Hanan Nugroho INDOGAS 2005, the 2nd International Conference & Exhibition, Jakarta 17-20 January 2005 Financing natural gas infrastructure (downstream) projects in Indonesia* Hanan Nugroho Abstract-. Law No. 22 Year 2001 concerning Oil and Gas states explicitly the priority for using more natural gas in domestic market. Once the master plan for national gas transmission and distribution issued by the government, there will be a great demand to develop natural gas infrastructure projects, including pipeline transmission and distribution as well as LNG receiving terminal and gas storage facilities in Indonesia. Due to the characteristic of large investment costs, long construction period and lack experience in building such kind of huge gas projects, however, there will be critical challenges in project development and how to finance the projects. This paper presents our experiences, as a government agency, in financing natural gas project, especially that of pipeline transmission and distribution. The paper describes issues of government development budget, bilateral/multilateral loans in gas development projects, lesson we learn from the experiences, and financing option for the future. * Presented for INDOGAS 2005, the 2nd International Conference & Exhibition, 17-20 January 2005, Jakarta Convention Center, Indonesia. Sr. Energy Planner/Economist, (BAPPENAS), Jakarta 10310, INDONESIA. E-mail: nugrohohn@bappenas.go.id 1 Hanan Nugroho INDOGAS 2005, the 2nd International Conference & Exhibition, Jakarta 17-20 January 2005 1 Introduction Indonesia is one among the most advanced countries in developing liquefied natural gas (LNG) for exports. The exports of gas have for a quite long time made significant contributions to the country’s export earnings and its government revenues as well. However, the development of natural gas industry in Indonesia’s domestic markets is still in the early stage. While domestic demand for natural gas is considerable and the potential of natural gas to reduce the heavy dependency on oil in Indonesia’s energy mix is quite great, there is big constraint due mostly to the availability of natural gas infrastructures. Natural gas demand is centered around the populous-energy greedy of Java, while most of gas fields are scattered far from the demand centers. Law No. 22 Year 2001 Concerning Oil and Gas states explicitly the priority for using the country’s natural gas for domestic usages. The Law has brought a new spirit to the natural gas business in Indonesia, expecting that the domestic business will be growing considerably in the near future. The Law establishes the BPH MIGAS (a new Regulatory Body to deal with oil and natural gas downstream industry), un-bundling the structure of oil and gas industry (mainly in the downstream), liberalizes them and opens them for more players. The issuance of new Oil & Gas Law has also driven growing concerns on many aspects and prospects of natural gas industry in Indonesia, including natural gas infrastructure projects development and their financing schemes. Currently, the government is preparing a master plan for national natural gas transmission and distribution networks. It is anticipated that, as the legitimate master plan is published by the government, and guidelines for public/private companies participation in natural gas project development is prepared by the BPH MIGAS, the natural gas infrastructure development projects will be growing significantly in Indonesia. In the near future, (i) do we have adequate sources to finance the growing natural gas infrastructure projects, (ii) what schemes of financing for public and private sector participation in natural gas infrastructure development would be available/developed (iii) how might the government/BPH MIGAS provides incentives to increase the attractiveness of natural gas infrastructures development in domestic market? These type of questions are being asked by business people, policy makers and regulators deal with natural gas business in Indonesia. This paper addresses project financing issues for natural gas infrastructure projects in Indonesia, by describing our experiences in financing natural transmission and distribution projects, analyzing to gain lesson from the experiences, and proposing a new scheme for natural gas infrastructure financing for the future. 2 Overview of Indonesia’s natural gas industry structure and infrastructure 2.1 General industry structure Indonesian owns natural gas reserves of about 92.5 trillion cubic feet, ranks the 10th of the world largest gas reserves (2003). The reserves are scattered around the archipelago, with considerable of them can be found in East Kalimantan, North Sumatra (Aceh), West Papua, and China Sea areas. The amount Indonesian natural gas reserves is 2 Hanan Nugroho INDOGAS 2005, the 2nd International Conference & Exhibition, Jakarta 17-20 January 2005 quite larger than those of oil. Indonesian natural gas production is relatively flat, from 8,674 MMSCFD in 1997 to 8,427 MMSCFD in 2003. Gas exploration and production are carried out by PERTAMINA (the state oil and gas company) and about 30 Production Sharing Contractors. Those activities are generally managed by BP MIGAS - The Executing Body for Upstream Oil and Gas Business. ExxonMobil, ConocoPhillips, Unocal, TotalFinaElf are among the PSC companies working for natural gas exploration and production in Indonesia. Their production activities are located in South Sumatra/Jambi, Aceh (Arun), East Kalimantan (Badak, Bontang), Sulawesi (Sengkang, Donggi) and Papua (Tangguh). TotalFinaElf is currently the largest gas producer in Indonesia with its production activities located in East Kalimantan. ExxonMobil was a dominant producer, but its production is decreasing naturally, for instance that in Aceh. In the early stage of Indonesia’s natural gas development (1970s), the gas was directed for export, as LNG. Indeed, Indonesia is still the largest LNG exporting country, shipping the LNG using LNG tankers to Japan, South Korea and Taiwan, while the Government is planning to ship the same natural gas commodity to China and USA in near future. In addition to shipping LNG, the country also exports natural gas through pipeline to its neighbors Singapore and Malaysia. As Indonesia’s economy and demand for energy grow, however, the domestic consumption for natural gas is increasing fast. The largest gas consumer in domestic market currently is fertilizer and petrochemicals (9%, 2003). Electricity generation is growing to be the largest consumer of natural gas in Indonesia. Substitution of natural gas to oil in domestic market is actually very substantial in reducing Indonesia’s heavy dependency on oil in its domestic energy mix. In domestic market, the players for Indonesian gas industry comprise three major groups: (a) gas producers, which are mainly the PSC companies, (b) gas consumers: industry, fertilizer / petrochemical, electricity generations, etc., and (c) gas transporters. Transportation to consumer areas, for a large part, is still being carried out by the gas producers. PT PGN (the state-own gas company) is currently the major gas transporter (transmission) and also serves as the dominant local distribution company (LDC) for natural gas in Indonesia. The natural gas industry in Indonesia is still dominated by PERTAMINA, who operates an vertically integrated business in the oil and gas industry. PERTAMINA operates LNG and LPG plants in Bontang and Arun and several other LPG plants in Indonesia (in the same location with oil refining). The LNG and LPG transportation and storages in domestic is also owned/managed by PERTAMINA. For quite a long time, PERTAMINA also operates natural gas tranmisison pipelines. Nevertheless, the PT PGN (the State Gas Company) PT PGN) has developed a leading role in natural gas transmission and distribution activities, owns the longest transmission and distribution pipelines in Indonesia. Table 1 presents the structure, infrastructure and players in Indonesia’s natural gas industry. 3 Hanan Nugroho INDOGAS 2005, the 2nd International Conference & Exhibition, Jakarta 17-20 January 2005 Table 1. Indonesia’s natural gas & LPG industry: structure, infrastructure and player Industry Structure Upstream Production Player(s) PSC Companies, Pertamina Product/capacity/unit Share % 8,000 – 9,000 MMSCFD PSC Companies dominate production activities Downstream production Gas Processing LNG LPG Transmission & Distribution Pipeline Pertamina Pertamina 30,1 million ton/year 105 million ton/year Pertamina PGN 480 km 800 km (transmission) + 2547 km (distribution) Pipe Pagerungan-Jatim ? BP PT Igas Storage LPG Trade Pertamina Pertamina PGN Other players: LPG Agent LPG Tube Plant SPBG (CNG) SPBG (LPG) SPBE 6 LPG depos 8 marketing units (UPMS) 8 branch, 1 aid branch, 1 transmission company 423 unit 5 28 18 44 Note 100 100 Plan: - LNG Tangguh (BP) and LNG Matindok (Pertamina). - LPG in Cilacap Plan: Gas transmission: Sumatra – Java, Trans Java, East Kalimantan – Java. 100 Agents, filling stations, tube plants are mostly owned by private companies, cooperatives and yayasan (foundation). Source: compiled from Ditjen Migas, PGN & Pertamina, 2004. 2.2 Gas Pipeline Network As a general rule, natural gas transportation requires higher technical standard and thus higher costs than that of crude oil, oil products and coal. This fact due the natural characteristic of gas, which in the gas phase is very difficult to transport. Gas needs to be compressed to cryogenic temperature to increase its density, before transporting them in LNG form. Gas must be compressed before transporting them using CNG ship/vehicle. Gas can also be transported using pipelines and sent to storage before delivering them to the end users. The existence of pipeline networks is very essential for transporting natural gas from its sources to consumer centers. Pipeline networks for natural gas transmission in Indonesia have been developed on project per project basis and are not integrated yet. The total length of the existing transmission pipeline is about 1,280 km. It is quite small compared to that of UK (18,400 4 Hanan Nugroho INDOGAS 2005, the 2nd International Conference & Exhibition, Jakarta 17-20 January 2005 km), the USA (about 450,000 km) or many other industrial countries. The networks can be grouped into gathering lines (serve the flow of gas from gas fields/block stations to gas processing plants / booster compressions) and sales lines (from gas processing plants to gas consumers). The gathering lines has been developed in line with the finding of gas fields, spread out in Aceh, South Sumatra, East Kalimantan, Natuna and Java-Bali islands. The diameter for these gathering lines ranges between 16” and 42”, with the approximate length for each pipeline segments about 10-109 km and their capacities between 200 to 2000 MMSCFD. The gathering lines were developed in Java and Aceh areas since the early 1 The developed sales lines are: Java Sea-Tanjung Priok/Muara Karang, CilamayaCilegon, Pagerungan-Gresik, Prabumulih-Palembang, Grissik-Duri, Natuna-Singapore, Grissik-Sakernan, and Sakernan-Batam-Singapore. The PGN is currently developing transmission pipelines from South Sumatra to West Java, and conducting a feasibility study on a transmission pipeline connecting East Kalimantan, Central Java and West Java. The development of gas transmission pipelines in Indonesia has been carried out mainly by PERTAMINA, PSC Companies (for gathering lines), and either PERTAMINA or PGN for sales lines. Table 2 shows the national natural gas transmission pipelines networks. 3 Financing natural gas development projects While upstream projects are financed by PSC companies, we in BAPPENAS deal basically with downstream natural gas infrastructure projects. Our experiences in financing natural gas projects can be categorized as follow: (i) budget evaluation/allocation for policy studies, feasibility study, research, monitoring and evaluation of gas projects. The activities are usually carried out by Ministry of Energy (DG Oil & Gas and LEMIGAS in particular) (ii) provide local budget for foreign sources funding in natural gas related projects (for capacity building, feasibility, joint research, and natural gas transmission and distribution projects). The main executing agencies for these activities are PT PGN and LEMIGAS. (iii) active in seeking for (foreign) financing agencies to finance natural gas infrastructure projects, especially transmission and distribution. The agency we serve so far is PT PGN. Government of Indonesia’s budget allocated to natural gas projects since the first REPELITA (1970s), as shown in its yearly DIP documents is quite small compared to that of, for instance, rural electrification projects. 1 We may think that this due to low priority given to gas projects development in domestic market during the 1970s-1990s period. 1 DIP (Daftar Isian Proyek): a government of Indonesia’s document that shows list of project activities and their budget, as a result of evaluation by executing agencies, Ministry of Finance and BAPPENAS. BAPPENAS recently does not involve in budgeting detail items of projects. 5 Hanan Nugroho INDOGAS 2005, the 2nd International Conference & Exhibition, Jakarta 17-20 January 2005 Table 2. Indonesia Natural Gas Pipeline No . Pipe Name Capacity Diameter Length (MMSCFD Location (inch) (km) ) Remark Gathering Line 1. Offshore-L. Seumawe 30 109 1,000 16 - 42 42 20 - 36 16 - 26 16 - 26 30 - 34 57 10 - 70 20 - 70 13 - 50 200 - 2,000 2,000 300 - 1,500 200 - 600 200 - 600 LNG Plant LNG Plant/ Aceh Industry Kalimantan LNG Plant Kalimantan Gas processing West Java Proc. Platform S. Sumatra To Sales Line 7. Muara Karang 8. Cilamaya-Cilegon 16 - 26 24 10 - 55 220 200 - 600 500 N. Java W. Java 9. Pagerungan-Gresik 24 - 28 3 - 370 500 - 700 10. Prabumulih-Palembang 20 - 28 15 - 50 300 - 500 11. Grissik-Duri 28 550 700 12. Natuna-Singapore 13. Grissik-Sakernan 16 – 28 28 10 - 470 135 200 - 700 700 28 335 700 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. OnshoreL. Seumawe/Arun Badak-Bontang Field-Badak-Bontang Offshore-W. Java Grissik Fields Aceh Sales Line Offshore - T. Priok/ Sakernan-Batam- 14. Singapore Power Plant Industries Power Plant/ E. Java Industry Power Plant/ S. Sumatra Industry Duri Steam Sumatra Flood Export/Power S.China Sea Plant C. Sumatra Transmission Riau Export/Power Sumatra Plant Source: DG Oil & Gas In the early 1990s there was a project to develop PGN capacity in managing natural gas business, funded largely by the World Bank loans. This project was done in the same line with natural gas distribution projects, located in several cities (Bandung, Medan, Surabaya, Bogor, etc). Then, using our “pure Rupiah” 2 we allocate some budgets for natural gas distribution projects, to expand the distribution networks. But the amount was not significant enough. So far, PT PGN distribution network is only about 2,500 km, scattered in several cities, serves only a few household costumers. Our relation with PT PGN in these financing cases is as a mediator to seek for low cost financing sources, using Government facility. We usually deal with multilateral/bilateral financing agencies such as The World Bank, Asian Development Bank, European Investment Bank, and Japan Bank for International Cooperation (JBIC). These agencies provide relatively low costs of money to Government backed-up projects. 2 Pure Rupiah: budget that comes from the Government of Indonesia revenues, without any foreign sources (loan/grant). 6 Hanan Nugroho INDOGAS 2005, the 2nd International Conference & Exhibition, Jakarta 17-20 January 2005 PT PGN itself has to compensate for this Government service through the SLA (subsidiary loan agreement) scheme. The first natural gas project we consider as “big” is the Grissik-Duri transmission project, that flow natural gas from fields in Grissik area to an enhance oil recovery (steam flood) project in Duri, Sumatera. The project was the first transmission one owned by PT PGN. The cost of the project was US$ 310 million. The lenders for the project were ADB and EIB. After involving in Grissik-Duri projects, we move on other projects financing such as Grissik-Batam and Batam-Singapore. Table 3 provides a summary of natural gas transmission and distribution projects and financial terms we involve. We learn that, from our experiences, a strong proposal will be very important in succeeding a project. Natural gas project proposals have to be competed with other proposals come from other sectors. Lending agencies have their priorities in projects financing, so that a merely good proposal sometime also not enough. Therefore, a combination of good proposal (that show strong economic feasibility of the project and “good opportunity” to submit the proposal) will be important in succeeding our natural gas projects. Our experience in building capacity for natural gas infrastructure projects, including to develop a sound natural gas projects proposal has been growing quite well since we started to focus on downstream projects development about 15 years ago. We are working to convince lending agencies that it is better to finance “a bundle” of natural gas projects proposals than only a specific segment like we did so far. This approach will give flexibility for parties, especially since we expect that the number of natural gas downstream projects will be growing in volume in the near future. 4 Financing natural gas projects to come It is anticipated that, as the master plan and regulation for downstream natural gas development issued by the Government, demand for natural gas infrastructure projects will be growing substantially. Then there is question who will develop such transmission, distribution, or receiving terminal project? How to finance the projects and do we have adequate financing sources domestically? The PGN itself will no longer a dominant player. Even, as the company changed its status as a public company, the PGN will no longer eligible for facilities as Government backed-up project. Our study in BAPPENAS estimates that to 2010 there will be a demand of about 4 to 4.5 billion US$ for natural gas downstream projects, mainly for transmission lines. Due to the characteristic of large investment costs, long construction period and lack experience in building such kind of huge gas projects, however, there will be critical challenges in project development and how to finance the projects. 7 Hanan Nugroho INDOGAS 2005, the 2nd International Conference & Exhibition, Jakarta 17-20 January 2005 Table 3. Natural gas (downstream) projects finance No. Name of Project Year 1 W. Java Transmission System 1978 2 Gas Distribution (Jakarta, Bogor, 1986 L (km) 200+ D (inch) $MM Funding Owner 28 120 Pertamina Pertamina 34 IBRD PGN Medan) 3 Gas Distribution (Surabaya) Loan Condition i = 12 %, grace period: 5 years, loan period: 15 years 1990 86 IBRD PGN i = 13 %, grace period: 5 years, loan period: 15 years 4 Grissik-Duri Pipeline 1995 544 28 310 ADB, EIB PGN I = 15 %, grace period: 4 years loan period: 20 years 5 Grissik-Singapore Pipeline 2001 478 28 415 ADB, EIB PGN I = 15 %, grace period: 4 years loan period: 20 years 6 S.Sumatra-W.Java Pipeline 2004 520 28, 32 440 JBIC, PGN PGN I = 0.95 % and 0.75 %; grace period: 10 years, loan period: 40 years 7 W. Java Trans & Distr Expansion 8 E. Kalimantan - West Java Pipeline 2005 120 PGN Source: Bappenas, 2004. Our study also shows that there are actually domestic resources of funding, come from government budget, state company budget, banks and non-bank sources. These funds can be complemented with bilateral/multilateral sources of funding. The government budget to be allocated to natural gas infrastructure projects is presently very limited, since the government has to spend its budget to many other various projects. The national banking fund allocated to infrastructure projects is also limited, but there is an indicator that those fund will be growing. The potential non-bank sources are domestic pension fund, insurances, and mutual fund. Maturity mismatch is still a problem we have to solve in order for such sources of finance to be used for natural gas infrastructures projects. Another financing option for is by creating an infrastructure projects fund. The government is now working on the creation/preparation for such kind of infrastructure fund, although the first priority is not to be given to natural gas transmission/distribution projects, but to other infrastructure projects such as toll road and housing. Although the top priority is not for natural gas development projects, we are convincing that natural gas infrastructure projects should be in a first batch of projects to be financed by such 8 Hanan Nugroho INDOGAS 2005, the 2nd International Conference & Exhibition, Jakarta 17-20 January 2005 infrastructure fund. The reason is not only that company and traditional foreign sources are limited, but also because the development of natural gas infrastructure will be very beneficial to support Indonesia’s energy diversification policy. So far, the country energy mix is very heavy dependent on oil, which is backed up by very expensive government subsidy. The proposal for giving high priority for natural gas infrastructure projects (downstream) is mentioned in the Government Infrastructure Summit held concurrently with this INDOGAS 2005 Conference. References: Nugroho, Hanan. 2004. Increasing the share of natural gas in national industry and energy consumption: infrastructure development plan? Jakarta: Perencanaan Pembangunan IX/3/2004, h. 20-33. Nugroho, Hanan. 2004. Pengembangan industri hilir gas bumi Indonesia: tantangan dan gagasan. Jakarta: Perencanaan Pembangunan IX/4/2004, h. 32-52. Nugroho, Hanan, et all. 2004. Gas energy pricing in Indonesia for promoting the sustainable economic growth. Proceeding: The 19th World Energy Congress & Exhibition, Sydney, 5-9 September 2004. Nugroho, Hanan. 2004. Percepat infrastruktur untuk mendongkrak pemakaian gas bumi. Koran Tempo, 30 November 2004. 9