PROBLEM SET 4 PROBLEMS FOR AGG. DEMAND-AGG. SUPPLY MODEL (HANDOUT AND CHAPTER 5) AND INTRODUCTION TO MONEY 1. What factors will shift the short-run aggregate supply curve? What factors shift the medium-run aggregate supply curve? 2. For each of the following, determine whether the aggregate demand curve shifts or the short-run aggregate supply curve shifts. Draw a separate graph to illustrate each situation (Mark the initial equilibrium so that all three curves cross at the full-employment output). Show clearly what happens to the inflation rate and real output/income in the short-run. a. A decrease in consumption spending. b. An increase in government spending. c. Wage costs increase less rapidly or fall. d. The prices of raw materials used in production increase more rapidly. e. A cut in income taxes that households pay. f. Energy prices increase less rapidly or fall. g. The money supply increases. h. Interest rates increase. i. Businesses expect that sales and profits will fall in the future (HINT: Consider the impact on investment spending). j. Imports decrease. k. Exports increase. Given what happens to equilibrium real output/income in the short-run in each part above, what will happen to equilibrium real output/income in the medium-run? How is long-run growth defined in the aggregate demand – aggregate supply model? Which of the following will cause positive long-run growth? Which will cause long-run growth to be negative? i. Labor productivity increases. ii. The capital stock increases. iii. Labor productivity decreases. iv. Technological change occurs. c. Using the aggregate demand – aggregate supply model, how do we illustrate positive long-run growth graphically? How do we illustrate negative growth graphically? 3. a. b. 4. Suppose the economy is in a recession. What is the major cause of a recession? What kinds of fiscal and monetary policies could alleviate the situation? Explain your answer fully. 5. Suppose the economy is experiencing higher demand-pull inflation. What is the major cause of demand-pull inflation? What kinds of fiscal and monetary policies could alleviate the situation? Explain your answer fully. 2 6. a. Suppose the money supply (M) is $1000 and velocity (V) is 4. Calculate the nominal value of national output (PQ). If the money supply (M) increases to $1200, what happens to the nominal value of national output (PQ)? If the money supply decreases to $800, what happens to the nominal value of national output (PQ)? b. Suppose the money supply (M) is $1000, velocity (V) is 5, and real output (Q) is 2500. Calculate the price level (P). Suppose V and Q stay the same, but the money supply increases to $2000. What happens to the price level (P)? ANSWERS 1. Changes in the rate of change in prices or costs of the inputs used in production shift the short-run aggregate supply curve. Changes in the amount of labor available for production and changes in the productivity of labor change the natural level of output the economy can and therefore shift the medium-run aggregate supply curve. Labor productivity changes when the amount of capital or the skill level of the average worker changes or when there is technological change. Another way to say this is that the medium-run aggregate supply curve shifts when there is a change in the amount of resources available for production or in the level of technology. 2. Arrows show direction relevant curve shifts and directions of changes in INFL and y. a. INFL MRAS b. INFL MRAS SRAS SRAS INFL2 AD' INFL1 E1 INFL1 E1 E2 INFL2 AD AD AD’ Y2 yn y yn y2 y 3 c. INFL MRAS d INFL SRAS MRAS SRAS’ SRAS SRAS’ INFL1 E1 INFL1 E1 AD e. INFL yn MRAS AD y f. INFL yn MRAS SRAS INFL1 y SRAS SRAS’ E1 INFL1 E1 AD’ AD yn g. INFL AD y yn MRAS h. INFL SRAS INFL1 E1 y MRAS SRAS INFL1 E1 AD’ AD’ AD yn y yn AD y 4 i. Same as h. j. Same as g. k. Same as g. In the medium-run, real output/income always returns to the natural level (yn). If y increased above yn in the short-run, in the medium-run it will decrease back to yn. If y decreased below yn in the short-run, in the medium-run it will increase back to yn. 3. a. b. c. Long-run growth refers to sustained changes in the amount of output that the economy can produce when it is operating at its natural level of output (i.e. changes in yn). Positive long-run growth (increases in yn): i, ii, and iv. Negative long-run growth (decreases in yn): iii. Positive Long-Run Growth Negative Long-Run Growth PL PL MRAS MRAS’ yn1 yn2 MRAS’ y yn2 MRAS yn1 y 4. Cause of recession: aggregate demand (total spending) is too low. Expansionary fiscal policy: increase government spending and decrease taxes; expansionary monetary policy: increase money supply. 5. Cause of demand-pull inflation: aggregate demand is rising too rapidly. Contractionary fiscal policy: decrease government spending and increase taxes; contractionary monetary policy: decrease money supply. 6. a. M = 1000: MV = $4000 = PQ M = 1200: MV = $4800 = PQ M = 800: MV = $3200 = PQ b. M = 1000: P = 2 M = 2000: P = 4