1 Building a new (constructivist) institutionalist conception of Multi-Level Governance within European monetary policy Abstract This paper proposes to build on existing new institutionalist work by developing a conception of Multi-Level Governance (MLG) theory that takes account of institutional dynamics. In order to do this, I first analyse the potential ontological and epistemological compatibility between theories of institutionalism (building on Aalberts’ (2004) conclusion that only constructivist readings are compatible with the logic of MLG), before exploring the implications for an analysis of the European arena. The outcome is the development of a new and distinctive typology of MLG, which delineates three distinct types of theory within the existing literature – of structure, of agency and of metatheory. Existing literature posits a conception of governance that is implicitly institutionalist: Marks and Hooghe (2001), for example, suggest that the ‘Europeanised’ institutional culture fostered within the Commission is instrumental in conditioning policy outcomes. I extend this analysis to take account of a case study that is exceedingly underdeveloped in the MLG literature: that of the ‘Eurosystem’, the institutions responsible for governing monetary policy within the Eurozone. Building on the work of Loedel (2002) I develop a multi-level analysis that emphasizes the idiosyncratic role of historical and cultural development on the constitutive institutions, in generating governance processes. The outcome provides insights into the theoretical model and the empirical case. Introduction: an institutional hole? Multi-Level Governance has gained sufficient traction in a relatively short space of time to now be considered amongst the mainstream of integration theories. Furthermore, as Aalberts (2004, p.27) comments, the focus of MLG has steadily shifted to accommodate the complexity of the European Union as an established and evolving institution: ‘it has changed position from explanandum to explanans’. 2 However, MLG as a well-recognised theory does suffer some weaknesses of under theorisation. In some respects, this can be viewed as a sign of strength. Multiple levels of authority are now present in so many spheres of European decision-making that MLG can be seen in practice as almost axiomatic, and not requiring of greater theoretical specificity. But for the sake of explanatory clarity, it is helpful to consider precisely what we mean by ‘multi-level governance’ – and this is by no means always obvious. The two aspects specifically of concern in this paper are as follows. Firstly, the ontological purchase of MLG is unclear, and at times downright ambiguous. Does it refer to constructed reality, or a set of external rules and procedures that can be observed without prejudice? Secondly, and relatedly, there is a lacuna in MLG concerning how institutions are independently accounted for within a networked governance relationship. MLG is an institutionalist theory without a thorough conception of what influence and character institutions have. This paper, therefore, explores the insights institutionalism can lend to a multi-level analysis of the European Union. The argument proceeds in three parts. Firstly, I discuss Multi-Level Governance theory and identify the reasons why it may be productive to think that there is an under theorisation of institutions; secondly the varying forms of existing institutionalist theory and introduced, and their relative compatibility with a MLG model evaluated; finally, this conception is applied to the empirical example of monetary policy creation in the Eurozone. The most important of the institutions in this case are the European Central Bank (ECB) and National Central Banks (NCBs). These institutions are collectively known as the European System of Central banks (which incorporates all NCBs in the EU), or Eurosystem (only those NCBs that are a member of the Eurozone). Using these institutions allows analysis of the proposition that MLG contains an implicit idea of institutionalism, without an adequate conception of how institutional distinctiveness conditions behaviour and policy-making practices. The empirical conclusions drawn are necessarily initial. The idea of there being an institutional hole within the multi-level governance literature is itself quite unusual. One of the only prior works on the subject is by Awesti (2007), who posits in a highly novel paper the existence of several types of multi-level governance theory, in accordance with their different institutional conceptions, presenting ‘three types of 3 MLG emerging from different institutional processes’ (p.19). I take up this argument although suggest something subtly different. Rather than there being types of multilevel governance which accord with the strains of new institutionalist literature, I suggest that 1) there is an implicit sense of institutionalism within all meanings of MLG, 2) that this is inadequately expressed and dealt with within the confines of MLG, and 3) that this institutional hole is in some sense necessarily constructivist in character to accord with the extant ontology of MLG theory. This final point is not dissimilar to Aalberts’ (2004) argument that in the context of sovereignty, it is only possible to accept a MLG interpretation if one accepts the essentially constructed nation of statehood. In a similar way, a MLG approach is only compatible with institutionalism if we take those institutional norms to be essentially constructed, rather than positivist evidence of the ‘facts’ of institutional character. What matters is what institutions, norms and relationships are perceived to be. Indeed, this constructivist institutionalist approach is relevant to MLG regardless of how strictly one wishes to use it. It is possible to conceive of the ‘institutional hole’ as ontologically distinctive and therefore congruent only with a constructivist institutionalism, or more broadly epistemologically interpretivist and therefore analytically apprehendable from several strains of the institutionalist literature. This is an important difference from Awesti’s argument insofar as I do not conceive of there being multiple ‘types’ of (institutionalist) MLG – only a single problem that is more or less well accounted for by existing strands of new institutionalism (a point developed in Section II). I. An ontological typology of Multi level Governance In the relatively short timeframe of the last (nearly) two decades, MLG has become quite ubiquitous as both a descriptive and explanatory term of European integration. It is thus quite difficult to rehash the MLG literature without resorting to trite descriptions, but it is necessary to offer some summary of the field, since the conclusions arise from the theory’s genesis and relative omissions. Of course it is perhaps disingenuous to speak of MLG in the singular (‘it’): as is the case with almost any theory given time to propagate and develop through the work of several authors, 4 MLG encompasses different perspectives. Nevertheless it is (surprisingly) cohesive, perhaps a reflection of the limited number of authors who have truly defined the field. In short, MLG is a theory of spatial and functional governance in the European Union. Bache and Flinders (2004) in their seminal book explain it thus: ‘‘multi-level’ referred to the increased interdependence of governments operating at different territorial levels, while ‘governance’ signalled the growing interdependence between governments and non-governmental actors at various territorial levels’ (p.3). Marks and Hooghe (2001, p.1) state that MLG ‘describes the dispersion of authoritative decision making across multiple territorial levels’. They attribute the drivers of this trend to Europeanization and regionalism, the combination of which pulls apart the functions of governments from a single locus of control to an enmeshing of different actors and institutions, all of which are interdependent. However, speaking of ‘multi level governance’ can be quite unhelpful in so far as it can mean several things. There is the body of theory explaining Multi-Level Governance (‘meaning three’ in my typology). But this is a function of an assumed state of multi-level governance, which the theory seeks to gain purchase on. Finally, this state can also be considered the product of the behaviour of agents involved in the constituent institutions. These can be considered ontologically distinct, in so far as ‘structural’ explanations are usually taken to be consistent with a positivist approach (and associated foundationalist ontology). Indeed, this ambiguity has a bearing on the third dimension (theory), as it renders MLG theory ontologically ambiguous. These three usages of the term are unacknowledged in the literature, possibly because much of it is very successfully practice oriented. And given that the theory does seem to offer good empirical purchase, it is often viewed as unnecessary overkill in political science to probe the ontological assumptions too deeply. As Hay suggests, there is value in doing so ‘as a way of achieving a degree of reflexivity about the categories we deploy as analysts’ (2009, p.893). I argue that as MLG has moved towards the mainstream, reflexivity about the parameters of the theory has, as yet, been lacking. Whilst ambiguity does exist, it requires clarification purely for the sake of rendering explanations clearer. More fundamentally, a lack of ontological explication is a contributory factor in the ‘institutional hole’: as 5 institutionalist theory has grappled with competing notions of institutional form and change, it has had to confront its own ontological divergences (Hay 2006b). Dealing with the representation of institutions within a (multi-level) network, therefore, also requires clarifying what institutions, and multi-level governance, are. The table below therefore expands on the typology of meanings alluded to above, as a starting-point in developing an ontological typology. Three meanings of MLG Type Ontology Epistemology One Agency-focussed, centred on the constructivist interpretivist (state) perceptions and relationships of actors Two Structural and constitutional, (state) concerning the type of, and foundationalist Positivist or interpretivist interactions between, institutions Three Metatheory, describing the (theory) development of a European polity N/A N/A First, there is a strand of MLG that can be viewed as state of agency, or action and interaction, whereby relationships and partnerships take on multi-level characteristics, which are exhibited through the understandings and behaviour of the relevant actors. MLG as a body of work arose initially from the studies of authors such as Gary Marks and Liesbet Hooghe on policy processes. Within these studies, the idea of ‘agency / policy process’ MLG has arguably been the dominant form of analysis – particularly where ‘Europeanization’ is concerned. This strand of analysis persists still (see, for example, Bache 2004), and is concerned with the degree to which policy management (increasingly) involves adjudication between actors within a spatial governance network. This therefore raises an essentially analytical question – ‘has national government control over EU decision making been compromised by European integration?’ (Hooghe and Marks 2001, p.4) and by the ‘system of continuous 6 negotiation among nested governments at several territorial tiers’ (Marks 1993, p.392). Secondly, MLG can be used as a descriptive empirical term referencing the structure of government within the EU (cf. George 2004), which defined the European Union as a multi-level polity, connecting trends of decentralisation and supranationalism. As Awesti summarises, in recent times there has been a shift whereby ‘rather than theorising the EU as a process of integration, [it] came to be viewed as an existing [multi level] political system in its own right’ (2007, p.2), and worthy of interpretation as such. This conception is independent of, and logically precedes, MLG as a theoretical position. It is a purely descriptive term, which can be used simply to detail an institutional (structural) framework, without necessitating any inferences about the relative power dynamics of the actors within them. Without this understanding of the practical constraints such an empirical condition creates, it is perhaps of limited usefulness – and as such ‘descriptive MLG’ rarely appears in the literature without explicit theoretical overtones. As such, there is a requirement for a third classification of MLG, as a state theory, which serves to analyse these twin factual propositions. My conception of this third condition is not dissimilar to the idea Jessop posits as ‘multi-level metagovernance’ (2004), which describes and theorises on the ‘state’ (albeit a Europeanised state which does not reflect traditional conceptions of territory) (Aalberts 2004). Jessop’s argument is quite distinctive – that the history of theorising in European integration has hitherto been distinguished by ‘state- and governance- centric approaches’ (2004, p.49) (of which MLG is an example of the latter) and that this is less relevant than metagovernance, which synthesises the two. I do not claim to replicate his argument in full, in that I contend that MLG can be increasingly seen as a form of state theory rather than one of pure governance – although accept his contention that this division can be transcended through the idea of ‘metagovernance’ as an appealing one. Nevertheless, classifying MLG as a ‘governance’ approach in opposition to ‘state theory’ arguably understates the degree to which MLG makes structural statements about the nature of the polity. 7 These three classifications are certainly not unrelated and indeed, often appear simultaneously. But it is important to draw this distinction partly because MLG (with its twin analytical strands) has arisen relatively recently, arguably significantly later than the point at which the empirical or descriptive phenomena of MLG (or at least aspects of it) might be taken to have originated. Indeed it is almost certainly the case that some form of multi-tiered governance existed before MLG theory was conceptualised (in 1992, by Gary Marks, in response to the impact of the 1988 structural fund reforms) given the number of policies that retrospectively can be seen as having substantial impacts on the nature of the Euro-polity – for example, the Single Market programme. Furthermore, as with any theory developed through inductive reasoning, MLG as a state or condition must logically and factually precede MLG as a state theory, and be independent of it1. These three notions of MLG contain different ontological and epistemological conceptions. The second, ‘structural’ proposition is almost analogous to classical pluralism and certainly accords with the behaviouralist epistemology most usually associated with that state (see Dahl 1957, 1961, Smith 2006). This states that ‘observable behaviour, whether it is at the level of the individual or the social aggregate, should be the focus of analysis; and any explanation of that behaviour should be susceptible to empirical testing’ (Sanders 2002, p.45). This is problematic in exploring a concept such as Europeanization, which may be at least in part the product of unobservable mechanisms or the constructions of actors (ontological realism or constructivism). In ontological terms, the ‘structural’ theory accords most closely with foundationalism, which ‘is an ontological position…it is the contention that there are aspects of the world that are independent of our knowledge of them’ (Bates and Jenkins 2007, p.59)2. The propositions made by this conception of MLG ought to be visible and measurable – although the degree to which the measured results may be considered substantively valid depends on whether one subscribes to the acceptability of the first face of power as a substantive measure (on which see the criticisms of Bachrach and Baratz (1962) and Lukes (1974)). At least in the thesis stage – whether the theory subsequently has a dialectical impact on the nature of the target it analyses is another argument altogether. 2 Although the term ‘foundationalism’ as a description of this position is very much contested, as Bates and Jenkins show. 1 8 Conversely, what I term the first meaning of MLG (agential), builds from a conception of reality created by the understandings of its actors. This would accord with what Fay terms (1996, p.30-34) ‘ontological atomism’ (in which the social world is comprised of separate individuals who self-constitute without reference to structural forces – contrasting with ‘ontological structuralists’, which argues the opposite). It is, resultantly, epistemologically constructivist in that it ‘argues that there are no extra-discursive forms of knowledge’. (McAnulla 2005, p.32). As a result, analysis of this first meaning would require investigation through less positivist means than suggested under the second meaning. It thus takes implicit account of the influence of the second and third faces of power, which may only be accessible (in so far as it is accessible at all) as a function of the understandings of actors. This indicates the kind of qualitative research conducted by, for example, Hooghe and Marks in their study of socialization in the Commission (2001, chapter 9) – which is itself a piece of thoroughly institutionalist research, although not explicitly framed as such. It perhaps requires emphasising that this three-fold classification is distinct from the typologies employed to date in the literature, and is not to be confused with the more usual ‘Type I/ Type II’ classification developed by Hooghe and Marks (2001). This, conversely, is a territorialized distinction (rather than one of structure / agency) distinguishing between Type I (which is, broadly, federalism or intergovernmentalism) and Type II, which conceives of many fragmented and overlapping jurisdictions. This is without doubt an enormously useful classification to policy analysis but is less useful in developing MLG as a reflexive body of theory. Indeed, that is not the purpose. My classification also self-evidently differs from Awesti (2007) in that it is not conceived of as an application of different branches of institutionalisms, but rather as a means of carving out space in which an institutionalist understanding might be more fully developed. II. Bringing institutionalism in The approach to the gradations of MLG put forward above is perhaps slightly unorthodox, but arguably a more explicitly institutional approach to network governance is long overdue. This claim is not in itself new. Aside from Awesti’s 9 argument (2007), it is one similar to that made by Peters and Pierre in 2004 in their contribution to Bache and Flinders’ book. They write specifically on democratic involvement within a multi level framework, arguing that institutional idiosyncrasies do not disappear because institutions are compelled to work together. Peters and Pierre do not adopt institutionalist theory as an explicit means of analysing and resolving this issue, making the use of institutionalism to develop MLG’s purchase on the topic a department from the existing literature. Peters and Pierre do however identify the problem of institutional neglect in MLG in a similar manner: The institutional ‘grip’ on political processes within the state and between domestic and supranational actors, although recently relaxed, remains strong and can be further strengthened by the state if and when considered necessary….Institutions, not processes, are the vehicles of democratic and accountable government, hence we should only expect institutions not to surrender their leverage to contextually defined and ad hoc models of governing. (Peters and Pierre 2004, p.75-6). Further, I aim to show that this institutionally informed MLG aids analysis of my empirical case: monetary policy. Given the critical (and often, where public minutes are produced, determinable) influence of each institution over policy outcomes, an undifferentiated MLG analysis runs the risk of under-theorising the idiosyncrasies and preferences of particular institutions (or people within an institutional context). Nevertheless, some form of multi-level analysis is undoubtedly useful in addressing the Eurosystem institutions’ relationships to one another. Given my dissociation of the three types of MLG, there is a need to be explicit about how these might be used to locate and resolve the institutional hole I lay claim to. In applying the typology to a case, it is empirically necessary to treat the third meaning (‘metagovernance’ or state theory) separately. As this facet is basically an expression of the existing theory of MLG, it is mostly a type of analysis, rather than observation. Jessop (2004), for example, explains the concept of ‘multi-level metagovernance’ as an expression of his Strategic Relational Approach, which is a meta-scale theory of social relations (and therefore a prism of sociological analysis, rather than a methodological tool or empirical descriptor). Whilst theory is necessary to analyse reality, it is a separate consideration from the ontological and epistemological claims one makes in initially grappling with a case. We therefore 10 return to the meaning one / meaning two dualism that remains, which can be most easily conceived of as a distinction between structure and agency. Both are frequently seen within the MLG literature, and often simultaneously. Perhaps the more obvious of the two to pick, to stake a claim to implicit institutionalism, would be the first (structural) perspective. The argument in this case would be that the individual institutions, their differences and idiosyncrasies, are not adequately accounted for on an empirical level within the multi-level framework. This is probably a relatively straightforward claim to make and indeed it is similar to the argument put forward by Awesti, who attempts to tease out historical, rational choice and sociological institutionalist insights from an MLG framework. He states that: ‘new institutionalism’s view of political actors as being constrained by the institutional framework within which they operate, immediately correlates with an understanding of MLG as essentially a challenge to the notion of EU policy making as being a process controlled by the member states (2007 p.9)’. Awesti therefore presents a nice conception of MLG as a process of re-envisioning or remoulding the (institutional) structure and form of the state. However, to this process one must add the behaviour of actors within these institutional arenas, as Awesti also intimates. It is thus useful to draw on both meaning one and meaning two, in examining the insights that can be drawn from the potential behaviour of actors within institutions, and the institutional cultures that foster these choices. In order to do this, however, one needs first consider the range of possible institutional perspectives that might be used within an MLG framework. II. Compatible institutionalisms Institutionalism is a tricky theory to grapple with, in no small part because it is not a single theory. Aspinwall and Schneider (2000) date the emergence of ‘an institutionalist turn in political science’ (the title of their article) to March and Olsen’s (1984) and Scharpf’s (1985) papers concerning the importance of the institutional rules regulating decision-making procedures on political outcomes. In the case of Scharpf’s influential piece, this argument is applied to European integration, to argue that the grand theories take insufficient account of these institutional contexts in 11 determining the velocity and direction of the integration process 3. March and Olsen speak more generally of the ‘new institutionalism’ and its significance for political science. More recently authors such as Bulmer (1997) and Pierson (1996) have applied a new (historical) institutionalist perspective to the process of European integration, in a manner not dissimilar to Marks and Hooghe’s work (2001) tracing this same phenomenon from a multi-level perspective. There is, therefore, some compatibility between the two approaches, at least in their mode of application. From the initial proposition of a singular ‘new institutionalist’ viewpoint, several competing institutionalist models have rapidly emerged. Indeed, the diversity of this theoretical parting is so significant that institutionalist theorists cannot even agree on the number of different institutionalisms that exist. Aspinwall and Schneider (2000) posit three forms, in common with Hall and Taylor (1996), while Peters (1998) suggests there are at least seven: thus, identifying the means by which an ‘institutionalist’ perspective may be of use can be difficult. Whilst I cannot claim to do justice to this literature in the space I have available, it is important to outline the different strands of institutionalism that may have the most relevance to the empirical case. The above authors all agree on the existence of distinct strands of rational choice and historical institutionalist literature, and tend to identify sociological institutionalism as the third significant strand. I do not follow this typology exactly; in preference to sociological institutionalism I explore the relevance of constructivist institutionalism due to the latter’s more explicit statement of its ontological perspective (Hay 2006a, b). There are undoubtedly vast chasms that separate these different strands (whether one views them as epistemological, as Aspinwall and Schneider claim, or ontological, as Hay (2006c) argues). This makes it all the more necessary to discuss their potential analytical compatibility with existing theories of multi level governance as a means of developing the treatment of institutions within the literature. Perhaps the most used perspective on economic policy-making is Rational Choice Theory and the associated Rational Choice Institutionalism. Pollack (2006) in his 3 Interestingly, MLG is also a response to the oversights of the Grand Theories, another point of intersection. 12 article on Rational Choice and EU politics, states that RCT ‘contains three essential elements: (1) methodological individualism, (2) goal-seeking or utility-maximization and (3) the existence of various institutional or strategic constraints on individual choice (p.32). As Pollack shows, the assumptions of RCT create a highly restrictive notion of human choice, which results in an almost determinist set of preference options. The criticisms of RCT’s general and behavioural assumptions have been extensively articulated by many authors, but particularly relevant is Hay’s 2004 paper which critiques the ontological underpinnings of RCT and its use and abuse in public administration. Hay concludes that RCT is only defendable as a predictive science in so far as one is willing to accept the inherent structuralism that results in rendering actors capable only of rational decisions: ‘if the ‘choice’ is rational it is not a choice at all’ (p.40). This makes RCT difficult to reconcile with multi-level governance theory (or, indeed, any network approach) due to an emphasis on contingency, conditional interests, and complex relationships occurring within a socialised context (see Hooghe and Marks 2001, ch. 9). Aside from these ontological difficulties an RCI analysis poses, it simply makes little empirical sense to examine an institution such as the ECB (which embodies so many differing constitutional logics, and so many conflicting political expectations and interests) through the lens of rationalism. It would be highly restrictive to only afford the actors of the ECB’s governing board one mode of decision-making – and not to mention rather perverse, given the politicisation of the institution, to regard the ECB’s deliberations as the sole product of rational or optimal preferences. Finally I turn to historical and constructivist institutionalisms4. Referring to them concurrently is intentional – although it is indubitably problematic to speak of them in the same breath, not least due to their differing ontological basis (Hay 2006c). However, as with the evident similarities between rational choice and economic institutionalism, historical and constructivist institutionalism share a similar approach and a common genesis. The latter has arisen very much as a supportive critique of the former, based upon the ontological position stated in early historical institutionalist 4 I am not covering sociological institutionalism (on which see Awesti) or discursive institutionalism, which may be regarded as mostly analogous to constructivist institutionalism. 13 work such as Thelen and Steinmo (1992). To take Hay’s critique, historical institutionalism has proved limiting in that it a) provides a better account of institutional formation than post-creation change; and b) increasingly relies on material and social circumstance to explicate preference formation (2006c). Constructivist institutionalism attempts to overcome these deficiencies by restating the role of actors’ understandings of their institutional context in determining institutional flux. Secondly I think there is a natural fit with constructivist institutionalism – and a cause for greater consideration of historical institutionalism – as a means of realising greater institutional understanding within MLG. Arguably the first attempt to state a cohesive theory of MLG is that of Hooghe and Marks in 2001(as Aalberts puts it, they ‘present an overview of and elaborate the essential features of the approach by bringing together several strands of writing’ (2004, p.27). Their conclusions about the impact of ideational constructions, and the role of norms in socialising agents into European institutions, prefigure much of the work being currently conducted within constructivist institutionalism (see in particular Blyth 2003). In this respect, there is a very strong implicit understanding of a constructivist institutional perspective embedded within MLG. They state, for example: One must look beyond the commission itself to find the institutional contexts in which Commission officials operate. The Commission is just one element of a multifaceted institutional environment; it is enmeshed in a system of multi-level governance that softens the shells of institutions and induces those in diverse institutional settings to connect with one another. There are several ways in which institutional settings may influence the preferences of Commission officials. (2001, p.149) As argued above, MLG theory is often equated to the form described as ‘meaning one’ within my typology, in which agents’ perceptions and relationships are critical in maintaining a functioning governance network across jurisdictions. This agentcentred institutionalism would seem therefore to be a very good fit. Nevertheless, the founding logics of the ECSB were so critical in determining its functioning (heavily bounded, as it is, by constitutional rules determined through protracted politicking) that taking an historical perspective is very much called for. This is particularly the 14 case given the relative newness of the supranational institutions governing Eurozone strategy. Given the similar (constructivist) epistemology shared by both historical and constructivist institutionalism, it is productive to bear both in mind when considering the genesis of Eurozone monetary policy management. III. Monetary Policy in the Eurozone Monetary policy organisation in the European Union is at once institutionally simple and complex. The Euro area’s monetary system is organised around a hierarchical structure of interdependent institutions. This consists of the European Central Bank (ECB) and National Central Banks (NCBs), which together form the European System of Central Banks (ESCBs). The ECB and NCBs of Eurozone countries are referred to instead as the ‘Eurosystem’, to distinguish between the two. The Maastrict treaty (Treaty of the European Union) envisaged that all states would join the Euro and there would be, in effect, no non-Euro area. The Eurosystem arose as a rather ad hoc response to the monetary division of the EU, and the two now hold seperate committee meetings with 'Most of the tasks conferred upon the ESCB by the TEU...handled by the Eurosystem' (Trichet, 2009). Outside the Eurozone, NCBs have monopoly over interest rates and control of the money supply – as required by Article 108 of the Maastricht Treaty, which states that NCBs cannot ‘ask for or accept instructions from any other body…member state governments must respect this principle and must not seek to influence the ECB or the national central banks’. Eurozone monetary policy is in the hands of the governing council of the (supranational) ECB, abetted by NCBs. The 17 governors of the Eurozone’s NCBs, in turn, sit on the ECB’s governing council with the ECB’s Executive Board, which consists of the ECB’s President and Vice-President and the four other (technically qualified) members. These members are appointed by Qualified Majority Voting within the European Council. Monetary Policy in the EU 15 There is therefore a clear two-level character to the governing structure of Eurozone policy, and one which is most strongly expressed through the personnel and governing relationships formed within this framework. However applying an MLG perspective to this subject, whether institutionalist or not, ought to require one to suggest the reasons why the policy framework may be credibly described as multilevel, rather than simply two-level. However, it is perhaps fair to say that the subnational tier is sometimes less prioritised within MLG theory itself 5, due in part to the sovereignty argument (as detailed by Aalberts 2004). The policy making role of subnational governments does involve power brokering with national governments under a zero-sum conception (see, for example, Bulpitt 1983), but they plainly do not challenge the Westphalian notion of sovereignty as confined within a state. Supranational institutions and co-decision making between states, however, do: ‘even if national governments want to maintain national sovereignty, they are often not able to do so…national governments do not determine the European agenda because they are unable to control the supranational institutions they have created’ (Hooghe and Marks 2001, p.28). Indeed, specifying the role of the subnational level within a multilevel polity is not something that even Marks and Hooghe (2001) consistently achieve. For example, when defining the concept of MLG, they state: 5 Although for exceptions, see, for example, Bache 2004, 2008. 16 First, according to the multi-level governance model, decision-making competencies are shared by actors at different levels rather than monopolised by national governments. That is to say, supranational institutions – above all, the European Parliament, the European Commission, and the European Court – have independent influence in policy making that cannot be derived from their role as agents of national executives. (2001, p.3). While this definition appears to ignore the potential independent role of sub national actors, it is worthwhile to at least consider the incorporation of sub national actors within the monetary framework, as recipients of power from supranational actors or units to be taken account of within the policy making process (whether or not they are directly involved). On this basis, there does appear to be grounds for further analysis. Subnational – in particular, regional – governments may not have formal representation within the ECB, but they appear to be implicitly considered (particularly where they have a democratic mandate, in which the ECB itself is lacking (Verdun 1999)). The subnational level is also considered important within monetary policy theory. One of the most prominent of these is Optimal Currency Area theory (see, for example, Mundell 1961), which considers the conditions under which a currency union is likely to be successful. This suggests that the creation of a single currency without regard to national borders ought to increase the political and economic salience of the region as an economic area. Whilst referring to an abstract theory might seem odd grounds for evidence, OCA was highly influential in the design of EMU, in particular in generating the Convergence Criteria (Levitt and Lord, 2000, p.58, Maes 2004, p.17) Indeed, the ECB’s remit to manage the whole currency area, as per OCA theory, implies a consideration of the risks of (regional) asymmetric shocks when determining policy, which erodes the nation as a distinctive unit of economic analysis. The practical governing requirement to work towards the attainment of price stability (sub 2% inflation) throughout the Eurozone as a whole (without undue consideration of the variation in national economic conditions between member states), also lessens 17 the prominence of national governments relative to their sub- and supra- national colleagues. Further, the centralisation of monetary policy implies the need for a more activist fiscal policy throughout the Eurozone in order to compensate for suboptimal local monetary conditions. OCA theory and fiscal federalism imply this is on occasion best delegated to subnational level (Hallerberg et al. 2009). Indeed, in many Eurozone members, this is precisely what does happen in practice (for better or for worse, in the case of certain subnational authorities with large deficits and correspondingly poor credit ratings, such as the cities of Florence, Madrid and Istanbul). There is therefore a good case to be made for suggesting that the monetary framework is multi-level, and the empirical evidence would appear to suggest a form designated meaning two in my typology. The next step, then, is to develop this as institutionalist conception. In order to achieve this it is necessary to consider the extent to which an institutionalist understanding is a) necessary, b) lacking in the existing MLG conception and c) suggested by the empirical case study. The ECB is a particularly interesting institution to consider with respect to this question. As Loedel (2002) suggests, its strong institutional independence might be perceived as a challenge to multi-level governance, because the ECB’s legal and functional independence may mitigate against the kind of institutional inter-reliance described by MLG. Loedel, however, goes on to discredit this argument, concluding that ‘the ECB does seek to carefully balance supranational, national and even local levels of interest in its policymaking process’ (2002, p.1260. Moreover, the ECB’s independence is constitutional, rather than a product of the personnel involved. Indeed, the majority of governing board (17 out of 22) are strongly involved with the nation states through their role as governors of the NCBs. Lorenzo Bini Smaghi (2007), in a speech concerning the independence of the ECB, specifies four conditions for personal independence of the governors: term of office; professional qualifications; political affiliations; and collegiality. Notably absent from this list is any check on territorial affiliation. It can therefore be expected that the institutional culture (‘collegiality’) determining Eurozone monetary practice is critical in holding the institution together. It is likewise axiomatic that the rules of the institution, and their collective interpretation6, are Not always the same thing – the Bundesbank for instance was notorious for having a deeply vague and contingent definition of the price stability target. (Connolly 1995, p.253). 6 18 enormously influential in determining the form of policy (in particular, the target of sub-2% inflation). This echoes the conclusions of Marks and Hooghe (2001, ch.9) examining the socialisation of European Commission members. More importantly in the context of my argument, it is strongly redolent of the work of authors such as Blyth (2003) and Hay (2006b) on constructivist institutionalism. In its simplest form, this states: ‘Actors are strategic, seeking to realise certain complex, contingent and constantly changing goals. They do so in a [institutional] context which favours certain strategies over others and must rely upon perceptions of that context’ (Hay 2006c, p.6). Furthermore, constructivist institutionalism is strongly predicated on notions of disequilibria (again in common with MLG, as Marks and Hooghe (2001) state that ‘multi-level governance may not be a stable equilibrium [as] there is no explicit constitutional framework’ (p.28)). Hay provides an endogenous account of institutional development: 'it is not just the institutions, but the very ideas on which they are predicated and which inform their design and development, that exert constraints on political autonomy' and influence processes of change (2006a, p.65). It is difficult to avoid the fact that the idea of the ECB – its mythologisation as a beacon of independence, an historic first, a long-desired means of uniting Europe – is utterly central to its institutional culture and to its functioning. However it should not be forgotten that the ECB’s principles, of which institutional independence is the centrepiece, were the central result of some (often fraught) political negotiations between the member states (Connolly 1995). Constructivist institutionalism provides an excellent account of the ECB’s prominence within a multi-level structure of Eurozone monetary policy. However, an endogenous account of change is less of a good fit in analysing why that structure came about. Indeed, the type of multi-level politics which now condition the institutional codes of practice within the Eurosystem do not necessarily account for the constitution and institutional culture of the ECB – which is to say, whether agency was responsible for this structure coming about in the first place. To analyse this conundrum, we return to Hay’s critique (2011) of historical institutionalism as being more apt to explaining the creation of institutions than their 19 subsequent evolution. In this piece, Hay suggests that the core problem with historical institutionalism is the inability of its analysis to transcend a narrow subset of empirical conditions (with constructivist institutionalism arising as a means of offering a broader and more encompassing idea of change). However, if this empirical case does fall within this subset, historical institutionalism may be entirely appropriate (if less generalisable in its approach). It is worth considering the genesis of the ESCB in more detail to determine the utility of examining the prominence pathdependent processes (see Pierson 1996) in the inter-governmental politicking that contributed to the creation of the Eurozone. These structural logics are potentially as important as the need to foster and negotiate multi-level cooperation (meaning one MLG) in determining the behaviour of institutional actors. At the very least, they deserve greater attention within a multi-level framework that is assumed to be sufficiently important to condition behaviour within institutions. To outline some of the conditions (or empirical subsets) under which a historical institutionalist analysis is relevant to the ESCB, one need only consider the different processes through which NCBs and the ECB have formed. NCBs were created, and have developed, within their national contexts and until relatively recently remained extremely variable and idiosyncratic. Cukierman (2008) dates the emergence of a homogenised, relatively independent central bank within Europe to the early 1990s and the imposition of Article 108 TEU in 1992; prior to this there was little consistency in trends towards independence within the EU 15, with several banks little more than adjuncts of government. As such, the NCBs can be expected to have very different nationally located attitudes to their function and position within the ESCB. To take the two most infamous examples, prior to 1999 the Bundesbank was notoriously vocal in their disagreements with the German government, and their political expectations of how the Bundesbank should act in supporting the ERM, whereas the French government were able to monopolise and dominate the relatively supine Banque de France (Connolly 1995). For the NCBs one could expect that path dependencies have shaped their current form (at least in so far as they are free to vary from the constraints of Article 108) but this has also been the case, albeit in a different way, for the ECB. 20 The experiences of NCBs prior to 1992 – in particular, the Bundesbank’s independence – strongly conditioned the proposals for the ECB and shaped expectations of its form. As Hayo (1998, p.242) has it, ‘the German Bundesbank Law is often cited as an example for the design of a ECB’. There was an economic rationale for placing monetary policy into the hands of an independent body: what Goodman describes as the desirability of banks’ operations not to ‘conform to their governments’ agendas’ (1991, p.329). Indeed, this literature often features the performance of the Bundesbank as part of the empirical evidence (on the debate concerning independent central banks prior to the TEU see, for example, Alesina and Summers 1993). However, there is also a rationale that can be attributed to ECB independence based upon political expediency. Hooghe and Marks (2001, ch. 4) discuss the reasons national leaders diffuse authority, concluding that ‘shifting some authoritative competence away from the central state may relieve a government leader from the burden of responsibility for it’ (p.72). This may explain why the decision was taken, but it is also the case that the design of the Euro and ECB explicitly placed operational control of the currency as far distanced from the influence of member states’ governments and citizens as possible to avoid the national monopolization of policy decisions (Verdun 1999). The political wisdom of this decision has been extensively questioned (not least in the preceding article) but it is undoubted that this presupposition, and the experience of the Bundesbank and other NCBs, decisively influenced the remit and executive functions of the ECB. Member states argued extensively over the form of EMU, and it seems that the operational form decided upon best represents an attempt by each member state to tie the hands of the others, within a negotiating context that was heavily determined by the historic development of banking institutions and the European Union itself. Conclusion There appears to be a case for the existence of a multi-level framework within Eurozone monetary policy, and one that is strongly influenced in practice by its institutional configuration. Furthermore, both the structural and agential components of this framework interact to produce policy outcomes. 21 This therefore supports the principle aim of this article, which was to develop a coherent typology of extant meanings of Multi-Level Governance, to suggest that these meanings support the need for greater explicit (constructivist) institutionalism within an MLG framework, and to run this logic through the example of Eurozone monetary policy. I argue that multi-level explanations can (and should) be bolstered by a consideration of how institutions function within a multi level network, and how their constitutions and tasks are constructed and understood by those who operate within them. Of the institutionalisms, I conclude that only the two (historical and constructivist) with interpretivist epistemologies are appropriate to consider for further development of MLG. In this respect, the paper’s conclusions are distinct from forerunners such as Awesti (2007), who identified multiple institutional ‘forms’ of MLG. By identifying the existing ontology and epistemology present in the MLG literature through the ‘meanings’ typology above, I contend that this is analytically inconsistent. The empirical example suggests that there is still much work to be done to build on this initial theoretical conception. There are two particular outstanding issues of judgement that would be especially conducive to further investigation: whether the creation and functioning of the ESCB best embodies meaning one or meaning two MLG (in my conception, that is, structure or agency), and whether constructivist or historical institutionalism are more appropriately accommodated within an MLG framework. In the case of the latter, this particular empirical subject would suggest that both are relevant to filling in the gaps of a multi-level analysis, and since both share a constructivist epistemology, the synergy is not analytically incompatible. Indeed, for work outside of the Eurozone, this is in effect the important conclusion – it may be the case that both are alternately appropriate in different circumstances, but provided the constructivist compatibility is maintained it is not critically important which is chosen. Nevertheless, if this institutionalist conception of MLG is to be developed into a more comprehensive general model, it might be worthwhile to incorporate one or the other for parsimony’s sake. In the case of Eurozone monetary policy, further primary research is called for to determine the relative weight of path dependency and socialised constructions to 22 determine which is the more significant influence on the ECB’s policy makers. However, the theoretical conclusions of this paper show that there is clearly something to be gained by applying institutionalist logics to European monetary policy – and also by using the ESCB as a formative and representative case study of institutional norms and behaviour. MLG depends on a conception of institutions in order to account for how multi-level practices work, but this has remained underdeveloped to date. This paper sets an agenda to suggest how that might be rectified. 23 Bibliography Aalberts, T. 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