Tad VandenBrink Environ 111.005 Biome Lab 2.15.06 Question 3.b.1 What trends do you see in natural forests versus plantation forests around the world? 1. The general trend that I am seeing more natural forests then plantation forests. Although this is not true for the entire world. Some of the countries do have a plantation forest that dramatically outnumbers the natural forests. Countries in the Middle East and the north eastern part of Africa (particularly Egypt) have a large percentage of forest plantations. The availability of water and the unfavorable natural climate for forests in these reasons may be why there are more plantations than natural forests. Question 3.b.2 What trends do you see in rates of deforestation around the world? Please be specific about which areas of the world are showing forest loss and speculate on why this might be occurring. Many of the larger countries like the United States, Brazil, Russia, Australia and the majority of Europe have even forest deforestation and reforestation. Yet, all of Central America and the Caribbean, except Cuba, have a negative deforestation. Reasons for this may be that the people may not be aware of what they are doing. They don’t realize what is at stake and no government actions have taken place to limit deforestation. Also, the countries here have little percentage of their land protected. Another thing is that in Mexico, to keep down urbanization, land is being given to poorer people to occupy, which then leads to deforestation to clear the land. Another area is the southern part of South America (Chile, Argentina, Uruguay). Argentina and Chile both have a low percentage of land protected by the government (Uruguay has 0%). This means a small number of the forests are protected which could lead to high deforestation. Another area is sub-Sahara Africa. Here the rate at which deforestation occurs may not be able to be countered by reforestation because of the climate. Question 3.b.3 Which regions of the world have the greatest number of threatened plants? How does deforestation rate correspond with threatened plants? The regions are southern Central America and the Caribbean, the northwest, west, and southwest side of South America, southeast Asia including Indonesia and Malaysia, and Central east and west Africa including Madagascar, and then Portugal. I expected to see the areas with high deforestation having the most threatened plants, but there were also several countries which had a reforestation or even balance that had a large number of threatened plants. Even an area like China, which was blue for reforestation had a large number of threatened species. Yet, places like Mexico that had deforestation had no threatened species, so it is hard to find a trend. Deforestation Figure 1.1 Population and Urbanization figure 1.2 Population Demographics figure 1.3 Question 3.b.4 After comparing different field values, do you think there is a relationship between threatened plants or deforestation with population? Provide evidence to support your claims with screenshots of your maps examining different fields within the data. The trend that I am seeing is that areas with low urbanization and population have a higher rate of deforestation. This is particularly the case in sub-Sahara Africa. Here there is a low population of people, and a low level of urbanization (figures 1.2 and 1.3). If you compare these areas to where there is a high percentage of forestation, the countries match up. Also, if you look at southern South America (Chile and Argentina), the population and urbanization are lower than other areas of the world. Also, these areas have a higher percentage of deforestation. Now look at areas with high urbanization and high population. China fits this criteria. When looking at figure 1.1 Deforestation, China has a positive reforestation percentage. This case also proves true for the United States and other populated-urbanized nations throughout the world. So for some countries the trend is that for more populous countries with more urbanization, the deforestation is low. Yet, other factors we may have to look at are how developed the country is and the economic state of the country. Mexico for example is highly urbanized, and has a middle range for population, but it has a negative deforestation rate. Question 3.b.5 Using Figure 3.b.8, in which biomes do you find most of the threatened plants? Which biomes do you find the greatest increase in human population? Which themes and field values did you use to answer this question? The biome with the most threatened plants is the Tropical Evergreen forest of the western part of Africa, northwest South America, and Indonesia and Malaysia. Biomes with the greatest increase in human population are the tropical deciduous forest of Mexico and part of India and Southeast Asia and sub-Sahara Africa which is the hot desert biome. The field values is used were the population demographic of 2002 and then to 2025. I looked at which countries changed color showing population increase, and then compared those countries to what biome it has in it. Question 3.b.6 What trends do you see in the cereal production since 1992? Why might there be missing data for the countries in the former Soviet Union? Some trends are that for some of the more agriculture countries like the United States had an increase in cereal production. The trend that I found interesting was the increase in cereal production in Africa, particularly sub-Sahara Africa. Several countries like Niger and Mali had an increase, along with the northeastern part of Africa like Egypt, Sudan, and Libya. This may be a direct effect from the Green Revolution that used technology from developed countries in developing countries to increase yields. There may be missing data from countries that were former Soviet Union because data may not have been collected during this time. The countries were still developing after the break up in 1992 and many of the countries may not have collected data because of the break. Question 3.b.7 Do you see a relationship between deforestation rate and change in cereal production since 1992? What might be happening in countries that do not follow the same pattern? After looking at the map I came to the conclusion that a relationship may be that countries with increase cereal production often had a decrease in deforestation. Argentina, Mexico, and Sudan for example all had increases in cereal production, but their deforestation rate were negative. This is especially the case for many countries in Africa. Other than countries in the Sahara, and a few others, the majority of the continent saw increase in cereal production and decreases in deforestation. This could be a direct affect of the Green Revolution to increase crop yields in African countries. Countries that do not follow this pattern may have not grown crops that produced larger yields or were unable to successfully take care of the crops with proper care (more fertilizer, irrigation, etc). Cereal Production and Deforestation Question 3.b.8 How do the distribution of the Earth’s grasslands relate to changes in cereal production? Where do you see exceptions to this pattern? The relationship that I am seeing is that areas with larger concentrations of grasslands had usually a cereal production increase. These areas included The United States, Southern South America, North Central Africa, and Australia. An exception to this relationship was Asia, especially in China. Here there was a large amount of grasslands but no too little change in cereal production. Cereal Production and Grassland Concentrations Question 3.b.9 Based on the status of each biome, which biomes do you think are most at risk from human pressures? Which biomes should receive priority for conservation? Why? What strategies could be implemented to better protect Earth’s biomes? The most at risk biomes are the Temperate Broadleaf & Mixed Forests, Temperate Grasslands, Savannas & Shrublands, and a lot of the Tropical & Subtropical Moist Broadleaf Forests. The biome that should receive the highest priority for conservation is the Tropical & Subtropical Moist Broadleaf Forests because this biome contains some of the highest distribution and population of animal life that lives in no other biome. It also plays a vital role in the climate of the Earth. Areas where this biome is located is South America, Central Africa, Southeast Asia, Indonesia, and Malaysia. Some strategies that could be implemented to better protect the Earth’s biomes are to first bring world wide education to what the destruction of these biomes mean. Show the affects it could have on the world and future generations. Governments of the world’s nations should then create world wide joint policies that protect large and necessary areas of specific biomes across the world. They need to be protected and the only way to insure their safety is to make laws prohibiting their destruction and hire people to enforce these laws. It will take a lot of money but to ensure the safety of the biomes it is worth it. Technology will continue to make this easier by creating systems used to monitor critical biome areas and to find alternatives to such things as woods that are a large part of the destruction of biomes. Question 3.b.10 Using the Biome Status theme overlaid on the Biomes theme, or by using two data frames to compare Biomes and Biome Status maps simultaneously, create a JPEG layout (like you did for Africa earlier in the lab) of the continent or region that includes some of the biome that you think should receive priority for conservation. To accomplish this, use the layout view and zoom in on the region that includes the biome you selected for conservation. Make sure that your layout includes titles, legends, your name and any other relevant information