MAY 2014 Professor Steven Callander Faculty E228 Tel: (650) 736 2867 sjc@stanford.edu Office hours: Thursday 3:30pm-5:30pm or by appointment Assistant: Stacy Diaz Faculty E224 Tel: (650) 723 1120 Diaz_Stacy@gsb.stanford.edu POLECON 230 – STRATEGY BEYOND THE MARKET The performance of business is determined by more than interactions with customers and competitors in the marketplace. Equally important to firm performance are factors beyond the market environment. These factors can be thought of as forming the “rules of the game” for market competition. The purpose of this class is to gain an understanding and appreciation for what goes on beyond the market and to develop tools and frameworks with which to analyze it. The “rules of the game” that emerge from beyond the market shape market competition and the opportunities that are available to firms. For example, the rules governing protection of intellectual property impact the advantages to “innovating” firms versus firms that are “fast followers,” whereas trade restrictions, antitrust regulations, or rules governing mergers and acquisitions determine industry structure and competitiveness. These rules, and in many cases their enforcement, are not fixed, well-defined constraints, but are determined, implemented, and interpreted by legislatures, government administrative agencies, judicial institutions, public sentiment, and ethical consensus. The resolution of ambiguity and the direction of change is neither exogenous nor divorced from strategic considerations. Rather, the process involves interest groups interacting within a system of institutions that includes but is not limited to the various branches of government, the media, and nongovernmental organizations. Both competitive advantage and industry profitability are affected by this interaction. Therefore, business strategies often must include actions to influence the outcome of the beyond market process. The analysis and development of successful strategies to shape the rules of the game to an organization’s advantage constitute the domain of strategy beyond the market. The business environment beyond the market includes a broader range of interests, issues, and institutions than does the market environment. These players and features cannot be successfully analyzed with the traditional concepts of competitive advantage. For example, regulatory costs or public subsidies can help or hurt all players in an industry, creating common interests among what are otherwise market rivals. Navigating between competing and common interests 1 frequently creates challenging strategic problems for managers and consultants that requires a new set of tools. This need is particularly acute when a firm implements an innovative strategy, operates in a rapidly evolving industry, or targets new markets in the global economy. Such is the case in deregulating industries (telecommunications or energy) where one set of rules is effectively being substituted for another, in e-commerce where important rules (e.g., on the protection of intellectual property and on domestic and international rules with respect to privacy or sales practices) appear open to change, or within the biotech and pharmaceutical industry where rapid innovation may clash with ethical concerns, questions about patients’ well-being, or about a certain technology or its distribution. In addressing the beyond-market environment the class will adopt the point of view of managers, consultants, and entrepreneurs. The primary objectives are to examine typical issues, to develop a set of conceptual frameworks for analyzing beyond-market threats and opportunities, and to practice forming effective strategies for managing in the entirety of the business environment (market and beyond market). The concepts, skills, and analytical tools that students will learn in the course rest upon a foundation of economic principles, political analysis, and, to a lesser extent, social psychology and law. They identify patterns of behavior and outcomes, ways of thinking about those patterns and outcomes, methods of analysis that facilitate understanding and prediction, and, ultimately, the shaping of strategies to improve business performance. The frameworks and insights we develop are applicable globally, in a variety of governmental, regulatory or social settings. Our focus will be on developing the central questions that must be asked and answered to formulate a beyond-market strategy. The questions we ask are common across countries and cultures; it is only the answers that may differ depending on the particular institutional context. Accordingly, we will consider a diverse set of cases and problems from the U.S. as well as other countries, although our focus will primarily fall on the U.S. given the length of the class. Student input on how the analysis of the environment beyond the market varies across countries is welcome. The intention is that by the end of the class you will be able to develop and apply integrated strategies that address market and beyond-market considerations. This requires analysis of the component parts of the business environment that is beyond the market. In each session we will examine a component of the environment and focus on developing the optimal tactics at each stage. At several points throughout the quarter we will aggregate this tactical knowledge, piece it together, and develop an integrated strategy for a particular firm. COURSE MATERIALS 1. Business and its Environment (BIE), (7th edition, Prentice-Hall, 2012) by David P. Baron. This book was written specifically for the beyond markets class at Stanford and has been adopted by several other leading business schools. 2. The class Coursework site. Readings listed in the syllabus will be posted to the coursework site (in the “Materials” subfolder). I’ll also post additional readings and references that emerge as well as class announcements and updates (important announcements will also be emailed). 2 COURSE REQUIREMENTS AND GRADING The course requirements are mastery of the content of the readings, constructive contributions to class discussions and activities, two study group-level exercises, and the final examination. Grades will be assigned as a weighted average of three equal components – class participation, group work, and the final examination. The final exam will be an in-class, open book, open notes exam on Saturday, June 7, 9am-12pm. CLASS SESSIONS Class sessions will be conducted on a lecture/case-discussion basis. A typical session will be based on the discussion of a case that exemplifies a particular aspect of the environment beyond the market. It may also include a lecture that addresses a conceptual approach or develops an issue, provides a setting for the topic being addressed, or integrates the class discussion and the subject matter. As such, you are expected to attend and be well prepared for every class session. If you must miss a class, please send me a note prior to class. Absences are otherwise regarded as unexcused and will be reflected negatively in your class participation grade. You may not make up for absences by attending a different section of the class. Copies of the day’s slides will be posted to coursework no later than 5pm on the day of the class. Laptop Policy: I see no reason to have a laptop open during class other than to take notes. If you wish to use a laptop for this reason, let me know and you should sit in the back row. Otherwise, laptop use is not permitted in the classroom. STUDY GROUPS It is advantageous to meet as a group and discuss cases prior to class. Unless you are asked to prepare a presentation, reaching a consensus is a subordinate purpose of meeting. The main purposes of group preparation are to review and clarify readings, and to share and challenge individual analyses of the case. You are welcome to form study groups of your own choosing. Each group should contain 4-6 members. You will work in these groups for two class exercises. Groups must be formed shortly after the first class session. The first assignment is due by the beginning of the second session. Submit group information by 5pm on Wednesday, May 7, via email to my assistant (Diaz_Stacy@gsb.stanford.edu). 3 COURSE OUTLINE SESSION 1 – MONDAY, MAY 5: INTRODUCTION TO STRATEGY BEYOND THE MARKET This session introduces the concept of strategy beyond the market and its integration with market strategy. We will walk through an example of a beyond market strategy to give an overview of the importance and possibility that exists beyond the market. This session will also introduce the two fundamental frameworks that we will use throughout the quarter: The “4 I’s” framework and the “Issue Life-Cycle” framework. Reading: BIE pp. 1-16 The Master Switch: The Rise and Fall of Information Empires. Tim Wu. Chapters 9 & 10 (p. 125-135 & 136-156). Nb. Tim Wu refers to the “Kronos Effect” in corporate competition (he defines the term in an earlier chapter). Kronos was the second ruler of the universe, according to Greek mythology. He learned from the Delphic oracle that one of his children would dethrone him. Prudently, Kronos proceeded to eat all of his children. Required Task: You are required to complete a short survey before the beginning of today’s session (the survey will take only 5-10 minutes). You will receive an email invitation and link to the survey several days before class begins. SESSION 2 – FRIDAY, MAY 9: INFORMATION BEYOND THE MARKET: POLITICIAN’S INCENTIVES AND INFORMATION FRAMING “The Customer is King!” is a standard cliché in the business environment. As a result, firms invest considerable resources and exhibit a relentless focus on communicating with their customers. In contrast, a different focus is required beyond the market environment as business fortunes are determined largely by non-customers. Non-customers differ from customers in many ways. Non-customers include those who are indifferent to your products and unaware of your firm, as well as those who openly despise you. Managing successfully beyond the market environment requires that you learn how to communicate with non-customers and to understand the role of information in determining the “rules of the game.” We will focus on techniques that will enable you to leverage information processing to gain public and political support. During the session we will discuss a variety of contexts and cases. General background knowledge is sufficient. Reading: BIE pp. 52-62. Assignment: An assignment is due today (it will be distributed at the end of the first class session). You are to complete the assignment in subgroups of size 2-3 (by breaking your study group into two). 4 SESSION 3 – MONDAY, MAY 12: BUSINESS INNOVATION AND BEYOND MARKET CONSTRAINTS A frequent attitude in Silicon Valley – and the entrepreneurial community generally – is that the quality of the idea will take care of itself and that the government is irrelevant (not to mention stuffy and bureaucratic). Time and time again this attitude has been proven wrong. Yet the attitude persists. The rules of the game for a market are often set before the market even exists. Understanding the rules that are in place and designing a business plan that takes them into account is an important part of business innovation. We’ll explore these lessons through the strategy pursued by Uber and the ongoing evolution of their business model. We’ll also review the salutary experience of Prosper Marketplace, an innovator in the peer-to-peer lending business, in preparation for Session 5. Cases: Readings: Uber: 21st Century Technology Confronts 20th Century Regulation Re-read Master Switch! SESSION 4 – FRIDAY, MAY 16: INCENTIVES, COSTS, AND THE ORGANIZATION OF INTERESTS Laws are byproducts of competing interests. Throughout the world democratic political systems rely upon elected parliamentary or legislative bodies to pass laws, and on bureaucratic agencies to implement, interpret, and enforce these laws. This session focuses on competing interests as inputs in the policymaking process. A variety of different interests may become active on an issue, and the session focuses on predicting the intensity and likely impact of interest group activity. (Reference material on the U.S. government is provided in BIE, p. 175-180.) The session begins the process of unlocking the “black box” of government by taking into account the workings of policymaking institutions. Case: SOPA: The Media Industry Fights Online Copyright Infringement. Reading: BIE Chapter 6. Assignment: In groups, submit a completed Distributive Politics Spreadsheet for the SOPA case. Justify your (important) decisions on a separate page. SESSION 5 – MONDAY, MAY 19: LEGISLATIVE STRATEGY This session drills down into the study of legislatures. The focus is on concepts and methods of analysis pertaining to agenda setting, pivotal voters, building majorities, and predicting outcomes in majority rule institutions. This session explores the distinctiveness of the U.S. political system. We will discuss these concepts in the context of health care reform in the United States in 20092010. Case: Reading: Health Care 2010. BIE Chapters 7 and 8. “The Leader as Lobbyist.” Ginger Graham, Harvard Business Review, June 2001. 5 SESSION 6 – FRIDAY, MAY 23: WHEN GOVERNMENTS COMPETE By now in your MBA you have most likely heard many times that business strategy is global. In this session we ask the question: Does beyond market strategy also need to be global? The answer: Yes, but not as much. The differences in political institutions and preferences across countries call for beyond-market strategies to be tailored to particular constituencies. This often necessitates “multi-domestic” rather than truly global strategies. Nevertheless, in some markets the global reach of products creates an interdependence of political decisions, to the point that governments compete to shape global markets. To explore these issues we will return to the issue of carried interest in the US and UK and, time permitting, the evolving shape of the internet gambling market. This session will also wrap-up the class, bringing together our accumulated knowledge and frameworks into a unified understanding of the beyond market environment. Cases: Carried Interest (primary) Internet Gambling ** MONDAY, MAY 26: No class (Memorial Day) SESSION 7 – WEDNESDAY, MAY 28: SHAPING MARKETS FOR GOOD GUEST SPEAKER – BART HOULAHAN, CO-FOUNDER OF B-CORPORATION In your travels you may have heard the pithy directive: “Change lives. Change organizations. Change the world.” To that we need to add: “Change Markets.” Non-profit organizations are not immune from beyond market forces. B-Corporation is one such non-profit that is explicitly attempting to shape markets to achieve their socially desirable objectives. As such, beyond market considerations were an integral component of their founding strategy. In this session we will explore how social objectives mesh with the beyond market environment, being led by one of the founders of B-Corporation, Bart Houlahan. Background case: Background reading: B Lab: Building a New Sector of the Economy. “Strategy and Society: The Link Between Competitive Advantage and Corporate Social Responsibility.” Michael Porter and Mark Kramer, Harvard Business Review, December 2006. 6 SESSION 8 – FRIDAY, MAY 30: INTEGRATED STRATEGY The purpose of this session is to put together the pieces covered to this point. We will devote our time to analyzing the economics of the airline industry and how it is shaped by a particular piece of legislation. The assignment calls for the development of an integrated strategy, requiring the development of standard financial analysis subject to a political constraint. Case: Lobbying For Love? Southwest Airlines and the Wright Amendment. (Case + Excel file – coursework). Assignment: Using the tools and frameworks developed in Sessions 1-7, combined with standard financial analysis, develop an integrated strategy for Southwest airlines. Be sure to use the provided data (excel file) to fully support your position. Submissions -- excluding figures, spreadsheets, and attachments – should not exceed two pages. I will select one group (or more) at random to present their analysis to the class. SESSION 9 – MONDAY, JUNE 2: GUEST SPEAKER – CHRIS LARSEN, FOUNDER AND FORMER CEO OF PROSPER MARKETPLACE; CURRENT CEO OF RIPPLE. We will have a visit from Chris Larsen. Chris is the founder and former CEO of Prosper Marketplace, and the current CEO of Ripple, an internet protocol for making financial transactions. Case: Explore: Prosper Marketplace. https://ripple.com/ SATURDAY, JUNE 7: EXAM, 9AM-12PM. In class exam on all assigned material. Open book, open notes, closed outside sources of information (i.e., the internet, cell phones, etc.). 7