Analysis of Financial Statements After reading this chapter, students should be able to: Explain why ratio analysis is usually the analysis of a company’s financial statements. List the five groups of ratios, specify which ratios belong in each group, and explain what information each group gives us about the firm’s financial position. State what trend analysis is, and why it is important. Describe how the Du Pont chart is used, and how it may be modified to include the effect of financial leverage. Explain “benchmarking” and its purpose. List several limitations of ratio analysis. Identify some of the problems with ROE that can arise when firms use it as a sole measure of performance. Identify some of the qualitative factors that must be considered when evaluating a company’s financial performance. first step in the Financial Statements and Reports Annual Report: Yearly record of a publicly held company's financial condition. It includes a description of the firm's operations, as well as balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement information. SEC rules require that it be distributed to all shareholders. A more detailed version is called a 10-K. Income Statement (Statement of Operations, Profit and Loss Statement): A statement showing the revenues, expenses, and income (the difference between revenues and expenses) of a corporation over some period of time. Balance Sheet: Also called the statement of financial condition, it is a summary of a company's assets, liabilities, and owners' equity at a specific point in time. Statement of Retained Earnings: A statement of all transactions affecting the balance of a company's retained earnings account. 1 Accounting Income versus Cash Flow Cash Flow From Operations: A firm's net cash inflow resulting directly from its regular operations calculated as the sum of net income plus noncash expenses (mainly depreciation) that are deducted in calculating net income. Statement of Cash Flows: A statement reporting the impact of a firm’s operating, investing, and financing activities on cash flows over an accounting period. Ratio Analysis Ratio analysis of a firm’s financial statements is of interest to shareholders, creditors, and the firm’s management. Stockholders are interested in the firm’s current and future level of risk and return, which directly affect the stock price. The firm’s creditors are primarily interested in the short-term liquidity of the company and in its ability to make interest and principal payments. Internal management is concerned with all aspects of the firm’s financial performance. Therefore, they attempt to produce financial ratios that will be considered favorable to both owners and creditors. Additionally, management uses ratios to monitor the firm’s performance from period to period. Unexpected changes or variances are identified to isolate developing problem areas. Liquidity Ratios: Ratios that measure a firm's ability to meet its short-term financial obligations on time. 1. Current Ratio: Indicator of short-term debt-paying ability. Determined by dividing current assets by current liabilities. The higher the ratio, the more liquid the company. 2. Quick Ratio: A stricter indication of a company's financial strength (or weakness). Calculated by taking current assets less inventories, divided by current liabilities. This ratio provides information regarding the firm's liquidity and ability to meet its obligations. Also called the Acid Test ratio. Asset Management Ratios: Ratios that measure how effectively a firm is managing its assets. 1. Inventory Turnover: The ratio of cost of goods sold to inventory, which measures the speed at which inventory is produced and sold. Low turnover is an unhealthy sign, indicating excess stocks and/or poor sales. 2. Days Sales Outstanding (Average Collection Period): The ratio of accounts receivables to average sales per day, or the total amount of credit extended per dollar of daily sales. 2 3. Fixed Asset Turnover: The ratio of sales to net fixed assets. Measures how effectively the firm uses its plant and equipment to generate revenues. 4. Total Assets Turnover: Calculated by dividing sales by total assets. Indicates the efficiency with which the firm uses its assets to generate sales. Debt Management Ratios: The more debt a firm a firm uses in relation to its total assets, the greater the firm’s financial leverage. Financial leverage refers to the magnification of risk and return introduced through the use of fixed-cost financing such as debt (and preferred stock). The more fixed-cost debt, or financial leverage, a firm uses, the greater will be its risk and its expected return. 1. Debt Ratio: Total debt divided by total assets. The percentage of funds provided by creditors. 2. Times Interest Earned: Earnings before interest and taxes, divided by interest payments. Measures the firm’s ability to make contractual interest payments (also called the Interest Coverage Ratio). 3. Fixed-Charge Coverage Ratio: A measure of a firm's ability to meet its fixed-charge obligations: the ratio of earnings before interest and taxes plus long-term lease payments to interest charges paid plus long-term lease payments plus sinking fund payments/(1-tax rate). This is a stricter measure of the firm’s ability to meet fixed financial obligations since it includes lease and sinking fund payments (some analysts also include preferred stock dividends in this ratio). Profitability Ratios: Show the effect of liquidity, asset management, and debt management on operating results. They focus on the profitability of the firm. Profit margins measure performance with relation to sales. Rate of return ratios measure performance relative to some measure of size of the investment. 1. Net Profit Margin on Sales: The ratio of earnings available to common stockholders to net sales. Measures the percentage of each sales dollar remaining after all costs and expenses, including interest and taxes, have been deducted. 2. Return on Total Assets (ROA): The ratio of net income to total assets. Measures the firm’s overall effectiveness in generating profits with its available assets. 3. Return on Common Equity ROE): The ratio of net income to common equity. Measures the return earned on the owners’ (common stockholders’) investment in the firm. 3 Market Value Ratios: Relate the firm’s stock price to its earnings and book value. 1. Price/Earnings (P/E) Ratio: Shows the "multiple" of earnings at which a stock sells. Determined by dividing current stock price by current earnings per share (adjusted for stock splits). Earnings per share for the P/E ratio are determined by dividing earnings for past 12 months (four quarters) by the number of common shares outstanding. Higher "multiple" means investors have higher expectations for future growth, and have bid up the stock's price. 2. Market/Book Ratio: The ratio of a stock’s market price to its book value. An indication of how investors regard the company. A stock’s book value is the ratio of stockholder equity to the number of common shares outstanding. Book value per share should not be thought of as an indicator of economic worth, since it reflects accounting valuation (and not necessarily market valuation). The DuPont System of Analysis The DuPont system of analysis merges the income statement and balance sheet into two summary measures of profitability: Return on Total Assets (ROA) and Return on Equity (ROE). ROA The DuPont Equation = Net Profit Margin on Sales x Total Assets Turnover ROA = Net Income/Sales x Sales/Total Assets Extended DuPont Equation ROE = Net Profit Margin x Total Assets Turnover x Equity Multiplier ROE = N.I./Sales x Sales/Total Assets x Total Assets/Common Equity Note: Debt Ratio = Total Debt/Total Assets = [1 - (1/Equity Multiplier)] Note: Equity Multiplier = 1/[1-(Total Debt/Total Assets)] Types of Ratio Comparisons Trend Analysis: Also termed time-series analysis. Evaluation of the firm’s financial performance over time to help determine or predict the improvement or deterioration in its financial situation. 4 Comparative Analysis: Also termed cross-sectional analysis. Involves comparing the firm’s ratios to those of other firms in the same industry or to industry averages. Benchmarking is a type of cross-sectional analysis in which the firm’s ratios are compared to those of a key competitor or group of competitors, primarily to identify areas for improvement. Uses and Limitations of Ratio Analysis 1. Difficult to develop a meaningful set of industry average ratios for comparative purposes due to the fact that most large firms operate a number of divisions in different industries. 2. Striving for “average” performance is not a target for most firms. 3. Inflation can distort firms’ balance sheets. Assets are carried at their historical cost. 4. Seasonal factors can distort a ratio analysis. Average account figures should be used for all ratios when possible to alleviate this problem. 5. Management sometimes employ “window dressing” techniques to artificially present better ratios. 6. Different accounting practices can distort comparisons. 7. Difficult to generalize about whether a particular ratio is good or bad. 8. Even with a comprehensive ratio analysis, it is difficult to tell whether the company is, on balance, strong or weak. The most important and difficult input to a successful ratio analysis is the judgement used when interpreting the results to reach an overall conclusion about the firm’s financial position. RATIO ANALYSIS CURRENT QUICK INVENTORY TURNOVER DAYS SALES OUTSTANDING FIXED ASSETS TURNOVER TOTAL ASSETS TURNOVER DEBT RATIO TIE EBITDA COVERAGE PROFIT MARGIN BASIC EARNING POWER ROA ROE PRICE/EARNINGS PRICE/CASH FLOW MARKET/BOOK BOOK VALUE PER SHARE 2002E 2001 1.2 0.4 4.7 38.2 6.4 2.1 82.8% -1.0 0.1 -2.7% -4.6% -5.6% -32.5% -1.4 -5.2 0.5 $4.93 2000 2.3 0.8 4.8 37.4 10.0 2.3 54.8% 4.3 3.0 2.6% 13.0% 6.0% 13.3% 9.7 8.0 1.3 $6.64 INDUSTRY AVERAGE 2.7 1.0 6.1 32.0 7.0 2.6 50.0% 6.2 8.0 3.5% 19.1% 9.1% 18.2% 14.2 11.0 2.4 n.a. 5