Test for Independence Solution #2 The null hypothesis: There is no difference in who males and females vote for. The alternative hypothesis: There is a difference between who males and females vote for. Table converting percentages to counts Candidate A Male 44 96 x .44 = 42.24 Female 53 104 x .53 = 55.12 Table with counts and totals Candidate A Males 42 Females 55 97 Total Candidate B 33 96 x .33 = 31.68 14 104 x .14 = 14.56 Candidate B 32 15 47 Candidate C 23 96 x .23 = 22.08 33 104 x .33 = 34.32 Candidate C 22 34 56 Total 96 104 200 Calculate expected frequencies Eij = RiCj N E11 = (96)(97) 200 E13 = (96)(56) 200 E22 = (104)(47) 200 E11 = 9312 200 E13 = 5376 200 E22 = 4888 200 E11 = 46.56 E13 = 26.88 E22 = 24.44 E12 = (96)(47) 200 E21 = (104)(97) 200 E23 = (104)(56) 200 E12 = 4512 200 E21 = 10088 200 E23 = 5824 200 E12 = 22.56 E21 = 50.44 E23 = 29.12 1 Table with expected and observed frequencies Candidate A Candidate B Males 42 32 (47) (22) Females 55 15 (51) (24) 97 47 Total Candidate C 22 (27) 34 (29) 56 Total 96 104 200 The expected frequency for males voting for Candidate B was rounded down (to 22 from 22.56) and the expected frequency for females voting for Candidate A was rounded up (to 51 from 50.44). This is because of “selected rounding” which is used so the total number of expected frequencies is the same as the number of observed frequencies. Calculate chi-square 2 = (O-E)2 E 2 = (42-47)2 + (32-22)2 + (22-27)2 + (55-51)2 + (15-24)2 + (34-29)2 47 22 27 51 24 29 2 = 25 + 100 + 25 + 16 + 81 + 25 47 22 27 51 24 29 2 = 0.53 + 4.55 + 0.93 + 0.31 + 3.38 + 0.86 2 = 10.56 df = (Ncolumns – 1)(Nrows – 1) = (3-1)(2-1) = (2)(1) = 2 p = 0.05, so our critical value with df = 2 is 5.99 Our obtained value is 10.56, which is greater than 5.99, so we reject our null hypothesis. Our study shows that both males and females prefer to vote for Candidate A. 2