural sector has made the sector unattractive particularly, for young and educated people. This is a problem, amongst others, of management of companies which have to look for prospective workers in order to replace those who are going to retire soon. Competitive pressure – with respect to future EU accession the market conditions are likely to become less liberal in terms of competitive pressure. Under these conditions both farms and companies will have to adjust (structural adjustment) their businesses if they are to survive. The more intensive pressure on improving managers’ knowledge and skills is expected which is likely to influence further diversified enterprises. Negative correlation between farm revenues and diversification – obviously, farmers want to have profitable agricultural enterprises. If they are profitable, their willingness to diversify is likely to go down. Corporate farms were able to indicate a negative effect of agricultural support policies on diversification. Therefore, it would be reasonable to expect decreasing propensity to diversify in the next years with respect to EU accession and supposed farm income stabilisation. Regional unemployment – it was identified to be a significant constraint in taking up off-farm jobs in particular for lower educated family members. Slightly more then 30 per cent of those household members who do not take off-farm jobs were discouraged by high regional unemployment. Remoteness and public transport – even these aspects were not proved to be important impediments in diversification in general; in some cases the respondents identified remoteness as a pressing issue, which requires a search for possible solutions. D. Opportunities Increasing Attractiveness of Agri-tourism Production of local-specified products Production of renewable resource energy, waste recycle Utilisation of IT Development in rural areas 4.2.1.2 Factors hampering undertaking in non-agricultural rural economy Human capital as a relevant factor of successful diversification Appropriate knowledge and skills appear, among others, to be key in determining the success of an enterprise. Proper utilisation of human capital in a company is a necessary condition for successful strategy implementation. In case of co-operatives, the initiatives for diversification usually came from the members of management who had already managed the former original collective. It appeared that these persons played a key role in successful Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic 58 transformation due to their “strong” position not only in co-operatives but also in a village itself where they had been living and thus, were well-known there. It seems that managers’ “strong” positions are also very important in newly established companies where they took up positions in the management team and on the board of directors as well. They also often have great influence over the shareholders because of their large shareholdings. In one joint stock company analysed members of the management team are the same people as those acting as the members of board of directors. Thus, plans are proposed and approved by the same people. However, this is not only the case for joint stock companies but also for cooperatives where some of managers are also on the board of directors. In some cases, managers have the greatest shareholdings. This may result in more fluent decision-making on one side and, on the other hand the lack of control over the management may result in the company following objectives which are in favour of the management and not necessarily in favour of the owners. From the diversification point of view, it is necessary to state that in general it is managers who are generating idea to diversify and starting diversified enterprises. In addition to the cases where diversified enterprises have failed, managers are generally positive in respect to their attitudes towards diversification. However, the executive bodies of companies have the power to approve or reject their decisions. With respect to decision-making within the management team and executives bodies (board of directors, supervision committee), there were no observed constraints which might have a negative influence on diversification. The above stated facts can be supported by the fall in interest of shareholders in participating in decision-making demonstrated by a decrease in attendance at annual general meetings (AGMs). The reasons explaining a lack of interest are mostly that: due to their low shareholdings their votes are insignificant; most of shareholders/members live away from the villages where AGMs are held, making the journey costly; low dividends (rents) gained. These factors have brought about a lack of interest on the part of members. So, it was identified that decision-making within a company as a whole is relatively complicated in co-operatives where it is seen to be a possible constraint to further development (it might be defined as “everybody wants to make-decision but nobody is willing to take the responsibility”). It is less complicated in JSCs and even less so in LLCs where the decision-making process rests in the hands of the owners which is advantageous to simple and fast decision making. As already mentioned, most of the current managers had the same roles in the former coops and therefore have appropriate skills and knowledge for running diversified enterprises. This may create an incentive for at least considering running a non-agricultural business. However, their previous experience of running businesses was gained under different economic conditions with low exposure to economic forces in a planned economy. Looking at owners, there is a lack of interest on the part of minor shareholders and members, resulting in poor effort in both agricultural and non-agricultural production process and a shortage of proposals regarding new ideas. According to the managers, it is rare for new ideas or suggestions to be generated by both shareholders/members and employees. The lack of ideas from employees may be partly explained by the fact, that on average, 90 per cent of farms paid a fixed wage and only 10 per cent a wage dependent on profit. Only approximately 40 per cent of members or shareholders provide labour so that only a few have an incentive to generate ideas which may retain jobs, while all would have an incentive to increase their dividends. Finally, it can be concluded that contemporary human capital in corporate farms does not seem to be in favour of further business development. Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic 59 Unfortunately, the age structure (which might be further developed) of the labour force supports this conclusion. Case studies in individual farms have indicated that successful diversification is achieved due to the marketing knowledge and the experience of farm household members. The farmers who were interviewed for the case studies identified the utilisation of market opportunities along with good skills to be important for success along with providing high quality goods or services. Availability of human capital for diversification It is necessary to state that diversification occurred mainly as a result of surplus resources (surplus of capital or surplus of labour) together with the identification of a market opportunity. However, surplus of labour appeared to be a controversial factor in diversification. Even if a surplus of labour existed in most of the companies analysed, according to the managers a lack of specialists (in some cases blue-collar workers as well) has been identified as a constraint to the development of further agricultural and nonagricultural activities. In one company a manager confirmed this fact by saying: “In the case where we would like to diversify by starting a new activity there are no qualified people available at all in our company”. This situation is intensified when a company is situated near a large town. The explanation rests in the greater flexibility in the labour market of more density populated regions where higher incomes are often gained. It can be stated, in fact, that majority of surveyed companies regard the problem of unskilled employees as a pressing issue. Another key issue (on a national level as well) is the very low interest of young people to work in the agricultural sector. Young people tend to be more open to a change and to be more willing to adapt new methods of agricultural production and may be more open or willing to diversify. The survey indicated that younger heads of household were more likely to diversify which is an indicates that more young people in the agricultural sector could be advantageous for promoting diversification. Services provided by agricultural employment agencies were not tending to be used by corporate farms due to the poor work ethic of the potential workers. Generally it can be concluded that there is not a lack of labour in agricultural companies but rather the quality of employees which managers complain about most. Also unwillingness of young people and specialists to be engaged in the farming sector impedes higher participation in diversified activities. Thus, policy measures should be focused also on training managers in setting up new businesses, market evaluation, and similar. The question remaining is whether specialists would enter this sector without improving income disparity between agriculture and other sectors in national economy. With regard to human capital on individual farms there was mixed evidence of a lack of skilled and experienced labour force. Of the households participating in the semi-structured interviews, the wine producer had some labour provided by a local elderly lady who had the necessary enological experience and experienced no difficulties in finding labour for his contracting and arable enterprise. On the other hand, the garden centre owner, expressed difficulties in finding Czech staff which were adequate for his needs and had resorted to employing Ukrainians whom he felt worked harder. Those with the smallest farms were most likely to indicate insufficient knowledge and skills to be important in business development. The need for education and training of agricultural and rural labour force People living in rural areas are met with a variety of challenges, yet for farmers these challenges are very special. For them it means departing from traditional ways of thinking and behaving. Over the last twelve years, increasingly there is a demand for individuals to Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic 60 creatively formulate, decide, and act independently. The analysis of changes taking place in agriculture and rural areas in the Czech Republic and the search for solutions inevitably reveal that education and training (not only for diversification) have a special task to fulfil. So traditional patterns of farmers` thinking should be expanded to include comprehensive and network thinking, co-operative behaviour, orientation towards the future, taking the initiative and acting independently. Looking on the influence of general education on diversification, it was found that general education was significant and positive in its effect for off-farm employment alone and in combination with diversified enterprises. As it was identified by multinomial regression, the odds of adopting off-farm employment alone or in combination with a diversified enterprise increase by 12 per cent when education is increased by one level, i.e. primary to high school, high school to university. However, agricultural education was not found to play positive effect on diversification. Therefore, education and training oriented toward the future for agricultural agents should be designed in a broader term in order to: Make farmers be aware that they must adjust to creative changes and that in order to secure their future they must not resist these changes Inform people living in rural areas of the opportunities for development facing rural regions, in order promote a regional identity Encourage individuals to structure their present situation for the future, so that the are able to cope with tasks which wait them. Acquaint farmers with the idea that they must design a flexible, entrepreneur culture oriented toward action. Promote positive thinking which strengthens solidarity in agriculture and cultivate it as a work ethic. Lack of financial capital as a further fundamental constraint The financial aspect of diversification was analysed deeply in order to give insight into the relevant issue affecting significantly all farming businesses. It was found that the most important initiatives for encouraging diversification were seed money for business start-up, loan guarantees, tax exemptions for new non-agricultural businesses and availability of low cost finance. Taking into account that companies want to concentrate primarily on agricultural production, then the question remaining is whether the incentives stated above are the most appropriate. This is because if company is going to make an investment than it is more likely to invest in inputs for agricultural production which may be fixed (as in the case of buildings) or variable (such as seeds etc) rather than into diversified activities. Therefore, financial stimuli should be fixed to non-agricultural production. The survey in farm households indicated that a lack of capital was a constraint in starting a diversified enterprise for 67% of households who had not diversified in this way. The effect of capital as a constraint was further suggested by the proportion of households which indicated that the provision of seed-money for businesses start-up would encourage them to diversify (69%). So, a lack of financial capital appeared to be one of the most distinctive impediments in diversification and a particular policies should take into account how supports of agriculture might effect (positively or negatively) the non-agricultural enterprises. The most popular remedy in the survey was that of seed-money for business start-up. However, conditions should be imposed such as a business plan, evidence of a market for goods or services and Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic 61 relevant experience in order for households to receive such funds. We do this in order to secure that such funds are used only in projects, which show viability. Otherwise these funds would support businesses which survive for only a short period making these valuable resources inefficient. Incentive in the form of grants for creating of a new job would also be helpful. However, there must be very strict rules in order to avoid misuse of government money. Case studies of corporate farms indicated that some firms may lay-off their employees in order to re-employ them on receipt of government grants. This is done deceitfully with the aim of ‘creating’ more jobs. For example, a joint stock company which was interviewed laid-off all 7 of its employees, so that it could claim to create 15 jobs in order to receive government funding. Of these positions, 7 were taken by the employees who were previously laid-off with only 8 jobs being created in reality. About 90 per cent of total income is generated by core agricultural business and more labour (and managerial effort as well) is devoted to agricultural (93 per cent of labour) than nonagricultural activities (7 per cent). Looking at in-house training, agricultural training is more widespread than non-agricultural, which confirmed the fact, already mentioned, that the focus is on activities in agricultural. That means farming remains the primary activity in all corporate farms regardless of whether they are diversified. The objectives of companies were defined mostly as maintaining agricultural production, indicating the minor role played by diversification. This finding seems to be a bit controversial since the whole agricultural sector is considered to be unattractive in comparison to running a non-agricultural business. On the contrary, the primary focus on farming is the case in the Czech farming sector. This may be explained by the necessary initial large investment in production capacity. This commitment to agriculture indicates that agricultural price support is likely to have negative effect on the willingness to diversify. Considering the fact that direct payments would amount up to 55 % of the current EU level after the Czech Republic join EU then there is reasonable to expect that income from agriculture activities (and thus household income) would increase resulting in a diminished prospect to diversify. Other impediment which was found to affect the access of farmers to the funds and capital was bank attitudes. Farmers and managers surveyed have marked that agriculture as a sector not attracting financial institutions at all which make further constraints for farmers having to use the best effort (higher than if they come from another sector) to get a loan. Transformation debts are obviously very clear problem which is very intensively perceived by banks, in particular in the case of co-ops or joint stock companies transformed from the former co-ops. 4.2.1.1.1. External (institutional) environment Successful diversification in corporate farms is, among others, dependent on a market for the products or services offered by companies. The diversified enterprises which were inherited from former co-ops did not face market conditions when they were initiated. Problems are now being generated in ensuring the survival of these enterprises that they face competition. Over the past decade, many such diversified enterprises have collapsed due to managers lacking the knowledge and skills required to operate in a market economy. In most cases the businesses were shut down due to the prevailing economic conditions resulting in becoming loss making, having a low level of efficiency and losing customers. With regard to enterprises set up after 1990 not all of them survived. Meanwhile, new diversified enterprises have been established. The case studies have also found that informal communication is playing a very important role in the business sector. Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic 62 The case studies indicated the importance of networking to diversification. Examples of this are a co-operative with an emissions testing station which has a tacit agreement with a local MoT testing station whereby, the MoT testing station will send clients requiring the service to the emissions testing enterprise and vice versa. A joint stock company obtained a contract with an Italian plastics company through a contact with a former manager of a plastics production enterprise who had switched firms. The same joint-stock company had diversified into concrete brick and tile production after a relative of one of the managers offered appropriate machinery for sale to the company. A limited liability company diversified into the production of engine parts for an engine part company through the managers’ connections with the director of the engine part company who lived in a neighbouring village. The engine part company both trains employees for and leases machinery to the limited liability company. Such liaisons between companies as that of the engine part company and the plastics production company are beneficial for encouraging diversification since in these cases staff have been trained for the corporate farms and machinery has been leased to them. This has the advantage of reducing the investments required in starting the enterprise, added to which, a market has already been developed for them. Relationships with other companies can provide means to diversify with little or no investment and a ready market for the goods produced. Encouragement of such relationships could aid in promoting diversification. However, this does have some disadvantages as found in motor part production, in that the diversified enterprise has no direct control over the market so that there is a certain dependency on the partner company which at times has led to temporary halts in production. The establishment of (new) regional advice agencies (on the NUTS IV) might help at least in part, to solve the situation described above. These could provide potential enterprises (obviously not only those which are diversified enterprises) with relevant information about the market, potential demand for goods and services, consumers, what is to be done for attractiveness of a business, etc. There is a need, in certain cases, to replace some informal communicational channels by formal communication channels. The role of the regional advice agencies would lie also in project processing (not necessary free of charge) as it appeared to be difficult task for many managers and farmers as well. The agencies would be a link between businesses and external environment. Their obligations would lie, in brief, in the following activities: monitoring the business development in region, collecting information, providing updated information, support with project processing support with obtaining the funds promotion of business opportunities, programmes available, etc. With regard to formal institutions affecting diversification, the SAPARD plan in particular promotes diversification through institutions. At NUTS II level there are eight regional offices of the SAPARD agency, which perform payment and implementation functions. At regional level (NUTS III) administrations are responsible for the formation and implementation of regional development strategies. Co-ordination also occurs between the activities of central government in the region and the activities of the municipalities within the region. Rural development projects of the SAPARD plan are implemented at the level of rural micro regions which lie between the NUTS IV and NUTS V levels. A legal entity known as a Local Association of Municipalities and Towns is formed which develops long-term sustainable development strategies for the micro-regions which are co-ordinated with the regional (NUTS III) and cohesion strategy (NUTS II). This institutional structure facilitates implementation of rural development strategies in that at the micro-region level, implementation is closer to the Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic 63 ground and therefore should be more accessible to potential recipients of funding such as potential diversifiers. Capital constraints to diversification having been noted, it would be hoped that such an implementation strategy would aid in overcoming this constraints for diversifiers wishing to obtain SAPARD funds. 4.2.2 Rural Development: Policies 4.2.2.1 Rural policy solutions The agricultural sector is inevitably situated in rural space since agricultural land is inevitably part of the countryside. While the ability of farming to provide rural employment directly or indirectly (through upstream and downstream sectors) has declined, the other roles have importantly increased. First of all, people engaged in agriculture contribute to the stabilisation of rural settlement. The fact that these people do not commute to urban centres creates necessary minimum demand for services (shops, medical care, even school etc.) in (central) villages. The nature of their work also contributes to being attached to local environment, and so the tendency to migrate out of the region is low (this is particularly the case of male population, Horska, Spesna, 1999). Maintained settlement will also continue to carry cultural traditions. Second, as the participation of rural population in agriculture has declined, also in subsistence or hobby farming, there has appeared increasing need for landscape management. Since the landscape has been cultivated for centuries, there is an urging need to continue cultivating the land, however, might be in a different way. Beside the stabilisation the agricultural sector has also potential to diversify activities in into non-agricultural economies (4.2.1.1). It has become apparent even in a transitional country like the Czech republic, that policies promoting only agricultural production are insufficient to promote these “rural” roles of agriculture. It implies (and has already been approved) that achieving provision of social desirable benefits in the rural space requires proper incentives for farmers. It is also evident that farmers are not the only actors and stakeholder in the countryside, therefore, incentives from the agricultural package have to be framed in consistent rural development policies. Rural problem is horizontal – it is about the horizontal coordination in the rural space. Success of any rural policy depends on 1) how far the incentives (measures) of given policy are co-ordinated with measures of the other policies; 2) how far it also stimulates co-operation of actors/stakeholders at the very local level. From this point of view, institutions co-ordinating implementation or participating in coordination are very essential and critical. The rural problem is usually recognised when it has lasted for log time, thus the local capacities are already lacking (people migrated out of the region, the infrastructure eroded, traditions vanished, enthusiasms and commitment evaporated). Then there is no simplistic and fast solution, policies have to start from grassroots with organising local people and systematically building human and social capital. 4.2.2.2 Critical socio-economic problems in rural areas In the framework of the IDARA project three case studies on rural development problems and rural institutions were carried out. Three very rural regions (at the NUTS 4 level) were chosen from the South-East region (NUTS 2), the area where the survey on farm diversification was conducted. The South-east region belongs to historically well developed area due to trade roads (North-South and East-West) passed through it. Merchants settled Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic 64 down along these roads and founded a number of (today) small towns. The region suffered establishment of a border between the Czech republic and Austria after 1918, the pre war tension on this border in 1937/1938, the expel of German population after 1945 and the consequent inflow of people who were not attached to the region (it holds particularly to the sub-region Znojmo from the case study). Despite industrialisation, the farming sector has remained an important provider of employment in these regions, participation of the active population in agriculture exceeds 10 percent (in 2000). Because of poor soil, agriculture is oriented on livestock in the Trebic and Zdar nad Sazavou sub-regions, while it is mainly production of cereals, fruits, vegetables and wine which dominates in the Znojmo sub-region. Figure 18 Characteristics of selected regions Area (km2) Population Rurality, integration Agri-environmental conditions Agricultural employment (2000) Unemployment Wage level in respect to the national average Infrastructure Services Trebic 1518, hilly 117630 Predominantly rural, sparsely populated, remote marginal, potato region 10% Zdar nad Sazavou 1671, mountainous 125701 Predominantly rural, sparsely populated, remote marginal, potato and mountainous region 10% Znojmo 1636, plain 114106 Predominantly rural, sparsely populated, remote good, corn and cereal region, vineyards 11% 11.5% 6% below 7.2% 7% below 13.5% 9% below Good Poorly accessible Good Poorly accessible Good Poorly accessible Source: Except Agricultural employment which is taken from the Agricultural Census 2000, CSO 2001, all data relate to 1999, CSO 2001 The case-studies provided information on critical socio economic problems. Unemployment dominated as the highest socio-economic priority for all three regions, although the level in Zdar na Sazavou is slightly below the national average. Then followed the declining local transport network and poor local availability of basic services (shops, medical care, school, post office). Particularly highlighted were out-migration of educated and skilled population and miss-match between available jobs and education/skill of the local population. The interlinkage is obvious. Nationalisation of the industry after 1948, wiped out small and medium entrepreneurs. The industry founded during the communist time often followed other objectives (like increasing share of workers on the local population) than efficiency and integration in the national economy. Thus structural adjustment following reforms resulted in declining industries located in these regions (e.g. shoe industry in Trebic, heavy industry Zdar nad Sazavou). Some local food processing plants have not survived the process of concentration and have been closed down (in the effect no food processing plant is situated in the “agricultural” region Znojmo, except wine makers). A particular development problem has arisen in the area surrounding the nuclear power station in Dalesice (sub-region Trebic), where for safety reasons the industrial investment is restricted. The decay of the industry has been followed by an increase of unemployment, the number of daily commuters has gone down and a number of transport services have been cancelled. Thus people looking for jobs elsewhere have stared to leave remote villages and the services moved with them. All respondents emphasised the linkage to investment, which was regarded as critically low in these regions. The problem with investment is complex: on one side there is probably not enough entrepreneurship in the region, access to capital (bank credits) might be (or was) difficult, but on the other side, there has never been satisfactory regional planning. The districts were too small and so little authorised to provide such a planning and co-ordination. Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic 65 The interviewees were sceptical to the effectiveness of regional planning if it was not sufficiently backed up by financial means, rather they sought the advantage in having foreign investors in the region. The unemployment rate was substantially lower in Zdar nad Sazavou, the region with a relatively high level of FDI, than in the other two regions, where FDI was low. Also an access or directly the presence of national transport corridors (motorways, main railways) in the region was perceived as important factor for the development – the motorway D1 passes through the region Zdar nad Sazavou and it was regarded as an advantage/opportunity for the development, while the absence of such an access to the national transport network in Trebic and and Znojmo underlined their remoteness and feeling of marginalisation. As pointed out the case study sub-regions are rich on historical sites (some of them of really Europe wide significance), which richness gives them a strong potential for tourism. However, to attract tourists requires coordination of a number of factors and actors (accommodation, tourist routs, cyclo-routes, guiding materials, local information centres, access to information centres in large tourist centres, links and co-operation with travel agencies, maintenance of historical objects, etc.). Obviously, the micro region is the lowest level for co-operation, but a strategy and co-ordination at the regional level is necessary. A lot of complains appeared not about the absence of tourist services, but about their poor quality Box 3 SWOT analysis of rural development (in remote areas) Strengths Weaknesses Clean environment, nature values, plenty of historical sites, relatively good infrastructure. Lot of industry has gone, lack of job opportunities, education/skill miss-match, weak local transport network, insufficient local Access to national and international transport availability of services. corridors. Weak local and regional co-ordination of the development. Opportunities Threats FDI and cross border co-operation programmes, ecological farming Further decline of “traditional” industries, lack of entrepreneurship, insufficient social capital and xenophobia of local people. Source: IDARA, 2002 The interviewees form the case study sub-regions were aware of the value of their relatively clean (industrially unpolluted) environment which they were confident should give them advantages in may aspects of development. First of all it should be tourism and ecological agriculture. The officers from the Znojmo district believed that the National Park Podyji has a potential to attract tourist, however, it is likely to have limits because of restrictions in national parks. The officers from the districts Trebic and Znojmo recognised the need to see the development in the context of the border with Austria. There is potential of Austrian tourists coming for shorter or longer holidays to the sub-regions, but there is also potential for undertaking of Austrian citizens and cross border co-operation in the development. However, the later too are hampered by irrelevant xenophobia of Czech people living along the Austrian and German border. Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic 66 4.2.2.3 Institutional capacity for rural development policy Table 16 summarises the rural development priorities that were identified at the regional/local level (in the case-studies) and compares them the national priorities (as specified in the current National Development Plan and SAPARD Plans). In addition we included the existing rural development measures in the last column. The priorities identified at the regional/local level fits with those specified in the national programmes. However, it is important to note that not all priority areas have been addressed by concrete measures yet. Unemployment or in the dynamic terms the decline in employment and low/declining economic activity are regarded as the most sever problems in rural areas to which the policy should give the highest priority. The current policy addresses unemployment to some extent directly by supporting investment generating jobs. However, (rural) unemployment results not only from the low economic activity in the region but also from the miss-match between required and available skill of labour and conditions for people to travel to their work. Moreover, economic activity in a region responds to the national economic context on one hand and local/regional conditions which may simulate or hamper the business. This is not only the complex issue: the development of tourism requires large coordination, as well as sustainable resource management. Therefore, a regional institution understanding the complexity of development and local specificity of conditions, gathering information, planning and coordinating activities is urgently needed. To which extent is such institution present or to which extent the other institutions carried its work was a subject of investigations in the IDARA project. Table 16 Regional/local and national priority areas in rural development and rural policy measures Locally identified priorities (Case studies) Unemployment Local transport infrastructure Local availability of services Attracting investment incl. FDI Education, qualification missmatch Depopulation and ageing population Tourism Sustainable agriculture Rural Policy Priorities (the national level) National Development Plan Sector Operation Plan Horizontal Rural Development Plan Village renewal: preservation of cultural heritage; improvement of technical and civic infrastructure; provision of services; rural tourism Enhancing employment – development of SME. Increasing competitiveness of agriculture and processing industries; Improving rural environment, particularly in relation to agriculture; Enhancing the adaptation capabilities of rural areas. Currently applied rural policy measures Village renewal programme. Support to the development of SME LFA compensations and agrienvironmental programmes SAPARD (rural measures) Renovation and development of villages; Rural infrastructure; Increasing competitiveness of agriculture and processing industries ,Diversification for alternative income; Environmentally friendly agriculture. Cross-border co-operation NDP – National Development Plan The institutional arrangements for Rural Development in its broadest sense consist of a wide variety of bodies and agencies ranging from government departments to community and voluntary groups. In the Czech republic t includes the MoA and its Agricultural and SAPARD agencies situated to districts, the MoRD department for rural policies, regional governments, Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic 67 district authorities (abolished), farmers associations (e.g. Agrarian chamber, Association of individual farmers), environmental NGOs etc. The level of awareness of the public administration about the rural development policy varied with the level of the institution. There was good information amongst the officers in ministries and in the regional government, but very little at the local level. In general, the interviewees were most familiar with the Czech village renewal scheme, the Phare programme for institution building and the agricultural support policies. The least known policies were the support to SME, and the SAPARD and ISPA programmes. Most of the officers and economic agents at the very local level did not have any deep knowledge of the programmes, except hearing the name, neither took part in their implementation. Surprisingly, the knowledge of the PHARE programmes for cross border cooperation (CBC and INTERREG) was very poor in the both border regions Trebic and Znojmo. The evaluation of the programmes by the actors varied again with the position of the actor. People from the Ministry of Agriculture and the Ministry of Regional Development regarded the policies as adequate. The officers from the MioA were particularly confident that policies promoting agricultural development would solve most of the problems of rural areas. The regional authorities understood the complexity of rural development better and argued that a more integrated approach was needed. They emphasised that the policy priorities were often different to the regional needs if measured by the budget available to address them. The regional authorities claimed greater decentralisation and application of the subsidiary principle. The mayors liked the village renewal programme, in particular, because of its direct and measurable benefit for the village. However, they complained about frequently (almost annually) changing objectives/priorities of the programme and the programme budget. Thus necessary degree of time consistency, so important for planning has never been achieved. From the point of view of the financial scheme applied at the time of interviews the main problem with many programmes was the co-financing requirement. The bureaucratic nature of the application procedure was also perceived as discouraging. The low participation by non-farming local actors (entrepreneurs) was evidently given by their low information. The SAPARD programme was not launched at the time of interviews. The notion about the success/problems of its implementation was obtained only from the central and regional SAPARD Agencies. They considered the programmes as adequate to the actual interest and ability of rural farming and non-farming agents. The accompanying measures like dissemination of information about the programme and training of advisors were regarded as essential for the success of the programme. The officers pointed out that when the programme was at full scale (as the horizontal and sector programmes) then the accompanying measures would have to be strengthened. Also certain directions ought to be more focused (backed up) e.g. support of tourism and attraction of inward investment. The learning process associated with the development and implementation of SAPARD was regarded as very beneficial. All the listed aspects or opinions of actors in the current programmes for rural development (like low awareness and participation of local actors, problems with co-financing, perception of administrative demands) refer to a lack of regional co-ordination and planning. Actually no institution played a role of the regional co-ordinator. The low number of applications for tourism projects in the SAPARD programme witnesses for it too. The absence or only little developed extension service (aimed at assisting farmers not only to prepare a project but Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic 68 also to submit application) is behind a low occurrence of really innovative projects25. Thus local entrepreneurs are finding it difficult to develop a reasonable business plan and far more difficult to include it in the region development framework. The facts that a business plan fits to certain social objectives strengthen its justification for public support. 4.2.2.4 The potential role of EU rural development policy in the Czech Republic The identified disadvantages of the Czech set of rural development programmes rest not only in a missing framework which may integrate them and allow a synergy effect, but also in the fact that the approach is strictly sectoral i.e. agricultural programmes are not fully available for non-farming population and the programme for SME is not fully available for farmers. The Czech programmes also suffers time inconsistency in terms of objectives, conditions and budgets. Most of the national programmes have never been discussed with public, information spreading has been poor, monitoring missing and evaluations have rarely included more than checking financial statements. According to our investigation the actualpractical benefit of the programmes is visible in the rural space. However, little feedback has been asked by policy makers to improve programmes’ design and implementation procedures. The EU approach to the rural development is not entirely different from the current Czech one. However, adopting the EU rural development policies will substantially improve the integration. The National Development Plan will outlines much of the overall strategic context within which the objectives of and measures of the agricultural rural development plans (HRDP and SOP) will become operational. The full integration in implementation cannot be expected. Nevertheless, the sector approach will be escaped at least to some extent in agriculture. The Rural development regulation (EC1257/1999) implemented in the agricultural SOP recognises support to farmers to diversify their activities in non-agricultural rural economy. The fixed (six year) planning period will improve time consistency of programmes. The obligatory public discussion will reduce at least some tensions between policy designers, implementing bodies and those who are intended beneficiaries. Further, EU funds by providing grants will make the support more attractive for farmers. The rules of their implementation require involvement of both sides in deeper analysis of investment and/or new business actions before they started. Monitoring will improve assurance that programme objectives are followed and achieved. Evaluation will help decision makers to judge about programmes (and projects) effectiveness and efficiency. From this point of view it will be important to co-ordinate priorities in the Sector Operational Plan and the Rural Development Plan to invest in building administrational capacities to be able to implement, monitor and evaluate rural development policies stemming from the EU framework (utilise SAPARD experience) . 4.2.3 Policy recommendations The preceding analysis suggests that the policy areas that need to be addressed to further the aims of rural development, in particular the reduction of rural poverty and sustainable development, include: 25 Pointed out in the interview with the central office of the SAPARD agency December, 2002. Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic 69 Job creation – through education and training, inward investment, and SME support. Local development planning – through animation of the local population and increased participation; and the preservation of local characteristics and production of local specialities. Promotion of social inclusion and improved access to services. The policy design and implementation procedure will require rising vertical and horizontal co-ordination. 5 Policy recommendations – a strategy The Czech republic concluded the negotiation chapter on agriculture at the time when the discussion about the future CAP culminated again. The general direction of CAP reform is clear: agricultural policy must continue to move away from being a sectoral policy which support farmers through agricultural commodity markets, toward a territorially defined and more integrated policy which contributes alongside other elements of public policy to the development of rural areas26. McShary reform cutting market prices support and introducing direct income compensations was the first step on this way. The Agenda 2000 reforms followed; alongside the market measures and the elements of a competitive European agriculture, the varied needs of the rural space were also recognised, together with the expectations of today’s society and environmental requirements. The reforms resulted in the new Rural Development Regulation (RDR) adopted at the Berlin summit in 1999, now known as the Pillar II of the Common Agricultural Policy. As an essential part of the European agricultural model, it aims to put in place a consistent and lasting framework for guaranteeing the future of rural areas and promoting the maintenance and creation of employment. In the mid-term review of CAP, in July 2002, the changes aim to address food safety and quality, to help farmers adapt to new standards and to promote animal welfare. This objective should be achieved through a system of single income payment per farm27 conditional on compliance with statutory environmental, food safety and animal health and welfare standards. Taking into account the above analysis of the current Czech agricultural and rural situation and policy and the current CAP even in the scale for candidate countries the conclusion must be that the situation of farmers and rural areas will improve significantly shortly after accession. Farm income will grow up due to the Pillar I policies, rural areas will benefit due to large budget and more coherent framework for rural development (Pillar II). However, it is necessary to remind that 40 percent of the farm income (the Net Value Added at Factor Costs) increase will be due to higher prices which in turn means that it will go in expense of Czech consumers. Also the sudden jump in subsidies (direct payments) and then their gradual increase might well be a disincentive to continue restructuring. Price increase can still foster improving technical efficiency, however direct payments will prevent reallocation of resources toward economically efficient producers. Moreover, direct payments coupled to beef production will stimulate expansion of the beef sector to the extent, which will not be economically justifiable. On the other hand, Czech consumer will benefit from standardisation and food safety requirements. The Czech agriculture will be largely exposed to the European debate about food quality and safety and about its interrelation to environment and nature. 26 This is actually the argumentation of CARPE, European Commission, 1997 27 based on historical payments and integrating all existing payments from various schemes Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic 70 It is obvious that the Czech strategy for agricultural and rural development has to be built within the framework of European agricultural and rural development policies and their envisaged reforms. We understand that the adoption of the current Common market regimes (CMO) is temporal, earlier or later the CMO will undergo further reforms in which farmers will be exposed to larger international competition. The desired new policy (or strategy) should be integrated in several respects: efficiency, environmental sustainability, consumer safety and rural development should be balanced distortions which have (or even will) over stimulated certain sectors should be removed (this is not necessary only through CMOs it can be a result of an environmental measure too) attention will have to be paid to increasing farmers awareness of necessity of changes the support should be open to local people – farmers and non-farmers as well as collectives like community organisations to create sustainable economic environment in rural areas. The strategy has four elements: market stabilisation, environmental and cultural landscape contracts, food quality and safety and rural (non-agricultural) development Market stabilisation (Agricultural income stabilisation) Agricultural production is associated with relatively high degree of risk. This risk involves dependence on weather and exposure to pests and diseases, high proportion of immobile assets (land) which reduce freedom of manoeuvre, moderately long gestation period involved in the production cycle. Generally, due to the complexity of risk attributes, agricultural producers (even large) have insufficient resources and information to manage risk. Despite increasing degree of vertical integration there is no evidence that the risk is equally spread along the food chain. Thus, these are usually farmers who are exposed to bearing costs of market depressions in the end. The general perception is that the scale of the problem of risk management in relation to the capacity of businesses involved (farms) to act is such that some public assistance is justified (European Commission 1997). The Czech current intervention scheme provides a safety net for cereals and irregularly for various commodities (e.g. potatoes, 1998, 1999, pork 1998,1999, hops 1999). Since there has not been a rule binding the intervention purchases and price to a certain critical level, the final decision on commodities, quantity to be purchased and price has resulted from the interplay of the pressure of agricultural lobby and the state budget availability. Most of the other commodities are protected through border measure, milk and sugar have a price support with a quota regime. This will change with joining the EU. The current CAP provides market stabilisation through safety nets for the most important commodities (cereals, beef and pork) based on clearly defined (triggering) rules. Thus the basic mechanism for market stabilisation exists. To our opinion gradual liberalisation of milk market will be welcome since the sector need to continue improving efficiency and modernisation. Expanding the quota and lowering the support price will be the option suitable for the Czech producers. It will guarantee a necessary degree of market stability for planning the investment on one hand and it will also reduce the pressure on buying expensive quota when modernising and expanding production. Particularly beef enjoys quite a high degree of protection in the EU. As the simulations have shown the Czech beef sector will tend to be over-stimulated at least shortly after accession. Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic 71 It will be not only the price but to large extent the payments paid per a head of cattle 28. The Midterm review proposed reform may de-couple the incentive from beef, but the already applied Czech environmental policy has (weakly) coupled environmental payments to beef29. The argumentation behind it rests in stimulating desired conversion of arable land in grasslands and grassland have to be utilised by cattle or sheep. The Czech agrienvironmental schemes may tend to continue in this direction after accession. The model simulations have shown that even without taking into account environmental incentives the beef sector will generate significant surpluses (30% of the production). The question is to which extent these surpluses can be absorbed within the European common market. In any case, the policies fostering the beef sector will threaten the stability of the beef market. In short run the Czech Ministry of Agriculture should open a discussion on the future of the beef sector and advise farmers not to over react to incentives from the CAP. In the medium and long run, the Czech republic should argue for lowering the support to beef in terms of price and direct payments. The accompanying measures to phasing out sheltering inefficiencies in the dairy and cattle sub-sectors by high prices and premiums should include the access to investment support in order to promote modernisation (conditioned also by animal welfare and environmental standards) and conversion from dairy beef to specialised beef breeding. Environmental and cultural landscape programmes Agri-environmental policies are often structured in three levels (tiers). At the base level (Tier 0) are conditions which farmers and all land managers must respect (without payment). The middle level (Tier 1) is directed to farming systems, which provide high natural value. The upper level (Tier 2) focuses on specific environmental management practices. It is often argued (European Commission, 1997) that the distinction between the Tier 0 and the other two rests in the delineation of property rights: in Tier 0 property rights to a “basic” set of environmental attributes reside with the society, while in the other two property rights are with landowners or farmers and the environmental values have to be purchased. This concept has been criticised as being simply historically founded (Bromley, Hodge, 1999); equally well may function an alternative concept when property rights to all environmental attributes reside with the community/ society. Concerning the Tier 0 the Czech republic belongs to countries which put strong emphasis on obligatory environmental legislation. The current active Czech agri-environmental policy consists mainly of Tier 1 measures, the package targeted to specific environmental management practises is small (15% of the budget). First of all the policy has promoted the farming system based on grazing grasslands (or harvesting hay and feeding livestock) arguing that it has the most capacity to provide high natural value 30. The corresponding policy measure rests in flat rate area payment bound to grass to be grazed or mowed – conditioned on a minimum livestock unit. EU accession will expand the range of environmental measures and the Tier 2 measure – more targeted environmental practices will expand. The benefit of addressing a much larger spectrum of environmental values is obvious. It will hand by hand with opening a public 28 Suckler cow premium, bull premium etc. 29 The condition of a minimum livestock unit (in which cattle or sheep have to participate) per hectare for getting LFA payment, support to pastoral agriculture, support to ecological beef. 30 In the contrast if grasslands were to be abandoned. Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic 72 debate on balancing all three levels of agri-environmental policy. This debate can be regarded as another benefit EU accession. There are two directions in which the policy should improve: 3) the agri-environmental policy should not be designed and implemented without assessing interrelation to the other policy directions; moreover, policy directions have to complement each other; 4) the need fro horizontal co-ordination has to be recognised. Concerning the first point, the policy of Tier 1 (support to certain farming systems) cannot be de-coupled of production on one hand, there might be a need to complement a certain agrenvironmental practice/ operation with investment on the other hand. The Czech republic – the Ministry of Agriculture has to be aware when preparing the scheme that some agrienvironmental measures may imply higher output of some commodities and it may affect the commodity markets. The Czech republic should also argue for changing CAP in the way that environmental and other rural development measures (particularly investment) can be combined, and claim the mechanism to be developed that such a combined projects are applied, assessed and implemented in an integrated way. We argue that a number of environmental benefits require significant co-ordination (either because they are so complex or spatial). Therefore, the policy should include support to establishments of local/regional associations (round tables) which will invite local stakeholders to develop an environmental management plan (e.g. for landscape management or for conservation), to prepare a project or projects and to co-ordinate their implementation. The associations should be regional or local, can resulted from public administration initiative or from private/ NGO one. We would also suggest binding certain environmental programmes to the existence of such a body. To make it successful the environmental policy should pay attention to the knowledge base of farmers and other agents engaging in it. Information dissemination, training and education and extension should be an integral part (with a budget) of the policy. It can be mentioned local/regional associations, it can be the public administration or other bodies (NGOs) who take this role. Quality and differentiation It is recognised that it is becoming extremely difficult to compete on the globalised market. The pressure from the other world market producers on reducing the protection in Europe is high. It can be also shown that quite a large proportion of the support to farm income is paid by consumers (24% in the CR, 49% in the EU). To continue earning the premium by the European farmers the products should be differentiated and high quality. The quality involves safety and the environmentally safe and animal welfare friendly way of production too. In its Midterm review the Commission stresses that it is a fundamental obligation to guarantee the safety of food to consumers both within and outside the EU, and this therefore must be a continuous top priority for the CAP (European Commission 2002a). The Czech republic already harmonised legislation with the European system for ensuring food safety (testing of animals, traceability, removal of specified risk materials, maximum residue levels for pesticide, etc.). There is still a lot of work on the way of its enforcement in practice. It has been spelled many time that the Czech republic will have to continuously strengthen the capacity to deal with food safety enforcement (European Commission, 2002b). Concerning the quality issue, however, there remains a gap between the preference for quality that consumers express and the way they behave in the marketplace (European Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic 73 Commission, 2002a). Guaranteeing that production meets consumer wishes in terms of quality is therefore a dynamic process between consumers and producers. The Czech policy should not underestimate the concern of Czech consumers (although their income is substantially lower than in the current members states) and include in the national plan measures encouraging farmers to participate in quality assurance and certification schemes. Differentiation can be done on the basis of organic farming or (on farm) processing locally specific products. While the former will require a nation wide co-operation in distribution and promotion, the success of the later one will rely on communication with local/regional consumers and on local/regional planning for tourism. A shift to differentiated and higher quality production will offers benefits to farmers in terms of income and work quality. Incentives for using farm resources in rural economy – generating employment in rural areas. The analysis confirmed that there are significant differences in productivity and overall farm performance between marginal and the other areas. This threatens that farmers will give up farming and look for jobs elsewhere. However, it its socially desirable to keep agricultural activities in these regions and maintain thus rural settlements and infrastructure. The LFA compensations, which have already been applied in the Czech republic and are a part of the EU Rural development regulation, contribute to the stabilisation of rural settlement. The current Czech agricultural policy has not included diversification of farm activities in the rural non-agricultural economy in its support scheme. It was SAPARD which first time paid attention to this development direction. This program option will continue after accession. IDARA investigation concluded that farm diversification contributes not only to the stabilisation of the business, but it also contributes to job creation or maintaining all year employment for otherwise only seasonal labour. The success of diversification is not simple. Obtaining initial capital is often difficult. Equally important seems to be networking. Relationships with other companies provide means to diversify with little or no investment and a ready market for the goods produced. Encouragement of such relationships could aid in promoting diversification. However, the development process cannot rely on informal institutions - the formal ones have to emerge. The Czech government should stimulate establishment of regional development agencies (RDA) or re-construction of the current ones which will be responsible for planning and co-ordinating development (at the NUTS 2 or 3 level). The Czech government or regional governments should support emergence of regional advice agencies, which will be a link between businesses and external environment. The advice agencies can operate at lover than regional (NUTS 2 or 3) level. Their obligations would lie in the following activities: monitoring the business development in region, collecting information, providing updated information, co-operating with the RDA support with project processing support with obtaining the funds promotion of business opportunities, programmes available, etc. Rural development should be on the agenda of RDA. Thus RDA should co-ordinate with institutions for agri-environmental (conservation) co-operation. All policy elements qualify for investment support. Formally, it can be allocated separately, however, investment directions should integrate with the main policy elements and the individual projects should be assessed in the context an integrated development plan. Investment support should not only oriented on primary commercial activities, it should also include primarily environmental or social activities. In spite of the support programme for investment – the Support and Guarantee Fund for Agriculture and Forestry, Czech-Moravian Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic 74 Guarantee and Development Bank, SAPARD scheme – farmers as well as non-farming economic agents reported the difficulty with getting bank credits. Investment programme designers and the regional development planners should investigate and be aware where the problem rests. Also a top-level negotiation with banking sector should contribute to the improvement of conditions on both sides – creditors and grantors. RDA should be in the position to agree a framework with banks for rural development projects. It can be also expected that if investments a business plans fit to a solid development plan it will improve client and project evaluations by the banks. A particular issue is the direct income support. The odd effect of the current CAP direct payments in the beef sector has been explained. However, payments coupled to commodities seem to be still better explainable and allocable than the decoupled one in the context of large-scale (corporate) farm business. Once de-coupled from the commodity production the payment will just be added to the Net Value Added - rewarding factors (land, labour, capital, management). How the payment will be distributed it will depend on the power of owners of factors. If managers are more powerful than owners then the payment will either cover ineffciencies or the managers may tend to transfer it to their own pocket. The power of land owners depends on land tenancy, lease contracts, fragmentation of ownership structure, restrictions or duties associated with land use etc. It will be also important if decoupled payments are still bound to the area. The power of shareholders/members will depend on concentration of shares. It is likely that the power of members of co-operatives will be weaker than in limited liability companies or in joint stock companies. The power of labour will depend on the internal organisation of farm business and the “perfection” of labour market. It is important to take into account a combination of influences – some capital owners are land owners or employees, some landowners are employees, some managers will be both capital and land owners. We argue that the direct income support for corporate businesses is quite a non-standard approach. On one hand it is not clear who will benefit from them, on the other hand, there are problems, which need to be solved. It is particularly “reform” indebtedness and insufficient replacement of outdated assets. If payments are made digressive across the EU, than the Czech republic may claim to being able to collect the difference between the initial and final levels of the payments in a fund which i) will compensate “eligible (restituted) owners” of agricultural assets who decided not to participate in farming business and ii) will assist modernising farms. The beneficiaries of this approach will be current capital holders. Once the process (which has to be defined precisely) of curing farms financial/capital position will be finished, the resources will be transferred to the regular rural development funds (as it will be done in modulation). The rest of the direct payment budget will be distributed in the standard decoupled direct payment way. It is obvious that such a solution will require further elaboration and a broad discussion between policy makers and agricultural public. 6 Appendix Table 17 Results of model i-sim simulations for Czech agriculture to the year 2006 Parameter Unit Commodities - production levels Base year Reference EU proposal Czech position Copenhagen conclusion 75 Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic Crop commodities Soft wheat Barley Maize Other cereals Potatoes Sugar beet Rape Sunflower Soya beans and other oilseeds Vegetables Fruits Other final crops products Other fodder Arable land Grass land Agricultural land Agricultural land - model Fallow land Set-aside Agricultural land - CR Animal commodities Dairy cows Bulls Calves fattening Suckler cows Pigs Laying hens Poultry (without laying hens) EAA - indicators Gross value Fertiliser and other inputs specific for plant production General cost item Fodder aggregate - input Gross value added at market prices Deprecation Net value added at market prices Subsidies Taxes linked to factor use Net value added at factor costs Wages Rent paid Interest paid Entrepreneurial income ths. ha ths. ha ths. ha ths. ha ths. ha ths. ha ths. ha ths. ha ths. ha 869 612 37 164 72 87 246 14 10 876 647 37 166 72 85 232 14 10 983 697 41 186 76 77 291 16 12 879 614 36 170 72 85 263 14 12 943 667 39 180 75 76 280 15 12 ths. ha ths. ha ths. ha ths. ha ths. ha ths. ha ths. ha ths. ha ths. ha ths. ha ths. ha 34 22 14 11 2,192 950 3,142 4,032 890 248 4,280 34 23 14 11 2,222 964 3,186 4,032 846 248 4,280 37 25 15 11 2,466 720 3,186 4,032 846 248 4,280 32 22 13 10 2,222 964 3,186 4,032 846 248 4,280 35 24 15 11 2,371 815 3,186 4,032 846 248 4,280 ths. hds ths. hds ths. hds ths. hds ths. hds ths. hds ths. hds 590 351 30 47 4,047 12,057 16,248 517 295 24 130 4,759 11,875 15,218 422 503 27 61 6,076 11,969 19,588 517 513 31 130 6,045 11,932 19,545 456 495 27 90 6,064 11,954 19,570 mio EUR mio EUR 3,174 337 3,741 481 4,821 485 5,349 488 4,994 485 mio EUR mio EUR mio EUR 790 1,478 569 1,075 1,587 599 1,159 1,410 1,767 1,181 2,471 1,209 1,166 1,817 1,526 mio EUR mio EUR 207 362 216 383 216 1,551 216 993 216 1,310 mio EUR mio EUR mio EUR 102 105 359 504 105 782 320 105 1,767 743 105 1,631 413 105 1,618 mio EUR mio EUR mio EUR mio EUR 454 44 11 -149 679 48 12 44 732 51 13 970 746 52 13 820 737 52 13 817 76 Integrated strategy for Agricultural and Rural Development in the Czech Republic Gross income mio EUR 3,276 4,245 5,142 6,091 5,407 7 Literature Bromley, D., and I. 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