CHAPTER 10 PROBLEMS 1. The Japanese example gives pause to those who believe that protectionism is always disastrous. However, the fact of Japanese success does not demonstrate that protectionist trade policy was responsible for that success. Japan was an exceptional society that had emerged into the ranks of advanced nations before World War II, and was recovering from wartime devastation. It is arguable that economic success would have come anyway, so that the apparent success of protection represents a "pseudo-infant-industry" case of the kind discussed in the text. Two of the industries that many people most strongly associated with Japan’s success, automobiles and consumer electronics, were not among those favored by Japanese industrial policy. 2. a. The initial high costs of production would justify infant industry protection if the costs to the society during the period of protection were less than the future stream of benefits from a mature, low cost industry. But this is, of course, the same problem faced by any new firm. Most new entrants obtain private financing. Those who argue for infant-industry protection must show that there is a failure of the capital markets to finance sound investment ideas. If this market failure exists, then the best policy would be to correct this failure by establishing capital markets. If this cannot be done, then financing might be encouraged by, say, government loan guarantees or direct loans from the government. Trade barriers to protect the infant industry would be a second-best solution, at best. Once such protection is provided, it may be politically very difficult to remove. There are many examples of industries that received protection that have never matured, such as steel or automobiles in India, or worsted wool in the US. b. An individual firm does not have an incentive to bear development costs itself for an entire industry when these benefits will accrue to other firms. There is a stronger case for infant industry protection in this instance because of the existence of market failure in the form of the inappropriability of the benefits from technological progress. 3. Import substitution policies rely on the protected home market to develop new industries. Countries like Brazil have larger markets. Some firms or industries there could realize economy of scale selling to the domestic market. Of course, this assumes that the problem of too many entrants, as encountered in Argentina’s automobile market, can be avoided. The market of Ghana would probably be too small to realize either internal or external scale economies. 4. The value of the marginal product of labor in the production of food is 9 x $10 = $90. a. The wage will be equated in each sector when there are no distortions. This occurs when there are 8 workers in manufacturing and 12 in food production. The wage of all workers will be $90. The output of each sector can be found by calculating the area under the marginal product of labor curves. This curve is a horizontal line for food, so output in this sector is 12 x 9 = 108. Summing the area under the MPL curve for manufacturing up to 8 workers results in output of 110. b. Manufacturing output shrinks to 3 workers, and there are 17 workers in the food sector. Food output now equals 153 while manufacturing output equals 54. The cost of the distortion equals the value of output lost, which is $110. c. The probability of being employed is 1 - (n+3/n) = 3/n where n is the number of city workers. Workers will migrate to the city until the wage times the probability of being employed equals the wage offered in the rural area with certainty. There will be 5 workers in manufacturing, 15 workers in agriculture, and 2 unemployed workers. The output of the manufacturing sector is 54 and for food is 135. 5. Under these circumstances, workers are both "pulled" into the urban, "modern" sector by the lure of high wages and "pushed" from the rural areas due to stagnant conditions in the agricultural sector. To correct this problem of the bias toward the urban-manufacturing sector, explicit attention should be paid to making the agricultural sector more rewarding, In order to retain labor, the agricultural sector might be provided with wage subsidies so that the rural-urban wage gap is reduced. Policies can also be targeted at promoting light rural enterprise and agricultural investment which would increase wages through increasing worker productivity. In addition, development of the rural infrastructure and social services might increase the relative attractiveness of the countryside. 6. Import quotas on capital-intensive goods and subsidies for the import of capital equipment foster the development of a capital intensive sector, and thus of a dual economy. If the capital-intensive sector pays high wages relative to the traditional sector, the result may be rural-urban migration and the emergence of persistent urban unemployment.