Name (print, please) _______________________________________________ ID ___________________________ Operations Management I 73-331 Fall 2001 Odette School of Business University of Windsor Final Exam Solution Saturday, December 15, 7:00 – 10:00 p.m. CAW Centre Ambassador Auditorium Rows A-C Instructor: Mohammed Fazle Baki Aids Permitted: Calculator, straightedge, and a both-sided formula sheet. Time available: 3 hours Instructions: This solution has 13 pages including this cover page It’s not necessary to return the unused blank pages and tables Please be sure to put your name and student ID number on each page Show your work Grading: Question Score Question Score 1 /15 2 /3 3 /6 4 /8 5 /8 6 /6 7 /6 8 /8 9 /8 10 /8 11 /8 12 /8 13 /8 Total /100 Name:_________________________________________________ ID:_________________________ Question 1: (15 points) 1.1 The MRP report is sent to the following departments: a. production and finance b. production and purchasing 1.2 Lot for lot minimizes a. carrying cost b. ordering cost 1.3 Silver-Meal heuristic and least unit cost heuristic perform better if the costs a. change over time b. do not change over time 1.4 ______________ reduce setup time a. Cellular layouts b. Poka-yoke 1.5 Cellular layouts a. distribute work-load evenly b. often yield poorly balanced cells 1.6 Following is a trend in supplier policies: a. Identify suppliers who may supply in large volumes and minimize number of orders b. Identify suppliers near to the customer 1.7 The fact that the EOQ cost curve is flat near the optimal order quantity implies that a. if there are some managerial reasons to order Q units such that Q EOQ, but Q is near EOQ, then one may order Q units without causing a large increase in inventory cost b. inventory cost is not sensitive to the cost of buying items 1.8 Which of the following is an input to the aggregate production planning? a. Level of resources needed b. Level of resources available 1.9 Which of the following is a shortage cost? a. The cost of hiring workers to avoid shortages b. The loss of profit due to shortages 1.10 What of the following is a level strategy? a. Keeping a constant level of inventory b. Keeping a constant level of workforce 1.11 Forecasts are always a. long-term b. wrong 2 Name:_________________________________________________ ID:_________________________ 1.12 Exponential smoothing is designed for a. stationary series b. series with trend 1.13 Which of the following uses less memory? a. Moving average b. Exponential smoothing 1.14 Moving average and exponential smoothing lag behind a trend, if one exists. a. True b. False 1.15 Linear regression is always applied a. on log(x) and log(y) b. to explain how one variable changes due to the change of some other variable(s) Question 2: (3 points) A supplier of instrument gauge clusters uses a kanban system to control material flow. The gauge cluster housings are transported five at a time. A fabrication centre produces approximately 16 gauges per hour. It takes approximately two hours for the housing to be replenished. Due to variations in processing times, management has decided to keep 25 percent of the needed inventory as safety stock. How many kanban card sets are needed? Kanban card sets needed DL w 16 2 0.25 16 2 8 a 5 Question 3: (6 points) One unit of A is made of one unit of B, and one unit of C. B is made of two units of C. a. (3 points) Construct a product structure tree. 3 Name:_________________________________________________ ID:_________________________ b. (3 points) Suppose that the gross requirement of A is 100 units. Items A, B and C have on-hand inventories of 20, 30 and 70 units respectively. Find the net requirement of C. Gross requirement, A 100 Less item A in inventory 20 Net requirement, A, 100-20 = 80 Gross requirement, B 80 Less item B in inventory 30 Net requirement, B, 80-30 = 50 Gross requirement, C: 80+50(2) = 180 Less item C in inventory 70 Net requirement, C, 180-70 110 Question 4: (8 points) The MRP gross requirements for Item X are shown here for 4 weeks. Lead time for A is one week, and setup cost is $8. There is a carrying cost of $0.30 per unit per week. Beginning inventory is 30 units in Week 1. Week Gross requirements 1 2 3 4 30 20 30 40 a. (3 points) Use the EOQ method to determine when and for what quantity the first order should be released. K $8 30 20 30 40 52 1560 units/year 4 h 0.30 52 $15.60 /unit/year Q 2 K h 2 8 1560 40 15.60 Order 40 units in Week 1 4 Name:_________________________________________________ ID:_________________________ b. (5 points) Use the least unit cost heuristic to determine when and for what quantity the first order should be released. Order for weeks Order quantity, Q Inventory after Week 1 Inventory after Week 2 2 20 0 2,3 50 30 0 2,3,4 90 70 40 Inventory after Week 3 0 Holding cost Ordering cost Unit cost 0 8 0.40 9 8 0.34 33 8 0.45 Since the unit cost is minimum for an order size of 50 units in Week 1, order 50 units in Week 1. Question 5: (8 points) Following are the net requirements, production capacities and production plan of a product: Month 1 2 3 4 Net requirements (units) 40 30 90 60 Production capacities (units) 70 70 70 70 Production plan (units) 40 50 70 60 a. (2 points) Is the above production plan feasible? If the production plan is not feasible, what is the first month of shortage? Month Production Requirement Cumulative production Cumulative requirement 1 40 40 40 40 2 50 30 40+50=90 40+30=70 3 70 90 90+70=160 70+90=160 4 60 60 160+60=220 160+60=220 Since in each month cumulative production is larger than the cumulative requirement, the production plan is feasible. 5 Name:_________________________________________________ ID:_________________________ b. (4 points) Suppose that the setup cost is $250 and holding cost is $2/unit/month. If the above production plan is feasible, can you find an improved production plan? If the above production plan is not feasible, what is the minimum amount by which the monthly production capacity must be increased in order to make the above production plan feasible? Month Production Capacity Excess capacity 1 40 70 70-40=30 2 50 70 70-50=20 3 70 70 70-70=0 4 60 70 70-60=10 It is not possible to back-shift production of any month to any previous month(s). Hence, no improvement is possible. c. (2 points) Suppose that the production capacities change to 60 units per month. If there exists any feasible production plan with these new capacities, then state a feasible production plan. If there does not exist any feasible production plan with these new capacities, then what is the first month of shortage? Month Capacity Requirement Cumulative capacity Cumulative requirement 1 60 40 60 40 2 60 30 60+60=120 40+30=70 3 60 90 120+60=180 70+90=160 4 60 60 180+60=240 160+60=220 Since in each month cumulative capacity is larger than the cumulative requirement, there exists a feasible production plan. The following production plan is obtained by lot-shifting technique: Month Requirement Capacity Production 1 40 60 40 2 30 60 30 30+30 = 60 3 90 60 (shortage 30 units) 60 4 60 60 60 Hence, produce 40, 60, 60 and 60 units respectively in Months 1, 2, 3 and 4. 6 Name:_________________________________________________ ID:_________________________ Question 6: (6 points) Suppose that the Travel EZ Corporation believes that a learning curve accurately describes the evolution of its production costs for a new line of handbags. Suppose that the first unit costs $300, and the second unit $240. a. (2 points) What is the rate of learning? L 240 0.80 80% 300 b. (2 points) Compute the cost of producing the 4 th unit based on the learning curve. Unit Cost 1 $300 2 300(0.80)=$240 4 240(0.80)=$192 c. (2 points) Compute the cost of producing the 17th unit based on the learning curve. b ln L ln 0.80 0.3219 ln 2 ln 2 Y 17 au b 30017 0.3219 120.5146 Question 7: (6 points) Suppose that Item A has a unit cost of $30, an ordering cost of $25, and an annual demand of 300 units. It is estimated that the holding cost is 20 percent per year. a. (3 points) Compute EOQ of Item A. K $25 300 units/year h 30 0.20 $6 /unit/year 2 K 2 25 300 50 units h 6 b. (3 points) Suppose that both Items A and B should be purchased and there is only $2000 available for buying Items A and B. The unit cost of Item B is $5 and the EOQ of Item B is 200 units. What is the optimal order quantity of Item A? EOQ Cost of EOQ units of A, EOQA = 5030 = $1,500 Cost of EOQ units of B, EOQB = 200 5 = $1,000 Fund required = $2,500 Fund available 2,000 m 0.80 Fund needed 2,500 Order quantity of A, QA* mEOQA 0.80 50 40 units 7 Name:_________________________________________________ ID:_________________________ Question 8: (8 points) Suppose that Item A has a production rate of 400 items per year. The cost and demand information of Item A are the same as those stated in Question 7. That is, Item A has a unit cost of $30, an ordering cost of $25, and an annual demand of 300 units. It is estimated that the holding cost is 20 percent per year. a. (3 points) Compute EPQ of Item A. K $25 300 units/year h 30 0.20 $6 /unit/year 300 h' 61 $1.5/unit/year 400 2 K 2 K 2 25 300 100 h' h' 1.5 b. (1 point) What is the cycle time of Item A? EPQ Q 100 0.3333 year 300 Item C has a production rate of 2000 items per year, a unit cost of $100.00, an ordering cost of $50, and an annual demand of 400 units. Items A and C have the same holding cost i.e. 20 percent per year. c. (3 points) What is the cycle time if both Items A and C are produced in a single facility and a rotation cycle policy is used? 2K A K C 225 50 T* 400 300 0.20 301 300 0.20 1001 400 h A 1 A A hC 1 C C 400 2000 P P A C T 0.14797 year d. (1 point) What is the optimal order quantity of Item A? QA* AT * 0.14797 300 44.39 units Question 9: (8 points) Historical demand for a product is: Month t Demand 1 January 22 2 February 23 3 March 25 4 April 27 a. (2 points) Using a simple three-month moving average, find the May forecast FMay 23 25 27 25 units 3 8 Name:_________________________________________________ ID:_________________________ b. (2 points) Using a single exponential smoothing with 0.2 and an April forecast = 26, find the May forecast FMay D Apr 1 FApr 0.20 27 0.80 26 26.2 units c. (2 points) Using a double exponential smoothing method with 0.1, 0.1, S 0 20, and G0 2 , find S1 and G1 . S1 D1 1 S 0 G0 0.10 22 0.9020 2 22 G1 S1 S 0 1 G0 0.1022 20 0.90 2 2 d. (2 points) Using S1 and G1 found in part (c ) , find the May forecast made in January. F1,5 S1 4G1 22 4 2 30 units Question 10: (8 points) The J&B Card Shop sells calendars. The once-a-year order for each year’s calendar arrives in September. The calendars cost $13 and J&B sells them for $25 each. At the end of July, J&B reduces the calendar price to $5 and can sell all the surplus calendars at this price. How many calendars should J&B order if the September-to-July demand can be approximated by normal distribution with 200 and 100 . a. (2 points) What is the overage cost? C o Purchase price – salvage value = $13-5=$8 Area=0.60-0.50=0.10 Cu Selling price – Purchase price = $25-13=$12 c. (4 points) Compute the optimal order quantity p Probability b. (2 points) What is the underage cost? 100 Cu 12 0.60 Cu Co 12 8 0.60 Find z * such that P z z * 0.60 Or, P z 0 P 0 z z * =200 z = 0.25 Demand Or, P 0 z z * 0.60 P z 0 0.60 0.50 0.10 Hence, from Table A-1 z * 0.25 (the z -value for which area = 0.10 Q * z * 200 0.25 100 225 units 9 Name:_________________________________________________ ID:_________________________ Question 11: (8 points) The home appliance department of a large department store is planning to use a lot size-reorder point system to control the replenishment of a particular model of FM table radio. The store sells an average of 200 radios each year. The annual demand follows a normal distribution with a standard deviation of 50. The store pays $80 for each radio. The holding cost is 20 percent per year. Fixed costs of replenishment amount to $100. If a customer demands the radio when it is out of stock, the customer will generally go elsewhere. The penalty cost is estimated to be about $60 per stock-out. Replenishment lead time is three months. Find an optimal (Q,R) policy with no service constraint. Use the iterative method and show 2 iterations. Show your computation on the next page and summarize your results in the table below: Summary of results obtained from Excel (hand computation shown later): Fixed cost (K ) Holding cost (h ) Penalty cost (p ) Mean annual demand () Lead time () in years Lead time demand parameters: Step 1 Step 2 Step 3 Step 4 Step 5 Q= Area on the right=1-F (z) z= R= L (z )= n= Modified Q = Area on the right=1-F (z) z= Modified R = 100 Note: K ,h , and p 16 are input data 60 200 input 0.25 input data EO Q Q h / p Table A1/A4 z Table A4 L( z) 2 np K / h Q h / p Table A1/A4 z 10 50 <--- computed 25 input data Iteration 1 Iteration 2 50 0.0267 1.931667 98.29167 0.010177 0.03179 0.254434 0.79464 53.68102 60.7615 0.071575 0.08102 1.464164 1.39828 86.60409 84.9569 Name:_________________________________________________ Hand computation for Question 11: Iteration 1 1-1 EOQ 2K 2 100 200 50 units h 16 1-2 1 F z Qh 50 16 0.067 p 60 200 z 1.50 (See Table A-4) R z 50 1.5 25 87.5 1-3 Lz 0.0293 (See Table A-4) n Lz 25 0.0293 0.7325 1-4 Q 2np K 2 2000.7325 60 100 59.9895 h 16 1-5 1 F z Qh 59.9895 16 0.08 p 60 200 z 1.405 (See Table A-4) R z 50 1.405 25 85.125 Iteration 2 2-3 Lz 0.0367 0.0359 0.0363 (See Table A-4) 2 n Lz 25 0.0363 0.9075 2-4 Q 2np K 2 2000.9075 60 100 62.14 h 16 2-5 1 F z Qh 62.14 16 0.0828 p 60 200 z 1.385 (See Table A-4) R z 50 1.385 25 84.63 11 ID:_________________________ Name:_________________________________________________ ID:_________________________ Question 12: (8 points) The Easty Brewing Company produces a popular local beer known as Iron Stomach. Beer sales are somewhat seasonal, and Yeasty is planning its production and manpower levels on March 31 for the next three months. The demand forecasts are Month Production days Forecasted Demand April 20 8,000 May 25 9,000 June 24 9,600 As of March 31, Yeasty had 30 workers on the payroll. Over a period of 10 working days when there were 100 workers on the payroll, Yeasty produced 10,000 cases of beer. As of March 31, Yeasty expects to have 500 cases of beer in stock. It plans to start July with 600 cases on hand. Based on this information, find the minimum constant workforce plan (level strategy) for Yeasty over the three months. Productivity Month A 10,000 10 units/worker/day 10 100 Net requirement Cumulative net requirement B C Units produced per worker D Cumulative units produced per worker Number of workers needed F= C E E April 7,500 7,500 2010=200 200 7,500 200 38 May 9,000 7,500+9,000 =16,500 2510=250 200+250 =450 16,500 450 37 June 10,200 16,500+10,200 =26,700 2410=240 450+240 =690 26,700 690 39 Minimum constant number of workers needed = 39 12 Maximum Name:_________________________________________________ ID:_________________________ Question 13: (8 points) Hy and Murray are planning to set up an ice cream stand in Shoreline Park. After five months of operation, the observed sales of ice cream and the number of park attendees are: Month 1 2 3 4 5 Ice Cream Sales in hundreds, Y 7 4 2 5 6 Park Attendees in hundreds, X 12 11 6 17 21 a. (6 points) Determine a regression equation treating ice cream sales as the dependent variable (on the vertical axis) and park attendees as independent variable (on the horizontal axis). y xy x x2 Total Average Slope 12 7 84 144 11 4 44 121 6 2 12 36 17 5 85 289 21 6 126 441 67 24 351 1031 13.4 4.8 n xy x y n x x 2 2 5 351 67 24 5 1031 67 2 147 0.2207 666 Intercept y slope x 4.8 0.220713.4 1.84 Hence, the regression equation is y 1.8423 0.2207 x b. (2 points) Forecast the ice cream sales in the next month, if the projected number of park attendees in the next month is 2,400 y 1.8423 0.2207 24 7.13964 hundred Hence, ice cream sales is 713.964 units 13