Sonoma State University Economics Department THE ECONOMIC VALUE OF MARIN COUNTY EQUESTRIAN ACTIVITIES By Carlos A. Benito P ro fe s so r o f E co no mi c s Eco no mi cs Dep art me n t Sc ho o l o f B u si ne s s a nd Eco no mi cs with Kathleen R. Sundin Re se arc h As so cia te So no ma S tat e U n i ver s it y This study was sponsored by the Marin Horse Council with the assistance of a generous grant from the Marin Count y Board of Super visors September 2001 C a r l o s A. B e n i t o , Th e E c o n o m i c V a l u e o f M a r i n C o u n t y E q u e s t r i a n A c t i v i t i e s So no ma S tat e U n i ver s it y THE ECONOMIC VALUE OF MARIN COUNTY EQUESTRIAN ACTIVITIES By Carlos A. Benito with Kathleen R. Sundin The Significance of Horses in Marin's Quality of Life The proximit y to the cit y of San Francisco, beautiful landscapes, a rural historical heritage, and progressive institutions for land conservation, have made Marin Count y an attractive place to live. These very conditions have also induced population growth and the location of new electronics industries. With population and industrial growth came competition for land uses and therefore a challenge to the viabil it y of the very conditions that made Marin count y so attractive. This is particularl y true for the survival of its green spaces and rural cultural heritage. The probabilit y that Marin count y can maintain its environmental and cultural character will depen d both on institutions established through governance, and the economic choices of its inhabitants. It will also depend both on public interventions and private choices. Important expressions of these private choices have been farming and ranching activities and horseback riding. The existence of farming production and horseback riding are being challenged by increasing land prices and by the competition of alternative outdoor activities. Constraints to horseback riding are graduall y manifested through fewe r open spaces and trails for horseback riding. The following study demonstrates the relativel y high significance of the Marin equestrian econom y. As a consequence it makes apparent the role that private choices have played in shaping the landscapes and culture of Marin count y. Constraints to the equestrian economy, therefore, have significant effects on horseback riding and horse commercial operations that keep Marin Count y green and pastoral. These constraints also have significant effects on the business and professional opportunities of those who serve the equestrian sector. C arlo s A. B e n ito i s p r o fe s so r o f eco no mi c s a t So no ma S tat e U n i ver s it y. Ka t hl ee n R. S u nd i n i s a r es ear c h a s s o cia te at So no ma S ta te U ni ver s it y. T hi s st ud y wa s sp o nso r ed b y t he Mar i n Ho r se Co u nc il . W e h a ve b e n e fi ted b y t he s up p o r t o f J ud i t h T eich ma n, Mi ke Le wi s, a nd o t he r me mb er s o f t he Mar i n H o rse Co u n ci l. 1 So no ma S tat e U n i ver s it y ECONOMIC VALUE OF THE MARIN EQUESTRIAN SECTOR Size and Structure of the Marin County Equestrian Economy In the year 2001, there are 3,381 horses in Marin Count y. Private households control 2,949 horses, and stables and other commercial boarding operations control 432 horses. Private households keep 1,883 horses in their backyards, and board 1,066 horses in boarding stables and pastures or farms. Commercial boarding operati ons also serve numerous people who do not own horses but take lessons or use rental horses for trail riding. Figure 1 Horse Distribution by Operations Marin County 2001 Total Horses: 3,381 Pasture Commercial Horses Horses 2% 13% Backyard Horses 55% Boarding Horses 30% 2 So no ma S tat e U n i ver s it y About 1,512 private households control those 2,949 horses, mainl y for purposes of horseback riding. (See Table 1). Of those household s, 604 keep their 1,883 horses most of the time on their own lands --they are the backyard horses. The other 908 households most of the time board their 1,066 horses in commercial boarding operations, including some pastures. Table 1 Resources of an Avera ge Private Househol d w ith Horses Distributed by Groups Marin County, 2001 Resources Land, total, acres Land for horses Horses Family income, $ Schooling (years) Total households With With backyard boarded horses horses 11.7 0.5 5.2 0.2 3.1 1.2 138,000 117,404 14.5 14.2 604 908 Average 4.2 1.8 2.2 128,712 14.3 1,512 Source: Marin Horse Survey, 2001 The average household with horses controls two horses and uses 2.8 acres of land for this purpose. It tends to have two income earners with 14.3 school years --between two and four years of college. Its average famil y income is 128,712 dollars. There are, however, variations around these averages --from households with one horse to households with 10 or more horses. (See Figure 2). The mode or t ypical case is one horse. Table 2 provides the distribution of households with horses by their famil y income. Although average famil y income is relativel y high in Marin Count y, the majorit y of households with horses have famil y incomes below $100,000 dollars. Indeed, one third of these households have famil y incomes below $75,000 dollars. 3 So no ma S tat e U n i ver s it y Table 2 Distribution of Households by Income Marin County, 2001 Family Income Up to 50,000 75,000 100,000 150,000 More than 150,000 Relative CumulaFrequency tive % 10% 10% 24% 34% 22% 55% 19% 75% 25% 100% Source: Marin Horse Survey, 2001 In addition, a distinction between households with backyard horses and those with boarded and in pasture horses reveals n ew patterns. (See Table 1.) The average household with backyard horses controls 3 horses, and the average household with boarded horses controls onl y one. Households with backyard horses control more land, and have a higher famil y income. Figure 2 TOTAL HOUSEHOLDS WITH HORSES Distribution by Horse Quantity - Marin County - 2001 60% 120% 100% Mode 40% 80% 30% 60% Mean Frequency Cumulative % 8 M or e 7 0% 6 0% 5 20% 4 10% 3 40% 2 20% 1 Households 50% Horses per Household Mean is the average of horses by household. Mode is the most typical household case. 4 Second axis represents cumulative frequency. So no ma S tat e U n i ver s it y Production Value 1 of the Marin Equestrian Sector The yearl y value of the suppl y of goods and services for equestrian activities in Marin Count y is 104.6 million dollars: 97.1 million produced within Marin Count y, and 7.8 million imported from other counties. (See figure 3.) The production value of the primary equestrian sector -activities of private households and commercial operations with horses -is 88.8 million, and that of businesses and trades that support or benefit from the primary sector is 8.3 mil lion dollars. Figure 3 Supply & Production Value by Activity Marin Equestrian Economy -2001 104.65 Supply to Marin 7.82 Imported from other Counties 97.1 Marin Production Value 0.3 Exported to other Counties Horse Store Supplies 3.5 Equestrian Associations 0.1 Equestrian Show s 0.9 Farriers 1.7 Veterinarians 1.8 Forward & Backward Linkages 11.5 Stables, Trainers, Breeders Primary Activities 1.9 Households w ith Horses in Pastures 31.2 Households w /Boarded Horses 44.2 Households w /Backyard Horses 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 Million Dollars 1 Fo r a d e f i ni tio n o f t he t er ms u s ed i n t hi s r ep o rt see Vo c ab ul ar y a nd De fi n it io ns i n t he M et ho d o lo g y sec tio n . T he y p e rta i n to t h e d i s cip l i ne so c ia l a cco u nt i n g. 5 So no ma S tat e U n i ver s it y The production value of the primary sector is composed of 44.2 million dollars produced by households with backyard horses, 33.1 million dollars produced by households with boarded horses and horses in pastures, and 15.7 millio n dollars from commercial operations. The total production within Marin Count y (97.1 million dollars,) is composed of 62.4 million dollars added by production factors assigned within the equestrian sector, and 34.7 million dollars of intermediate goods. (See Figure 4.) The value added by the equestrian sector itself corresponds to services supplied by family and hired labor, services of used capital (depreciation and interest), and government services to the sector. Intermediate goods are goods and service s acquired by the equestrian households and businesses from other production sectors, such as feed and food supplements, utilities, telephones and so on. This figure also gives an idea of the relative importance of capital services and labor services in equestrian activities --the value of capital services (annual depreciation plus interest) is much larger, reflecting the cost of land, horses, and other equipment. Figure 4 Supply & Production Value by Sources Marin Equestrian Economy -2001 104.6 Total Supply to Marin County 7.8 Imported from Other Counties Sources Marin Production Value 97.1 62.4 Marin Value Added 34.7 Capital Use Cost Property Taxes 1.5 Trainers, Professionals 2.5 Hired Labor 3.7 Family Labor and Benefits Value Added 20.0 34.7 Value of Intermediate Goods Million Dollars 0.0 20.0 40.0 60.0 80.0 100.0 120.0 6 So no ma S tat e U n i ver s it y The value of intermediate goods --those acquired from other sectors other than the primary equestrian one-- provide a measure of the contributions of equestrian activities to other businesses and trades in the count y, in this case 34.7 million dollars (See figure 5 ). Figure 5 Value of Intermediate Goods by Items MarinEquestrian Economy 2001 34.73 Value of Intermediate Goods Raw Materials and Merchandise 1.92 Advertising 0.09 Legal Services 0.01 Administration Expenses 0.41 Telephone 0.13 Utilities 0.12 Training 5.72 Boarding Association Fees 8.13 0.24 Show Fees & Related Services 2.85 Clothing and Tack 1.99 Insurance 0.87 Repair and Maintenance 3.06 Farriers Insemination and Breeding Fee 1.65 0.29 Veterinarian, Vaccines, and Medicines Bedding 1.96 0.47 Pasture Rental Feed supplies 0.00 1.82 3.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00 30.00 35.00 40.00 Million Dollars (000,000) 7 So no ma S tat e U n i ver s it y Links between the Farming and Equestrian Sectors There exists an important link between the equestrian and farming sectors of Marin Count y. To some extent both sectors depend on each other. The equestrian activities have mainly backward linkages with farming --for example, most of feed production of the farming sector is demanded by the equestrian sector, and likewise the equestrian sector depends on Marin pastures for boarding and feeding horses. Table 3 shows that Marin horses consume approximatel y $5 million worth of hay and silage annuall y, which is more than twice the amount of hay and silage grown in Marin. An unknown but presumabl y significant part of this demand is satisfied by farmers from Marin Count y and the rest is from producers outside Marin, but quite likel y sold through feed dealers in Marin Table 3 Marin County - Farming and Equestrian Sectors Backward Linkages Feeds Pastures Farming Supply Marin $1,441,137 $4,547,000 Feeds Pastures 100% 100% Crops Marin Equestrian Demand satisfied by suppliers from: Marin Outside Total $1,769,227 $1,231,605 $3,000,832 $1,538,352 $286,133 $1,824,485 100% 34% 0% 66% Data sources: Marin Farming Supply of Feeds in 1999 is the sum of Hay & Silage, from Marin Livestocik & Agricultural Crop Report, Agricultural Commissioner, 2000 Demand for feeds by the Marin Equestrian Sector refers to year 2001, based on our own sources. The Multiplier -Effect of the Marin Equestrian Sector To measure the full economic contribution of the equestrian sector to the Marin economy it is necessary to bear in mi nd its impact on other sectors of the economy which were not considered in the previous anal ysis. The production of the Marin equestrian sector generates demands for goods and services produced by other sectors, which generate 8 So no ma S tat e U n i ver s it y demands for goods and service s, and so on. Multipliers measure these interactions 2. When considering the direct, indirect and induced effects of the Marin equestrian sector, its annual contribution to the total count y econom y is 155 million dollars. (See Figure 6.) For the complete specification of the multipliers' estimations see the Regional Accounting Appendix. Figure 6 Multiplier Eff ect of the Marin Equestrian Sector - 2001 Equestrian Total Impact 155 Equestrian Induced Impact 51 Equestrian Indirect Impact 7 Equestrian Direct Impact 97 0 50 100 150 200 Million Dollars 2 Dir ect e f fe ct s ar e c h a n g es wi t hi n t he eq ue str ia n sec to r. I nd ire ct e ffe ct s a re c ha n g es i n i n ter - i nd us tr y p ur c ha se s a s t he y r esp o nd to t h e ne w d e ma nd s o f t he d i rect l y affec ted i nd us tr ie s. I nd u ced e f f ec ts are c ha n ge s i n sp e nd i n g fro m ho u s e h o ld s a s i nco me /p o p ul at io n i n cr e ase o r d e crea se d ue to c ha n g es i n p ro d u ct io n. 9 So no ma S tat e U n i ver s it y Capital Stock Accumulated in the Marin Equestrian Sector The above production values refer to year l y flows. They are produced with a capital stock valued at 356.3 million dollars (See Figure 7). This is the capital stock accumulated in the primary equestrian sector, which is integrated with land, horses, sheds, barns, fencing, arena, and other equipment. Notice the large importance of real state investment in horse activities, namel y land and sheds and barns. In the estimation of the value added by equestrian activities (See Figure 3), the user cost of capital in the year 2001 is the annual depreciation plus the annual interest of this capital stock Figure 7 Value of Equestrian Capital Stock Marin County Total - 2001 Total 356.29 Other 3.27 Endurance Riding Equipment 2.32 Horse Tack (saddle, etc.) Trailers 19.21 7.08 Trucks Feeders, Water Tanks, Buckets Arenas 19.89 1.13 6.16 Sheds and Barns Fencing 37.56 7.26 Land Horses 0.00 229.87 22.53 50.00 100.0 150.0 200.0 250.0 300.0 350.0 400.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Million Dollars 10 So no ma S tat e U n i ver s it y CONCLUSIONS The relative importance of equestrian activities in Marin Count y is large, even after the decline in the number of horses during the last ten years. Without counting those bus inesses and trades that support equestrian activities, more than fifteen hundred households have made, by their own choice and preferences, major investments in this activit y (that now amount to a capital of 356 million dollars). Equestrian activities in turn are closel y interlinked with farming activities via field crop production (hay and silage) and pastures. The capital stock of equestrian activities combined with that of farming is the backbone of agriculture in Marin Count y, and therefore a pillar for sustaining Marin's rural heritage. In addition, different government levels have invested in parks, and through laws and ordinances, open land has been set aside in Marin Count y. Together with private agricultural activities, governance and public choices have contributed to the existence of open spaces and the green character of the Count y. The challenge for Marin County residents, and California residents as well, is how to maintain a balance between those two ways to sustain the green character of Mari n Count y --one bureaucratic driven, and another inspirational -communit y driven. If government at various levels is going to take into consideration communit y, people's dreams, and freedom of choice, it will need to expand access to open spaces for horseb ack riding and shows, and to reward its positive externalities 3. 3 Ex ter n al it ie s ar e e f f ec t s o f o ur ac ti v it ie s o n t hi rd p art ie s wh o d id no t i n te nd to p arti cip ate . N e gat i ve e x ter na li ti es p ro d uce ad d i t io nal co st s to t h ird p ar ti es wh o ar e no t co mp e ns ated fo r t h e m, s u c h a s a ir p o ll u tio n o f car s. P o si ti ve e xt er na li tie s p ro d u ce b en e fi t s to t hir d p ar tie s wh o d o no t p a y fo r t he m . So me o f t h e p o si ti v e e x ter na li ti es o f t he ho r se se cto r ar e t he ex i ste n ce o f o p e n, gr ee n sp a ce s a nd t he mai n te n an ce o f a n agr ic u lt ur al h er i ta ge t ha t b e ne f it re sid e nt s a nd v is ito r s, e xt e nd i n g i nto f u t ure ge n era tio n s. 11 So no ma S tat e U n i ver s it y METHODOLOGY Data Sources The information for this report is based on primary information generated by means of two surveys and one census. Survey at the household level -- The Marin Horse Council mailed about 1508 questionnaires and the response rate was near 20%. The information was used for estimating the economic and social value of equestrian activities. Commercial survey-- Questionnaires were sent to commercial operation s that serve households with horses, including veterinarians, stables and other boarding operations, trainers, breeders, farriers, among others. The information was used to estimate the capital cost and revenue structures of horse related businesses and tr ades. Horse Census -- The horse population of Marin Count y was estimated by means of a census conducted with the assistance of members of the Marin Horse Council. Estimation Methods The basic methodology is regional accounting. The input -output matrix and the capital inventory for the equestrian econom y (see appendix) were estimated by aggregating the accounts of household operators (backyard horses, boarded horses, and pasture horses) and the accounts of commercial operators. These accounts were derived through agricultural budgeting procedures, both for capital stocks and for cost and revenue flows. Vocabulary and Definitions The technical language used in this report corresponds to the social accounting discipline. The use of words in social accountin g can be different than in other disciplines or professions. Supply: It refers to aggregate suppl y and it represents the value of goods and services made available in the count y by a sector or sub -sector. The aggregate suppl y is made of the production val ue generated within the count y plus the value of goods and services imported from other counties. Production Value: Is the value produced by an activit y within the count y and it is integrated with the valued added by a producing sector within the 12 So no ma S tat e U n i ver s it y count y, plus the value of goods and services that this sector has bought from other sectors. Production value in some instances is equivalent to the sale value of a firm or production sector. There are sectors, however, who do not sell their outputs in a market, s ay government agencies or households with backyard horses. Value Added: The production value (or sale value) of a sub -sector, say veterinarians, includes the costs of goods and services purchased from other sectors (for example medicines), plus the value of the services actuall y added by veterinarian hospitals. Their value added includes the cost of using in one year their capital (depreciation plus interest), the value of veterinarian labor, the value of their employees' labor, among others. Value of Int ermediate Goods: Intermediate Goods are those purchased by a sector from another sector to perform their production. For example stables and trainers buy medicines and health care from veterinarians, services from farriers, clothing and tack from horse sto res, phone services from the telephone company, water from utilities, legal services from lawyers and so on. Aggregate Supply and Aggregate Demand Definitions: Aggregate Suppl y = Count y Production Value + Imports from other counties Aggregate Demand = C ount y Consumption Expenditures + Exports to other counties Count y Production Value = Count y Consumption Expenditures + Net Exports Net Exports = Export value to other counties - Import value from other counties. Count y Production Value = Value Added + In termediate Goods Value Added = Wages + User Cost of Capital User Cost of Capital = Depreciation + Interest 13 So no ma S tat e U n i ver s it y REGIONAL ACCOUNTING APPENDIX Marin County, 2001 14 So no ma S tat e U n i ver s it y Matrix of Production and Added Values - Marin County - 2001 Items Feed supplies Pasture Rental Bedding Veterinarian, Vaccines, and Medicines Insemination and Breeding Fee Farriers Repair and Maintenance Insurance Clothing and Tack Show Fees & Related Services Association Fees Boarding Training Utilities Telephone Administration Expenses Legal Services Advertising Raw Materials and Merchandise Value of Intermediate Goods Family Labor and Benefits Hired Labor Trainers, Professionals Property Taxes Capital Use Cost Value Added Value of Production Imported from Other Counties Total Supply to Marin County Households Households Households w/Backyard w/Boarded with Horses Horses Horses in Pastures 1,548,621 387,861 152,966 866,622 229,459 772,071 909,789 426,074 861,883 1,232,160 98,013 2,689,698 2,124,518 690,296 1,263,642 96,149 877,556 27,660 700,627 1,586,078 117,519 1,052,117 879,160 115,627 5,201,120 3,388,738 12,299,736 15,996,288 8,575,556 8,927,636 0 0 0 0 1,175,301 88,210 22,130,842 6,192,381 31,881,699 15,208,228 44,181,435 31,204,516 44,181,435 31,204,516 11,607 172,982 20,618 68,893 0 68,275 96,960 13,576 57,661 77,318 8,955 236,233 205,132 Stables, Trainers 750,309 0 202,844 148,053 31,500 110,194 448,347 293,976 16,489 358,783 11,813 0 0 74,073 34,958 244,246 1,038,209 2,725,584 482,851 1,120,000 0 2,406,379 0 534,608 5,392 193,071 378,551 4,543,124 866,795 8,797,181 1,905,004 11,522,765 4,147,159 1,905,004 15,669,924 Veterinarians 21,000 20,533 3,850 8,167 49,000 3,500 8,750 245,000 359,800 80,500 840,000 515,032 1,435,532 1,795,332 165,793 1,961,125 15 So no ma S tat e U n i ver s it y Matrix the Production and Added Values - Marin County - 2001 (cont.) Farriers Equestrian Shows Equestrian Associations Horse Store Exported to Supplies & Other Feeds Counties 300,000 9,396 46,982 412,792 412,792 2,859 1,430 81,484 34,886 34,886 34,886 18,793 206,723 281,895 7,148 92,920 469,824 42,886 69,771 1,046,570 1,220,998 941,913 697,713 187,930 657,754 939,649 1,907,771 2,847,420 7,148 50,034 142,954 95,303 238,257 627,942 2,267,567 3,488,565 1,500,416 4,988,982 300,000 1,155,817 82,558 1,238,375 1,651,167 1,651,167 0 300,000 Total of Equestrian Sector 3,000,832 1,824,485 472,578 1,961,125 288,620 1,651,167 3,062,173 871,679 1,988,149 2,847,420 238,257 8,127,052 5,718,388 119,984 129,670 411,098 8,750 88,564 1,918,232 34,728,223 20,047,955 3,697,302 2,530,425 1,461,975 34,665,508 62,403,165 97,131,387 7,816,442 104,647,830 Items Feed supplies Pasture Rental Bedding Veterinarian, Vaccines, and Medicines Insemination and Breeding Fee Farriers Repair and Maintenance Insurance Clothing and Tack Show Fees & Related Services Association Fees Boarding Training Utilities Telephone Administration Expenses Legal Services Advertising Raw Materials and Merchandise Value of Intermediate Goods Family Labor and Benefits Hired Labor Trainers, Professionals Property Taxes Capital Cost Value Added Value of Production Imported from Other Counties Total Supply to Marin County 16 So no ma S tat e U n i ver s it y Value of the Capital Stock in the Primary Equestrian Sector - Millions Marin County - 2001 Item Horses Land Fencing Sheds and Barns Arenas Feeders, Water Tanks, Buckets Trucks Trailers Horse Tack (saddle, etc.) Riding Equipment and Clothing Other Total Horses in Marin County Land for Horses in Marin C. (acres) Capital per horse (excluding horses) $ Land per horse (acres/horse) Households with: Backyard Boarded Horses Horses 11.08 6.36 156.71 11.76 4.64 0.30 16.88 0.10 3.30 0.00 0.52 0.03 11.22 7.75 3.60 2.17 2.59 15.22 0.60 0.76 2.13 0.20 213.27 44.64 1,883 1,007 9,813 226 107,400 38,020 5.2 0.2 Horses in Pastures 0.48 0.72 0.12 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.81 0.20 0.84 0.03 0.01 3.21 59 13 46,203 0.2 Commercial Stables, Trainers 4.62 60.68 2.21 20.58 2.86 0.57 0.12 1.11 0.56 0.94 0.94 95.17 432 19,857 209,629 46.0 Total 22.53 229.87 7.26 37.56 6.16 1.13 19.89 7.08 19.21 2.32 3.27 356.29 3,381 29,910 98,730 8.8 17 So no ma S tat e U n i ver s it y Multiplier Effects of the Equestrian Sector Marin County - 2001 - Dollars Sector Output Value Type I: Indirect Type II: Indirect & Induced Value Added Type I: Indirect Type II: Indirect & Induced Multiplier Coefficient Equestrian Direct Impact Equestrian Indirect Impact Equestrian Induced Impact Equestrian Total Impact 1.07 1.60 97,131,387 97,131,387 6,799,197 6,799,197 51,479,635 103,930,584 155,410,220 1.05 1.41 62,403,165 62,403,165 3,120,158 3,120,158 22,465,139 65,523,323 87,988,462 Sources: Data on the equestrian sector from Marin Survey, 2001. Data on multipliers from Input-Output model for Sonoma County, by Carlos A. Benito 18