www.thepersimmongroup.com Name Your Plane: Boeing’s 787 Dreamliner and Communication Management Understanding the impact of project and program communication on both the actual and perceived success through examination of the Boeing 787 Dreamliner case Larry Winters, PMP and Kim Saylor The Persimmon Group September 2010 Executive Summary Boeing’s introduction of the 787 Dreamliner represents a pivotal effort by the company to maintain its position in the commercial aviation market. The extremely high-risk project has been fraught with numerous delays that have pushed delivery of the plane out by at least two years. Communications by Boeing’s executives, project team, and customers has evidenced significant communication management challenges with the delays and development problems associated with the 787 Dreamliner. Introduction Beginning with the “Name Your Plane” competition, The Boeing Company embarked on an odyssey unlike any other in its long history. The plane with the name at stake was at that time called the 7E7, but eventually became known to the world as the Boeing 787 Dreamliner. This announcement came in 2003, after more than a decade without development of any new commercial airliners by the company. 1 For this reason, it carried the hopes of the company’s return to dominance of this market, the restoration of leadership in aviation innovation, and the regaining of ground against rival commercial aviation company Airbus. The 787 Dreamliner aimed to achieve all of these goals through its promise of greater fuel efficiency and durability. In turn, it was to allow for less expensive and more direct flights. It simply aimed to be Patrick Oppmann, “Boeing Dreamliner completes maiden flight,” CNN, December 15, 2009, http://articles.cnn.com/2009-1215/us/boeing.dreamliner_1_boeing-dreamliner-paine-field-boeing-executive-vicepresident?_s=PM:US, accessed August 2010. 1 the efficient and environmentally friendly plane that could revitalize the struggling commercial aviation market. Recognizing the shared aspirations for the project, Boeing opened a “Name Your Plane” competition to the public.2 Reflecting on the contest’s winning name, vicepresident of branding Rob Pollack stated, “The people of the world made a great choice. The name Dreamliner reflects a new airplane that will fulfill the dreams of airlines and passengers with its efficient operations, enhanced cabin environment, and the ability to allow profitable connection to more cities without stopovers. The name also demonstrates how the airplane’s economics will enable more people around the world to fulfill their dreams of traveling to new places, experiencing new cultures and staying connected to one another.” 3 Boeing Founded in 1916, Boeing was initially called the Pacific Aero Products Company. The name was soon changed to Boeing Airplane Company. Initially Boeing’s operations focused around manufacturing aircraft for the United States during World War I, but their efforts diversified after the to include manufacturing of aircraft for airmail transport. Boeing’s management recognized that in order to accelerate the company’s growth, it needed to design, mass produce, and sell its own aircraft. After World War M. Vinya Kumar, “The Making of Boeing’s 787 ‘Dreamliner’,” ICMR Center for Management Research OPER/053 (Nagarjuna Hills, Hyderabad, India, ICMR, 2006), p. 3. 3 Edward Marek, “The Boeing 7E7 ‘Dreamliner,’ a Plane Designed for Manufacture and the Customer,” July 2, 2003, post on blog “Talking Proud: Service and Sacrifice,” http://www.talkingproud.us/Culture/Dreamliner/ Dreamliner.html, accessed September 2010. 2 Name Your Plane: Boeing’s 787 Dreamliner and Communication Management © 2010 Larry Winters Page 1 September 2010 www.thepersimmongroup.com II, the focus of the company shifted from the defense industry to commercial jets. 4 The Boeing 707, introduced in 1952, was Boeing’s first commercial jet. It was followed in 1960 by Boeing’s first jumbo jet, the 747. This large-bodied plane went on to be the company’s most successful aircraft. The 1970s and 1980s saw Boeing introduce long-range planes through the 757 and 767 models, and commuter planes through the 727 and 737 models. Finally, the 777 model was introduced in 1994. 5 During this time, Boeing solidified its place at the helm of the commercial aviation industry by providing innovation and quality that exceeded its competitors and by consistently delivering more planes. The most notable of these competitors was Airbus Industrie, a European aerospace company originally founded as a consortium of European aerospace manufacturers. With the introduction of the A300 and A300B2 in the early 1970s, Airbus sought to make a mark on the commercial aviation industry. However, it was the release of the A320 in 1982 that solidified Airbus’s presence in this market – over 400 orders for the plane were received even before the first flight. By the late 1990s, the A330 and A340 models offered by Airbus had been highly successful, and were countered by only one big seller from Boeing – the 777.6 After decades of dominating the commercial aviation Figure 1: Boeing and Airbus have together dominated the commercial aviation market over the past 20 years. industry, Boeing now found itself falling behind Airbus and ceding leadership of the commercial aviation market. During this time, Boeing suffered from a lack of direction and an inability to meet customers’ needs. Projects like the 747X and “Sonic Cruiser” had been shelved due to lack of buyer interest, especially after pressures imposed on the airline industry by the September 11th terrorist attacks on the United States and rising fuel prices. 7 Customers called for greater fuel efficiency rather than speed. By the early 2000s, Boeing was under sharp pressure to deliver a new airplane to meet this changing demand and effectively counter Airbus. During this time, however, Airbus’s activities were not without disruption. Their own projects had come up against obstacles, most notably the A380. The doubledeck, wide-body A380 was developed in the early 2000s, and experienced significant barriers in production. Delays in production of the aircraft “eventually stretched out two years” and damaged the company’s reputation. 8 Despite these obstacles, Airbus was able to gain ground against Boeing through the offering of a greater quantity of more modern aircraft. Boeing’s challenge, then, was to counter this growth by Airbus while also learning from their mistakes in new aircraft development. The 787 Dreamliner It was in this environment that Boeing announced the 7E7, named as such for the efficiency to be offered by the Figure 2: Until the last decade, Boeing had a significant edge over Airbus in number of planes delivered. new plane. It was not meant to be a super jumbo jet, but rather a mid-sized, fuel-efficient jet that could meet the need for “long-range, point-to-point flights that airlines want to 7 Boeing Company, “History: Heritage of Innovation,” Boeing Company website, http:// www.boeing.com/history/index.html, accessed August 2010. 5 Kumar, “The Making of Boeing’s 787 ‘Dreamliner’,” p. 3. 6 Ibid., p. 2. 4 Ibid., p. 1. Dominic Gates, “Boeing’s customers expect more delivery delays for 787 Dreamliner,” The Seattle Times, March 12, 2008, http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/boeingaerospace/2004276088_boeing21. html, accessed August 2010. 8 Name Your Plane: Boeing’s 787 Dreamliner and Communication Management © 2010 Larry Winters Page 2 September 2010 www.thepersimmongroup.com offer.”9 To accomplish this feat, Boeing would employ methods and design elements as yet unseen in the airline industry. Significant use of composite materials, extensive outsourcing, and an expansive supplier network were all factors that Boeing incorporated in order to accomplish this pivotal project. However, these all represented critical success factors that could easily make or break the project. If Boeing could not ensure that the incorporation of these three elements was executed effectively, they risked the failure of the project and further loss of ground against Airbus. the globe would enable Boeing to reduce costs; tap into the greatest expertise available, regardless of location; and, avoid delays that could be caused if the aviation industry’s Machinist union were to strike. Strikes by the union in the past had caused Boeing to encounter costly delays and renegotiations. Boeing’s outsourcing decision was deliberately made to help make the 787 Dreamliner’s production process more efficient. However, it would inevitably change the nature of control that Boeing had over its ability to produce the plane, a fact that increased the risk of the project significantly. Composite Materials Distributed Aircraft Production At the very beginning of the project, Boeing declared that fifty percent of the plane was to be made of composite materials, futuristic substances that offered advantages over the steel, aluminum, and titanium currently present in commercial aircraft. 10 These composites included materials such as carbon fiber-reinforced plastic, and were strong and light compared to currently used materials. While the main advantage to composite materials was the greater fuel efficiency (up to twenty percent less than competing aircraft) that could be achieved through their use, other benefits were expected. 11 The materials could withstand greater pressures and would mitigate corrosion, contributing to the durability of the plane. In the end, it would be less costly to operate than competitive offerings, would be more environment-friendly, and would reduce overall maintenance costs as compared with aluminum planes. Outsourcing Early in the project, Boeing announced that they planned to outsource sixty-five percent of the Dreamliner’s airframe and assembly work overseas. In fact, only one part – the vertical tail fin – was to be built in Boeing’s Washington factories. 12 The purpose for this move was three-fold: construction of the plane in outsourced locations around David Hirschman, “Boeing Hopes 7E7 Will Fulfill Airlines’ Dream,” www.ajc.com, July 9, 2003, quoted in M. Vinya Kumar, “The Making of Boeing’s 787 ‘Dreamliner’,” ICMR Center for Management Research OPER/053 (Nagarjuna Hills, Hyderabad, India, ICMR, 2006), p. 2. 10 “Boeing set to unveil Dreamliner,” CNN, July 6, 2007, http://www.cnn.com/2007/TRAVEL/07/06/bt.dreamliner/index.html, accessed August 2010. 11 Michael Oneal and David Greising, “Boeing bets big on a plastic plane,” Chicago Tribune, January 12, 2005, http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/ nationworld/chi-0501120278jan12,0,7928616.story, accessed August 2010. 12 Joseph Weber, “Boeing to Reign in Dreamliner Outsourcing,” Bloomberg Businessweek, January 19, 2009, http://www.businessweek.com/bwdaily/ dnflash/content/jan2009/db20090116_971202.htm?campaign_id=rss_daily, accessed September 2010. 9 One of the most innovative strategies that Boeing intended to employ during the development of the 787 Dreamliner was that of its distributed aircraft production method. To a greater extent than was typical for the company, Boeing intended to have large sections of the plane constructed and assembled in areas around the globe. This was in part due to the fact that the use of composite materials would allow for the plane to be built in large continuous pieces. The pieces, after being produced around the world, were intended to be shipped to the company’s Everett, Washington, location for final assembly. This method would save Boeing millions of dollars and labor hours currently invested into the assembly of the aircraft. The effort, then, would require the collaboration of nearly six thousand engineers around the world. To help mitigate some of the risk associated with this very distributed supplier network, Boeing required that suppliers were also risk sharing partners in the 787 Dreamliner project. Included in this risk sharing program were the governments of Japan and Italy, the states of Washington and Kansas, and numerous other suppliers. Popular Press as a Snap-Shot of Communication Boeing recognized that much of the company’s future ability to compete in the commercial aviation market hung on their efforts with the 787 Dreamliner. Though they needed to regain ground lost to Airbus, they also needed to re-establish their leadership in the minds of customers and the public at large. As such, they used the opportunity not only to develop an excellent product offering, but also to involve and engage the public in the creation of the plane. In the words of Rob Pollack, vice president of branding for Boeing commercial airplanes marketing, “You can expect to see a whole new approach to how we tell the world about the airplane and encourage participation and feedback in the work we are doing. We Name Your Plane: Boeing’s 787 Dreamliner and Communication Management © 2010 Larry Winters Page 3 September 2010 www.thepersimmongroup.com are looking at our new airplane as an opportunity to change the way we do business.”13 Executive Communication “This [the 787] is a big deal for us. If we don’t get it right, it influences our future in the business,” said Michael Bair, Boeing vice-president.14 Boeing’s executive communication throughout development of the 787 Dreamliner undeniably evidenced their recognition of the importance of Boeing’s public image. Consistently, this was demonstrated by their efforts to downplay any delays or setbacks that occurred in the development process. Often, delays in the 787 Dreamliner’s timeline were immediately preceded by assurances that the project was on schedule, and that everything would be delivered as promised. Unfortunately, that proved time and again to not be the case. Unveiling of the 787 Dreamliner After five years of planning, the June 2007 unveiling of the 787 was a reason for celebration among Boeing executives, employees, customers, and admirers worldwide. The event, a true party, involved some fifteen thousand invited guests and included Boeing’s partners in Japan and Italy via satellite links. The crowd hooted and hollered as the plane was revealed to the crowd inside the factory building. The excitement and elation in the crowd was palpable. The plane, however, was not completely what it seemed. It could have told a very different story. In the words of Seattle Times reporter Dominic Gates, “The 787 Dreamliner is heavier than it should be. It’s got 1,000 temporary fasteners holding things in place. It’s missing some systems and final wiring.”15 Indeed, the plane’s situation was eventually revealed to be even more tenuous than what Gates described. The revealed plane was actually just a hollowed shell of what was to be presented. During the June assembly of the plane, engineers had discovered a 0.3-inch gap between joints of the plane, which had come from different suppliers in Boeing’s distributed network.16 The adjustment required significant disconnecting and “Boeing, AOL Time Warner Kick Off Campaign to Unveil New 7E7 Airplane,” Boeing press release, May 5, 2003, on Boeing website, http://www.boeing.com/news/releases/2003/q2/nr_030505g.html, accessed September 2010. 14 “Will Boeing’s New Idea Really Fly?,” Businessweek, June 23, 2003, http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/03_25/b3838036.htm, accessed September 2010. 15 Dominic Gates, “Boeing unveils 787 Drealiner in worldwide production,” The Seattle Times, July 8, 2007, http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/ businesstechnology/2003780379_787main09.html, accessed August 2010. 16 Ibid. reconnecting internal parts to adapt. As a result, the plane was incomplete at the time of the unveiling, but the decision was made to go forward. Some of even the outer structure of the celebrated plane was fake, as the wing slats were painted wood. “Standing up a brand new [airplane] program is a pretty terrifying process early on,” said Michael Bair, who by that time had been named head of the Dreamliner program. “There’s a lot of angst” throughout the 787 global supply base, he indicated. 17 Communication from executives through the press, however, assured customers and the public that production of the plane was well on track. Now that the unveiling was complete, it was ready for a much more important milestone: the first flight in September of 2007. Six Month Delay The 787 Dreamliner’s first flight was expected in September of 2007. However, by October of 2007 it was now impossible for executives to deny that the project was behind schedule: there was no way that the plane would fly in its current state. Despite reassurances from Boeing executives months earlier, Boeing announced at this time that there had been a six-month delay to the project.18 Comments made after this first delay, in late 2007, indicated that the problems might not all be resolved. Bair expressed frustration as he alluded to problems with suppliers. “Some of these guys we won’t use again,” he said of suppliers. 19 It was becoming evident that the parts arriving for assembly were not necessarily created to the quality standard or technical specification that had been expected. However, Boeing quickly distanced itself from Bair’s comments, going so far as to remove him and replace him with a new lead, Pat Shanahan. In December of 2007, Shanahan reassured the public that he “intends to stick to the jet program’s new schedule.” 20 Despite the six-month delay in the first flight, according to Shanahan, delivery of the planes would occur as stated in 2008. He reassured customers and the public: “We meet daily in the factory within yards of the first airplane. I personally meet with the senior managers for three to four hours a night to 13 17 Ibid. “Building the 787 Dreamliner: a timeline,” The Seattle Times, December 15, 2009, http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/boeingaerospace/2010050966_787 timeline15.html, accessed August 2010. 19 Dominic Gates, “Boeing’s Dreamliner chief sticking to schedule,” The Seattle Times, December 12, 2007, http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/ boeingaerospace/2004066475_787update12.html, accessed August 2010. 20 Ibid. 18 Name Your Plane: Boeing’s 787 Dreamliner and Communication Management © 2010 Larry Winters Page 4 September 2010 www.thepersimmongroup.com review progress.”21 Boeing’s partners, he says, “have the same sense of urgency and intensity.”22 “Of course, the plan assumes no major unknowns are uncovered in flight test.” 23 Additional Delays in 2008 January of 2008 saw the announcement of an additional three-month delay in the 787 Dreamliner production schedule. In April 2008 another delay was announced, putting the entire project now fifteen months behind schedule. At this point, executives within Boeing began to acknowledge problems with the project, though they continued to claim that no further delays were expected. Bob Noble, vice president of 787 supplier management, was particularly involved with managing the extensive problems that had developed within Boeing’s network of suppliers for the 787 Dreamliner. “Stressful. Very, very stressful,”24 he said of his job. However, he paired this with a reassurance that this was to be expected. “Every airplane I’ve ever worked on has had a parts problem when it started up.” Furthermore, he says, “I’ve never lost faith in the airplane and the production system.” 25 In July of 2008, Shanahan continued reassurances that the 787 Dreamliner was still on track for its first flight in the fall of 2008. He publicly joked that Boeing had “after school detention on Saturday” for those suppliers that were behind on certification tracks. He characterized his role in troubleshooting as “a great game of whack-a-mole.” 26 His statements seemed to demonstrate a cavalier attitude, which indicated to the public that he was confident in the production of the plane. First Flight Delayed Indefinitely The plane was on schedule to fly by the month’s end, according to Boeing Commercial Airplanes CEO Scott Carson. The chief executive used the June 2009 Paris Air Show as an opportunity to assure customers and the public that the plane was to be flown as intended before July. 21 Ibid. Ibid. Ibid. 24 Dominic Gates, “Chief of 787 Dreamliner’s supply chain takes stress in stride,” The Seattle Times, June 14, 2008, http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/boeingaerospace/2004476707_noble14.html , accessed August 2010. 25 Ibid. 26 Dominic Gates, “Dreamliner on track despite some glitches, 787 chief says,” The Seattle Times, June 16, 2008, http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/businesstechnology/2008053808_farnshana han16.html, accessed August 2010. 22 23 However, on June 23rd, 2009, Boeing stunned the world by postponing the first flight indefinitely. “It will be several weeks before the news schedule is available,” read Boeing’s official statement. 27 In late May, it seemed, Boeing engineers had found a structural defect while conducting stress tests on the plane. This was particularly unsettling, as the novel composite material of the plane was likely to require more rework and adaption to adjust to any problems or defects that were found. Still, stated Carson, “structural modifications like these are not uncommon in the development of new airplanes.” He called the fix “quite manageable.” 28 Team Communication Early Reservations The launch of the 787 Dreamliner project was the cause for excitement throughout Boeing. However, members of the 787 Dreamliner team expressed quite a bit more realism about the project, even to the point of reservation. Indeed, these were the individuals who would be responsible for ensuring that the plane was actually constructed and could actually take flight. At the beginning of the project, Chief Engineer Walt Gillette admitted that he “was not confident of manufacturing aircraft using composites.”29 He recognized the difficulties that might arise from the use of these new materials, and acknowledged that they introduced much more risk into the production process than had previously been the norm. As he described it, “This is a journey none of us has been on. There’s no answer at the back of the book.”30 Some, though, embraced the view of the project as communicated through management, and helped to continue to build excitement around the production of the plane. Blake Emery, Director of Differentiation Strategy for the 787 Dreamliner project, was one of those individuals. Described as “arty” and “stylish,” Emery understood the efforts of Boeing to keep the production of the 787 Dreamliner slick and seamless.31 “Boeing 787 Dreamliner faces yet another delay,” CNN, June 23, 2009, http://articles.cnn.com/2009-06-23/travel/boeing.787.delay_1_dreamliner-boeingcommercial-airplanes-new-orders?_s=PM:TRAVEL, accessed August 2010. 28 “Boeing again delays initial 787 Dreamliner flight,” The Seattle Times, June 24, 2009, http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/boeingaerospace/2009372399_web 787delay23.html, accessed August 2010. 29 M. Vinya Kumar, “The Making of Boeing’s 787 ‘Dreamliner’,” ICMR Center for Management Research OPER/053 (Nagarjuna Hills, Hyderabad, India, ICMR, 2006), p. 8. 30 Michael Oneal and David Greising, “Boeing bets big on a plastic plane,” Chicago Tribune, January 12, 2005, http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/ nationworld/chi-0501120278jan12,0,7928616.story, accessed August 2010. 31 Dominic Gates, “Boeing unveils 787 Drealiner in worldwide production,” The Seattle Times, July 8, 2007, http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/ businesstechnology/2003780379_787main09.html, accessed August 2010. 27 Name Your Plane: Boeing’s 787 Dreamliner and Communication Management © 2010 Larry Winters Page 5 September 2010 www.thepersimmongroup.com “I’m really happy with the way people who love airplanes are talking about it,” said Emery. “It’s a hit.”32 Allegations of Safety Concerns In September of 2007, Boeing experienced the first direct threat to the execution of the 787 Dreamliner project through an accusation by a fired former employee. The employee, a veteran senior engineer, went public with allegations that the new 787 Dreamliner was unsafe, and that the company was not doing enough to test the plane’s crashworthiness. Describing the issue, Vince Weldon claimed that the issue was “well-covered up” by Boeing, but that a significant issue existed. 33 He claimed that the composite fuselage of the plane would be very brittle, and would create a more severe impact shock in the event of a crash. Furthermore, a fire would cause the composite material to break down, releasing toxic fumes and tiny inhalable carbon slivers. He also alleged that the lightning preparedness of the plane was not sufficient. Boeing vigorously denied Weldon’s assertions, reassuring customers and the public alike that the planes had been well-tested and were safe for passengers. His comments were dismissed as those of a disgruntled former employee. 34 While Weldon’s comments understandably provoked attention in the press, it is important to note that this allegation represented only one former employee’s comments against Boeing. It seemed that most Boeing employees did not feel the need to raise similar concerns. Union Setbacks Throughout the 787 Dreamliner project, Boeing has experienced delays, occasionally significant, due to strikes by the Boeing Machinist union. This union, a branch of the AFL-CIO, is comprised of about 45,000 active, retired, and laid-off workers at The Boeing Company. 35 Though Boeing had experienced employee strikes in the past, the last Machinist strike before the 787 Dreamliner project occurred in 1995. However, the possibility of a strike was always considered to be a risk, and Boeing’s effort to distribute the production of the plane was their attempt to mitigate this risk. 32 Ibid. Dominic Gates, “Fired engineer calls 787’s plastic fuselage unsafe,” The Seattle Times, September 18, 2007, http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/ boeingaerospace/2003889663_boeing180.html, accessed August 2010. 34 Ibid. 35 I am District 751, “About District 751,” I am District 751 organization website, http://www.iam751.org/pages/about751.htm, accessed September 2010. 33 In 2005, Boeing experienced its first setback in the 787 Dreamliner program at the hands of a machinist strike. This one-month strike did not affect the company significantly, but indicated that there may be difficulties ahead in the relations between the two industries. It was the Machinist strike that began in September of 2008 that caused significant delays throughout the 787 Dreamliner supply chain. This 57-day strike caused the shutdown of most of Boeing’s efforts in Washington, where parts shipped from suppliers were being assembled. Because of this shutdown, suppliers were asked to idle their production. At some suppliers, this caused massive layoffs, including Vought Aircraft in Charleston, South Carolina. “It feels like we are tearing apart our workforce,” said Joy Romero, Vought’s vice-president for the 787 program. “Our employees were starting to get the learning curve going. We were starting to make progress.”36 After this 2008 strike, it took more than a month to get production back on track. Additional strikes have been threatened, but none have affected production so significantly as this one. Competitor Communication Initial Skepticism In the story of the 787 Dreamliner, there is one character that has maintained a unique perspective on the issue – Airbus, the Boeing Company’s chief competitor. The French company, as currently the leading company in the commercial aviation market, stands to gain or lose significant ground based on the success or failure of development of the new aircraft. Airbus, like Boeing, has its own experience with significant delays in production of a new airplane through the development of the A380. Early in the production of the 787 Dreamliner, chief of global sales John Leahy acknowledged that a great idea for an aircraft did not necessarily indicate the success of the construction. “A salesman’s dream and an engineer’s nightmare,” is what he called the project, prophetically indicating the problems that might arise. 37 Indeed, engineering the 787 Dreamliner through a network of six thousand engineers across the globe has proven more difficult than Boeing may have anticipated. Frequently parts do not fit as Dominic Gates, “Impact of Boeing strike puts brakes on 787 production at partner Vought,” The Seattle Times, November 11, 2008, http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/businesstechnology/2008375414_vought11. html, accessed September 2010. 37 M. Vinya Kumar, “The Making of Boeing’s 787 ‘Dreamliner’,” ICMR Center for Management Research OPER/053 (Nagarjuna Hills, Hyderabad, India, ICMR, 2006), p. 8. 36 Name Your Plane: Boeing’s 787 Dreamliner and Communication Management © 2010 Larry Winters Page 6 September 2010 www.thepersimmongroup.com expected, deliveries are not on time, and suppliers do not complete the work of their project to specified standards. Unveiling of the Dreamliner Upon the unveiling of the 787 Dreamliner to the public in 2007, Airbus head Louis Gallois acknowledged the success of the development to that point. In a letter to Boeing chief executive Jim McNerney, Gallois stated that it was a “great day in aviation history.”38 “Even if tomorrow Airbus will get back into the business of competing vigorously,” stated Gallois, “today is Boeing’s day to celebrate the 787.” 39 apprehension to Boeing. Under the condition of anonymity, some expressed concerns to reporters about effects the delays were having on their companies. Boeing’s repeated and unexpected delays were “putting management in a difficult situation with the bankers providing its financing,” one said.42 His company was not getting any details from Boeing, and had no way to anticipate the accuracy of Boeing’s announced schedules. One echoed his feelings. “[The Acknowledgement of Difficulty As the 787 Dreamliner development has faced continued delays, Airbus has recognized this opportunity to affirm its relatively new place at the forefront of commercial aviation. During July of 2010, Boeing invited the executives of Airbus for a tour of the new 787 Dreamliner. The experience elicited comments from Airbus indicating their view of Boeing’s situation. “It’ll be a very good airplane,” said Airbus chief executive Tom Enders. “Ours will be better,” referring to Airbus’s A350, which is scheduled to be available in three years. 40 Airbus expressed contempt at the fact that Boeing did not choose to do a flying display of the aircraft; the 787 Dreamliner sat still for tours. “They bring new planes and park them,” said Enders. “We bring new planes and fly them.” 41 Customer Communication Ultimately, it would be the customers of Boeing who would suffer the effects of the continuously changing and often delayed project schedule of the 787 Dreamliner. Throughout the duration of the project, however, it is this group that has received perhaps the most inconsistent and incomplete information from Boeing executives. Early Delays Customers indicated apprehension early in the production process, though they did not want to indicate that Dominic Gates, “Boeing unveils 787 Drealiner in worldwide production,” The Seattle Times, July 8, 2007, http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/ businesstechnology/2003780379_787main09.html, accessed August 2010. 39 Ibid. 40 Dominic Gates, “Airbus execs tour the Dreamliner, offering compliments with a little edge,” The Seattle Times, July 20, 2010, http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/boeingliveeventcoverage/2012405042_airbu s_execs_tour_the_dreamliner_at_farnborough_they_offer_compl.html, accessed August 2010. 41 Ibid. Figure 3: 787 Dreamliner orders peaked in 2007 and have declined steadily since that time. schedule] was always aggressive. Now it’s not achievable.” 43 A third, whose company had multiple 787s on order, stated what many were already realizing. “There’s the official position and then there’s the unofficial position.” 44 Building Frustration By mid-2009, the first flight of the 787 Dreamliner had been delayed indefinitely. One analyst noted that he’d never seen an airplane delayed this close to its first scheduled flight. “Usually,” he said, “you get this stage, and there are no showstoppers. That only increases the feeling that there are so many uncertainties here.” 45 In an official statement, Japanese airline All Nippon Airways all but pleaded for information about when its airplanes would arrive. “We are disappointed that the first flight of the 787 will be postponed, and urge Boeing 38 Dominic Gates, “Boeing’s customers expect more delivery delays for 787 Dreamliner,” The Seattle Times, March 12, 2008, http://seattletimes.nwsource. com/html/boeingaerospace/2004276088_boeing21. html, accessed August 2010. 43 Ibid. 44 Ibid. 45 “Boeing again delays initial 787 Dreamliner flight,” The Seattle Times, June 24, 2009, http://seattletimes. nwsource.com/html/boeingaerospace/2009372399_web 787delay23.html, accessed August 2010. 42 Name Your Plane: Boeing’s 787 Dreamliner and Communication Management © 2010 Larry Winters Page 7 September 2010 www.thepersimmongroup.com to specify the schedule for the program as a whole as quickly as possible.” 46 A New Status Quo Now, after years of delays, Boeing’s customers do not demonstrate their earlier hesitation to comment on development of the 787 Dreamliner. Instead, it has become almost expected for the airlines to issue responses to the Boeing announcements. It is these responses that give insight into the communication that customers must receive from Boeing. Indeed, a very recent delay elicited varying responses from expectant customers: Continental Airlines said that it was “disappointed,” and that they had not yet received an updated time table about the project. Japan Airlines Corp. announced that they had received no word of any postponement. Delta Airlines acknowledged that they were in discussions with Boeing over their eighteen-plane order, but declined to comment on whether they were seeking penalties. United Airlines said that they expect their future deliveries to be on track. 47 not necessarily have to be formally presented or based in fact. Though Boeing can try to influence analyst communication through its public statements, much of this information is decidedly out of the company’s control. As this information is widely accessible, however, it decidedly affects the perceptions of Boeing’s efforts. This can have implications for customer perceptions, future passenger confidence, and shareholder projections. Initial Excitement Boeing clearly recognized the influence of external and market communications from the beginning of the 787 Dreamliner project. It was this recognition that would give rise to the “Name Your Plane” competition, as well as the emphasis on marketing the efficiency, innovation, and affordability present in the 787 Dreamliner. In this case, Boeing representatives declined to comment beyond their brief initial statement. Market Communication Boeing has seen significant variance in its stock price during the execution of the 787 Dreamliner project. The company’s stock, which rose above $106.00 per share at the height of the 787 Dreamliner orders, now rests at around $62.00 per share. During this time, many external factors have undoubtedly influenced the value of the stock, including the 2008 stock market crash. However, stock prices represent a telling look into investors’ perceptions of the company’s performance, future opportunities, and ability to deliver returns to investors. External “Authority” Throughout the life of the project, communication from individuals and organizations that analyze company operations have provided an extremely significant volume of information about the 787 Dreamliner project. Unlike formal communications from the Boeing Company, this communication can be virtually instantaneous and does 46 Ibid. Ben Mutzabaugh, “Will Boeing pay for its latest Dreamliner delay?” USA Today, August 27, 2010, http://travel.usatoday.com/flights/post/2010/08/boeingdreamliner-delay-penalty/110384/1, accessed August 2010. 47 Name Your Plane: Boeing’s 787 Dreamliner and Communication Management © 2010 Larry Winters Page 8 September 2010 www.thepersimmongroup.com Figure 4: Boeing’s stock price has fluctuated significantly over the course of the 787 Dreamliner development Initially, Boeing was very successful in using the market at large to propagate excitement around the 787 Dreamliner. News outlets, investor analysts, and blog authors alike praised the promise of the new plane and helped to fuel the excitement and anticipation about its coming availability. Turning Tide of Opinion However, as Boeing was quick to recognize the positive buzz that could be generated by the market in general, they have also learned how quickly market communication can turn negative. Increasingly, alternative information outlets have bemoaned Boeing’s handling of the 787 Dreamliner project and have questioned the ability of the company to deliver on its promises. Alternative information sources include sites like “FlightBlogger” and “All Things 787,” blogs that disseminate information about the day-to-day happenings of the 787 Dreamliner project. In addition to companyarticulated information, they provide links to analyst commentary, videos, and other blogs. They also increasingly amplify the struggles of Boeing with the 787. “You … might be wondering about the activity (or lack thereof) of test flights on the 787 test fleet,” was the recent topic of discussion in “All Things 787.” Current Status The first flight of the 787 Dreamliner was finally achieved on December 15, 2009, almost two and a half years after initially scheduled. However, this event marked only one of numerous milestones that still remain in the development of the plane. Five of the six 787 Dreamliner planes are currently engaged in flight tests, while the sixth is still in production. Their flight tests have been fraught by unforeseen problems and setbacks, including ill-fitting parts, design flaws in a bracket to the plane’s tail, and most recently problems with the plane’s horizontal stabilizer. In light of the delays and technical difficulties, 2010 orders for the new plane went negative for the first time in August of 2010, as the company lost 15 commitments from customers. Furthermore, in late August 2010 Boeing officially announced that the 787 Dreamliner will not be available for delivery until the beginning of 2011. This time the company is citing the unavailability of the engines for test flights. Boeing’s stock, which rose above $106.00 per share at the height of the 787 Dreamliner orders, now rests at around $62.00 per share. Now, Boeing faces not only the loss of business from its customers, but also the penalties and fines associated with late delivery on its contracts with customers. Even before the latest delay, analysts were estimating that Boeing’s penalty payments to 787 Dreamliner customers could reach five billion dollars. Though it is likely that they will use discounts, maintenance agreements, and other options to reduce this figure, they will still face a significant penalty. The loss of business and penalty payments, though, are only a small part of the picture that is coming into focus. As the delays to the 787 Dreamliner program are more frequent, more publicized, and only briefly explained by Boeing, the company may face a rising tide of negative end user opinion. That is, the delays and Name Your Plane: Boeing’s 787 Dreamliner and Communication Management © 2010 Larry Winters Page 9 September 2010 www.thepersimmongroup.com problems with construction of the plane may cause potential passengers to be skeptical of the safety of the aircraft. Closing Remark As Boeing seeks to conclude the long story of the 787 Dreamliner, the company will face many more opportunities to communicate the status of the project to its customers and the public in general. Because delays to the 787 Dreamliner project represent potential loss of Boeing’s customers, potential financial penalties, and potential loss of confidence by plane passengers, it will be important for Boeing to manage the communication about its flagship project. Larry Winters is the Project Management Practice Leader and Executive Vice President of Solution Delivery for The Persimmon Group. He is a Project Management Institutecertified Project Management Professional (PMP) with research interests in the areas of Business Strategy, Project Management, Project Risk Management, Virtual Teaming and “Green” Project Management. He is also a member of the American Association of Cost Engineers (AACE) International as well as the National Speakers Association (NSA). Kim Saylor is an Associate for The Persimmon Group. She provides consulting services to clients and develops content for TPG training courses and national speaking engagements. Her areas of specialization include project management, strategic planning, and leadership development. The Persimmon Group is a management consulting firm that works with organizations, in both the public and private sector that want a tailored approach to business growth and improvement opportunities. Since 2004, TPG’s experienced consultants have provided a wide range of expertise in many industries and in numerous areas including business strategy, project management, information technology, and leadership development, among others. Name Your Plane: Boeing’s 787 Dreamliner and Communication Management © 2010 Larry Winters Page 10 September 2010