ACE 428: Commodity Futures and Options Markets University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign Fall 2010 3:30-4:50 pm TR Professor: Course Location: Office: Office Hours: Webpage: Course Website: Email: Dr. Mindy L. Mallory Education Building room 2 319 Mumford Hall 12:30 – 1:30pm TR, or by appointment http://mindymallory.wordpress.com/ http://mindymallory428.wordpress.com https://www.compass.illinois.edu 428.ace@gmail.com Teaching Assistant: Office: Andres Trujillo-Barrera 402 Mumford Hall Required Text: Understanding Futures Markets. Kolb and Overdahl. (2006). Malden, MA, Blackwell Publishing. Other Texts and Resources: All required material will come from the text above, but the following resources may be used to supplement your knowledge. 1. Fundamentals of Futures and Options Markets. John Hull. 7th ed. (2010). Boston, MA, Prentice Hall. ISBN: 978-0136103226 This is a standard text for a course in future and options markets. It is generally a thorough treatment of futures and options market basics; however, its treatment of the agricultural commodities is sparse. The physical agricultural products underlying these contracts give them special properties not found in the financial futures and option contracts. The new edition released in 2010 is very similar to previous versions, the most notable addition to the 7th edition being a chapter devoted to securitization and the credit crisis of 2008. 2. The Theory and Practice of Futures Markets. Leuthold, Junkus, and Cordier. (1989). Lexington, MA, Lexington Books. This book is a bit dated – last published in 1989 – but it is a very good and detailed treatment of the agricultural contracts. I would seek a newer source ACE 428 M. Mallory Fall 2011 to learn about financial contracts, but many of the important issues in the agricultural contracts have not changed. The age of this book means you can often pick up a copy relatively cheaply. One of its authors is Illinois’ Distinguished Professor Emeritus, Raymond Leuthold. 3. Futures and options. Edwards, F. and C. Ma (1992). McGraw-Hill. This book also gives a better treatment of the agricultural contracts than does Hull, and I think its explanation of the important concepts is quite good. However, it is a bit dated as well. 4. Economics of Futures Trading for Commercial and Personal Profit. Thomas Hieronymus. (1977). Commodity Research Bureau. Probably the first text on commodity futures trading, and it is by the University of Illinois’ own, Thomas Hieronymus. It is still a great treatment of commodity markets, and best of all, it is available to download for free. http://www.farmdoc.illinois.edu/irwin/links_archive_book_Hieronymus1977.asp Objectives: Upon completion of ACE 428 students will have a working knowledge of commodity futures and options markets. Among other things students will be able to articulate the markets’ role as an economic allocation mechanism, describe intuitively and analytically the relationship between a commodity’s cash, forward, and futures prices, price option contracts according to some popular models, and implement a risk management strategy that includes hedging on a commodity exchange Illinois Compass: We will be using Illinois Compass as a course management tool. We will mostly just manage grades here. Announcements, lecture notes, and assignments will usually be distributed on the course website noted above. Please make sure you log in and are properly registered in the Compass system. Course Structure: The course adopts a non-traditional delivery method based on the idea that it is more efficient for students to engage in passive learning on their own at home, and engage in active learning activities during regular class time when they have ready access to the professor and the ta. In a traditional class, students come to class and passively listen to lectures, and then they go home and do homework and projects on their own. In this course we reverse the timing of those activities. Students will access video lectures from the course website and watch them prior to coming to class. Then class-time activities will involve working through relevant examples, and often when homework is assigned, students will be allowed to spend class time working through the homework. ACE 428 M. Mallory Fall 2011 Since a significant portion of your time will be spent on your own watching lectures, only the Thursday class meeting is required and the Tuesday class meeting will be held as a discussion session. Homework: Periodically homework is assigned to illustrate or expand upon ideas developed in the lectures. They will come in a variety of formats including short answer questions, analysis with Microsoft Excel spreadsheets, and sometimes will be conducted as in class activities. Late or make-up assignments will not be accepted. Quizzes: There will be very short pop quizzes at the beginning of class time on one quarter of the class sessions. These quizzes are intended to provide additional incentive to watch the videos before coming to Thursday classes. They will address very basic concepts or definitions that should be trivial if you have watched the week’s required video, but difficult if you have not. Make up quizzes will not be offered. Midterm Exams: There will be two in-class midterm exams. October 4, 2011 and November 8, 2011. If there is an excusable circumstance which prevents you from taking an exam at the scheduled time, contact me immediately (usually requires documentation from the emergency dean). We will work out an alternate time to take a make-up exam. Failure to attend an exam without making prior arrangements will result in a score of zero for the exam. Bring your university identification to all exams; calculators used during exams are subject to my inspection. If you plan to use a graphing calculator with data storage capabilities please approve it with me prior to the exam. The use of laptop computers, cellular phones, or other data transmitting devices during the exam is prohibited. Final Exam: The final exam is optional and comprehensive. If you choose to take it your score on the final exam will be averaged with your lowest midterm score. The final is scheduled for 1:30–4:30 PM, Tuesday, December 13th. Project: We will use TradeSim software to conduct a trading simulation project. TradeSim is a web-based simulator of futures and options markets where you can conduct simulated trades in real time. The projects will be conducted in groups and the goal of the project will be to use the knowledge gained in this course to conduct profitable trading strategies while controlling risks. You will turn in a report of your trading activities, including an explanation of your trading strategy and analysis regarding each trade you made. ACE 428 M. Mallory Fall 2011 Grading Policy: Homework/Quizzes......……20% Exams………....……………70% (35% for each midterm) TradeSim Project…...……...10% Final is optional and averages with lowest midterm score. We will use +/- in assigning final letter grades. Field Trip: We take an optional field trip to Chicago where we will visit the CBOE and CME Group facilities. We will observe firsthand what happens on the trading floor of a major commodity exchange. I encourage you to attend if at all possible. Check the course website for additional details as they come available. Academic Dishonesty: I take academic integrity extremely seriously, and expect you to do the same. If you are uncertain as to what this means, please read Infractions of Academic Integrity—Definitions in the Student Pocket Code. If I discover that anyone has engaged in dishonorable conduct (cheating on one of the exams, plagiarism on the project, etc.) I will not hesitate to impose strict sanctions on the student(s) involved. At a minimum, this will involve failing the exam or paper in question. Special Needs: If you have special needs make an appointment and we will discuss suitable accommodations. ACE 428 M. Mallory Fall 2011 WEEKLY CLASS SCHEDULE 2011 Date Topic Reading/Assignment 8/23 Introduction Module 1 8/25 9/1 9/8 9/15 Historical development of futures trading in the U.S.; Basics of exchanges, Clearing, and Margins Contract basics, Finding and Reading Quotes, Types of orders; Settlement; Volume and open interest, delivery Introduction to options contracts; Money-ness; Strike price; Payoff and profit diagrams; Contract specs; American vs European options; More on options; Intrinsic value; Time value; Reading quotes; Margins; Settlement Module 2 Module 3 Module 4 Module 5 9/22 Synthetic positions; Put-Call parity Module 6 9/29 Speculative Option Positions; Bull spreads; Bear spreads Module 7 10/4* Midterm Exam 1 (Modules 1-6) 10/6 10/13 Speculative Option Positions (cont); Butterfly spreads; Straddles. Prices through space- Basis Pass back exams; Storage and prices through time Module 8 Module 9 10/20 Hedging; Optimal hedging Module 10 10/27 Hedging with Options Module 11 11/3 Cross Hedging and Multi-market hedges Module 12 11/8* Midterm Exam 2 (Modules 7-11) 11/10 Option pricing models; Binomial Module 13 11/17 Pass back exams; Option pricing models; BlackScholes Module 14 12/1 Interest rate futures and stock index futures Module 15 12/6* Final Exam Review 12/13 FINAL EXAM 1:30pm (Modules 12-15) *Please note exam dates are Tuesdays ACE 428 M. Mallory Fall 2011