China’s Residential Construction Market West Virginia University Global Competitiveness of Hardwood Products: Strategies for Success in a Chinese Market August 22-24, 2010 Gary Stanley, Director Forest Products & Building Materials Program U.S. Department of Commerce China’s Growing Middle Class Rising # of middle-class households: 150-300 million middle class wage earners in 2009 (of 1.3 million) ($10,000-$12,500k/yr) Chinese salaries have risen by nearly 10% a year for the past decade Even wages of China’s factory workers are rising as China moves up the value chain The Result? Life even for those who aren’t able to purchase luxury goods is improving and with it, infrastructure and construction quality. Children’s pool Suzhou China’s Wealthy Class – the market for imported US goods 2008: 1.6m “wealthy” Chinese ($37,000/yr +) By 2015 – expected to be 4 million “wealthy” consumers 16% increase in this population per year “wealthy consumers trust foreign brands more, are typically among the first to buy new technology, and are far more willing to pay a premium for highquality products than their mainstream counterparts.” – McKinsey Quarterly Construction Market China’s construction industry accounts for 6.7% of its GDP, making it the 4th largest industry in China for the past five years. 2006: Construction industry employs 40 million. From 2005-09 residential construction sales grew an average of 38%/yr to US $65 Billion. Five-Year Plan (2006-10) emphasizes energy & water conservation, increase of forest cover. GOC – cut energy consumption by 20% and major pollutants by 10%. Source: China Statistical Yearbook Construction Trends Rising energy costs = greater demand for energy efficient products Rising competition among developers = higher quality, energy efficient materials to attract customers. More affluent consumers = nicer interior finishes Rising incomes/leisure time = Luxury developments, golf courses, amusement parks, tourist areas Non-Structural Markets for US Lumber Interior finishes Furring/Sleepers Remanufacturing Door cores Moulding Furniture China Softwood Lumber Imports Partner Country World Russia Canada Thailand United States Unit M3 M3 M3 M3 M3 2007 6499097 1585483 674754 694390 1073044 Quantity 2008 2009 7,091,811 1,968,197 1,133,842 790,711 1,042,537 9,884,891 3,120,723 2,436,928 1,024,357 929,003 2007 100.00 24.40 10.38 10.68 16.51 % Share 2008 100.00 27.75 15.99 11.15 14.70 2009 100.00 31.57 24.65 10.36 9.40 Developments/Changes in Chinese Market Growing acceptance of solid wood products in non traditional applications. The “greening” of Chinese consumers. One of the biggest and fastest growing timber consuming countries in the world. China’s timber consumption is forecast to continue to increase rapidly due to factors such as strong economic growth, 2010 World Expo, 2010 Asian Games and improving living standards. Reduced market access barriers and improved transparency in China’s trading & distribution system Greater awareness of amount of illegally harvested timber entering China (Dec 2007 US-China MOU under SED) Structural Markets for US Lumber & EWPS Construction Concrete formwork Landscaping Hybrid Construction & Special Projects • Public buildings • Clubhouses • Amusement parks/roller coasters • Canadians promoting wood frame in low rise Wood frame houses (500/yr) British Pavilion: Shanghai Expo 6-stories 60,000 acrylic rods $156,000 of LVL British Pavilion = Internal Structure Special Projects: Resorts/Hotels Taiwan Flora Expo Amusement Parks & Other Roller Coaster near Shanghai Happy Valley Amusement Park Other Non-wood product markets Insulation Wood Windows Housewrap U.S.-China Build Program USG/Industry Public-Private Partnership Under DOC MDCP, joint cooperation with Evergreen Building Prods. Assn. Promote US green building, energy savings materials, technologies, and construction systems in China Inform Chinese Govt. & construction professionals thru technical seminars, trade promotion & publications www.USChinaBuild.org Two competitive grants from Dept of Commerce & funding from FAS 1st – 2001-2007 2nd – 2009-2012 Zhujiajao, China Government-industry partnership to introduce US building materials to China EBPA and five industry cooperators Administered by EBPA, which is staffed by CINTRAFOR staff • SEC, APA, SFPA, State of WA, and CINTRAFOR = cooperators FloraExpo site - Taipei Annual Chinese-language Company Directory 4th annual Chinese language publication of US exporters. Company profiles also included in the web site 4,000 copies printed per issue Listed on US-China Build Chinese website US Housing & Building Products Newspapers Twice yearly publication Technical articles Program activities US Project Profiles Design Information Advertising by US Companies 4,000 copies printed and distributed at trade events, seminars, & trade shows US Building Materials Design Book U.S. Trade Show Pavilions Products Featured: • Plumbing fixtures/systems • Heating systems • Water purification systems • Panelized housing packages • American hardwoods • American softwoods • Engineered wood products • Treated wood decking materials • Doors and windows • Paint and industrial coatings • Insulation Annual Sales Missions & Seminars • Goal: educate architects, developers, designers about US building materials • 106 US companies, 34 cities since 2002 • 4,460 Chinese attendees. Numerous Chinese distributors identified and signed. • Site Visits & Meetings Looking Forward. What’s next? Green Building Second Tier Cities Confront Standards Issues Major world events/construction projects (2010 Asian Games, Zhu Jiang & Baiyu New Towns - Guangzhou) Monitor: 1) Chinese Govt. 5-Year Plans, 2) Chinese Govt. Economic Stimulus Plans ($1.4 trillion – public works, infrastructure) and domestic policy developments (regulatory, trade, currency, raw materials) Looking Forward. What’s next? Ministry of Construction Policies/Regulations Recently Updated: Decree 113 – Construction Works Sector Decree 114 – Engineering & Design Sector Decree 160 – Management Responsibilities for Construction Survey and Design Enterprises Decree 155 – Foreign Invested Construct. Sector Ministry of Construction adoption of U.S. design values and grading rules (GB 50005, GB 50206) Looking Forward. What’s next? Work with USG/Chinese MOC officials to adopt internationally recognized building materials standards and codes and fire safety design requirements Look for possible cooperation in G2G strategic bilateral, regional, or multilateral economic/trade dialogues (e.g., SED, JCCT, APEC, TPP) For More Information Gary Stanley Forest Products & Building Materials Program DOC/Office of Materials Industries Tel. 202 482 0376 Fax 202 482 2565 gary.stanley@trade.gov www.trade.gov