CHOOSING A TEAM Enduring Understanding: Develop a better understanding of the concepts of dependent and independent events. Develop a better understanding of how to determine and use probabilities of dependent and independent events. Essential Questions: Original Lesson Design What is meant by replacement and without replacement? How can a tree diagram be used to find the probability? What is meant by independent events? What is meant by dependent events? What are mutually exclusive events? How are probabilities expressed? What is meant by event 1 and event 2 occurring vs. event 1 or event 2 occurring? Suggestions for English Language Learners Enhance vocabulary: Replacement Tree diagram Dependent events Independent events Mutually exclusive Probability And/or Lesson Overview: Original Lesson Design Before allowing the students the opportunity to start the activity: access their prior knowledge with regards to their experiences with probability. A good warm-up would be Ghost. Have the students work in groups of 2 to roll two number cubes 50 times. Have them chart the combinations that occur. Then combine the data from all of the groups into one chart on the board or overhead. Discuss the combinations and how often each combination occurred. Then discuss the probability that each one could occur if we made one more roll of the number cubes. Remind students that the probability of an event is a ratio between 0 and 1 inclusive. While doing or summarizing this activity, you might want to introduce and use the terms permutations and combinations when appropriate. Use resources from your building. Suggestions for English Language Learners Have students do experiments involving compound events – both dependent and independent to show the difference. See warm-up Provide a chart for them to use to record their data. When rolling the number cubes, use two different colors of cubes (for example, 1 red and 1 blue). This will help students see that a 2 on the red cube and a 3 on the blue cube is not the same as a 2 on the blue and a 3 on the red. EALRs/GLEs 1.4.1 1.4.2 Item Specifications: PS01 Assessment: Use WASL format items that link to what is being covered by the classroom activity Include multiple choice questions Choosing a Team Introduction: 1. Consider the event of rolling two six-sided number cubes with the numbers 1 through 6 placed one number on each side. a. How many arrangements are possible if you were to roll both dice? ____________ (for example: 1 and 2; 2 and 1 are two unique arrangements) Support your answer using words, numbers and/or diagrams. 2. Shirts at Teez R Us can be purchased in 4 sizes (S, M, L, XL), 2 sleeve lengths (short or long sleeves), and 3 colors (brick, orange, sage). Use this information to answer the questions. a. How many possible arrangement of size and sleeve style are available? __________ Support your answer using words, numbers and/or diagrams. b. How many possible arrangements of size, sleeve style, and color are available? _________ Support your answer using words, numbers and/or diagrams. 3. Ten students are trying out for three positions on a coed soccer team. The students include four boys (Adam, Alex, Anthony and Arnold) and six girls (Abbey, Aurora, Agnes, Alice, Amanda and Anna). All the students have an equal chance of being selected for the team. 1) How many different three-member teams can be formed? ________________ Support your answer using words, numbers and/or diagrams. 2) Determine the probability that the team would include: Three boys: ___________________________________________ Support your answer using words, numbers and/or diagrams. One boy and two girls: _______________________________________ Support your answer using words, numbers and/or diagrams. At most one girl: _____________________________________________ Support your answer using words, numbers and/or diagrams. Adam, Anthony and Alice: ____________________________________ Support your answer using words, numbers and/or diagrams. Agnes and two other students: _____________________________________ Support your answer using words, numbers and/or diagrams. 4. How is the number of ways to select the team affected if the three openings on the team are specifically for positions of forward, midfield and defense? That is, with each selection, a student’s name is attached to a specific position. _________________________________________________________________________________ _________________________________________________________________________________ _________________________________________________________________________________ _________________________________________________________________________________ _________________________________________________________________________________ _________________________________________________________________________________ _________________________________________________________________________________ _________________________________________________________________________________ _________________________________________________________________________________ _________________________________________________________________________________ _________________________________________________________________________________ _________________________________________________________________________________ _________________________________________________________________________________ _________________________________________________________________________________ _________________________________________________________________________________ _________________________________________________________________________ _________________________________________________________________________________ 5. Two regular six-sided dice are rolled. What is the probability that the sum is at most four? A. 1 9 B. 1 6 C. 5 6 D. 4 9 7. Carlos and Tiesha empty a bag of 100 colored candies and count the number of each color, as shown in the following chart. Number of Candies of Each Color Color Number Orange 20 Red 10 Brown 30 Green 10 Yellow 15 Blue 15 They return all the candies to the bag and shake the bag. Carlos removes 5 candies, 2 of which are blue. (They do not put these five back into the bag). Tiesha then pulls out one candy. What is the probability that Tiesha pulls out a blue candy? A. B. C. D. 6.67% 13.68% 15.00% 15.79%