Census 2011 – Second Release: Industry and Occupation KEY MESSAGES SUMMARY 1 GM has a lower proportion of residents working in higher paid occupations such as managers, professionals and technical staff than is the case nationally; conversely a higher proportion of residents are employed in lower paid jobs occupations, such as those working in sales, as machine operatives and elementary occupations. At the locality level, Trafford, Stockport and Bury have the highest percentages of residents employed in the 3 highest skill occupational categories; Salford, Tameside and Rochdale have the lowest percentages. Tameside, Oldham and Wigan all have high levels of employment in the Skilled Trades and Machine Operative roles. Since 2001 there has been 13% growth in total occupational employment in GM, compared to 12% growth for England & Wales. Growth has been particularly strong in Manchester (50.0%) and Salford (18.9%). Occupational profile changes GM in percentage terms have broadly been line with changes seen nationally. In terms of GM’s industry of employment profile a similar picture emerges, with relatively fewer GM residents working in better paid industrial categories such as professional/scientific, information & communications and other financial services, and relatively more working in the Wholesale and retail and Administrative and support services industries. Tameside, Wigan, Rochdale, Oldham and Bolton all have high levels of Manufacturing industry employment. Levels of employment within the three ‘public sector’ industries (Education, Health and social work, and Public administration) are broadly similar across the conurbation. The changes in GM’s industrial profile since 2001 include a 37% decline in manufacturing employment, 26% growth in Construction employment and 40% growth in Education sector employment. CONTEXT Analysis of the 2011 Census first release revealed that from 2001 to 2011 the population of Greater Manchester had increased by 6.6% (166,000). This population growth has been mainly concentrated in the centre (Manchester [19.0%], Salford [7.8%]) of the conurbation but also to the south (Trafford [7.8%] and west (Wigan [5.4%], Bolton [5.9%]). Boroughs to the north and east of the conurbation core have seen lower rates of population growth (2-3%). The in-migration of young people and families to the conurbation core has been a key factor in GM population growth. In addition, Greater Manchester is currently experiencing a mini baby-boom, with an 18% increase in the conurbation’s 0-4 population since 2001 and nearly 1-in-4 of these births being to mothers born outside the UK. This note focuses on occupational and industrial employment profiles.1 Data on economic activity is also provided by the Annual Population Survey (APS). However, APS figures are derived from a sample of the local population whereas the Census 1 The full datasets are available here: http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/publications/re-referencetables.html?edition=tcm%3A77-286262 New Economy 02 figures are based upon 98% of the total population; hence the Census provides us with a more accurate and more detailed picture of occupational and industrial employment profiles within an area. 2 OCCUPATION The 2011 Census asked all usual residents aged 16-74 and in employment what their occupational level was in the week before the Census was undertaken. The 1.22million GM residents who answered this question could choose from 9 occupational categories, ranging from category 1 (Managerial, director and senior official occupations) to category 9 (Elementary occupations).2 The results for GM show that the conurbation has more workers in lower skill occupations and fewer workers in the higher skill occupations than would be expected given the national workforce profile. There are big differences in GM occupational profile when the results are analysed by gender. Thus: GM’s female residents are 4 times more likely than male residents to work in Administrative or Caring/leisure/other services occupations; Male residents are 8 times more likely to work in a Skilled Trades occupation; The often reported lack of women in Managerial roles nationwide is also true in GM (7% of GM’s female residents are in occupation category 1 vs. 12% of males) but GM’s females residents are more likely to be employed in Professional occupations than male counterparts and almost as likely to be employed in Associate Professional roles. Figure 1: Occupation sector split for those in employment, aged 16-74 2 1.Managers, directors and senior officials, 2. Professional occupations, 3. Associate professional and technical occupation 4. Administrative and secretarial occupations 5. Skilled trades occupations 6. Caring, leisure and other service occupations 7. Sales and customer service occupations 8 Process, plant and machine operatives 9 Elementary occupations. New Economy 03 Comparing GM’s occupational profiles by gender to the national profiles shows that although both male and female residents in GM struggle to access the highest occupational roles, the gaps between GM and England & Wales female occupational employment rates are smaller than the gaps between male occupational rates – i.e. men in GM have a relatively harder time securing high skill occupational roles. By GM locality, Trafford, Stockport and Bury have the highest percentages of residents employed in the three highest skill occupational categories; Salford, Tameside and Rochdale have the lowest percentages. On this measure, the City of Manchester is unusual in that it has the lowest percentage of residents in occupational category 1 but more than average percentages for categories 2&3 – this may be a reflection of younger, less well paid professionals choosing to live within the core of the conurbation before moving to the outlying boroughs as they get older. Tameside, Oldham and Wigan all have noticeably high levels of employment in the Skilled Trades and Machine Operative roles. Manchester3 and to a lesser extent Oldham are characterised by high percentages of employees working in Elementary occupations. Comparing occupational profiles by gender for all 10 localities is a difficult task to summarise but generally patterns match those seen for all residents – e.g. male and female resident cohorts in Bury, Trafford and Stockport are both more likely to be employed in high skill occupations than males and females living elsewhere in GM. Since 2001 all districts in GM have experienced increases in total numbers in employment but there are stark differences in total employment growth by locality: In Stockport employment increased by 1% over the decade; and In Manchester employment increased by 50% over the decade. Employment growth rates surpassed the England & Wales (12.3%) average in only two GM districts: Salford (18.9%) and Manchester (50.0%), with Trafford (11.9%) and Wigan (10.5%) the only other two to get into double-digit growth over the period. 3 Only Birmingham (55,969) and Leeds (41,095) have more residents employed in elementary occupation than Manchester. New Economy 04 Figure 2: Occupational growth by GM locality vs. England & Wales profile Manchester was the only GM locality to experience growth in all nine occupation categories. The other nine districts all experienced falls in two categories: Managers, Directors, senior officials and category; and Process, plant and machine operatives. There were falls (against the national trend) in the numbers of Associate Professionals in Rochdale (-8.6%), Stockport (-7.4%), Oldham (-5.8%) and Bury (-4.0%). Aside from Manchester (24.4%), only Wigan (2.8%) and Salford (2.5%) experienced growth in Admin/secretarial posts, which was also against the national trend (-3.6%). There was a -3.5% fall in Skilled Trades occupations in Stockport, again this was in contrast to local and national changes (10.6%). Only Manchester (34.8%), Salford (8.7%), Bolton (2.3%) and Trafford (1.8%) saw growth in Elementary occupations, which was in the same as direction of change nationally (5.3% growth). New Economy 05 3 INDUSTRY The 2011 Census also asked all usual residents aged 16-74 and in employment what industry they were employed in the week before the Census was undertaken. Twenty-one response options were given, lettered A-U4. Figure 3: Industry composition of GM employees vs. England & Wales profile The two industries in which GM has noticeably higher percentage employments are: Wholesale and retail trade, repair of motor vehicles and motor cycles; and Human health and social work activities. The conurbation also has relatively high rates of employment in Manufacturing, Transport and storage, and Administrative and support services. Industries that are relatively under-represented include Agriculture, forestry and fishing, Public administration and defence, compulsory social security, and Information and communication. Analysing the GM results by gender shows that: Male residents are most likely to be employed in Wholesale and retail trade (18%), repair of motor vehicles and motor cycles, Construction (12%) or Manufacturing (13%); and Female residents are most likely to be employed in Human health and social work activities (23%), Wholesale and retail trade, repair of motor vehicles and motor cycles (17%), or Education (15%). Comparing GM gender results to the England & Wales picture reveals certain industries in which men or women living in GM are more or less likely to work than their England & Wales counterparts: A Agriculture, forestry and fishing, B Mining and quarrying, C Manufacturing, D Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply E Water supply; sewerage, waste management and remediation activities, F Construction G Wholesale and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and motor cycles H Transport and storage I Accommodation and food service activities J Information and communication K Financial and insurance activities R, S, T, U Other L Real estate activities M Professional, scientific and technical activities N Administrative and support service activities O Public administration and defence; compulsory social security P Education Q Human health and social work activities. 4 New Economy 06 Table 1: GM industry of employment profile by gender vs. England & Wales Are more likely to work in… Are less likely to work in… GM males… Wholesale and retail trade Public administration Administrative/support services Information and communication Transport and storage Financial and insurance Manufacturing activities Professional, scientific and technical activities GM females… Human health and social work Information and communication Wholesale and retail trade Public administration Administrative/support services Professional, scientific and technical activities Cross referencing these results to the occupational figures reported in section 2, the relatively high numbers of male residents employed in Skilled Trades occupations is likely to be a reflection of GM’s strengths in male Manufacturing and Transport and storage employment. The relatively high numbers of female residents in Administrative and Caring/leisure occupations is likely to be a reflection of GM’s strengths in female Health and social work and Administrative/support services employment. By locality, the statistics reveal that: Tameside, Wigan, Rochdale, Oldham and Bolton all have high levels of Manufacturing employment (at least 1 in 10 employees in each locality, rising to 13% in Tameside); Likewise, GM’s Construction industry is heavily concentrated in these 5 boroughs (but especially Wigan); Despite being the conurbation core and therefore having a large number of retail outlets, the City of Manchester has one of the lowest percentages (16%) of residents employed in Wholesale and retail trade, repair of motor vehicles and motor cycles. Manchester does however have by some distance the largest Accommodation and food services sector, both in absolute and relative terms; 19% of Trafford residents are employed in traditionally highly paid industries of Information and communication, Financial and insurance activities, and Professional, scientific and technical activities – twice the percentage recorded in Wigan, Rochdale and Oldham; and Levels of employment within the three ‘public sector’ industries (Education, Health and social work, and Public administration) are broadly similar across the conurbation, with all 10 localities having between 27-31% of residents employed in these industries. The industry classification has changed since 2001 so it is not possible to make likefor-like comparisons for all categories. However, there are some changes that can be noted: Continuing falls in Manufacturing employment with 66,000 (-37.0%) fewer employees in the sector across GM; 25% in Construction employment for GM; Manchester (49.8%) and Salford (14.0%) performing better than other GM localities in terms of Wholesale and retail trade employment growth; and The education category showing strong growth, most notably in Manchester (65.2%). New Economy 07 FURTHER INFORMATION For further information on New Economy’s Census work please contact Mike Doocey: mike.doocey@neweconomymanchester.com Data produced in this briefing have been reproduced with the permission of the Controller of Her Majesty’s Stationery Office and are © Crown Copyright. New Economy 08