M
C
P
T
B ASIC S CENARIOS AND H ELPFUL H INTS
www.christophermaynard.com
Profit Decomposition
Profit = Revenue - cost
Revenue/
Unit
Revenue
# of Units
Sold
Profit
Cost
Segment, break it up in to its components
Compare current status with historical tends
Isolate the key driver causing the problem
Explore possible resolutions
Cost/
Unit
Fixed
Costs
Variable
Costs
Segment cost by logical groupings
Segment costs by value chain
− Raw Materials
− Fabrication and Assembly
− Overhead
− Distribution
− Customer
# of Units
Sold www.christophermaynard.com
1
Cost Breakdown
Baseline
2
Four Step Cost Management Approach
3
Create Targets
(Product and Process)
Create and Conduct
Cost Reduction
Initiatives
4
Capture the Value of Projects
Cost requirements and cost drivers
Base vs. Overhead
Contract Structure
Business lifecycle stage
Performance
Indirect Cost
$1,000M
Direct Material
$1,750M
Direct Labor
$500M
Total = ~$2.3B
Set common goal
Aggressive, yet achievable
In alignment with affordability objectives
Collect initiatives
Conduct business case analysis
Prioritize
Align to accounting systems
Align resources
“Four Wall” Cost Containment
Segment ALL business cost in to logical categories
Tracking, controlling and reporting the initiatives
Verification/Validation metrics and status updates
Analyze and validate project impacts on cost / schedules
Continuous feedback loop with finance and the customers
Benefits
Indirect Labor
R&D
Discretionary Spend
Footprint
IT
Corporate allocation $25
$125
$75
$100
$200
$175
$300
$0 $50 $100 $150 $200 $250 $300 www.christophermaynard.com
$M
Increase revenue
Increase prices
Increase volume
Decrease costs
Increasing price
Market power
Demand elasticity
Differentiated product
Higher prices of substitutes
Additional benefits – customer service
Increase sales volume
Increase market share
New products to new customers
More products to current customers
Increase growth
Improve technology
Promotion
Find more efficient channels
Decrease costs
Cost structure of firm / Evaluate value chain
Improve utilization of equipment
Outsource manufacturing
Consolidate purchasing
Reallocate to lower cost areas
Partner with distribution
Strategic IT
Identify cost drivers
Consider Fixed versus variable costs
Which costs can be decreased
What are the competitors cost structures
How have costs changed over time
Direct costs (materials, labor, factory overhead) vs. indirect costs (SG&A, overhead, depreciation, capital costs, R&D) www.christophermaynard.com
Customer
Product
Company
Competition
Identify the customers
− Size, growth rate, % of total market
− Compare current status with historical trends
Determine price points
Distribution channel for each segment
Customer concentration and power
Product differentiation
Identify complementary products
Identify substitutes
Determine product life cycle
Packaging and shipping
Capabilities and expertise
Distribution channels
Cost structure
Financial situation
Organizational structure
Geographic footprint
Market share distribution
Competitor behaviors
Barriers to entry
Supply base
Industry and government regulation www.christophermaynard.com
Company A
Customers Products Company Competition
Company B
Company A + B www.christophermaynard.com
A comprehensive analysis, using market data is used to assess all areas affecting the operator’s strategic direction:
− market dynamics : detailed consumer and business market segmentation and analysis of market drivers will be undertaken to identify the most valuable target segments and underlying reasons for market growth. Specific target areas are evaluated to provide key inputs: retail structures, financial transactions systems and
Internet usage provide input to sales and distribution planning
− competitive landscape : extensive competitive profiling in areas such as positioning, brand, target segments, value proposition, market offer, pricing, customer care, sales & distribution, coverage, network & support systems enable assessment of competitors’ strengths and weaknesses
− macro-economic outlook : analysis of relevant macroeconomic data determine market and segment growth
− legislation and regulatory framework : description of limitations or possibilities within the current regulatory environment that affect market and segment growth
− internal assets/technology : analysis of all internal assets including technology, brand, partnerships will be done to clarify which sustainable competitive advantages the company holds
An internal SWOT highlight areas of valid advantages and disadvantages, providing input to market entry positioning and value proposition
Identification of strategic risk areas at an early stage enables preparation of mitigating actions prior to market entry
Market dynamics
Competitive landscape
Internal SWOT
Market analysis
Macroeconomic outlook
Regulatory environment
Internal assets /
Technology
Identified strategic risk areas
Summary and conclusions
Market opportunity description
Market entry strategy
Vision and Mission
Objectives
Overall Strategy
Positioning
Value proposition
Brand
Target segments
Strategic directions
Pricing
Brand and communication
Sales and distribution
Products and services
Customer service
Launch phasing
Contingency plan
Internal and external www.christophermaynard.com factors
Tactical launch plan
Products & services
Pricing
Brand and communication
Sales & distribution channels
Customer service
Demand
Determine growth in the overall market – is it sustainable?
Determine the firms growth in the market – is it sustainable?
Segment sources of demand
− Determine each segments share of total demand
− Identify trends in demand by segment
Supply
Cost of
Expansion
Determine industry supply
Segment industry supply by market / market segment
Identify effect of increases in supply on prices
Cost of expansion – can the business afford it?
Calculate opportunity costs
− Payback period
− Break even point
− IRR
Identify alternatives
− Outsource
− Lease
− Sub-contract www.christophermaynard.com
www.christophermaynard.com
Primary Value Chain Activities
Generic Example
Suppliers – Raw materials, sub-assemblies, receiving, and inventory
Operations – Internal activities that transform inputs into a final product
Outbound Logistics – Activates required to get the finished product to the customer, including warehousing, order fulfillment, etc.
Marketing & Sales – Activities associated with getting buyers to purchase the product, including channel selection, advertising, pricing
Service – Activities that maintain and enhance the product’s value including customer support, repair services, etc. www.christophermaynard.com
Investment Decision Criteria
Market
Attractiveness
Market size
Market growth
Market profitability
Threats: substitutes, imports, etc.
Market trends
Company
Attractiveness
Profitability
Relative market share
Key customer segments
Strength of customer relationships
Strength of key talent
Competitive
Environment
Market fragmentation
Competitive threats
New market entrants
Barriers to entry
Feasibility &
Profitable Exit
Existence of strategic buyers
Existence of other financial buyers
Expected exit multiple with improved performance www.christophermaynard.com
Market Size
Current market size
Market growth
Investment Decision Data Requirements
Tech Adoption
Rate
S-curve development
Price
Market price analysis
− Analogues systems
− Surveys
Cost
R&D
Advertising
Non-recurring
Recurring
Business Criteria
IRR
Payback Period www.christophermaynard.com
Manufacturing throughput time - the length of time between the release of an order to the factory floor and its receipt into finished goods inventory or its shipment to the customer.
Manufacturing throughput yield - the number of units coming out of a process divided by the number of units going into that process over a specified period of time.
Only good units with no rework are counted as coming out of an individual process.
-53%
Current
Capacity
Utilization Loss Planned QC Rework
Production Samples www.christophermaynard.com
Manuf.
Scrap
QC
Rejects
Available to Ship
The inventory in the process is related to the throughput rate and throughput time by the following equation:
Work in Progress Inventory = Throughput Rate X Throughput time
Some ways to improve operations: focus on cost, quality, speed and flexibility.
Reduce work in progress inventory, reducing lead time.
Add additional resources to increase capacity of the bottleneck.
Improve efficiency of process capacity, increasing bottleneck capacity.
Move work away from the bottleneck.
Reduce complexity in design or redesign for better manufacturability. www.christophermaynard.com
Indirect Cost Elements and Controllability
Company XYZ
Cost Element Controllability
Indirect Labor
Discretionary Spend
High
High
Nature of the Challenge
• Optimum staffing is hindered by the variability and relative unpredictability of the business base
• Management depth and skill levels impact the achievement of direct cost goals and objectives
• Efficiency improvements and base growth can lower allocations to product lines
• Must tradeoff outside specialists/experts with internal resources to achieve best overall results
• Level of in-house vs. outsourced support is discretionary
Outsourcing of non-core functions to specialized suppliers in a service is typically more cost effective
• R&D is nominally “discretionary”, but is a critical component of ability to compete on future new starts
R&D Medium
Footprint Low
• Costs are driven by ownership structure, utilization, and geographic location
• Disposal of excess capacity lags variability in business base and can require consolidation
• Consolidation may involve short term increased cost
• Largely driven by occupancy levels, reduced footprint will lead to reductions in long run
• Investment in energy efficiency can reduce costs in long-term
Information
Technology
Benefits
Corporate
Allocations
Low
Medium
Low
• Heavy application of IT is required to operate the overall business effectively
• Long term agreements with vendors creating timing issues between contract renegotiation
• Depth and breadth of benefits are substantially driven by regulations and long-term agreements
• Retirement benefits, the largest element, is driven by market performance
• Totally discretionary, but performance driven incentives can lead to more effective operations and incentives are driven by competitive offers
• Consists of different types of costs
• Size of allocation is influenced by overall revenue and size of corporate cost structure www.christophermaynard.com
Indirect Cost Element Drivers
Company XYZ
Cost Element Drivers Questions
Indirect Labor
Discretionary Spend
Too many layers of infrastructure
Quantity of metrics/reports required
Redundant effort with corporate allocations
Lots of senior staff
Training and common tools implementation
Special projects
What staffing levels are justified by current and projected volumes?
What specific activities would “go away” or be done more efficiently if we were to operate differently?
Which components of indirect labor are effectively fixed versus those that will vary with volume?
Can we save on other discretionary items by managing them more closely?
R&D
Not enough focus
Product focus vs. market focus
• Are your R&D activities organized around product offerings or market forces – push vs. pull?
Footprint
Information
Technology
Benefits
Corporate Allocations
Leasing costs
Multiple desks / employee
Can depreciation be reduced by consolidating footprint?
Where are the constraints on the ability to move volume/ and where are the
“steps” in facility cost functions?
Can we save on energy through smarter sourcing /responsible use?
Support staff redundancies due to requirements for classified staff
Program-by-program nature of the business
Mix of legacy, current, and future systems
What can we do to reduce this expense: simpler processes, better/ fewer systems, etc?
What are the discrete decisions that drive IT costs and which choices should accompany various moves?
Benefits not in alignment with industry
Corporate cost structure is not in alignment with business model – holding company vs. strategic direction
How do benefits compare with alternative sources of employment in markets where we operate?
Can we reduce allocated costs by outsourcing, reducing internal costs or streamlining administrative processes?
What is the effect to allocation base when volume leaves? www.christophermaynard.com
www.christophermaynard.com
Supplier Power
Supplier concentration
Relative bargaining
power
Threat of Entry
Capital requirements
Economies of scale
Absolute cost advantage
Product differentiation
Access to distribution
channels
Legal/ regulatory barriers
Retaliation
Industry Rivalry
Concentration
Diversity of
competitors
Product differentiation
Excess capacity &
exit barriers
Cost conditions
Buyer Power
Buyers’ price sensitivity
Relative bargaining
power www.christophermaynard.com
Substitute Competition
Buyers’ propensity
to substitute
Relative prices &
performance of
substitutes
Horizontal Integration
–
The acquisition of additional business activities at the same level of the value chain. This form of expansion contrasts with vertical integration by which the firm expands into upstream or downstream activities.
Some examples of horizontal integration include:
An oil companies acquisition of refineries
An automotive manufacturer's acquisition of a sport utility vehicle manufacturer
A media company’s ownership of radio, television, newspapers, books, and magazines
Advantages of horizontal integration:
Economies of scale
– achieved by selling more of the same products, for example, by geographic expansion
Economies of scope – achieved by sharing resources common to different products. Commonly referred to as “synergies”
Increased market power (over suppliers and downstream channel members)
Reduction in the cost of international trade by operating factories in foreign markets www.christophermaynard.com
Dogs - Low Market Share / Low Market Growth
Your market presence is weak. No market leadership and no economies of scale. Market growth is low, it will be difficult to improve the situation.
Cash Cows - High Market Share / Low Market Growth
You're well-established, so it's easy to exploit new opportunities.
The market isn't growing, opportunities are limited. Limit investment accordingly.
Stars - High Market Share / High Market Growth
You're well-established, and growth is exciting! These are fantastic opportunities, and should work to realize them.
Question Marks - Low Market Share / High Market Growth
Difficult area – Little revenue, but you could capture a disproportionate share of market growth www.christophermaynard.com
Factors used to determine business unit strength:
Market share
Growth in market
Brand equity
Distribution channel access
Production capacity
Profit margins relative to competitors
The business unit strength index can be calculated by multiplying the estimated value of each factor by the factor’s weighting, as done for industry attractiveness. Based on the strength index three decisions should be made:
Grow strong business units in attractive industries, average business units in attractive industries, and strong business units in average industries
Hold average businesses in average industries, strong businesses in weak industries, and weak business in attractive industries
Harvest weak business units in unattractive industries, average business units in unattractive industries, and weak business units in average industries www.christophermaynard.com
Product
Determining what products or services customers want and establishing specifications for those items.
Considerations include functionality, appearance and quality of the product, as well as packaging, warranty and support.
Pricing
Setting a competitive price for a product or service is an important part of marketing. That price may be based on the marketing strategy of whether to give the impression of quality or to appeal to the priceconscious buyers. Supply and demand also affects pricing.
Pricing includes not only the list price, but also discounts, financing and leasing options.
Promotion
Communicating and selling to potential customers. This includes advertising, sales promotion, publicity and personal selling. It refers to the various methods of promoting the product, brand or company, as well as the message and media to be used. Advertising and promotion costs can be a large part of the product price.
Analysis should be performed to determine the actual value of the promotion in getting new customers.
Place
Place is the location or channel where the sale can be made. This may include geographic location and market segment. Sometimes this "P" stands for placement or distribution, which refers to how the product or service gets to the customer. Distribution includes market coverage, channel member selection, logistics and levels of service. www.christophermaynard.com
Product
Features and capabilities
Positioning decisions and market segmentation
Differentiated versus commodity
Reliability, brand name (quality, reputation)
Packaging, size
Service and warranties
Future strategy
Pricing
Retail and discounts
Strategy: MC = MR, skim, penetrate
Volume or profits
Perceived value or cost plus margin
Economic incentives to channel
Establishing barriers to entry
Overall Strategy – relation to market size, product life cycle and competition
Promotion
Consumer awareness
Interest
Select sales (Pull versus Push) Pull = advertising / Push = discounts to merchandisers
Advertising medium (reach and frequency)
Sales promotions – incentives to consumers, sales force and channel members
Place
Channels (consider level of desire and margins desired)
Coverage (trade off between coverage and costs)
Inventory – levels, turnover, carrying costs
Transportation – alternatives, efficiencies, cost www.christophermaynard.com
Strategy
Systems (such as IT, compensation, performance evaluation)
Structure (organizational structure such as reporting structure)
Style (leadership and management style)
Skills (competitive advantage of the firm)
Shared Values (philosophy and values)
Staff (training and motivating) www.christophermaynard.com
Gross Profit Margin (gross profit earned on sales) = Sales
– Cost of Goods Sold/Sales =
Profit/Sales
Return on Assets (ROA) (how effectively the firm’s assets are being used to generate profits) = Net Income/Total Assets
Return on Equity (ROE) (bottom-line measure for shareholders, measures the profit earned for each dollar invested in the company’s stock) = Net Income/Shareholder’s
Equity
Return on Investment (ROI) (measures the profit earned for each dollar of initial investment)
= Net Income/Initial Investment. Can be compared to Cost of Capital on a rudimentary basis. www.christophermaynard.com
Small changes in consumer demand can result in large variations in order placement upstream. Eventually, the network oscillates while each organization in the supply chain seeks to solve the problem from its own perspective. This phenomenon is known as Bullwhip
Effect.
Causes of Bullwhip:
Overreacting to backlogs
Neglecting to order in an attempt to reduce inventory
No communication up and down the supply chain
No coordination up and down the supply chain
Delay times for information and material flow
Order batching
Demand forecast inaccuracies
Rework or free return policies www.christophermaynard.com
Countermeasures to order batching
–
High order costs is countered with computer aided ordering, full truckload economics are countered with third-party logistics. Random ordering is countered with regular delivery appointment
Countermeasures to shortage gaming
–
Ignorance of supply chain conditions can be addressed by sharing capacity and supply information.
Countermeasures to fluctuating prices – High-low pricing can be replaced with everyday low prices. Special purchase contracts can be implemented in order to specify ordering at regular intervals to better synchronize delivery and purchase
Countermeasures to demand forecast inaccuracies
–
Lack of demand visibility can be addressed by providing access to point of sale data. Long lead times should be reduced where economically advantageous
Free return policies
–
Prohibit or limit policies if proven to be detrimental to operations www.christophermaynard.com
Strategy Structure
If the strategy is missing, unclear, or not agreed upon
If the structure isn’t aligned t to the strategy
Process
Integration
If the development of coordinating mechanisms is left to chance
Reward
System
If metrics and rewards don’t support the goals
People
If people people are not enabled or empowered
Confusion
No common direction; people pulling in different directions
No criteria for decision making
Friction Gridlock
Inability to mobilize resources
Ineffective execution; lost opportunity for competitive advantage
Lack of collaboration across boundaries
Long decision and innovation cycle times
Difficult to share information and leverage best practices
Internal
Competition
Wrong results; diffused energy
Low Standards
Frustration and turnover
Low
Performance
Effort without results
Low employee satisfaction www.christophermaynard.com
www.christophermaynard.com
Vision:
Mission:
Goals:
REQUIRED COMPETENCIES
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• Text
CULTURE
• Text
• Text
• Text
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STRATEGY
• Text
• Text
• Text
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TACTICAL PLAN
• Text
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Customers:
• Text
Products:
• Text
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REQUIRED RESOURCES
• Text
• Text
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• Text
ENABLERS
• Text
• Text
• Text
• Text www.christophermaynard.com
Vendor Management inventory (VMI) reduces stock-outs and reduces inventory in the supply chain. Some features of VMI include:
Shortening the supply chain
Centralizing forecasting
Frequent communication of inventory, stock-outs, and planned promotions
No manufacturer promotions
Trucks are filled in a prioritized order
Relationship with downstream distribution channels
Result
– inventory reduction and stock-out reduction www.christophermaynard.com
For a Vendor Management Inventory system to work, the conversation of distributors and the sales force must be addressed. They can be at least addressed by the following:
Transform the sakes role into one of the marketing. For example, bonuses can be given based on the number of new clients
Distributor skepticism can be addressed by implementing a pilot program with vendorowned warehouses in order to demonstrate that the system works. Introduce system in distributor-owned warehouses on pilot basis
Engage a neutral consultant in meetings among the vendor, distributor, and sales force
Allow some manufacturer promotions in the transition
Extensively simulate the system off-line before implementing
Don’t exaggerate the benefits of VMI; otherwise, any delay in realizing the benefits may cause the supply chain to lose faith in the system www.christophermaynard.com
www.christophermaynard.com
Recommendations
Strategy Consulting Recruiting Process
Networking Applying Case Interviewing
Know who you are speaking to
– Research the firm; do not ask basic
– questions
Understand the background of the individual; ask the right questions of the right people
Know why you are valuable to the firm
–
–
Why do you want to be a consultant?
Why do you want to work for Firm XYZ?
– What unique background do you bring to the consulting firm?
Keep it brief
– Make your case quickly; consultants have a short attention span
– Appreciate that consultants communicate with many candidates every year
Do your homework
– Don’t depend on the firms to tell you about deadlines, etc.
Structure, structure, structure
– Set up a good framework early, verify it and then stick to it
– Know what each firm wants and tailor your resume/cover letter to that firm
– Reference people that you met with and let them know that you have applied
– Your structure should be easy to follow while driving you towards a recommendation
Involve the case interviewer
– The case interviewer is the role of the manager, teammate or client (adjust appropriately)
Again…keep it brief
– One page resume and cover letter
– Brief bullets (“consultese”)
– Emphasize accomplishments
– Demonstrate well-roundedness
– Ask for feedback throughout the case
– Take the lead, but listen carefully and change approach as needed
Communicate clearly
– “Think out loud”
– Summarize findings along the way and state implications for the recommendation www.christophermaynard.com
Interviewers want to know that clients will value your high-priced advice
Mental horsepower to come up to speed and quickly provide value
Clear and easily communication style understandable by less educated clients
Confidence and poise presenting controversial ideas to resistant audience
Ability to thrive in environment of ambiguity
Ability to take control of own analysis and quickly drive to client value
Likable personality that will work well in team environment
The case is designed to test your ability to survive in this environment
Hard problems that require quick assimilation of data and context
Want to see clear communication of ideas, questions, and conclusions
Want to see winning confidence in approaching entire interview
Cases intentionally ambiguous, requiring educated assumptions, quick conclusions
Want to see candidates that control interview
“Airport test” – would I like to be stuck in an airport with this candidate? www.christophermaynard.com
Selection Criteria
Strategy Consulting Firms
Ability to persuade others to follow your recommendations
Need to have clear, professional written and verbal communication
Ability to tackle complex problems
Need to be comfortable with numbers, frameworks, and ambiguity
Demonstrated through: GPA,
GMAT, Work Experience,
Case Interview, academic credentials
Demonstrated through: Resume, Cover Letter, Case Interview
Ability to drive work, both on your own and in a team
Need to have a record of accomplishment and results
Demonstrated through:
Extracurricular Involvement,
Work Experience, Case
Interview
Ability to convince clients that you are worth hiring
Need to have impressive credentials/experience
Demonstrated through:
Resume
Ability to pass
“the airport test”
Need to connect with people in the firm
Demonstrated through:
Case Interview
Ability to show a passion for the job
Need to convince consulting firms that they are your “first choice”
Demonstrated through: Resume, Cover Letter, Case Interview www.christophermaynard.com
Recommendations for Success
Strategy Consulting
Skill
Development
Know your strengths and weaknesses and how they match up to expected performance criteria
Seek frequent feedback - don’t wait for formal reviews
Take responsibility for your own career and seek out the best opportunities - be an entrepreneur
Relationship
Development
Seek out formal and informal mentors, who will both advise you and be your advocates
Work with many people within your office/practice and build a support network
Build close relationships with your clients - it will make your projects easier
Leadership
Development
Participate in extracurricular activities such as training, recruiting, office events, etc.
Find your niche and be known for something (market expertise, functional expertise, etc.)
Seek out opportunities to mentor or develop others in areas where you have expertise
Personal
Development
Do something outside of work and prioritize appropriately
Manage work-life balance in collaboration with your team (but get the job done)
Work within the context of your short-term and long-term career goals www.christophermaynard.com