Economic discussion paper 2011/05 THE BELGIAN LAW ON COMPETITIVENESS: A POOR EXCUSE FOR A EUROPEAN LAW ON WAGES To pursue cost competitiveness, Europe is in the process of setting up mechanisms and regulations that intervene in wages and wage setting institutions at national level. In this context, a rather peculiar argument is being made. This argument claims that trade unions across Europe should learn from the 1987 Belgian law on competitiveness, which forces private sector wage dynamics in Belgium to stay closely in line with wage developments in Germany, France and the Netherlands. The argument continues that if Belgian trade unions have managed to cope with such a law for more than two decades, why shouldn’t trade unions across the rest of Europe be able to do so now? This is a very disingenuous argument. The comparison between the Belgian law on competitiveness on the one hand and the proposals for a Competitiveness Pact and European Economic Governance on the other hand is deeply flawed, and this because of two reasons. I. The social ‘checks and balances’ from the Belgian system are totally missing in the European proposals. The Belgian arrangement is not simply about ‘streamlining’ collective bargaining. Its underlying logic is very much to strike a deal on wage growth in exchange for progress on the social side of things. Maintaining the system of wage indexation. Belgium is one of the relatively few countries in Europe, indeed in the world, which has a more or less generalized system of automatically indexing wages – with some corrections - to past inflation. This is a major social feat that, for Belgian trade unions, cannot be stressed enough. It means that the purchasing power of workers is protected from real wage cuts. It means that all workers are guaranteed nominal wage increases, irrespective of the willingness of employers to engage (or not) in new collective bargaining agreements. It means improving the bargaining position of trade unions since all bargaining already starts from increased nominal wages. Essentially, wage indexation provides a good basis for all workers to share in the benefits of economic growth and explains, together with the existence of a decent social security system, why inequality in Belgium is relatively limited. Returning to the core of the matter, there’s an implicit but strong understanding in the Belgian system of collective bargaining that the process of streamlining Belgian wages with developments abroad goes hand in hand with the principle that wage indexation as a basic instrument for social cohesion is to be maintained. Both are like Siamese twins: Wage indexation and the law on competitiveness cannot be separated from each other. It’s about competitiveness and jobs and social benefits. A second social balance was added in 1996, when the initial competitiveness law from 1987 was substantially reformed. At that time, trade unions insisted on the point that simply focusing on wages provided for an incomplete and false picture. In those cases where trade unions from neighboring countries did agree to some form of wage restraint, this was usually done in exchange for something else such as business and/or government commitments on social benefits (pensions, early retirement, unemployment benefits), on jobs (hiring workers in disadvantaged positions), on training and/or on investment programs for economic recovery. This was recognized by transforming the 1987 law on competitiveness into a law ‘on maintaining competitiveness and jobs’. From 1996 on, comparisons between Belgium and neighboring countries are no longer limited to wages but also involve the issues of employment, investment, social, and research and innovation policy. This provides Belgian trade unions with a platform to discuss the policy engagement that employers and governments should make in return for the potential commitments on wages. In the past, this enabled trade unions to negotiate on improvements of unemployment benefits, pension benefits, and minimum wages as well as on commitments to keep early retirement systems. In short, the Belgian system rests on major social –economic balances. In this respect, the European approach could not be more different. Any positive or social counterpart for workers and trade unions is totally lacking: Neither the Competitiveness Pact nor the Economic Governance proposals are about coordinating wage dynamics in exchange for maintaining and building strong and representative systems of collective bargaining. On the contrary, they are about imposing a tough discipline on wages by dismantling and weakening collective bargaining systems (decentralization, squeezing public sector wages, questioning wage indexation mechanism). This will lead to even higher inequalities since the deregulation of wage formation systems will mainly impact on those workers who are the most vulnerable and are already the lowest paid. The European proposals also bar social deals by which wage dynamics are put in the balance with social expenditure or investment in employment policies. The intention is not only to block wages but also to weaken everything else from unemployment benefits systems, over early retirement systems, to cuts in public services and investment budgets. Trade unions, when trying to obtain some counter commitment, will find governments and employers refusing by referring to the ‘iron discipline’ of European economic governance. All of this also implies that the European proposals will unbalance the institutional arrangements now existing in Belgium. Business would be given a huge advantage. Their negotiating position would go through the roof: European wage comparisons and recommendations will be used to lecture trade unions that new wage agreements are not affordable while at the same time demanding to abolish wage indexation systems, early retirement and everything else that provided a social counterweight for wage coordination. II. Belgium is not Europe. Belgium is a very open economy, highly dependent on exports and highly integrated in the production chain supplying German and French industry. Belgium is also a rather small economy. The latter implies that aligning domestic wage dynamics with wage developments in the three surrounding neighbors does not pose much of a systematic risk for the stability of wage dynamics in the entire sub region. Belgium is too small an economy for German or French wages to react and “retaliate” to a Belgian strategy of wage moderation. However, imposing the type of wage comparisons made in Belgium on a European level is an entirely different matter. It’s not only the fact that a wage moderation strategy that is initiated by one or two big Euro zone members would most likely be copied by others. A European wide system of wage comparisons would actually force member states to follow other member states in shifting to a strategy of wage moderation and wage cuts. This is because the trade weights that are used in these wage comparisons reflect the fact that Europe is an integrated marketplace, with members mainly trading with each other: Any improvement in the wage cost position by one member state will immediately and automatically be reflected in a worsening of the relative wage cost position of other member states. Such a generalized system of competitive wage comparisons at the European level will organize the race to the bottom in a structural and systematic way. III. Conclusions Trade unions around Europe should categorically refuse the argument that the Belgian law on competitiveness may serve as a reference for a European ‘Competitiveness Pact’. The social balances that are part and parcel of the Belgian system are totally lacking in the European level arrangement. Moreover, Europe is quite a different league than Belgium. It is perverse to copy wage comparisons towards the European level: Such a European law on competitiveness will systematically set up wages and workers across Europe against each other. Europe is supposed to prevent member states from undercutting each other not to promote this sort of behavior. RJ/ETUC/18th March 2011, Brussels