INDICATORS & PUBLIC ACCOUNTABILITY IN INDIA AUTHOR : VIJAYENDRA N. KAUL, C&AG OF INDIA Public Accountability & Audit 1. In India public accountability entails accountability not only of the executive to the elected legislative bodies but also of the subordinate public agencies to the executive. In particular, financial accountability is realized through budgetary control including proposals for taxation and public debt and demands for grants being voted in the legislatures and reporting of expenditure in the form of accounts. . Accountability & Performance auditing 2. There has been a progressive shift of stakeholder concerns beyond budgetary control and regularity of public expenditure to the outcome and impact of State’s interventions in the development process. In deference to stakeholder interests, SAIs have also started devoting greater resources to performance auditing. Apart from the economy and efficiency in use of resources in government programmes and schemes, performance audits also evaluate effectiveness of performance in relation to the achievement of the objectives of the audited entity and audit of the actual impact of activities compared with the intended impact. Performance auditing & indicators 3. Critical to evaluation of the effectiveness of government programmes and activities is the adoption of an appropriate criteria for evaluating performance. Presence of a widely accepted system of indicators in economic, social and environmental areas would provide a uniform set of criteria not merely for performance audits by an SAI but also evaluation by other agencies (external and internal). Unfortunately there is no comprehensive system of performance indicators available in many countries. Divergent practices continue to be followed by independent evaluators, national governments and 1 multilateral agencies. The inconsistent quality of statistical information within & across countries currently leaves scope for divergence of views on performance evaluation. This leads to widely divergent conclusions regarding the extent of success of government interventions. Therefore, there is need for development and acceptance of a selected set of indicators to inform civil society and support wider communication with the public. 4. Such a set of indicators would facilitate the understanding of the mutual inter-dependence of various policies/programmes; assessing the position and progress of the economy over time, across the countries and across the regions within a country; providing crucial guidance for decision making in identifying and transition towards sustainability, and providing information to general public in forms that non-specialist’s can relate to and thus strengthen the accountability mechanism of governance. Need for indicators : SAI India’s case 5. The Comptroller & Auditor General of India is mandated to audit all the expenditure and receipts of both the federal and provincial governments, all commercial enterprises where government have a majority equity stake and all other organizations which are substantially financed by grants from the government. The audit is not restricted to regularity and compliance and has progressively been oriented towards evaluating performance of the various programmes and schemes undertaken or funded by the Government. 6. In order to prioritise its activities and audit efforts, SAI India has formulated a Strategic plan 2003-08 which is premised on evaluation of the various programmatic interventions of Government so as to promote accountability and encourage effective utilisation of resources. The five themes selected for this Plan reflect the priorities of the Tenth Five Year Plan adopted by the Government of India. The theme of human development incorporates social sector programmes of poverty alleviation, health services, population stabilisation, literacy and education, nutrition, food security, and, improvement of disadvantaged and vulnerable groups. The theme of economic liberalization includes fiscal management, tax reform, management of subsides and privatization. The theme of infrastructure modernization includes power sector, ports, roads, railways, communications and hydrocarbons. The theme of technology upgradation covers information technology and biotechnology. The theme of sustainable development includes environmental legislation, multilateral environmental agreements, air & water quality, waste management etc. 7. The primary objective of the audit efforts of SAI India will be on assessing the efficiency, effectiveness and economy of the various schemes and programmes funded by the government and make recommendations for improving performance. Presence of a set of key indicators in each of these areas would go a long way in making the performance audit results more reliable and acceptable. Indicators & result based budgeting 8. Indicators play a more critical role in organizations that have moved to result based budgeting e.g. UN agencies The key identifying feature of results-based budgeting is that the emphasis is on the 2 outputs to be produced (reports, studies, conferences, etc.) and consequent outcomes, as opposed to input budgeting where the defining feature is an emphasis on the inputs (staff, materials, equipment, etc.). The orientation towards either outputs or inputs is important at all stages of the budget process (programming, budgeting, implementation, monitoring and evaluation). However, the most important determining factor here is the initial budget proposal stage as this sets the output pattern and framework for all subsequent stages. 9. Almost all the UN agencies have moved to result based budgeting. A similar trend is also evident among national governments. In such contexts, clarity and consensus on indicators is extremely necessary. Furthermore if indicators become integral to stakeholder reporting, independent and external verification (equivalent to assurance on financial statements) should become essential. A comprehensive system of indicators would infact supplement accounting standards and disclosure norms in such an environment. Nature of Indicators being used in India 10. In its aspiration to quicken the pace of development and to raise the economic well being of its people the Government of India has been following a path of centralized economic planning. This entailed planned commitment of resources to realize objectives on which there was political consensus. Both the establishment of goals and evaluation of the success of the plans needed indicators and reliable statistical information on those indicators. Hence, ad hoc indicators sets were developed early in the country and used for monitoring government expenditure. However, no system for comprehensive monitoring of the economy through reliable indicator was in place. 11. Indicators and statistical information was generated at two levels. At the first level, information on the performance of the Government is generated and disseminated by economic and social ministries and departments of the national and provincial governments by way of either an administrative byproduct or specifically designed periodic or ad-hoc surveys. In addition, there are centralized agencies such as the Central Statistical Organization (CSO) and the Programme Evaluation Organisation which compile, collate and analyze information about a host of parameters of national importance both as policy inputs to planning or development interventions or as the outcome of past programmes. The issues of symmetry of information by this centrally located evaluation agency and the requirements of better cooperation with the implementing department are addressed through Coordination Committees, set up for each evaluation exercise, which have representatives from line ministries/departments and other stake holders and subject matter specialists as their members. 12. Another source of statistical information on national indicators has been the decadal population census which have been in vogue in India since 1881. It has emerged as one of the most comprehensive sources of demographic information down to the village level. Besides the head count of population, the census also collects and provides information on status of houses as residential and non-residential, information on occupation by age, sex, marital status, social status, educational level attained, economic activity, fertility trends and migration. Census also validates the data generated by Central Registration 3 System (CRS) which makes registration of births and deaths mandatory. Population is used as a common normalizing factor to make parameters like revenue, expenditure, income, infrastructural availability, etc., scale neutral. Social indicators 13. Comprehensive indicators have been designed in health and education sectors. Annual Health Information Index by the Department of Health and Family Welfare provides information on vital statistics, infant mortality rates, life tables, prevalence of communicable diseases, coverage of population under family welfare programmes, number of health care units at primary, referral and specialty and super-specialty level, medical and paramedical persons, etc. National Samples Survey Organisation (NSSO) of CSO in their consumption expenditure surveys of household also provides information on expenditure of household of health related aspects. Ministry of Human Resource Development provides information on teaching institutions, teachers, examination results, enrollment, educational inputs and physical facilities. Information is also provided by NSSO on household expenditure on education and literacy levels. However, there has yet been no move to adopt International Standard Classification of Educational Statistics proposed by UNESCO and as such international comparability of many education related indicators is still absent. Economic Indicators 14. NSSO through their quinquinial surveys undertaken every five years since 1972-73 provides most comprehensive set of data on employment. It provides estimates of number of employed according to the activity status and their estimates of numbers of employed according to the activity status and their social, demographic and economic characteristics. Director General Employment and Training also provide information on employment in organized sector, but for informal and unorganized sector, NSSO surveys are the ultimate source. 15. NSSO generates household consumption expenditure data akin to the Family Living Surveys in most other Countries through specific surveys since 1950-51. These are extensively used in studies on levels of living, disparities in levels of consumption, cross section and time series analysis of consumer behavior, incidence of poverty, etc. In recent years, the survey data have become extremely important for the measurement of absolute poverty and head count poverty ratios. Department of Rural Development had initiated Below Poverty Line surveys for their poverty alleviation programmes to assess their numbers. The consumption surveys for selected class of population have also been in vogue. The Labour Bureau in the Ministry of Labour has been conducting Family Living Surveys since 1958-59 for industrial workers to draw their weighting diagram for Consumer Price Index (CPI-IL), which is also used as an inflation index for organized sector wage indexation. 4 Environmental Indicators 16. In addition to the two broad groups of social and economic indicators, some institutional and environmental indicators are generated. Environmental indicators relate to pollution levels, pollution control measures, air and water quality, forest cover, etc. Human Development Report 2001 17. A major initiative was undertaken by the Planning Commission of India in 2001 to put together seventy indicators and three composite indices to evaluate the development process. The Report focused on three critical dimensions of well being, namely, ability to live a long and healthy life; the ability to read, write and acquire knowledge; and the ability to enjoy a decent standard of living and have a socially meaningful life. An extensive state level data base was prepared covering around seventy indicators. The entire data set has been compiled for at least two points of time; early eighties and early nineties. 18. An attempt was made to capture the process of development from two perspectives- conglomerative perspective, capturing advances made by the society as a whole and the deprivational perspective, assessing status of the deprived. Statistics was therefore also compiled for the elderly, working children, disabled and violence and crime against women. Similarly separate information was captured for women, people residing in rural areas and those belonging to so called lower castes. For most indicators gender and Rural-Urban gaps were estimated. 19. The Report also attempted three composite indices. A Human Development Index which incorporated inflation and inequality adjusted per capita consumption expenditure, a Human Poverty Index encompassing longevity deprivation captured by the indicator persons not expected to survive beyond age 40 years; Composite indicator on educational deprivation and Composite indicator on economic deprivation and a Gender Equality Indices using the same methodology as HDI. 20. The data has been presented in a unique manner, through ‘development radars’, which gives a snapshot view of the structure, the growth and the gaps vis-à-vis desired normative levels, in respect of eight different indicators covering attainments on education, health, economic well being and access to amenities. It not only helps in simultaneously assessing attainments in different aspects of quality of life, but is equally useful in identifying the areas of gaps for facilitating an informed policy focus at the State level. The development radars overcome the criticism often directed at the use of subjective weighing techniques to combine diverse social indicators into composite indices of human development. 21. Despite its contextual significance in aptly capturing the concerns of our people, the Human Development Report and its indices were not able to address the growing importance of environmental issues. They were also not able to integrate several aspects of sustainability. A mapping of the indicators used in the HDR with those of OECD and CSD is placed at Annexures I and II respectively. Developing a preliminary Sustainable Development Indicators framework for India 22. In another initiative, the task of formulating a comprehensive set of Sustainable Development Indicators has been taken up by the Government of India. This has been a follow up to the decisions taken 5 at the Rio and Johannesburg summits. The formulation of a comprehensive set of indicators takes on a great complexity in the Indian context. The first major problem is definition of a set of indicators which are relevant throughout the country, especially in view of different socio-economic and environmental concerns in the urban, rural and other geographical regions. The second issue is addressing data requirements for aggregation of local indicators at the national level. 23. Work has already been done by several agencies across the World in formulating indicators of sustainable development. These would provide some guidance but the final framework will need to address the specific circumstances of the Indian reality. The alternative models are presented in the succeeding table. Initiative World Development Indicators State of the Environment (SoE) reports World Resources Framework Six sections: Worldview, People, Environment, Economy, States and Markets, and Global links United Nations SoE framework based on PSR approach Environmental Program World Resources Assessment and analysis of the state of various Institute ecosystems Human Development United Nations Critical analysis of a specific theme each year to Report (HDR) Development Program assess the state of human development World Health Report World Health Presentation and expert analysis of indicators of Organization (WHO) health systems and status International OECD in partnership Indicators that gauge progress towards Development goals- with the UN, World development goals selected from a series of UN indicators of progress Bank and IMF Conferences held during the decade of 90s. Indicators of sustainable Commission on 134 indicators organized in Driving force-Statedevelopment Sustainable Response (DSR) framework-replaced by 4 Development (CSD), dimensions (economic, social, environmental, United Nations institutional) 24. Organisation World Bank While most attempts capture indicators relating to specific themes, the indicator programme undertaken by the UN CSD has a larger mandate of developing a framework for ‘indicators of sustainable development’. This programme was initiated in 1995 in response to Agenda 21 which called for harmonized efforts towards developing indicators of sustainable development that could provide a basis for decision making at all levels. The main objective of the CSD Work Programme was to make SDI (sustainable development indicators) accessible to decision- makers at the national level, by defining them, elucidating their methodologies, testing them and providing training and other capacity building activities. Audit of Indicators 25. The CAG of India has been making use of indicators widely in international audit assignment particularly in cases where resulted based budgeting has been adopted. However, use of indicators for audit in the domestic context has not been on a systematic basis. This is primarily because a comprehensive set of key indicators have not been determined for purposes of reporting, planning, clarifying policy objectives and for budgeting and assessing performance. As stated earlier there is a 6 proposal to adopt a comprehensive set of sustainable development indicators. We envisage a distinct role for an SAI once this is done. 26. Apart from the usefulness of indicators to SAIs in discharge of their performance audits, indicators could themselves be objects of audit scrutiny of SAIs. For instance, SAIs might look to see whether indicators: a) Have policy relevance, which means that they must be easy to interpret; show trends over time; respond to changes in driving forces; and have threshold or reference values against which progress can be measured. b) Are analytically sound, for example based on a clear understanding of the goal of sustainable development; c) Are measurable, that is, no matter how attractive the theoretical construct, if an indicator cannot be measured at reasonable cost, it is not useful. d) Are able to aggregate information. The list of potential sustainability indicators is endless but for practical reasons, indicators that aggregate information on broader issues may be more manageable. e) Are able to capture the context and process. The relevance of any indicator lies in the context that it captures- an augmented agricultural productivity could convey both an improvement in soil quality and an unsustainable increase in the use of chemical fertilizers. For an indicator to be useful in understanding the dynamics of sustainability and decision making, it should be able to capture the underlying processes and context which can be made possible only through the involvement of stakeholders. f) Are sensitive enough to detect a small change in the system. Even where indicators represent stock values such as literacy level, these should be chosen such that these are sensitive to tracking developmental changes at more frequent intervals of time. Thus those indicators should be used that are sensitive to capturing changes on an annual basis as against those which capture only the accumulated attainments. g) Use reliable data, from a credible source. h) Consisting of small set which is manageable Performance audits using indicators and targets 27. If targets and associated indicators are found or thought to be technically sound, comparisons between them should reveal the progress that has been made. The scope of audit can be as under: (a) If the deadline of the target has already passed, an audit can simply comment on whether the target has been achieved. Audit attention can then shift towards explaining why the target has or has not been achieved, or the cost and efficiency of the policies used to attain the target, or any unintended consequences of those policies. 7 (b) If the deadline is still some way off, then an audit should focus on whether the target is likely to be met if current trends continue. Indicators – Issues for the Auditor 28. SAIs will need to address the following issues while taking up this new challenge: (a) Role of SAI in developing indicators: should Audit take proactive action like Government Accountability Organisation of USA (GAO) or review them after they have been developed? GAO organized a Forum associating academics and other stakeholders on the issue of key national indicators. This will have the advantage of a prior consultation and consensus between the auditor and auditee. (b) The extent of reliance to be placed on indicators in devising performance audit plans and in assessing performance of government programmes. For instance, rather than audit a specific programme or scheme, SAI could select all the programmes and schemes related to a key indicator. (c) Should performance indicators be reviewed as a part of financial audit, particularly if the audited entity adopts results based budgeting and discloses information on performance indicators as a part of financial statements? (d) How much reliance should the audited entity and audit place on quantitative performance indicators vis-a-vis qualitative evaluations? (e) Should the SAI review the process of developing performance indicators or comment on the relevance and appropriateness of the indicators? (f) How should an SAI deal with situations where there are disagreements among experts regarding indicators, reliability of statistical information and the resultant performance evaluations? (g) Should an SAI restrict itself to validating the process involved in achieving targets of a key indicator rather than the value of the indicator? The latter may require techniques and resources not available with an SAI. (h) SAI will need to be cautious in using indicator values in drawing inferences regarding efficacy of government programmes since several programmes and extraneous factors would impact indicator values. 8 ANNEXURE-I Mapping of NHDR with OECD indicators Goals Economic well being OECD Indicators 1. Incidence of extreme poverty 2. Poverty gap ratio 3. Inequality 4. Universal Primary Education Gender equality 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. Infant and Child mortality Maternal mortality 10. 11. 12. 13. Reproductive health 14. 15. Environmental sustainability and regeneration 16. 17. 18. 19. 20. 21. Child malnutrition: prevalence of under weight under 5s Net enrolment in primary education Completion of 4th grade of primary education Literacy rate of 15-24 year olds Ratio of boys to girls in primary and secondary education Ratio of literate females to males Infant mortality ratio Under 5 mortality ratio Maternal mortality ratio Births attended by skilled health personnel Contraceptive prevalence ratio HIV prevalence in 15 to 24 year old pregnant woman Countries with effective process for sustainable development Population with access to safe water Forest cover as a % of national surface area Biodiversity: land area protected Energy efficiency – GDP per unit of energy use Carbon dioxide emission Reference to NHDR indicator Incidence of poverty - ****** Inequality adjusted per capita consumption expenditure Inflation and inequality adjusted per capita consumption expenditure Nutrition Net enrolment ratio Drop out ratio Adult literacy ratio Literacy rate (contains details for boys and girls separately) Adult literacy rate (contains details for boys and girls separately) Infant mortality ratio Under 5 mortality ratio Maternal mortality rate Births attended by health professionals Birth delivered in medical institutions Couple Protection ratio - *******-********- Access to safe drinking water Forest cover - ****** Per capita consumption of electricity Air pollution 9 ANNEXURE-II Mapping with CSD indicators Theme SOCIAL Equity Health Education Housing Security CSD Indicators Reference to NHDR indicator % of population below poverty line Gini Index of income inequality Incidence of poverty Inequality adjusted per capita consumption expenditure Incidence of unemployment - ****** - Unemployment rate Ratio of average female to male wage Nutritional status of children Mortality rate under 5 years old Life expectancy at birth Percent of population with adequate sewage disposal facilities Population with access to safe drinking water Percent of population with access to primary health care facilities Immunization against infectious childhood diseases Contraceptive prevalence ratio Children reaching Grade 5 of primary education Adult Secondary Education Achievement level Adult Literacy rate Floor area per person Number of recorded crime per 100,000 population Population Population Growth rate Population of urban formal and informal settlements ENVIRONMENTAL Atmosphere Emissions of greenhouse gases Consumption of ozone depleting substances Ambient concentration of air pollutants in urban areas Land Arable and permanent crop land area Use of fertilizers Use of agricultural pesticides Forest area as per cent of land area Wood harvesting intensity Land affected by desertification Area of urban formal and informal settlements Oceans, Seas Algae concentration in coastal and coasts waters Percent of total population living in coastal areas Annual catch by major species Nutrition Under five mortality rate Life expectancy at birth Access to toilet facilities Access to safe drinking water Fully vaccinated child aged 12-23 months Couple protection rate Gross enrolment ratio Net enrolment ratio Intensity of formal education Adult Literacy rate Distribution of households according to number of rooms occupied Rate of total cognisable crime Population growth rate -*****- -******-*****Air pollution -*****-*****-*****Forest cover -******-******-******-******-*******-******- 10 Fresh water Biodiversity ECONOMIC Economic structure Annual withdrawal of ground and surface water as percentage of total available water BOD in water bodies Concentration of faecal coliform in freshwater Area of selected key ecosystems Protected areas as a % of total area Abundance of selected key species GDP per capita Investment share in GDP Balance of Trade in goods and services Debt to GNP ratio Total ODA given or received as a percent of GNP Consumption Intensity of material use and production Annual energy consumption per and patterns capita Share of consumption of renewable energy sources Intensity of energy use Generation of industrial and municipal solid waste Generation of hazardous waste Management of radioactive waste Water recycling and reuse Distance travelled per capita by mode of transport INSTITUTIONAL Institutional National Sustainable development framework strategy Implementation of ratified global agreements Number of internet subscribers per 1000 inhabitants Main telephone lines per 1000 inhabitants Expenditure on research and development as a percent of GDP Economic and human loss due to natural disasters -******- -******-*******-*******-*******-*******Per capita net state domestic product -*******-*******-*******-*******-*******Per capita consumption of electricity -*****-*****Urban solid waste -*****-*****-*****-******- -******-******-*****-******-******-******- 11