Chapter 4 Fall 2005 THE DIAMOND-E FRAMEWORK Chapter 4 Objectives 1. Understanding the general relationship between the firm and the environment 2. Development of the ability to understand and apply the 5 Forces model 3. Understanding of additional tools (drivers, groups, competitor analysis) that aid in understanding an industry 4. Development of the ability to use all of the above to identify keys to success in an industry and what it means for the strategy and capabilities of a firm Management Preferences Organization STRATEGY Resources Figure 3.3 STRATEGIC CONSISTENCY Business Capabilities Strategy STRATEGIC CONSISTENCY External Environment Figure 3.1, p. 38 THE BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT Strategy – Environment Fit Social Political Industry International Industry FIRM Industry International International International Economic • A thorough environmental analysis uses the tools to come to specific conclusions regarding the nature of the competitive arena, what it takes to succeed in the industry, and what strategies are possible External Environment Strategy Figure 3.1, p. 38 • Assessing strategy – environment fit, requires a thorough understanding of the environment • A variety of tools are available for this process • The tools, however, are a means, not an end Environment Technological International Variation on Figure 4-1, p. 56 BUSI 4940 - Business Policy 1 Chapter 4 Fall 2005 Environmental Analysis: Getting Started Profitability Profitabilityof ofUS USIndustries, Industries, 1985-95 1985-95 IN D U S T R Y ( 1 9 8 5 - '9 5 ) D ru g s F o o d a n d k in d r e d p r o d u c t s - - o f w h ic h T o b a c c o p r o d u c t s In s t r u m e n t s a n d r e l a t e d p r o d u c t s P r in t in g a n d p u b lis h i n g E le c tr ic a l, a n d e l e c t r o n ic e q u ip m e n t A ir c r a f t , g u id e d m i s s il e s , a n d p a r t s F a b r ic a t e d m e t a l p r o d u c t s R u b b e r a n d m is c . p la s t ic s p r o d u c t s P a p e r a n d a ll ie d p r o d u c t s R e t a il t r a d e c o r p o r a t io n s P e t r o le u m a n d c o a l p r o d u c t s T e x t il e m ill p r o d u c t s W h o le s a le t r a d e c o r p o r a t io n s S t o n e , g l a s s a n d c la y p r o d u c t s M a c h in e r y , e x c . e le c t r ic a l N o n fe rro u s m e ta ls M o t o r v e h ic le s a n d e q u i p m e n t Ir o n a n d S t e e l M i n in g c o r p o r a ti o n s A ir lin e s • Developing a feel for the industry • What are the Dominant Economic Features? – Market size and growth – # of rivals, their size and geographic scope, degree of differentiation – Degree of integration and nature of distribution – Pace of technological change – Cost factors – economies, learning effects, capacity, entry/exit barriers THE FIVE FORCES MODEL OF COMPETITION R E T U R N O N E Q U IT Y 1 9 .3 9 1 3 .8 5 1 8 .6 0 1 1 .2 4 1 0 .1 6 1 0 .0 0 8 .3 6 8 .1 5 9 .9 5 8 .4 7 8 .3 7 7 .8 8 7 .2 5 6 .2 3 5 .7 2 4 .2 9 4 .2 1 2 .6 1 1 .3 0 1 .2 4 ( 2 .8 4 ) THE FIVE FORCES MODEL OF COMPETITION POTENTIAL ENTRANTS POTENTIAL ENTRANTS Primary Entry Barriers: SUPPLIER POWER INDUSTRY RIVALRY SUBSTITUTE PRODUCTS BUYER POWER Variation on Figure 4-3, p. 62 THE FIVE FORCES MODEL OF COMPETITION Primary determinants of the power of substitute products include: 1. The relative price and performance of substitutes 2. Switching costs 3. Buyers propensity to substitute SUBSTITUTE AVAILABILITY BUSI 4940 - Business Policy 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Economies of Scale Product Differentiation Capital Requirements Switching Costs Cost Disadvantages Independent of Scale Government Policy THE FIVE FORCES MODEL OF COMPETITION Determinants of Buyer Power Include: 1. The relative concentration of buyers and sellers 2. The volume of purchases 3. The relative switching costs of buyers and sellers 4. Ability of buyers to backward integrate 5. The buyers price sensitivity BUYER POWER 2 Chapter 4 Fall 2005 THE FIVE FORCES MODEL OF COMPETITION THE FIVE FORCES MODEL OF COMPETITION Determinants of Supplier Power Include: SUPPLIER POWER Determinants of Rivalry Include: 1. Industry Growth 2. The number and balance of rivals 3. Differentiation 1. Relative concentration 2. Presence of substitutes 3. Relative switching costs 4. Relative threat of integration 5. Importance of the supplies 6. Differentiation of the supplies INDUSTRY RIVALRY 4. Percentage of fixed costs 5. Brand identity and product differences 6. Exit barriers and corporate stakes Example: Strategic Group Map of Retail Jewelry Industry What Forces are Driving Change in the Industry? – Buyers & what they want -- Globalization – Entry/exit --Diffusion of know-how – Gov’t & Society -- Technology & Innovation Price / Quality / Image • Need to determine how the forces in the industry might change over time • Note that Life Cycle is a result, NOT a cause • Major influences include (see pg.71-74): High Small Independent Guild Jewelers National, Regional, & Local Guild “Fine Jewelry” Stores Prestige Departmentalized Retailers Upscale Department Stores National Jewelry Chains Medium Chains Local Jewelers Low Credit Jewelers Off-Price Retailers Outlet Mall Retailers Specialty Jewelers Catalog Showrooms Full-line Jewelers Discounters Limited-category Retailers Broad-category Retailers Product Line / Merchandise Mix A A Framework Framework for for Competitor Competitor Analysis Analysis Identifying Identifying Key Key Success Success Factors Factors Pre-requisites forsuccess success Pre-requisites for OBJECTIVES • What are competitors current goals? • Is performance meeting their goals? • How are their goals likely to change? What do customers want? How does the firm survive competition PREDICTIONS STRATEGY • How is the firm competing? ASSUMPTIONS • What assumptions does the competitor hold about the industry and itself? RESOURCES & CAPABILITIES • What are the competitors’ key strengths and weaknesses? BUSI 4940 - Business Policy Analysis of competition • What strategy changes will the competitor initiate? • How will the competitor respond to our strategic initiatives? Analysis of demand • Who are our customers? • What do they want? • What drives competition? What are drives •• What the competition? main • What are the dimensions of main competition? dimensions of competition? ••How Howintense intenseis iscompetition? competition? Howcan canwe weobtain obtainaasuperior ••How superior competitive competitive position? position? KEY SUCCESS FACTORS 3 Chapter 4 Fall 2005 Identifying Identifying Key KeySuccess SuccessFactors Factors in in Retailing Retailing Through Through Analyzing AnalyzingProfitability Profitability Sales mix of products Return on Sales Avoiding markdowns through tight inventory control Max. buying power to minimize cost of goods purchased ROCE Max. sales/sq. foot through: *location *product mix *customer service *quality control Sales/Capital Employed Max. inventory turnover through electronic data interchange, close vendor relationships, fast delivery Minimize capital deployment through outsourcing & leasing Putting it Together: Outcomes of an Industry Analysis • Identification of key factors within the industry (most important of the 5 forces, drivers, etc.) • Identification of 2-4 keys to success/survival • Identification of 2-4 strategies that could be successfully pursued (given the above) • Identification of the resources and capabilities necessary to successfully implement each of these strategies STRATEGIC CONSISTENCY From Environment to Business Capabilities • Given the environmental analysis, you can now move to the firm level and determine: – Whether the firm’s strategy fits with the environmental demands – Whether the firm has the necessary resources and capabilities to compete in the industry – What actions the firm could take to improve its position Business Capabilities Strategy External Environment Figure 3.1, p. 38 BUSI 4940 - Business Policy 4