MERCURY SECURITIES SDN BHD (113193-W) (A Participating Organisation of Bursa Malaysia Securities Berhad) 16 December 2015 RESULTS REPORTS Handal Resources Berhad Market Price: RM0.355 Market Capitalisation: RM56.8mil Board: Main Market Recommendation: HOLD Sector: Trading / Services Target Price: RM0.31 Stock Code/Name: 7253 / HANDAL Key Stock Statistics 2015E Earnings/Share (sen) P/E Ratio (x) Dividend/Share (sen) NTA/Share (RM) Book Value/Share (RM) Issued Capital (mil shares) 52-weeks Low (RM) 52-weeks High (RM) 3.84 8.59 0.0 0.63 0.71 160.0 0.30 0.55 Major Shareholders: .Dato' Mohsin Abdul Halim .Zahari bin Hamzah .Joel Emanuel Heaney .Mallek Rizal bin Mohsin . % (est) 15.8 9.5 6.4 5.4 PERFORMANCE – 3Q/FY15 3Q / 30 Sept Rev (RMm) EBIT (RMm) NPAT^(RMm) EPS (sen) 3Q15 3Q14 yoy % 2Q15 qoq% 22.9 1.7 0.0 0.0 25.7 4.5 2.4 1.5 (10.7) (60.9) (98.2) (98.0) 30.4 4.5 2.5 1.6 (24.7) (61.3) (98.3) (98.1) ^NPATMI “Q3 – Quarterly Revenue below expectation and profit barely breakeven” P&L Analysis (RM mil) 2012 2013 2014 2015E Year end: Dec 31 Revenue Operating Profit Depreciation Interest Expenses Profit before Tax (PBT) Effective Tax Rate (%) Net Profit after Tax & MI Operating Margin (%) PBT Margin (%) NPATMI Margin (%) 97.6 5.8 -3 -1.7 4.2 29.5 3 6 4.3 3.1 99.9 9.2 -3 -2.7 6.5 68.5 2.1 9.2 6.5 2.1 119.7 14.3 -3.6 -2.5 11.8 46.4 6.4 11.9 9.8 5.3 113.2 16.3 -3.6 -2.5 10.2 40 6.1 12.1 7.7 4.5 Ratios Analysis 2012 2013 2014 2015E Book Value/Share (RM) Earnings/Share (sen) Dividend/Share (sen) Div. Payout Ratio (%) P/E Ratio (x) P/Book Value (x) Dividend Yield (%) ROE (%) Net Gearing (or Cash)(x) 0.62 1.90 2.00 105.9 26.0 0.8 4.1 3.1 0.1 0.63 1.30 0.00 0.0 37.9 0.8 0.0 2.1 0.2 0.67 4.00 0.00 0.0 15.1 0.6 0.0 6.0 0.6 0.71 3.84 0.00 0.0 8.6 0.5 0.0 5.4 0.6 We maintain our Hold Call with a target price of RM0.31. Handal’s 3Q15 revenue fell to RM22.9mil, down 10.7% from RM25.7mil due to the challenging market conditions and disposal of its “Supply of Telecommunication & Broadcasting System” business while its profit barely break even, compared to the RM2.4mil recorded in same period last year, due to the provision for impairment losses in a project amounting to RM2.5mil. “Integrated Crane Services (ICS) revenue fell while GP improved” ICS being the key revenue contributor fell to RM16.9mil from RM18.5mil while gross profit margin improved marginally to 47% from 46% due to an increase in operational efficiency. Cranes Fabrication business segment (revenue recognized based on percentage of completion method) booked RM2.49mil sales compared to RM1.17mil in same quarter last year, resulting in an improved gross profit margin (3Q15:66% vs 3Q14:57%). All information, views and advice are given in good faith but without legal responsibility. Mercury Securities Sdn. Bhd. or companies or individuals connected with it may have used research material before publication and may have positions in or may be materially interested in any stocks in the markets mentioned. This report has been prepared by Mercury Securities Sdn Bhd for purposes of CMDF-Bursa Research Scheme ("CBRS") administered by Bursa Malaysia Berhad and has been compensated to undertake the scheme. Mercury Securities Sdn Bhd has produced this report independent of any influence from CBRS or the subject company. For more information about CBRS and other research reports, please visit Bursa Malaysia’s website at: http://www.bursamalaysia.com/market/listed-companies/research-repository/research-reports/ Page | 1 MERCURY SECURITIES SDN BHD (113193-W) (A Participating Organisation of Bursa Malaysia Securities Berhad) Supply, fabrication & Servicing industrial equipment & tank’s revenue decreased from RM1.88mil to RM1.64mil with lower gross profit margin of 9% compared to 24%. On 14th December 2015, the group announced that its wholly-owned Handal Engineering Sdn Bhd has entered into a Heads of Agreement (HOA) with Perbadanan Menteri Besar Kelantan and Tirai Dimensi Sdn Bhd, for the purpose of undertaking the development and implementation of a tank farming project in Kelantan. The HOA has a validity period of 1 year. OUTLOOK/CORP. UPDATES VALUATION/CONCLUSION Workover Project Business segment revenue had reduced from RM2.49mil to RM1.79mil due to a decrease in business activity. Handal’s management expect market conditions to be challenging for the current financial year amidst the current depressed crude oil price. However, they are in the opinion that the Group is able to sustain its performance in view of the nature of business activities in a niche market as well as its existing long term contracts. “WTI crude oil futures – now below US$40” The oil price outlook remain sober amid the threat of a prolonged oversupply situation, therefore more cost cutting and capex delay by Oil Majors remain to be seen. As such, we remain cautious on Handal and expect its earning to face negative impact from those capex cuts. However its long-term maintenance service contracts and healthy balance sheet and cash flow shall be able to sustain the Group to ride out the storm. “Corporate news and developments” Handal’s order book is about RM290mil currently which it expects to last until 2018. On 6th Nov15, Handal’s subsidiary Handrill Sdn Bhd and Nabors Drilling International Ltd, a subsidiary of New York-listed Nabor Industries Ltd agreed to explore cooperating in developing new business opportunities in Malaysia’s oil and gas rig sector. Under the MoU, both firms would jointly strive to secure new businesses comprising workover projects, fabrication of offshore pedestal cranes and related overhaul and maintenance services as well as offshore crane rentals. Handal (+4.4% YTD) has outperformed the KLCI (-7.2% YTD) in 2015. Handal’s stock price has been trading in the range of RM0.265RM0.395 and hover around moving average of RM0.360. Since oil peaked in Jun 2014, the sentiments have been dampened and remain bearish and Handal relatively smaller market-cap and thin trading volume put further pressure on its market visibility compared to its peers. “Maintain Hold Call” We maintain our Hold recommendation with FYend Target Price (TP) of RM0.31 based on estimated P/E of 8.0 times of Handal’s FY15 earnings/share which reflects a P/BV of 0.50 times of its FY15 F NTA/Share. The main risk factors for Handal is further delays in E&P capital expenditure by oil majors (such as Petronas), slow implementation pace of major Oil/Gas/Energy EPPs, higher steel costs for crane fabrication, foreign exchange fluctuations and also stiff competition with major international rival O&G companies. 1-YEAR HISTORICAL SHARE PRICE Source: Bloomberg All information, views and advice are given in good faith but without legal responsibility. Mercury Securities Sdn. Bhd. or companies or individuals connected with it may have used research material before publication and may have positions in or may be materially interested in any stocks in the markets mentioned. This report has been prepared by Mercury Securities Sdn Bhd for purposes of CMDF-Bursa Research Scheme ("CBRS") administered by Bursa Malaysia Berhad and has been compensated to undertake the scheme. Mercury Securities Sdn Bhd has produced this report independent of any influence from CBRS or the subject company. For more information about CBRS and other research reports, please visit Bursa Malaysia’s website at: http://www.bursamalaysia.com/market/listed-companies/research-repository/research-reports/ Page | 2