SKIPTON EXPLORATION LICENCE APPLICATION EXPLORATION WORK PROGRAM Background Predictive Discovery Pty. Ltd. (“PDPL”) was established as part of the commercialisation plans of the Predictive Mineral Discovery Cooperative Research Centre (“pmd*CRC”) in 2008. PDPL is a mineral exploration company employing the techniques and numerical modelling technology developed by the pmd*CRC during its 7 year term, which will be an exemplar for the predictive mineral discovery approach and will, hopefully, demonstrate to other Australian explorers the benefits of using the same methods. Geological rationale The Victorian orogenic gold deposits demonstrate strong structural control at the mine scale, and ore localisation at that scale can be well explained by application of MohrCoulomb geomechanical theory to the 3D geological geometries observed in these ore systems. Numerical modelling has been used very effectively to both explain ore localisation in Victorian gold deposits and make predictions of new gold ore occurrences (e.g. Schaubs and Zhao, 2002 and Potma et al, 2008). This work shows that dilation and focussing of fluid flow is the primary control on ore localisation at the mine scale. However the reason for deposit localisation at the terrane scale is less clear. Based on studies carried out during the pmd*CRC and its predecessor, the AGCRC, we suggest that the location of all orogenic gold deposits (Goldfarb et al, 2001) at the terrane scale is controlled by very large faults that have probably penetrated the entire crust. In Victoria, we believe that such structures are present but are less easily observed in the geophysical data than in some other terranes. Nonetheless, we suggest that a combination of geophysical analysis and observation of some other significant data sets can provide clues on deep structural controls on the location of the “next Bendigo”. In this regard, two important data sets are gravity and the granite locations. Gravity Work in the CRC has demonstrated that wavelet analysis of potential field data to produce what are colloquially known as “worms” (Hornby et al, 1999) can reveal aspects of deep structure which are not apparent in other types of data processing. In a pmd*CRC presentation dated 2 July 2007, Barry Murphy presented the gravity worm image shown here as Figure 1. This image shows a pair of broad somewhat diffuse NE trending worm trends which pass through both Bendigo and Ballarat (Figure 2). This suggests that rather than a single more NNE trending control underlying both deposits, there may be a more complex picture in the deep sub-surface. ___________________________________________________________________ Work program Skipton EL Application July 2008 page 1 Bendigo Stawell Ballarat Figure 1: Gravity worm image of Central Victoria (from Murphy, 2007) with locations of Ballarat, Bendigo and Stawell superimposed. Bendigo Stawell Skipton target Ballarat Figure 2: Worm image from Figure 1 with gravity trend lines and Skipton target superimposed ___________________________________________________________________ Work program Skipton EL Application July 2008 page 2 At the SW end of the trend line which contains Bendigo (Figure 2), there is a strong bend in the worm which lines up approximately with the NNW Stawell structural trend. This is just south of the Beaufort alluvial goldfield under basalt near Skipton. The presence of this bend offers a conceptual target for a large gold ore system, which will be the target of Predictive Discovery’s exploration program. Granites Plotting granite, granodiorite and porphyry ages from the Geovic GIS reveals a major change in granite ages along a trend that is very similar to the gravity worm trend illustrated in Figures 1 and 2. Figure 3 illustrates the location of that trend with calculated age dates above 380Ma shown in red and those older than 380Ma shown in dark blue. >380 to <380My granite age transition Skipton EL application Figure 3: Thematic map of Central Victoria produced using information drawn from the Geovic GIS and showing granites (magenta shades) with age date locations given as diamonds, colour coded dark blue for >380Ma and red for <380Ma, together with a NE trend which marks the transition from the older to younger granites. While the principal mineralisation age (440Ma) predates the granites, this transition between Late Devonian and early-Middle Devonian granite genesis suggest that there may have been a very large pre-granite basement control on partial melting in the lower crust and/or upper mantle. This feature may also have controlled (in part) the localisation of the largest gold ore system in Victoria and certainly seems to affect the orientation of some granite boundaries e.g. the western edge of the Harcourt Granite ___________________________________________________________________ Work program Skipton EL Application July 2008 page 3 and the western edge of the (largely concealed) granite body north-east of the Skipton EL Application (Figure 4). 0 10 km Figure 4: Granite outlines plotted using the Geovic GIS with the Skipton EL Application (in purple) superimposed on a grey shade gravity image, which illustrates a NE trending deep gravity low coinciding with some granite outcrops (in magenta). Figure 4 also shows that the above mentioned granite appears to be offset on a northwest oriented structure which may correlate with the Stawell structural trend. Exploration considerations Figure 5 shows that the nearly all of the EL Application area is covered by Quaternary basalt. Clearly, this will be a very difficult area to explore. For that reason, our target here is a giant gold ore system with a large footprint. A preliminary lithogeochemical study by Wilde et al (2004) suggests that a Bendigo-scale system will have a very large footprint (perhaps 10km across on a 50ppb rolling average cutoff) owing to the presence of overlapping zones of alteration surrounding lode gold systems. Use of a combined index using Au and As analyses (+/- Pb and K), the presence or absence of phengitic white mica and carbonate alteration should give a good indication as to whether a large ore system exists in the target area. A very large gold ore system should also give a significant hydrogeochemical anomaly. At least one hydrogeochemical study has already been conducted in a nearby area by Stawell Gold Mines with the assistance of CSIRO (Henham, 1994), and apparently generated useful results. ___________________________________________________________________ Work program Skipton EL Application July 2008 page 4 Beaufort Skipton 0 5 km km Figure 5: Skipton ELA showing distribution of Quaternary basalt (in pale yellow) and granites (in magenta) drawn from the Geovic GIS. We know from the Stawell example (Schaubs et al, 2006) that Cambrian basalt bodies can provide very useful rheology contrasts for the localisation of mineralisation. Detailed gravity measurements have been used effectively elsewhere in the State for detecting such bodies where concealed (e.g. at Kewell - Schaubs et al, 2006). The EL Application area is almost certainly underlain by Cambrian St Arnaud Beds and therefore the presence of Cambrian basalt bodies is certainly possible there. It is also conceivable that the Landsborough Fault extends southwards into this area, in which case there may be up-thrust basalt bodies located along it underneath the Quaternary basalt cover, as there are on the Avoca Fault further to the east. Clearly, the most important unknown for exploration in this area is the variability in thickness of the Quaternary basalt cover. Only one previous explorer, Carpentaria Exploration (1977-1981), has attempted to explore beneath the basalt in this area, and its focus was on deep leads. An examination of the relevant open file reports have shown that drilling encountered Cambrian bedrock at 60-70m in the vicinity of Lake Goldsmith in the eastern part of the ELA. ___________________________________________________________________ Work program Skipton EL Application July 2008 page 5 There is also a scattering of water bores through the area, most of which are 50m or less in depth. Apart from holes at the northern edge of the ELA where the Palaeozoic basement is shallow, only one hole appears to have penetrated through to the basement. This hole, State Observation Bore 62734 located 6km east of Stoneleigh (Figure 5) apparently reached sand (saprolite or alluvium) at 106.5m (see Appendix 1). Proposed work program and timing The foregoing explanation provides clear guidance for the future exploration program. The sequence of actions and their likely timing are as follows: Year 1 – regional scale studies o Identify structural target areas within the ELA using detailed potential field “worm” analysis. o Determine the impact of a large ore system on hydrogeochemistry using the existing boreholes for water sampling by literature survey, employment of a hydrology consultant and reactive transport modelling (using the pmd*CRC-developed PmdPyRT code) to determine dispersion of Au, As and other pathfinder elements in the Skipton area both below and within the Quaternary basalt. o Ensure access to bores on private property. o Undertake hydrogeochemistry using all existing bores in the EL. Year 2 – target development o If recommended from the reactive transport analysis, drill a series of very widely spaced holes through the basalt across the tenement and sample the waters at the bottom of those holes. Analyse bottom of hole samples for a possible Bendigo-scale lithogeochemical and/or alteration halo. o Determine depth to bedrock and detect possible Cambrian basalt bodies beneath the Quaternary basalt using detailed gravity surveys supplemented by EM depth soundings over target areas identified from hydrogeochemistry and worm-based structural analysis. o If Cambrian basalt bodies are detected, use numerical modelling to determine favourable locations for drill targeting. Year 3 – drill targets o Drill Cambrian basalt targets if they are found to exist. o If no Cambrian basalt targets can be identified, undertake several lines of sub-basalt RC drilling across the most favourable areas identified by hydrogeochemistry and worm-based structural analysis to test for a Bendigo-scale ore system. The aim of this work will be to identify both ___________________________________________________________________ Work program Skipton EL Application July 2008 page 6 anomalism and evidence for any suitable rheology contrast which could have focused gold ore deposition. Year 4 – follow-up drilling o Undertake follow-up RC drilling on targets identified from first phase drilling. References Goldfarb, R.J., Groves, D.I. and Gardoll, S., 2001; Orogenic gold and geologic time: a global synthesis. Ore Geology Reviews 18, 1–75. Henham, R. J., 1994: Exploration Licence No. 3585 Fiery Creek. Final Technical Report for the period 24th March 1994 to 31st August 1994. Unpublished Stawell Gold Mines Report. Hornby. P., Boschetti, F. and Horowitz, F., 1999: Analysis of potential field data in the wavelet domain. Geophysics Journal International, 137, 175-196. Potma, W., Roberts, P. A., Schaubs, P. M., Sheldon, H. A., Zhang, Y. Hobbs, B. E. and Ord, A.: 2008: Predictive targeting in Australian orogenic-gold systems at the deposit to district scale using numerical modelling. Australian Journal of Earth Sciences, 55, 1, 101-122. Schaubs, P. M. and Zhao, C.2002: Numerical models of gold-deposit formation in the Bendigo-Ballarat Zone, Victoria. Australian Journal of Earth Sciences, 49, 6, 10771096. Schaubs P.M, Rawling, T.J., Dugdale, L. J. and Wilson, C.J.L., 2006: Factors controlling the location of gold mineralisation around basalt domes in the Stawell corridor: insight from coupled 3-D deformation – fluid-flow numerical models. Australian Journal of Earth Sciences 53, 841-862. Wilde, A. R., Bierlein, F. P. and Pawlitschek, M. 2004: Lithogeochemistry of orogenic gold deposits in Victoria, SE Australia: a preliminary assessment for undercover exploration. Journal of Geochemical Exploration, 84, 1, 35-50. ___________________________________________________________________ Work program Skipton EL Application July 2008 page 7 APPENDIX 1 (information sourced from Water Resources Victoria online database) Site Code: B62734 (State Observation Bore) Site Name: BORE 62734 Begin Date: 27-Sep-1989 End Date: 27-Sep-1989 Bore Lithology Logs Depth From Depth To Description 1 0 1.5 BROWN CLAY 2 1.5 23.5 BASALT 3 23.5 27 BROWN CLAY 4 27 30 GREEN CLAY 5 30 62 BASALT 6 62 73 BROWN CLAY 7 73 100 BASALT 8 100 105 DECOMPOSED BASALT 9 105 106.5 LIGNEOUS CLAY & COAL 10 106.5 115.7 COARSE SAND 11 115.7 127 WHITE SAND ___________________________________________________________________ Work program Skipton EL Application July 2008 page 8