We will start the section on the partial differential equation approach to derivative asset pricing exploring the derivatives of the Black-Scholes model. These derivatives are important in their own right. The delta, gamma and theta of an option are crucially important in risk management applications. Our principal purpose will be to identify the methods necessary to validate the fundamental partial differential equation. A partial differential equation is a relationship between first and higher order derivatives of a function. If we are lucky the differential equation and boundary conditions can be used to recover the function. If we are not so lucky numerical methods will be necessary to evaluate the function through the differential equation. ( x u) 2 1 exp Normal density function: f ( x) 2 2 2 Black-Scholes Model: C 0 S 0 N (d1 ) ke rT N (d 2 ) P0 ke rT N (d 2 ) S 0 N (d1 ) N N (0,1) S S ln( 0 ) (r 1 2 )T ln( 0 rT ) k ke 2 d1 1 T 2 T T S S ln( 0 ) (r 1 2 )T ln( 0 rT ) k ke 2 d 2 d1 T 1 T 2 T T Partial derivatives of the Black-Scholes Model d i f (S 0 , k , r, 2 , T ) d 1 N (d i ) d N (d i ) i (2 ) 2 exp( 1 d i2 ) i 2 v v v Delta = = C : S 0 d d C N (d1 ) S 0 N (d1 ) 1 ke rT N (d 2 ) 2 S 0 S 0 S 0 d i 1 S 0 T S 0 1 2 ln( S 0 ) S 2 ke rT 1 2 d1 ln( 0 rT ) 4 T ke T 2 ln( S 0 ) S 2 ke rT 1 2 d2 ln( 0 rT ) 4 T ke T 1 N (d1 ) 2 2 * exp 1 ( A ln( S 0 ke rT ) B) 2 1 N (d 2) 2 2 * exp 1 ( A ln( S 0 ke rT ) B) 2 ln N (d1 ) ln N (d 2 ) ln( S 0 ke rT ) C0 d ) ln N (d1 ) ln( S 0 ) ln N (d1 ) ln 1 ln ke rT ln N (d 2 ) ln d 2 S 0 S 0 S 0 C ln( 0 ) ln N (d1 ) S 0 ln( C 0 S 0 N (d1 ) 0 1 2C0 (2 ) 2 * exp( 1 d12 ) * ( S 0 T ) 1 0 2 S 0 2 T = time to maturity = (-t). C 0 t 1 2 1 2T C 0 C 0 T t S 0 exp( 1 d12 ) rKe rT N (d 2 ) 0 2 The partial differential equation developed later for European derivatives is a linear, second-order equation of the parabolic type. If the Black-Scholes model is a solution to this partial differential equation, , , should satisfy the PDE. Additional derivatives of the Black-Scholes model are important in their own right and deserve to be mentioned. C 0 Vega S 0 T N (d1 ) 0 C 0 rho KTe rT N (d 2 ) 0 r C 0 e rT N (d 2 ) 0 K 2 1. Varian 1987 shows that the second derivative of the option’s price with respect to the exercise price is the state price. Derive the expression for the second-partial derivative of the European call option’s price with respect to the strike price. 2. Calculate the value of the partial derivatives wrt (S0,k,r,t, ) of C0=f(S0, k,r,T,) and the second-partial derivative with respect to S0 and k for the Black-Scholes model using: S0 k T r Call option 1 $50 $50 0.5 years 3% 20% Call option 2 $50 $45 0.5 years 3% 20% Call option 3 $50 $55 0.5 years 3% 20% 3. Derive the expression for the partial derivative of a European put option with respect to the price of the underlying asset and the second-partial of a European put option with respect to the price of the underlying asset. Development of the partial differential equation approach to derivative valuation. Ito’s Lemma: Chp 10 Neftci page 240: Let F(St,t) be a twice-differentiable function of t and of the random process St: dS t at dt t dWt then 2 dFt F dS t F dt 1 F t2 dt after substituting for dSt S t t 2 S 2 t 2 dFt F at F 1 F t2 dt F t dWt t 2 S 2 S t S t t Neftci Chp 12 page 276: Forming Risk Free portfolios: Let dSt be the SDE (equation of motion) for the underlying asset. Because Ito’s lemma indicates the SDE of the derivative is a function of the same stochastic process, dWt, it will in general be possible to form a portfolio of the derivative and underlying asset such that the stochastic component’s cancel out. To prevent arbitrage opportunities the hedge portfolio must earn the risk free rate of return. Given portfolio weights, 1 , 2 the value of the portfolio is then; Pt = 1F + 2S Assuming the portfolio weights are constant (independent of S,t); 3 dPt = 1dF + 2dS. Choosing weights such that 1 = 1, 2 = -Fs makes the portfolio stochastic components, dWt, cancel out. dP F dPt Fs at 1 Fss t2 Ft dt Fs t dWt Fs at dt t dWt 2 1 2 t 2 ss t Ft dt To prevent arbitrage this portfolio must earn the risk free rate; dPt = rPtdt . rPt dt 1 Fss t2 Ft dt 2 rF Fs S dt 1 Fss t2 Ft dt 2 Fundamental PDE for a European derivative asset on non-payout asset; rF rFs S Ft 1 Fss t2 0 2 s.t.F ( ST , T ) G ( ST , T ) Fs , Ft , Fss The fundamental PDE for European derivative asset on a non-payout asset is a linear second-order parabolic PDE. Each derivative is unique in the specification of the dependence of the terminal payoff on the ST, G(ST , T). Stochastic processes important in financial modelingNeftci page 176-177: A standard Wiener process (Brownian Motion) is appropriate when the random events being described can only change continuously and during a small time interval small changes in the process are generally observed. A Wiener process, Wt , is the limiting process for a binomial process that takes values Wt h , h as the interval 0,……,T is divided into n subintervals of length h, i.e. n h T . If the increments are independent then the sum, Wt n Wt i will converge n i 1 weakly to a Weiner process in the limit as n. The Wiener process is obtained as the limit of a sum of independent, identically distributed random variables. A Wiener process is identical to a Brownian motion Wt is a martingale. Wt has uncorrelated increments 4 Wt is continuous Wt has zero mean Wt has variance t W (t 1) W (t ) (t 1) ~ iid N (0,1) W (t 1) W (t 1) W (t ) (t 1) Define dt to be the smallest positive real number such that dt 0, 1 then dWt W (t dt ) W (t ) and the multiplication rules apply to manipulation of functions of Wt : dWt2 dt dWt dt 0 dt 2 0 . Arithmetic Brownian Motion: dX t 1 dt dWt 1 Xt >=< 0 For T>t, X T X t ~ N ( X t (T t ), 2 (T t )) Forecast variance tends to as T . Geometric Brownian Motion: dX t 1 X t dt X t dWt 1 Xt has an absorbing barrier at 0 For T>t, ln( X T ) ln( X t ) ~ N (ln( X t ) (T t ) 1 2 (T t ), 2 (T t )) 2 Forecast variance tends to as T . Mean Reverting Process: dX t 1 ( X t )dt X dWt 1 t Xt > 0 for X0>0 and >0 As X0, dX>0 and volatility vanishes Forecast variance tends to as T . For 1 : X T X t ~ non central 2 2 E ( X T ) ( X t ) exp( (T t )) VAR( X T ) X t ( )(exp( (T t ) exp( 2 (T t )) ( 2 )(1 exp( (t t ))) 2 2 2 5