John Stewart Question 3.b.1 What trends do you see in natural forests versus plantation forests around the world? Most forests in the world are natural forests (North and South America, Europe, Southern Africa), except for a large number of plantation forests in northern Africa. John Stewart Question 3.b.2 What trends do you see in rates of deforestation around the world? Please be specific about which areas of the world are showing forest loss and speculate on why this might be occurring. There are high rates of deforestation in central and southern Africa, south America, and eastern Asia. There is net forest gain in Egypt, Algeria, Libya, Spain, China and Uruguay. Deforestation in Africa might be due to a lack of restrictions on logging and clearing land for agricultural or commercial use. This also might be because the soil these forested regions is particularly suitable for agriculture and farming and businesses could put the forest area to good use by cutting down the trees and building farms. John Stewart Question 3.b.3 Which regions of the world have the greatest number of threatened plants? How does deforestation rate correspond with threatened plants? The regions with the most threatened plants are central and south America, central Africa and in parts of East Asia. This roughly corresponds to the deforestation trends. Deforestation and threatened plants are high on the east coast of south America, the east and west coasts of Africa and on the islands off the eastern coast of Asia. John Stewart John Stewart Average Annual Population Change John Stewart Deforestation Question 3.b.4 After comparing different field values, do you think there is a relationship between threatened plants or deforestation with population? Provide evidence to support your claims with screenshots of your maps examining different fields within the data. 1. These maps show a positive relationship between population growth and deforestation. In central Africa Population growth and deforestation are both very high. This might be because the increase in population necessitates an increase in raw materials, such as wood from logging food from agricultural production. John Stewart 2. This map shows the relationship between regions with high population growth and regions with locations of threatened plants. This relationship is slightly weaker than the relationship between population growth and deforestation. The regions with the most threatened plant species have moderate to high population growth. These areas include Central America, north western South America, central Africa, and the islands of south east Asia. John Stewart 3. This map shows how the average annual population change correlates with the number of threatened plant species. The number of threatened plant species has a strong positive correlation with the urban population growth in Africa and a weaker correlation with urban population growth in Vietnam, Cambodia, and Papua New Guinea. Question 3.b.5 Using Figure 3.b.8, in which biomes do you find most of the threatened plants? Which biomes do you find the greatest increase in human population? Which themes and field values did you use to answer this question? The biomes with the most threatened plants are Tropical Evergreen Forest, Savanna, Cold Desert, and Tropical Deciduous Forest. The biomes with the greatest increase in human population are Hot Desert, Savanna, Tropical Evergreen Forest, and Temperate Grassland. For this question I used Threatened Plants and 2000-2005 total average annual population change. John Stewart Question 3.b.6 What trends do you see in the cereal production since 1992? Why might there be missing data for the countries in the former Soviet Union? Cereal production since 1992 has decreased mainly in parts of Africa (Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Algeria, Morocco, Zaire, Congo, Zambia, Somalia, Botswana, and South Africa), and also in Mongolia and N. Korea. Production has increased mainly in other African countries (Angola, Mozambique, Central African Republic, and Chad), Peru and Argentina, and Papua New Guinea. The missing data in countries of the former Soviet Union might be because their cereal production was never measured or because the countries never made those calculations public. This could also be because there is not enough cereal production in those countries to make an accurate estimate. John Stewart Question 3.b.7 Do you see a relationship between deforestation rate and change in cereal production since 1992? What might be happening in countries that do not follow the same pattern? Regions with high deforestation rates (most of Africa, Argentina and Mexico) generally have high cereal production. This is especially true in Argentina and Chad. However, some countries in Africa with high deforestation rates have low cereal production (Botswana, Namibia, Madagascar and Zambia). This could be because the forests became so depleted that there were not enough raw materials to continue cereal production or because the soil in regions with high deforestation became too nutrient-depleted to be used for farming. John Stewart Question 3.b.8 How do the distribution of the Earth’s grasslands relate to changes in cereal production? Where do you see exceptions to this pattern? The Earth’s grasslands are located in regions with high cereal production. North and South America, northern Africa and countries in Eastern Europe have large numbers of grasslands and high cereal production. The opposite is true in southern Africa, Mongolia and China. This might be because the grasslands that existed in this regions in 1992 have been completely used up by over farming and are no longer useful for cereal production. It could also be possible that these regions haven’t been used for cereal production so that the grasslands could be preserved. John Stewart Question 3.b.9 Based on the status of each biome, which biomes do you think are most at risk from human pressures? Which biomes should receive priority for conservation? Why? What strategies could be implemented to better protect Earth’s biomes? I think the biomes that are most at risk from human pressures are Temperate Broadleaf Mixed Forest, Boreal Forest/Taiga, Desert Shrublands, Tropical/subTropical Grasslands, Temperate Grasslands, and Montane Grasslands/Shrublands in North America, Western Europe and Eastern Asia. The areas that should receive priority for conservation are those where the most damage is being done in the shortest amount of time, especially in those with high population growth. I think it would be most useful to concentrate conservation efforts in central Africa and East Asia where populations are increasing. I think this makes sense because areas with high population growth are more likely to continue putting pressure on their biomes. To protect the biomes it would be beneficial to reduce pollution by creating stricter regulations on industry and disposing of waste. It would also be wise to protect threatened areas by turning them into parks and not allowing businesses to buy them and possibly cause damage. Question 3.b.10 Using the Biome Status theme overlaid on the Biomes theme, or by using two data frames to compare Biomes and Biome Status maps simultaneously, create a JPEG layout (like you did for Africa earlier in the lab) of the continent or region that includes some of the biome that you think should receive priority for conservation. To accomplish this, use the layout view and zoom in on the region that includes the biome you selected for conservation. Make sure that your layout includes titles, legends, your name and any other relevant information. John Stewart