Network-Led Development and the Rise of Turn-key Production Networks: Technological Change and the Outsourcing of Electronics Manufacturing by Timothy J. Sturgeon Massachusetts Institute of Technology December, 1998 Forthcoming in: G. Gereffi, F. Palpacuer, A. Parisotto (eds.) Gl o bal Pro du cti o n an d Lo cal Jo bs. International Institute for Labour Studies, Geneva MIT E40-227 Cambridge, MA 02139 sturgeon@mit.edu 1. Introduction This chapter is based on the proposition that first tier suppliers, especially those that serve American transnational corporations, are capturing a higher share of the value added in the supply chain. In particular, I argue that a significant share of American electronics firms are adapting to volatile and intensely competitive market conditions by outsourcing their product-level manufacturing to a global-scale network of specialized merchant suppliers, known in the industry as “turn-key contract manufacturers.” Such suppliers are given the appellation "turn-key" because they require very little support or input—beyond design specifications—from customer firms. At the same time, American final productlevel, or "brand-name" electronics firms have reasserted control over product definition, product design, and marketing functions, which are largely being kept in-house. The intent of the chapter is to explore some of the reasons behind the emergence of turn-key contract manufacturing, and discusses the implications of this new organizational model for places that seek to foster the development of the electronics industry. I argue that the rise of turn-key contracting has created new imperatives for developing places to connect to global-scale production networks or be left out of the mainstream of industrial development. The policy rubric that responds to this new reality I have dubbed “networkled development.” The chapter is organized as follows. Section Two provides an introduction to turnkey contract manufacturing through the example of Apple Computer’s growing partnership with SCI System, the world’s largest contract manufacturer, and then goes on to document the recent boom in revenues among the world’s largest twenty contract manufacturers. Section Three discusses the new requirements for first-tier suppliers, outlining the production-related services that have been the source of dramatic revenue growth for contract manufacturers. Section Four provides a detailed discussion of circuit-board assembly technology (the core process of product-level electronic assembly), including a 1 description of a major shift in manufacturing process technology—beginning in the mid1980s and nearly complete today—that helped to trigger the surge in production outsourcing. Along the way I point to the implications of these changes in industry structure and technology for policies aimed at fostering the development of the electronics sector. Section Five presents an account of the temporal and geographic development of turn-key production networks. Section Six examines the impact of turn-key production networks on local enterprises and employment. Section Seven concludes with an argument for a refined “network-led” approach to economic development that takes into account the emerging industry structure presented in the chapter.1 2. An Introduction to Turn-key Production Networks In April 1996 Apple Computer announced that it was selling its largest United States personal computer (PC) manufacturing facility in Fountain, Colorado to a littleknown electronics company called SCI Systems. Apple had just posted the largest quarterly loss in its history ($740M) and had narrowly avoided being taken over by Sun Microsystems, so it may not have been suprising that it was shedding some of its assets. What seemed strange about this deal was that, according to Apple management and industry pundits alike, Apple’s troubles did not stem from poor demand, but from its inability to meet demand.2 1 The implications of turnkey contracting for theories of innovation and industrial organization are discussed at length in Sturgeon 1997a and Sturgeon 1997b. 2 Apple’s gambit to protect its market share against those companies offering PCs based on Microsoft’s Windows operating system and Intel’s x86 microprocessor architecture (known in the industry as "WINTEL") by offering cheaper, lower-performance machines backfired when customers flocked to Apple’s higher-performance products instead. Apple’s manufacturing operations were not nimble enough to make up for this poor forecasting by quickly increasing production of higher-end machines. The PC industry as a whole had grown 25% during 1995 and many key components, particularly memory chips, were in short supply. Orders for high-end machines went unfilled and low-end machines began piling up in inventories. The result was that Apple lost its already tenuous hold on some of its customers, who, unable to buy Apple machines with the capability of fully utilizing the industry’s new “killer application,” the World Wide Web, migrated to readily available, powerful, and relatively inexpensive WINTEL machines. By April 1996, Apple’s share of the worldwide PC market had fallen to an all-time low of 5.8%, down from 7.7% in the first quarter of 1995. Apple’s new CEO, Gilbert Amelio, who was brought in to address the crisis, instituted a three-track plan to revive Apple by targeting new product development on Internet and 2 Why would a company that is having trouble meeting demand sell one of its most important production facilities? One could easily imagine an effort to improve responsiveness and efficiency at existing facilities, but a move to decrease capacity at such a moment, on the face of it, seemed foolish. Did Apple plan to make up for the resulting loss in manufacturing capacity by expanding its remaining production facilities in Ireland or Singapore, moving production to lower-cost offshore locations? A closer look at Apple’s restructuring strategy and its partner in the deal, SCI, provides some answers to this puzzle and serves as a thumbnail sketch of the organizational sea-change that is currently underway in the electronics industry. Surprisingly, the sale to SCI did not mean that Apple computers would no longer be produced in the Colorado facility. On the contrary, the deal included a three-year agreement for SCI to continue to manufacture Apple products in the plant. SCI is the largest of an emerging cadre of specialized firms whose sole business is to provide electronics manufacturing services on a contract basis; accordingly, companies like SCI are known in the electronics industry as “contract manufacturers." SCI had the right to use the plant’s production lines to manufacture products for any of its other customers as well as Apple, which at the time included more than fifty firms including Hewlett Packard and IBM, companies that compete directly with Apple in the PC market. The majority of the five-year-old plant's 1,100 workers were to stay on as SCI employees. So, Apple was not selling one of its United States plants to a burgeoning local electronics company and moving its own production offshore, it was contracting with SCI to continue to manufacture Apple products in Colorado. According to Apple’s then CEO, Gilbert Amelio, the company’s strategy was to outsource production to companies such as SCI in order to reduce Apple’s manufacturing overhead and inventory carrying costs while concentrating the company's resources more intensively on marketing and product design multimedia products, streamlining the company’s crowded product line, and drastically restructuring its operations (e.g., by outsourcing its manufacturing, technical support services, and internal 3 (Electronics Buyers News, 1996). After the sale, Apple was able to alter the volume of its production—upward or downward—on very short notice without installing or idling any of its own plant and equipment. Of particular interest to Apple’s management, given the company’s recent troubles meeting unexpected demand, was the improved “upside flexibility” that the deal with SCI provided.3 Was the Apple/SCI deal unusual? Certainly not. If anything, according to some industry watchers, some of Apple's problems stemmed from the fact that it had been too slow to outsource its manufacturing operations, even though nearly 50% of the company’s manufacturing was already performed by contractors prior to the sale. By selling the Colorado facility to SCI, Amelio was simply placing Apple more squarely on a bandwagon that was already well underway. Since the mid-1980s, and particularly since the early 1990s, large and well-known American (and more recently, European) electronics companies such as Apple, IBM, NCR, Philips, ATT, Hewlett Packard, Digital Equipment, and Ericsson have been abandoning their internal manufacturing operations in en mass and turning to contract manufacturers such as SCI to build their products. At the same time, many younger, faster growing electronics firms, many of them based in Silicon Valley, such as Sun Microsystems, Silicon Graphics, 3Com, Bay Networks, and Cisco Systems, have always used contract manufacturers; few of these newer firms have built internal manufacturing capacity as they have grown.4 The Apple/SCI deal, then, can best be telecommunications system management to third party vendors) (San Francisco Chronicle, April 30 and August 14, 1996). 3 As recent events at Apple proved, inability to meet demand during an industry upturn is just as devastating in a fast-moving marketplace such as PCs as being stuck with excess capacity during an industry downturn. In an industry with a highly volatile growth pattern such as electronics, such upside flexibility is an extremely important asset. 4 In many ways, the turnkey network model is a child of Silicon Valley, where outsourcing to functionally specialized independent local firms is a long tradition (see Saxenian (1994) for an excellent account of industry organization in Silicon Valley). As Saxenian documents, East Coast electronics firms such as Digital Equipment have historically been highly vertically integrated. On the other hand, there are other important clusters of contract manufacturing activity in the world, especially Huntsville, AL; Singapore; and Scotland; so the model cannot be equated with Silicon Valley. 4 understood as part of a larger shift in the way electronics production is coming to be organized. Increased outsourcing of electronics manufacturing by American brand-name firms has created an unprecedented boom in contract manufacturing revenues, especially during the past five years. From 1988 to 1992 the sum of revenues generated by 1995's estimated largest 20 contractors grew at an annual rate of 30.7%. Since 1992, however, revenue growth has been accelerating dramatically year by year: from 1992 to 1995, revenues grew 46.4% each year, with the fastest growth coming from 1994 to 1995, when revenues grew an astonishing 51.2% (see Figure 1 and Table 1).5 At the time of this writing the unprecedented growth in the industry is showing no sign of slowing down (for example, the SCI's revenues grew 65% to more than $5.3B in calendar year 1996). There are many factors that have contributed to increased outsourcing by American brand name electronics firms, and thus the boom in contractor revenues. First, relative to firms from Asia and Europe, American firms has generally placed manufacturing in a low position on the hierarchy of corporate esteem. Accordingly, as the capabilities of the contract manufacturing sector have improved, American brand name electronics firms have been more than willing to use them while curtailing, and even shutting down internal manufacturing operations which are often seen by top management as draining resources away from more crucial innovation and sales related activities. (See Thomas, 1994, for a detailed account of these tensions at a leading American electronics firm.) Second, ongoing market volatility in many segments of the electronics industry has made production scheduling exceedingly difficult. By using contract manufacturers brand-name firms gain the ability to ramp the volume of their production upward or downward on short notice, without the need to install or idle in-house plant and equipment. Third, since the mid1980s, contract manufacturers have shifted from assembling products from kits of parts 5 Technology Forecasters (1996) estimates that the largest 30 firms accounted for about 30% of all worldwide contract manufacturing activity in 1995, putting the total worldwide market at $46.3B that year. 5 Figure 1. Revenues; 1995’s Top Twenty Contract Manufacturers, 1986-1995 (billions of current dollars) $8.00 $7.00 $6.00 Top 5 Top 6-20 $5.00 $4.00 $3.00 $2.00 $1.00 $0.00 '86 '87 '88 '89 '90 '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 Table 1. Revenues; 1995’s Top Twenty Contract Manufacturers, 1988-1995 (thousands of current dollars) CM Revenues (thousands of $) Annual Average Growth Rates '88 '92 '95 '88-'92 '92-'95 '94-'95 Top 5 1,077,366 2,433,127 7,772,792 24.4% 47.3% 51.9% Top 6-20 606,000 1,534,200 4,672,382 49.1% 45.0% 50.0% Top 20 1,683,366 3,967,327 12,445,174 30.7% 46.4% 51.2% Source: Technology Forecasters (1996). Note: Some data for years prior to 1994 in some companies in the 6-20 ranking are estimated. Calendar years are used where possible. supplied by customer firms on a “consignment” basis, to purchasing all the needed components up-front for customer firms on a “turn-key” basis. Turn-key component purchasing drives up contractor revenues as these payments pass through the contractor to component suppliers. Fourth, contractors have added a range of front- and back-end services related to the assembly process, such as circuit-board layout, testing, final product assembly, and final packaging, creating new sources of revenue and profit. Fifth, a 6 technological shift in the base process of product-level electronics manufacturing, circuitboard-assembly, has heralded widespread automation of electronics manufacturing processes that were previously performed by hand. The pressure to acquire and master new, more expensive automated manufacturing equipment at in-house manufacturing plants has made the prospect of using highly capable contract manufacturers even more attractive. Similarly, the need for automated production equipment has increased the risk of installing additional in-house capacity in the face of ongoing market volatility. In the following two sections I focus on the latter three issues, the rise of turn-key component purchasing, the addition of new value-added services by contractors, and technological change in circuit-board assembly, not because these are the sole causes of increased outsourcing, but because they have the greatest immediate impact on the prospects for labor-intensive EPZs. I will argue that the organizational model that is emerging in the electronics industry, which I have dubbed the “turn-key production network model,” has important implications for developing places and for the fate of enterprises in EPZs that continue to rely principally on providing low-cost labor for manual electronics assembly. 3. The New Requirements for Electronics Assembly 3.1 Turn-key Component Purchasing Increasingly, contract manufacturers have been purchasing components for their customers, in what is known in the industry as a "turn-key" contract. In this arrangement, the contractor essentially acts as a lender to its customers by purchasing and holding component inventories until products are manufactured. Most customers allow contractors only minimal mark-up on the components they buy.6 After finished products are 6 These prices are negotiated when contractors present the customer firm with a “bill of materials,” a list of the prices the contractor intends to charge the customer for each component in a specific product. Since the market prices for these components are well known to the customer, it is difficult for contractors to markup component prices. Contractors must rely on manufacturing services and other value added services (e.g. design for manufacturability, testing, final packaging, etc.) for profits. 7 delivered, customer firms usually have a 30 to 60 day grace period to pay contractors for their manufacturing services and turn-key component purchasing. While turn-key component buying passes cost and risk to contractors, it also increases the flow of capital through the contractor and drives up revenues, placing the contractor in a better financial position to invest in additional production capacity. Turn-key component buying also creates new capabilities at the contractor (e.g. purchasing, materials management, incoming component inspection, etc.) and strong market linkages with component suppliers, putting the contractor in a better position to broaden its customer base and extract volume-related concessions from component suppliers. Table 2 reveals the share of contract manufacturing revenues from turn-key contracts for a sample of contract manufacturers surveyed for the Technology Forecasters Contract Manufacturing Database (TFCMD). The characteristics of the TFCMD are discussed in detail in the chapter’s appendix. There is a clear trend upward from 70.1% in 1988 to 76.8% in 1994. There are far fewer responses in the 1986 data (10), and all of the data were from contractors in the United States, so the figure of 46.5% in 1986 is less reliable as a worldwide measure of turn-key component buying. Still, it fits the overall upward trend. Table 2. Share of Contract Manufacturing Revenues from Turn-key Contracts, 1986-1994 Average All Interviews Responses '86 '88 '90 '92 '94 46.5% 10 70.1% 55 73.6% 77 74.8% 68 76.8% 69 Source: Technology Forecasters Contract Manufacturing Database (see the Appendix for a detailed discussion). The implications of turn-key component purchasing for economic development are clear. Firms that provide electronic assembly services can no longer rely solely on low labor costs to win business. Suppliers must have the financial and administrative capability to purchase all needed component and material inventories up-front. In order to control the flow of components through the factory, especially in an environment where multiple products for multiple customers are being assembled, most turn-key contract manufacturers 8 employ computerized “manufacturing resource planning” (MRP) systems. These systems are expensive, difficult to master, and often must be continually adapted and upgraded to fit the contractor’s specific operation. Today, policies intended to upgrade the local supplybase need to take such new requirements into account. Capital needs be made available, not just for plant and equipment, but for turn-key component purchasing, MRP systems, and training as well. Moreover, because contractors are responsible for purchasing materials and components, turn-key contracting opens up new possibilities for the development of backward linkages to the local economy, and thus the upgrading of the supply-base. Traditional “consignment” contracts—where lead firms supply contractors (or branch plants) with “kits” of components and materials for assembly processing—are essentially labor contracts. Consignment contracting is especially common in EPZs, which, after all, are named for such “export processing” activities. In fact, many firms establish relationships with labor contractors in EPZs specifically to take advantage of regulations allowing re-import of processed, “consigned” materials to their home markets with duties paid only on the value-added offshore (e.g. 807 regulations in the USA and OPT regulations in the European Union). Such processing of consigned materials provides little opportunity for local sourcing and does not foster industrial upgrading beyond the creation of a low-skilled industrial labor force. On the other hand, as turn-key contracting replaces simple processing of consigned materials, new opportunities are being created for local enterprises to upgrade to fullservice contract manufacturing, component manufacturing, and a host of other producer services (e.g. component distribution, logistics services, warehouse management, etc.). This is how many component suppliers in Singapore have emerged, for example. There is a dense concentration of firms in Singapore that sell precision machined metal parts (e.g. disk drive frames, IC lead frames, IC bonding wire, etc.), simple electrical and electronic components (e.g. discrete electronic devices, bare circuit boards, transformers, power 9 supplies, etc.), small motors, plastic parts, and engineering services. (See Section 7 for a concrete example of such a firm.) These firms largely grew up—with the support of government policy—to supply the foreign electronics companies that established production facilities—with the support of government policy—in Singapore and Malaysia during the 1970s and 1980s, but more recently, the burgeoning group of contract manufacturers operating in and around Singapore have emerged as an important new intermediary market. In some cases, several smaller Singaporean component and service suppliers—each with its own specialized expertise—have merged to create larger firms capable of offering a wide range of products and services. Several have evolved into fullservice contract manufacturers—the trend toward which is outlined in the following section. 3.2 New Services Even as the growth in turn-key contract manufacturing has signaled a shift away from vertical integration within brand-name electronics firms, contractors have been vertically integrating within their specialty by increasing the range of services they offer. Besides the core electronics manufacturing process, circuit-board assembly, most contractors have added a range of back- and front-end services, such as design for manufacturability, circuit-board layout, product-specific process development and documentation, various forms of testing, test routine development, test fixture design and fabrication, final product assembly, final packaging, software loading, document duplication, and shipping finished products directly to distribution (see Table 3 for a summary). By gathering a wider range of production functions under one roof, or at least within one corporate entity, contractors’ can fulfill all of their customer’s manufacturingrelated needs. The range of services that contractors offer have tended to be limited to the functionally coherent set of production activities centered on circuit board and product level 10 assembly, such as board layout, component purchasing, testing, final assembly, and shipping to distribution. In general contact manufacturers have not, as some industry watchers have warned, moved to compete with their customers by introducing final products under their own brand names (e.g. Borrus, 1995). Although there are exceptions (e.g. Acer (Taiwan) in PCs), most contractors have remained focused on providing manufacturing services for their customers. Those that have had some success have been careful to avoid developing products that compete directly with their customers, or have developed products that complement their contract manufacturing activities. Some companies that have tried to move into their customers’ business (e.g. Natsteel (Singapore) in disk drives and Leading Edge (Taiwan) in PCs) have recently re-focused their business on contract manufacturing. A clear functional division of labor seems to be emerging in the electronics industry that is proving to be remarkably stable; those that assume a deterministic upgrade path from turn-key contract manufacturing to “own brand manufacturing” (OBM) may well be mistaken. Table 3. Services Typically Offered by Turn-key Contract Manufacturers Backward integration: • Design services - Component design (e.g. ASIC) - Circuit-board design - Test fixture design - Test routine design • Layout services - Circuit-board layout - Through-hole to SMT conversion - Re-design for manufacturability • Turn-key purchasing - Component selection - Component purchasing - Incoming component inspection - Materials management • Logistics Core service: • Circuit-board assembly - screen printing - component placement - soldering - cleaning Forward integration: • Testing services - in-circuit test - functional test - environmental test • Final product assembly • Document reproduction • Software reproduction • Final Packaging • Shipping to distribution • Repair - circuit board- level - final product level The shift toward full-service turn-key contract manufacturing has created new opportunities and challenges for economic development policies intended to upgrade the local supply-base. Simple labor contracting is no longer adequate to win the business of 11 electronics firms that sell in advanced markets. Suppliers now need to provide an everwidening array of value-added services for their customers. While such upgrading is burdensome, once the new capabilities are in place, value-added services can become the principal source of profits for turn-key suppliers and keep them closely tied to the ongoing technological development of the industry. Moreover—and this is a key point—fullservice contract manufacturers can become a valuable resource for local product-level electronics firms which can use them—just as foreign firms can—to quickly and efficiently bring new products to the market without the need to install in-house manufacturing capacity. 4. Technological Change in the Core Product-level Electronic Assembly Process: Circuit-Board Assembly To understand the change in process technology that helped to trigger the emergence of turn-key contract manufacturing in electronics, it is necessary to consider electronic design and assembly at the circuit-board level. Virtually all semiconductor-based microelectronics products have assembled circuit-boards at their core. The individual electronic components that go into any electronics product must be inter-connected in order to be useful. Interconnection is achieved by attaching individual electronic components to circuit-boards. Bare circuit-boards are rigid epoxy-resin sheets with thin metal wires (called “vias”) embedded in them. The vias embedded in the circuit board conduct electrical signals between electronic devices (e.g., microprocessors, memory chips, power supplies, connectors, etc.) that are attached to the surface of the board. It is the interaction of electrical impulses between the components attached to circuit boards that give electronics products most of their functionality. The process of placing electronic components onto circuit boards and permanently attaching them in place, called circuit-board assembly, comprises the core process of product-level electronics manufacturing (see the “core process” column of Table 3). Most electronics products have complex interconnect requirements and contain multiple circuit 12 boards. The drive toward miniaturization and better performance in final products has led designers to increase the density of the wiring vias embedded in circuit boards. To accommodate all the required circuitry in a smaller area of board space, many newer electronics products contain circuit boards that consist of multiple layers. (Today, circuit boards are fabricated with as many as 18 layers.) The circuit board assembly process accounts for the bulk of the cost of productlevel electronics assembly. Final product assembly, for all but the most miniaturized electronics products, is a much less demanding process, consisting of simply attaching various assembled circuit boards and other sub-assemblies (e.g., disk drives) into their appropriate positions within the outer casing of the product and closing the case. The lack of tools and expertise required is why final assembly is often referred to in the industry as "screwdriver assembly.” As recently as 1985, the prevailing technique for attaching electronic components to bare circuit boards was to place components on the board (either by hand or by machine) using “pin-through-hole” (PTH), or simply “through hole” circuit-board assembly technology. With PTH, the metal leads emanating from the perimeter of electronic components pass through metal-plated holes drilled in the circuit board. The metal plating around each hole makes the electrical connection between the component lead and a specific wire (via) embedded in the circuit-board. After all components are placed into their assigned set of holes, the bottom of the circuit-board is dipped in molten solder, permanently connecting each component lead to a specific via in the circuit board. Most PTH components can, with little training, be hand-placed prior to soldering. In the mid-1980s, a generational change in circuit-board assembly technology began that dramatically increased the capital intensity of the circuit board assembly process. With today's highly integrated semiconductor devices (such as microprocessors, ASICs, DRAMs, DSPs, and EPROMs), it is physically impossible to drill holes close enough together to accommodate the tiny leads, which are too frail to be passed through holes in 13 any case. The technical solution to this problem has been to forego drilling altogether by placing component leads on the surface of the circuit board in an assembly process called “surface mount technology” (SMT). Because SMT does not require holes to be drilled in the circuit board, product designers can now use components with much tighter lead spacing. On SMT circuit-boards, drilled holes are replaced by bumps of raw metal that appear where the embedded vias pierce the surface of the board. These bumps are arranged as “footprints” that match the ”land pattern geometry” of the leads emanating from the components to be mounted on the board. Without holes, SMT components can be placed on both sides of the board, further increasing the density of the circuitry in the product. Before SMT, the majority of electronic assembly was done by hand. The popular image of the “global assembly line,” with rows of young women using microscopes (for chip assembly), or placing PTH format electronic components on circuit boards by hand, is well known. It had long been an ironic truth that such “high-tech” items as semiconductors and circuit-boards were assembled under extremely “low-tech” conditions (Sayer, 1986; Scott, 1989). But the shift from PTH to SMT has rapidly forced the electronics industry away from hand work and toward automated assembly. The precision required to quickly and accurately place SMT components on circuit boards is simply beyond the limits of human dexterity. 7 If each lead is not aligned exactly with its corresponding “footprint” on the circuit-board, the connection between the component and the circuit board will not be made and the product will not work, or, even worse for the brand image of the lead firm, 7 The same forces have led to the widespread automation of semiconductor assembly. The tight spacing and large number of leads that need to be attached to today’s highly integrated semiconductor devices have made it impossible to assemble most semiconductors by hand, even with the aid of powerful microscopes. Many of the same arguments that this paper makes can be easily made for semiconductor assembly as well (e.g. there are many fast-growing “contract assembly” companies that assemble semiconductors for a number of component manufacturers), but the aim of this paper is to draw attention to board- and product-level electronics assembly, which has been strangely ignored by academics and policy makers alike, who have tended to put the semiconductor industry at the center of their efforts. While all microelectronics-based products, regardless of application, contain semiconductor devices as core components, the revenues generated by the semiconductor industry are only about one tenth the value of the revenues generated by electronic final products (Dataquest, 1994). Taking the wider view provided by circuit board assembly opens a window to the remaining 90% of the industry. 14 the product will initially work but then later fail in the field. Thus, in most electronics factories, the number of workers hand-placing PTH components on circuit boards have been dramatically reduced and circuit board assembly is now done largely by programmable “pick-and-place” robots. 8 With automation, equipment costs for a new production line have increased from less than $200,000 in the early 1980s to more than $1,000,000 in the mid-1990s. Today, SMT is the standard manufacturing process for products in most electronics industry segments, especially products with small form factors such as consumer electronics, and products with rigorous processing needs such as computers and telecommunications equipment. Table 4 shows data on the share of circuit boards assembled with at least 10% of components in SMT packaging format among the contract manufacturers surveyed for the TFCMD. The table clearly demonstrates the transition to SMT. Table 4. Share of Contract Manufacturing Revenues from Assembling Circuit Boards with at least 10% SMT Components, 1986-1994 Average All Interviews Responses '86 '88 '90 '92 '94 23.1% 35 32.3% 66 45.7% 75 57.6% 69 70.5% 67 Source: Technology Forecasters Contract Manufacturing Database (see the Appendix for a detailed discussion). The adoption SMT circuit board assembly technology greatly increased the minimum economies of scale in electronics manufacturing. The reason that hand assembly 8 SMT was invented in the United States for aerospace applications in the 1950s and used extensively by NASA during the 1960s. The smaller form factors allowed by SMT are well-suited for aerospace applications because of the drive for weight reduction. SMT was first adapted for high-volume production in the 1970s by Japanese companies for mass production of consumer electronics products (first for digital watches and later for portable audio products). In the mid-1980s SMT began to be more widely adopted by electronics manufacturers in the United States, particularly for high-performance data processing applications such as technical workstations and disk drive controller boards. By the late 1980s, SMT was in wide use in the United States, with most high-volume production equipment supplied by Fuji (Japan), Panasonic (Japan), and Philips (The Netherlands). Today, electronics manufacturers are pushing the limits of SMT technology as the number of component leads continues to increase and the spacing between them becomes smaller. As the physical limits of soldering tiny leads to circuit boards comes into view, electronics manufacturers are turning to newer assembly technologies like tape-automated bonding (TAB), ball-grid array (BGA), and chip-on-board (COB). Few manufacturers use these newer techniques in volume 15 was so popular before SMT is that manufacturers valued the ease of adding and reducing capacity that labor intensive operations provided. Because SMT assembly equipment is expensive there is an imperative to utilize it intensively to amortize its cost. Because the new equipment is capable of very high production volumes, many smaller brand-name firms have not been able to utilize SMT production equipment to the extent that would justify either the cost of the new equipment, nor the development of the skills to operate it. As large companies (and producers of semiconductors) such as IBM, Digital Equipment, Motorola, and Hewlett-Packard made the transition to SMT in their in-house operations, more and more electronic components became available only in the SMT format, forcing smaller companies began to seek outside manufacturing capabilities to fulfill their production requirements. Even large companies, unsure about the direction of the new process technology and reluctant to meet the unprecedented capital requirements of their manufacturing organizations, were spurred by the advent of SMT to increase their use of contract manufacturers. Contractors that specialized in providing SMT production services grew quickly. 9 The rise of SMT circuit board assembly technology had reduced the importance of labor costs in electronics manufacturing, making the need to for policies to help local suppliers shift to turn-key component purchasing and the provision of value-added services more acute. Additionally, local suppliers may need assistance to purchase and learn to operate SMT production equipment. yet, and the future of circuit board technology is still unclear. 9 One might reasonably ask why the development of automatic insertion equipment for PTH board assembly by Universal Instruments (Rochester, NY) and others in the 1970s did not trigger a wave of outsourcing at that time. PTH production equipment introduced economies similar to SMT production equipment: it had to be run at higher volumes to justify its cost. So, why didn't this shift in minimum economies of scale give rise to specialized suppliers that could spread equipment costs across a range of customers? The answer lies in the crucial difference between PTH and SMT: there is little option for hand assembly for SMT boards. In the past, if companies could not justify the cost of automatic insertion equipment given small or uncertain volume requirements, they could always employ hand assembly techniques, choosing the flexibility of variable (labor) over fixed (machine) assets. SMT assembly does not allow this option to be exercised. 16 5. A Network of Production Clusters: The Historical Geography of Turn-key Production Networks Traditionally, most American electronics firms had in-house manufacturing operations to purchase electronic components and assemble them as sub-systems and final products of their own design. For transnational firms, a mix of on- and offshore assembly plants were used. Since the assembly process has historically been quite labor-intensive, plants assembling high volume, price-sensitive products were located in locations with low labor costs, some in EPZs (e.g. Mexico’s border region and East Asia). As already discussed, the more recent trend is for both on- and off-shore in-house manufacturing pants to dramatically curtail or even cease operation and outsource production activities to contract manufacturers. The geography of the turn-key production networks for electronics manufacturing follows the geography of the American electronics industry, the industry the network has largely grown up to support. It has strong nodes of development in Silicon Valley, various cities in the American “Sunbelt” —places from Los Angeles to Florida (i.e. Los Angeles, CA; Phoenix, AZ; Dallas, TX; Huntsville, AL; Central Florida, and Raleigh, NC), Boston, Singapore, and Scotland/Wales. The network has smaller but rapidly growing nodes in Mexico and the ASEAN countries surrounding Singapore, particularly Malaysia, Thailand, and Indonesia. Two of the largest contract manufacturers have recently opened plants in Brazil, extending the networks to South America for the first time. The largest contract manufacturers have plants on in multiple locations. Contractors with facilities in Asia, Europe, North America and South America can now offer their customers production services on a truly global-scale. How have turn-key production networks come about? During the 1970s and early 1980s, brand-name American electronics firms set up offshore affiliates in places like Scotland, Singapore, and Hong Kong to tap high-quality, low-wage workers for laborintensive assembly and engineering processes. The circuit-boards and final-products being 17 assembled were largely for high volume, price sensitive electronics sectors such as personal computers and peripheral equipment, telephone handsets, toys, and the like. Early on, most materials and components came from the United States for assembly on a “consignment” basis, but over time, an increasing share of inputs began to be sourced locally, drawing in part on nearby semiconductor assembly plants. By the late 1980s, local expertise had increased to the point where contract manufacturers took on turn-key contracts and began buying components locally, while many affiliates either closed down, shrank, or moved to activities such as hardware design and contract management. Figure 2 presents a conceptual representation of these developments over time. Beginning in the early 1970s, American (and later, European) semiconductor firms moved labor-intensive “chip assembly” processes to low-wage locations in East Asia, especially Singapore, Hong Kong, Malaysia, and Thailand (Scott, 1989). Once the semiconductors were assembled in Asia, they were shipped back to the United States and Europe, where they were sold to brand-name electronics companies and assembled into final products. For a time, nearly all semiconductor wafer fabrication, circuit-board assembly, and product-level assembly stayed in the United States and Northern Europe. For circuit-board assembly, nearby “regional” contractors were used largely during times of peak demand, when brand-name companies’ internal capacity was completely full. This organizational structure is quite common. Instead of building enough manufacturing capacity to fulfill peak demand levels and leave a share of equipment and personnel idle during periods of “normal” demand, outside contractors and “job shops” are often used as “shock absorbers” to even out the fluctuations in the business cycle. Under such arrangements, outside contracting rarely comprises more than 5% of total industry production volumes. In electronics, the typical contract manufacturing arrangement during the 1970s was for the brand-name firms to supply labor contractors, known as “board stuffers” with kits of needed components from their own inventories on a consignment basis. The contractor then supplied the labor needed to assemble the customer-supplied kits. 18 Figure 2. Organizational and Spatial Change in American-led Electronics Manufacturing United States Operations and Vendors Offshore Operations and Vendors ‘70s: Product Design a f a f Manufacturing Firm Boundary Intl. Boundary Marketing Brand Name Firm (product level) CM Contract Manufacturing r=regional; c=consignment; t=turnkey consigned components a rcCM finished assemblies ‘80s: Product Design Component Manufacturing f=wafer fabrication, a=chip assembly a f Manufacturing and Contract Management Manufacturing and Contract Management Marketing turnkey components rtCM turnkey components rtCM rtCM finished assemblies ‘90s: rtCM finished assemblies Product Design a f f a Contract Management Direct to Distribution Marketing Direct to Distribution turnkey components finished assemblies Global finished assemblies 19 tCM turnkey components In the 1980s, brand-name electronics firms operating in high volume, pricesensitive market segments began following the semiconductor industry offshore as a way to tap low-cost labor in Asia. In the late 1980s, as it became clear that European unification would become a reality, American electronics companies moved some circuit-board and product-level assembly of products destined for the European market to Scotland and Wales to increase value-added within Europe. Scotland and Wales were most often chosen because of relatively low labor and engineering costs, a well trained English speaking workforce, and aggressive efforts by local economic development agencies to attract FDI in electronics. Some of the largest American electronics firms, such as IBM, DEC, HewlettPackard, and Unisys, had large European divisions since the 1960s and 1970s. IBM, for instance, has its largest European personal computer manufacturing facility in Grenock, Scotland. Over time, an substantial pool of local contract manufacturers grew up to assemble circuit-boards for the affiliates of American brand-name electronics firms, especially in Scotland, Wales, and Singapore. In many instances, the development of these firms was abetted by aggressive economic development agencies such as the Scottish Development Agency and the Singapore Economic Development Board (Deitrick, 1990; McCalman, 1992). Drawing on the components from nearby semiconductor assembly plants, both brand-name firms and their contract manufacturers, especially those located in Asia, began sourcing the bulk of their components locally. The local availability of components allowed brand-name firms to ask their contractors to begin buying components on a turnkey basis. In East Asia, a regional division of labor emerged in the late 1980s where contractors in Singapore and Hong Kong began moving their dwindling labor intensive PTH-based assembly to Malaysia and Indonesia, and China (respectively), where labor costs continued to be very low. Despite rising wages in Singapore and Hong Kong, widespread automation of the circuit-board assembly process has allowed a great deal of 20 circuit-board assembly to remain in the these core countries. By the end of the 1980s, a global-scale external supply-base for the manufacturing of circuit-board and product-level electronics products was taking shape. The story could end here, and be one of the migration of American manufacturing to lower wage locations around the globe, but developments at home have obviated such a simple, and negative, narrative. There are a wide range of electronics products that have never been assembled offshore, namely higher value, lower volume products such as large computers and communications switching equipment. These products contain assembled circuit boards, just as do high-volume, price-sensitive products such as personal computers, printers, disk drives, and telephone handsets, but they are generally larger, more complex, costly, and their designs change more often. Overall, the volume and value of such products is far from trivial, and the growth of electronics contract manufacturing capacity in the United States has more than kept pace with its growth in places such as Singapore and Scotland. As a result, an immensely vibrant contract manufacturing industry has emerged in the United States since the mid-1980s. In the 1970s and early 1980s, the loss of the American consumer electronics industry to competitors from Japan created a paucity of manufacturing expertise in the United States. As new markets for computer and data communications equipment began to expand in the late 1980s, companies with specialized manufacturing expertise stepped into the breach. These firms became what we know now as contract manufacturers. The largest five companies in the industry are all headquartered in North America. They have their origins in various places and have emerged from various sectors of the electronics industry. SCI and Avex are both former NASA contractors from Huntsville, Alabama that moved into commercial markets by winning contracts to assemble motherboards and add-on cards (respectively) for the original IBM PC in 1981. Jabil Circuit is a former Control Data and General Motors supplier from Detroit that moved its headquarters to Florida in the mid-1980s to work on NASA contracts. Solectron (a two-time Malcolm 21 Baldridge Quality Award winner) grew as a supplier to the early personal computer and disk drive industries in Silicon Valley, California. Celestica is formerly the largest North American circuit-board and product assembly operation of IBM, located in Toronto, Canada, which was spun off as an independent contract manufacturer in 1996 and then in 1997 acquired the manufacturing operations spun-off from the British computer maker ICL, known as Design to Distribution, or D2D. In the 1990s, as the world-wide supply-base of contract manufacturers deepened, several things happened. First, offshore contract manufacturers began to successfully market their services—often through sales offices in the United States—to smaller American brand-name firms that did not have international operations. Second, larger American electronics firms began to rationalize their off- and on-shore contract manufacturing relationships. Instead of managing multiple contract manufacturing relationships with a large group of smaller contract manufacturers in each region, companies such as IBM, Hewlett Packard began developing partnerships with the largest American contract manufacturers such as SCI and Solectron to manufacture their products on a world-wide basis. This transition has often involved brand-name firms selling inhouse manufacturing facilities to their “global partners.” By the early 1990s the contract manufacturing sector had developed to the point where large electronics companies such as IBM, ATT, Hewlett Packard, Dell, and Ericsson began to rely on contractors for the bulk of their worldwide manufacturing requirements. In the wake of these changes, the off- and on-shore brand-name affiliates have moved out of manufacturing, sometimes entirely (but some have retaining in-house finalproduct assembly in order to build final products according to the incoming orders of endcustomers), in an effort to focus more closely on product design, and marketing. Increased outsourcing has led to a new in-house function for lead firms: contract management, often built from decimated manufacturing organizations. As business has migrated to global contract manufacturers such as SCI and Solectron, some smaller regional contractors have 22 seen their business decline. In some cases, these firms have been absorbed by burgeoning American contract manufacturers seeking to quickly establish global-scale manufacturing operations through acquisition (e.g. Flextronics). Still, as electronics firms of all sizes adopt the turn-key model, a great deal of business is being created for small and large contract manufacturers alike. Today, in the late 1990s, the world-wide network of contract manufacturers, taken as a group, offer their customers a global-scale network of leading-edge manufacturing capacity for hire. By utilizing this network in a highly dynamic manner, brand-name electronics firms have gained the ability reconfigure the geography of their manufacturing operations on an ongoing basis without the costs, risks, and time commitments associated with setting up new offshore production facilities of their own. This is true whether brandname firms are following low-cost-production or manufacture-where-you-sell strategies. With transition to SMT almost complete, nearly all electronics assembly plants are highly automated, regardless of location. Although research needs to be conducted that directly measures the impact of automation on hand assembly workers, it is highly likely that such workers, who are usually women, have experienced substantial job loss since the late 1980s. While it is possible that some of these workers have been able to make the occupational transition from hand assembler to machine operator, it is more likely that these women have been forced to look for work in sectors where assembly remains labor intensive (e.g. garments)—or drop out of the industrial labor market entirely—since the set of skills required are very different. The same is true for the new non-production jobs that have been created with the shift to turn-key services. In addition, the poor representation of women in engineering professions has probably led to their exclusion from the new engineering functions that have been created. As a result, we can hypothesize that the rise of SMT had meant the wholesale “de-feminization” of electronics manufacturing. The move to automation has not brought the assembly of high-volume, price sensitive products back to the United States from East Asia, as some had predicted. The 23 organizational capability to achieve high volume production and the ability to draw on the rich component supply base in the region became the principle advantage of the region’s manufacturers. Still, where price sensitivity exists labor costs continue to be very important. However, with the advent of SMT, access to low cost, high quality manufacturing engineers has become more important than the cost of production labor, a trend which favors places such as Singapore, Hong Kong, and Scotland (and more recently, Thailand, China, and India). Figure 3 and Table 5 present wage data, collected in surveys for the TFCMD for the years 1992 and 1994, for production workers and engineers at contract manufacturers in various geographic locations. Relatively low wages, particularly for engineers, explains the continued attractiveness of Singapore and Scotland as a manufacturing location for automated electronics assembly. Engineer wages in Mexico are also relatively low, and may be contributing to the recent increase of contract manufacturing facilities located there. The huge wage disparity between production workers and engineers in Hong Kong/China is an artifact of cross-border labor cost differentials. Most Hong Kong contract manufacturers shifted manufacturing to China in the late 1980s, leaving sales, purchasing, materials management, and engineering in place. 24 Figure 3. Average Engineer and Production Worker Wages at Contract Manufacturers from Various Countries and Regions, 1992/1994 Average $25.00 $20.00 $15.00 $10.00 $5.00 Engineers USA Mexico Scotland/Wales Northwest Europe Singapore Hong Kong/China Thailand Japan $0.00 Production Workers Ta ble 5. Average Engineer and Production Worker Wages at Contract Manufacturers from Various Countries and Regions, 1992/1994 Average Engineer Wage Thailand Singapore Scotland/Wales Mexico Hong Kong/China Northwest Europe Japan USA $2.60 $10.74 $11.79 $12.81 $17.05 $18.87 $19.47 $20.28 Survey Responses 2 9 9 3 3 10 5 33 Production Worker Wage $0.89 $3.59 $5.23 $3.27 $1.65 $9.65 $15.67 $8.11 Survey Production wage % of Responses Engineer 2 34% 13 33% 17 44% 5 25% 8 10% 16 51% 4 80% 50 40% Source: Technology Forecasters Contract Manufacturing Database (see the Appendix for a detailed discussion). 25 6. The Impact Of Turn-key Production Networks on Local Enterprises and Employment As electronics production becomes organizationally separate from innovation- and market-related activities with the rise of turn-key production networks, new opportunities and challenges are created for local economies seeking to tap into global-scale production networks. For policy-makers in developing countries that target the electronics industry for growth, turn-key contractors that serve technologically advanced customers need to be seen as increasingly important players. Governments and entrepreneurs in developing countries are recognizing the need to form strong linkages with the advanced foreign companies that continue to create and define the trajectory of technology and markets in fast moving sectors such as electronics. Since the networks at least in part serve transnational corporations that compete directly in the most advanced markets, production technology is likely to remain at the leading edge. Increasingly, development in electronics means becoming part of an international production network, not the creation of a Korean-style export-oriented national industry from the ground up. Besides the fact that massive exporting has become increasingly problematic in political terms, the electronics industry is now too fast moving, too technologically demanding, and too capital intensive for such autarkic development strategies to be effective. At the same time, given the organizational and technological changes outlined in this chapter, strategies centered on providing foreign firms with lowcost labor for manual assembly of “consigned” materials are certainly becoming less effective as well. In electronics, EPZs for labor-intensive assembly can only capture the rapidly dwindling share of electronics manufacturing that still relies on PTH assembly technology. A comparison with recent changes in the automotive industry, as outlined in the chapter by Humphrey in this volume, is instructive. As in the electronics industry, first-tier automotive suppliers are vertically integrating, taking on a greater range of functions, 26 especially detailed product and manufacturing design, second-tier component sourcing, and global-scale deployment of manufacturing and logistics. What is different is that the brand name firms in the automotive industry—the automakers—still believe that they need to keep final assembly in-house. Final assembly of vehicles, while only accounting for about 10% of the value of the finished product, constitutes a critical stage of the production chain in terms of quality and product characteristics (e.g. color and options). This contrasts starkly with the simple “screwdriver” character of final assembly common in electronics—as described earlier in this chapter. Even at the level of circuit board assembly, electronics manufacturing processes are far more “generic” than those of vehicle final assembly as they are based on well established industry standards and use far fewer unique components. Furthermore, electronic assemblies are smaller and thus more easily transported than many automotive parts and modules, reducing logistics complexity, capital investment requirements, and the need for supplier co-location. These differences mean that in the automotive industry, globalization of production is proceeding with the direct participation of lead firms, which are setting up final assembly plants in emerging markets and asking their key suppliers to serve them in those markets in “follow sourcing” arrangements. In the electronics industry, brand name firms now can have their products entirely manufactured and all but a few key components (e.g. ASICs) sourced in a wide variety of locations without the need for FDI by the lead firm. At the industry level, this means that electronics manufacturing plants have become much less prone to overcapacity problems than automotive final assembly facilities because electronics plants owned and operated by turn-key contract manufacturers have a merchant character that allows their production capacity to be utilized by multiple lead firms, while automotive final assembly plants have a captive character that weds the plant’s output to a single firm’s products and fortunes in the local market. The recent rush of automakers into many of the most promising emerging markets has already led to severe overcapacity in many developing countries. In Vietnam for 27 instance, one or two merchant turn-key contract manufacturers could conceivably assemble all of the electronics products sold in the country (assuming tariff and local content rules favored local manufacturing, which they currently do only for consumer electronics). By contrast, the eleven automakers that currently assemble motor vehicles in Vietnam (because tariff structures do favor local assembly) sold only 5,000 vehicles in 1997, leaving most automotive factories in the country operating far below optimum capacity and highly vulnerable to closure (see Sturgeon, 1998, for details). To be fair, since large-scale outsourcing of final assembly in the automotive industry is unlikely to occur in the near future, perhaps a better comparison for turn-key contract manufacturers in electronics are the first-tier “global suppliers” emerging in the automotive industry. As Humphrey points out in this volume, the collaboration of key suppliers with lead firms at the early stages of the design process is resulting in the consolidation of design activity in the core locations of the industry (e.g. Detroit). (also see Sturgeon, 1997c) Thus, local automotive suppliers in emerging economies have fewer opportunities to participate in vehicle design activities. Electronics contract manufacturers too collaborate closely with lead firms early in the product development cycle. For example, lead firms often work out the details of product design with nearby facilities of contract manufacturers, who provide prototype development and design-for-manufacturability services, pilot production runs, and manufacturing documentation before the product is transferred to the contractor’s worldwide network of plants for high volume production. Most often these activities take place near the headquarters of the lead firms, such as when Hewlett Packard works with manufacturing engineers from Solectron in Silicon Valley to bring a new printer, scanner, or personal computer design into production. Still, the electronics industry is much less concentrated than the automotive industry, allowing many more opportunities for smaller contract manufacturers to collaborate with smaller customers. In addition, the extremely rapid product life-cycles in the electronics industry, especially when compared to the 28 automotive industry, create a wealth of ongoing opportunities for design collaboration. The rise of truly global electronics contract manufacturers may mean the geographic consolidation of design activities carried out for the largest lead firms to the detriment of smaller regional contractors, but the constant up-welling of smaller brand-name companies competing in a dizzying array of electronics sub-sectors keeps the game relatively open and barriers to entry relatively low. The “full service” requirements being placed on contract manufacturers today are not limited to the largest firms, but are an ubiquitous trend throughout the industry regardless of the size of the players. One could even argue that small brand name firms, because they lack the resources to build in-house manufacturing organizations, are in even greater need of turn-key production services than larger firms. Humphrey also notes the changes in labor requirements that have come with the shift to global vehicle designs. Since the many vehicles and now being manufactured on a global basis (albeit sometimes with minor modifications), assembly plants, first-, and increasingly second-tier suppliers in developing countries are facing new requirements to match the efficiency and quality standards of operations in core locations, resulting in fewer jobs per unit of output but a general upgrading of job quality as measured by worker voice, training, and job variety. With the shift from PTH to SMT circuit board assembly technology discussed in this chapter, a very similar situation can be said to be unfolding in the electronics industry. High speed pick-and-place robots have largely replaced hand assemblers in electronics factories from California to China, and the remaining jobs require machine operators to perform routine machine maintenance and programming, participate in elaborate quality control (e.g. SPC) and worker involvement programs that require higher order skills (e.g. written and verbal communication and documentation), and undergo significant periods of training prior to commencing work. The emergence of full-service turn-key contracting also creates a wealth of non-production jobs for which there were no need in the days of consignment contracting such as engineers for product, manufacturing, and test design; component and equipment buyers; sales staff and account managers to 29 interface with customers; materials managers and logistics personnel; etc. Simply put, the rise of global-scale turn-key production networks creates fewer job per unit of output—but the jobs that are created are of distinctly higher quality. Another element of job quality—employment stability—may also be impacted by the enhanced role that suppliers now play in both the electronics and automotive industries. The build-up of internal expertise at supplier firms often progresses hand-in-hand with an expanded customer base. When suppliers take such a “merchant” stance within their industries, their fortunes are less “captive” to those of any single customer. This leads to a smoother demand profile, stable employment requirements, and—critically in highly automated production environments—consistently high utilization rates for capital equipment. In some instances, diversification can be achieved by serving customers active in several different markets. This is especially true in electronics, where many contract manufacturers consciously strive to spread their business among customers operating in a broad range of electronics sub-sectors (e.g. computers, communications, industrial, consumer, medical, etc.). 7. A Network-led Development Model As the assembly of circuit-board and product-level electronic products moves outof-house to large transnational, regional, and smaller local contract manufacturers, it follows that economic development strategies must make a similar move toward a “network-led” model of economic development that seeks to upgrade the local, regional, and national supply base to capture additional functions as they are outsourced by transnational corporations. Beyond creating high-quality production jobs at the local level, the shift toward turn-key component buying provides local contract manufacturers, and their local customers, with access to world-scale streams of materials, components, and technology. Once a turn-key supply base is established, local brand-name firms can gain 30 access to leading-edge supply networks, productive capacity—and possibly even distribution networks—for the manufacture and sale of their own products. To provide a concrete example of a network-led development path traveled by a specific firm, I will briefly relate the story of the Singaporean firm Uraco. Singapore is the premier exemplar of network-led development, and the state policies that promoted education and training related to electronics manufacturing and the active, targeted efforts of the Singapore Economic Development Board to attract FDI by specific companies are well documented elsewhere. (e.g. Deitrick, 1990) The key to deriving insight from the following account is to bear in mind that the development of Uraco occurred within the thriving milieu created by the huge volume of electronics-related FDI that was flowing into Singapore during the 1980s and 1990s. Uraco was founded in 1981 by two engineers, Mr. Lim Ee Ann and Mr. Ng Kok Heng, who found themselves out of work after they were laid off from the Singaporean subsidiary of the German electronics firm Rollei. Seeing that the local tool and die business in Singapore was underdeveloped (because most foreign firms tended to bring in their own tooling), the two set up some machine tools on a chicken farm owned by Mr. Ng’s parents. From their experience at Rollei they knew that advanced lathes for precision metal cutting spun very fast but could be stopped quickly to make rapid changes. The two retrofitted the inexpensive lathes they had purchased with motorcycle brakes to achieve the same effect. The company generated $700,000 in revenues during its first year of operation, mostly by supplying precision metal parts to the burgeoning disk drive industry, which was investing heavily in manufacturing in Singapore and Malaysia at the time. (Business Times, 1995) As Uraco grew, it began to supplying a wider range of products to the disk drive industry, including precision metal stampings and assembled circuit boards. Most of the company’s business was with Seagate, the leading disk American drive manufacturer, but the company also exported parts to Hitachi’s operations in the Philippines (Hitachi is the 31 leading Japanese disk drive manufacturer). In 1987 the company, whipsawed by the extremely volatile disk drive and PC markets, began the first of many efforts to diversify its business base by entering into the electronic component distribution, eventually winning distributorships from Motorola, Harris Semiconductor, and Siemens. The opportunity for electronic component distribution in Singapore and Malaysia stemmed from the lack of an adequate conduit to connect local chip assembly operations with the growing sub-assembly and product-level manufacturing that foreign firms were doing in the region. (see Figure 2) By 1996 Uraco’s revenues had grown to more than $53 million and the company was operating 82,000 square feet of production space in three Singaporean factories, and 165,000 of square feet of production space in five factories in Jahor and Selangor, Malaysia. Revenues were based on component distribution, the manufacturing of precision metal parts and simple electronic components such as crystals and connectors, circuit board assembly, and the provision warehouse consulting services. (Business Times, 1996) In the mid-1990s the company began to leverage its experience with electronic components, contract manufacturing, and warehouse management to—for the first time—manufacture and sell products of its own design, including connectors, crystals, automated warehouse vehicles, electronic ballasts for fluorescent lamps, light bulbs, and telecommunications products. The latter product is of interest because it was specifically developed to address the acute shortage of telephone lines in developing countries with an inexpensive device to multiply, or “multiplex,” a single phone line to six lines. (Singapore Investment News, 1996) Also of interest is the company’s willingness to exploit the internal expertise it had accumulated (e.g. in component purchasing and warehouse management) as new lines of business (e.g. component distribution, warehouse consulting, and automated warehouse vehicles). Even with these attempts to design and manufacture its own products, the bulk of Uraco’s business remained in providing production services and components to other brand name electronics firms. In late 1996 the firm won an important contract to manufacture flatbed scanners for Hewlett Packard 32 and in 1997 reorganized its business into three divisions: precision machining, contract manufacturing, and investment. (Business Times 1996b and 1997) As we can see from this example, a set of network-led development policies should rely initially on FDI from advanced markets to bring in leading-edge technology and provide linkages with advanced markets. Then, the local supply-base should be supported in efforts serve foreign affiliates. Once an advanced merchant supply-base is established, specialized producer services can be marketed to the world and to local lead firms. In the end, network-led development strategies should aim to create a leading-edge supply-base that bolsters the development of both suppliers and local lead firms while continuing to attract FDI from leading foreign firms. Still, it is extremely important to keep in mind that today, given increased outsourcing, FDI for electronics manufacturing is more likely to come from large, globally- and regionally-operating contract manufacturers than from better-known brand-name firms. The investment environment that existed in Singapore during the 1980s—with high profile lead firms making the bulk of investments in plant and equipment—could not be re-created today. The aim of network-led industrial policy should be to encourage the development of specialized industrial clusters with tight linkages to other geographic nodes in the same industry, not to build comprehensive national industries from the ground up. This requires the development of a specialized local supply base with an open, merchant character that can be easily tapped by foreign or local lead firms, adding value to the global network. For suppliers of turn-key production services, the requirements for network entry are high, including low costs, high quality, advanced process technology, good responsiveness to engineering changes, timely delivery, the financial and organizational capacity to purchase needed component and material inventories up-front, the capability to provide a wide range of production-related services (a full-service orientation), and the innovative capacity to turn internally accumulated expertise into new lines of business. But the rewards are high 33 as well, including access to advanced markets and technology that allow continuous upgrading to the state-of-the-art. REFERENCES Apple Computer, 1996. “Apple enters into Agreement to Sell Fountain Manufacturing Facility to SCI Systems.” Press release, April, 4. Borrus, M. 1995. “Left for Dead: Asian Production Networks and the Revival of US Electronics”. 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Berkeley : University of California Press, 1994. 35 Appendix: The Technology Forecasters Contract Manufacturing Database A central piece of evidence used in this chapter is the Technology Forecasters Contract Manufacturing Database (TFCMD), which was compiled in 1996 by the author from the files of the leading market research firm for the electronics contract manufacturing industry, Technology Forecasters.10 The data originally appeared in four reports published in 1989, 1991, 1993, and 1995. In addition to the Technology Forecasters material, data from a report published in 1987 by Gnostic Concepts is included in the TFCMD. Since the information was collected for the calendar year prior to each report’s publication, the data in the TFCMD runs bi-annually from 1986 through 1994. Information was collected with surveys that were administered by telephone, fax, and regular mail. The quality of the responses varied greatly, from partly filled out fax surveys to two hour telephone interviews and a few on-site interviews. In general, the responses from contract manufacturing firms in the United States were of better quality than those from firms outside the United States. The author served as Market Analyst for the 1989 and 1991 reports, with partial responsibility for respondent selection, data collection and telephone interviews, and report writing; and primary responsibility for data analysis. The content of the questionnaires varied from year to year, but 46 easily quantifiable questions were asked on two or more occasions. The contract manufacturers in the TFCMD were identified through advertisements in trade magazines and parts catalogs (e.g. Asian Components), attendance at trade shows (especially the annual Surface Mount International show), regional and national economic development agencies (e.g. the Scottish Development Agency and the Singapore Economic Development Board), and various company directories. Because of these selection methods, there is a strong bias in the data toward companies that were actively advertising and marketing their services during the selection period, particularly to United States 10 The author wishes to thank Technology Forecasters for permission to use this database, especially Pamela Gordon, Technology Forecasters President. 36 electronics firms. The exceptions to this are the contractors located in Japan and Northwest Europe, which on the whole did not market their services to American electronics companies, but where special efforts were made by Technology Forecasters’ researchers to locate and survey contract manufacturers of any kind. This gives the data from Northwest Europe a distinct character: it mainly consists of responses from small, engineering-heavy “job-shop” type companies as opposed to the larger, higher volume contractors from the other regions. The marketing-centeredness and American-centeredness of the data is appropriate because the topic of this chapter is the evolution and character of Americancentered production networks for electronics manufacturing. Table A1 shows a tabulation of the surveys in the TFCMD according to the regional segmentation devised by the author and used in the chapter. In total, the database contains information from 329 surveys returned from 190 companies (many contractors were surveyed in several years), for a total of 9,246 individual responses. The 1986 data from the Gnostic Concepts report is almost entirely from firms located in the United States. The regional segmentation is based on the eight countries, sub-national regions, and supranational regions where the bulk of the surveys were returned from, such as the United States (163), Northwest Europe (35), Singapore (31) Scotland/Wales (30), and Hong Kong/China (19). The United States category includes seven responses from contractors located in Ontario, Canada. An Emerging Asia category is comprised of the average values of the data in surveys returned from Thailand (4), India (4), and the Philippines (2). Because of their interest to the chapter, the regional segmentation includes categories for responses from Mexico (11) and Japan (9), even though the number of overall responses from these countries was relatively low. The regional segmentation leaves out data from places where less than nine surveys were collected, including Ireland (8), Taiwan (6), Australia (4), Scandinavia (3) and the Czech Republic (1). Since not all questions were answered by respondent firms, the number of responses to individual questions is often too low in these countries to include them in the analysis. Furthermore, the surveys from these 37 countries were determined not to aggregate well into any supra-national regional grouping. In total, the sample used for the chapter includes data from 308 surveys returned from 168 firms, for a total of 8,657 individual responses. Since the response rate for different questions varied, all tables and figures in the chapter drawn from the TFCMD show the corresponding number of responses, allowing the reader to judge the robustness of the data presented. Table A1. Regional Tabulation of Returned Surveys and Responses in Technology Forecasters’ Contract Manufacturing Database, 1986-1994 Japan Emerging Asia1 Hong Kong/China Singapore Northwest Europe2 Scotland/Wales Mexico United States3 Total in Sample All Interviews # sur. # sur. # sur. # sur. # sur. total resp. # surveys # firms '86 '88 '90 '92 '94 '86-94 ‘86-94 responding 0 0 4 4 1 320 9 7 0 4 1 1 4 190 10 8 1 6 4 2 6 541 19 10 1 6 8 10 6 893 31 16 0 5 11 11 8 1,144 35 30 1 4 7 11 7 998 30 19 1 3 2 1 4 317 11 7 31 33 34 29 36 4,252 163 78 35 61 71 69 72 8,657 308 175 36 66 76 72 79 9,246 329 190 1 Includes responses from Thailand, India, and the Philippines. 2Includes responses from Germany, Austria, Switzerland, Liechtenstein, Belgium, France, and the Netherlands. 3Includes Canada. The American-centered nature of the data in the TFCMD is revealed by Table A2, which presents the national origin of contractor’s customers, tabulated by contractor location according to the regional segmentation devised by the author. It is clear that American electronics firms dominate as customers in all regions except for Northwest Europe and Japan, where local companies comprise the bulk of the customer base. Contractors’ responses are tabulated according to headquarters locations, even if the firms possess offshore facilities. The vast majority of the contractors interviewed had all of there operations contained within the boundaries of their home country. Exceptions to this are the largest American contractors, SCI, Solectron, and Avex, which had manufacturing in Singapore, Malaysia, and Scotland since the late-1980s and early 1990s; a few American contractors with the bulk of their manufacturing (and some of their ownership) in 38 Singapore and Thailand, such as GSS/Array Technology and Flextronics International; several Singaporean contractors with branch plants in Malaysia and Indonesia; and a few smaller American contractors with branch plants in Mexico. By 1997, about 10-12 of the largest American contract manufacturers had set up truly global-scale operations, with manufacturing plants in the United States, Europe, Asia, and Latin America. Two American contractors now have branch plants in Brazil. At the time that the data was collected, however, far fewer contractors had offshore operations than do today, so the regional data in the TFCMD correlates closely with the characteristics of the contractors headquartered in those regions. Table A2. Regional Tabulation of Customer Home Locations* in Technology Forecasters’ Contract Manufacturing Database, 1986-1994 CUSTOMER HOME LOCATION (%): CONTRACTOR LOCATION (%): Japan Emerging Asia1 Hong Kong/China Singapore Northwest Europe2 Scotland/Wales Mexico United States3 CUSTOMER HOME LOCATION (#): CONTRACTOR LOCATION (#): Japan Emerging Asia1 Hong Kong/China Singapore Northwest Europe2 Scotland/Wales Mexico United States3 Total USA Europe Japan Other** 0% 67% 38% 61% 20% 48% 94% 98% 9% 8% 38% 15% 75% 41% 6% 2% 91% 25% 19% 17% 6% 11% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5% 8% 0% 0% 0% 0% USA Europe Japan Other** 0 8 8 40 14 27 15 212 324 1 1 8 10 53 23 1 4 101 10 3 4 11 4 6 0 1 39 0 0 1 5 0 0 0 0 6 * Headquarters location of parent company. **Includes Australia (4) and Taiwan (2). 1Includes responses from Thailand, India, and the Philippines. 2Includes responses from Germany, Austria, Switzerland, Liechtenstein, Belgium, France, and the Netherlands. 3Includes Canada. 39